it's about whether we are in the eu or not. and that is what the debate across the uk will be in the run-up to the referendum. the timing of the referendum really matters to the electorates and to the governments of scotland, of wales, and northern ireland, as well as london, where there are elections in may. and this morning, mr. speaker, the first minister of scotland, nicholas sturgeon, the labour first minister of wales, the first minister of northern ireland, i think the first ministers of northern ireland, wales, and scotland deserve a little bit more respect. from the tory side. the first minister of northern ireland, arlene foster, and the deputy first minister of northern ireland, martin mcguinness, have written to the prime minister today. they say the following and i think that honorable and right honorable members should listen to what they say. we believe that holding a referendum as early as june will mean that a significant part of the referendum campaign will necessarily run in parallel with those elections and r

none of the eu members want to see the u.k. leave.akesill do everything it to make sure a deal is struck. for that report as the brexit summit gets underway. next wednesday's deadly bombing turkish capital. 28 people were killed when a car bomb targeted the military in ankara. a syrian national was linked to syrian kurdish initial -- militias carried out the bombing. the leader of the group has denied involvement and has warned ankara against retaliating with ground action. a blast heard across the city. emergency services rushed to the scene to recover the injured and dead. passersby helped clear the route to allow ambulances through. cctv footage caught the moments on camera. authorities believe a car packed with explosives parked by a convoy of military buses. hour at a busy junction less than 500 meters from parliament and close to military headquarters. >> this attack was not only bus, at military on the but carried out in an atrocious way without honor. way treacherous and petty against our holy nature -- nation. >> no group has

the turkish president says eu u.s.-supplied weapons were used to carry out the attack in which 28 people were killed. let's get the latest. shell, and ypg militia positions are targeted here the goal is to stop the kurdish group from taken the town, the last stronghold of turkish-backed current rebels north of aleppo before the border. it is a missing peas in a large swath of territory already held by the kurds along the northern border. >> we will not allow the formation of this corridor. this is the reason for what is happening. toschilling will continue prevent that schilling will get to the to prevent this. yesterday, we will not sit and watch the formation of an illegitimate zone on our border. will continue to prevent this. shelling has picked up following wednesday's bomb attack in the turkish capital to kill 28 people, most of them soldiers. turkey blames the ypg and the pyd for the attack, but they have denied involvement. the kurdistan freedom hawks, a relatively unknown offshoot of the pkk, has claimed respo

and we went through would campaign for britain to exit the eu. >> order. statement. the prime minister. >> thank you, mr. speaker. mr. speaker, with permission, i'd like to make a statement on reached in t brussels last week. but let me say a word on the migration crisis. we need to strengthen the eu's externalgr borders to make sure nonrefugees are returned promptly and back the new mission to disrupt the criminalt gangs working between greece and turkey who are putting so many e people's lives at risk. britain will continue to g contribute and step up our he f contribution in all ofou these areas. turning torefo rm abritain's pl europe, mr. speaker, i've spent the last nine months setting ou the four areas where we need reform and meeting with all other 27 eu heads of state and government to reach an agreement thatfirst, delivers concrete ren all four areas. a let me take each in turn. first, british jobs and busines, depend on being able to trade r with europe on a level playing a field so we wanted new br protections for our economy, toe safeguard the pound, to pr

it's about whether we are in the eu or not. and that is what the debate across the uk will be in the run-up to the referendum. the timing of the referendum really matters to the electorates and the governments of scotland, of wales, and northern ireland. as well as london, where there are elections in may. and this morning, mr. speaker, the first minister of scotland, nicholas sturgeon, the labor first minister of wales, the first minister of northern ireland, i think the first ministers of northern ireland, wales, and scotland, deserve a little bit more respect. the first minister of northern ireland, arlene foster, and the deputy first minister of northern ireland, martin mcguinness have written to the prime minister today. they say the following and i think that honorable and right honorable members should listen to what they say. we believe that holding a referendum as early as june will mean that a significant part of the referendum campaign will necessarily run in parallel with those elections and risks confusing issues at

