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mark pryor trailing republican tom cotten. good morning, steve. want to go back to another sound bite from bill clinton. there are a lot of political watchers who believe this moment at the dnc turned the tide for reelection for president obama. >> president obama started with a much weaker economy than i did. listen to me now. no president, no president, not me, not any of thigh predecessors, no one could have fully repaired all the damage that he found in just four years. martha: the word is the obama folks didn't want him to make that speech but it turned out to be a huge boon. >> i think it will be much more difficult this time. in 2012 he was a character witnesser to obama saying this president hasn't had enough time to do the kind of things he would do to improve the economy and he said his policies haven't worked yet. they were coming. and all democrats across the country were basically saying the same thing. today what you find is democrats increasingly at odds with one another whether it's leon panetta or bill clinton saying obama is not

tomcat -- and tom cotten. is something changing in arkansas? is it getting closer?> this maybe an outlier. there have been two polls since august. pryor has led in each of them. this race has every sense of firming up. this race is much closer to the real clear politics average. bill: you think it will go republican? >> i do. yes. i think it's firming up on cotten's behalf. >> here is another thing the nbc polling shows. this race in north carolina between thom tillis and kay hagan is now tied. is something moving in north carolina towards the republican that you see? >> if you look at the real clear politics average. at the first of october it was a 5-point lead for hagan and day it's been cut. the last poll in early october they had a hagan 3-point lead, now they have it dead even. i think this will be a close race. tillis has been behind but since the first of october the movement has been on his side. the question has been fast enough and sustained enough to differentiate. bill: colorado, blue to red. but this poll shows with cory gardner and mark yo udall. it p