now with the climate changes and the weekly news that we see of climate changes, the sea rises, the el ninot occurs that caused a lot of erosion. in fact, some parts of the beach reseeded some 40 feet as a result of el nino inthn the 200- to a dozen 10 years. y just the responsibility of an agency. one week give ideas on how to protect the nature and how to manage it, we also have to keep in mind that in the long term, there are things that we have to do to respect nature. we cannot keep fighting it. that is also something that, if we have a special attention as well. but we have got graded for a stretcher. we have the zoo that has recovered and is very successful. thousands of kids every year. thanks to tanya in your great leadership there for bringing this institution back to life for all of us. and one of the diverse uses. again, i want to thank spur. i want to recognize the great effort here and let you know that this work will be appreciated by all the agencies, certainly by me as we prioritize and engage in theaters around what we can do to continue this work and implement the great i

the ocean was undergoing serious erosion because of the el nino years. out here and try to figure out. previous efforts were made by different agencies to cause different kinds of revetments across the beach to try to stem that tide. that was my introduction to laura at the time, and i think she was just opening her cafe down there and trying to organize the people who used the beach. of course, my introduction to java beach house coffee shop at the time. so we went through some intense -- ed dpw, and want to thank the staff that continues to be here. mohammed nuru, you have got it now, but i think we have moved a lot of sand already. and what we did in those earlier years, at least to me, was to begin on what we could do to contribute to a larger picture, and this is what i got introduced to, the germans -- the tremendous diversity of people and activities that are taking place along our ocean with these new -- the zoo across the street, the ocean waters, the dog walkers, the kite gliders. people love walking our national parks. seniors, elders, and a di

the el nino weather pattern makes for a winter of record surf and a big swell is coming in from hawaiit huge, but they actually were so thick and so powerful that they were some of biggest waves we had seen. >> powerful enough to give the most experience surfers second thoughts. but a few decide they can't miss this opportunity. as grant films, one of mavericks' best-known surfers, who goes by the name flea, goes for a wave. he doesn't make it. >> this huge wave. beat him down into -- really deep. he held his breath, got pushed into the rocks and got stuck there. >> the leash attaching the surfboard to flea's leg is wrapped around one of the jagged rocks so dangerous, surfers call it "the bone yard." >> just surge after surge, held in the spot. we thought we were going to watch him die, because he's in 15-foot whitewater being pounded by waves. there's no way anyone can get there. >> miraculously the leash comes off, and flea makes it safely to shore. >> it wasn't that big of a mistake. it wasn't that bold of an attempt. so that scares everybody off a bit. people are like "whoa, okay."

waves, abnormally high sea levels and heavy rains battered fragile sea cliffs and beaches during the el ninonts of 1982 and 1997. many buildings placed directly on exposed beaches, or too close to rapidly retreating cliffs were destroyed, damaged or threatened. despite the obvious danger, however, people continue to literally live on the edge. as earth's climate warms, many scientists expect extreme weather events, including the kind causing landslides, to become more common. better planning can help people learn to live in harmony with nature rather than defy its powers. historical climate data, sea level records, measurements of slopes, and maps of vegetative cover are being combined to pinpoint spots especially vulnerable to landslides. decisions on uses of those lands could prevent future loss of life and property.

the west. it looks like we could be heading into an el nino winter. that could be more moisture in the other areas. that doesn't begin until november or so. right now we're watching incredible heat. yesterday was 113 in phoenix. today we'll be once again easily into above 110 degrees. everywhere in the west, very, very hot. that's a lookir standards. 106 today in red bluff, california. unfortunately, it's going to be even hotter tomorrow, especially in the northwest. >> no, no, no. >> yes. >> say it won't be. >>> coming up, retailers rise, housing data on deck, and the overcharge that gives power failure a whole new meaning. your early morning business headlines are straight ahead. >>> plus, rumors of more fallout from kristin stewart's cheating scandal and whether they're true. >>> coming up, an unsung hero, mutiny in the red sox clubhouse, and charlie sheen. you've got to stay tuned for that. you're watching "early today." >>> good morning and welcome back to "early today." i'm lynn berry, and here are some of your top headlines this morning. the for