stays in the eu is ultimately up to the british people. as prime minister david cameron tries to hamill out a deal, pro-eu activists have been on the streets back at home. many britons are questioning the value of the eu and the referendum looks to be tied. no date for the vote has been set, but opinion polls show the british are almost evenly split. cameron says the eu reforms he wants will help make the case for britain staying in the eu. earlier we spoke to our london correspondent. we asked her how damaging could it be for david cameron if he returns home empty-handed. >> there for sure headline news. those people who follow politics will want to know what will be the outcome of these negotiations. a lot of people, if they are not really into politics, might say i'm not so sure, they feel they have been fed a propaganda from each side. in the end it is a decision that people will make from the heart. you have the undecided vote. people will think, what are the issues at stake? people are of course concerned about migration, is this some

and the eu and financial services, the u.k.export financial services and you would expect to see a drop in sdi. profile of at the the financial sector in britain, you have a large amount of bank assets. does this raise the question of whether it is sustainable over the long term? joe: one of the arguments that the out come painters make is that the eu would be some sort of safe haven. it does that look like the eu is a club working that great. that argument seems to make anse, u.k. might be attractive place to put cash, by real estate, hold assets. do you think that argument holds any water that it could be a safe haven? of ant is the growth rate economy where you have taken away potentially, downsize one of the biggest industries, underlying imbalances, and other issues. we already have switzerland. switzerland already exists. it is a private banking-based model, net international investment position of 100% of gdp. scarlet: the g-20 begins tomorrow. a lot of people were hopeful that something would get done, some site of join

they export the eu countries. oes the prime minister not agree that it would be madness to slam the door in their face? >> the overwhelming majority supports the case that i am making and there are many companies that are not exporters are involved in the supply chain with companies that do export. this is the point a lot of the business service organizations, banks and accountants and lawyers are well-placed to make. >> thank you. i would like to also thank my honorable friend, the prime minister, members of this house who voted for us to have a referendum. in the prime minister say the agreement is reached alters the existing treaty? >> obviously it does. this will be one of the founding documents of the eu. the international law agreement and in the treaty changes will sit alongside the other treaties that have been produced in the past. i regret the fact that so many trees were passed so little democratic accountability. getting out of ever closer union's from a distant three for many of us.us. and also the dem

the eu's brexit talks continue today. n is weighing in on the debate over whether britain is better off inside or outside the eu. earlier today, ba systems' chairman spoke to guy johnson. >> being part of europe is much more than an economic story. we have strong defense relationships with europe. by being together, we can come it to schemes and developments and important article things that make the defense argument a better argument. i think we have to recognize that our security is much more than the physical security. cyber security is something we are all under threat four. guy: do the general public find that easy to understand? blackjacks flying across our skies from russia, that is something you see on the front page of the newspaper. >> i think we all understand that. there is a strong group to be in in an increasingly difficult world. the security argument is one that i think is made. leave europe, there is indeed a possibility that the scottish discussion may reemerge. if scotland were two separate from the rest

in the eu. so brussels in general is optimistic. e optimistic that cameron off.be able to pull this >> let's bring back in charlie. the euro -- the rest of europe will be watching keenly what happens. in the meantime they have an economy to run and negative interest rates. we are to get those pmi numbers today in the eurozone as a whole are all going to be above 50 and yet we are talking about expansion territory. >> i think it is largely to do with one of the targets which is primarily inflation which continues to hit the runway. you have a nice five-year breakeven chart their. manus: this is draghi's preferred measure. he is on his knees. >> that is not close to 2%, shall we say? that is their preferred policy metric. pmi's arehe reasonable, they are not getting the traction that they would have expected. we are talking about the banking sector and the normal credit cycle. anemic -- is so manus: talk to me about negative rates. the whole purpose of negative rates is to drive velocity and use of money. we need to take steps to mitig

the draft agreement would allow them to have benefits from other eu countries. will other states go along with it. a is for alphabet. google's parent company has a big day on the stock market and has overtaken apple as the world's most valuable company. brent: good to have you with us. the first round of voting has produced upsets and some cliffhangers. in the republican caucuses, texas senator ted cruz is the winner with 28%. the billionaire and businessman donald trump came in surprisingly at second place with 24% and marco rubio managed a late surge. people had not been expecting this, 23%. hillary clinton and bernie sanders are both at over 49% with clinton clinging to a razor thinly. some precincts, believe it or not, the toss of a coin. >> 90% white and more than half conservative christians, the iowa a lecture it is not representative of the u.s. as a whole. they have delivered a major upset in the first caucus leading to elections. >> tonight is a victory for courageous conservatives across iowa and across this great state. donald trump took second place.

