so when the u.s. government look for tools of statecraft in the maritime domain, they often, between defense and diplomacy, will rely on the coast guard is a unique instrument of national security. we talk about the missions, but would also stop the flow of illegal drugs into the u.s. we prevent the flow of illegal migrants bassy into the u.s. and prevent mass migration by sea. we reinforce and combat rules against illegal, unregulated and unreported fishing. and we do environmental response, including worldwide. michael: michael: it's a lot. and you are doing that on less than $15 billion a year. adm. lunday: it is. and it presents us with significant readiness challenges. the coast guard's budget today is $12.3 billion. of that, about 10.5 is operations and sustainment for today's activities, our people and our assets. and then only about $1.6 billion is for procurement, construction improvement or capital investment for all of the acquisition programs to recapitalize our aging assets. and so that pr

the data scenario in the u.s. pointing back to the goldilocks prospect of a soft landing for the u.s. economy. on retail strength. the futures led. pointing higher by .2%. looking to close out the week in positive territory for european stocks. the ftse 100 down .1%. the softness coming through in the commodities market. s&p futures pointing to modest gains, about .1% after rallying yesterday more than 1% on the s&p 2.4% for the nasdaq and the russell 2000. the nasdaq futures pointing to future gains building on the upside of yesterday higher by .2%. let's look asset. the japanese yen is a focus of weakness of recent days. right now little strength coming through and up .3% versus the u.s. dollar at 148. the u.s. 2 year back above 4%. now expecting fewer than 100 basis points of cuts by the end of the year and the selloff in treasuries is there at 4.0 sacks. -- 4.06. gold a little softer by .1%. crossing over to avril hong in singapore for a check on the asian markets and what a strong few days it has been. avril:

we know the u.s. ly have about 40,000 personnel positioned in the region, scattered around various bases. they have strong naval fleets and airbases in qatar. but in the past week, they have been sending more military assets. yesterday, the central command said they sent f-22 fighter jets to the region, very powerful in terms of detecting and surveying should there be that potential iranian retaliation. they have also deployed more warships and fighter planes as well. on one hand, even though they are pushing the diplomatic angle, they are deploying more assets to the region to send a signal to iran and its proxies that the u.s. would not hesitate to come to the defense of israel, similar to what we saw on april 13 with that direct retaliation that took place between iran and israel, when you saw those coalition forces intervene and intercept and shoot down drones that were fired at tel aviv, so there's an expectation that there is a retaliation coming in the u.s. is ready to defend israel. tom: bloomb

the warnings from the u.s. and its allies and particularly spokespeople out of the white house and biden administration are becoming ever more concerning when it comes to the risk of further conflict. roz: it's interesting because we are now two weeks since the killing that iran blames on israel of the hamas leader in tehran and there has still not yet been any retaliation even only have said they will. nothing has come. we are hearing the u.s. saying they believe it's getting close and could happen at any time. they could be in many different forms. they are saying it could be a direct attack by iran on israel or the use of its proxies in the region, hamas, hezbollah, the houthis. they could be a multipronged retaliation. it seems calibrated to avoid setting off that further war and that's perhaps why iran has been taking time to work out what to do that sends a message back to israel but does not trigger that broader war, but certainly the u.s. is getting concerned that we are close. tom: what is the u.s. doin

sumi: the u.s. ecurity advisor is in china for multiple days of talks with top diplomats as a do countries were to settle tensions. jake sullivan is holding talks with the chinese foreign minister, the fourth time in 16 months. their last meeting came in january shortly after president joe biden and xi jinping held a summit to stabilize relations. mr. sullivan and mr. yi addressed media, each acknowledging past disagreements and the need to find common ground. >> china-u.s. relations bear on the future of the two countries and influence the world. over the past few years, the bilateral relations have gone through twists and turns. under the strategic guidance of president xi jinping and president joe biden, we have managed to return and move toward san francisco. the experiences from this journey are worth summarizing and the lessons should be learned. >> we are working to ensure the competition is not conflict and finding ways to work together. all of that requires the kind of strategic and substant