. >> reporter: even the arrival of a hurricane-killing el nino, which normally causes wind shear, breaking tropical systems apart, will not slow this season. noaa now expects 12 to 17 named storms, including 5 to 8 hurricanes of which 2 or 3 could be major with winds of at least 111 miles per hour. but it's not just the winds. flooding is the leading cause of death from hurricanes. and a slow-moving tropical storm can produce tremendous amounts of rain. we saw that in june, with tropical storm debbie in florida, and who can forget last year when tropical storm irene inundated the northeast? from new york city -- some of the steadier rain bands are making their way in. through new england, swamping vermont. now, one of the reasons experts think the second half of the season will be very active is, it's already started. we'll show you here, the three circles are the tropical systems we're looking at right now. ernesto, this little wave that's near jamaica. and td-7, just named in the last couple of hours. it will take the "g" name. and off the coast of africa, we are watching, this is where

it may be el nino playing the part.ink when you get drunk you start taking things off. >> i put things on. >> when you are drunk? >> yes, i put layers of clothing on. >> he was so trashed last night he was wearing a moo-moo. >> and that's what he calls is cow. >> he is gangster like that. he is a musician. you can't judge these guys by regular rules, right? >> i was going to say, drinking and driving and wrong. diane, he was recently involved in a messy divorce. he is living a country music song. >> i didn't hear about the one walking into the store naked to buy sig cets and then lay -- cigarettes and then laying in the street, but maybe that is his next hit. >> that will be my big hit. >> are they saying he might be -- >> gay? >> yes. >> that's the old story. >> what does that have to do. >> if are you butt naked in your car, what neighborhood are you driving through? >> straight guys get naked too. >> i don't think they have a gayborhood. >> speaking of driving he owned a 1998 trans am. that's not pertinent. >> kind o

the sun did not seem to be driving this effect. finally among other things we tried atlantic currents, el niÑo. hey fit but do not give the overall rise. we tried carbon monoxide smack-on. it came a shock to me. i didn't know that that's what the answer would be. that's the best explanation for the rising temperature is the human-caused carbon monoxide. >> eliot: i looked at the charts, and people should go to the website and we'll post a link on our website. in fact, i'm not sure we'll get it on the screen momentarily but it is incredibly persuasive. you tracked the data and the co2 emissions and volcanic eruptions would drive it down because they block some solar heat. >> that's exactly right. >> eliot: i learned something on your website. that was not efficient. it did not explain the overall curve. give me the order of magazine attitude. how much will temperature rise if we continue on the same co2 emission track that we're on right now. >> right now the u.s. is decreasing the co2. that's our switch from coal to natural gas but china is shooting up. by the end of this year they will have twi

but there is the quiet one and i call it the rice market and it's global in structure. >> with an el nino asked you that because i am wondering if there might be rotation added with rice? >> that is what i am hinting at. whether the story is over in corn and soybeans we are not sure. i still think we have a tremendous job of rationing to do. as much as 400 million bushels. the market is going to shift its focus down to the southern hemisphe hemisphere. they absolutely must have a great crop to help re-republicanish the world's supply. >> they talked about the farmers in the midwest that are hit by the drought. they said it was not a major deal. 85 to 90% of most farmers' crops are insured. could you speak to that a little bit? do you see that? is that actually true? >> yes, i think the safety net for most farmers and ranchers is there and it is needed. they paid too much for inputs. they paid way too much for cash rent. some of the crops as you know i had clients think they might get 10 to 20 bushels per acre. that is almost unbelievable. most farmers are protected. i wouldn't label that

the coast. when you look at alisha, camille and charlie during el niÑo season, they intensified coming to the coast connell: thank you, joe. we will check back. thank you for coming on again today. >> my pleasure. connell: let's go to jeff flock. i don't know how much you heard because you are getting loan all over the place again. shows you how strong this storm is. jeff: i was fascinated to hear joe's comments. i will be able to show you a little bit more by showing you while i walk. we heard this on the ground from a lot of people saying, wow, this is less than katrina. in some ways, it did not have the catastrophic winds that katrina had, but take a look at some of the damage out here. i say had like it is passed. keep in mind, it is not passed, it is not even to us yet. this is typical of the damage that we are seeing out here. not catastrophic damage, not buildings, and apart, but the kind of damage that you see up the street over there. staff knocked over, windows blown out. it will be, it will get a pretty darn good blow. it is this water situation that is the worst part. before we get away

