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Sep 17, 2021
09/21
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steve kornacki breaking down the giants' playoff scene air ye today.he giants have a 76% chance of winning the division. the giants lead the dodgers by one game with 15 games remaining in the regular season. jeff ranieri is here. >> we were in tokyo together. it is lester holt, mike tirico, savannah guthrie, i was there, and steve kornacki. get who everyone wanted to talk to? >> steve kornacki. >> okay. all right. i wasn't sure. he is a rock star. >> that's awesome. how are we looking this week end. >> we have a storm system and eventually this will bring us rainfall. getting into tomorrow morning, we will start off with temperatures in the 50s with fog near the coast and also the bay, but by tomorrow afternoon that sunshine returns and some very comfortable temperatures. 72 in santa rose a. 80, concord. 75 in san jose and 80 at the coast. weekend chances with us for rain. best chance of bay area rain right there on sunday morning with a few spotty showers. highest rainfall totals to the north there, impacting the fire zones, a quarter to three-quarter
steve kornacki breaking down the giants' playoff scene air ye today.he giants have a 76% chance of winning the division. the giants lead the dodgers by one game with 15 games remaining in the regular season. jeff ranieri is here. >> we were in tokyo together. it is lester holt, mike tirico, savannah guthrie, i was there, and steve kornacki. get who everyone wanted to talk to? >> steve kornacki. >> okay. all right. i wasn't sure. he is a rock star. >> that's awesome. how...
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Sep 15, 2021
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we just got -- >> all right, steve kornacki what? >> ventura county, next to l.a., another big one, 800,000 people. 2/3 came in in ventura county, trump was 38, recall is 36%. target for recall to succeed, about 54%. if recall is running 54% in ventura, it's looking good statewide. 36% in the mail vote right now. again we'll see. is there a flood of same day that could move it up dramatically? would have to be extremely drat dramatic. that's the fourth county short of the benchmark. santa clara, overwhelmingly democratic county. bay area here. but again, 22% in the mail, 70% of the vote in. again there's no sign in any of the counties we've seen yet of this recall having any momentum it would need to even get near 50%. one thing i'll say is, could be some regional disparities here. here we go. small one, republican. this is interesting test. this is a more rural, republican friendly county. northern california here. trump got 62% in glenn county, recall running at 68%. probably to succeed statewide has to be in mid to high 70s. it's
we just got -- >> all right, steve kornacki what? >> ventura county, next to l.a., another big one, 800,000 people. 2/3 came in in ventura county, trump was 38, recall is 36%. target for recall to succeed, about 54%. if recall is running 54% in ventura, it's looking good statewide. 36% in the mail vote right now. again we'll see. is there a flood of same day that could move it up dramatically? would have to be extremely drat dramatic. that's the fourth county short of the benchmark....
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Sep 30, 2021
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so we're going to begin with steve kornacki's report. steve, take it away. >> sure, thanks, ari.'re talking about here is the partisan distribution of voters. a couple different ways i go es to look at this. first the map that everybody knows. this is the 2020 election. biden wins. here's the electoral vote. here are the red states, the blue states. you see basically we know democrats concentrated a lot on the west coast, the northeast, somewhat in the west, biden flipped a couple states. in that clip you have michael steele talking about the county states. the 50 states in the country. there is more than 3,100 counties in the united states. so what this map is going to change here in a second, you will see all of the counties in the country. this is the red/blue map four the counties. obviously you see a lot more red here than blue. in the 2020 election, donald trump won more than 2500 counties. again, there is just over 3100 of them. more than 2500 went for donald trump. now, obviously, not every county is the exact same size. here's like a very dramatic example i can give you.
so we're going to begin with steve kornacki's report. steve, take it away. >> sure, thanks, ari.'re talking about here is the partisan distribution of voters. a couple different ways i go es to look at this. first the map that everybody knows. this is the 2020 election. biden wins. here's the electoral vote. here are the red states, the blue states. you see basically we know democrats concentrated a lot on the west coast, the northeast, somewhat in the west, biden flipped a couple states....
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we'll have more on it in a bit with steve kornacki at the big board. of course once those votes come in, right, they get counted and we go through the mechanics of the election, the actual mechanics of which how you go from votes being cast to the winner being certified, you know, that's kind of opaque. we think of it just as a process where, you know, people cast their votes and then some stuff happens and then we get the final number and the person with the most votes wins. we learned last year that it's more complicated than that. there's an entire process. it's staffed by people, you know, overwhelmingly anonymous folks, volunteers who essentially act as guardians of democracy at key pressure points along the way. and we take them for granted. we count on these guardians to do what they're supposed to do. they oversee the polling places and count the votes accurately and certify the winner. but if you have an anti-democrat would-be authoritarian like donald trump with an anti-democratic movement committed to overturning a democratic election then a
we'll have more on it in a bit with steve kornacki at the big board. of course once those votes come in, right, they get counted and we go through the mechanics of the election, the actual mechanics of which how you go from votes being cast to the winner being certified, you know, that's kind of opaque. we think of it just as a process where, you know, people cast their votes and then some stuff happens and then we get the final number and the person with the most votes wins. we learned last...
