it was very much an election of suburban america against rural america. ated suburban voters who had voted republican in the past, but switched this time. meanwhile, it was voters in rural areas who helped republicans to tighten their grip on the senate, as our north america correspondent nick bryant reports from philadelphia. the prosperous suburbs of america's major cities have traditionally been a republican stronghold. this is golf club country. but this seat went democrat because of a white—collar revolt against donald trump among more affluent and highly educated voters. we either organise or we fail... suburban women especially have been energised, many like this group of volunteers who decided to get involved in politics in reaction to his presidential victory two years ago. i'm not sure that donald trump is able to take much of a message from this but i really hope that other leaders in congress and other national political leaders will recognise that that message of hate and racism doesn't work. what we've seen since his election is that a lot of

it was very much an election of suburban america against rural america. e helped by educated suburban voters who had voted republican in the past but switched this time. meanwhile, it was voters in rural areas who helped republicans to tighten their grip in the senate, as our north america correspondent, nick bryant, reports from philadelphia. the prosperous suburbs of america's major cities have traditionally been a republican stronghold. this is golf club country. but this seat went democrat because of a white—collar revolt against donald trump among more affluent and highly educated voters. we either organise or we fail... suburban women especially have been energised, many like this group of volunteers who decided to get involved in politics in reaction to his presidential victory two years ago. i'm not sure that donald trump is able to take much of a message from this but i really hope that other leaders in congress and other national political leaders will recognise that that message of hate and racism doesn't work. what we've seen since his election

the issue of health care, infrastructure and jobs will resonate in rural america, in suburban america and urban america. and the way it helped us in 2018, it's going to help us here. i think the president lost more votes because of the kavanaugh issue than gained throughout the country. >> let's talk about the florida recount going on right now, the florida senate election is moving in that direction, as are two other races there. broward county, florida, has been plagued with election problems, not just this year but in the past. the election supervisor has been accused in the past of illegally destroyi ining ballots. this year in state law, a judge needed to step in. isn't it reasonable for people to have concerns about what's going on in broward county? >> look, every vote should be counted and president trump and rick scott are so afraid of every vote being counted because they think scott will lose if that happens that they're interfering. they allege massive fraud. his own republican officials in florida said there is no fraud. when you vote by mail, it takes a while to count th

a blue we've but democrats have sent a message to washington i don't win in metropolitan and suburban america has left the party in control of the house of representatives. jubilant democrat leaders said they will rein in the polarizing president. and civilians to morrow will be a new day in america i was a member is feeling you know the power to win was. is brilliant there are chemicals and republicans it's of their restoring the constitution's jackson down to the champions was. was but it didn't all go to democrats way from tennessee to texas republicans won increasing their control of the senate. one time presidential hopeful ted cruz was among those fending off challenges the. fact is there's already the president hilda results in a tweet calling them a tremendous success. then there is the changing face of u.s. politics the record number of women elected twenty one year old alexandria. becomes the youngest woman ever sent to congress dave holland in new mexico was one of two native americans to win election shall we stay vid a lesbian was the other. how on earth moment only meanwhile two

democrats and reports of sent a message to washington was a win after win in metropolitan and suburban america has left the party on the verge of winning control of the house of representatives jubilant democrat leaders said they will remain in the polarizing president. arrives here tomorrow it will be a new day in america was it will. remember this feeling you know the power to win the iraq. today is rid of their chemical suits and republicans it's of their restoring the constitution's checks and balances to the champions i was it was was. was but it didn't all go to democrats way from tennessee to texas republicans won increasing their control of the senate the one time presidential hopeful ted cruz was among those fending off challenges. taxes will allow the president held the results in a tweet calling them a tremendous success but the story of this vote is of the changing face of u.s. politics a record number of women elected. and there met he'll hand or mar who is breaking the mold in minneapolis. the first woman to come to memphis and i stayed in congress the. the first. limb into our k

are they favoring suburban america or does rural america gets stronger. >> i think suburban america flexed its muscle certainly suburban women. >> and independents did too. >> they shift from one party to the other and they shifted to democrats in the house races. frankly the democrats, all of us have to realize that we have lost the working americans in the rust belt and it is time for us to reengage with them. they always used to be democrats. and we have to realize that we have to listen to them as well. >> a lot of people complained that the democrats have no coherent message. that president trump with all of his hot button issue. this is what nancy pelosi said, she talked about a democratic house and what it would do. and it is about stopping the assault of medicare, medicaid, the affordable care act. is that what democrats will take forward or will they try also to figure out an economic message? that they don't have? >> absolutely. and our economic message is infrastructure. it creates good paying jobs. we have crumbling infrastructure. we will work with him on infrastructure. it is

