look at these new state polls from quinnipiac university. in a two-way race in colorado trump and clinton are tied. back in august clinton was up 10 point. six point lead red state showed clinton ahead. out in iowa quinnipiac shows trump up by 6. back in august quinnipiac had clinton up by 3. in virginia the same pollster shows a 7 point lead for clinton. that's down from 12 points in mid august in that same poll. to help us sort all this out, tom bevan, the co-founder and publisher of real clear politics joins us from chicago. tom, help me out, man, what's happening here? who has the momentum? >> it was an interesting week, wasn't, brit? we definitely had some national polls that showed clinton -- we had three or four national polls showing clinton recovering some ground. in our average last week she was under a percent in both and now she is up to three points in the two-way race and two points in the four-way race. at the national level she definitely seemed to recover some ground. but, as you said, a bunch of state polls, including the fo

we did a 50 state poll with survey monkey the online polling in silicon valley. we found that in most of the states, she is ahead among white college voters. and particularly among white college educated women. >> rose: and they are in the suburbs in part. >> in part in the suburbs and they're everywhere. it's not as though they are just in blue states. >> and that constituency, if he cannot make influentials into that constituency, he is unlikely able to put together a winning combination. >> what has been interesting, charlie, is throughout the primaries, much of our focus was on the trump constituency which is to say white blue clar voters. >> rose: right. >> and the degree to which he had tapped into-- . >> rose: noncollege educated. >> right. the degree to which he had tapped into the resentment, the grieveances they have, the fact that they have done far less well with this recovery than people better educated and certainly more affluent. and yet it's like it's flipped now. and he needs either a huge turnout, a bigger turnout from that constituency than we h

not because of the national polls, but you look at the state-by-state polls and that's why democrats that's why they feel like the pressure is on hillary clinton. i had one democratic supporter say tonight, this debate tonight, is, quote, save the republic. >> it's just incredible. i don't disagree. clinton holding on to an eight-point lead in virginia. 45% to 37%, but she's down four points in that state poll since august. as willie mentioned, the clinton campaign and their super pac had pulled ads from both colorado and virginia earlier this summer. that's confidence. and in maine, a poll -- >> this is another stunner. >> it gives clinton a three-point lead, 40% to 37%, with gary johnson taking 12 points. >> you know this state well. you have been there every year of your life. and since 1988, no republican has won maine. >> what in the world? >> donald trump is going to at least move ahead in one electoral vote. >> the state is poised to split its electoral votes for the first time with trump ahead in the northern district. clinton up 21% in the first. >> i understand hillary husb

we did a 50-state poll with survey monkey, the online polling operation based in silicon valley. we found that in most of the states, she is ahead among white college voters and particularly among white, college-educated women. charlie: and they're in the suburbs in part. dan: they're in part in the suburbs and they're everywhere, not just in blue states. chris: if he cannot make movement into that, he is unable to put together a winning combination. dan: what is interesting, charlie, throughout the primaries, much of our focus was on white, blue collar voters and the degree to which he had tapped into kind of the resentment, the grievances that they had, the fact that they have done far less well with this recovery than people better educated and certainly more affluent and yet it's like it's flipped now. he needs either a huge turnout, a bigger turnout from that seenituency than we have in the past or solve the problem with the college educated. charlie: one or the other is big. we don't know how to measure the discontent, do we? dan: no, we don't. we know it's out there. one me

these state polls are very important. >> things are getting better for trump, just as they are nationallyno doubt the polls have closed a little bit in the last few weeks. and clearly this -- what you see on the screen is the most important thing right now. for trump to win, he's going to have to win all the states that mitt romney won. on top of that, he's going have to win pennsylvania, florida, and ohio. unless those states work out for him, he's not going to win. >> the reason we put up the one, some of the averages in those states are back to the beginning of august or end of july. next up, do you know what aleppo is? one of the presidents who wants to be president finds out the hard way today, next. me feel like i couldn't be the father that i wanted to be. now i use depend. i can move the way i really want. unlike the bargain brand, new depend fit-flex underwear is now more flexible to move with you. reconnect with the life you've been missing. get a free sample at depend.com. so we invented a word thatuten, means that.tificial flavors. reconnect with the life you've been missing.