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Sep 14, 2021
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steve kornacki, msnbc's political correspondent.thank you so much for being here tonight. i really appreciate it. >> happy to do it, rachel. i hope i don't disappoint. i'll do my best. i'll put it that way. i hope the bar isn't too high there. >> tell me about -- i mean, the recall thing in california, the history of it, the sort of narrative history of it, it's so bizarre. it's so easy to start a recall effort. actually getting somebody successfully recalled, though, is pretty difficult at the statewide level. ballpark figure, just first question, how likely do you think based on the polling it looks that newsom is to actually survive this recall effort and what are the kind of variables you're looking for? >> gavin newsom tonight has got to be hoping the polls are right because if the polls are at all accurate in this thing gavin newsom's going to survive tomorrow. what we can show you here, these are all the most recent polls. this is basically the final week of the campaign. when you see keep here, keep newsom, do not recall, no
steve kornacki, msnbc's political correspondent.thank you so much for being here tonight. i really appreciate it. >> happy to do it, rachel. i hope i don't disappoint. i'll do my best. i'll put it that way. i hope the bar isn't too high there. >> tell me about -- i mean, the recall thing in california, the history of it, the sort of narrative history of it, it's so bizarre. it's so easy to start a recall effort. actually getting somebody successfully recalled, though, is pretty...
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Sep 7, 2021
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steve kornacki is at the big board. great to see you. give us the numbers. at the moment? >> hey, hallie, it changed. let me take you through it. the backdrop in california, when newsom was elected in 2018, it was a landslide for him. 24 points over his republican opponent, almost always a landslide for democrats. state that joe biden carried by 29 points over donald trump. one of the bluest states in the country. and this recall is playing out. you look at polls three weeks ago, the recall looked like something close to a 50/50 race. these are the most recent polls that we have. within the last ten days. keep, meaning keep gavin newsom as governor, don't recall him. you see the newsom side has been winning in every recent poll. not just that, you see a bunch of these clocking in in double digits. if you average everything together that's out there now, newsom's side, keep newsom as governor, now with a double digit lead on average in the race. couple things have changed the last couple of weeks. democrats paid a lot more attention, you are talking about tha
steve kornacki is at the big board. great to see you. give us the numbers. at the moment? >> hey, hallie, it changed. let me take you through it. the backdrop in california, when newsom was elected in 2018, it was a landslide for him. 24 points over his republican opponent, almost always a landslide for democrats. state that joe biden carried by 29 points over donald trump. one of the bluest states in the country. and this recall is playing out. you look at polls three weeks ago, the...
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which means should we talk to steve kornacki about how the polls look.we are live from earth one tonight, and every night, watch this space. space space and ask your doctor about biktarvy. biktarvy is a complete, one-pill, once-a-day treatment used for h-i-v in certain adults. it's not a cure, but with one small pill, biktarvy fights h-i-v to help you get to and stay undetectable. that's when the amount of virus is so low it cannot be measured by a lab test. research shows people who take h-i-v treatment every day and get to and stay undetectable can no longer transmit h-i-v through sex. serious side effects can occur, including kidney problems and kidney failure. rare, life-threatening side effects include a buildup of lactic acid and liver problems. do not take biktarvy if you take dofetilide or rifampin. tell your doctor about all the medicines and supplements you take, if you are pregnant or breastfeeding, or if you have kidney or liver problems, including hepatitis. if you have hepatitis b, do not stop taking biktarvy without talking to your doctor.
which means should we talk to steve kornacki about how the polls look.we are live from earth one tonight, and every night, watch this space. space space and ask your doctor about biktarvy. biktarvy is a complete, one-pill, once-a-day treatment used for h-i-v in certain adults. it's not a cure, but with one small pill, biktarvy fights h-i-v to help you get to and stay undetectable. that's when the amount of virus is so low it cannot be measured by a lab test. research shows people who take h-i-v...
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Sep 17, 2021
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is riveted over the giants race with the dodgers, even steve kornacki. >> things are getting very tight. the giants still with the lead. what does our computer model think about it? good news if you're a giants fan. >> it's awesome. watching him work the big board. the man with the khaki pants has spoken. coming into today's game, his big board showed the giants have a 76% chance of winning the division. it will be close. the giants lead the dodgers by one game with 15 remaining in the regular season. today in china basin, not so good. the giants wrapping tim four-game run. the padres run 7-4. so what happens tomorrow? the giants and the braves. this is a possible playoff match-up. you can watch the game right here on nbc bay area. our coverage begins at 6:30 in the evening. >>> the a's are still trying to kick and claw their way into the playoffs this afternoon in kansas city. this is chad pinder with the two-run single. the a's beat the royals 7-2. 16 games remaining. we're back in a moment. >>> clearing the shelters is our goal this week at nbc bay area and telemundo 48. we're teamin
is riveted over the giants race with the dodgers, even steve kornacki. >> things are getting very tight. the giants still with the lead. what does our computer model think about it? good news if you're a giants fan. >> it's awesome. watching him work the big board. the man with the khaki pants has spoken. coming into today's game, his big board showed the giants have a 76% chance of winning the division. it will be close. the giants lead the dodgers by one game with 15 remaining in...
