. ~ , , , strait.y with this story and — strait. we will stay with this story and connect _ strait. we will stay with this story and connect with - strait. we will stay with this story and connect with the l story and connect with the political scientists and assistant presser at national taiwan university in taipei stop he is also a resident fellow at the atlantic council of global china hub. good to have your thoughts on this. as you havejust have your thoughts on this. as you have just heard have your thoughts on this. as you havejust heard our correspondence say there, quite a significant mobilisation of military personnel, what do you make of this round of exercises?— make of this round of exercises? ~ . , exercises? we all saw this coming. — exercises? we all saw this coming. this— exercises? we all saw this coming, this was - exercises? we all saw this coming, this was not - exercises? we all saw this coming, this was not a - coming, this was not a surprise. and compared to some of the other hig

and even if iran closes the strait of armud for a few days, the world market will already see it. most of saudi oil, iraq, kuwait, iran itself, the united arab emirates, gas condensate from qatar and also lng from qatar will be locked inside the persian gulf, which is 20% of the world trade in liquefied natural gas. gas. and it will be both an oil and gas crisis at the same time. during operation true promise two, the islamic revolutionary guard corps used two types of missiles with upgraded warheads and... iran also said it used advanced hypersonic fatah missiles. there are very few air defense systems in the world that can effectively counter such threats, and as the iranian strike showed, israel's iron dome was no match for that task either. the results of the attack are still being analyzed. iran claims defeat all targets. israel, in turn, talks about minimal damage. at the end of the work week , satellite images appeared on the internet. they show traces of missile impacts, but there are also nuances. the published images only show a small area in the southeast of the base. h

the strait of armud connects the persian gulf of oman, through which ships enter the arabian sea and indian ocean. the shores of the persian gulf are home to arab countries rich in oil and gas. the northern coast of the strait belongs to iran, the southern coast to oman and the united arab emirates. the depth in the transport corridors is mainly ... exceeds 100 m, ideal for huge tankers, up to 20 million barrels of oil per day pass through the armud strait, or about a fifth of the world's consumption of liquid hydrocarbons. in addition, qator is one of the largest exporters of liquefied gas sends virtually all of its lng through the strait. as a result, the strait of armud has become a critical element of the global energy security architecture. even if iran closes the strait of armud for a few days, the world market will already see that, most of saudi arabia's oil, iraq, kuwait, iran itself, the united arab emirates, gas condensate from qater and also lng from qater will be locked inside the persian gulf, which is 20% of the world's liquefied natural gas trade, and this will be bot

even if iran closes the strait of ormout for a few days, the world the market will already see it. persian gulf will lock up most of saudi oil, iraq, kuwait. iran itself, the explained arab emirates, gas condensate from qater and also lng from qater, which is 20% of the world's trade in fatty natural gas, and it will be both an oil and gas crisis at the same time. during operation true promise 2, the islamic revolutionary guard corps used two types of missiles with modernized warheads and ballistic missiles khaibar shikkan. according to iran, they also used advanced hypersonic missiles. fotah. there are very few air defense systems in the world that can effectively counter such threats and, as the iranian strike showed, the israeli iron dome did not cope with this task either. the results of the attack are still being analyzed. iran claims that all targets were hit. israel, in turn, talks about minimal damage. at the end of the work week , satellite images of the israeli nevatim base appeared on the internet. they show traces of missile impacts, but there are also nuances. on publi

their affairs and escalation could lead to a blockage in the strait of a major shipping route —— straitipping route. what is the impact of all this on the global economy? the bbc�*s michelle fleury reports. the escalation comes at a time of uncertainty around the upcoming us election and as china tries to stabilise its struggling economy. there are concerns the war could push up inflation if trade routes are disrupted, causing the cost of oil and shipping to rise. a big concern is whether any escalation could block the strait of hormuz, a major transit channel. effective lng frozen gas passes through there. the oil marketmaking already reacting. brent crude jumped 5% last wednesday after president biden said the us was discussing with israel striking iran's oil industry. iran is the seventh largest oil producer in the world. for now, commodity prices remain below where they were last year, but officials around the world paying close attention. the biggest economic impact is being felt within the region itself. in israel, the war has resulted in a drop in investment and growth, while in

