this race fueled ad attacking republican tom tillis running for senate in north carolina, in it, reed's pac blames tillis for the death of trayvon martin. >> tillis won't fight for us, instead he made it harder for communities of color to vote. by restricting early voting and voter registration, tillis even led the effort to pass the type of laws that killed trayvon marvin. >> it's a password. >> i agree. racism, we're in it and where you guys are pure and don't ever get yourselves into trouble. >> all right, let's bring it around the table. dana? >> i think this morning the "new york times" had an article saying that actually early voting is going well for democrats, actually even better than they expected. that's what the "new york times" said, bob, i'm just quoting the "new york times." also just recently in the last hour, a new poll in north carolina shows that tom tillis is up with independents double digits. that race is extremely close, i think it's too close to call. but if you'rerying to win over independence. i think tom tillis is doing a lot better than this, than this is wha

. >> if you want to shake up washington, then your candidate is tom tillis. m will roll up his sleeves and go to work on solving the mess of obamacare and help our struggling economy create good jobs from paper boy to short order cook to executive of one of america's great companies. tom tillis has proved he can get the job done. support tillis for senate. >> he tells donors he has never been ahead of hagen on internal polling. he is tied with her for the first time. democratic senator is pushing a new web ad that the republican scott brown on the jobs in new hampshire. they worked at technologies in massachusetts until their jobs were outsourced. >> scott brown is stabbing us in the back and selling us out. right now, he's working for that company that exported the jobs. >> i don't think scott brown is going to take care of me or the people of new hampshire more than he did before. >> scott brown is not for us and definitely not for new hampshire. >> scott brown is scott brown and big money. >> a recent cbs news/new york times poll shows senator shaheen with

tom tillis has underperformed among republicans.he is getting fewer republican votes than most of the other republican senate candidates. that is a big problem with tom tillis and why the race is so close. host: the front page of the wall street journal this morning has this headline. voters are excited about nobody. bill is a democratic caller. caller: good morning. i have a couple of comments and the question. i just moved to florida two years ago. i have never seen such negative campaigns in my life. i have been around. it seems like every commercial down here is a negative campaign. the two guys running for governor are awful and their negative campaigning. i wish that people absolutely -- accidentally hit the libertarian button. the negative campaigning is absolutely terrible. these people running for state representative, state auditor, they are all on this anti-president obama campaign. even they are running negative campaigns. guest: there are not a lot of excited voters. republicans have an intensity advantage. as there is

tom tillis -- you may have heard of the motorcycle vagina bill. he has been a supporter of personhood, once to repeal the preventive health benefits that women are taken advantage of in the affordable health care act. of particular record that would roll back some of the gains that women have made. a great contrast there. we get there on the message front. we have been part of the moral mondays that are happening there. being in north carolina -- we say go into -- we have health centers, and action fund on the into fourso we went main counties in north carolina with a turnout that looked like it needed to be shaped and an interesting program that we are doing that no one else is doing. there is a whole theory about turnout called "sexual pressure." the obama campaign used it to get you to vote, and me to get my friend to vote. we have been recording people in their own voice talking about why it is in port and to vote. -- why it is in portent to vote. -- important to vote. it is the first time we have ever been used. we recorded hundreds of thousa

tom tillis has underperformed among republicans. he is getting fewer republican votes than most of the other republican senate candidates. that is a big problem with tom tillis and why the race is so close. host: the front page of the wall street journal this morning has this headline. voters are excited about nobody. bill is a democratic caller. morning.ood i have a couple of comments and the question. i just moved to florida two years ago. i have never seen such negative campaigns in my life. i have been around. it seems like every commercial down here is a negative campaign. the two guys running for governor are awful and their negative campaigning. absolutely --ople accidentally hit the libertarian button. the negative campaigning is absolutely terrible. these people running for state ,epresentative, state auditor they are all on this anti-president obama campaign. even they are running negative campaigns. there are not a lot of excited voters. have an intensity advantage. as there is a lot of anti-obama sentiment. you look at a

and they've done -- i use north carolina with tom tillis as an example. we see it in georgia.e it in texas. we see it elsewhere. you mentioned kansas. you know, in vermont -- again, i go back to my own state of vermont -- we do everything possible to get people to come out and vote. and the idea that you would have a state that would systematically work at stopping people from voting is hard to understand. it should not be allowed anywhere. >> is it that difficult to understand that every person in this country pushing to suppress the right to vote when there's so many americans who do not exercise their right to vote? put another way, if they're a group of folk who realize that other folk aren't exercising the right to vote and by further suppressing their right to vote, they might win elective office. it's not that much of a surprise when it comes to strategy if people aren't going to use their right to vote anyway. >> and you make a good point. but that's why i'm hoping with this going on, people say, wait a minute, maybe i wouldn't have voted before. maybe i'd find other t