in north carolina, trump is polled ahead by five point, 45 to 40. >> in ohio, another must-win state for trump, there he is up five points, 42 to 37, survey polling likely voters. joining us, randy evans, a former senior advisor for newt gingrich presidential campaign in 2012. former reagan white house political director, ed rollins . great having you both with us. randy, these numbers, i have to believe tonight the trump campaign is thrilled with them including one poll in nevada that is within margin of error. >> i tell you what is thrilled is senatorial committee, when we started this it was said republicans would have to run their own race. it looks like they have to hold on to trump's coattails, nevada is an open seat, this is important, north carolina, ohio very important senate seats. donald trump is proving one very important thing. which is hard work does payoff in a presidential election, i will tell you, this is before the rnc ground trading has started -- ground operation as startzed. havstarted. you have these leads and demore the ground operation they have, you will see

a quick look at the battleground state polls. colorado, interesting quinnipiac. >> the state polls show one thing -- a closing race. trump getting closer. the national polls have shown something else, clinton opening up. look at the dates. all of the national polls have been conducted basically since last friday. the birther announcement by him. many state polls including quinnipiac, a lot of it conducted before and that was a bad week for her. some in the post weekend, but i would say -- i would like to see what the numbers like like in a week to see what's the lagging indicator. i think the state polls are the lagging indicator now. >> really good information there. >> mm-hmm. >> all of these will be lagging after monday. >> it's a clean slate. it will change everything and the polls will stay exactly the same. i'm teasing. probably the most likely result. >> chuck todd. got to love it. this is game day almost. >> almost. everybody's calling it the super bowl. in the real super bowl the pregame would have started already. >> ch

and leading her substantially with independents, like 15%. >> the wmur granite state poll shows i'm tied with custer currently and beating her amongst independents. kristen: both candidates feel confident. nashua, wmur news 9. tom: we will have complete primary cerage throughout the day tomorrow. >> the most important thing to take away was communicating that that's not who we are in nashua. we're a welcoming community and we care for our neighbors. shelley: dozens gathered to show strength in unity in nashua vandalized. last night, a rock was thrown into the place of worship during prayer. right now, members of the community are urging police to investigate whether this was an act of hate as people are trying to figure out why someone wou try to shatter the peace during a time of prayer. in place of peace, an act of hate. it was sunday night when mohammad akbar received a call telling him someone vandalized the islamic society of greater nashua, shattering the calm prayer time by throwing a rock through a window. >> it was lighted up in side. shelley: the mosque opened three years ago w

i think normally you would say a national poll might be a lagging indicator and the state polls are leadinguch a nationalized race that i think that both can be viewed equally and just right now we're in a national poll cycle. i think we'll know next week for sure whether this -- which one is lagging indicator if next week the state polls show clinton sort of ticking up and i think, you know, i think that we'll know that's what national polls who are catching something before the state polls. if i'm not mistaken, i think most of the national polls have been in the field more recently. >> the consolidation thing, chuck is right on. if you're trump, you say you make yourself the change candidate. the question becomes is how does hillary clinton respond? i think she says change. you want to change to a u.s. that creates more jobs outside of the u.s. and in the u.s. which is what you've done with your companies? you want to change to a supreme court that restricts a woman's rights and african-american rights around this country and do you want to change for president that craves vladimir putin'

poll. it's a huge sample size. more than 70,000 people. because it's in all 50 states and it's so many thousands of people in the sample, it takes them a long time to get that sample. people got surveyed for this poll between august 9th, and september 1st. all of these things are atypical. it's not your usual poll, but it's fascinating because it's a 50-state survey, and it has produced results that would be seen as incredible to the point of nuttiness in any normal year. i mean, again, the baseline numbers are not themselves that crazy. overall, hillary clinton is leading by a lot, beating trump 2-1 in the electorate college, just with states that are democrat or leaning democrat, she's almost got the nomination -- excuse me -- she's almost got the election won. she's almost up to the number she needs in order to win. she needs 270. she's at 244, so she's within 26 electorate votes of winning the election altogether. in contrast, trump would need to double his electoral votes in order to win at this point. so there's some stuff that is in keeping with what you might h

