else 40 or a little bit higher, as we look south, we got 40s for the most part here, warrenburg, the outlier, 50 degrees. hanging onto the mild conditions more than everybody else. if we look at the enhanced satellite view, the satellite is sensing the temperature of whatever it is looking at. if it sees to the ground, it senses that, if it can get down to clouds, senses the temperature of the top of that. if you look at the area that's clear here, over north carolina, mostly clear today, you can see it start with a up as the temperatures warm during the course of the day. this is a disturbance in the upper atmosphere, racing across us and imiffing us partly cloudy skies -- giving us partly cloudy skies and no precipitation. let's look at the upper air flow for the next week, the associated temperatures, see what we got. see bend in the line, or the lines, plural, that's the little system in e upper atmosphere, coming across late tonight and once that goes on by, that will begin to open the flood gates for the milder air sitting in the plains to make progress eastward, our temperatures shoul

the nam is the outlier saying over 3". if we break it down from the 85 corridor northward, 1-3 potentially up there, not just snow but sleet accumulation, across the triangle, up towards roanoke, potential less than an inch. talking a trace up to an inch, leaning more towards the trace though. farther south, a wintry mix and mainly a rain event. that's going to transition to southern counties. what we're watching with this system, three things. the storm temperatures in the low 30s. the snow that falls late tonight and tomorrow morning will stick on the roads. keep that in mind. snow versus sleet. i think more sleet in the triangle and more snow in roxboro. again, still not a major event, just because we'll transition over to rain here. when that happens, do we have any flooding? more than likely not. minor flooding is possible, because when we get the rain on top of any snow, it's going to melt the snow. when you get equivalent precipitation here over a 40-hour period, some areas could see 1-2" when it's all said and done

the outlier is saying 3 1/2 inches. the way it is playing out -- here is i-85, north of that one to three. we are leaning more towards one than three. and then less than an inch through the triangle. and again, because that fairly quickly. if it doesn't we could get an inch or snow. and then mainly a rain event to the south as the transition happens much earlier in the day, you will not see the accumulating precipitation there. and now advisories or watches for you. moore county, wake county and warren county a winter storm watch in effect. the criteria is three inches of snow and a half inch of ice. we will -- we will not see this in many of the counties. this might get downgraded to a winter weather advisory. weather issues. the soil temperatures in the 30's so the snow will stick. snow versus sleet, sleet doesn't stack like snow, so lesser amounts there. more sleet in the triangle and more snow in person county. and flooding, question mark, i don't think that we will have issues here. minor flooding is possible. the r

here are some of the outliers that we had in the tri-state. a few spots coming up in for half and may so, for in heber -- he braun. downtown is low but more than that. we have some pictures from you. may location seeing of course the snow coming down. delhi. sitting on a bush. as you take a look we have a few more pictures here. locations. page two. on a facebook the field --wlwt news 5. wlwt.com. it may have a influence on what we see to monitor. kevin: it looks like right now with temperatures still the as we head into day tomorrow. as a matter of fact we might see tonight. into the day tomorrow, we may a close to the freezing mark across the majority of the area. it may take us a while though. here' s a look at the weather map, there is some win pushing off to the east. some neared dallas. this is can a scooter is way through northeast cap -- texas this will likely be a second system, for folks up in isa cincinnati, things will get more critical as we head into the night tomorrow. i do believe there is a potential for a second round of acum

where are the outliers? where are the problems? to its credit, the last time you've been here a few months ago, he did produce a list of 20 tests that he said, these may be problematic. but there are 11,000 laboratory developed tests out there, and they are useful every day of the week and a clinician's office, so, i'm sorry, but continue. hon. o'toole: let me know the problem down to tests that we need for infectious disease, and particularly, during epidemics. we need a variety of different kinds of tests. as you know, you want a very ansitive test when you have low prevalence, but you do not want that same test when you're in the middle of an epidemic. so, it gets tricky. however, here's the problem. it is very difficult to validate a new diagnostic against ebola or even zika, if you do not have curated samples of those diseases. my view, the government, you can put this in dod or hhs, you can put in fda, but the government ofuld develop a curated bank diseases about which we are worried. so that, companies, especially the small