we have heard a lot about the strait of. heard a lot about the strait of hormuz and the likelihood ofat. do you think thatis run blocking that. do you think that is likely?— that is likely? this comes up periodically _ that is likely? this comes up periodically and _ that is likely? this comes up periodically and has - that is likely? this comes up periodically and has come i that is likely? this comes upj periodically and has come up that is likely? this comes up i periodically and has come up in the past every time iran has been faced with a sticky situation. of course, iran could close the straits, but you have to keep in mind that if it does that, it impacts its ability to export goods and its own oil. the only thing you would have to think about in this scenario is if its oil production capabilities have been targeted, then it doesn't need to and can no longer employed oil. that means closing the straits would be that much more attractive to it. it is important to say that in the past it hasn't resorted to doing that.— to doing that. what will that mean for — to doing that. what

an important location for the entire world market is the omur strait, this amur strait. this waterway, shaped like an inverted v, connects the persian gulf with the indian ocean. the northern coast of the strait of armus belongs to iran, while the southern coast belongs to oman and the united arab emirates. the depth in the transport corridors generally exceeds 100, and this allows large tankers. the strait of armus is vital to the global oil trade. according to bloomberg, tankers transported 15.5 million barrels of oil per day through it in the first quarter of this year, namely from saudi arabia, iraq, kuwait, the emirates and iran. the strait is also important for liquefied natural gas. more than 1/5 of the world's supplies pass through it. analysts are already predicting. battle on the world market, according to cnbc, if israel strikes unspecified targets, up to 4% of global supplies will be at risk. israel's attack on iran could turn into a copycat oil to $100 per barrel. rosaviatsia today updated its recommendations for flights in the airspace of israel, iran and i

an important location for the entire world oil market is the strait of armuz.s waterway, shaped like an inverted v, connects the persian gulf with the indian ocean. the northern coast of the strait of armuz belongs to iran, the southern coast to oman and the united arab emirates. the depth in transport corridors are mostly larger than 100 m, which allows large tankers to pass through. the strait of armagh is vital for global oil trade; according to bloomberg , tankers transported 15.5 million barrels of oil per day from saudi arabia, iraq, kuwait, the emirates and iran through it in the first quarter of this year. the strait is also important for liquefied natural gas, with more than 1/5 of the world's supplies passing through it. analysts are already predicting disruptions in the global market. according to cnbc, if israel strikes oil facilities, up to 4% of world supplies, israel's attack on iran could result in oil imitation up to $100 per barrel. pentalgin is a remedy against different types of pain. pintalgin works against pain, wherever it is, regardless

it blocks the strait of armun not only from iran, but also from other producers. logistics for russian oil will change accordingly, since the soviet channel will be closed, and apparently the turkish strait, that is, a sharp deficit, literally, if 2 to 5 million barrels per day fall, this is a colossal blow. to the world energy market. if there are blows to the oil and gas infrastructure of countries persian gulf brand price according to some estimates may rise to 100 and even 150 dollars. the upward trend in the conditions of the conflict along with oil is supported by gold. what did traders do? they analyzed assets that could grow in such unstable conditions. we saw how gold futures rose to 2,700 dollars, so. looking at the situation in the middle east, it is really possible that the strait of armuz will be closed and the escalation will expand, due to which about 20 million barrels per day in the form of oil and oil products. expensive oil will push up logistics prices, and therefore inflation in general. among the pessimistic forecasts is an inflation shock fo