later in the u.s. get retail sales and then the key retailer are the biggest retailers walmart, a gauge of the consumer. 395 on the front end of the two-year. we will see if that moves as markets price and in the debate moves from whether or not it is a 25 basis point cut or 50 in september. 128 on the pound. seven and nine dollars a barrel on oil. iron ore under pressure in the session down 2%. 93 dollars per ton currently for iron ore on continuing concerns about the demand out of the chinese market. that's a check of your markets, let's get back to a key story right now this thursday, the world health organization has declared in mpox outbreak in africa a global health emergency. a mutated strain of the virus has affected about 15,000 people in at least six african countries and killed more than 500 in the democratic republic of congo. click the who has been working on the mpox outbreak in africa and raising that this is a concern. it met and advised me the situation constitutes of international conc

so people once the u.s. army occupies buford and people including the cumbie people who i've talked about are finding any possible to get to buford. if they're inland they're coming on foot. they're also there are lots rivers running through the area, including can be there were people making basket boats and floating in baskets. ten, 20, 30, 40 miles to get to buford. literally risking their lives, building rafts and floating on these with their children and their elders. you know, to get to buford. these people of them are first going are going be taken downtown. and we would call it today. right there. needs are going to be assessed. people who can would be given work assignments, people who might have actually been from the sea islands going to be taken back to the sea. people who couldn't work are going to be given shelter. clothing, etc. so if in modern sense we would think about this as a refugee situation and historians actually call all of these sort of freedom seekers who are liberating themselves,

through the u.s. n act and the canadian subsidies with a huge amount of potential government money come into the sector. from the investment case, if you look at oil back in the early 1970s, indonesia is now at the point where it controls two thirds of global supply which is more than opec at its peak. you want the government to basically get china and indonesia out of the supply chain. with those incentives that are in place, we only need to provide a small fraction of the capital required to build the projects, effectively getting free leverage from governments around the world and the price protection from the tariffs walls going in one direction. we are in a great position being inside the wall in canada to take advantage of it. >> right. right now nickel supply is led by indonesia and philippines and chinese, is that correct? there is a lot of concern of the dependence on china. how do you fill that gap? >> what we're doing is basically lucky to find some very, very large nickel as yosulfide resou

inflation is an issue in the u.s. been rising under president biden, but it is not the worst in 100 years. it hit a peak of just over 9% back in december of 2022. but it has been higher than that it was last that high in 1981, so trump is exaggerating what he says -- when he says it is the worst and 100 years. that highlighted -- he highlighted particular groups hit badly by inflation. he highlighted bacon which, the price had risen four or five times over in a few years. the price of bacon has risen. it is up 17% since trump left office. that is nowhere near four or five times like trump said. a fair amount of overestimation and exaggeration in both his points around the economy and inflation. >> what about immigration? >> this is a familiar theme, a campaign theme he comes back to. in the interview he said he thought 20 million people had crossed over the border illegally into the u.s. while biden has been in office, since the start of 2021. immigration numbers are high under biden. they have hit record levels, alth

the u.s. chinese consumer, i should say, in terms of the consumer print from the earnings of tencent and alibaba. are we seeing any signs that chinese consumer is turning around? both of these companies are a good gauge on that question, and they report later today. is the cpi print out of the u.k., the inflation print out of u.k. expected to tick up above the 2% level? what kind of conundrum would oppose for the boe? we will see if that adjusts later today. we get that cpi print out of the u.s., mark renfield talking about the importance of that and how much that is priced into the bond market and how it sets us up in terms of how we think about inflation involving in the u.s. that is the data point today out of the u.s., cpi given the softer prices we got yesterday, will that trend continue? we have around up of today's stories. no surprise is at the top of the list of stories, breaking down the earnings of this was lender and what it means for sergio ermotti's plans to integrate credit and