butow this is controversial it is the outlier among the major economies. yes, the outlier. are trying to negotiate benefits. the problems are difficult with the middle ground but it also applies to the u.k. my question is, when we talk about things, we talk about where things come from. where will the next crisis come from? in 2000 eight, you could say it was the u.s. or england but where is the next crisis going to come from? is it china or europe? gideon: europe is slogging along without impressive prospects but it doesn't seem to be a major source of the crisis. i would say you have to ask have a realse you problem with slowing growth and the only question is, how bad will it get and over what time? there are tools they have to keep things ok but over time, chinese growth rates are going down. and debt will be a problem. the world will whether that is an interesting challenge. gideon rose, i hate you. it is a great, great issue, to say the least. tomorrow on "bloomberg with onence" we speak of the great optimists. what a struggle at has been for so much as european econom

michael: deutsche bank is the outlier in terms of the stock valuation, the cds levels.ir following a trend. cds is going up, stocks have fallen quite a bit. it is not deutsche bank alone, but they are the standout. betty: charles peabody this morning talked about deutsche bank. charles: we don't have a formal rating on deutsche bank, but my guess is the shareholders face some sort of dilution in their capital structure. betty: additional capital raising, right? michael: shareholders that have been holding on for a while looking for capital return, they don't want to see another deluded offering. betty: michael moore with bloomberg news. we'll keep developing the deutsche bank story. still ahead, full, live coverage of janet yellen's testimony before the house financial services committee. that is tomorrow. before the senate banking committee on thursday. both days that is 10:00 a.m. eastern time. it will be must watch television. ♪ ♪ betty: welcome back to bloomberg "markets." i am betty liu. we are almost one hour into the session. we had briefly turned green on all th

messaging, in terms of behavior, like in an outcome a number of e-mails sent, and they look at the outliershat stick out for some reason. there can be more sophisticated things. on the technology side, we had suggestions that they might look at things like, is the trader using someone else's phone? that oneggested approach could be to look at inflection in the voice, analyzing the tone of voice. is the traitor whispering? it sounds silly but some people suggested to us that could be valuable information. timean: you take a lot of to decide how this could influence behavior in the banks. what is it like to be a traitor subjected to this kind of scrutiny? my colleagues did great research and great reporting on this. it does sound like it can foster an atmosphere of insecurity. we also talked to other experts that said the big brother mentality is not great. it is not necessarily the kind of atmosphere everyone wants to foster. i am sure it varies from firm to concernse paranoia and raised. brendan: are these the ones that have gotten burned the most in paying fines over the last five years? e

in the sense she probably will be the first major party female candidate in history of the -- so she is an outlier. >> but her husband was president of the united states.

ibm there is definitely one of the outliers. matt: cool. thank you ray much, jules. oing to continue along that road with the warren buffett annual letter going beyond nuts and bolts and into the state of presidential politics. he says that the rhetoric on the campaign trail has been negative and that as a result of this negative drumbeat, many americans believe that their children will not live as well as they themselves do. wrong.ew is dead the babies born in america today are the luckiest crop in history." let's bring in no, he has been all over this weekend's annual reporting on berkshire. this crop of children will be the luckiest born in american history? that's a strong statement. noah: yeah. i mean, it was quite forceful. we have seen this kind of language from him in the past, but he really went above and beyond in this year's letter to discuss why he thinks america is so great. it really boils down to the fact that we have a capitalist system that keeps marching towards more and more productivity. we have more gdp per capita. than whatmore today we had when

rubio the outlier a little bit. >> since we have been talking, the same dynamic is underway. cruz and rubio are at each other's throats. i would look for a loud chorus of really brutal attacks on the character of the cruz candidacy. i think alise got to it, but was generous in the way she put it. cruz is despised and it's because of the flaws of his character. he's taken six positions on intel, not because he believes them. at one point he thought paul would be his greatest competition for the republican nomination, so he took positions to appeal to the paul base. when he saw that, you know, maybe rubio or someone more establishment would get it, he tried to tack back to protect himself. karma is a you know what. and cruz has -- it's caught up with him now. i think the story coming out of tonight will be the continuing weakening of ted cruz. carson is still out there, but i would expect for rubio to make a serious, concerted play for the cruz, carson voters which means that rubio may be sounding even more conservative in his pitch to those voters. >> all right. >> fascinating