the strait of armud is vital for the global oil trade.ording to bloomberg, in the first quarter of this year, tankers transported 15.5 million barrels of oil per day through it from saudi arabia, iraq, kuwait, emirates and iran. the strait is also important for liquefied natural gas. more than 1/5 of the world's supplies pass through it. analysts are already predicting disruptions in the global market. according to cnbc, if israel strikes oil facilities, up to 4% of global supplies will be at risk. an israeli attack on iran could result in oil prices going up to $100 per barrel. the escalation of the situation in the middle east is the focus of a meeting between foreign minister sergey lavrov and arab ambassadors. according to the official representative of the russian foreign ministry. zakharova, the participants noted that all parties involved must exercise restraint and also refrain from provocative actions. emil mirsayev will tell us more about the reaction to the latest round of tension. russia condemns any actions that entail the de

tigiran may even go to abank and block the strait of armuz.one is wondering question, is there a threat to shipping in the strait of armuz, because now we already understand that oil and gas facilities. infrastructure they are involved in the conflict, actually yesterday during the attack gas production facilities were subjected to the closure of the strait of armuz will really be a disaster for the oil market. the strait of armuz is the key to world energy, only 54 km wide, through it all the oil of iran, kuwait, qatar, the united arab emirates, most of the oil of saudi arabia and iraq, about 20% of all global. oil supplies and 80% asian, plus lng. from here, raw materials are also supplied to the european and us markets. at the same time, this is the narrowest part of the strategically important gulf of oman. if you subtract the territorial waters of the nearest states, only two transport corridors of 2-3 km wide remain for oil tankers. and there have already been cases in history when this artery was almost blocked. during the iran and iraq

translation: taiwanese independence and peace l in the taiwan strait is irreconcilable.trait, the first thing you should do is oppose taiwanese independence. a spokesperson for taiwan's government said this... translation: at present, i the international community's consensus is to maintain peace and stability in the taiwan strait in the indo—pacific region. china should face the fact and the existence of the republic of china taiwan respects the choice of the taiwanese people for a democratic and free lifestyle and refrain from military provocations that would jeopardise the peace and stability of the region and threaten taiwan's democracy and freedom. our correspondent in beijing has more on the story. our correspondent in bei'ing has more on the story. these exercises _ has more on the story. these exercises are _ has more on the story. these exercises are becoming - has more on the story. these | exercises are becoming bigger and more frequent and closer to taiwan, and what it seems to be, this time, is a dress rehearsal for a be, this time, is a dress rehearsalfor a

a big concern is whether any escalation could block the strait of hormuz, a major transit channel.. the oil marketmaking already reacting. brent crude jumped 5% last wednesday after president biden said the us was discussing with israel striking around's oil industry. iran is the seventh largest oil producer in the world. for now, commodity prices remain below where they were last year, but officials around the world paying close attention. the biggest economic impact is being felt within the region itself. in israel the war has resulted in a drop in investment and growth while in gaza the constant bombing since hamas attacked israel on october seven and has had a 0ctober seven and has had a devastating impact on its economy. gdp has fallen nearly 90% in the first half of this year, according to the international monetary fund. the imf has warned the war could have significant ramifications for the global economy and it plans to update its forecast for all countries later this month when the global lender and the world bank hold their annual meetings in washington.— in washington.

. -- through the taiwan strait. what message was just trying to send the china given china -- [inaudible] >> thanks for the question. the uss higgins and well canadian navy halifax class frigate agency is vancouver conducted a routine taiwan strait transit on october 20 through waters were heisey freedom of navigation and overflight apply and accords with international law. the ships transit to the taiwan strait demonstrates the use in canada's commitment to a free and open indo-pacific. the united states military fly butterflies come sales in your international laws allows. thank you very much. >> thank you, general. [inaudible] when he was in bed with the conflict between israel and hezbollah had -- out of control. [inaudible] >> the short answer is yes. he does. and we think that it's important that we get to a cessation of hostilities through diplomatic means as soon as possible. you know, he's made it very clear as has the department and other u.s. officials. you've got secretary blinken of course in the middle

