joining us right now thornberg president, jason brady, jason, great to see you, thank you for being here. what do you make of the global bank coming, taking estimates down, are estimates still too high in terms of earnings and will we see further downplaying of the economy for 2022? >> i think the earnings downgrades is, yes, selectively. the answer to sort of the idea of where global growth is coming from. you can think about it this way, the way gdp is nominated is a nominal study. the bite of inflation continues to be higher than most folks had predicted. that's the real issue. maria: are you saying we are going to see a slowdown or just a recession, do you expect a recession? >> i actually do. whether it's mild or not is the question. for market participants it's not quite as relevant if we are going to see a recession. the question is what does valuation look like in context of either recession or slowdown. i think it looks elevated for things not producing income and more focused on revenue, producing income start to look pretty interesting. maria: cpi expect today stay elevated at