the outlier, so to speak. there's a little bit of snow flying in southern vermont even in the berkshires back here. now tomorrow we'll see a few more snow showers and squalls pop up. it will be the leading edge of that arctic air. prepare for it right now. we'll have plans for the weekend it's from a vacation going to the mountains perhaps. not really pay attention to how cold it's going to be. the lake-effect snow machine is going and blowing those snow showers all the way into southern vermont. that's why they're not going come toward us they're connected to the great lakes. tomorrow we'll start to see some snow showers as early as 8:00 in the morning. even during the commute you may see some flurries or snow showers pop up. the squalls become more vigorous. it's those snow squalls that limit your visibility and drop a coating of snow quickly on the roadway. so be careful of that during the day tomorrow. again not a lot of accumulation but some out there some snow out there flying it and will be gone late tom

but don't you think it's ironic that in years past we had the activists and the outliers going to teachn and show mitt romney a lesson, now we have the establishment that's going to show the so-called outsiders a lesson. the lesson is i'm not going to vote for donald trump if he, the ultimate nominee. no offense, you will have president clinton or president sanders. are you kidding me? i will support the ultimate nominee no matter how it is so we can retain the house and senate and take the presidency. charles: can ultimately this thing be held no matter who wins? >> sure. you are talking about how marco rubio is getting the establishment support. when he was running for sneat was running against charlie c rirks st. -- running for senate, he was running against charlie crist. i think what you are seeing is there is a movement on the right and in the country in general where they want change, they reject what president obama has been doing. we are seeing higher turnout amongst republicans. we see weakness on the democratic party side. i think that's the real big story here. charles: the

connecticut the head to even three inches of snow from today's activity but that were definitely the outliers most people getting according of snow up to an inch deadly massachusetts about an inch of snow today tomorrow coating to another inch on top of that is potentially to fall from the snow squalls. the high temperatures tomorrow 29 bridgewater northward to quincy it will be in the 29 to 30 degree range fenway at 30 rockport 30 hudson 28 gardner 23 degrees but your weekend always in view here's what it looks like. 18 degrees saturday with some light snow at times 18 on sunday even with mostly sunny skies it's going to be a utterly cold weekend. to make it worse the winds will be picking up as well. arctic air comes in on saturday by noontime your wind chills a single numbers below zero.i saturday night going to stop this at 7 o'clock when you're going out saturday evening 20 to 25 below zero boston to northwest you go. just stay out late get home in the early morning hours at 3:00 a.m. 27 to 32 degrees below zero projected on the massachusetts turnpike that in the morning getting up and g

. >> top three now we've got sort of the outlier. that's interesting because he was attackedor taking a soft position on immigration being the gang of nine and all the stuff that shows that the immigration issue did not set repupublicans higher the way we thought because otherwise it would've walked away from him. so u know later as i was go to the state's actually help them a lot. the fact that he's a lile bit more nuanced about that issue you know and i think he probably planet that way new hampshire is a good possibility for him. i think new hampshire is a good possibility because some of the others are not doing very wewell there. and he fits the new portrait. new hampshire is a seven least religious state in the coununtry i don't know if you knew that or not they are not evangelical and d so if yotook a position that ito stop some of the religion and so on that doesn't sell a new hampshire really at all. so you know let's see how he does there. what do you think goes on to win new hampshire from here? i think it still trumps is w

that's been the outlier. that clemson poll is a much larger than any poll. that's what they published. if you're planning on watching the south carolina results coming in and watching the reaction of hill clinton and bernie sanders to see how tomorrow's results will affect the overall trajectory of the race, i'll give you all the details in a moment in terms of what our coverage will be and how and when you can watch the south carolina race. after tomorrow night, after south carolina, just three days later, it's going to be mother of all primary days in both parties, super tuesday. on the democratic side, looking at just polling that's come out in the last three days, this is the polling snapshot we have for super tuesday. first of all, you can pull out colorado and minnesota. there's no polling in colorado and minnesota even right before the vote, and that's because colorado and minnesota are,0 primaries. they are caucuses. caucuses are much harder to poll. we also have reported information from the state that tells us that colorado and minnesota are being