however, the important straits in this region , such as the strait of hormuz, the strait of bab al-mandeb, and the suez canal, have made this region very important in terms of strategic and international political economy, so it is natural that america he wants to control this region and no power, no country, no country, no power or actor can be more reliable and capable. be more trustworthy than the zionist regime in fact, the largest reliable actor of the united states in our region is the zionist regime, and naturally, it can be the provider and guarantor and achiever of america's interests in the region, and therefore we see that the united states is using all means in all ways to protect the regime. the zionist supports and now he has no qualms about saying this support, the interesting thing is that they also clearly declare that we are committed to the security of the zionist regime and this commitment is a bipartisan commitment, it is cross-party, that is, both democrats both republicans and all political and government workers in the united states, they consider themselves to be

it the state of cross straits relations?— the state of cross straits relations?ations? it tells us china has already got — relations? it tells us china has already got what _ relations? it tells us china has already got what they - relations? it tells us china has already got what they wanted, relations? it tells us china has - already got what they wanted, but interestingly, especially given the involvement of the coastguard in this particular exercise, 17 different vessels. the previous exercised included some coastguard ships, but never to that extent, and neverin ships, but never to that extent, and never in this coordinated fashion. what you mean by china has got what it wanted here? we what you mean by china has got what it wanted here?— it wanted here? we can see china lasma it wanted here? we can see china plasma intent _ it wanted here? we can see china plasma intent on _ it wanted here? we can see china plasma intent on this _ it wanted here? we can see china plasma intent on this was - it wanted here? we can see china plasma intent on this was to - pla

against iran, or if israel uses iraqi airspace against tehran, they said in support. in the same strait of armus, so i think that if the americans go for such a serious intervention and... sovremennik, seagull for tomorrow, you and me, zhor, are you crazy, these are mom's things, they were once, they are not yours, and you are nobody here, do you hear, you are a puppy, just try it on your father something against yelp, you won't be able to sing so high anymore, so you needed me, only while i could sing, and now that's it. the man who was the first in the us to arm ukraine, the revelation of the former head of the cia and secretary of state to the conclusion that they want to join the eu, they want the us mike po there is hope that the russians will come to be part of this western trading system, we need to return the russians to the european, not asian model. how should i address you, your highness, well, in short, yes. on the night before the storming of constantinople, the orchestra played until the morning, the byzantines were stunned. we, the turks, the ottomans, the muslims, were f

if you are concerned about peace and stability in the taiwan strait, the first thing you should do isn for taiwan's government responded by saying china should face up to the island's existence. translation: at present, the international _ translation: at present, the international community - international community consensus is to maintain peace and stability in the taiwan strait and the indo—pacific region. china should face the fact and x respects the choice of the taiwanese people who are democratic and free lifestyle and refrain from military provocations that would jeopardise the peace and stability of the region and threaten taiwanese democracy and freedom. live now to beijing and our correspondent, stephen mcdonell. it is not expected or unusual for chinese military assets to operate around taiwan, but is this exercise different? what's happening _ this exercise different? what's happening is — this exercise different? what's happening is that _ this exercise different? what's happening is that these - happening is that these exercises are becoming bigger and more frequent an

there is no strait called the strait of hormuz, there is no bab al-mandah , there is no suez, there is no bosour and dardanelles. these are the geographical gifts that god almighty has provided to this region. all the necessary substrates for a shape. just provided a political alliance it is enough for the elites of these countries in this region , the political leaders and rulers of these countries to gather and once and for all change their view of the current situation so that we can witness the fundamental changes in our region . thank you very much. sadegh 2, which was done in the first hour of the night.