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Sep 17, 2021
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. >>> up next, the man with the khaki pants, steve kornacki, our political guru at nbc, weighs in. another day, another chance. make the most of it with the network that can deliver gig speeds to the most businesses. and get the advanced cybersecurity solutions you need with comcast business securityedge. ask how to get comcast business securityedge to help protect all your connected devices. and get started with a great offer on fast and reliable internet and voice for just $64.99 a month. plus, ask how to get a prepaid card up to $500. call or go online today to learn more. comcast business. powering possibilities. attention, california. new federal funding of $3 billion is available to help more people pay for health insurance — no matter what your income. how much is yours? julie and bob are paying $700 less, every month. dee got comprehensive coverage for only $1 a month. and the navarros are paying less than $100 a month. check coveredca.com to see your new, lower price. the sooner you sign up the more you save. only at covered california. this way to health insurance. tasha,
. >>> up next, the man with the khaki pants, steve kornacki, our political guru at nbc, weighs in. another day, another chance. make the most of it with the network that can deliver gig speeds to the most businesses. and get the advanced cybersecurity solutions you need with comcast business securityedge. ask how to get comcast business securityedge to help protect all your connected devices. and get started with a great offer on fast and reliable internet and voice for just $64.99 a...
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Sep 14, 2021
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steve kornacki.s always it's wonderful to have you on tonight. >> thank you, rachel. >> much more to get to tonight. stay with us. uch more to get tot stay with us is suggesting. is suggesting. >>> the town of cullman is in north alabama right between birmingham and huntsville. the local paper there is the "cullman times." and a few days ago the story that led their print edition was an obituary. antiques and auctioneering. businessman ray demonia remembered for community service. it's their lead story. and there's a reason it was at the top of the paper. he was clearly a beloved local figure. for decades he'd been dealing antiques and hosting auctions in cullman, alabama. many of them for charity. the paper printed a great old photo of him hosting an auction in his younger days and included an excerpt from a profile the "cullman times" had done about him a decade ago. it said, "his showmanship makes for a fun day, watching him encourage, cajole, and entice his audience is a thing of beauty. he knows
steve kornacki.s always it's wonderful to have you on tonight. >> thank you, rachel. >> much more to get to tonight. stay with us. uch more to get tot stay with us is suggesting. is suggesting. >>> the town of cullman is in north alabama right between birmingham and huntsville. the local paper there is the "cullman times." and a few days ago the story that led their print edition was an obituary. antiques and auctioneering. businessman ray demonia remembered for...
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Sep 7, 2021
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steve kornacki live at the big board with the latest on the state of the race.te of the race. h moderate to severe psoriasis, or psoriatic arthritis, are rethinking the choices they make like the splash they create the way they exaggerate the surprises they initiate. otezla. it's a choice you can make. otezla is not an injection or a cream it's a pill that treats differently. for psoriasis, 75% clearer skin is achievable, with reduced redness, thickness, and scaliness of plaques. for psoriatic arthritis, otezla is proven to reduce joint swelling, tenderness, and pain. and the otezla prescribing information has no requirement for routine lab monitoring. don't use if you're allergic to otezla. it may cause severe diarrhea, nausea, or vomiting. otezla is associated with an increased risk of depression. tell your doctor if you have a history of depression or suicidal thoughts or if these feelings develop. some people taking otezla reported weight loss. your doctor should monitor your weight and may stop treatment. upper respiratory tract infection and headache may o
steve kornacki live at the big board with the latest on the state of the race.te of the race. h moderate to severe psoriasis, or psoriatic arthritis, are rethinking the choices they make like the splash they create the way they exaggerate the surprises they initiate. otezla. it's a choice you can make. otezla is not an injection or a cream it's a pill that treats differently. for psoriasis, 75% clearer skin is achievable, with reduced redness, thickness, and scaliness of plaques. for psoriatic...
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Sep 13, 2021
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i want to bring in steve kornacki. first, i want to go to gu add ven aig as.s. talk about turnout. a recall election like this is all about who is paying attention and casting votes. zblmt exactly. the latino vote is important. 30% of registered voters are latina or hispanic. the issue is participation. you look at public numbers, public policy institute estimates 50% are registered democrats, an estimate only 21% likely to vote in the election. all numbers indicate there is support for the democrats and support for gavin newsom in the latino community. in 2018, an exit poll revealed 64% of latinos voted for gavin newsom. the problem is getting members of the community to come out and vote. give you an example. two days ago i was at a barbershop, and the recall election came up. almost everyone in there said they supported gavin newsom, although they weren't super happy they did support him. we talked about the recall election, whether they were going to go out and vote, all of them said they hadn't voted, didn't know if they would vote, it wasn't a priority.
i want to bring in steve kornacki. first, i want to go to gu add ven aig as.s. talk about turnout. a recall election like this is all about who is paying attention and casting votes. zblmt exactly. the latino vote is important. 30% of registered voters are latina or hispanic. the issue is participation. you look at public numbers, public policy institute estimates 50% are registered democrats, an estimate only 21% likely to vote in the election. all numbers indicate there is support for the...