bill gurley is still the outlier. boosterish, bullish, strong, don't worry, it's going to be fine, not like in 2000 or 2001 or 2008 in the recession. i think they still have a lot of confidence, despite everything. got to wonder about that. yes. >> i keep hearing that the mood has changed, though. i wonder what happens over the next quarter, as some of this starts to sink in. some things that happen in the valley filter up to the markets. some things that happened in the markets i feel like filtered down through the valley. people would argue with my up/down there. but when it comes to money and kind of money-driven changes in mood, i don't know. >> yeah, deal flow starts to slow down. that's going to have a direct effect on your sentiment, right? i think there is an up/down flow, you're right. but also this weird wall that happens. whatever the negative sentiment might be in terms of numbers and money not coming in, it hits a wall and doesn't filter down into the rank and file. and you know, why do i say rank and fil

they were instrumental in effecting and more than that, even if you look at trump and, say he's the outlier. take a look at some of his decisions. he is espousing the same orthodoxy about climate change the rest of the republican candidates are espousing which is to say he's denying that it matters or maybe even that it's real. it's quite amazing. the entire republican party is taking a position that's going in the opposite direction of science and of the rest of the world and really the only explanation for that according to people i interviewed was the money that's been involved in pushing the fossil fuel interests that are so important and pushing the republican party in that direction. >> the other part is the 50 state legislatures and the states, between the gerrymandering that goes on and the state legislatures, they had just worried about washington for one or both houses or president, they've done a grassroots thing which is extraordinary. >> again, i think it getsback to thinking about the koch's engineers . they looked at american politics as a system and try to figure out what th

where are the outliers, where are the problems. to his credit, the last time he was in here a few months ago, he did produce a list of 20 tests that he said these may be problematic. but there are 11,000 laboratory developed tests out there and they are useful every day of the week in a clinician's office. so i'm sorry, but continue. >> so let me narrow the problem down to tests that we need for infectious disease and particularly during epidemics. okay? and we need a variety of different kinds of tests. as you know, you want a very sensitive test when you have a low prevalence, but you don't want that same test when you are in the middle of an epidemic. so it gets tricky. however, here's the problem. it's very difficult to validate it gets tricky. however, here's the problem. it's very difficult to validate a new diagnostic against ebola or even zika if you don't have curated samples of those diseases. in my view, the government can put this in dod or hhs or fda. the government should develop a curated bank of diseases about which

that's the only outlier, north and northeast. a few high clouds will be with us today and tomorrow.ee a change. tomorrow it is all about sunshine and warm to hot. for february it is hot. temperatures will start to fall wednesday and it looks like rain thursday. let's hope so. sunny and warm with record highs near 80. the breeze is out of the north. these are way above normal temps. 70s, upper 70s to near 80 gilroy to santa cruz. 79 redwood city, 78 livermore. temperatures should be in the lower 60s. on thursday rain comes in and that will obviously be good for many reasons along with cooler. >> is it too early for the snow to melt? >> way too early. >> okay. >> it will slow down as we get towards thursday. >> thank you. >>> a major bust from down under. up next, the attempt to smuggle $1 billion worth of drugs. you might be surprised where they're hiding it. >>> a fire broke out at an event meant to promote india as an attractive place for investment. fire burned underneath the stage as dancers performed. you see people catching the attention as the smoke and flames started to rise.

so, there's always the possibility we're the outlier here and everybody else isn't. shall see. logically, it does seem as if our poll makes sense, given what happened saturday night. >> and i think people that were on the sideline saturday night were, you know, people like rubio. who looks always sort of perfect. he always keeps himself under control. at least until that one time, he couldn't. when he was reciting things too many times. but i thought kasich looked better than the others. i think when trump and cruz go at each other, there's a lot of mutual destruction there. and i think that cruz is winning the battle, because he's very good at coming back with the can't, the republican set of beliefs, much better than trump, who's a much more independent sort. clearly. >> well, i think that's right. he matches with the republican electorate. chris, i've got to let you prepare for your show. >> thank you. >> good deal. tune in tonight, "hardball," 7:00 p.m. eastern, for chris' exclusive sit-down with one of the candidates of the moment, right now, john kasich. more "

but i hasten to add the poll has a nearly 5% margin of error, it is either an outlier, no other poll remotely resembling this among the polls or captured a trend none of the national polls snuj their numbers. so for now, it appears it's trump and his supporters against the world or at least it's them against the established order of things politically. but no matter how powerful his attackers to this point in the campaign, attacks like these have only served to further boost trump's support. >> i continue to believe mr. trump will not be president, and the reason is because i have a lot of faith in the american people. and i think they recognize that being president is a serious job. >> he has done such a lousy job as president. [cheers] >> you look at our budgets, you look at our spending, we can't beat isis, obamacare is terrible, we're going to terminate it, we're going to absolutely terminate and replace it. [applause] >> you look at everything, our borders are like swiss cheese. lou: trump will be holding a rally this hour in sumter, south carolina, we'll be going there bringing