, what is it about, well, blocking the strait of armu is a disaster for the entire world economy, thatountry with great military capabilities, yes. it is not capable, of course, of defeating the united states, this one is clear, but it is capable of causing such damage that can be considered unacceptable, i think that to a certain extent, today's means... a complete disaster, by the way, the last, last, last two words that i will say, but this once again shows that the hegemon is completely unable to cope with its duties, let's talk about the hegemon, let's talk about the hegemon, the weakened hegemon, after the commercial, and also evgeny petrovich , let's turn to you, we're leaving for commercial, we'll be back in just a few minutes, what's wrong, don't you recognize me? a new hero has appeared, gorgeous, tall, slender, fit, smart, he immediately turned out to be, as if he was expected in a movie, good, kind, only proud, there's some kind of calmness from him, warmth, that's fatherly, exactly fatherly, so human, you mean us men, you see, you don't know one thing, no stardom, everythi

the morning after the missile straits news reports indicated that one of the principal targets was never team. airbus never team. airbus located deep in the big desert is the largest and most critical air force base. and israel, i drove 70 miles south to the highly sensitive air force installation immune to document the under reported and potentially embarrassing destruction. plenty of mainstream media reports freely reported on is rarely military and intelligence facilities coming under attack. but none of them got in trouble with local authorities for their coverage. for example, here's the video by the american p. b s channel revealing the location of one such striking, telling me this is the impact site for one of those a ronnie and ballistic missiles. and if you see the size of this crater that's about 30 feet deep, that white building back there about 1500 feet behind me. is the headquarters of the spies and see the massage. journalist robert in la cash told us that is really israel targets reporters who are carrying what it sees as the wrong side of the story. i think the deed is

if the conflict wipers, especially if it run closes the strait of homo's. well, what we've seen is the return of the do political risk premium to the price of all, as you said, it shop. i bought 7 percent following the tit for tat con confrontation. but until that point, markets had largely shrugged off. what's happening in the middle east now is different, the conflict is whitening and the wrong could decided. his next step is to retaliate against iranian israel, contested against iranian energy infrastructure, which would take off around $2000000.00. a 1000000 barrels of iranian oil from international oil markets, which would lead prices to go up by, by 80 and even reach a $100.00 a that said we've, we've got high inventory. we bought about 5000000 barrels of oil in spare capacity between the large oil producers. those can be bought online to offset the loss of iranian production, which would help stabilize the oil prices. but there is no doubt that the risk premium do political risk premium to why the price is, has returned. it has caught oil, traders wi

so curious if you could address that issue, an escalation that could involve the strait of hormuz. >>do not have an undersupply situation in the market at present. however, there has been a lot of complacency about this war. a lot of oil market participants said we have not seen a disruption, we do not believe there will be a disruption, and hence, it was not priced in. so the real question right now, kelly, what is the israeli response? contessa mentioned 200 missiles thus far have been fired into israel. do the israelis respond in mind? do they potentially target the iranian nuclear facilities and target the iranian oil facilities? iran is producing a five-year high, over 3 million barrels a day. we need to think about a scenario where iranian supplies are at a risk. iran did hit tankers off the coast of uae, they hit key pipelines. and most importantly, they hit saudi arabia's facility, taking off half of that country's production. so, again, it's a very fluid situation. but there is significant oil at stake if iran wants to get involved in terms of raising the cost for the west fo

much attention will focus on the straits of hormuz, between iran and omagh and, if iran tried to blockmillion barrels per day or a fit of the world's oil production, notjust around production, not just around the's production, notjust around the's but every country in the gulf would not be able to transit their crude oil tankers and this is notjust oil. the world's dependence on russian gas has been replaced by shipments of liquefied gas from qatar also needing to transit that straight. that is the nightmare scenario and could be passed on in petrol and domestic energy costs and all this when the world and households were emerging from that last energy shock. there is nothing certain about this but with the us president adding to thejitters, but with the us president adding to the jitters, energy markets are responding to heightened risks that could affect us all. joining me now is nitesh shah, head of commodities and macroeconomic research at wisdomtree. when it comes to brent crude, what would be be talking about? the scale of the problem, is it uncertainty, voluntary or is there a c

