host: we are talking with simon conway. as we go over more information, we have michele bock men who is arriving at the state capitols in des moines. she will be appearing in one of the sunday shows this morning. we will have more information for you, for our listeners. she will be on abc's "this week." and also on fox as well. back to our guest, simon, with from who radio, if you would like to get involved in our conversation about the countdown to the caucuses, the numbers are on your screen. host: let's go back to lines. california. caller: i believe a lot of the republicans are sick and tired of the war. host: simon conroy, your thoughts about our caller's comments. guest: i do not think for a second that ron paul will be the nominee, no matter how well he does in iowa. there is a real issue when it comes to foreign policy with ron paul. that is something that i have been on on my radio show. i think ron paul is a dangerous man. he is on the record just a couple of days ago once again saying that the rumpled presidency

and the most influential political voices in iowa, radio host simon conway. you may not have heard of him if you don't live in iowa, but he is a big deal here. that is all ahead unless breaking news changes everything. this is "studio b." but, first, from fox at 2:00, in des moines, getting down to the wire, we are here in iowa and we could see a photo finish, less than 24 hours before voters head out to caucus places there is no clear frontrunner but the latest polls show three man race: congressman ron paul, former massachusetts governor mitt romney and former pennsylvania senator, rick santorum in a tie for first place. candidate santorum riding new found momentum into the top tier after polling not single digits for many months. another survey paint as similar picture tomorrow, former frontrunner gingrich has fallen way down. he is in 4th place but still double digits. senator john mccain laced fourth in iowa back in 2008 and nobody gave him a shot. and, of course, he went on to win the entire nomination but in a race as up and down as this has been more

host: simon conway, go ahead.aller: we will find out next november if any one of them stands up collect royalty -- stands up alecto really speaking to president obama. i think there are -- ele ctorially speaking to president obama. i think the most likely result next november is that president obama will be reelected. that is not because of the opposing field. that is because the president is an outstanding candidate. i think he is a bad president, but he is an outstanding candidate. he knows how to run, and he is going to have a billion dollars. that is difficult to overcome for anybody. host: we have been talking to simon conway of who radio. if you want to know more about the radio program, you can go to the website, whoradio.com. thank you very much for being on "washington journal" this morning. >> tomorrow, we will take another look at the republican presidential campaign in iowa. we will speak with the campaign share for rick barry's campaign. after that, a discussion about newt gingrich's strategy in iowa

simon. conway. he's not giving up on rick perry just yet. >>> democrats held their own caucuses last night showing support for president obama. the president addressed them in a video teleconference making sure they remember his achievements like ending the iraq war and pushing health care reform. >> i'm actually more optimistic now than i was when i first ran because we've already seen change take place. what kind of country are we going to leave for our children and our grandchildren? there is no problem that we face that we cannot solve. >> well, the obama campaign also e-mailed a message to supporters right after the iowa caucuses. "the extremist tea party agenda won a clear victory. no matter who the republicans nominate, will be running against someone who has embraced that agenda in order to win. vowing to let wall street write its own rules and medicare, as we know it, roll back gay rights and leave the troops in iraq indefinitely and restrict a woman's right to choose and gut social securit

alex is joining us, republican consultant and simon conway, a radio host. you've interviewed, simon, every candidate september huntsman who moved on to -- >> snarkiness goes both ways. the candidate himself was also being snarky about your fine state. >> absolutely. apparently he only wants to be president of 49 states. i find that strange. as for congressman king, saving his endorsement for when on my show this afternoon. >> you know that will kill me, if you do that, sir. what congressman king has said, though, is that there is a problem. there is no 100% right candidate. there are a lot of kind of okay candidates, and if you could piece them all together, one great candidate, which ron brownstein you cannot do, is this typical? >> shakespeare? i think actually this race has been obviously volatile. probable more than any other republican race since 1964. volatile that it makes sense in a structured way. proceeding on two tracks. >> really contradictory. >> proceeded down two tracks explaining the volatility. mitt romney a front-runner, but modest. done we