in north carolina, kay hagan is up two over tom tillis. 47-45. n's holding that slim lead and we'll be there tomorrow in north carolina. in arkansas, a fox news poll has tom cotton over mark pryor by seven. 46-39. finally to kentucky, the poll has mcconnell leading alison lundergan by four, 45-41. she can still do it. we'll be right back after this. >>> welcome back to "hardball," be afraid. that's the message from many republicans running from 2014. people like scott brown and tom tillis who have used ebola and isis to knock their opponent. >> one of the reasons why i have been so adamant about closing our border because people are coming in from normal channels. can you imagine what they can do through a porous border? >> the fact of the matter, senator hagan has failed the people of north carolina and the nation by not securing the border. we have an ebola outbreak and we have bad actors coming across the border. >> the question of how safe we have is being used in attacks against democrats. you're seeing it in ads like these. >> evil forces ar

and i think that's not going to help bring african-americans over tofá a vote for tom tillis.rth carolina was 20%. megyn, it's been 27% of the vote. so it's actually going vuffup. and this sunday they were 50% of those who voted this sunday. >> so they can turn thisónasw t i think that's why you're seeing these different ads. the senator, everything going the senator, eve ything going everything aiming at this constituency because they are,Ñi think, probably going to decide who the winner is. if they turn out for kay hagan, she's going to win, i if they decide to either vote for tillis or stay home, that's his best shot at this point. that's why there's so much focus on it. >> he talks about -- the state senator talks about in the ad left behind. you're not a cause forÑ9"' ka kay hagan. you're just a vote. you look at the stats in north carolin!÷ the unemployment rate ofñ&r african-americans in@<Ñ n than two and a half times of that of whites which is b.6.7%. this is last recorded may of 2013. it's bad. the stats are bad. the alternative is and xdtillis,xd look, the sunday v

 of october in realÑ clear politics tom tillis was down four points.d we've seen a spat of polls recently where he's tied or ahead by one point. he's closing strong. again,ñr as this showedas -- >> all right. last question -- >> down 43% where she is one out of every nine times -- of every nine times -- >> are you'ook worried ñ kansas? are youe0&á worried at all abo georgia, which is surprisingly close in that g#urace. swing back toxd'c purdue and ga in the public polls. he's now up in the real clear politics average again by half a point. higher when they add the fourth poll into it. libertarian involved. i will say i'm worried about i will say i'm worried about early voting. being cast by african-americans. democrats wanted to get to 30%. early votes wereh16ú cast by african-americans who are going to goxd largely for michelle, t democrat.mw&ìáhp &hc% roberts. behind, now he's less than a point behind. i think momentum is continuing to go, but he's had some some good debate performances. i'm going to be watching that one closely. if he wins convi

while at least, it was a -- but now democratic senator kay hagen finds herself neck in neck with tom tillisalling in support from the clinton machine. both tillis and hagen has tried to make it a referendum. -- march on issues from voter i.d. to abortion. >>> speaking to check todd today, tillis denighted his policies were particularly partisan. >> i think if you look at my record, you would be hard pressed to say we have gone down a partisan path whether before we have the super majorities or after. >> joining mess on the road, driving through southwestern north carolina, look at that shot. is nbc news political director and moderator of "meet the press" the great chuck todd. thank you for taking time out of your busy day to cha the with us. >> and as you can see we're headed down i-77 south. we're starting to make our way from north carolina. we're going to end up with augusta, georgia at some point. parts in between. this is a great way -- it looks like we're about to hit rush hour. we can enjoy that together. >> you can give us a traffic report at the end of this. >> which campaign has

tom tillis had ads against him. both have been the targets of more outside spending than in any race in u.s. history. it is acute here when it comes to that issue. the other part that is intrusioning to me is as you know in our polls, the wild card here is this issue of gridlock and polarization. it seems to be the issue that is creating the most pause with voters. the last 10% that haven't made up their mind. here they are basically being given a choice of what they think may be two things i don't like. they are not happy with the democrats in washington and don't like the republicans in ralei raleigh. kay hagan is a symbol. you have these two almost polarizing views of unhappiness of how politics has been conducted and nobody is happy with one party politics here and neither hagan or tillis figured out how to sell the idea that they will be the bipartisan answer. >> what about the factor of libertarian and how he may either be losing support and how it will affect the virtually tied race? >> it's funny. i had a li