fox news polls of swing states giving trump an edge. istical tie in nevada where trump takes 43%, clinton 40 and johnson at 8. in north carolina, 45-40 over hillary clinton. johnson at 6 there. a new college poll has north carolina tied 41-41 in a three-way ris with johnson in the mix. 42% to clinton's 37% in ohio with johnson at 6 and stein down at 2. >> let's stop there for a second. mark halperin, if you told anybody four weeks ago that donald trump was going to be ahead in nevada, this far ahead in north carolina, this far ahead in ohio, this far ahead in so many of these states, i think a lot of people would be as shocked as several million hillary clinton supporters who just can't believe that this man, like you said, has a pathway to the presidency now. >> look, there are seven or eight states that are going to determine the outcome here. there are outliers that come into play. if you slot trump ohio. slot him north carolina. slot him nevada. then florida becomes critical. i've been here for a couple days now. this state is as alw

we're hours from polls opening for the state primary. we have complete team coverage of all the big races. shelley: the community comes together to show unity for a mosque that experienced vandalism. mike: our next chance of rain. tom: flat tire? no problem. how this hitchhike to her own ceremony. >> no one covers new hampshire like we do. the now, wmur news 9 tonight. shelley: we head to commitment 2016 coverage tonight. we are now just hours away from the first votes in the new hampshire primary. good monday evening, i'm shelley walcott. tom: and i'm tom griffith. there's a number of races on the ballots but tonight we're going to focus on five big races across the state starting with sexton following the republican race for governor. adam? adam: republicans haven't held the corner office in concord in a decade but they're excited about their chances in 2016. they just have to figure out who will be running in november first. at weed family automotive in concord, jeanie forrester talked with a team that knows a thing or two about fixin

state numbers? >> more of mixed bag. let's take look. the last day more than a half dozen pollt today in the state of new hampshire. it is a small electoral prize. we lean at blue right now. you see the third party candidates rounding out the field. if clinton has momentum in new hampshire, she'll take it. another one that will encourage the clinton campaign. sflord a state donald trump must wi for the trump campaign here is one piece of encouraging news. within the margin of error, a statistical tie. because if you go back a month clinton had a small lead is. if perhaps trump momentum there. state of nevada. the latino vote. two big obama victors there. but donald trump very close. 43-40. very happy in the state of nevada. looks like it is going to be competitive to the end. and lastly let me come over to ohio. like florida donald trump can't win without ohio. hillary clinton can. she doesn't want to. look at this new fox news poll. donald trump likes those numbers. 42% to 37. third party candidates lagging. add it up, pretty competitive race. >> when you look deeper what jump

he needs to win every single one of those states that you just polled in, plus florida. en one more. if he wants to either win or tie in the electoral college. he is getting there. but he still has a couple more states he needs. >> we have said that her path to get to 270 is easier. there are more panths to take. clearly, he is on the move. >> definitely on the move. what is troubling about this for hillary clinton is the fact that she has dumped an enormous amount of money in -- nationwide but also in these places in particular. far more than he has in terms of actual spending on ads. she's not able to take control of the message. he still is the master of that. we saw it through the primary but he is still the master of taking control of the message, being the showman, doing it in ways to cause people to cringe, but he is succeeding. >> in nevada, he is up among independents by almost 20 points. same in north carolina. same in ohio. among independents. >> he has had a great two weeks. hillary has had a terrible two weeks. that's one of the ironies. he tends to not gain

state polls and some traditionally republican-leading states are showing an opening for hillary clinton romney carried north carolina in 2012. latest cnn poll showing clinton leading trump 44-43. in right-leading missouri, clinton trails by just one point in the latest monmouth poll. arizona hasn't been blue in two decade. now clinton is behind but in striking distance according to cnn's polls. even if clinton doesn't win the traditionally red states it could force republicans to divert resources from their typical strong holds and that could be the strategy behind clinton reaching out to deep red states like utah where she wrote an op ed and the campaign opened a field office. "politico" notes that even in south carolina, polls have shown another unexpectedly tight contest. close races may force trump's hand to redouble efforts in states romney won by double digits in 2012 and leave his choices of skpabding the map very thin. pt panel is back. michael, polly and steve. steve, let me start with you. do you think trump is falling for a trick here or do you think he needs to be in the sta