simon conway is a brit by birth, but his heart and his permanent address is now in iowa. des moines, and, hey, ronald reagan even worked there in the 1930s. now, simon, i have to admit in my head i'm hearing your name and i'm visualizing this sort of snarky simon cowell and taking down all the political candidates, but you seem to love most of those folks. >> really? i am not him, but if you asing, i'll comment. >> believe me, i won't sing, but i do know you'll comment. >> well, good, then. well good, then. a lot of these candidates are really good people and i think probably any one of them is probably capable of beating the president next november at the polls, but it's exciting times in iowa and we'll have a great caucus day and i frankly can't wait. >> you talk about the candidates that you love and you love talking to them except for huntsman and paul, you said you rejected them for different reasons. >> that's correct. >> what reasons are those? >> well, jon huntsman apparently only wants to be president of 49 states although there's still time for him to insult ano

today on "studio b," i spoke with a conservative radio talk show host simon conway who is very influentialere in iowa. and he talked about the part that iowa will play tomorrow. >> i think iowa will continue to fulfill its role, which is to thin the field. i think that's going to happen. it will thin the field. maybe not by as many as in the past, but we have already got rid of two candidates since we have been going or three, actual fact if you count gary johnson. we are fulfilling that role. both parties like iowa because it's small enough that they can get around it and the candidates are w. little money can burst through. rick santorum being a prime example of that. big enough that the sample matters. >> shepard: yes, the sample does matter. of course iowa is only a single step in a very long journey. since 1976, get this now, the winner of the iowa caucuses has won the republic nomination half the time. and that said, no one has ever won south carolina without winning iowa or new hampshire. and no one has ever won the white house without winning south carolina. well, iran now and the

alex is joining us, republican consultant and simon conway, a radio host. wed, simon, every candidate september huntsman who moved on to -- >> snarkiness goes both ways. the candidate himself was also being snarky about your fine state. >> absolutely. apparently he only wants to be president of 49 states. i find that strange. as for congressman king, saving his endorsement for when on my show this afternoon. >> you know that will kill me, if you do that, sir. what congressman king has said, though, is that there is a problem. there is no 100% right candidate. there are a lot of kind of okay candidates, and if you could piece them all together, one great candidate, which ron brownstein you cannot do, is this typical? >> shakespeare? i think actually this race has been obviously volatile. probable more than any other republican race since 1964. volatile that it makes sense in a structured way. proceeding on two tracks. >> really contradictory. >> proceeded down two tracks explaining the volatility. mitt romney a front-runner, but modest. done well with more mo

after that, a breakdown of the gop field with simon conway.ater, a look at the final des moines register iowa poll ahead of tuesday's caucuses with pollster j. ann selzer. that is live tomorrow on c-span. >> our road to the white house coverage continues to mark with republican presidential candidate mitt romney in atlantic, iowa. he is talking about jobs in the economy. watch live coverage at 3:30 p.m. eastern here on c-span. >> in the last of caucuses in 2008, barack obama won the democratic caucuses and went on to win the presidency. mike huckabee won the republican caucuses, but dropped out of the raese two months later. look at what a caucus looks like online with the c-span video library. now through tuesday, are c-span cameras are following the 2012 republican candidates at events throughout the state. every morning live from iowa, political castor taking your calls on "washington journal." tuesday night, live coverage is of caucuses on c-span in c-span to. later on, the results of all the nearly 18 caucuses, plus candidates' speeches.

after that, the breakdown of the gop field with simon conway. later, a look at the final des moines register i will pull ahead of the caucuses with ann selzer. that is 7:00 a.m. eastern live on c-span. tomorrow on "newsmakers," holly petraeus talks about her role as the assistant director for the office of servicemember affairs for the consumer financial protection bureau. also, and look at the financial issues facing u.s. military service members. that is at 10:00 a.m. and 6:00 p.m. eastern here on c-span. in the last iowa caucuses in 2008, barack obama won the democratic caucuses and went on to win the presidency. mike huckabee won the republican iowa caucuses, but dropped out of the race two months later. see what a caucus looks like with video of previous years online with the c-span video library, and for tuesday, our cameras are following the 2012 republican candidates at events throughout the state. every morning, live from iowa, political guests are taking your calls a "washington journal." tuesday night, we will show live coverage from