in north carolina, kay hag an is up two over tom tillis. 47-45. n's holding that slim lead and we'll be there tomorrow in north carolina. in arkansas, a fox news poll has tom cotton over mark pryor by seven. 46-39. finally to kentucky, the poll has mcconnell leading alison lundergan by four, 45-41. she can still do it. we'll be right back after this. then there's trusting your vehicle maintenance to ford service confidence. our expertise, technology, and high quality parts means your peace of mind. it's no wonder last year we sold over three million tires. and during the big tire event, get up to $140 in mail-in rebates on four select tires. ♪ [♪] great rates and safety working in harmony. open an optimizer +plus account from synchrony bank. visit myoptimizerplus.com to open an account. service. security. savings. synchrony bank engage with us. thank you. ordering chinese food is a very predictable experience. i order b14. i get b14. no surprises. buying business internet, on the other hand, can be a roller coaster white knuckle thrill ride. you're

enagage with us. >>> senator kay hag an and republican tom tillis met for their third and final debateook. >> when you miss more than half of your committee meetings when you sit on the armed services committee and you know isis is the threat that it is. you show up for work. senator hagan has missed more than half of those meetings. we found out that senator hagan put a cocktail fund-raiser on park avenue ahead of a classified briefing where these thoughts were being discussed. >> speaker tillis's hometown newspaper has called on him to resign because of the number of days he missed at the general assembly because he was out fund raising. >> down here in north carolina this week, talking to senator hagan about her tough re-election fight. don't miss our report on the tight north carolina senator race, including my talk with senator hagan, coming up on monday on "hardball." we'll be right back. ok, why's that? no hidden fees, from the bank where no branches equals great rates. watch this. sam always gives you the good news in person, bad news in email. good news -- fedex has flat rate

he said kay hagan's fine, but i'm running against tom tillis and the legislator. they're trying to make the case that the democratic candidate may be fine, but the republican candidate, you really don't like this person. in all of these southern states, medicaid expansion is a big deal that affects african-americans and the black leaders are making a case. and all of the republicans oppose the medicaid -- it's an issue-based campaign saying the republican is hurting you instead of saying this democrat is great. because most are wary of talking about liberal issues and supporting obama. the president's not been in southern states. the campaign is about demonizing the republicans for things they done. >> and one of the key words there is the south. and a lot of the fight is taking place in the south where 50% of after african-americans still live. >> and the reason why our votes matter it's the tipping point, joy. i think we have to stay engaged. this is the election where it's an accountability election. >> right. >> if you want someone to represent you, you have t

first of all, between kay hagan and tom tillis, a little bit one sided.ially that's because she only agreed to three debates, not this fourth one. but there have been allegations about suspicious funding involving the sum of her family-owned businesses. now, the next race to talk about is what's going on up in new hampshire. obviously a very contentious race between scott brown and jean shaheen. the degree to which democrats are distancing themselves from president obama. shaheen last night was asked by a moderator to imagine as though she was sitting at home, getting a call from a pollster. listen to what she said. >> do you approve or the job president obama is doing? there will be a chance to follow-up, but this is a yes or no answer. do you approve, yes or no? >> in some ways i approve and some things i don't approve. >> all right. we'll move on now to the gubernatorial race in florida. a very contentious contest between a democrat charlie crist, the current republican governor there, rick scott. they had a debate last night as well. it got pretty hea

trying to hold on to her seat, reprize it is main attack she has been making against republican tom tillis throughout this campaign. >> and cut $500 million from our schools and teachers all to pay for more tax breaks the ever the wealthy. >> and for his part, the republican is trying to link haggan to the unpopularity of president obama. she does everything he wants. i think we need a senator who votes conscious ahead of party. and taxpayers ahead of government. >> here at the end, several candidates are trying to come across as more enganging and likable than voters tend to perceive them, we saw that with mitch earlier this week, ideaing blood hounds in an ad. now it is republican tom colton's turn. he spents nearly half of the time in his final ad talking about puppy love. they will say i hate puppies, all right, it took me a while to warm up co cowboy, just kidding, cowboy, i do love puppies. >> his position on the minimum wage is still a little bit unclear, does it help that he loves puppies in i don't know finally, a real life political pit bull, chris christie is preparing a preside