big wins for democrats in urban and suburban america and big wins for republicans in rural america. >>ll right, mark murray, senior political edito f nbc news, appreciate the time. >> thank you. >>> the girl scouts are going after the boy scouts with a federal lawsuit. the organization says the boy scouts rebranding effort causes confusi confusion. last year, the boy scouts orhenization announced ty are dropping "boy" from the name and startdmitting girls. now the girl scouts claim that families looking to sign up their girls were falsely told that the two groups had merged. in the complaint, the girl scouts said the boy scouts had no right to monopol words like "scout" or "suting" when they offer services to girls. >>> new information about a crash that sent a school bus flipping to its side. we know that w four people hurt. none of them were students. police say the bus was headed northeast to northeast high school this morning with 11 students on board when it crashed into an suvn glen burnie. the bus driver, an taide, and other people in the vehicle had minor injuries, but expec

is two senators per state and if democrats can't figure out how to reach people in rural and suburban america like the republicans do it's going to be a real problem in terms of trying to take back not just the house but the senate eventually as well my and so what happens next for trump and his administration we've seen the democrats win the house the republicans have held on to the senate are we going to see the president move forward strengthened in his position. well solidifying a lead in the senate a majority in the senate is certainly nothing to sniff at so the republicans were not totally and president trump was not totally wrong in saying that last night the midterms were necessarily a victory for them as well and we did see the president in the last few days try to soften his tone so that he was willing to take steps to reach out across the aisle maybe he wants to take a gentle or tone from now on but then we also saw this press conference just a few hours ago where he was very combative with the press and was lashing out at both the media and democrats saying that the house better n

republicans of the party of urban and rural america, the democrats are the party of urban and suburban americall have harsher culture clashes. the divides are less on issues and more on what does america -- how do you define an american and who an american? it's all these cultural fight which s which i think in some ways as thee partiesme geographically different those fights will get harsher and it will defis 2020 we go forward. >> another oar industry to that dominated the headlines. we talked about it today on the ow is the firing of attorney general jeff sessions. what does this mean for mueller and the russian probe? >> i think muellerar was pr for this moment and he protected the investigation as best he could. he sent pieces of it to the southern district of new york, other pieces to the esttern ct of virginia so it's not like it's going to disappear ane the ho democrats can get mueller -- always subpoena mueller and get him in front of them to describe what's going o but i think the president's actions show he's nervous. he moves so quickly. jeff sessions had -- was fine to resign. nk

meof hate and racism doesn't work. >> what we have seen since his election is that a lot of suburban americat didn't feel it needed to be involved before woke up and got involved me out. we are seeing the results of that now. nick: what was striking about the seat on the outskirts of philadelphia was just how easily the democrats won it. in an area full of mulllion dollar homes, republicans suffered a landslide deat. these elections reinfohe realignment of u.s. politics. where democratic strength is concentrated in metropolitan areas, t cities and their suburbs, and donald trump's america lies beyond. the neighboring congressional district is rural and strongly republican. pennsylvania went trump two years ago partly because of in thesear voters heartland communities. they remain fiercely loyal. >> i think he is trying to keep his promises to the best of his ability. nick: this truck driver thingsum that donalp is that rare thing, a presidential promise keeper. he also likes his hard-line stance on immigration. >> i guess you have to make a stand between breaking the law and not breaking the

suburban america is their base. >> dana has two more projections in the u.s. senate. dana. >> two big projections in the u.s. senate starting with indiana. this is big because this is a republican pickup. cnn is projecting mike braun is going to be the next senator from indiana beating joe donnelly. and in wisconsin the democrat is going to go on for another term. cnn is projecting that tammy baldwin has won her race in wisconsin. so two big projections, especially in indiana. let's look at what this means for the balance of power right now in the u.s. senate. 37 democrats. 44 republicans as you saw. the one pickup so far. 19 seats remaining for the evening. 51 at the top of the screen. that's very hard to -- for democrats to do right now. and that is the number that they would need to take control of the u.s. senate. wolf and jake. >> you know, the democrats have a very, very limited route to take the majority with the defeat of joe donnelly in indiana. >> limit second down a nice way to put it. it's jgenerous. it looks like not only will democrats not win back the s

