joining us now is simon rosenberg, longtime democratic strategist and author of hope chronicles and subset on saturday night and south carolina. >> yeah, listen, there has been a basic pattern in our politics since the spring of 2022 in the jobs decision was leaked and was enacted, which is democrats continue to overperform expectations all across the country and republicans have struggled. you saw throughout 2022. you saw throughout 2023. we are now seeing it in the early part of 2024. donald trump has dramatically underperformed public polling know in all three of the early republican primary states. in iowa, there was an uneven turnout. another sign of weakness. alarm bells should be going off. donald trump is burning through more cash than he's raising. kate is losing in all of his core cases. the rnc is broke and placing their leadership. house republicans are abandoning ship and retiring at in record numbers. their thing is broke and broken right now. i think that this idea that somehow you can look at all of that and see something that is strong rather than weak is kind of, you know

. >>> coming up on the program, democratic strategist simon rosenberg says don't believe the hype about that red wave in november. >> good luck trying to run on that platform in this country at this point. i'm daniel lurie and i've spent my career fighting poverty, helping people right here in san francisco. i'm also a father raising two kids in the city. deeply concerned that city hall is allowing crime and lawlessness to spread. now we can do something about it by voting yes on prop e. a common sense solution that ensures we use community safety cameras to catch repeat offenders and hold them accountable. vote yes on e. >>> welcome back to the program. now, if you look at the polls, america's political landscape appears to be a balancing act, right on the knife's edge. in some trump is more popular, in others biden is. in some democracy is top of mind, others say it isn't. my next guest is waving a red flag. simon rosenberg is a veteran war room stat gist for democrats but tells me it's because from the economy to crime and now the border, the democratic party is much stronger than pe

joining us now is simon rosenberg. simon, we're keeping an eye on the microphone there because tom suozzi is not going to wait for us. that's our information, anyway. they have very sophisticated digital and statistical tracking in the new york state democratic party, tracking this all day long. i've been in touch with many of those people as the day has proceeded and they have been confident at every step of this and where we are tonight, and you have been telling people a version of what steve was saying about polls, how the polls are capturing people now for the presidential race who might not be turning out for that presidential race. and that's one of the elements that makes the current presidential campaign polls less interesting to be staring at because they are predicting an action so far from where these voters live tonight that many of them just might not even show up and vote, but they in effect cast their votes in these polls. >> listen, just to remind everybody we had a great election in 2018 and a great el

simon rosenberg is back with us. simon, there were a lot of winning sounding messages that we heard in there for democratic campaigns. >> yeah, listen, just how great was it to hear that expression of joy and happiness. thank you for letting it roll, lawrence. you don't get to see that very often. that time of rancor and fighting we have in the country, it's great to see this and i'm proud of tom and the team that got a big win tonight. let me say three quick things, responded to your question first. one is, yeah, the basic dynamic of this election, the basic, where we are, is that joe biden is a good president. the country is far better off today the party is strong and winning elections across the. country. they have trump, who is the most unfit guide who run for president in all of american history. we should be very optimistic about that. and what we heard tonight was, we litigated some of the tough issues. this was an election that was hard-fought. republicans continued to make tough arguments against the democra

simon rosenberg is back with us. e a lot of winning sounding messages that we heard in there for democratic campaigns. >> yeah, listen, just how great was it to hear that expression of joy and happiness. thank you for letting it roll, lawrence. you don't get to see that very often. that time of rancor and fighting we have in the country, it's great to see this and i'm proud of tom and the team that got a big win tonight. let me say three quick things, responded to your question first. one is, yeah, the basic dynamic of this election, the basic, where we are, is that joe biden is a good president. the country is far better off today the party is strong and winning elections across the. country. they have trump, who is the most unfit guide who run for president in all of american history. we should be very optimistic about that. and what we heard tonight was, we litigated some of the tough issues. this was an election that was hard-fought. republicans continued to make tough arguments against the democrats that we've be

