financial cost, direct financial cost of the crisis, across the feds programs, the g.s.e.s, tarp, the f.d.i.c.. are now going to be under 1% of g.d.p. that is an exceptional outcome relative to expectation and it was possible not just because of the early choices on strat jeep-- whatever you call them, whatever you label them-- but because you had such powerful support from monetary and fiscal policy early on. >> rose: clearly we have an economic recovery in the public sector. clearly in terms of unemployment we do not have an economic recovery. tell me what you think will be done over the next two years. and some people-- i think the congressional budget office among them-- believe that unemployment may drop by the end of 2012 to 8%. do you believe those figures? >> again, the private forecasters would say that on the expectation, the u.s. economy grows between 3% and 4% over the next years, and that unemployment will be below 8 in 2012. i think there is a consensus on that now but these things are inherently. unemployment starts to fall when you see economies start to grow again. economies