and no where is that morid vent than in suburban america. brian sullivan is in moorstown new jersey for usni t. >> reporter: you may not think it but this little congressional district that cuts across the middle o sou central new jersey may just perfectly represent the nation as a whol now at this recording this district, new jersey's third, has not been zided. it's too close to call and votes in.comin but why it may represent the country as a whole is not about that part. it's abo what peopl care about, whether or not it's here in the weltier suburbing of moorstown across the river from philadelphia or out near the ocean in tom's river which leane blican. because the election is about the economy. but more than that it's about health care. listen to what david said about his main concerns. >> the meditation that i take to keep me ive, to kee my cancer in remission costs $9,000 a month. i am covered with the affordable care act. if the republicans are to monkey around with that much more, or god for bid, take it away i won't be able to affo

blue wave but democrats have sent a message to washington when their win in metropolitan and suburban america has left the party in control of the house of representatives. jubilant democrat leaders said they will reign in the polarizing president. arrives here tomorrow will be a new day in america i was a member is feeling you know the power to win was. today is religion there are chemicals and republicans it's of their restoring the constitution's checks and balances to the champions was. it was but it didn't all go the democrats way from tennessee to texas republicans won increasing their control of the senate. one time presidential hopeful ted cruz was among those fending off challenges. as taxes will rise the president held the results in a tweet calling them a tremendous success. then there is the changing face of u.s. politics the record number of women elected twenty one year old alexandria. becomes the youngest woman ever sent to congress dave holland in new mexico was one of two native americans to win election show reached david a lesbian was the other. how birth moment and meanwhi

wave but democrats have sent a message to washington was when after when in metropolitan and suburban america has left the party in control of the house of representatives jubilant democrat leaders said they will rein in the polarizing president. and see you tomorrow will be a new day in america was here it is here and now the power to win was. exerted is already there can occur as republicans it's of their restoring the constitution's checks and balances to the champions was. was but it didn't all go to democrats way from tennessee to texas republicans won increasing their control of the senate the one time presidential hopeful ted cruz was among those fending off challenges the lawyer says taxpayers would have the president hilda results in a tweet calling them a tremendous success. and then there is the changing face of u.s. politics the record number of women elected twenty one year old alexandria. becoming the youngest woman ever sent to congress dave holland in new mexico was one of two neat of americans to win election sure east david's a lesbian was the other. meanwhile two news loom

america. and it is fought in suburban congressional districts that our purple. notd read. these are places wherere president trumps numbers are very different from red america and a lot of this is urban suburban with a different venue. two different elections one for the senate and one for everything else. the other metaphor is we have what appears to be a blue democratic tidal wave up against a red republican seawall there are structures there but it will mitigate a way to a certain extent so what will be stronger? the way for the wall and i will talk about each of those elements. butav t first go back to the wae with the context of this election with a few point us on election night with policy implications midterm elections on the incumbent president and how much this is true we had 38 midterm elections whichever party at the white house you have already computed that a 92 percent. starting at the beginning we have had 29ct midterm elections whichever party in the white house had a net loss of governorships. twenty-six out of 29? even down at the statete legislative leve

but over in say the house, which more in suburban america, purple america, and a place president trump doesn't do o well, it had an effect, but not as much because the thing about it is democrats, here is secret about partisans coming home. the thing about it, this time democrats never left home. a lot of them had been really, really, really energized ever november of 2016. a lot of them never got over it. o they were already, but republicans were sort of lethargic about it or complacent, not paying that sort of thing. when nbc and "wall street journal" did the september, mid-september poll, okay, the 9s tens went up from 63 to 65. number, 9's and 10's went from 51, january to 61.st, from 51 to a 10-point jump. democratic advantage becomes four-point democratic advantage. in they did the poll mid-october, i think they have one coming out on sunday, when mid-october, it wass still four points. intensity went for both sides, up another nine points, went up to 72, but 68.blicans went up to so there still is a democratic intensity advantage, but man, not what it was least anaugh, at post-k