the parishes. that is what it is forecasting. also intensification look at charlie, camille, alicia el nino years, 48 hours before landfall for tropicalorms. katrina backed off but this will intensify. there is a myriad of forecast problems. that slow movement somebody will have the siege cause a comparable conditions to country know when it is said and done. neil: thank you joe bastardi we have david asman. it does not have to be bad to be expensive. >> 75% of oil production has been shut down in preparation. it is coming but you have to prepare for the worst. the oil companies have to walk down right now. fair airing on the side of caution. but 25% of all oil production comes from the gulf. 44% of all the oil turned into gasoline comes from the gulf. now mentioning venezuela this second largest in the world had to be shut down with a deadly explosion. gas prices will surge now. they would do that anyway. with venezuela now tropical storm i sick from it is a sensitive topic. you don't want to seem unseemly to the human harm the romney will talk about the energy platform. the u.s. canada and mexico becoming independent by 2020. it mig

in the next couple of seasons, we do expect some relief because we're going into what we call an el nino-typeonditions in the tropical pacific, and that tends to bring more rainfall to the southern tier. so we do expect some relief in the short term. however, in the long term, i would expect certainly more heat and the chances of the drought persisting, particularly in the west, are very high. >> thank you very much, professor ben kirtman from the university of miami. >>> later, selling the stars of the london games. who's the most marketable? and does endorsing an olympian always pay off? kate and i have been married for 15 years. that's 3 moves, 5 jobs, 2 newborns. it's no wonder i'm getting gray. but kate still looks like...kate. [ female announcer ] with nice'n easy, all they see is you -- in one step, nice'n easy with colorblend technology, is proven to give more blends of tones. for color that's perfectly true to you. [ rob ] i don't know all her secrets but i do know kate's more beautiful now, than the day i married her. [ female announcer ] with the dimensional color of nice'n easy, a

the storm is moving slowly. 8 miles per hour at most. it is lingering, continues to dump and dump and dump. that happens here in our el nino years. they stall out. we get 8-9 inches over night. they are getting hit hard. today was warmer. temperatures today 5 degrees warmer. air compressed. the fog went away. clear along the coast all day. a little patch this morning trying to hang in. tonight, late tonight, fog trying to filter its way back in but it is not much of a player. tomorrow night the fog is back in the forecast. why? temperatures will trend down as we head towards the -- thursday, friday, saturday. we will talk about that but today, 90 napa. 94 fairfield. 96 livermore. 80 hair ward. 87 san jose -- 80 hayward. 87 san jose. over night lows tonight, fall like. santa santa rosa 47 degrees over night. i don't anticipate fog into the bay tomorrow. computer model verifies this. thursday morning, 5:00 a.m., patches. there is a fog bank out here, what happens, brings it up to the coast, 3:00, max heating on the day. 90s. 80s. 70s. not as warm -- today more reds this way but cooler tomorrow. and the fog, when it is this far off s

heat in the middle of the country and that have caused the drought, is it -- >> you can point toni one event. we're between a la nina and el nino. what happened when you have an el nino it cuts down on the hurricane activity which is why the forecasts have been for a relatively low number. you can't predict where they go. even if you have a year where you have a couple of storms if it hits the u.s. it's a big deal. >> have you followed the average temperatures around the globe this year, paul? can i ask you questions about that? are you just mostly looking at the u.s.? >> i mostly focus on the u.s. but you can certainly ask me -- >> i know we had record temperatures. europe has been cooler than normal and parts of asia. what parts -- >> yeah. >> i have friend that look at east coast weather and decide that climate change is real. obviously i've seening sociologists write. is it cooler than average or average. >> a lot of of the world has been cooler. we'll be watching the olympics in england, has been relatively chilly over there and cold. one of the problems with climate change and sort of getting our arms around the actual so

