i should also say, i had some help from skidmore who is a pet federal affairs person at the fed who took a year off to help me with the process in the research. i got a good start and had it done within about 14 months. >> a decade more or less when some of the most dramatic economic times in our lifetime, if not on our nation's history, you probably have time to reflect much on your life during that decade, certainly reflect on economic policy. as you wrote over that 18 month time period, what to do you learn about yourself question. >> first of all, a big purpose of it was to think at leisure the through the whole process and that was really useful. i think one of the things i learned, first of all, is there is a lot of hindsight bias. we all create a story about what happened. everything seems inevitable. this had happened, that had happened. as you go back, go back, you realize you were in the fog of war, as things are actually happening you're always trying to make judgments about one probability against another and one risk against another. i saw myself as a a risk manager. summary

and elastic strain a strong annual back in 1997 and to see how much stronger the economy is the skidmore on the weather and is really called out there >>anny hong: is pretty much it will have a chance for some sprinkles the law of the late moing and afternoon hours because of this system will watching you already seen the started to weaken and boosting the chance to shout out toward the coast and are not and could maybe seeing some scattered showers by 3:00 and the afternoon by midnight est our man in the near yes custos cold temperatures near freezing and the great news here in this visibility was not their mothers did not to the past has gone on the web the fireworks but mama annex will be great if you want to stay home and watching. >>anny hong: dry conditions to do best on that lately the tracks in showers primarily in the evening right now am or unsubtle but rather for next week monday and tuesday. >>reporter: them looking for to men and one for armed robbery monday night and malpractice have an aunt and 15 at valero past session on the form of a block of el camino real out to men w