steve schmidt, thank you. casey and e.j., on location in mississippi.nk you as well. >> good to be with you. >> thank you, ari. great to be with you. >> have fun, enjoy the live band. voters in one state tonight are deciding if they want to secede and become the 51st state. where? why is this happening? that's up next. ♪ [ girl ] my mom, she makes underwater fans that are powered by the moon. ♪ she can print amazing things, right from her computer. [ whirring ] [ train whistle blows ] she makes trains that are friends with trees. ♪ my mom works at ge. ♪ my mom works at ge. here you go. good catch! alright, now for the best part. ooh, let's get those in the bowl. these are way too good to waste, right? share what you love with who you love. kellogg's frosted flakes® they're g-r-r-reat!tm you know that dream... on my count. the one where you step up and save the day? make it happen. (crowd) oh no... introducing verizon xlte. hey guys, i got it right here! we've doubled our 4g lte bandwidth in cities coast to coast. so take on more. with xlte. for best res

steve schmidt, thank you. casey and e.j., on location in mississippi. thank you as well. >> good to be with you. >> thank you, ari. great to be with you. >> have fun, enjoy the live band. voters in one state tonight are deciding if they want to secede and become the 51st state. where? why is this happening? that's up next. e brain. little things, anyone can do. it steals your memories. your independence. insures support. a breakthrough. and sooner than you'd like... ...sooner than you think. ...you die from alzheimer's disease. ...we cure alzheimer's disease. every little click, call, or donation adds up to something big. alzheimer's association. the brains behind saving yours. sfx: car unlock beep. vo: david's heart attack didn't come with a warning. today his doctor has him on a bayer aspirin regimen to help reduce the risk of another one. if you've had a heart attack be sure to talk to your doctor before you begin an aspirin regimen. you know that dream... on my count. the one where you step up and save the day? make it happen. (crowd) oh no... intro

steve schmidt, richard wolf, thank you for joining us. a big night for politics. another major driver of the story was data. why was cantor's data so bad? why haven't republicans, caught up to the obama campaign legendary targeting technology. we have an exclusive, the man who helped build the e-mail list, the president's national targeting director is here, why virginia's loss may be the democrat's gain in november. and president obama took question as but student loans. but a question about school shootings and gun control shook up the room to. night we will return to the debate over the taliban prison swap. why the secretary of defense had to speak out today about attempts to shame bowe bergdahl's parents, and it has to do with bill o'reilly. iraq vet, patrick murphy, will be here. cut! [bell rings] this...is jane. her long day on set starts with shoulder pain... ...and a choice take 6 tylenol in a day which is 2 aleve for... ...all day relief. hmm. [bell ring] "roll sound!" that corporate trial by fire when every slacker gets his due. and yet, there's someone

steve schmidt, adviser to mccain's presidential campaign. and harold ford, jr. first father's day to you, my friend. particularly special. i want to talk about eric cantor and steve schmidt, what chuck just mentioned, this populist political revolution that is brewing. talk about it in terms of what's happening in the gop. >> one of the most interesting aspects of this race is the degree to which the chamber of commerce became a epithet in the race. the cantor campaign was defined as much by the attacks on wall street, the big banks. republicans have gone after big government, big media, big labor, but you saw the additional element coming in to play over the course of that campaign. i think that opens a lane for somebody in 2016. i think it's worth mentioning that this is a global phenomenon. we're seeing this happen in all of the western democracies. the rise of youth in england, national front from france, netherlands, sweden, australia. this is a global phenomenon where people in these countries are so dissatisfied with what they think are out of touch. >> y