here is the spot from planned parenthood. >> tom tillis wants to outlaw safe abortion.they'll cut off planned parenthood services. >> and 2014 house elections where they're howling over john boehner. boehner brought a lawsuits over executive actions yet here is an excerpt from his latest campaign video. >> we have to reform our legal system. we allow anybody in america to sue any day anybody for any damn reason at all. we all pay for it. >> any damn reason at all. this is the time of year where the most famous names in politics are in campaigns. michelle obama with governor pat quinn. >> he's creating jobs here at home instead of shipping jobs overseas. and he'll never cut funding for the veterans to give tax breaks for the wealthy. for this reason, abou barak and i are casting our vote for pat quinn. >> can i get a selfie? [ cheering ] all right? let's do it. hold on. let's do it. we're going to do it. right there. hey, we got it. thank you. thank you. >> here's what the photo looks like for all those trafficking pryor's selfie skills. and hillary clinton through sever

under tom tillis, the rich get big tax breaks. >> the republicans gave it a good top score, 61, slightlythan democrats at 57. the speaker made no issue to push it. tillis did push a tax bill that would lower rates for everyone, but with more of the benefits going to the wealthy. a a and. >> there was one and what has happened at that -- that was scheduled early in the day and then votes were scheduled and that hearing then had to be postponed later that day. so yes, i did miss that one. >> she skipped the hearing for a funding raiser. the ad didn't play well with republicans who gave it a score of 5 or democrats at 38. >> voters in north carolina are more concerned about pay inequality than they are whether their incumbent senator missed a hearing, particularly when there was no consequence. >> the ad portrayed two very different images of kay hagan, the one worried about less than equal pay or vigilance for terrorism. >>> everyone's watching the tight u.s. senate race in colorado between the incumbent democrat mark udall and his republican challenger cory gardner. that includes the owne

tom tillis talking a lot about we need a travel ban and the incumbent democrat is now. she wasn't.r. tying it to president obama. the idea this that this administration may not be competent. that's what they are trying to drop ebola into a lesser play that plays into that narrative. >> in fact, let's look at tom tillis in the debate in north carolina focusing on ebola. >> until the c about d.c. can convince me that anyone rep tents the safety to the country, they have to prevent them from traveling. >> that race beginning to show signs of weakness on the democratic side since the ebola controversy and the fear of e bowl. >> you have kay hang in in north carolina as well as senator pryor in arkansas. they have all come out for the travel ban. a couple of them after staying away from it. they have unanimous opinion and i haven't found anyone who knows a travel ban is a good idea or anything but counterproductive. it could make things worse. it's election season and like chris said, people told me that fear is the number one motivator when it comes to getting people out in the electio

i am tom tillis and i approve this message. washington has it wrong but americans can make it right. >> i am anna and i'm from black mountain. education was my way out but i worry it won't be for my kids. under tom tell us' leadership they have cut textbook binding so much that i can't help my son with his homework. i think it's clear that tom tillis wants only a certain class of people to have opportunities. i'm a middle-class mom. his agenda is tax cuts for the wealthy and that's not working for my family. >> i am kay hagan and i approve this message. >> see those ads attacking tom tillis? they are false. tell us fire the staffers. do you know who's paying for the sleazy as? is harry reid. reid is trying to fool republican voters meddling in our primary. the press is that democrats feared to list lose the most. tell us by the conservative revolution to raleigh and that's when he we need him in washington. don't be fooled by harry reid. >> i'm tom tillis and i approve this message. >> louisiana -- louisiana governor bobby jind

tom tillis, beats kay hagan. i don't think he's going to do. nor republican corey gardner if he beats udall, same in new hampshire. scott brown wins against the incumbent who happens to live in new hampshire. what do you think the chances are of a real sweep, where the republicans don't just take the senate, they really it up to the mid 50s? >> very minimal. you can cut michigan right out of there, chris. [ all speak at once ] >> absolutely. look, it's not only over it's been over for months and months. we've never had that race out in the democratic column. and some of the others are real stretches that you just mentioned. look, this is not a slam dunk for the republicans. a year ago they thought they were going to run up 52, 53, 54 seats, and i heard numbers larger than that. hasn't turned out that way. it's a six-year itch election, but the itch is really not very deep. >> isn't their opportunity to broad sweep elections they could win, they could win south dakota, montana, west virginia, arkansas, louisiana, and iowa. but they could also pi