where the unrest has been happening in the state of north carolina a fox news poll shows, donald trump is leading hillary clinton by five points in that battleground state. 45 to 40. now look what happened when you add in libertarian gary johnson who has six percent, and jill stein is not on the ballot. carl cameron is right outside philadelphia. good to see you. >> reporter: donald trump is making an emphasis on being tough on law and order, making sure the crackdown on crime and this -- these latest shootings some the riots ensued have most testify it in live caught his attention. his suggestion about whether or not to do stop and frisk, which was originally called stop, question and frisk in new york city, has already engendered a certain opt of criticism. the white house says it is not a solution. democrats opinion out that the federal judge in new york in 2013 who decided it was unconstitutional and at that point was formally stopped put the chief of police, mike kelly, was very aggressively winding it down in the 'obelief that numbers were going down. trump argues what is happeni

state. so we get the national polls that say one thing and then some state polls that say another. how should peoplek those? >> right. the poll watchers' guide to this is first watch the states. obviously that's what matters. this is a state-by-state election, you have to win in the electoral college. what you also get out of states is much more detail about that voter turnout, because you can see particular groups, whether it's young voters or whether it's older voters, and national polls, that weather vane on top of the barn. you can see which way the wind is blowing, but what you really need is a much more detailed of states. >> dickerson: so it's more important for purposes of a campaign that we know how african americans in say pennsylvania are going to behave than the general national picture about african-americans, right? >> exactly. and sometimes when you see movement in the national polls, the trouble is you don't know where it's coming from. so it might be coming from a key state like pennsylvania, but it could just as well be coming from that california or texas where we

-by-state snapshots are more important. what matters more? national pollse-by-state examinations? what dictate the outcome -- state polls or what dictate the outcome of election day. national polls are important to look at. there are not do from the state polls and 10 to sometimes reflect a trend. this poll is very good news since it is the first poll since the republican convention in july that shows him leading. is one poll, the vast majority have hillary clinton leading but this could be the beginning of a trend. that is moving in donald trump's favor and it could substantially tighten the race. you still have to give hillary clinton the edge because she is ahead in almost the battleground states. >> are people sold or is this about the collapse in hillary clinton's favorability and trustworthy numbers? and the drip of news about e-mails and clinton foundation stories. is this about him or her? combinationt is a of both. secretary clinton has been largely absent from public appearances. she was raising an impressive $140 million. a lot of stories about h

these state polls are very important. >> things are getting better for trump, just as they are nationally. there's no doubt the polls have closed a little bit in the last few weeks. and clearly this -- what you see on the screen is the most important thing right now. for trump to win, he's going to have to win all the states that mitt romney won. on top of that, he's going have to win pennsylvania, florida, and ohio. unless those states work out for him, he's not going to win. >> the reason we put up the one, some of the averages in those states are back to the beginning of august or end of july. next up, do you know what aleppo is? one of the presidents who wants to be president finds out the to be president finds out the hard way today, next. this is the new comfort food. and it starts with foster farms simply raised chicken. california grown with no antibiotics ever. let's get comfortable with our food again. >>> what would you do if you were elected about aleppo? >> about? >> aleppo. >> and what is aleppo? >> aleppo is in syria. it's the epicenter of the refugee crisis. >> okay, got i

when you do these type of longitudinal polling, they don't accurately reflect the real kind of state aces as of today. >> it's a fair point. based on the polling we've seen too. >> brad, do you want to tell him he's wrong now? is that -- >> this is really the narrative of the republican party, is that the polls are all wrong and that this is something that, as we parse apart some of the details, it makes a difference. but when you look at the 50,000 view and see what's going on across the country, and why is this happening, and why are these traditional red states looking more purple and possibly blue, it's because the rank and file republicans themselves are running from donald trump. and they're stating publicly, that they're going to vote for hillary clinton. >> if you go deep into that cnn poll earlier today, you find that donald trump has locked down 90% of republican voters. hillary clinton has locked down 92% of democratic voters. but if that's true, he's closed the loop on that. >> and you have in a lot of these states, double-digit votes in pennsylvania and ohio. you have dou

polls. it is the state by state polls. especially in the battleground states. you're donald trump, have they tightened you have necessary of now. the answer as of now is no. which explains why the republican nominee is in pennsylvania today. cnn is updating his electoral outlook. as of today the road to 270 electoral votes still looks easier for hillary clinton. cnn is shifting iowa from battleground territory to leans republican. that means we think the hawkeye state by president obama won twice is now swinging decidedly towards mr. trump. two states, maine and nebraska, award theirs by congressional district. today we're awarding a district in each of those states a battleground. if you add up those leaning blue and those solidly in clinton's camp she is at 272 as of right now. trump is at 196. if the map were to hold and trump wins the 70 electoral college votes still up for grabs in florida, ohio, nevada, north carolina and those two congressional districts in nebraska and maine, which is entirely possible, all of that still would not be enough. he needs pe

