know who tom dewey was. we are separated today from ronald reagan as i was from tom dewey. there is so much about republicanism and conservative that is compelling and that is appealing to people of all kinds of ethnicities, men and women, sexual orientations of every variety. americans are entrepreneurial, workers, savers, and want the message, but don't want to be told that they belong to 47% that doesn't count. >> david, a real fight on your hands within the republican party. david frum, author of "why romney lost," crystal ball and steve kornacki, thank you for joining me. >>> coming up, the first battle that will be fought in the republican civil war will be over taxes and some republicans are already sounding like liberal democrats on that one. carolyn finney and jonathan capehart will join me. sex, lies, and e-mail brought down the director of the cia. tonight, the story is getting stranger by the hour. the newest twist involves the shirtless e-mails of one of the fbi investigatoinvestigators, a the h

we're as far away from ronald ag as my generation of republicans was from tom dewey 30 and more yearsgo. talk to the country as it is now. >> david from, thank you as always. we'll be right back. new prilosec otc wildberry is the same frequent heartburn treatment as prilosec otc. now with a fancy coating that gives you a burst of wildberry flavor. now why make a flavored heartburn pill? because this is america. and we don't just make things you want, we make things you didn't even know you wanted. like a spoon fork. spray cheese. and jeans made out of sweatpants. so grab yourself some new prilosec otc wildberry. [ male announcer ] one pill each morning. 24 hours. zero heartburn. satisfaction guaranteed or your money back. wanted to provide better employee benefits while balancing the company's bottom line, their very first word was... [ to the tune of "lullaby and good night" ] ♪ af-lac ♪ aflac [ male announcer ] find out more at... [ duck ] aflac! [ male announcer ] ...forbusiness.com. [ yawning sound ] >>> that does it for this edition of andrea mitchell. my colleague tamron hall as

the answer to question was tom dewey in 1948. we 6 not nominated people that click with us. i love george bush he is a good friend of mine. a guy from midland, texas didn't click with eastern pennsylvania. you can't win unless you hold your margins down in that area of the country. we just never had candidates that did. that mitt romney is doing that. one of the reasons he is going to southeastern pennsylvania this weekend is because he is actually doing a good job in holding down the vote in suburban philadelphia which has been going against us the last 15-20 years. i think he will do very well in the central part of the state. energy is big issue there. that is another thing that huge advantage for mitt romney in this race among democrats and northeastern part of the state. they will be voting for mitt romney because barack obama is going to take away their jobs if he gets this thing going to hydraulic fracking. >> neil: if mitt romney were to pick up pennsylvania, it would take some of the importance off of winning ohio and redo the math. >> two more electoral votes. >> n

i kind of saw him as a latter day tom dewey, who looked like he had a lot going for him.the end of the day harry truman had the common man, had the common touch, and i think barack obama was closer to the center of american political thinking than the republicans. >> and that goes along with some of the polling that we've seen where mitt romney and president obama were about even and sometimes mitt romney led when you asked who has the best plan for the economy, but when you said who best understands people like you, president obama was always sort of, you know, outran, outpaced mitt romney for that. the question is when you look four years from now, when you don't have a president obama on the ticket, is this a certain coalition for democrats? >> i think so. if you look at the majorities of hispanic voters, african-american voters, asian voters, younger voters, the future is with a politics that has government more responsive to the average person and not buying this doctrineaire politics of the market over all. uber all. it's an ideology that may play well in the pages

. >> safer: the papers, the pundits all agreed-- truman didn't have a chance against tom dewey, eventruman started drawing big crowds campaigning by train. >> mccullough: it was the first time any president had ever done that. he would pull into these little stops where nobody would ever stop and give a talk. >> harry truman: i'm coming out here so you can look at me and hear what i have to say, and then make up your own mind as to whether you believe some of the things that have been said about your president. ( laughter ) >> mccullough: he wasn't smooth. he wasn't glib. he just talked straight. he said, "i'm going to go out there and give 'iem hell. and later on he said, "i didn't give 'iem hell; i just told 'iem the truth and they thought it was hell." ( laughter ) >> well, there seems to be a trend and the trend is for dewey. >> safer: election night, it was all over for truman... until it wasn't. >> truman: and the morning after that, in st. louis, i was handed this paper which said "dewey defeats truman." of course, he wished he had but he didn't. and that's all there was to it