we wait for the institution of the eu on u.k. and italy. fullylooked very ust.rneath the anti-tr 45% today, itt will be about 17% by the end of 2016. we need to continue to make investments in the space in terms of capacity. >> how is the process going at the moment? you are looking at telecom in france. how's the structure of the deal managing for an applicant? >> we knew that it would be a long process. has no consensus. our orange is too big to buy by itself. go to the may have to other players on the market. there is always more details to finalize. we have made some commitments, we want to create value for our lunch. we want a deal that is socially acceptable at the moment. --want >> is there a date? >> we have said that we should set it in the next few weeks, air,se with a deal in the it is not good for anybody in the industry to have it there forever. within a few weeks we should be saying exactly what we said last week when we announced. >> what about fourth quarter m&a? >> i assume it is a very good idea, but to push the american po

now they are willing to tighten borders with or without the help of the eu. , to different parts of the union are following to bridge agendas. max hoffman has more. >> they want to close the western balkans. that means securing their borders and the macedonian-greek borders. that's not so unlike what the other states want. the problem is these eastern european states want to do it in an uncontrolled way. greece isn't ready for that, as we know, they are just starting to establish hotspots. the key element of that, it of course, is to redistribute the refugees in a fair way. that's why, for example, for minster -- foreign minister warned the states about not becoming a club of renegades. >> that was max hoffman, reporting from brussels. migration is proving to be a divisive topic for europe and its leaders. she is looking increasingly isolated among brussels colleagues. the picture back home is no better, either. she has been forced to take a tougher stance. she is forced to take a very conservative policy as support in her party dwindles. >> for months, she re

the euro currency. britain will hear hold a referendum on eu membership on june 20 third. the european parliament debated the terms of the deal and the possibility of britain leaving the european union. this is one hour. >> we now move to the debate on the 18th the 19th of february 2016. welcome to the open counsel. >> thank you, brett president members of the parliament, the last european council was difficult at the end of my term. even though we found a common solution, the time is ahead of us because of the referendum and the united kingdom on whether or not to remain a member of the european union union. only the british british people can and will decide what we could do on our side is a new settlement with the eu. the ten heads of state adopted a legally binding and irreversible sentiment for the united kingdom and the eu that the settlement is in conformity with the and cannot be annulled by the european call to justice. it will only enter into falls if they vote to leave it will cease to exist. we have agreed to do all of this in a way that is not compromised the e

the eu is the largest economy in the world. and the u.k.nefiting much more from the eu than the eu is benefiting from the u.k.. difficult much more for the british to live without the eu than the rest. you pitting yourself against some of your competitors taking this stance, because there is a major british bank, for example -- maurice: i prefer -- let's be clear, i prefer by far that they stay in. but they do not want to be fully in and they want something the measure.c to this is not something that is going to work. it's not going to build a union. think one minute about what the eu is all about, it is a european union. it is united. if we are not united, it is much that-- much better everybody goes on its own. vonnie: the trade -- the pound ot arading lower, n massive amount -- maurice: that is what i am saying. how are you dealing with currency fluctuations? maurice: due to the fact that we are european-based and with the euro, we have the benefits of the strength of the pound and the dollar. of, you know, fluctuation currencies are par

