iran does that and all of a sudden it's a fight wit the entire world, with the rest of theersianulf, with every other country involved that would be impacted by this. so for them it would be obalizing a conflict with them they have managed to keep on the down low including with russia and china. i just don't see a payoff for them at all. melissa: i don't know. i was in the region. a fair amount of their neighbs are not already happy with them. it is not like they're the most popular kids on the block anyway. their oil exports and according to opec and i has been cut in half. where is the oil going? is it sitting around? is it in the well, they're not pumping it? i image they're not just siing arnd and trying to sell it? >> a lot goes for domestic production, or domestic consumption. a lot is being sold illegally by iraq to syria on ships not registered. part of it is going out like that. i understand what y're saying. god knows i don want to downgrade the notion of iranians doing something completely insane. any country developin a nuclear weapon is clearly prepared to do something i