the u.s. and russia but believed to be other countries. how difficult do the negotiations become when it's not just two countries but a group of countries? >> you're exactly right. that really complicates it, however, it does emphasize the importance of having allies that we can deal with, whether it's the germans, whether it's allies in the middle east. this is an effort that we have undertaken, that the americans have undertaken, the administration has pushed through because it has good relations with these allies. it's more complicated. we are operating together, essentially against the russians. >> thank you very much, ambassador william taylor, gabe gutierrez, please stay with us. i want to bring in nbc news chief international correspondent keir simmons joining us from paris. i know you have been reporting on this deal. what are we learning? >> reporter: this is a live situation, of course. it does look like it is highly complex, and a major prisoner exchange, maybe even the biggest priso

asian stocks -- soft landing in the u.s. we get the latest read on u.s. inflation later today. a harris speaks in her first tv interview at the nominee, she's now leading in the most consequential swing states according to bloomberg latest bowl. intel explores its options. the chipmakers speak with investment bankers to help navigate the most difficult time in its 56 year history. welcome again, everybody. we are going to get a check on markets because it is that all-important pce day and we talk about it in the context of it being fed's preferred inflation. the markets yesterday reacting to nvidia earnings coming through in the stock ending the session 6% lower, pulling down the nasdaq. this morning most of these u.s. majors are seen opening up in the green. the dow actually closed at another record high yesterday. the s&p very close to it, some positivity, some risk on momentum really pervading in this morning session. euro stock futures seen opening slightly weaker. cross cross asset, what we saw as a marginal move upward yesterday and tenured u.s. notes. we traded four basis

course the u.s. intert in the pacific is not just because of global competition but that's a fact that the pacific islanders are very aware of. i'm curious your thoughts on the perspective what you see on the ground in terms of the chinese and other efforts to the rules-based orders that benefit the pacific and how you work with the pacific island and other countries to combat that. >>. it's a huge problem that we've encountered specifically in new york that i think is a global problem as well where the chinese have made. a very conservative with full effort to rewrite the rules of the road. it's what they see as the future including inserting and ung documents issues that go against the core values that many of the countries have. but what we have been clear on, and i made that statement as well when i was in the islands, is we are not trying to force countries to choose between us and china. what we are doing is giving them a choice to make many countries say we are forced into these relationships b

the u.s. up its final two gold medals of the paris olympics to close out the games on a high note. -- at the top of the medal table. valente cruised to a victory in a multitrack cycling event. and in an adrenaline-filled women's basketball game -- team usa got the victory by one point in the final seconds against against france. the eighth consecutive win and tied the u.s. with china for the most gold medals at 40. paris celebrated the closing ceremony with the official handover to los angeles for the 2028 summer games. still to come on "pbs news weekend," the push for gender equity at the olympics. and what is being done to tackle the growing problem of debris left behind in space. >> this is pbs news weekend from weta studios in washington and -- home of the pbs news hour weeknights on pbs. stephanie: while cancer deaths in the u.s. have decreased in recent years, experts say one age group has seen an overall rise in cancer rates -- younger americans. william brangham has the latest on these

yes, the u.s. has allowed cartels, terror groups, chinese money organizations to use phony corporations in their schemes. they may exist on the on paper but enable deadly threats. nearly 108,000 americans died of overdosage in 2022 according to the cdc. 436 were rhode islanders. the deaths ripped across my state in a tide of heartbreak. fentanyl and other opioids are a responsible for these deaths. shell corporations that hide the delivery of precursor chemicals and hide the profits from sales. one doj indictment last year alleged they designed a network of shell counties in wisconsin to launder millions for the cartel. traffickers in new jersey were charged with using a cell company to buy substances from china that went into counselor fit pills. syrian drug traffickers that use legitimate business launder money. we cannot not guilty forget that terrorist groups, putin's cronies and others use these same opaque corporate structures. let me be clear, the network of shellorporationservicing these foe

the former u.s. onal security adviser john bolton is sang the peace process between israel and hamas is a long way to go. continuing the geopolitical theme, let's hear from him on bloomberg surveillance. >> there is a regional war in the middle east now of iran against israel on five fronts. hamas and the gaza trip -- gaza strip, the houthis and the red sea, that she a militia in iraq and syria -- shia militia in iraq and syria. the question is how do they i'll up one or the other. israel fears hezbollah's arsenal. public estimates are that hezbollah has between 120 and 150,000 missiles. that would be enough to overwhelm israel's air defenses at least -- it is complicated. it is the fact that the leadership in tehran is determined to destroy the little satan. >> yesterday we heard from donald trump who said -- we are going to be friendly to iran. we are going to be friendly, i hope we are going to be friendly. do you know what's wrong's -- what trump's 2.0 policy is going to look like? >> he has no id