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that is what we will be doing county after county less than an hour from now. >> steve kornacki, it will be very difficult to maintain sus speaks about this outcome with what we are getting on the exit polls. i appreciate you starting us off, steve. >> thanks. >>> we are joined by mayor robert garcia from orange beach, california, and also with us david blouf, and msnbc political analyst and former democratic senator from california, barbara boxer. let me start with you, senator boxer. you know the state so well. you have won statewide. you know what it is like to do that. this exit poll information about a 56% approval rate for joe biden among today's voters, people physically going to the polls today, seems to indicate this is a very, very strong electorate for gavin newsom. >> it definitely sounds that way, but, you know, i think david is the one who is the numbers guy. but i'm just the person who is on the ballot a lot, and i want to point out that i lost my first race. mayor, you are probably too young to have ever lost a race i think, but this whole sore loser party thing is unbeli
that is what we will be doing county after county less than an hour from now. >> steve kornacki, it will be very difficult to maintain sus speaks about this outcome with what we are getting on the exit polls. i appreciate you starting us off, steve. >> thanks. >>> we are joined by mayor robert garcia from orange beach, california, and also with us david blouf, and msnbc political analyst and former democratic senator from california, barbara boxer. let me start with you,...
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leading off our election coverage once again at this hour, msnbc national political correspondent steve kornacki. steve, what are the latest numbers? >> you got him right here lawrence. basically two thirds of the vote now in statewide. it's 2 to 1. no, almost a three vote difference to the. yes in the last two weeks of this campaign, the polling was suggesting that there was a pretty significant shift against the recall. they were all asking the question, we remember 2020, remember 2016, they were asking hey could the polls be wrong again? if anything, when you look at these results, the polls may have undersold the opposition to this recall. you can expect these numbers to change some, as the final votes are counted in. here because what's left to, come the remaining one third of the vote in the, state a lot of votes that were cast, today same day votes, people who went up to the polls and voted on election, they tends to be a more republican group. in a lot of people in california, they have a male batted at home, they drop it off on the day of the election, and it gets into the election offi
leading off our election coverage once again at this hour, msnbc national political correspondent steve kornacki. steve, what are the latest numbers? >> you got him right here lawrence. basically two thirds of the vote now in statewide. it's 2 to 1. no, almost a three vote difference to the. yes in the last two weeks of this campaign, the polling was suggesting that there was a pretty significant shift against the recall. they were all asking the question, we remember 2020, remember 2016,...
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. >>> we actually before we got on the air tonight went to steve kornacki, our election guru, and askedhich i think is instructive and helpful for the rest of the night. he said, quote, we're going to learn a lot very quickly as soon as the polls close in california. most of the voting is done by mail and has been coming in for weeks. the counties are allowed to count that vote in advance and just about all of them will release everything they've counted so far within minutes of the polls closing. it, therefore, won't be that long after 11:00 p.m. eastern time until we learn a lot about where this is going. again, the election -- excuse me, the votes have been coming in by mail for weeks in most parts of california. elections boards are allowed to count those votes when they come in, they're just not allowed to say what's in them, what the results are, until the polls close. the polls close in about an hour. steve kornacki will be on live with lawrence o'donnell at the top of the next hour and we will be living covering that as the results come in all nigh. watch this space. l nigh watc
. >>> we actually before we got on the air tonight went to steve kornacki, our election guru, and askedhich i think is instructive and helpful for the rest of the night. he said, quote, we're going to learn a lot very quickly as soon as the polls close in california. most of the voting is done by mail and has been coming in for weeks. the counties are allowed to count that vote in advance and just about all of them will release everything they've counted so far within minutes of the...
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steve kornacki, break down the numbers for us. republicans clearly fell short. why did they think they had a chance? >> it was a steep challenge, that's worth keeping in mind. this is a deeply democratic state that joe biden won by nearly 30 points last year. it's a state that gavin newsom won by 25 when he first got elected in 2018. you saw the democratic messaging, you saw biden come into california on election eve, democrats basically were just trying to recreate that same divide that lifted biden to the big win last november. you look at the map and the margin, 70% of the vote in. i don't think these numbers are going to change too much with what's left. so essentially democrats succeeded in their mission. when it was trump/biden last year it was biden 63, trump 34. right now you see no on the raul, 64, 36. you see the purple counties are the counties voting against it, the orange counties are the counties voting for it. let me flip over and show you what trump/biden looked like. it's the same split. you go inside these counties and really it looks -- to giv
steve kornacki, break down the numbers for us. republicans clearly fell short. why did they think they had a chance? >> it was a steep challenge, that's worth keeping in mind. this is a deeply democratic state that joe biden won by nearly 30 points last year. it's a state that gavin newsom won by 25 when he first got elected in 2018. you saw the democratic messaging, you saw biden come into california on election eve, democrats basically were just trying to recreate that same divide that...
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today nbc news political guru steve kornacki worked his big board magic crunching the numbers on thescenario. there are 15 games left in the regular season, and the giants lead the dodgers by one game. can they hold on and win the division? >> what does our computer model think of their chances of hanging on to that lead for the rest of the season? good news if you've a giants fan. the computer model still likes the giants' chances to emerge here, a little better than 75%. 76.4% chance of the giants hanging on winning the division. why that rosy of an outlook? one thing has to do with where the teams are playing the rest of the season. >> we can say it, no one cares. he says it, we all listen. >> i love him on those graphics. he's great on election night, he's great at predicting baseball. >> 70% is the takeaway of the giants winning the division. you can watch the giants right here tomorrow night. today they lost to the padres. watch them tomorrow night when they play the braves. coverage begins at 6:30 in the evening. >> orange friday right here on nbc bay area. >>> right now at 6:
today nbc news political guru steve kornacki worked his big board magic crunching the numbers on thescenario. there are 15 games left in the regular season, and the giants lead the dodgers by one game. can they hold on and win the division? >> what does our computer model think of their chances of hanging on to that lead for the rest of the season? good news if you've a giants fan. the computer model still likes the giants' chances to emerge here, a little better than 75%. 76.4% chance of...