and the rest of the eu. euro tunnel once 29 million euros from the british and french governments for lost revenue caused by migrants trying to get to the u.k.. thousands tried making the trip last year disrupting services. the sip -- situation has since improved. and as we just heard, the european union is looking anything other than united. 10,000 new arrivals every week with each refugee comes a cost or a benefit for the state where they choose to settle. over one million came to germany last year alone. >> the flow of migrants shows no signs of stopping. week after week, tens of thousands are making their way to europe. many put their hopes on germany. a study shows that 1.1 million refugees arrived in germany in 2015. analysts expect 800,000 to arrive along with half a million in 2017. they project the cost of carrying for migrants will rise from $22.1 billion in 2016 to 27.6 next year. the most significant cost factors are food and housing. plus german lessons and integration classes to help them find w

the eu has -- no benefits rose in member states. unless they conflict with freedom of movement in the treaty. so if the proposed changes do not conflict with the treaty, we could've introduced to them immediately without using up our negotiating clout on this issue. but if the changes do not conflict with the treaty, they will be struck down by the eu court unless the treaty is changed first. >> what i would say is that the view is that this emergency brake can be brought in under the existing treaties but only with legislation to the european parliament. on an accelerated timetable, the leader of one of the major parties said it could take one, two, or three much. that is what makes it clear that you could act in this way legally and crucially come in mighty big and i think in the view of the british public not just legally but quickly. >> will the prime minister when he meets the various leaders of the eu over the next two months make it quite clear to them that the result of this referendum is to be decided by the british people a

because 45% of british exports go to the eu and osubstantial part of its imports also come from the eu. europe could levy tariffs and wouldn't that hurt consumers? >> the actual facts, i've just looked them up for 2015 the latest year, britain has a deficit of 12.6 million sterling, and we're the second largest contributor of running the european union. we're restricted from trading around the world, a lot of our trading comes from europe, we're restricted because of this internal market. so it gives you a slightly false picture. the fact is the european union needs britain and it does not want britain to exit because that would start exits from greece, italy, spain portugal and the crumbling of the whole european union dream and the euro now world's second largest currency. >> as you know scotland is strongly in favor of staying in the eu. if britain votes for a brexit, is the possibility of scotland splitting and being part of the eu while england isn't? >> yes, absolutely because scotland feels that britain is going to be split up, britain is going to be done away with by the europe

remember, the netherlands has the rotating eu presidency. om mark russo that the talks could go into friday night. of course, we are already into a second day of talks here. when i spoke to russo, i asked if there was a possibility that we could not see a deal, and he said, of course, that is still a possibility, but both the u.k. and eu need a deal to be done. both of them equally. i said, does the eu really need the u.k.? he has talked a lot in the past about how catastrophic it would be for the city of london were the u.k. tags at the eu. he said yes, eu does need the u.k. as well. it seems like the real -- they will is there, not just from david cameron, but from a lot of his eu counterparts, to come to an agreement that is just not there yet. shery: and we still have no idea how this might end, but we are seeing that a lot has been , and markets are reacting. tell us about that. reporter: yeah, i have not around since running following the leaders for the past hour or so, but i can tell you on thursday it rallied against the dollar and t

to the eus around reform talks. after hours of negotiation it, david cameron is looking for a deal to keep the u.k. in the block. the eu is struggling to stand united in the face of the migrant crisis. austria has new limits on asylum applications while puzzles calls in a merger -- brussels calls an emergency meeting. theda has concerns about presidential polls. the main candidate is taken into police custody again. also coming up in the program, we will take a look at the facelift for the french labor laws. it's a holy war of words. donald trump lashes out against pope francis for questioning his faith. we will have more on that later. the start in brussels where reform talks are in their second day. far, they have come up empty. ford cameron is looking reform package he can sell to the british public to stay in the eu. maeve.e, let's cross to we have a lot of work to do. what is left to work out? : a lot of issues still to work out. all of them are telling the press at the summit. there will be solutions to these p