with this you have donald trump up five points in a battleground state poll in the state of ohio. but the numbers are really all over the map. you have a separate poll, a national poll showing hillary clinton up by five points. by the way, beyond clinton and trump it is not looking good for johnson. he needs 15% in major polls by the middle of september. here we are basically count gary johnson out i'm really good at war. i love war in a certain way. i know more about isis than the generals do, believe me. nuclear, just the power the devastation, is very important to me. i want to be unpredictable, unpredictable, unpredictable, unpredictable. >>> welcome to "dish nation" over here b.r.a.t. of course we've got portia williams over here. listen, we come away, buckle your seat, let's go. ?? ?? >> okay. what's up, everybody? welcome to "dish nation." football just started and we're bowl. we'll have the dallas team on a little later to get more into that. also nay, a rivera is dropping major bomb shells about her relationship with big sean. that is really juicy. first amber rose is defe

our state polls, some national polls now have it at 93, 94, 95% of republicans saying they are certaingoing to vote for donald trump. so, coalescing the conservative base, obviously a concern, but this helps with that. >> it does help. but i think david is right. this is about cruz much more than it is about trump. and when he says it makes him a little cynical, i would have to say that that's an understatement. should make you very cynical. i love the way that cruz said after searching his conscience. whenever a politician says he is searching his conscience, can you assume it was a quick search of a very small space i'm not saying anything personal about cruz. but, remember, he and trump were the outsiders. and what was their calling card from the very beginning? we don't act like the washington insiders. we don't scratch each other's back. we speak our conscience. et. well, it turns out in the end that they do what you would expect of any other candidates which is why -- i mean, i don't denounce them or deplore what they are doing here. this is business as usual. but weren't they th

. >> the republican nominee build ping momentum in that state. polling at 45 percent to clinton's 37 percent. we are covering all of the news "happening now". thank you. >> donald trump picking up in the polls. we'll look at the path to the electoral college victory in november. >> and major flooding making streets rivers. >> and couldn't get. it we made it. and how much safer are airline passengers after the miracle landing on the hudson. if the government follows through on safety recommendations. it is all "happening now". >> but we begin with donald trump building momentum in the battleground state of iowa he leading hillary clinton up by eight points. that is way up. welcome to the second hour of "happening now". i am jon scott. >> i am jenna lee. 45 percent of the voters support trump and 37 percent back clinton. it is a state that trump lost to ted cruz in the caucus. >> and they are unveiling new details for an economic vision of america. he had a speech here in new york. peter? >> reporter: jenna, mr. trump said he's not running to be president

john micek, i want viewers to look at the screen with some poll numbers from swing states. it shows trump with some momentum. is it easy to overanalyze, though, these polls? >> you know, i think so. i mean, we're still what 50 some odd days out, but it's a good barometer. look at a state like pennsylvania, sheinelle, the last quinnipiac poll had hillary clinton up by five points. that's a good barometer. we can look at a state like ohio, too, if hillary clinton wins pennsylvania, if she wins ohio, it's pretty much game over. so i mean, as long as we see some con sis tense in the lead in those states, that's a good sign for her trump has pulled so close means they're going to have to do a little more work and we're seeing that already secretary clinton returning to pennsylvania in the coming week. we had president obama in philadelphia last week. there's been a real concentration on the state by the campaign. >> you mentioned ohio. john harwood, let's talk about ohio. take a listen to what governor john kasich told my colleague chuck todd in an interview that will air on "mee