the u.s. arsenal, and given the central role to alliances, how do we adapt the arsenal and those alliances and structures and institutions behind them to the new threat environment. this administration has made strides in strengthening partnerships both in europe and in the indo pacific. our guest has been a part of those efforts and the nuclear consultative group with south korea korea and serving as chair of the nato hlg. he is the acting assistant secretary for space policy including space, missile defense, nuclear deterrence and countering wmd policies. prior to the entry into government he was a professor of nuclear security and political science at m.i.t.. his key academic work includes nuclear strategy in the modern age and speaking on strategies of nuclear proliferation. he has degrees in chemical engineering from stanford university and studied as a fellow and a phd in government from harvard university. after his remarks, he and i will sit down and start the discussion and we will ope

the u.s. trong enough to withstand the outcome no matter who wins. and some say the u.s. is already still broken. the results don't matter. the poll is just a glimpse of the electorate and we want to hear your thoughts. here are the numbers to call -- republicans, 202-748-8001, democrats, 202-748-8000, and independents, 202-748-8002. you can send us a text at text 202-748-8003 or post a question or comment on facebook fat facebook.com/cspan -- at facebook.com/cspan or on x at @cspanwj. that new polling coming from the associated press and the headline from that natural talking about the majority of u.s. adults say democracy is on the ballot but they differ on the threat. here's a closer look at the numbers. you can see here on this chart on your screen -- democracy in the u.s. could be at risk depending on who wins the 2024 presidential election. that's at 59%. the blue at 21% our respondents who say democracy in the u.s. is strong enough to withstand the outcome no matter who wins. and 18% res

the white house. tom: good monday morning. european stocks and u.s. stocks have made up essentially the losses of last monday, but volatility still firmly in focus for investors. european stocks pointing to pretty decent gains this monday, up 0.5%. catherine mann saying she remains cautious on inflation in the u.k.. s&p futures pointing flat after the gains that came through friday. futures looking to add 33 points. michelle bowman of the fed saying more work needs to be done on inflation. let's look cross asset. the japanese yen coming under pressure in the morning session. we have heard from a former boj member saying they are unlikely to hike again this year. japanese yen currently 147. a little softness coming through. euro-dollar out at 1.09. gold at 2433, up a 10th of a percent. let's go to avril hong. avril: we are seeing asia stocks climbing for a second session, and i think that sense of calm is continuing to return to the markets, making what happened last monday look increasingly like an overreaction. but we have a lot of data to get through

while the public in the u.s. is distracted by the spectacle, the u.s. bs on korea. they are rehearsing for the invasion of north korea. with tens of thousands of troops and what's more, these wargames are also nuclear war exercises. right now the u.s. military is conducting nuclear scenarios in korea, and just a few weeks ago the u.s. in south korea held their first ever war exercise, reviewing how they would deploy a u.s. nuclear weapon to strike korea. we want to invite you all to join the u.s. out of korea campaign. open up your phone go to u.s. out of korea.org, and we have one last chant we want to teach you all. repeat after me. in the wargames, leave our land. u.s. out is our demand. into the wargames, leave our land. u.s. out is our demand. thank you. >> all right. we are so close to getting this march launched. are you ready? all right, i'm proud to introduce our final speaker from the national students for a democratic society. an ethiopian american organizer with sts in denver, and since october, the denver sts has been organizing a divestment

in the u.s., in true u.s.times square billboard when revolut got their license, con ag congratulations. there is more capital there. that is one thing that will be helpful to them. >> i think it is interesting. when we turn our focus to what you're doing, beringea is expanding in the u.s. to raise funding for american investors. you are also part of the trend. help me understand the companies that you are working with and explain the process here. what role do you have to play in helping to build businesses in the uk and europe and get them to public markets? >> sure. beringea is a uk and u.s. team. we focus in uk businesses. the whole idea with the firm name, beringea, it was derived from the bering strait. we connect businesses by funding them at both stages and bridge the gap. a lot of the uk office want to scale and grow to the u.s. because it is a much bigger market and easier market to scale. those are the dynamics we think about. >> do you think you have the next big unicorn in your portfolio? >> there