put simply the eu must not become a euro-only club. if it does, it would not be a club for us we call for a series of principles to protect the market in britain. there should be no discrimination against the pound, no disadvantage for businesses that use our currency wherever they're located in the eu and no option for britain ever again to be forced to bail out euro's own countries. all of the principles are reflected in the draft text which is league ally binding. there's the mechanism, mr. speaker, we should be clear, british jobs depend on being able to trade on level-plain field whether in financial services or cars or anything else. if this plan if agreed will provide the strongest possible protection for britain from discrimination and unfair rules and practices. for instance, never again could the eu try location policy complex trades in euros must only take place in euro's own countries. these principles would outlaw this sort of proposal. now, fourth, we want to deal with the pressures of immigration which have become too gre

the eu council president is also calling on francois hollande and eu leaders to accept the uk's the membership terms. that the u.k. breaking up is a real risk that the eu breaking up as a realist. therter: another stop on

wasn't part of the eu? can you give us a sense of the numbers?e, i am very supportive of staying in. the fact that we've got access to 500 million potential customers without the barriers. this up is difficult internationally. it is complex. we do it and we do it well. mark: you can set up deals individually. it would take time, but still, it can be done, cap it? jacqueline: it can be done. for us to exit the eu, i think it would be very challenging for our business. walk awaywe want to from those opportunities and deals being struck? the uncertainty would be very worrying for business. the whole of people, the paperwork that would go with it. the likely cost. me, it would be a big concern from a business perspective. when you talk to a lease in europe, business leaders, political leaders, they tend to be pro-europe. makes me wonder, you make such a convincing argument. miss in the u.k. that is leading to the fact that the david cameron had to promise that he would hold a referendum? >> i am sorry, brendan, i didn't hear the last part of that que

a move away from the eu. : the other thing we need to worry about -- and this might happen just given that there is going to be a referendum, never mind that the referendum is a yes or i know -- it kind of opens up the possibility of more countries wanting to secede. jeffrey: certainly the idea that other countries ask for special concessions as well is likely to take place. i think this is part of the evolution of the european union and certainly we are getting close to maybe another step in where that goes. i don't know this means the ultimate dissolution of the european union. remember, countries are still fairly engaged in that union. free trade it -- free trade agreements continue to abound around the world. so i don't think trade agreements are going away. it simply that trade hasn't been leading the way in terms of policy lately. that could turn around. were economic growth to accelerate this year as the imf thinks it may. vonnie: mark: are you -- vonnie: are you anticipating continued volatility? jeffr

cameron makes his case to stay in the eu. bank posts a fourth quarter loss primarily due to bad loans to energy companies. , i would notlondon have predicted that. tom:

in the eu. ld be damaging for both deal.s, but that was the merkel made it clear afterwards, we have provided david cameron with a deal that he can sell to his voters to try and win this referendum. what more can they do? very little. guy: boris said last night the prime minister did fantastically well but did not go far enough in changing the relationship. did he have a point and it did not change the relation very much? alan: the u.k. has always had a special relationship with the eu. projects, the passport free travel and the schengen area, they made it clear they were not in the perceivable future going to do so. he had a case in that sense. thate same time, i do feel it is unclear whether the electric will be voting on this -- the electorate as a whole will be voting on this. brexit debate continues, we will talk to a guy who will call for -- was calling for an eu reform and says it is time for a change. ♪ when you're on hold, your business is on hold. that's why comcast business doesn't lea

got a good deal and it's hard to get because he wants to get people on sight and wants to stay in the euonvince the british people that is the right thing to do if we have the referendum as early as june. >> emma thanks very much. plenty more still to come on al jazeera including the u.n. says violence at an a camp for displace people in south sudan is a crime and new deli and kathmandu after months of tensions over nepal's new constitution. ♪ >> "inside story" takes you beyond the headlines, beyond the quick cuts, beyond the soundbites. we're giving you a deeper dive into the stories that are making our world what it is. ♪ welcome back, you are with al jazeera, i'm peter and the top stories today, the main opposition leader in uganda has been rearrested and it's not even 24 hours since he was briefly detained the first time on thursday trying to show reporters what he claimed was a operation to rig votes and presidential election show the long-time president is ahead by 62%. russia warning that a difficult situation could arise if the syrian president doesn't follow its lead on diplomac