. >> polls show clinton leading in both national and swing state polls. but polls show the race getting closer. with the election less than ten weeks away. >> topping your news across america. a mother demanding answers from jet phru. after her son was put on the wrong plane. from the dr. >> . she says her five year-old was supposed to head to new york. but he ended up in boston. her son and the other boy were put on the wrong flights. her lawyer says the mix up happened because the other child was carrying her sons passport. when they found out the city expected them to foot the bills for their impounded cars -fpls they called us. now the city is changing its mind. >> >> it was bad enough when the family car was stolen. back in april. they found it a couple days later. but police asked them to hold off retrieving it so surveillance and catch the thief. police got into a shoot out and killed the suspect. 46 rounds hit the honda. destroying it. the car was impounded for 4 months during the investigation. and this week police left a message for the family. s

we're also getting several key battle ground state polls, brianna, polls taken after the debate. at are they showing? >> that's right. these are the states that are really going to determine who ends up being in the white house. so we're looking at the florida poll, we see hillary clinton leading donald trump by four points. when we look at the michigan poll, she's got a very comfortable lead there, seven points. and when you go to new hampshire, another comfortable lead at seven points, as well. and then in nevada, she's up six points. that's a bit of a turn around where she was weeks ago. donald trump was actually leading her in some polls here. and it also speaks to i think how she's trying to build on this. she had bernie sanders in new hampshire with her this week. he's going to be in michigan sometime soon. elizabeth warren is going to be in nevada next week. so she's getting a bump out of the debate, of course. there are many other obstacles to go ahead still, the vice presidential debate, still two presidential debates and weeks to go before the election. >> brianna keilar

but what is really interesting, shannon, are these state polls. s take a look at iowa, out today. iow iowa monmouth poll, trump up eight in iowa there, and it is a move of a number of points in just a short period of time. and then you take a look, you got iowa there? monmouth? any way, you take a look at ohio, there monmouth university, and you have trump up. clearly, this is a move. >> well, it is interesting, like george said. you try to figure out, is it a trend, is it a one off. what's happening here. because as we have been covering this for more than a year, watching the primaries, the debates, the back and forth, the fact is a lot of people don't start paying attention until labor day, that's the traditional time that the rest of the country tunes in. is some of the information new to them. bad timing for the clinton campaign that she had this illness, there are more revelations regarding the e-mail situation. is it all peaking at the right time for trump. there is voting as we know, absentee voting and so with the polls, knowing they could

four new major battleground state polls. >> they show us, anderson, as the national poll showed us the other night, a tightening race as we go into the final 60 days. quinnipiac university, in pennsylvania, a few state for the democrats in presidential politics going back to the '80s. yes, clinton leads but by just five points. in ohio, republicans don't win the presidency without it. donald trump up four points in the quinnipiac polling. north carolina, obama won it in 2008 and lost it to romney in 2012. four-point clinton lead there. close competitive race. florida, the closest of all the states in 2012, a tie. the third-party candidates are included here. gary johnson, 14% in ohio, 15% in north carolina. we'll see if his lack of syrian knowledge will hurt him. one thing they're doing is lowering the finish line. the leaders in the mid-40s. that could affect the dynamics. >> for weeks we've been talking about the advantage has when it comes to the state-by-state outlook. is that no longer the case? >> no question when you look at battleground states like colorado, virginia, still adv

the swing state polls have gotten tighter and tighter in favor of donald trump.iana cohen and gina loudon as well as boyd mathis. gina let me start with you. this is one of those anticipated events. i care member and longtime certainly in politics maybe ever. >> yes it is and if you go back and look at the 1960s which was the first televised debate between kennedy and nixon we have learned from back, that people who watch debates are the most compelled by the person with the biggest personality and whom they deem has most integrity, completely different from how people perceive things when and i can only listen. a wealth -- this will play to mr. trump's -- that hillary clinton has hired a psychologist to corner trump psychologically into what she hopes is unfit from an emotional standpoint so she will try to trap him that. he will have to be ready for some. tough situations that she will try to put them in. charles: some people are worried about the moderators and in this case lester holt. from everything i know he is highly respected but the mainstream media and

and state polls often lag behind the national polls.national polls continue to show a closer and closer race, you're going to see the state polls. and that's actually, to bob's point, how you win the electoral state, which means turnout matters. who comes to vote actually matters. let's keep in mind no third-term democrat has occurred since before world war ii. hillary clinton has never -- has quite a challenge in that we don't typically give democrats a third term. >> unless you think they are doing a good job. >> which we haven't had. when's the last time that happened? it happ hasn't happened in over a century. >> that's what people say. we're in historic times. anything could happen. david, robert, great to have you both. >> thank you very much. >>> a fox business alert for you. all eyes on the dow after the labor day weekend. new questions about whether the fed will raise interest rates any time soon. fox business network's adam schapiro is live on the floor of the new york stock exchange. >> one of the reasons the dow is up at thi