the u.s. sh sanctions against a group accused of supporting violence against palestinian civilians in the west bank. the sanctions will be opposed by -- an organization. they are accused of forcing palestinians to leave a village and then fencing it off so they could not return. a security coordinator was also sanction for attacking and expelling palestinians. in response israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu said israel take seriously the imposition of sanctions on israeli citizens. the issue is under intense discussions with the u.s. we can talk about that with our state department correspondent, tom bateman. tell us more about the sanctions. tom: it is important to remember the u.s. government imposing sanctions on israeli citizens and organizations is a very new thing. it only started this year. it has been an effort by this administration to try to show some sense of evenhandedness. even though they armed the state of israel very aggressively in terms of israeli policy, they are also

we also produce in the u.s., so, in many aspects, we are as much a u.s. mpany as we are a danish company. but the headquarter -- corporate headquarter is based in denmark for the foreseeable future. francine: you think of denmark, and really, now, you think of novo, because of the size of revenues, which is, i think, bigger than gdp. is that uncomfortable? lars: i think maybe the perspective should be corrected a bit, because there is this comparison about our market cap with the danish gdp. and we all know that gdp is an economic flow matrix for the flow on a yearly basis, and the market cap is the total value of the company. i'm sure if we compare the market cap of novo nordisk with the market cap of everything that is in denmark, we would be tiny. but, of course, there's also the point that with our expansions, our more than 30,000 employees in denmark, huge capex investment, we are fueling the gdp growth. and, you know, we take that quite seriously. so, the jobs we create i don't think will disappear again. and, now we talk about expanding in the u.s.

>> the big thing, dan, in the u.s. ood retail is the only safe harbor left for walmart, kroger and costco. as you reported well, walmart is benefitting from walgreens boots and the rite aid and amazon receives subsidies that they don't receive in the uk or asia or latin america or africa with subsidized walmart, they are contribute to three dozen food and drug bankruptcies during the last 20 years in the u.s. they are benefitting from bank bankruptcies, they are benefitting from the fantastic size and scale and disclosure, i'm a hshareholder of walmart walmart is advocating for the consumer against the unfair ftc charges by the price gouging of retailers. not true the farmers are suffering, the shoppers are suffering and the big brands like kellogg and kraft are benefitting by price gouging. for example, walmart and cheerios is 200% higher. it is not walmart. the farmers are receiving less, but the cereal millers are raising prices with impunity when input costs are down. walmart is fighting for brands as kroger and cos

. >>> the u.s. s the pressure on hamas after secretary of state antony blinken says israel has agreed to cease-fire talks. >> there is a sense of urgency here across the region on the need to get this over the finish line and do it as soon as possible. the united states is deeply committed to getting this job done and getting it done now. >>> good morning again. welcome to the program. if you are just waking up or watching up, we begin with developing news. sweden cuts the interest rates to 3.5% after inflation undershot the 2% target for the second straight month. the riksbank said it could cut two or three more times this year if the inflation outlook remains the same. jens told cnbc the decision was in line with the expectations. >> the 25-basis point cut was within the decision. we will keep an eye on the press conference later on. i would say this shift adding one more rate cut to this fall was also more or less in line with the expectations. we thought maybe they could take it one step further

the united states and the u.s. inister constantinople successfully, king's sentence in exile reversed. king story illustrates multiple themes that emerge the book and through its kind of different examples and case studies. first, we can see missionaries classified themselves and were often kind of by default, classify as in the same category as american merchants and sailors. when it came treaty protections. king story also shows the expectation that missionaries had for the u.s. government to have their back when they ran into difficulty. or, as emily describes it, missionary troubles. the outpouring of support for king in the united states when he was arrested put on trial highlights the growing role of a missionary public who made missionary problems into a domestic concern that politicians couldn't ignore. finally, and perhaps most obviously especially to those who don't spend a lot of time studying missionaries, king's desire to proselytize, even though that was sort of in violation of local laws while condemn