many summit between the eu and summiton the -- a mini between the eu and turkey on these issues has beenalled off. byt's been reported reporters at the european union. moving across to syria, they are carrying that their essentials, food, medicines, and basics, like flour. aidfirst of about 100 trucks have started arriving. the united nations have been piling pressure on damascus to allow access to five the siege areas initially. this is a test for warring syrian factions ahead of a potential cease-fire. clovis casali has more for us. clovis: this amateur footage shows trucks leaving hamas to bring military aid to besieged areas of syria in desperate need of supplies. workers are bringing flour, food, and medicine to the population. >> we have 18 trucks going to -- clovis: areas include counts besieged by rebels, by the islamic state group, and by syrian regime forces, such as madiya, where residents gathered when the convoy arrived. the people there have been suffering greatly from the lack of food. the delivery of aid had been made possible by the talks between the u.n. special envoy a

so that could be damaging to the eu corporate sector, to the eu financial sector. they won't be able to cope with that. i think the reality is you'd get quite a good deal for the city by leaving at this moment in time. >> julia, come on in. >> reporter: and rrew, what is your probability of a brexit? if i look at analysts, they're around 20% and 30%. obviously the polls are tight, but we saw what happened with the polls in the general election and they got it completely wrong. >> i think they're understating the risk. i'd say it's more like 55% likelihood. what i mean by that is i think it's very, very evenly balanced. probably as reflected in the polls. i think if anything, it's slightly more likely than not that we leave. partly because i don't think people are properly pricing in the fact that many people who have no history whatever of favoring leaving the eu will now declare for leaving the eu immediately that the renegotiation is complete. >> and julia, one of the points you -- >> reporter: what's david cameron got to do here? oh, go on. >> nothing. there's n

should stay in the eu. the european commission had said he cannot imagine britain leaving the eu.aking a final push. david cameron met jean-claude juncker to get support for his proposals to change britain's relations with the eu. before the talks, the commission president refused to discuss the possibility of a brexit. we have a say no, plan b, this would indicate the willingness of the commission to visit seriously whether they could leave the european union. they do not have a plan b. they will stay in the european union. keyrter: one of cameron's demands is to deny benefits from new workers arriving from other years,es for up to four something that challenges the freedoms of the internal market. forlso wants protection countries outside the eurozone. if the 28 leaders agree to a deal, cameron is expected to call a in or out referendum. -- britaintain's votes to stay in the block, the european union would need to approve key elements of the deal. they have warned that approval will not be given. >> no european government can say, can you give a guarantee about the results? this

the country. sme's export to eu countries. does the prime minister it would be maddens to slam the door in their face? >> i think the overwhelming majority who export support the case that i am making and i also make this point, which is there are many companies that are not exporters but they are involved in a supply chain which companies that do export. i think this is a point that a lot of the business service organizations, banks and accountants and lawyers are in good place to make. >> thank you mr. speaker, i would like to thank my honorable friend, prime minister members of the house who voted for us to have a referendum on the eu membership. can the prime minister say whether the agreement he has reached attars the treaty at all? >> obviously it does. when we change the treaties, this will be one of as it were founding documents of the eu so the international law agreement and then in time the treaty changes will sit along side the other treaties that have been produced in the past. like him i regret the fact that treat

the country. sme's export to eu countries. oes the prime minister it would be maddens to slam the door in their face? >> i think the overwhelming majority who export support the case that i am making and i also make this point, which is there are many companies that are not exporters but they are involved in a supply chain which companies that do export. i think this is a point that a lot of the business service organizations, banks and accountants and lawyers are in good place to make. >> thank you, mr. speaker, i would like to thank my honorable friend, prime minister, members of the house who voted for us to have a referendum on the eu membership. can the prime minister say whether the agreement he has reached attars the treaty at all? >> obviously it does. when we change the treaties, this will be one of as it were founding documents of the eu, so the international law agreement and then in time the treaty changes will sit along side the other treaties that have been produced in the past. like him, i regret the fact that tr