were places that were nry close 2016, or that hillary clinton won, we really very close the suburban america> how likely is that it it will go their way? you would rather it be them. yo never know until votes come in. 2016 was an important reminder. it turned out to be more decisive than people saw it. i wouldn't be surprised if there's a surprise or two coming our way this evening. nflt thank you. we'll see you. >> tonight, you get an all access political pass inside a room few people have seen. >> without a special i.d., you can't get beyond this. this is the decision desk. i've never been allowed in here before. it is the beating heart of our election coverage. tonight on "nightly news," we'll show you what goes on inside. how the calls are made. >> stick around for an nbc 4 election special starting at 7:30. wel have the early results as polls begin to close with updates. >> one result is already in. toda we learn who won the confident title of sexie man alive. >> we'll tell hue else made the list. and hers the list. someoneur viewers know very well. >> plus, a big change could be >> plu

but over in say the house, which is more in suburban america, purple america, and a place where president trump doesn't do so well, it had an affect but not as much. because the thing about it is democrats here's the dirty little secret. about partisans coming home. the thing about it is this time democrats never left home. a lot of them had been really, really energized since november of 2016. a lot of them never got over it. they were ready but reps were lethargic about it or complacent, not paying attention. when nbc and the "wall street journal" did their mid-september poll, the 9's and 10's for democrats went up by 2 points from 63 to 65. but the republican number, 9's and 10's went from 51, from january through august. from 51, to 61. a ten-point jump. so suddenly that 12-point democratic advantage becomes a 4-pointdemic advantage. and when they did their poll in mid-october and i think they have one coming out on sunday. when they did one in mid-october it was still 4 points where intensity went up for both sides, democrats went up to 72 but republicans went a up to 68, so there's

win big races in states that have large enough rural populations to either of on the offset suburban america>> laura: it's those racist rural people. how dare the country bumpkins ruin the country for the urbanite relief. when the country rejects the left's race was asian of politics, the democrats write them off altogether. i have a simple question to ask. how do you build a political movement by hating on basically half of the american people? rather than grapple why this tactic fell flat last night, the media continued the race to the bottom during today's white house news conference. >> on the campaign trail, some you call yourself a nationalist. >> such a racist question! >> there is some people who are saying that the republican party is seen as supporting white nationalists -- >> why do i have my sizable numbers ever with african-americans? why do i have the highest whole numbers ever with african-americans? that such a racist questions -- vehicle have you ever used racist remarks? 's vehicle at one point you told her -- it's just a percent, sir. single digits. >> when you talk about

suburban america has been read for a long time and shifted blue a few years ago. in all likelihood it's probably purple this time year. that's outside. on the senate side you can look at where we begin the night on tuesday at 51 tbyte 49 you can take this map and mess with it all you want. on the democratic side if they flip nevada and arizona look where we are. were back at 51 - 49. that's where we started. about 47 hours away will get some data and see this map fill in. >> remember being up there 2016, watching that map. >> speaking of history, midterms will not usually tied to the party in the white house with few exceptions. presidents have lost congressional seats after they won the president. here with morris chris wallace and analyst. [inaudible] great to have both of you with us. chris how has this generally worked in the past and what can the president call a good night. >> since world war ii, the average in the first midterm after new president is elected for his party is the house, they lose 28 feet spread that's the average and i think it's two or thre

it cost him in suburban america.e boring and embrace the good economy. >> scott jennings. keith boykin, thank you. we'll be right back. cal: we saved our money and now, we get to spend it - our way. ♪ valerie: but we worry if we have enough to last. ♪ cal: ellen, our certified financial planner™ professional, helps us manage our cash flow and plan for the unexpected. valerie: her experience and training gave us the courage to go for it. it's our "confident forever plan"... cal: ...and it's all possible with a cfp® professional. find your certified financial planner™ professional at letsmakeaplan.org. so, let's talk about conference calls. there's always a certain amount of fumbling. a lot of times it doesn't work. we have problems. comcast business goes beyond fast. by letting you make and receive calls from any device using your business line. and conference calls you can join without any dial-ins or pins. (phone) there are currently 3 members in this conference. i like that. i like that too. i would use that in a h

enough places to win big races in states that have large enough rural populations to off set suburban america or whatever. >> laura: those racist rural people. how dare those country bump kins ruin the country for the urbanized elite. now when the country rejects the lessrationallization of politics. the democrats write them off all together. how do you build a political movement by hating on, basically half of theal american people. rather than grapple with why this tactic fell flat last night, the media continued the race to the bottom during today's white house news conference.me >> on the campaign trail you called yoursrs a nationalist. some saw it as emboldening white nationalist. >> it is such a racist question. >> now some say now the republican party is seen by nationalist according to your rhetoric. >> why do i have the highest poll numbers among african-americans and among the highest poll numbers with african-americans? why do i have my highest poll numbers. that's such a racist question. >> no, i would never do that. i don't use racist remarks. >> you have-- >> what-- you.po >> qu