the u.s. as well in terms of the election. it has been a wild ride so far and we still have a few months ago. with kamala harris enjoying a honeymoon period in the polls, do you see these trump trades continuing to unwind? how do you see that situation involving? >> i think trying to speculate at this point the election outcome, it is a little bit tricky in my mind, but given the markets are looking at the odd shifting rate quickly over the last few weeks, we have seen some of what you would define as the trump trades unwinding, and i think we are closer to cleanup in the markets, and we will go back and forth between now and november 5, and it might go even longer to get a decision, so i don't think you want to speculate too much. from a fundamental standpoint, there is a good background for fixed income. i think the fed policy path is more important. in my mind, if i take a 12 to 18-month view, rather than trying to speculate where currencies are going. avril: do you think the volatility is p

looking for legalization to happen in the u.s. t seeing it happen, i knew we had to diversify. one other fun area, one other adjacency was the spirits and beer industry. 2020, i wired sweetwater brewery, they had a brand called 420, we all know what that means . it was doing 2.5 billion cases. with this acquisition we will be doing over one million barrels. why beer? i saw that category declining and i saw the opportunity within craft beer to make it fun and unique again. i saw that there was not a lot of innovation around beer. with tilray's beverages we have come out with 50, 75 new products over the last year, gaining months of distribution. now we are the fifth largest craft room were in the u.s. i think that as you think about millennials, think about gen z, how do we get them to drink beer? one day if cannabis does legalize in the u.s., hey, thc infused beer is something that will be exciting. matt: i think there are some issues around thc infused drinks, difficult to dose. there are a lot of people in this country who have q

the u.s. strong enough to withstand the outcome no matter who wins. and some say the u.s. is already still broken. the results don't matter. the poll is just a glimpse of the electorate and we want to hear your thoughts. here are the numbers to call -- republicans, 202-748-8001, democrats, 202-748-8000, and independents, 202-748-8002. you can send us a text at text 202-748-8003 or post a question or comment on facebook fat facebook.com/cspan -- at facebook.com/cspan or on x at @cspanwj. that new polling coming from the associated press and the headline from that natural talking about the majority of u.s. adults say democracy is on the ballot but they differ on the threat. here's a closer look at the numbers. you can see here on this chart on your screen -- democracy in the u.s. could be at risk depending on who wins the 2024 presidential election. that's at 59%. the blue at 21% our respondents who say democracy in the u.s. is strong enough to withstand the outcome no matter who wins. and 18% r

the u.s. economy. treasuries gained ahead of the jobs report. intel plummets after releasing a barrage of bad news while amazon tumbles on its plan for increased ai spending. we will bring you the details. the bank of england cuts rates for the first time in over four years in narrow 5-4 decision. joumanna: good morning, everybody, and welcome to "bloomberg daybreak: europe." we are seeing a major pullback for risk assets in the past 24 hours, were session or asian stocks in over two years. as you can see as we get into the european session euro stocks futures pointing to another negative open, down .9 of 1%. s&p futures leaning negative down about .8 of 1%. nasdaq building on from losses yesterday with the nasdaq closing 2.3% lower. a lot of moves to digest after hours, intel done double digits, arm as well. many tech stocks have been disappointing their earnings. it is not just equities that have seen major moves. let's which of the board and take a look at other assets we have been monitorin

that is what allowed the u.s. whether, if you like some of the struggles of the pandemic better than other countries had. as cracked have begun to emerge in america's labor market, that has prompted investors to begin to question how strong, how healthy is the u.s. economy, and does that leave the federal reserve, america central bank, behind the curve in terms of cutting interest rates? this is the message that wall street is now trying to send to america central bank. act boldly and quickly. caitriona: are those fears grounded? these the u.s. headed for a recession? -- is the u.s. headed for a recession? michelle: i have been talking to economists today and one of the things you keep hearing is, yes, there's the possibility of recession but the odds are very low and it's not the most likely outcome. i think the significance of this selloff we are seeing now is a renewed focus and a change in the conversation. for the last several months, last few years, we have been talking about inflation and the cost of living