agree on isyone can the measure to make the eu more competitive. mentioned the older generation and some might say where's the control of our borders and reduced cost to our membership? where's the sovereignty which we should be in control of? aren't we pushing more on those fronts? the case for us to remain, so to speak isn't just confined to the four pillars. not the britain of the 1960's with a big empire. people remember that a big picture of churchill, roosevelt and stalin, the world superpowers on the same bench. now, but we are a small and agile nation trying to make its way against countries like china. how do we exercise power practically in a way that is going to make a tangible benefit for our people? that's the way to do it. the nearest club to do that through is the european union. beyondthe big argument, the renegotiations. let me jump in here. let's say he gets a deal and comes home. what was learned from the scottish referendum on how to roll this out as you prepare for the referendum on the european union? guest: i would say there a

>> no one could accurately predict the consequences of brit answer's exit from the eu. it could be an economic blow for both sides, it could snag a scottish referendum. it could be an encouraging sign. not the least of which is the france's front nationale, and the netherlands, imoperation and terrorism into one. >> translator: since the terrorist attacks last year they have a new public. which includes the young who vote for the front nationale simply because they are afraid of radical islam and its ability to kill. >> reporter: a best selling cartoon satire imagination marine la pen becomes president and few believe that day will become soon she and her party are no friends of the eu. >> translator: we are made up of nations. there is a french nation. there is an english nation an american nation a brazilian nation. that's how things work best, and in that context, the european project is bad. the euro is bad and above all, the destruction of borders both within europe and that its outer edges is a very bad thing. it is a view that resonates with 1 in five french voter

britain is the eu's second-biggest economy, accounting for one-eighth of the eu's population and one-sixth of its gdp and a uk exit could invite demands from the other 27 members. now the campaigning can begin. in britain, both for and against continued participation in the eu. short-term that means increased volatility in the equity and currency markets, longer-term london's big banks at the core of europe's bond market could leave and relocate to european shores. >> the really big issue is that if we vote no, what happens next is complete uncertainty. nobody knows what the new relationship will be. and so investors will have to cope with very high levels of uncertainty. >> reporter: the question becomes, are british voters angry enough to push the country into unfamiliar territory? sounds familiar, doesn't it? >> certainly does. >>> from british politics to our own. republican presidential candidates are campaigning across the state of south carolina ahead of tomorrow's primary. john harwood is in charleston covering the race. south carolina has been pretty famous for some bitter politic

consequences of exiting from the eu, are for britain it could signal a scottish referendum, but it isely to be an encouraging move for europe's populace parties, front nationall, the national front, it along with european party partners in brit and and austria, it's no longer transition is older voters swept up in a public discourse that rolls immigration and terrorism into one. >> since the terrorist attacks last year they have a new public which includes the young who vote for the front nationale simply because they are afraid of radical islam and its ability to kilt. >> a best selling cartoon satire, imagination a front in which marine la pen becomes pet president and she and her party are no friend of the eu. >> we are made up of nations, there is a french nation, there is an english nation, an american nation, a brazillan nation. that's how things work best and in that context, the, that it's outer edges is a very bad thing. >> reporter: it is a view that resonates with 1 in 3 french voters and commands a sizable church of the european parliament. while parties like ukip pledged

on today's show -- the eu sets its sights on macedonia to solve the migrant crisis. instead of holidays abroad, many russians opt for a staycation, and young people in italy are looking to the past for a brighter future. what does it really feel like to be on your own in a strange country, far from home, surviving on your wits? you could be one of those migrants welcomed here in germany with the chance of a new life in the west. or you could be one of the less fortunate, stuck in a makeshift camp, with little food or protection from the cold. even worse, you could be held hostage by traffickers and beaten until you pay them for passage. every day, stories like this emerge from migrants trying to cross north through macedonia, a key country on the main route into the eu. critics fear that plans to strengthen continental borders could make a humanitarian disaster even worse. >> the route seems even longer if your legs are short. braving freezing temperatures, these refugees have reached macedonia, the first stage of the western balkan route. they're driven on by the fe