you're seeing is the democratic party is now the party, the metropolitan party of urban and suburban americand you now have the republican party as the party of ex-urban and rural america. i think that divide is going to continue to sort of create these culture clashes we have seen that have come to define our politics and, if anything, this election only deepened that divide. >> chuck, the president is in paris today, again, commemorating the 100th anniversary of world war i. you had president macron in a speech today saying nationalism is a betrayal of patriotism. and the president calling himself a nationalist days ago. you've been on these trips. how would you describe the relationship with our allies right now? >> i think it's tenuous at best and i think the allies on one hand nervous about the rise of this nationalism in europe and the haunting aspect of here we are, commemorating the 100th anniversary of the ends of world war i and in many ways it was nationalism that came out of that, which was the cause of world war ii. obviously, they are trying to use that moment for there. but i

when you look at the house, particularly in suburban america, do the republicans understand, i guess, depth of their problem? are they going to say this is just trump or do they understand they have a problem? >> republicans understand the depth of the problem. i'm sure the president does not. a lot of republicans if you talk to them candidly, they understand this phenomenon of having lost the suburbs and college-educated women in some of these areas of the country, could be fatal to them if they don't figure out a way to bounce back from that, if they don't figure out a way to better appeal to those kinds of voting groups, which basically you cannot win elections without. at least in the house map. you could argue, looking at the results from these midterms, that you can still win senate races in places -- in red states where there are large, rural communities that offset those losses. as a strategy going forward, as a party, if they sentence themselves to only being able to win those places, they are not going to be able to be successful and i think that has sunk in. >> you mentione

suburban america.t's been red for a long time and shifted blue a few years ago but in all likelihood will be purple this timee of year. that's on the site. on the senate side can look at where we begin the night on tuesday at 51, 49 on the what if map. take this and mess with it but missouri in north dakota, republicans think they have a w good shot on the democratic side they flip nevada and arizona, look where we are. back at 51,a 49. that's where we stopped. what is this all about? forty-seven hours rate will get pull closing and then we'll get data to see this map fill in. bret: remember being up there in 2016 watching that map? [inaudible conversations] martha: speaking of history, the midterms are not usually kind to the party that is in the white house with a few exceptions. w here with more "fox news sunday" anchor chris wallace and fox to senior clinical analyst for a tomb. great to have both of you with us this evening. give us examples. to start with you, chris. how this has worked in the pa

really don't think the president understands what happened in the midterms, especially not in suburban americatypes of districts i have been able to represent. i was the top-performing republican in my district, getting just over 49% and losing a pretty close race. governor scott got about 44.5%. governor-elect the santos -- desantis got about 44.5%. most appreciated i had my own brand and i was someone, whether the president has been trump or obama, held them accountable, worked with them when they were doing things that were good for my community in the country, and opposed them when i needed to. jason: let's talk about where the party goes from here. as you pointed out, it was a different kind of election. i spoke with eric cantor last week. he was talking about this idea that the suburbs, especially the republican strongholds really changed over the midterms. it certainly has been something of a bifurcation in the party. where does it go from here and how worried are you about the state of the party at the moment? rep. curbelo: i am worried because the republican party, when it has been su

so what we will do moving forward as being a party of not only urban america but also suburban americaon tuesday show that. >> is there any surprise in the outcome of some of the senate races? >> the senate was -- we saw can tell mike a contest where we think we would see contests. and the law allows for that. but as you kind of look at the landscape of the country, kavanaugh, the battle made a big difference. the deciding factor in that is the senate. there were places where there were angry women in this country because they didn't like the way things rolled out on both sides of the political aisle but, there was an awakening among those on the conservative side because they didn't want their voices diminished as women. they just wanted to be women who didn't want to be the script that everyone was writing. so i'm not surprised that republicans are picking up's seats. i'm not surprised they are picking up strength within some of the female core. >> you know, women are married to men, generally. not always. we have sons, we have brothers, and we have fathers. when you ask them, they d