this november - you'll have to settle for the "i voted" stickers -- because in most states - polling booth photos are not allowed. a new hampshire legislator got in trouble for his own ballot picture recently.. the state is defending the photo ban in federal court - saying it helps prevent voter fraud -- by making it harder for people to trade their only 9 states appear to allow voting booth selfies. colorado is not one of them. at the white house today - president obama will meet with the leader of burma. the two leaders are expected to talk about greater commecial ties between the u-s and burma -- which is also known as myanmar. there will also be a meeting with secretary of state john kerry. edward snowden, who famously leaked classified government information - will appear in new york today -- via video conference. he's still in russ, granted asylum... snowden is part of campaign urging president obama to pardon him.. the movement is supported by the a-c-l-u, amnesty international, and human rights watch - among others. we've seen and talked to some teachers! later this morning -

but what is really interesting, shannon, are these state polls. s take a look at iowa, out today. iow iowa monmouth poll, trump up eight in iowa there, and it is a move of a number of points in just a short period of time. and then you take a look, you got iowa there? monmouth? any way, you take a look at ohio, there monmouth university, and you have trump up. clearly, this is a move. >> well, it is interesting, like george said. you try to figure out, is it a trend, is it a one off. what's happening here. because as we have been covering this for more than a year, watching the primaries, the debates, the back and forth, the fact is a lot of people don't start paying attention until labor day, that's the traditional time that the rest of the country tunes in. is some of the information new to them. bad timing for the clinton campaign that she had this illness, there are more revelations regarding the e-mail situation. is it all peaking at the right time for trump. there is voting as we know, absentee voting and so with the polls, knowing they could

state. so i would say looking at that, i would rather be hillary clinton than donald trump. a lot of the polls it's possible that he could move people in ohio. it's possible he could move people in iowa in states that have large white population, but to your point about labor day, that's typically true, but we've had a campaign that people have been actually really engaged in and the usa today poll today i think 10% were undecided. so it's not the way it usually is where people are just tuning in and starting to make decisions. people are starting to make decisions. >> paul, you look at these numbers and you're a super pac. are you happy? >> no. i'm not going to be happy until i see her sworn in. they pay me to worry. >> you would rather be your candidate rather than donald trump? >> yes. would it rather be us than them. >> but andre is right and it will tighten up and i think we'll probably before it's oversee polls where they're neck and neck. king is right to start looking at states more and that's certainly what i'm doing and hillary has lots of paths to 270. lots. she could win the easter

there's a lot of concern in the state of ohio about whether donald trump can poll the number of republicans who needs to win in this state. at least here in clinton county, they're excited about donald trump, ashley. >> phil mattingly, i'm hearing that famous song behind you, that signals the handshakes and the wrap-up. i guarantee you it's not the wrap-up of the message today. i'll let you continue your work, watching what's happening there. in the meantime i want to bring in shawn spicer, the communications director and chief strategist for the republican national committee. you have been busy. >> not as by si as donald trump, four speeches in 24 hours. >> pretty remarkable. >> he spoke in mexico, gave the immigration speech last night, got up this morning and spoke to the american legion and now is having a rally. >> i need a nap. >> tires you out trying to keep up with his schedule. >> enthusiasm unquestionably. you see these rallies and there's massive enthusiasm. but the message was different. he didn't say the things when he was with the mexican president. there's a narrative that ha

it was what matters are the state polls. she's holding a lead in pennsylvania and new hampshire but trump is ahead in ohio and florida. in new york he boasted about these numbers. >> the polls are coming out. it's a good feeling. anchor: drums campaign released today. he is overweight for his height. he takes a staten but his liver and thyroid function is in the normal range. he says he has the stamina to endure the presidential campaign. he is speaking in new hampshire tonight. anchor: a break in tradition and new hampshire. the union leader is president. this the first time in a century they have not picked a republican. they called donald trump a liar, a bully in the buffoon. the paper endorsed chris christie in the primary. >> drought conditions are worsening. the extreme drought area has expanded. , half of the country dealing with drought conditions. >> i want to point out this. 52% of massachusetts under extreme drought. that is 30% higher than a week ago. this is a two-year drought. that is what has been happening. co