david cameron has got the deal to try and keep britain in the eu. he has to go back to the u.k., sell it to members of his a and two euro skeptics in the british public as well. we will see how he manages. the u.s. today -- military launched an airstrike on a suspected islamic state training camp in libya. local officials sayymorgan -- more than 40 people were killed. the prime target was a militant link. gardner reports. reporter: flattened by a u.s. airstrike. this is all that remains of a secret training camp. in libya belonging to the so-called islamic state. at least 38 people were killed, most reportedly i.s. fighters. local residents said there were multiple explosions. >> we woke up at night to the sound of explosions and we could not see anything. it was around 3:30 a.m. and we heard five explosions. >> warplanes carried out the suffolk.rom heathrow sapphi he has been linked to to terror attacks in tunisia last year including the one that killed 38 tourists, 30 of them british. >> we took this action after determining that both he and the fi

guy: would your business benefited britain left the eu? think the city of london should be treated differently? carsten: well, i personally, brexite saddened to see referendum go that way. bad forinly would be the european union. it will turnthat out correctly. from my perspective, i think there is -- in the theoretical case there might be brexit. we don't know, and no one knows what the outcome is. therefore, i hate to speculate. guy: they're enough. congratulations on the numbers. carsten joining us from deutsche boerse where he is the ceo. carsten: one thing i would add to my tent to agree to systemic risk are not the same as they were the banking sector as they were in 2008. in the u.s. to put wheel hard capital nearly a trillion dollars into the banks. in europe, we didn't really do that. there was some backdoor recapitalization, but the banks is still the capital. the of the print i agree with is a profitability for banks is going to be structurally lower. regulators want the industry as a 5% or 10% industry, on that basis raising ca

david cameron agrees to a deal hoping to keep britain in the eu. net might have other ideas. a powerful cyclone strikes fiji. the wind gusts equivalent to those of a monster hurricane. more on the island. no republican has ever taken new hampshire and south carolina and not won his party's presidential nomination, so the focus is on the man you see right there, as he ames to ims to ensure histort itself. from the cnn headquarters in atlanta, i'm george howell. "newsroom" starts right now. >>> a very good day to you. we are waiting to hear from british prime minister david cameron, expected to speak at any moment now on a deal that was reached with european leaders on friday to keep the uk in. eu. mr. cameron will meet with his cabinet this hour to try to convince them to approve the agreement. then it would go to a referendum vote. the prime minister has said this is a time for britons to come together and shape their destiny, but he faces division within his cabinet and within his own conservative party over the eu deal. let's go live to london, cn

the eu must face the migration crisis. the dutch prime minister had six -- ight weeks to save wasmigrant crisis exacerbated with merkel said they would take people without limits. people are coming without limits. when some people defend that .rder, they are criticized when others breakables, they are -- when others break the rules, the y are applauded. we will prevent a silent sick or's moving around the -- prevent asylum seekers moving around the e.u. at will. we need to give priorities to those already in the camps with humanitarian aid. that the eurverse gives priority to those who cross the agean? i reccomend that for the next summit, you order copious amounts of chips and tell the e.u. leaders to get cracking. [applause] mr. fox, there is a question for you from mr. colbert. x i'm delighted to hear mr. fox say he is off the fence in favor of campaigning to remain -- >> i am delighted to hear mr. fox say he is off the fence in favor of campaigning to remain in the union. among the conservative mps, how many will be ca

but britain could soon vote to leave the eu. jonah hull describes. >> reporter: in a matter of months, britain is expected to hold a referendum to decide the country's future of trading partners in the european union. successive waves of crisis battering the eu, both sides of these channel waters, a welcome boost for populaces like the u.k. independence party. >> the eu is diminishing economic area. its gdp is diminishing. its whole share of world trade is diminishing. there's an enormous and exciting opportunity for countries in particular obviously i'm talking about britain outside of the eu, why would you shablg yoursel slf to this declining area ? >> it could be an economic below for both side. for britain it could signal another scottish referendum and breakup of the u.k. it could be an encouraging move for europe's many and growing populace euro-skeptic parties. not least of which is france's front nationall, the national front, thought to have played gains following the 2015 attacks in france. it's no longer traditionally