the u.s. is focused on lowering the temperature.a dision in the region including the u.s. and iran about who's interested in lowering the temperature and reaching cease-fire and those parties which do not apparently have that as priority. as a priority, the u.s., the president, vice president, secretary of state, secretary of defense, that cease-fire, getting hostages home, getting aid to gaza is paramount. iran has been careful in the last 10 months not to escalat when they retaliated for a strike, they publicized they would do so in order for the coalition to protect israel, to get in place and do that job. steve: we have to see how israel will retaliate. that could change the calculations all the parties will have to consider going forward. i have to move on gina. thank you so much. the former chair of the bbc publicly thanked hugh edwards, despite knowing he had been arrested in november last year. he was charged over images that show child sex abuse. what more can you tell us? reporter: he was the interim chair of the bbc last

right now the ten-year at 3.82%. here is a look at u.s. ty futures heading into the resumption of wall street trade. the dow up 40 points, nasdaq by 33 and the 500 up by 6. meanwhile, the san francisco fed president mary daly says she believes it is time to cut rates. in an interview with bloomberg, daly said the fed has been ready to adjust for several months but, quote, the time to adjust policy is upon us. when asked about the size of the september move, daly suggested a 25 basis point cut would be appropriate if future data comes in as expected, but if the fed sees signs of labor market weakness it would be appropriate to move more aggressively. expecting 28.5% chance of it happening is expected, versus a roughly 35% probability after powell's speech at jackson hole. markets have priced in about 100 basis point of easing by the end of the year as i mentioned. we have, of course, been speaking to top economists about the central bank's next move. listen in. >>> the view in the marketplace is this is a single-mandate fed, the only thing t

the u.s. aken like this, does it shake resolve? >> it's not clear yet. how much the u.s. knew of the targeting of the senior hezbollah commander. before the news came out of iran, there was a sense that this could be dealt with. it was in beirut. it was expected. with this added on, the tension and risk have multiplied significantly. how much did the u.s. know that israel would attack in iran? this has created new risk in the region and potentially shot through any chance if there was an idea they might try to improve relations with iran, the new president, within hours of being sworn in, he had campaigned on trying to improve relations with the west. that may not he been possible because he is surrounded by hardliners. there may have been a glimmer of hope. that has been dealt a blow. there have been blows to the hostage negotiations, any possibility of talking between iran and the u.s. this cannot be good for the u.s. and joe biden who is a committed zionist. he has never wavered in support f

the u.s. y of state antony blinken will be heading to israel sunday meeting with prime minister benjamin netanyahu monday. president biden, meanwhile, sounded optimistic about a potential deal. listen. >> one of the reasons i was late for you all was i was dealing with the cease-fire effort in the middle east. we are closer than we have ever been. i do not want to jinx anything. but, as my grandfather said, the grace of god goes with luck and we may have something. but we aren't there yet. but we are closer than we were days ago. thank you. >> before his expected meeting with secretary of state antony blinken israeli prime minister netanyahu urged mediators to pressure hamas to accept a deal. our state department correspondent tom bateman has more. >> the two issues have become entirely intertwined about a potential breakthrough in cease-fire talks and iran threatening retaliation to israel because the american feel it is very much that this heightens the possibility of an iranian strike signif

. >>> back here in the u.s., record heat across several states. while in the east, some temperatures in the 50s. and a new tropical threat we're now watching tonight. >>> the u.s. economy tonight. the revised numbers when it comes to jobs. and does this make a rate cut from the fed even more likely? which could lower car loans, mortgages, and credit card rates. >>> the disturbing images tonight. a circus performer on that tightrope surviving a fall while performing in front of an audience. >>> in the northeast tonight, the deadly home explosion in pennsylvania. tonight, the cause here. >>> the concern over some baby food in the u.s. the alarming new study tonight and what they found. >>> and off the u.s. coast, the sightseers who came for the whales, but it was the dolphins who put on a show. and you'll see it. >>> from abc news, this is abc "world news tonight" with david muir, reporting tonight from chicago. >> david: good evening tonight from chicago. night three of the democratic national convention here. and tonight, vice president kamala harr