here we have tom tillis saying equal pay is a campaign issue. why we're seeing growing gender gaps, not just in north carolina. >> it is shrinking. >> look at this. i'm ahead of you here. look at colorado where over the past month, democratic senator mark udall had been building a slight edge but late today, good news for you, fox news poll in the field, october 4-7. a good poll has cory gardner beating udall 43-37. here again it breaks out the women's vote. and answer this one. it shows colorado women over whelmingly supporting udall. 49-34%. the same exact percentage you saw in north carolina. are women wrong in every state by the way you look at it? >> no. i think the poll is a news cycle behind. i think the poll has not reacted to ebola. it has not reacted to the lack of action of isis. >> it was taken yesterday. the public opinion lacks the news cycle. >> we can't give you a more recent poll than last night and you're complaining. that's ridiculous. >> all the polls are trending our way. everyone of them. >> i'm pointing out, why were the w

two key races in north carolina cay hagan with a 2 point lead over republican congressman tom tillis. after an nbc poll out sunday night showed the race to be in a dead heat. in louisiana, if we can show that. democratic senator mary landrieu seeking a fourth term has a single point lead over bill cassidy. but just like a poll yesterday, it indicates no one will get 50% of the vote. obviously you have a runoff situation there. >> certainly when you talk about obama here and the drag he's having on the races certainly what we've seen in north carolina is a kay hagan trying to make it a referendum on tom tillis, on the republican state legislature there. also in louisiana with mary landrieu. it is almost certainly going to go to a runoff. '02 seeing it potentially happening in georgia. depending on how the tight races where the polls are within the margin of error. we might not know who is going to be in charge of the senate until january. >> that's when many are expecting. let me play a snippet. senator landrieu the debate. asked if she'll blame president obama if she loses. let me pla

if there is a surprise upset in the other direction, if we see in north carolina that tom tillis managedut and kay hang in led consistently. she is a democrat who has managed to hang on. we are the early vote. it looks good for democrats. that's something that will tell us a lot. >>> you still a chicago bulls fan? >> i have never been a chicago bulls fan. >> you look like a sports fan. a new line of criticism that may sting for the president. not policy, but this time from his heirness. it may be all day playing. >> he's the president of the united states. >> tough reviews and this may sting more than others. >> it no doubt does. they are waiting for them to adjudicate this dispute. >> we will get them in the group to see what happens. they need to play more golf. nice to see both of you. just a few hours now, it will be trick or treat time at the white house. no word yet what the first couple might be wearing. the president doesn't normally dress up. his wife does. we dug deep into the archives and here's what we found. our favorite by far from the current first lady's collection is the

that's pitting democratic incumbent kay hagen against republican tom tillis.s shaping up to be one of the most expensive races in senate history. north carolina is not alone, mind you. in kentucky, the battle between mitch mcconnell and alison lundgren grimes is also expected to top the $100 million mark. what does this mean for future and c candidates and voters like you and me. joining me to talk about this, doug heye, former chief of staff for john cantor and john avalon, editor of the daily beast. welcome to you both. >> thank you. >> morning, a girl. >> good morning. doug, you're from north carolina, you woerked on three campaigns there. is the senate seat in your state worth $103 million? >> well, i think it absolutely is. it goes back to high spending not being anything new in north carolina politics. 30 years ago, 1984, jesse helms and jim hunt spent about $26 million on their race 30 years ago. so what we've now seen is that instead of jesse helms and jim hunt controlling their message, outside groups have really come in, over $100 million will be spe

if they can block tom tillis there then they tart that chess match that we talked about before, are thereough places they can block. it becomes tough. that one is crucial to their chances. >> something we'll see in louisiana likely as well we won't know november 4th. >> louisiana, we pretty well know. it's pretty tough at this point for mary landrieu. the runoff she would be pretty much gator bait. it could change. anything is possible. i would say she would lose a runoff by ten points or so and that's why democrats have shifted their focus from there really over to georgia where the electorate stacks up better and they have a fresh look and don't have a democratic candidate with votes for president obama's agenda item that you can run ads on. >> let's talk about south dakota very quickly. very interesting race. we know you have a big interview tomorrow. i'm not sure we have the sound bite from that. we do not. tell us about it. >> larry pressler is a former republican running out there. he served in the senate. he lost in 1996. he's coming back as an independent. his candidacy has allowe

so tom tillis sat next to an empty chair for an hour.nded us of another political moment featuring an empty chair. this from chris christie who told reporters quote i am tired of hearing about the minimum wage then from the journal sentinel in milwaukee, a co-chair reportedly told a republican field office on monday she didn't know why the election was so close. saying, quote, i don't want to say something about your wisconsin voters, but some may not be as sharp as a knife. republican senator played part of the comic precipice when asked about the polls. >> there are people that do that and do that pretty much for a living. they're somewhere between 60 and 65%. if anybody can mess this up, my side has the total capacity how to turn 65% if 25%. >> he sounds pretty confident in that, too. >>> right now i am joined by politico reporter lee munsel. >> good morning. >> voter turnout is expected to be very low. what is it going to take to get people to the polls. >> well, it's not surprising turnout would be low in a mid-term election. this t

