let's welcome tiffany wilding, economist at pimco, and joe lavorna, and director of hamilton projectngs institution. our own steve liesman. steve, you were on the right side of this one in terms of suggesting it could be cool. >> 51%. all i'm looking for in terms of my accuracy. all i got to be. one better than a flip of a coin. i will say we got there at a somewhat surprising layup. surprising to hear what joe and you think about this. not you, joe. the other joe. >> i'm sorry. >> finish the sentence, by the way. new vehicles down 3.4%. used to be down more. thought ending that deflationary impulse. down 1.4%. owners and renters not help from that area everybody thought would come down. 0.4. same at last month. still hope that could come down a bit more. motor vehicle insurance thing still up strong. 1.8% on the month after what was it? 2.6, 2.8 last month. airline fares down. medical care attenuated a bit. i wasn't on the right side of the trade. the market was. look at the ten year this morning, coming down. so was the two year and got a little more -- what does this do? doesn't g