i know you are a participant in the iowa strawpoll last time around. action, if we could talk about that. lots of candidates said they would not participate, forcing republicans to cancel that poll. what were your thoughts about that decision to pull the plug on that poll this time around? tim: i think that is good riddance. the iowa straw poll was not well run in terms of the methodology. history showed it was not a good predictor of anything. not the iowa caucuses, not the ultimate nominee, not of the next president. it did not have any particular value other than to provide a distorted assessment early in the process. so i was glad that they got rid of it. frankly, a week later, nobody cared about the results. there are so many straw polls and flash polls that anyone does not mean that much. >> trump's number one, carson is number two. how do you think that is going to shake out there? tim: there is a long way to go between now and the iowa caucuses in early 2016. iowans are notorious for deciding late. it is a more conservative state in terms of ca