for one, the democrats did very well in suburban america which is large metropolitan areas and republicanslots of educated americans, college—educated americans are in the suburban areas and the detested tromp, when as many people in a brutal america making up much of his base —— people living in rural america. i think we need to have stumbled across the board appealing to progress as a moderate independents and someone with lots of charisma. which side of the party do they come from? that which side of the party do they come from ? that anything which side of the party do they come from? that anything on tuesday set up from? that anything on tuesday set up that as to whether they are a progressive or from the centre? the short answer is no. i think there will be several people who will emerge as we have this giant field that drops down to four or five candidates. someone or a couple will emerge to budge those two worlds. time for some names. i think this much is a big issue running against this president as many republicans found out he is not easy to run against. if our audiences want to

the president is making his rounds with a cup of guests that's it's clearly not suburban america they'reg in. >> reporter: as youhension ment the president is coming here and this is really his final pitch ahead of tomorrow's election. and he's saying, one, he's trying to convince missouri voters that control of the senate could come down to this state. but josh holly like the president has also said this mid-term election is about security. one securing the borders but two securing president trump's victory. hawley said the democrats are still mad about the last presidential election, so he told voters every single vote they've had in the last year they're going to see stripped away if they do not vote republican. here in missouri regardless of who people say they're voting for. >> and missouri, not an early voting state, so it's all about getting that energy to show up on actual election day, which is why the president's got shawn hannity and rush limbaugh as his special guests tonight. >>> up ahead the key house races to watch tomorrow night. how to watch one state's house races that

the house looks more and more like the rest of urban and suburban america. we have women, we have people of color, we have openly gay, openly lesbian, native american. it's incredibly encouraging. >> muslim. >> muslim, absolutely. the senate is a little behind. i think that is going to create mayor and more conflict as this unfolds. >> now, michael, was it a mistake for president trump to make himself the center of the republican message. he actually started saying the vote for the republican is a vote for me. was that a mistake? >> this was a tale of two midterms. in the senate races which were dominated by senate democrats running in very red, very rural states where the president is still very, very popular, his support was very helpful. that's why you saw an expended republican majority in the senate. however, because of his personal scandals and harsh tone and policies, he was increasingly unpopular among suburban voters, particularly college educated women. that was toxic for house republicans. as for whether it was a smart political strategy for him t

whatou're seeing is the democratic party is now the party, the metropolitan party of urban and suburban america and you have the republican party as the party of ex-urbannd urban america. i think that divide will continue to create these culture clashes that we've seen that have come to define our polit s politics. if anything, this election only deepened that divihe. >> chuck, president is in paris today again commemorating the 100 anniversary of the end of world war i. a trip not without controversy. you had president mack crone of france saying, que,ot nationalism is a betrayal of tatriotism. the president j days ago describing himself as a nationalist. you've been on these trips as a white house correspondent. how would you describe the president's relationship with our allies right now? >> reporter: i think it's tenuous at best and i think our lies feel more emboldened. while they're very nervous about the rise o nationalism in europe and the haunting aspect of here we aremo comting the 100th anniversary of the end of world war i m and iny ways it was nationalism that came out of that whic

do you think koenlz michael coh doing this so people in suburban america, may like trump or the economic part of it, have to reckon with the idea in this climate of hate he is privately behind closed doors also engaging in the supremacy that encourages hate? >> if he is motivated by his moral conscience or by politics, it still needs to be out there. i think it is irrelevant what the motive is. what's relevant is, is the behavior there, and why doesn't the president forthrightly deal with it. >> let me ask a question. of course he wants it there for that reason. that's a given. he wants voters or wouldn't say it. that is a given. i am saying this was not, i speak of michael a lot, this was not two weeks ago, we're doing this. this was as a result of what happened in pittsburgh. some of the events. the rhetoric, the racism, rants, chanting has heightened. i think that's what pushed him to do it. it is the right thing to do and i'm glad he did it. >> and donny, you have insight in this, thank you for being on the program. rev, stay with me. let's turn from the words of racism to what many

in very blue places but in oklahoma and texas, you see switches in the house, particularly in suburban americae are just i think fed up with the division that he sews in american politics. and their only out. for that was to vote for candidates that they thought would restore some balance in washington and again to fulfill the solemn constitutional responsibility of oversight in the house of representatives. >> and they are telling me, i'm over time in a sentence or two, that's the difference in your view between winning a white house race and winning a school board race? >> well, in the case of my daughter, she was able to knock out every door in the district. i think in the white house you have to problemt the future. >> aha. >> -- in a way that is really intermediatated by the media. put it that way. >> personally meeting with every voter would be hard in the national reagans. >> exactly. >> i appreciate you coming on "the beat" tonight. >> thanks. from the white house pushing out these new false lying doctored videos, there is an important story this week on the newsing of fox media machin