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joining our discussion now is simon rosenberg, democratic strategist and author of the chronicles on is not just, me it is the audience. everybody they desperately wanted to hear from you. there is the presidential campaign going on, we are relying on you to cover for us, i just want to play what the fed chair has said. he is telling a truth that does not seem to have penetrated the american consciousness widely enough. let's listen to this. >> this is a good situation. let's be honest. this is a good economy. >> so, that is a republican. he has made the fed chair by republicans, president biden kept him there. he went on and on about it is the first time in 50 years we have had unemployment under 4% for two years in a row, he just went on and on about how strong this economy is. it does not seem to be the perception out there among the voters joe biden will need. >> well i think voters on our side understand this. if you break apart the understanding of the economy, between the two parties, biden gets pretty good rating from democrats on the economy. he got zero from maga. so it bri

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joining us now is simon rosenberg, democratic strategist and author of -- hopeium why nichols on substack potential, and clearly there's an indication here of the -- strength in the biden reelection -- >> yeah, i think it's really important with the biden campaign said, baffling, thank you for saying that. because it is baffling. since tabs in 2022 we just keep winning. we defied history in 2022 midterms, 2023 in another extraordinary set of wins across the country and we have seen the same pattern of democratic over performance and it is baffling the reason more attention to the fact of how rare this is. it is very rare in our system for the party in power to win and make gains again and again and again now over three calendar years and have an election and parts of the country, it has been an extraordinary performance for the democrats and as the campaign indicated who would you rather be as we head to the general election? the campaign that kept winning elections all across the, country or the one that keeps losing elections all across the country. right? there is a quiet confidence in

joining us now is simon rosenberg. nicles on substack. simon let's begin with south carolina and what we saw in those election returns. what do you learn when an incumbent president is running essentially on a post in a primary like that? >> well he's got to win the nomination. then the infield should find something else to do. dean phillips is giving around a sentence around for the worst candidate in the 2024 cycle i think. or certainly the most ridiculous and so, our primary nomination is settled. joe biden will be the nominee, i think trump will be the nominee on their side. you just didn't interesting segment about the legal vulnerabilities he has and the qualification issue. nikki haley's given a more stronger run than we expected so joe biden is cruising to become the nominee, raising a lot of money, he had great numbers of jobs numbers on friday. we are in good shape. undersized parties, unified we are ready to go. >> south carolina launched joe biden to the nomination four years ago. he had lost badly in iowa,

president biden ramps up his re-election campaign, and i ask democratic political strategist simon rosenberg is stronger than people think. >>> and -- despite u.s. and u.k. stri

joining us now is lyman rosenberg, democratic strategist and author of -- on substack. simonhink it over, when i saw that map today of 33 now potential targets, i was wondering about it last night, seeing that for the -- there is enormous potential, and clearly there's an indication here of the -- >> thank you for emphasizing, that it is muffling, since dobbs in 2022, we just keep winning. we have one history in 20 trying to in the midterms, we won in 2023 in another historic set of wins across the country, and in 2024 we have seen the same pattern of democratic over performance and it is baffling of how rare this is. it is very rare in our system for the party in power to win and make winds again and again and again now over three calendar years and have an election and parts of the country, it has been an extraordinary performance for the democrats and as the campaign indicated who would you rather be as we head to the general election? the campaign that kept winning elections all across the, country or the one that keeps losing elections all across the country. right? ther

. >>> simon rosenberg gets tonight's last word. the 11th hour with stephanie ruhle starts now. >>> tonight, donald trump's legal delays and the impacts they may have on november as you tries to kill back the union vote for president biden. then, tense moments at a public apology during a senate hearing with tech ceos about child safety online. but will anything meaningful come out of it? and the border deal hangs in the balance while gop infighting nearly thanked a tax cut deal. how republicans are playing politics with both as the 11th hour gets underway on this wednesday night. good evening once again, i'm stephanie ruhle live from msnbc headquarters here in new york city. and timing is everything, especially when it comes to donald trump's legal dramas and his campaign to retake the white house. it has just been over three weeks since an appeals court heard arguments over trump's claim of absolute immunity from prosecution in the 2020 election interference case. so far, there has been no decision. it looks like that case will be