. >> the outlier. >> the outlier i ghaes had cruz within five. hee he was not within five. >> let's look at number-two candidate out of south carolina. and that is senator marco rubio. he had massive crowds, as well. in fact, he's using some jokes. listen to this -- >> there is a lunatic in north korea who has nuclear weapons. [ applause ] >> he's not a lunatic -- he's not a lunatic. i know i said this a couple times at a debate, and they got mad at me. he knows exactly what he's doing. >> after being accused of being mr. roboto in that debate and saying i'm never going to do it again, he's using it as a joke. in front of a different crowd he said, "i should have worn my high-heel boots. this is the biggest crowd of my campaign yet." new pep in his step. >> he acted like he won. if you looked at his speech, he acted like he won the south carolina primary. he did well, but he -- he was ten points from donald trump. >> he also had some start power on stage with him. donnie wahlberg and rick harrison on stage with marco rubio. by the way, rick harri

let me ask you how the two outliers in this race effect the super pac idea.sanders says he doesn't want super pacs supporting him, and donald trump says he doesn't want super pacs supporting him. >> donald trump is saying i hate super pacs, a few have popped up, but they really have not done much of anything. and donald trump is largely s f self-funding his campaign. bernie sanders is an odd situation in the sense that he for years and years and years been against super pacs, will speak out against them whenever he has the opportunity. but a nurse's union super pac, a super pac backed by a major nurse's union in the country has been spending hundreds of thousands to support him. super pacs are at least nominally independent from the candidates, and they can do whatever they want to. candidates can't control them. >> all right. dave thank you. we'll talk to you again, later. i want to go back to michael shure. he is at the same place he was, but he has moved over to the democratic caucus. this is a sign of how seriously these iowans take their caucuses. they b

is the confidence there right now with the outlier call that you have? s is what -- i hate this saying -- but it is what keeps me up at night. the ability for markets to produce this self-fulfilling prophecy. we have a sound fundamental domestic economy. it is slowing. this is a mature point in the business cycle, and that is ok. market sentiment is disconnected from that fundamental strength in the domestic economy. and volatility builds the economy. you can map the vix against payroll growth, retail sales growth. we do not like volatility. we cannot make decisions. tom: how do you dovetail this into adam parker's world? -- thetake the growth lack of growth in manufacturing that you see, how do you dovetail 1.8% in the equity market? ellen: adam is encouraged that he is not seeing ceo hubris. he is still not seeing that. but even the boolean adam parker -- even the italy and -- even parker --ent adam they are getting punished for missing. that is not a good environment. it speaks to the amount of uncertainty in the business backdrop at the moment. with u

it seems like the nbc poll is an outlier. . >> map is shot, month in time. i don't know whether they go in the field today and come back with a different result but the consensus view is -- listen, eyesight can tell you more than some polls do. you stand in the verizon center and you looked at the crowd that you looked at, you're right, they were there for two reasons. the show, he has the best show, trump has the best show, and the aspirational aspect. >>> on the democratic side, let's go there and look at this new "usa today" suffolk university poll of democratic voters nationwide showing hillary clinton ahead of bernie sanders by ten points, 50% to 40%. that's a 17-point swing for senator sanders' favor since december. the poll shows sanders outperforming clinton in hypothetical head-to-head matchups. sanders does better against donald trump, ted cruz, marco rubio, and john kasich. >> look at this, though. in these matchups, trump batess clinton, cruz bets clinton, rubio beats clinton and kasich beats clinton by 11 points.