if they keep being that progressive, goes back to the question, moms in suburban america will say that is not the direction country should go and we'll -- charles: a lot of key progressives in the race on democratic side lost last night. less than a minute. foxconn became an issue in your state. the huge tax breaks, perhaps them reneging on parts of the deal. is there any regret on the part of republicans for bringing in the foxconn deal which could potentially be an amazing deal, apparently now it has become politicized? >> that didn't play well in northern part of the state because foxconn is in the southeast. it wasn't an issue, governor walker did well in the rural north. i would say this, regard to the house, charles. we were swamped in money. not complaining bit. if you know who can pick next speaker, michael bloomberg spent $105 million on this race, house races. we don't complain about it. that is fair. he can spend his money. democrats complain when republicans have money, republicans spend money for them. however when democrats get michael bloomberg or steyer money, billionai

how much do you attribute to just the trump effect in suburban america and how much of it was there sort sort of the oddness of dana rohrabacher and his relationship with russia and put sgln all came into play. certainly there are democratic changes. you couple that with the extremism that has been put forth by trump and his supporters and quirkiness and outlandish positions of dana rohrabacher and making sure you can raise enough to educate voters as to where he is allowed us to move over the finish line and win this. >> had you ever voted for him. >> for who? >> for rohrabacher when you were a republican. >> no. >> you're a former republican at one time, right? >> after '97 so i left prior to that time period, prior to newt gingrich. you had republicans who believed in environmental stewardship and believed in a woman's rights. >> california republicans, there were a lot of them. >> and republicans in other parts of the country as well and believed in civil right, voting rights and bringing down the deficit and all of that seems to be on the back burner now with the current republican

where the democrats made the most gains were in suburban america.e last four or five days have uncovered more votes, the democratic house lead goes up from the low 30s to the high 30s, and maybe even 40. democrats winning the arizona senate race, which did not look like a realistic outcome in that initial vote on election night. then, of course, the more legislative victories that they've had in state houses across the country. and katy, i think the best way to look at it, this was a wave. you ended up having a situation where the democrats are probably going to win the national popular vote by seven points, but it was an uneven wave given red states and rural areas still held strong for the republicans. >> you also say trump has remade the gop in his own image and it's costing them. >> let's take the arizona senate race, for example. the entire context of that was that jeff flake decided not to run for re-election after his fights with the president, after he said there wasn't a place for someone like him with his immigration views in the republica

lot like that virginia district, that will give you a sense of what the train looks like in suburban americae ones if you want to go to sleep early or get a sense early of the democratic targets, these few are the ones that you should look at fairly closely. now, one of the states that both parties are going to be looking closely at is minnesota. republican and democratic operatives tell nbc news that will be their bellwether for how the night turns out. nbc's kevin tibbles has visited minnesota's eight congressional districts. he joins us now from red wing, south of minneapolis. kevin, i have red wing boots. what's the connection? >> well, the connection is red wing is one of the oldest cities in the states, and it is the home of red wing shoes, which are known around the world and obviously made right here. as a matter of fact, ali, there is a nice new pair of them in the trunk of the rental car across the street. but we're here to talk elections and here in the second district today. we've gone from the eighth, which is up by duluth, down to the third, which is in the minneapolis area. we

house where the real battleground is in suburban america and among 25 districts that republicans currently hold that hillary clinton carried in 2016. so the rhetoric that trump uses on any given day usually helpful in the senate states and sometimes not as helpful in the suburban house districts and having one election but his impact could be positive in one front and negative on the other depending on which race you talk about. it is a bifurcation. of how people are reacting based on where they live and their personal characteristics such as educational attainment. >> would you then sort of agree? i sort of decode you to be saying what's conventional wisdom right now that the democrats are very likely to win back the house. if you listen to the current minority leader, she thinks they will win back the house. nancy pelosi said that last night. and that the senate will remain in republican hands. do you as a republican operative believe that to be the truth? >> i do. i think the high probability is we're headed for divided government. i think republicans could hold the house, but it would