simon mc-greger wood in london. >>> going to lawrence lee outside the parliament and this is not thenario expected and not what the polls were all pointing to. >> reporter: no absolutely not, 100% poperr -- polar opposite and when you look at last night when the poles shut everybody, i mean absolutely everybody following the election had been working on the given assumption this would be a very decisive outcome and not days but weeks of negotiating between different parties to form some sort of coalition government and might put a new program at risk would the queen speech happen on the 27th of may and all that thing and it's 5 past 10:00 in the morning and it's all over and we can say with certainty david cameron will be the new prime minister because there is noelle material arithmetic with any other possibility so he is off to see the queen in 2 1/2 hours to ask her permission to form a new government and that is exactly what is going to happen. the question as you say arises how could everybody have got it so wrong and what prompted all the undecided voters to go with a conservat