the sun sets in saint pete. hudson a little bit of an outlier here. very warm temperatures throughout the region and all parts of the state. you can see where that line is drawn with the cooler weather off to the north. as i said very chilly weather off to the north. it will be the next week whether maker. early tuesday. it kind of brings a line of showers. watch what happens as we put the future cap map into motion. and tomorrow morning there will be temperatures that around 57 or 58 degrees. the warmth will continue to the work week as well. mostly clear skies. right through about 61. expect to win so come out of the east and the southeastern diminishing from 15 to 10 knots. they are averaging 2 feet offshore. just before 9:00. here is a look at the most accurate forecast. late monday. the rest of the week looks fantastic. including over on the east coast. it looks great for racing. if folks get their motors we are always online at abc action news.com. there is still plenty of hockey left in the season. two months left to be exact. you can't help but

where are the outliers, where are the problems. to his credit, the last time he was in here a few months ago, he did produce a list of 20 tests that he said these may be problematic. but there are 11,000 laboratory developed tests out there and they are useful every day of the week in a clinician's office. i'm sorry, but continue. >> so let me narrow the problem down to tests that we need for infectious disease and particularly during epidemics. okay? we need a variety of different kinds of tests. as you know, you want a very sensitive test when you have a low prevalence but you don't want that same test when you are in the middle of an epidemic so it gets tricky. however, here's the problem.l!sñ it's very difficult to validate a new diagnostic against ebola or even zika if you don't have curated samples of those diseases. in my view, the government can put this in dod or hhs or fda. the government should develop a curated bank of diseases about which we are worried so that companies, especially these small fragile companies could

that martin shkreli is the devil, and outlier in the pharma industry. therefore, the rest of the stri comes off better, because he looks so bad. or he reminds people that this is an issue. >> i would go with the latter. i think the whole industry now is under a microscope. he's the poster child for it. massachusetts attorney general saying what they said to gillea, d, they'll face charges. the whole thing seemingly out of whack. the last time i checked being a jerk is not an offense, because if it was, i would be -- the fact that you like him, don't like him, really shouldn't come into the equation. it doesn't matter, because the entire space is under a microscope. the biotech index, in my opinion, needs to recapture 285 before you can look at the space. >> i agree. i think it's going to be very front and center on the election. it's so easy. i think they actually could get some bipartisan support to maybe do something. so it's not just are we going to hear a lot of bad noise about it, the government has given away the right to negotiate drug prices. th

the outlier was 1992 who five democrats won the early contest before bill clinton took control on superay. donte' has been studying the state's primary for 15 years or more now. nice to see you in person. you could say that iowa doesn't always necessarily predict who is going to be the nominee. new hampshire maybe doesn't always either, knbut the two ar as we said, someone usually wins one or the other. how important is new hampshire? >> new hampshire republicans represent the moderate alternative to iowa. iowa, you have lots of religious conservatives, lots of social conservatives. new hampshire republicans, not especially religious. much more moderate to somewhat conservative in their outlook. they present kind of a balance to iowa, and often choose a different sort of candidate than iowa chooses. look at mike huckabee, rick santorum. neither did well here. >> what about on the democratic side? you have bernie sanders, the next door neighbor. but if you had to describe the democratic voter in new hampshire? >> a bit more moderate than your iowa caucusgoer. lots of liberal democrats he

the poll is what they call an outlier. because every other national poll shows trump with a big lead. in fact, it's such an outlier, the out. but rupert murdoch denies it. he might be the least of donald trump's problems right now. he has a new feud going with pope francis. not kidding. the pope is in mexico on his way home he was asked about donald trump. which is funny on its own, really. and the pope said, a person who thinks only about building walls wherever they may be and not building bridges is not a christian. which of course is nonsense, donald trump made it very clear that his favorite book is the christian. and he wasted no time today firing back at the pope. >> as i'm walking up here they said, mr. trump, the pope made a statement about you. i said, the pope? what did the pope say? i like the pope. was it good or bad? because if it's good i like the if it's bad i don't like the pope. >> jimmy: he doesn't like -- how if i told you two years ago that with the pope you'd think i was insane. i mean this makes tayl

nate silver: the biggest outlier is the intentional walks the barry bonds drew. was att closest player 50 when he had 168. there was no other record i can think of where the recordholder has three times as much as the nearest player. tyler: to the streaks in place -- impress you more or less than other people? things like cal ripken, mickey those. nate silver: one of the area where simple answers might not have been totally correct. there was a lot of talk for a long time about how the hot hand theory was false. basically things are random. now there is more argument against that. if you have a task that has low power, then you made a mistake. oft may result four-legged -- may result in a negative result. you'd expect there is some variation in some behavior in the day today. it was lester guinness and you might think. -- we have a greater or lesser extent to that than you might think. we have some unpublished research that a colleague of mine is doing. it looks like if you maybe predict batting average up or down, or on-base average 20 or 30 points from a baseli