in just one day , 973 immigrants arrived in the country by boat along the lomanche strait. the highest figure since the beginning of the year. illegal immigrants are coming to the united kingdom for refugee status, benefits and access to social programs. the authorities spend millions of pounds on housing for those staying. stirling per day. as a result, britain today ranks first in europe in the number of illegal immigrants (750,000 migrants), which is about 50,000 more than in germany and 2.5 times more than in france. this concludes our broadcast. stay with us, stay up to date with the event. and right now on channel one is the program "let's get married". a year later, yenesi stm regained the title of russian rugby champion. krasnoyarsk residents in the final were able to beat the arrow with a minimal advantage. in the first half.

firstly, not far from the strait of armuz, through which about 20% of all the oil consumed in the worldasses, although it should be added here that despite repeated threats, iran has never blocked this strait, nevertheless, the market is now still assessing what steps iran itself might take, and also how israel will respond to a missile attack on its territory, because it can hit, for example, iran's oil infrastructure, rising oil prices, the russian stock market is no longer cheerful, and there are no other reasons for growth, so the market has sagged. the official dollar exchange rate has risen again today, 93.36, but the official euro exchange rate has dropped below 104. rosaviatsia, against the backdrop of the situation in the middle east, has updated its recommendations for russian airlines, which concern flights not only to israel, but also, for example, to dubai. yesterday, the agency recommended that airlines not fly in the air the airspace of iran, israel and iraq. now rosaviatsia believes that it is possible to fly in the airspace of these countries, but today from 15:30 to 19

so over san pablo bay out to the strait and delta. the fog is back. maybe a little missed.. westerly breeze, west southwest. cooler for all though this time. and even though temps inland are still above the trend is now to bring them down 60s 70s and 80s. all right, over to sal. been one thing after another. this time it is san francisco. >> yeah, steve, you know, northbound and southbound 101, for the most part, don't have crashes. but when san francisco does have a crash, we do have an effect on both sides. the crashes between 280 and cesar chavez along northbound 101. and now the traffic is backed up almost into brisbane. but also it's affecting westbound bay bridge on the southbound 101. so a little more crowded as people are taking a look at what's going on. and there it is. you can see the bay bridge is backed up to the maze. we're going to come back in just a few minutes and talk about some of those east bay commutes, which are loaded up now at 732. let's get back to the headlines. >> okay, sal. thank you. well, the full oakland city council will now debate whether t

much attention will then focus on the straits of hormuz — 28 miles wide at its narrowest point betweenion, notjust iran's but every country in the gulf, would not be able to transit their crude oil tankers. and these days, it isn'tjust oil. the world's dependence on russian gas has been replaced by shipments of liquefied gas, mainly from qatar — also needing to transit this strait. this is the nightmare scenario for energy prices and could be passed on in petrol and domestic energy costs, and all this at the moment when the world and households were emerging from the last energy shock. there is nothing certain about this. but with the us president now adding to thejitters, energy markets are now responding to heightened risks that could affect us all. clive. faisal islam, our economics editor, thank you. in the last hour we've heard from the west bank where palestinians officials say 16 people have been killed in an israeli air strike. israel said it had carried out the attack on a refugee camp. eyewitnesses say a cafe and a 3—storey building was hit. one of the most senior leaders of