four days until the mid-terms and candidates like tom tillis is racing across campaigning like mad. so are dems. we will look at three key states in the election. don't go away. ameriprise asked people a simple question: in retirement, will you outlive your money? uhhh. no, that can't happen. that's the thing, you don't know how long it has to last. everyone has retirement questions. so ameriprise created the exclusive.. confident retirement approach. now you and your ameripise advisor can get the real answers you need. well, knowing gives you confidence. start building your confident retirement today. but parallel parking isn't one you do a lof them.ings great. you're either too far from the curb. or too close to other cars... it's just a matter of time until you rip some guy's bumper off. so, here are your choices: take the bus. or get liberty mutual insurance. for drivers with accident forgiveness, liberty mutual won't raise your rates due to your first accident. see car insurance in a whole new light. call liberty mutual insurance. [ female announcer ] we love our smartphones. a

. >> if you want to shake up washington, your candidate is tom tillis. tom will roll up his sleeves and go to work on solving the mess of obamacare and help our struggling economy create good jobs. >> let's bring in our political panel today, "the washington post" national political reporter knee a mal eek henderson, and patrick crowley, former columnist who covered kentucky politics over two decades. thank you all for joining me. start with the president will be in maine today at the time that the headlines surround this nurse are picking up. she has defied this quarantine order and went out on a bike ride a short time ago. the president is there campaigning. let's talk about the timing and some of the criticism he received from republicans about the handling of the ebola crisis and other national issues they want to bring into the mid terms. >> yeah. i mean, it has been -- i think he sort of had a slow start in terms of dealing with ebola, but over the last couple days he's really been very much on the offensive here and really framing the debate in a

kay hagan's battle against tom tillis is shaping up to be the most expensive campaign in history. e "washington post" says tillis is the number one target of attack ads. $26 million have already hit the air. hagan, on the other hand, ranks eighth with about $13.5 million in ads attacking her. and a new list of the wealthiest lawmakers in washington comes to us from roll call and the richest is a familiar name. it's darrell issa. his net worth, more than $357 million. and you'll have to go west to virginia. their average net worth comes to about $23.5 million as they represent the third poorest state in the country. and those are your number ones. ! you soup people have my kids loving vegetables. well vegetables... shh! taste better in our savory broth. vegetables!? no...soup! oh! soup! loaded with vegetables. packed with taste. lbut once a week i let her play sheriff so i can wash it.ress. i use tide to get out those week old stains and downy to get it fresh and soft. you are free to go. tide and downy together. how can i help you? oh, you're real? you know i'm real! at discover, w

in the recent admissions missing an armed services hearing on terror threats has rendered tom tillisresh am knew mission. >> in january president obama refers to the islamic state as a jv team. a hearing on new global threats. senator kay hagen, absent. he's missed over half them this year. hagen admits she prioritized a cocktail party. obama did nothing. senator hagen did cocktails. >> we're back with dan and kim on the wall street george editorial board and matt also joins the panel. matt, for the first time since 2004 the national security hawk issue is back playing in the campaign. is that how you see it? >> absolutely. you saw it with scott brown in new hampshire who was the first republican to start running ads about president obama's policies in syria and closed the gap with the democratic incumbent. i think this growing anxiety and pictures of isis rolling through iraq, just bad news adds to the anxiety and problems for the democrats this cycle. >> kim, let me ask you about ebola, too. is that playing into this now that we have another ebola case this time in new york city? h

kay hagan in the most recent poll leading by four points the republican challenger tom tillis.ike to look at the average of all polls because sometimes an individual poll can be a little funky. there's margin of error. there can be some noise in the polling. when you look at the average of all polls in north carolina, what you see, very close race. less than two points. on average when they poll this race, kay hagan leading tillis by less than two points. this is one of those races that republicans think they can catch the democrat at the wire. they think -- they keep talk about the idea of there being a wave in the year 2014. this is one of those states if there is going to be a republican wave, where tillis could wash over kay hag be at the very end, would be a big pickup for republicans. so how do democrats defend against that? what are they counting on to win north carolina? what you're seeing here is this is the map of north carolina. the county map, red, republican, blue, democrat, for 2012. obama versus romney. remember, mitt romney did win this state, barely. he won it

