currency change of government, but we still don't know how we're leaving the european union >> simon derekb & y melon. i know it's a big day for you over there good luck. we'll talk to you soon thank you. >> thank you >>> now let's get analysis on this side of the pond, as this he say boris, cnbc contributor, joining us as well boris, you are kind of the simon derek of the united states, right? you are a currency guy by heart, but you can go macroand talk about anything you just heard his analysis. is there anything that you would disagree with in what he said? >> i don't think we're going to go through election right now? it looks like she's going to lose the vote by about 160 votes. corbin is going to call for a no confidence, but i think it's doubtful that the no confidence motion will pass she's going to muddle through. they're basically three scenario that is are going to happen at this point we're either going to have to have a second referendum and delay article 50, or we get a hard brexit. now, choice number three if she chooses to follow the hard brexit choice then, yes, i think w