. >> reporter: even the arrival of a hurricane killing el nino which causes wind sheer, breaking tropicalseason. noa expects 12 to 17 named storms, 5 to 8 hurricanes, of which two or three could be major with winds of at least 111 miles per hour. but it is not just the wind -- flooding is the leading cause of death from hurricanes. and a slow-moving tropical storm can produce tremendous amounts of rain. we saw that in june, with tropical storm debbie in florida. and who can forget last year when tropical storm irene inundated the northeast from new york city through new england, swamping vermont. one of the reasons hurricane experts feel like the second half of the season will be very active, it already is. td7 already on the board. and if it is named, it will take the g storm. the h storm has just tipped off the african coast. sam champion, new york. >> hurricane season from june 1 through thanksgiving. >> thanksgiving, absolutely. >> stay safe out there. >>> now to your friday forecast. hail, dangerous winds, from atlanta to new england. showers along the gulf coast. milder in the middl

the new one is now a 12 to 17- name storm. five days expected too become hurricanes and two to three becoming a category three with winds at 111 or higher. we thought that el nino might begin to develop and take these numbers down. they will not develop until after hurricane season, can which will run through november. so that's why the increase. but we now have a new warning out to the north and east of us towards baltimore into northeastern maryland. but these are the warnings that have been topped on the maryland side. we'll zoom into these storms. even though that you're not under it anymore and even washington county, you'll start to see the heavy rain. where will these storms go in the next hour? very slowly off to the north and the east and more heavy rain and storms for our friends up in pennsylvania and we'll probably see the warning extended there. but right now west of i-81. most of us had get home in the immediate metro area with a dry commute. you can see the lightning strikes right there, just popping up with the past storm right around baltimore. i think that the atmosphere will be on the unstable side. a live look outside. this is the live weath

and lucky enough to be doing that and getting into the caribbean where the waters are very warm, but still a lot of headwinds el niÑol watch it carefully. it is heading in the direction of mexico and certainly the u.s. meanwhile back home 112 degrees in oklahoma city. that is one degree off all time record high temperature. you will see similar numbers today. dallas expected to see 110. 88 degrees in new york city after torrential downpours yesterday afternoon across the tri-state. video out of connecticut, central conn. con, where flasheding was happening, a bad deal there, a couple inches of rain in a hurry. no rain today across the northeast. >> thank you very much. more wheels spinning on capitol hill, the republican controlled house passed a manier that extends the bush tax cuts at all income levels. they did it after voting down a bill passed in the democratic controlled senate last week that extended the tax cuts for everyone but the highest income levels. the two sides are at annimpass. it is nothing more than a dog and pony show. >> they'll degree on one thing, letting it expire for 122 million americans. i

they did uptick it because of the fact we had florence and ernesto which is a tropical storm which is good news. it will bring lots of rain to mexico but thinking about el ninothat's why they have made it a little higher than what they first suggested. but here at home we are dealing with storms of our own on land. and especially as we head into virginia this morning. but we are dealing with some heavier rain in a lot of spots as well. so if you are going back off towards the west, well, be prepared for that. after this first batch of rain moving through the area right here, we have another back of rain moving through and also we could be dealing with stormy weather as we go into the afternoon. so we are going to keep you abreast of that situation. we will have gusty winds with that and also possibly large hail as well. now we look at the fact we are waiting for the sun to rise heading into bel air this morning. we put it in motion and can see again not sos abouty on the roadways but we have a little -- busy on the roadways but we have a little patchy fog so take it easy heading out and about. temperatures this morning, into westminster good morning at 69 de

el tiempo en televisiÓn se nos va volando. hay alguna manera que los hijos se montan y se bajan del autobÚs? >>> hay mucha aplicaciones a travÉs de los the fonasaelÉfono comunicaciÓn ambos del padre al niÑo por lo tanto no hay alimentos en nuestras mesas, en los restaurantes en los supermercados no. >>> otro efecto positivo por la falta de mano agrÍcola la falta de la mano migrante, el congreso observando la situaciÓn y estÁ buscando alternativas y se ofrecen otros blaeplanes alternativas para ofrecer permisos de trabajos temporales el punto que no se pierda >>> sÍ un dia sin mexicanos, se acuerdan, se parÓ el trabajo de los mexicanos y no funciona la scombdz >>> ciudad >>> lo recuerdo mucho muchachos, siempre hablamos del aporte y desarrollo de este paÍs, ellos no quieren hacer este tipo de trabajo y la gran mayorÍa viene dispuesto a eso a sembrar y crecer en este paÍs honradamente >>> es una de mociÓn otmostracÓ hispanos y latinos hacen que este paÍs se muevan >>> la verdad que sÍ >>> hablando de cosechas, >>> vamos hablar de una cosecha muy interesante. >>> de hecho satcha en sus noticias hablÓ de esta nota, no por 8 semanas en 7 estados se decomisaron sede tru yer destru mil plantass