that's tom tillis, his record.he ballot. >> yeah, and people went democrat in the 2012 election and flipped back, in the 2008 election, i should say. there seem to be an inordinate number of particularly southern women on the ballot. kay hagan, that kentucky race, you've got women running for governor including in the state of texas. it appears to be the year of the southern women. how is that working out for those candidates? is it more difficult to run statewide in the south if you're a woman? >> you can see by the polls. you've listed kay hagan. all of these races were either leading or tied. this was incredible. these are races we never thought we'd be playing in. wendy davis moving into single digits here in texas. in fact, the momentum is on wendy davis' side. it's about women, women voters, candidates and the issues facing women and families and they're looking for economic opportunity, a fair shot at making ends meet, and that's what our candidates are talking about. and i think that's why we're going to se

i am tom tillis. i'm running for the u.s. senate. [applause] want to make sure everybody knows my wife susan is here. years in aife for 27 great asset to this campaign. i appreciate all the patients she has. it is great to have a loving wife by your side. i want to thank all of the volunteers that are here working hard, knocking on doors, making phone calls. you are the difference maker of this campaign and you are why we are here today. thank you all very much. i will be brief and turn it over to senator paul. the reason i am running for the senate is because kay hagan says she will get something done. she said anybody that votes for the president 92% of the time doesn't live in carolina. she said that about president bush. 96% of the time she voted for president obama. she said if we liked our health care we could keep it, we cannot. 54,000 retirees are receiving letters letting them know that the federal government decided their health care is not good enough. they will get a premium notice a month from now. increase premiums and

the democrat there, a four-point lead over republican tom tillis.ichelle nun and david purdue tied at 47% in georgia. there will be a runoff in january if neither candidate receives more than 50% of the vote there. we want to look at the latest polls in the top gubernatorial races across the country. down south in florida, charlie crist has a slim three-point lead against rick scott, within the margin of error. pat quinn leads republican bruce rolner. and mike michaud is tied with paul lepage. we look at rick snyder, has a two-point edge over democrat mark shower in michigan. that's within the margin of error. republican charlie baker has opened up a seven point lead against democrat martha coakley to be the next governor of massachusetts. and undecided voters in new hampshire are weighing their options after the final debate between democratic senator jeanne shaheen and republican scott brown. the latest poll shows senator shaheen has an eight-point lead against the former republican from massachusetts. they clashed on the response to ebola, obamac

north carolina, senator kay hagan is now tied with state house speaker tom tillis.an had led by four points. and kansas, pat roberts appeared to have battled his way back into contention. it was when greg orman led by 10 points. we look here, 45-44%. and iowa, republican state north joni ernst leading bruce aprily 49-46. and then finally, arkansas, republican congressman tom cotton has gone down from a five point lead to a two point lead with cotton ahead 45-43. >>> elizabeth warren finds herself in very familiar territory, campaigning against scott brown. the massachusetts senator who defeated then-senator brown by eight points in 2012. rallied democrats in favor of the incumbent in new hampshire, senator jeanne shaheen. >> it did not cross my mind. that after beating scott brown that what he would do is he would pack up his pickup truck and move to his vacation home in new hampshire to become the candidate to try to run against jean she lean. you can pack up your pickup truck. but i don't care how fast you drive it, you're not going to outrun your voting record in

north carolina and the incumbent democratic senator kay hagan leading republican statehouse speaker tom tillis, 44-40%. and in iowa, in the race to replace outgoing senator tom harkin, republican state senator joni ernst leads democratic u.s. congressman bruce braley 46-44%. now, that is within the poll's margin of error. and only 7% of likely voters in iowa thought they might change their vote between now and election day. that is certainly a hot race to watch. >>> his name isn't on the ballot this november, but it will seem like old times in arkansas because former president bill clinton is returning home to headline a series of campaign rallies for democratic candidates. clinton will appear at four rallies over two days to help democrats including gubernatorial candidate mike ross who used to be his driver. and senator mark prior. but political experts say they are unsure if clinton's poll will be enough to push the democrats to victory in the republican-leaning state. a recent "usa today" suffolk university poll shows asa hutchinson with a two-point lead over ross. and a cbs news/"new york

will stop -- tom tillis. then the pennsylvania governors debate between tom corbett and tom wolfe. then live coverage of the illinois u.s. house debate for the 17th district between u.s. representatives and democrat cheri bustos and former congressman republican bobby schilling. then live coverage of the illinois governors debate with pat quinn and republican bruce browner. friday night, live at 8:00 eastern, the wisconsin governors debate between scott walker and mary burke. saturday night on c-span at 8:00 eastern, live coverage of the iowa senate debate with ruth raley and joni ernst. governorse michigan debate between republican rick snyder and mark shower. c-span campaign 2014 -- more than 100 debates for the control of congress. morning, the u.s. supreme court declined to hear cases from five states on the issues of same-sex marriage. joining us on the phone from new york is ashby jones. what was the significance of what the court did today? fax i think most commentators that the supreme court would tak

