torsten, let's start, first of all, you say in your notes that the election of donald trump might haveis economy out of secular stagnation? is it not too early to say we are out of secular stagnation, if we were into it? >> the theme over the last few years was slow growth, low inflation, low interest rates. this has been going on for six, seven years. and if you look at the data since the election, it's striking that it actually shows a jolt that we moved to a higher level -- consumer confidence, durable goods, retail sales. all that suggests that we have unleashed some animal spirits, at least here in the early phase, which gives us some hope that we are leaving the secular stagnation theme behind. >> well, confidence index, that's a feeling for how to look towards the fire the future, but you have seen a move since the election? >> we have seen a move. but if you correlate it with consumer spending, it shows a strong correlation. so, it is a quite significant move we have seen this week and what that means for consumer spending bodes well. >> steven wieting, is the stronger u.s. dol