the government for anything. it. >> a lot of people thought landis was a straight-outlier liar. the only thing i wondered was what was going to happen when he told the truth, because it not only implicated armstrong, but a whole slew of cyclists who never did anything to landis. we should be glad he told the truth and it had a positive impact on the sport. so for me personally, it's an honor and a privilege to have this platform, and whether or not we're spending a couple days or a couple hours with the individual, we're being trusted to fairly and accurately tell their story, and that's a responsibility we take seriously. on top of that, we have fun on and off camera. we learn something from every interview, and i'm just so grateful that the figures are willing to sit down with us and >> you kind of look up and you're going, yeah, it's probably pretty dark right now. a lot of information. a lot of information. so, wh imp thishappen, we'rre. urocalvandio broadcters.amera's nuer one s fows, we anrmaton scrin ylife were bsters,alwaere fou, wherever here may be. text " 528 ashi stat

is bob the outlier in terms of mega-ceos bucking the trend and leaning into this distraction?erformance in the team park is this, which we do not talk about much. it was really a strong business for them. about to get a lot stronger with shanghai disney opening up. this is a business he has done and initiated massive change. they bought marvel and pixar and have done take acquisitions and really put those on their platform of rolling them out through merchandising and into the imparts in creating a much acre business for disney. that has all been driven by bob. >> time warner has come out with earnings while we were on the air. >> another mixed bag. share countlower but the revenue mixed and the operating income actually declined year-over-year. it raises the issue from a revenue perspective that, time warner is really levered to the cable tv business. they do not have a impart business and i do not have the merchandise is this that disney does. they are levered to the issue and we are seeing the stock trade down here. great cable networks, they are the basis of every big cabl

donald trump, ted cruz, marco rubio to fund himself and the outlier, john kasich. asich is low on cash on hand, too. the financial advantage is going to be there, and we go into super tuesday. nobody can afford to buy all the media in those states. this is the last state you can have a hub, that people are going to go around from cafeteria to cafeteria. >> did nikki haley help marco rubio get up into second place? >> she does. what i found with voters, if you haven't taken a good look or the chris christie exchange had you second -- this got him a really good second look in a place with a lot of undecided voters. >> that's what i found at the rubio rally today. that people, like nikki haley, she has over 80% popularity in the state and they were giving rubio another look because they like her. it's not that they're definitely going to vote for him as a result. but i do think she creates a sense of, well, maybe we ought to take another look at this guy because we like her so much. >> i should point out, if you are joining us, we are awaiting the start of our town hal

amid concerns that keep persisting in the market, over global growth. one interesting outlierwith apple, and perhaps one of the reasons why the nasdaq cannot even worse during the session, apple actually recovered a bit during the day. the declines on the day do mean that the nasdaq is closer to a bear market. if you go back to its closing high on july 20, and go through the end of the session today, you get a decline of about 18%. 20%, of course, technically would be a bear market. we are getting very close to that level. we will continue to monitor it and see if we enter it in the coming days. back to you. emily: our senior markets correspondent, julie hyman, in new york. coming up, what startups need to know to show investors to keep the funding coming. we will speak to a seo who just closed his --. ♪ emily: to a story that seems to be more along the lines of a highly blockbuster than real life. russian hackers were able to move the ruble dollar rate more than 50% in just 14 minutes. the perpetrator stipulated a virus, and a regional bank in russia, many good more than $500

in the foothill district, 75% drop and the three combined eastside neighborhoods show a drop of more than half. one outlier, the downtown district did see an uptick but police say that reflects specific crime sprees. >>> the san mateo college district is considering a change that would allow campus police to carry weapons. >> as michelle roberts shows us, students are divided on that issue. >> we're going to examine all the issues. >> reporter: chief rob dean oversees the public safety department for all three campuses in the san mateo college system. the officers that report to him carry pepper spray and a baton but soon the board of trustees may vote to arm each officer with a gun. >> we want to look at all the available options and figure out what's best to make it safest. >> reporter: the college is in the process of studying how best to protect students against an emergency situation like an active shooter. the chief says it may come down to response times. >> if we're in close proximity, we would be there sooner possibly than local law enforcement. >> reporter: he also says if the board approves the