the u.s. striking gold once again in women's basketball and dominating the medal count. and we look ahead. the mayor of los angeles shares her vision for the 2028 games. >>> american gymnast jordan chiles losing her bronze medal over an appeal that an arbitrator said was four seconds too late. the u.s. committee is vowing to fight. chiles taking a break from social media. after being targeted online with hate. >>> also, following dangerous weather. water rescues in oklahoma as a river rises from 5 to 17 feet in a matter of hours. in south carolina, a warning to seek higher ground, and a new storm is developing in the tropics. >>> a deadly explosion, a house is wiped out, and a gas worker killed. the blast blowing out windows across the neighborhood. we're on the scene. >>> vice president kamala harris wraps up her blitz of battleground states. former president donald trump accuses her of stealing a policy idea to eliminate taxes on tips. jd vance defends plans to deport millions of undocumented

the u.s. en on high alert these last few weeks rushing an additional carrier strike group to the region to deter iran as weighing its own possible retribution strikes against israel. the region as you heard there, just more intense after those back-to-back assaults. the big question now, will this escalation overnight impact those ceasefire talks that were set to get under way in egypt? the fact that both sides seem to have focused squarely on military targets and that iran has not yet added to this response could be a good sign for those talks to go forward. i will tell you the white house here still insisting that there is hope. whit? >> whit: maryalice parks for us, thank you. joining us now is idf spokesman lieutenant colonel, nadav shoshani. thank you so much for speaking with us this morning. we do appreciate it. can you tell us more about the hreatsrom hezbollah that prompted israel to launch this pre-emptive strike, and was the u.s. involved in the operation? >> this morning we saw a th

bagram would have allowed the u.s. assist the alcan military air force, continue to carry out airstrikes. if the was held on to bagram there is little chance that you have seen the taliban be able to advance to kabul the way it did in august of 2021. as he referred to, bagram was a strategic case regionally. they gave us the ability to keep an eye on pakistan and china. president biden did give that up in july of 2021. that was a strategic mistake. as i mentioned, it was the base that had the present added where -- at it where the abbey gate bomber was behind bars until freed by the taliban. host: to california. rory in rancho santa margarita. caller: good morning. ok. the afghanistan withdrawal. don't ever have artificial lines or timetables. you should get the civilians out before you do the military. take out your equipment, or if you can't, destroy it. don't let the taliban uses to kill everybody else. the second part of this is biden. he's been found in confidence the local military leaders are becoming a little f

host: they focus on migration at the u.s. southern border. our guest is andrew selee, president of the migration policy institute. one thing mpi is known for is estimates on migrants living in the united states. guest: our numbers show there are 11.3 million people living in the united states. the number has gone up, it is probably close to 12 million. even when people arrive there are people leaving so the numbers do not move as much as they think. 11 million or 12 million people, our organizations check with other organizations like the department of homeland security. we have different methodologies but we all arrive at a very similar number. host: where are people coming from when they're crossing the border today? guest: about a quarter of them are from central america. we were talking about this under the trump administration and the biden administration, we were talking about central americans. this was about guatemala and hundred or is. we have seen a lot of mexicans lately which is a new trend. the mexican numbers are overestimated bu

to the middle east where u.s. cretary of state antony blinken left without securing a ceasefire between israel and hamas, after spending tuesday meeting with egyptian and qatari officials, he emphasized the urgency of reaching agreement. >> our message is simple. it's clear and it's a urgent. we need to get a ceasefire and hostage agreement over the finish line. time is of the essence. lizzy: hamas pushed back against u.s. claims that it is telling talks, saying it is keen to reach an agreement. let's get more from galit in tel aviv. if not israel or hamas, what is standing in the way of a deal? >> let's start by saying this morning that u.s. secretary of state antony blinken left the middle east last night without achieving a ceasefire deal with israel and hamas. the two sides were so supposed to start new negotiations in cairo this week but no date has been set. initial reports talked about that happening today or by the end of this week at most. on the table now is a bridging agreement which is an extension of a