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. >> steve kornacki thank you so much for being on this morning and watching this race. let's bring in white house reporter for the associated press, jonathan lemire, and cofounder and ceo of axios, jim vandehei, great to have you both with us. jonathan la, i want to start with you. did kamala harris spend a lot of time in california. >> certainly the vice president did visit her home state, and to support the governor there. once political rivals, interestingly enough but now certainly lodged on the same team, and we know that of course the president himself was out there monday night, the eve of the recall election. there had certainly been some concern, the white house, you know, a couple of months ago when the race got national attention as steve talked about, the polls dropped that showed a far closer race than people would have anticipated in such a deep blue state. that worry eased in recent days. the polling was trending newsom's day. i woke up to messages this morning, they think the fact that the covid messaging was so strong for newsom, people were supporting
. >> steve kornacki thank you so much for being on this morning and watching this race. let's bring in white house reporter for the associated press, jonathan lemire, and cofounder and ceo of axios, jim vandehei, great to have you both with us. jonathan la, i want to start with you. did kamala harris spend a lot of time in california. >> certainly the vice president did visit her home state, and to support the governor there. once political rivals, interestingly enough but now...
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we now go live to election headquarters to our number cruncher, steve kornacki, still standing by since last november. steve, what do you have for us? ( laughter ) dasmen it! i told you! i forget to feed him! ( laughter ) should have got him one of those cat fountains. ( laughter ) this audit is a crushing humiliation for the gop, because not only was biden found to be the winner again, but the search for fraudulent ballots actually yielded 99 additional votes for biden and 261 fewer votes for the former president. ( cheers and applause ) wow! wow! he leal did get tired of winning. ( laughter ) the audit was conducted by a firm called cyber ninjas, who had no history or expertise in the area and whose c.e.o., enorsed wild conspiracy theories that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from former president the former president. so they hired maga fans and even they couldn't say 45 won. that's like hiring your mom to judge the handsomest boy contest and still losing to a 78 year old guy from delaware. ( laughter ) ( cheers and applause ) good looking man, though. fine looking. >> jon: m
we now go live to election headquarters to our number cruncher, steve kornacki, still standing by since last november. steve, what do you have for us? ( laughter ) dasmen it! i told you! i forget to feed him! ( laughter ) should have got him one of those cat fountains. ( laughter ) this audit is a crushing humiliation for the gop, because not only was biden found to be the winner again, but the search for fraudulent ballots actually yielded 99 additional votes for biden and 261 fewer votes for...
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. >> leading off our election color tips at this hour, msnbc national corresponded steve kornacki, steve what are the latest numbers? >> we got him like here lawrence, basically two thirds of the votes wide instate, it is 2 to 1, almost a 3 million vote difference leading yes in this thing. in the last two weeks of this campaign, the polling was suggesting that there was a pretty significant shift against the recall, they were all asking the question, we remember 2020, we remember 2016. we were asking the question, could the polls be wrong? again if anything when you look at these results, the polls may have undersold the opposition to this recall. because you can expect these numbers to change some, as the final vote aren't counted in here. because what's left to come the remaining one third of the vote in the state, a lot of votes that were cast it today, same day votes, people who went out to the polls, voted on election day tends to be a more republican. group and a lot of people in california they have a male ballot at home, they drop it off on the day of the election. nor gets into
. >> leading off our election color tips at this hour, msnbc national corresponded steve kornacki, steve what are the latest numbers? >> we got him like here lawrence, basically two thirds of the votes wide instate, it is 2 to 1, almost a 3 million vote difference leading yes in this thing. in the last two weeks of this campaign, the polling was suggesting that there was a pretty significant shift against the recall, they were all asking the question, we remember 2020, we remember...
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we will have steve kornacki at the big board. catch him there on election nights.ne you hopefully trust, joy, chris, rachel, lawrence and brian williams taking us into the late night on that. if you are looking for more information from me, including more of the rick ross interview, find me online @arilmelber. i will post a link on social because we have a longer version of the interview. sometimes we go along with artists. there's stuff that didn't make us. thanks for watching. joy is up next. >> how are you doing? great to see you. i will just do a show with it being quiet. >> i feel like you might have news. >> i feel like there's nothing happening. i will make something happen. we will see. >> we will see. >> cheers. thank you very much. >>> good evening, everyone. we have a lot to get to tonight. including some of -- you may have noticed a wee bit of twitter excitement over some comments i made last night about nicki minaj's comments about the vaccine. we will get to that tonight as well and about misinformation. all of that stuff is coming up. i will have mor
we will have steve kornacki at the big board. catch him there on election nights.ne you hopefully trust, joy, chris, rachel, lawrence and brian williams taking us into the late night on that. if you are looking for more information from me, including more of the rick ross interview, find me online @arilmelber. i will post a link on social because we have a longer version of the interview. sometimes we go along with artists. there's stuff that didn't make us. thanks for watching. joy is up next....
