even lose republicans their majority in the house, yet where these lines are, that cannot happen speemac, the senate? >> republicans could lose the majority of the senate just having a bad night. they could have just an okay nominee and loose. when you have six republican seats up and out no democratic states up, this is just bad arithmetic. the way i see this playing out is -- donald trump has basically 35% of the vote. now 35% and a 12 way field, that's a big number. but when 12 goes to eight, goes to six, goes to four, goes to three, goes to two, i don't think to two, i don't think that 35 number expands a whole lot. i can see it coming down to a point where trouble have a third but probably leading a little bit, the cruz has a third may be, and, and establishment guy has a quarter, then there is a fifth that is just up in the air. what they do before at the convention, i don't know. >> that leads to my next question. when do you think we'll have some better sense of who the republican and democratic nominees are? if you put on your hats here, is that march 1, march 15, do we have to