john: your paper made news yesterday when they came out with the 50 state poll.k about that a little bit. right now it suggests that texas and mississippi is a tossup, including texas and arizona. does that comport with your fingertip feel about those states? dan: no, i think we were surprised by those. mississippi is hard to explain. i don't think there is any likelihood that donald trump loses mississippi. texas has been a change in state. democrats have talked about their hope of turning texas blue, as they put it. i still think it is premature. it's not all that unusual in elections ina texas that democrats begin to feel more hopeful. clearly something is stirring. we know that the bushes are not for donald trump. we know ted cruz is not for donald trump. we now know that the dallas morning news is not for donald trump, the first time they have endorsed a democrat since world war ii. so there is something going on in texas. but in the end, texas ends up in trump's column. mark: stripping out all the other variables and if you just watch the last week of them

when you look at battleground state polls, clinton is up by a few points but still leading. let's bring in joe who served as campaign manager and fox news contributor. great to have you both, miniature think tank. let's put the polls aside for a moment because we are going to talk about that over the next several weeks. joe, let's talk about momentum, who has the momentum right now? >> i think it was all going to close after the convention, trump's went away first, hers has gone away now. the country has been so polarized for years that this was always going to be closed in the popular vote and we are seeing that. >> ron, do you see one candidate or the other having the momentum right now? >> well, i think clinton's momentum has been -- now we are seeing the kickoff in fourth quarter at this point and it's going to be a roller coaster going from now until the election. i think the person -- for trump he's got to have to advocate he's the safe-change candidate and try to keep putting the referendum back on hillary clinton on whether or not she's fit to be president and whether

but in battleground state polls, trump is surging: ahead of clinton now in ohio, iowa and north carolina. a tie in florida and colorado. ((natsot: cheerleaders)) hofstra has before. clinton has practiced quick answers. no lectures. but aides say she will call trump dangeroushe has practiced less and staffers don't know if serious trump or name calling attack trump will show up .. .or both.at the big debate(---reporter standup ---) no big stumbles is the goal of both these candidates. they know the history is you can't win the white house at any debate, but you can lose it. i'm steve handelsman, nbc you can see the presidential debate, live, right here on today's tmj-4, starting at eight o'clock. there's word this afternoon that trump's running mate, mike pence, has ?canceled? his visit to waukesha tomorrow. no reason was given. trump is still scheduled to hold a rally at the waukesha county expo center on wednesday. "more local news":the milwaukee common council now has mayor barrett's 20-17 budget proposal. it calls for services like maintaning milwaukee's police force... and removing l

you didn't like what you saw last night with clinton and trump -- >> we have five battleground state polls five polls. i want to run through them. what's really interesting, chris cillizza, they all make sense if you believe the national race is clinton under five right now, all of these. north carolina, trump 44%-41%. if she's up two to four points nationally, trump should be up two to four points in north carolina. let's move quickly to florida. i believe it's the next we have. this is quinnipiac. clinton up four points. okay. if you believe north carolina is turning -- >> by the way -- >> margin of error. let's look at florida, dead even. again, that would make sense with the national numbers. ohio, trump up in the four-way, 41%-37%. considering he's been overperforming. finally, pennsylvania, clinton up five. >> the four states i think that are the closest right now and have been are ohio, florida, iowa and nevada. the problem is if trump wins all those, doesn't work. >> i got to go. guys, thank you much. i'll be back with one more story you might have missed. it's not a banner that go

. >>> donald trump is focusing on midwestern states. polls show the 2 candidates in a dead heat. today he courted polish americans living >> the polish people a people. the trump administration will be a true friend to poland and to all polish americans. >> trump will make a return to arizona on tuesday. he will return to arizona this tuesday at the events center. >>> we have some weather to talk about. mainly south of us. as you can see the storms are up toward maricopa. we have a live picture from the news temper. this is next to maricopa. you can see dust and rain falling in the distance. the storms of moving to the north. if they intensify we could see some blowing dust again across the valley. not as intense as yesterday. there's the blowing dust advisory south of that is until 6 pm. when speeds up around 30 or 35 miles per hour. look at this starting to take shape. we will see if that comes to fruition. a live look outside, calm conditions. will we see rain late tonight? what about the morning commute? we will have your answer. on in our world, would so students are doing f