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. >> i was listening intently to your discussion with steve kornacki about the timing of results reporting tomorrow night on the california recall election because, of course, i was wondering how late i'm going to be working tomorrow night. >> yeah. i have been thinking along the same lines myself. i have to say we're all so allergic to polling predictions, even to polling averages at this point. i feel like even with steve's like reasoned math-based projections about it, i hedge all bets. i don't believe anything. i'll plan to be here until 6:00 in the morning. >> and recalls are nutty, as you were accurately describing. i don't trust the polling in recalls because it is a weird structure of a so-called election. if this was an election, i would trust a huge lead being indicated for gavin newsom, but it's not what it is exactly. it is a weird variation on that, so we will see. >> yeah. it's going to be a fun one to watch because it is so unique. but in terms of planning ahead, there will be none of that. >> yeah. so we might be around later tomorrow night. we'll see. >> thanks, lawrence.
. >> i was listening intently to your discussion with steve kornacki about the timing of results reporting tomorrow night on the california recall election because, of course, i was wondering how late i'm going to be working tomorrow night. >> yeah. i have been thinking along the same lines myself. i have to say we're all so allergic to polling predictions, even to polling averages at this point. i feel like even with steve's like reasoned math-based projections about it, i hedge...
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Sep 13, 2021
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joining us now is nbc's steve kornacki and news hour correspondent and moderator on friday nights, and former democratic strategist, director of the center for the political future at the university of southern california. welcome, all. steve, first of all, 24 hours to go. what is the state of the race? >> the late polling has certainly favored newsom in terms of beating the recall and keeping his job. you can see the most recent polls keep newsom as governor, leading double digits in almost every poll. you average them together, he's going into tomorrow the clear favorite to defeat the recall, to keep his job. of course, you mentioned joe biden going out there. joe biden carried california by nearly 30 points last year. this has become the standard or close to the standard democratic margin in california, when newsom was elected in 2018 his margin statewide was 25 points. so it looked pretty similar to biden last year. look, the problem for folks trying to recall newsom is overwhelmingly democratic state, you see red areas on the map. they tend to be rural. the big population centers,
joining us now is nbc's steve kornacki and news hour correspondent and moderator on friday nights, and former democratic strategist, director of the center for the political future at the university of southern california. welcome, all. steve, first of all, 24 hours to go. what is the state of the race? >> the late polling has certainly favored newsom in terms of beating the recall and keeping his job. you can see the most recent polls keep newsom as governor, leading double digits in...
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rachel i was listening intently with steve kornacki, about the timing of results reporting, tomorrow night and the california recall election. because of course i was wondering how am going to be working tomorrow. >> and thinking along the same lines myself. i mean i have to say, we are so allergic to polling predictions, even to polling averages at this point. i feel like even with steve's reasoned math based projections, about one, i hedge all bets, i don't believe anything, i planned to be here till six in the morning. >> recalls are 90 as you were describing. i don't trust the polling in recalls, because it's such a weird structure. of his so-called election, if this was simply an election, of democratic gave it newsom against larry all, there i would trust, a huge lead being indicated for gavin newsom, but it's not what it is exactly, it's a weird variation on that. in so we will see. >> yes, it's going to be a fun one to watch, because it's so unique. but in terms of planning ahead, there will be none of that. >> we might be here. we might be around later tomorrow night. we wil
rachel i was listening intently with steve kornacki, about the timing of results reporting, tomorrow night and the california recall election. because of course i was wondering how am going to be working tomorrow. >> and thinking along the same lines myself. i mean i have to say, we are so allergic to polling predictions, even to polling averages at this point. i feel like even with steve's reasoned math based projections, about one, i hedge all bets, i don't believe anything, i planned...
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with us >>> all right, steve kornacki here in new york. the news from the other coast.he west coast, california, the attempt to recall gavin newsom as governor of that state. nbc news has projected that it has failed. as you can see by the numbers here, it hasdecisively. it's a 2 to 1 margin, no on the recall of gavin newsom is crushing, yes, this election. you can see, the story here, we've got a vote in here across the state. you can see the pattern on this is just clear. southern california, los angeles county, orange county, san diego county, inland empire, these have all become to varying degrees democratic areas and they're holding as democratic areas, newsom areas, anti-recall areas. the bay area, remember, he used to be the governor of san francisco developing overwhelming margins against the recall here. what is most striking, there are still more votes to be counted. more votes to come in. these numbers will change some. but what's most striking, when you look at the map and you look at the pattern here, how similar it is to what happened in california, just l
with us >>> all right, steve kornacki here in new york. the news from the other coast.he west coast, california, the attempt to recall gavin newsom as governor of that state. nbc news has projected that it has failed. as you can see by the numbers here, it hasdecisively. it's a 2 to 1 margin, no on the recall of gavin newsom is crushing, yes, this election. you can see, the story here, we've got a vote in here across the state. you can see the pattern on this is just clear. southern...
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all right steve kornacki in new york the attempt to recall gavin newsom as governor of bc new. that it has failed, and as you can see by the numbers here it has failed decisively. about two thirds of the vote is now in statewide in california. it's a 2 to 1 margin, no, no on the recall of gavin newsom. it's crushing yes in this election. here we've got voting all across the state here, a very good sampling across the state. and you can see the pattern in this is just. where it's orange county, san diego can tee, these of all becoming a very democratic area. just in recent years they are holding as democratic areas nuisance areas, anti recall areas. tonight the bay area tonight, gavin newsom's home area, remember he used to be the mayor of san francisco, delivering overwhelming margins against the recall here. again what is most striking is there are still more votes to be counted, there are still more vote, so these numbers will change some. but what is most striking as you look at this map, and when you look at the pattern. here is how similar it is to what happened in califor
all right steve kornacki in new york the attempt to recall gavin newsom as governor of bc new. that it has failed, and as you can see by the numbers here it has failed decisively. about two thirds of the vote is now in statewide in california. it's a 2 to 1 margin, no, no on the recall of gavin newsom. it's crushing yes in this election. here we've got voting all across the state here, a very good sampling across the state. and you can see the pattern in this is just. where it's orange county,...