nate silver: the biggest outlier is the intentional walks the barry bonds drew. was att closest player 50 when he had 168. there was no other record i can think of where the recordholder has three times as much as the nearest player. tyler: to the streaks in place -- impress you more or less than other people? things like cal ripken, mickey those. nate silver: one of the area where simple answers might not have been totally correct. there was a lot of talk for a long time about how the hot hand theory was false. basically things are random. now there is more argument against that. if you have a task that has low power, then you made a mistake. oft may result four-legged -- may result in a negative result. you'd expect there is some variation in some behavior in the day today. it was lester guinness and you might think. -- we have a greater or lesser extent to that than you might think. we have some unpublished research that a colleague of mine is doing. it looks like if you maybe predict batting average up or down, or on-base average 20 or 30 points from a baseli

the pollsters call. so it may be an outlier before iting the only poll to come out after the news on scalia and the debate saturday. charles: there were internal polls showing maybe not cruz leading but coming on. could there be some legitimacy to this poll? >> time will tell. it's the first poll done after the bruiser of a debate we have and scalia's death. but there is another poll out by bloomberg showing donald trump has a 19 percentage point lead in south carolina and that poll shows he's winning across all groups, even women and establishment republicans and evangelicals. it could be a blip. i think time will tell. here is what the pollsters had to say to the point that was made earlier. this is the on poll that's been done since the debate and since the new hampshire victory. trump had a significant lead the last time they did it. the pollster said change, them see a momentary pause if the numbers could snap back. what do you make of it? >> even with the margin of error the front group is tied. the jumps you can't really trust. they can show you a trend, and that's the thing that's troubling, espec

the outcome. there's a couple of recent outliers that throw the indicator on its ear, 2008 the the afc ravens won and the dow soared by 26%. so maybe a broncos win will show us that the dow will soar, you never know, but don't trade on any of this please. good luck. >> spirits in dow will will soar for sure should the broncos win. thank you very much for that. >> take care are. >>> let's get back to san francisco our drive to the championship continues and we're up bright and early. >> reporter: well, thank you. i brought many accessories with me for the week. and i know a the who of people heading to san francisco and santa clara today. so don't forget to pack lots of layers for you because once it gets into the evening hours it does cool off a little bit especially when you're near the water. so you may want the sweat shirt or jacket. but if you are coming out to california expect really nice weather. we had a little rain roll through last night but now smooth sailing we're looking at it will be in the 60s in santa clara if that's where you're going and slowly throughout the rest of the week we

highs in the 50s for the most part and could be a couple of outliers through the low 60s and generally speaking, a pretty strong and substantial front that came through, brought rainfall yesterday, some of it record breaking for the daily rainfall maximum for the day and a lot of communities, datona beach was one of them and you can see now, as we scour out this clouds, we have nothing. sun and fun, a little on the cool side. too cool for the beaches today, guys. look at this sun returns, cool and breezy weather and looks like upper 50s and mid 50s settle in by 8:00. and tonight, clouds accumulate and collect and looks like we'll see mostly cloudy weather on our saturday, chance of rain much of the day, 30%, however by late in the day, overnight into sunday, we see the chance of rain rise, up to 50%, west of i-95 and i think a lot heavier, the rain chance and the actual rain chances at 60 or 70%, and do not fret, sunday reemerges and our super sunday, the big game and looks like we ride the cool spell out through mid-week of next week. our full detailed forecast, coming up, i'll see yo

including facebook and twitter and google, as well, actually came in on the side of apple. he's an outlier and one of the founding the fathers of silicon valley taking this position. >> he says there is a risk even among silicon valley, as they're having the debate we are having. >> slightly more than half side with the fbi as opposed to apple. >> on the flip side of it, general michael haden, the head of the nsa and cia says apple has the right idea. you can't predict where people are going to come down on this. >> it's fascinating. i think bill gates said, it is a good conversation to be having. absolutely. we have the freedom, and it's protected by our constitution. >> like the freedom to look like an idiot when you're texting and walking. >> i'll refrain from using the word idiot because i've been >> into a sculpture? >> not into a sculpture but this happens on rock center on a daily basis. not only me but i've seen people walk into pillars. this is this giant sculpture in england, called the kiss. the problem is, it's in the walking path. that's not going to present a problem, is it?