and it's a great tragedy unfolding. >> steve schmidt, thank you very much for joining us tonight. >> great to see you again, lawrence. >>> coming up, darrell issa tonight. more of darrell issa. the things i missed while i was away. we'll be back. rcedes-benz summet is here. now get the unmistakable thrill... and the incredible rush... of the mercedes-benz you've always wanted. ♪ but you better get here fast... [ daughter ] yay, daddy's here! here you go, honey. thank you. [ male announcer ] ...because a good thing like this... phew! [ male announcer ] ...won't last forever. see your authorized dealer for an incredible offer on the exhilarating c250 sport sedan. but hurry, offers end soon. share your summer moments in your mercedes-benz with us. smoke? nah, i'm good. [ male announcer ] celebrate every win with nicoderm cq, the unique patch with time release smartcontrol technology that helps prevent the urge to smoke all day long. help prevent your cravings with nicoderm cq. that helps prevent the urge to smoke all day long. explaining my moderate to severe so there i was again, chron

his old senior adviser steve schmidt spoke about this. just the demographic math to this. take a listen. don't think we have it. i will give you my best steve schmidt impression, which is basically, he said the republican party is doing better among all the parts of the electorate that are shrinking and the democratic party is doing better among all the parts of the electorate that are growing. what do you think of that analysis? >> i think it's spot on. it is very true. asians and latinos voted for president obama in rates of over 70% in the last election. and i believe it was due to immigration reform. >> when you see this lawsuit that's getting some attention, although as a lawyer, looks to me like a stunt from speaker boehner and then you also see other colleagues, candice miller in the house saying we need to cut off aid to mexico or secure the border despite this president having such a high deportation rate. do you take those kind of objections on this issue seriously or do you think those are just republican excuses? >> those are excuses. in fact, they are just sou

and joining the table, political analyst, steve schmidt.y, very good to have you at the table, as well. joe, we'll start with some of the breaks news overseas that we've been talking about in the past hour. u.s. defense officials are now confirming five nato troops killed overnight in afghanistan are americans. the coalition says the service members died in what appears to be a frieeniendly fire incident. details are still coming in. but if verified, it would be among the worst incidence of u.s.-led forces being killed by other members of the coalition. joe, we'll follow this story. but this is bad. >> well, it's day skeja vu all again. tran tragedies in afghanistan continue. we've been asking the same question every single day. what will america getting out in 2009 mean compared to 2019, 2029. and steve schmidt, americans are sick and tired of this country living in the age of occupation. i know a lot of neocons on the right and some of on the left, people like hillary clinton have been pushing war after war after war and tripling the numb

. >> joining me now is republican strategist and msnbc analyst steve schmidt and michael tomasky of the daily beast. steve, the list of dmcommentato talking about this is an unimpressive list. they are not the kind of people that make things happen in american politics. what is your take about where we are now with the tea party versus the republican party? >> a couple things, lawrence. this group of people, for the most part, wouldn't be able to successfully organize a three-car motorcade, let alone a new political party with ballot access. that being said, they're responsible for republicans giving up six u.s. senate seats over the last two election cycles. the reality is, if the sarah palin wing of the party did split off, it would be -- it would put back into play many categories of voters that republicans used to compete strongly with but haven't done well with in recent years. >> mike, do you see that as possible, that if there was a tea party smplit and they got a candidate for president that that would free up the republican from trying to appeal to that side? >> yes, it would.

. >> steve schmidt, you know me. i'm a plain spoken guy, lincoln esing.bole, but i'll use two words in this case. what happened last night in this republican runoff was historic and close to unprecedented. you and i both know as you go from primary to runoff, the voting base gets smaller. it gets more conservative in every case. i've never seen it expand and get bigger in a late june primary. that was stunning last night. >> look, it speaks a lot to the barbour political machine. governor henry barbour down in the state. the cochran voters were complacent going to the first round. they woerk up and said we don't want this guy to be the u.s. senator. the other remarkable aspect about it and boy, did it get this wrong. who'd of thunk it, the african-american voters determining the race. he sounds like that little kid who walks off the field with his football away from his friends because the play didn't go his way. >> he lost and lost by the rules that apply to both sides. let's go to chuck todd right now. chuck, give us your breakdown of this remarkable ra

steve schmidt, adviser to mccain's presidential campaign. and harold ford, jr.appy father's day to you, my friend. particularly special. i want to talk about eric cantor and this populist political revolution that is brewing. talk about it in terms of what's happening in the gop. >> one of the most interesting aspects of this race is the degree to which the chamber of commerce became a epithet in the race. the cantor campaign was defined as much by the attacks on wall street, the big banks. republicans have gone after big government, big media, big labor, but you saw the additional element coming in to play over the course of that campaign. i think that opens a lane for somebody in 2016. i think it's worth mentioning that this is a global phenomenon. we're seeing this happen in all of the western democracies. the national front from france, netherlands, sweden, australia. this is a global phenomenon where people are so dissatisfied with what they sees as an elite and out of touch -- >> you asked this week in a column how does hillary clinton navigate the populis