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to steve kornacki. as we do, jacob mentioned one of the reasons why gavin newsom won, right? our political team over at first read named that as one of three big reasons why he succeeded here. the significant advantage that democrats have over republicans in california, second, they describe how larry elder is no arnold schwarzenegger. and by that we mean elder, very much a staunch conservative, schwarzenegger more moderate in the gop, and third, polls show californians really support vaccines and mask mandates which elder was saying he would eliminate. talk us through the numbers here, what sealed the deal and where this goes next. >> i would offer just a different number, gavin newsom was no gray davis. gray davis was the governor who was recalled in 2003 and it jumped out me when i saw the exit poll last night, the opinions about gavin newsom, his leadership of the state, his leadership, decisions on covid questions, a lot more popularity there than there was for gray davis, gray davis had rock bottom numbers when he got recalled in 2003. a strong appetite to push him out.
to steve kornacki. as we do, jacob mentioned one of the reasons why gavin newsom won, right? our political team over at first read named that as one of three big reasons why he succeeded here. the significant advantage that democrats have over republicans in california, second, they describe how larry elder is no arnold schwarzenegger. and by that we mean elder, very much a staunch conservative, schwarzenegger more moderate in the gop, and third, polls show californians really support vaccines...
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steve kornacki here in new york, in the news from the other coast, the west coast. california.iled, and as you can see by the numbers, here and has failed decisively. about two thirds of the vote is now in statewide in california. it's a 2 to 1 margin. no. no on the recall of gavin newsom. it is crushing the yes in this election. you can see here the story, we've got voting all across the state here. a very good sampling across the state. you can see the pattern in this, that is just clear. southern california, los angeles county, orange county, san diego county, these evolved becomes a very degrees democratic areas. like orange county just in recent years. and they're holding as democratic areas. newsom areas. anti recall areas. tonight the bay area, gavin newsom's home area, remember used to be the mayor of san francisco, delivering overwhelming margins against the recall here. i think what is most striking, there are still more votes to be counted, more votes to come into these numbers will change some, but what's most striking when you look at this map, and when you look at
steve kornacki here in new york, in the news from the other coast, the west coast. california.iled, and as you can see by the numbers, here and has failed decisively. about two thirds of the vote is now in statewide in california. it's a 2 to 1 margin. no. no on the recall of gavin newsom. it is crushing the yes in this election. you can see here the story, we've got voting all across the state here. a very good sampling across the state. you can see the pattern in this, that is just clear....
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anyway, the recall effort was defeated so easily and called so quickly that msnbc correspondent steve kornackin't have much to get worked up over. >> and there it is you can see the news, brian, with the checkmark nbc news is officially projecting that the recall attempt against gavin newsom, the governor of california, has failed it's failing, as you can see by the results here, decisively at this point we now have 60% of all the vote counted in california. the recall right now is failing by a better than 2 to 1 margin the difference there is 2.7 million votes. that's a 35-point margin it's clear from what we have right now. it's clear to our decision desk. i think it's clear to everybody who has been watching along with me here, that this number is going to come nowhere near 50% this one is a landslide. the recall fails gavin newsom is going to survive as california's governor >> seth: just must have been so frustrating for kornacki i mean, look at him. he might look like he's going to teach your fractions, but the man is an adrenaline junky the batches of votes from outlier counties, the ta
anyway, the recall effort was defeated so easily and called so quickly that msnbc correspondent steve kornackin't have much to get worked up over. >> and there it is you can see the news, brian, with the checkmark nbc news is officially projecting that the recall attempt against gavin newsom, the governor of california, has failed it's failing, as you can see by the results here, decisively at this point we now have 60% of all the vote counted in california. the recall right now is...
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and the one and only steve kornacki is here to kick off election night coverage
and the one and only steve kornacki is here to kick off election night coverage
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. >> let's bring in national political correspondent for nbc news and msnbc, steve kornacki. fs, who is going to win the world series, but we'll do that later. let's talk right now about the recall. about two, three weeks ago, the race seemed much closer than it ever should have been for any democratic candidate in a state that donald trump only got 34% in in 2020. what are the polls looking like now? >> they look different, joe, than a couple weeks ago. you're right. three weeks ago, a month ago, you know, we were looking at this thing and starting to say, geez, you know, is something going on here? of course, for recall supporters in a state like california, that would be monumental. biden won this by 30 when gavin newsom got elected in 2018 for the first i'm. margin was 25 points in the state. if you look at all the polls in the homestretch of this campaign, there have been eight polls in the last week of this campaign. the average is newsom surviving this thing by 14 points. no on the recall by a 14-point margin. yeah, i went back and looked at the only successful recall c
. >> let's bring in national political correspondent for nbc news and msnbc, steve kornacki. fs, who is going to win the world series, but we'll do that later. let's talk right now about the recall. about two, three weeks ago, the race seemed much closer than it ever should have been for any democratic candidate in a state that donald trump only got 34% in in 2020. what are the polls looking like now? >> they look different, joe, than a couple weeks ago. you're right. three weeks...