scott brown is doing this in new hampshire he thinks it works for tom tillis in north carolina. is this across the country or isolated races? >> it's across the country. the republicans are trying to nationalize this election, they believe the way the president's numbers are sinking in the key states the way the gender gap is sinking because of the president's numbers, that's going to turn control of the senate and maybe one or two points in their direction, some of these key races and they can bring their base out to the polls and you look at the polls nationally, there really is no issue that is driving this electorate the way 2010 did with oba obamacare in 2006 with iraq. it looks like obama could be the biggest issue come election day. if that's the case the republicans can win back the senate. >> does it matter you have several governors and a couple of democrats wrong them, saying what the federal government is doing isn't strong enough. we have to have tougher quarantines and tougher travel restrictions. >> ma knew is right there's not a single issue but a sense of amorph

particular it is north carolina where we have seen kay haggen pull away from her republican challenger tom tillis. that is not to suggest that the republicans haven't had great fund raising and tom cotton, had a record- breaking fund-raising quarter this past quarter and likely that will be helpful for him in november. it remains to be seen and going to be key if democrats take hold in the senate. >> it is senators, and others tried to voke willy dissociate themselves with a lot of the policys if not the president himself. how successful will that be with them. so many gop assets shoes picture of them together and they want to link every image in a potential voters mind that democratic incumbent is in lock with the president. >> it is a fine line. on one hand you need democratic turn out and the base to turn out if they are going to actually win the races and you can't alienate the independents who are looking like they are more likely to turn out given that it is a midterm year. >> democrats are hanging on arkansas and louisiana and alaska as you mention. and there are signs and polling and repu

in north carolina, democrat senator kay hagen is now tied with the statehouse speaker tom tillis.can senator pat robert appeared to have battled his way back into contention. independent greg orman led the senator by ten points, now orman is up 1, 45 to 44. in iowa, joni ernst leading. and finally, arkansas, where republican congressman tom cotton is ahead of mark pryor 45-43. last month cotton had a five-point lead. these races are so close. just about one week to go. >> yeah, i -- >> a little bit more than one week. >> al hunt, never seen anything like this before. there were some republicans trying to talk about how everything was breaking their way. most things might be. when you're within the margin of error, you don't know what's going to happen the last week. so-called october surprise. whatever that might be, pro or con, for either party, would make a huge difference. colorado, plus one. hagan tied. she's lost ground. pat roberts still down by one. iowa looks like joni ernst is making slight movements. arkansas, plus two, by cotton, but he was up five before. very, very ti

tom tillis won his primary there so the establishment had a kl notches on their belt. in nebraska you had ben sasser. eric cantor was stunningly defeated, something no one saw happening. and then there are the sweet spots. you have joni ernst in iowa. another way to approach the question is to look through the prism of the upcoming 2016 cycle and the potential republican field of candidates. while i think that's wildly premature, the first rule of political commentary is that it's never too early too baselessly and recklessly speculate about the next presidential election so perhaps we'll get into that. but if you want my candid and honest opinion to the very simple question, who is winning the fight on the right, it's this. the left. the left is winning the fight on the right. because we are spending an enormous amount of time and energy and passion and money beating the tar out of each other while they don't. i was reading the wall street journal this week -- >> you would, rhino. >> they had an info graphic about spending this cycle, in 2014, from the biggest super p

but you need to go talk to tom tillis. >> senator kay hagan the latest to find herself with reform immigration. precisely in hopes of getting democrats like kay hagan reelected. as we found out in the latest installment of our "all in" american series, that reaction has led some to take matter into their own hands. >> i am not going to give up this fight until it gets done. as was mentioned, i've taken so far actions -- [ inaudible ] >> barack obama probably didn't think this is where he'd be, facing heckling from immigration advocates. >> that's exactly what i'm talking about. >> i've talked about it every sipgle day. >> the president has pushed hard for reform only to see legislation blocked by republicans. at the same time, he has presided over two million deportations. it took george w. bush two full terms to reach that milestone. >> the obama administration made a bad political judgment. and their bad political judgment was if they look tougher than the bush administration on deportation and on border security, the republicans would eventually join them in doing immigration reform. and th