. >> joining me now is steve schmidt, and e.j. dion. good evening, gentlemen.to you as to what it means when this do nothing republican house that almost crashed our whole economy to make a political point is calling the senate dysfunctional. not that i'm such a big senate fan, but break down what's going over there in these house republican shakeups. >> you know, it's odd in certain ways, because you had eric cantor lose his seat to someone who ran to his right on immigration. so this is the tea party protest that succeeds. and then you have these elections, and kevin mccarthy replaces eric cantor, and he is probably a click or two to the left of cantor, particularly on the immigration issue. that is what allowed, i think, steve scalise to win so easily. southerners and conservatives wanted someone very conservative in that leadership, and they got someone. but there were a lot of movement activists still not happy. there was complaining in the house and wasn't happy, some of the commentators weren't happy. but as a reflection of the republican caucus, i suppo

republican strategist and former presidential campaign manager steve schmidt put the problem bluntly.oesn't work now for republicans. >> that's a good point. >> in state that is just the democrats have won six of six electionses. 242 the elect roll votes with 270 needed to win. every demographic group in this country that's growing, democrats are gaining market share. every demographic group that's shrinking, republicans are gaining market share. it is a are profound marketing problem. >> frank share from america's voice said republicans may regret it saying this is going to be one of the factorses that is going to lead to an electoral tsunami in 2016 that will not only help democrats take the white house and the senate but also retake the house. frank joins me as well as rachel smoking from politico. a quick question to set it up. the new convention nalal wisdom that immigration reform is dead in congress for summer of 2014. had the election this fall. probably decent for republicans. that's the ek expectation. no immigration reform in 15 or 16. new president. we don't know what cong

steve schmidt, thank you as well. >>> coming up, things are about to get heated in new york.gainst the teachers unions. one of the leaders of the cause, campbell brown, joins us with jeffr jeffrey sachs. keep it here on "morning joe." ♪ ♪ [ girl ] my mom, she makes underwater fans that are powered by the moon. ♪ [ birds squawking ] my mom makes airplane engines that can talk. [ birds squawking ] ♪ my mom makes hospitals you can hold in your hand. ♪ my mom can print amazing things right from her computer. [ whirring ] [ train whistle blows ] my mom makes trains that are friends with trees. [ train whistle blows ] ♪ my mom works at ge. ♪ >>> 26 past the hour. a live look at washington, d.c. on this beautiful morning. >>> here with us now is former news anchor and founder of the partnership for educational justice campbell brown. and director of the earth institute at columbia universities, dr. jeffrey sacha and steve rattner is also at the table. >> hi there. >> do it. >> complicated with mika. >> campbell, you want to bring something over from the west coast to the east coast.

time to go to steve schmidt. tea partiers are trying to claim victory.o explain what happened. the fact is nobody saw this coming. i was looking at tweets going back and forthright now. not only did the establishment mississip miss this, they've been going around trying to beat establishment republicans that shift into this race. this was all about this guy working on the ground hard. having a positive message. and it seems, you tell me whether i'm wrong. beating a guy that was terribly out of touch with his own district and his voters. >> this is a manifestation of how deeply unpopular congress is, american institutions, republicans talk about big labor, big media, big government. the candidate in this race also talked about the big banks, for example. he tapped into that energy that is going to be a defining aspect of the 2016 race. but for sure what makes this possible is you have a 13% turnout election. a majority is 6.5% of the registered voters. in a low turnout primary election, you have the ability of the talk radio hosts like they did to rail ag