. >> steve schmidt, i can tell you, they don't need to tell us because we know who they all voted for. and it's not the republican! >> oh, some of us have been big-tent republicans. charles mathias. who i voted for. >> this is a great discussion to have because i completely disagree with you. new numbers released this morning show a tightening race among key likely voters in three critical swing states. in ohio, the nbc news/"wall street journal"/marist poll shows obama hanging on to a six-point lead, 51-45%, that's a two-point gain for romney from last week. but the pollsters note that this ohio poll included an 11-point advantage for self-described democrats, higher than last week's five-point advantage for democrats. >> steve schmidt, that doesn't really make sense. an 11-point democratic swing there when you have republicans saying they're more excited to -- i mean, we're going to ask chuck todd, what was the methodology, but nbc put it out there. >> we're at the point of the race now where these polls, if you want to really get a sense of where they should be, you need to start weighting for them for what the turnout is actually going to be on election day. when you look at