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. >> let's do a deep dive into that we're steve kornacki on the big board. >> can i say something about 500th episode. >> yes it really is a milestone just so grateful and profound and -- >> that's earned too, this love for the show and these >>> good morning, 8:26, i'm marcus washington. firefighters still at the scene of a grass fire in north bay that has burned more than 100 acres. it started yesterday afternoon near highway 12 in shellville, this is on the napa and sonoma county line. no evacuations were ordered and no structures were threatened as of last night it was 80% contained. teams stayed through the night to make sure there were no flare-ups. >>> let's get a look at that forecast for you this morning. meteorologist kari hall she has been tracking that. >> yeah, some of that smoke will be drifting toward napa and temperatures will be heating up today. we are headed toward the upper 90s for our inland valleys and tomorrow still feeling summerlike. going into the weekend we will be a little bit cooler with low to mid 80s and next week that's when it finally will feel like fall
. >> let's do a deep dive into that we're steve kornacki on the big board. >> can i say something about 500th episode. >> yes it really is a milestone just so grateful and profound and -- >> that's earned too, this love for the show and these >>> good morning, 8:26, i'm marcus washington. firefighters still at the scene of a grass fire in north bay that has burned more than 100 acres. it started yesterday afternoon near highway 12 in shellville, this is on the...
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. >> steve kornacki is going to fire up the big board to tell you who is going to win. >> remember to spotify. subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. we're back after your local news are we going to do the bracket, carson are you working on it? >> after your local news >> after your local news >>> good morning. it is 8:56. i am marcus washington. people at menlo park are waking up to shattered car windows after vandals target at least a dozen vehicles. police say it started at 8:00 last night on o'keefe street. more damaged vehicles were later found in a second location near willow road and gilbert street. that's also where police made two arrests, two men facing felony charges, vandalism charges. officers found bebeguns in their waist bands. happening now, bob redell is speaking with police officers and has latest. >>> and a critical question hanging in the balance. will covid booster shots be necessary for everyone? we monitor the fda meeting happening now. check our twitter feed for updates. >>> planning on going to an indoor concert, better get vaccinated. we will br
. >> steve kornacki is going to fire up the big board to tell you who is going to win. >> remember to spotify. subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. we're back after your local news are we going to do the bracket, carson are you working on it? >> after your local news >> after your local news >>> good morning. it is 8:56. i am marcus washington. people at menlo park are waking up to shattered car windows after vandals target at least a dozen...
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. >>> we are back with our third and fourth hours of "today," including steve kornacki breaking downkend. we'll be with you tomorrow morning on "today. morning on "today. >>> good morning. we are in a micro climate weather alert because of lightning and a little rain that rolled through the bay area overnight. meteorologist kari hall tells us more than 100 lightning strikes were recorded in the bay area, and some of those cases caused damage. here's what happened, lightning splintered a tree, part of it went through the top of the car. the homeowner said it sounded like a bomb went off. pg&e cut power until they remove debris and make sure lines are safe to reenergize. >>> there are reports of small fires elsewhere. we'll have a live report at 11:00 midday and we will have nice weather for the weekend. every single day, we're all getting a little bit better. we're better cooks... better neighbors... hi. i've got this until you get back. better parents... and better friends. no! no! that's why comcast works around the clock constantly improving america's largest gig-speed broadband ne
. >>> we are back with our third and fourth hours of "today," including steve kornacki breaking downkend. we'll be with you tomorrow morning on "today. morning on "today. >>> good morning. we are in a micro climate weather alert because of lightning and a little rain that rolled through the bay area overnight. meteorologist kari hall tells us more than 100 lightning strikes were recorded in the bay area, and some of those cases caused damage. here's what...
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we go live to election headquarters to our number cruncher, steve kornacki, still standing by since last do you have for us? [ laughter ] damn it! i told you! >> come on, man! >> he would just have a beard, but he would still be going. >> that's kind of rough. >> love our kornacki. >> my gosh, it was a rough weekend -- >> exactly. >> -- rough weekend for red sox fans, willie. my little jack was -- we were stuck on this all day yesterday. i did a podcast. i actually had a nobel prize winner on and instead barnacle jumps in and lupica and lemire and i talked about the red sox for 30 minutes. >> it's what we do. >> i had little jack. i convinced myself, there it is, yankees/red sox, like i said would happen all along. i had little jack -- >> little jack? >> he's 6'2" now. every sunday morning he comes up to me and says pa-pa, can we watch the show sunday before we go to church? and sitting there in the seersucker jacket with white box or crew sweater in the winter. and i said yes, yes. it made him a little bit happy for a little bit on sunday but that night you beat us again! you beat us ag
we go live to election headquarters to our number cruncher, steve kornacki, still standing by since last do you have for us? [ laughter ] damn it! i told you! >> come on, man! >> he would just have a beard, but he would still be going. >> that's kind of rough. >> love our kornacki. >> my gosh, it was a rough weekend -- >> exactly. >> -- rough weekend for red sox fans, willie. my little jack was -- we were stuck on this all day yesterday. i did a...