, according to estimates, two—thirds of india's oil as well as half of india's lng comes from the straiter conflict, these supplier mines could be impacted and directly have economic ramifications on india's growth story. remember, indian inflation has now only slowly started coming into control giving a huge sigh of relief of the central bank, but if this is a long drawn conflict, it would have a direct impact on prices rising, it would force their central bank to keep rates higher, which is something of a concern given the fact that india has been touting and continues to been touting and continues to be one of the fastest growing economies in the world, poised to become the third largest economy in the world, but this is something experts point out qualify that... inaudible thank you very much. we qualify that... inaudible thank you very much-— you very much. we 'ust got audio from i you very much. we 'ust got audio from him. h you very much. we just got audio from him. our- you very much. we just got i audio from him. our business correspondent in india. tessa has seen a jump in deli

has russia gained the power that allows it to strive for establishing control over the black sea straitsd the balkans, and if ukraine remains part of russia, then germany's strategic goals will never be achieved. germany's goals in world war i were to tear away russia and its western and southern territory, push it away from the black sea, the savkaza, and create a russophobic buffer state west of the dnieper . the union for the liberation of ukraine, created by dmitry dantsov. ukraine has always been an open enemy of russia and in its liberation aspirations it has always sought help from the west, europe will never achieve peace, it will never be freed from the threat of tsarist invasion, it will never be at peace for its culture. until a stronghold against russia is created in the vast routes of ukraine. entire units were formed as part of the austro-hungarian army and positioned themselves as ukrainian. one of the austro-hungarian princes already laid claim to the future ukrainian throne. from the memoirs of priest joseph yevorsky. the army received instructions and maps with villages

most modern missile weapons, well, this is such an awesome target, imagine somewhere in the robb straitcoln crashed there. what next, what next, everyone else will be blown away, that is, since there is no group, what to do, what to do, bomb iran with nuclear weapons, we have an agreement with iran somewhere on the way out, now they are probably working on this somewhere line must understand, we will happen, what is happening there today, we know, we follow every day, we read the news. this is how the war in israel in lebanon will end, it is clear who will lose, when and how, with what losses, what it will look like, what will happen in the future, i unfortunately did not find this analysis anywhere, i searched for it very hard, these are not just some bad forecasts from the realm of fantasy, they are clearly calculated, because what is happening today in the middle east, what is happening in iran, what is happening in the persian gulf, and what is happening in ukraine, that's it. guys, that's it.

we can see the extent to which any congestion in the straits of hormuz could push oil north of $100 a potentially bring economic growth to a standstill across the globe. haslinda: how are you assessing the muted response in the energy market? $74 a barrel this fight escalating tensions in the middle east. how do you make sense of it? alexis: i was sitting in the region on october 7 last year. and watching the market response being muted. vix came up and u.s. treasury purchases increased. the view from stating within the gcc is that this conflict might be contained. it is an age-old conflict and it will be contained. where i think we have gotten into new territory is the fact that we have a gcc, oil exporters and a rock produce about -- and iraq produce about a fifth of global daily demand. the saudi's have a refinery on the west coast that could get through the suez that way. if you think about the rest of the exporters coming through the streets of hormuz, this is hugely potentially dramatic for global markets. the other interesting thing to know is markets consistently overestimate

of indigenous excellence, where he took part in a smoking ceremony and met aboriginal and torres straite with told him their goal is "sovereignty". the visit came after the king was accused on monday of "genocide" against australia's first nations by senator lidia thorpe who told him "you are not my king". ms thorpe is facing an increasing backlash after a controversial cartoon of king charles was posted on her instagram account after she was escorted out of parliament on monday. it is good to have you with us today. hello there. the next few days are looking pretty decent. we've got high pressure building in — that's going to lift temperatures. we should see more sunshine around, but we will have some issues with that dense fog during the morning periods, particularly on wednesday. today, though, is one of mostly dry with sunny spells, but there will be some showers around courtesy of this weather front. moving from west to east. stays quite windy across the northern half of scotland. the isobars a bit tighter here, some blustery with a few showers. any showers across southern and east

high when he's made plans over the course of today, and him so tomorrow, moving allison's beside one straits, weakening again as it approaches china. the south eastern provinces of china, where officials have already also issued warnings for the approaching storm. and you say the whole island is effected just explained 12 viewers who haven't been to type one how you evacuate an entire island. i mean, you can just take everyone off the island, can you? yeah, absolutely. so important points out. it's not any box you ation cost, say what happens when it's a, a type thing to is that cool inside one is the majority of schools and businesses remain shot with or to the residence to remain as home as far as possible. i'm the people who are advanced rates that are in most specific areas. again, as i mentioned in, in mountainous areas that are more principal landlines, more prime 0 to receive heavy wind and rain. so it's not that people can be evacuated from inside cities. um, people in cars to stay at home as far as possible. so life does feel strange. you're looking at the new little operations and

indigenous excellence where he took part in a smoking ceremony and met with aboriginal and torres straitpresentatives. one of the indigenous elders he spoke with told him their goal is "sovereignty". the visit came after the king was accused on monday of "genocide" against australia's first nations by senator lidia thorpe who told him "you are not my king". a short while ago, anti—monarchy protestor wayne wharton was arrested while demonstrating in sydney. his daughter told the bbc why her father was protesting. u nfortu nately, we unfortunately, we live in a colonised, invaded country. he needs to keep resisting people like him and all the other leaders need to keep resisting so we can have treaties and have our right spirit so our children and young people and men and women in custody stop dying, so health outcomes improve, so we can actually self—determined. if we don't get treaties and have our sovereign rights are respected, we will never have that. let's speak to our australia correspondent katy watson. tell us more about this final day of the torah.— day of the torah. the conversa

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terrible cataclysm of the third world war, exchanges of nuclear missile strikes, the closure of the straitf armuz there and so on, i somehow do not expect such a development of the situation in principle, the exchange, the exchange of missile strikes, will certainly continue, how intense will it be, well, israel's response will certainly be, certainly, but will there be subsequent strikes, here too... despite the fact that hamas, as he said, is much inferior to hazbala in its military potential, they still haven't been able to do anything with hamas for a year, that is why here, when it's not so much a method of analogy, but simply a method of calculating military potential, i understand that everything will be very not the experience of the second lebanon war, that everything will be very then in the first 2-3 days. somehow only in this way can the correct point of view be developed, i ask, thank you, i am present from the middle east, i would like to somehow distract attention a little remember, after all, along with the near east, there is also the far east, and today is a significant d

of homes that lies between 0man the strait of homes that lies between oman and iran and is key to thee down and we saw a flight to safety where investors buy what they consider safe investments such as us dollars. howjumpy and sensitive are those investors feeling right now? there are many factors _ investors feeling right now? there are many factors they _ investors feeling right now? there are many factors they have - investors feeling right now? there are many factors they have to - are many factors they have to consider where it comes to the stock market but there is a very similar reaction to what we saw when russia invaded ukraine and a similar action when shares in asia fell and we saw a flight to safety as well at the time. things like gold prices and the japanese yen. their values jumped. we have seen similar market reaction before but when we talk about the middle east, tensions have been escalating and investors have been escalating and investors have been watching the situation closely. there are other factors like the state of the us economy. we're also seeing chinese and

if some of that is disrupted, if the strait of her muse is disrupted, where would you see it? >> any attack on oil facilities and refineries, it's a knock on the region. it's a be upcy ply of natural gas into iraq. without that supply, petropumps go dry, and that's a big problem for the iraqi government. the problem for opec, it's very difficult for them. so there is a big knock-on effect within opec to any attack on iranian oil, refinery, infrastructure that could come from this by the israelis in response. >>> in terms of the export markets as jeff currie just said, the market is looking at next year. we still have 5.6 million barrels a day of idle opec on the sidelines. saudi arabia wants to bring as much of its oil back as possible. any disruption to iranian supplies to the international market could probably be made up by opec's spare capacity and its idle oil at the moment. >> that makes a lot of sense given the amount of spare capacity when it comes to tmid the middle east there. he warns of a 50% increase in oil. obviously this is a very much veiled threat. we're going