here are a lot of trendlines that play in favor of the nonislamist. >> thank you jeff. thank you, jeff. we will open up the discussion. i'm going to start with some questions for my panelists. what i would like to do first is turned to you for reactions. starting with this whole analysis that jeff is presenting about the balance of power in the losing influence or declining influence of the islamists, the fracturing within, and so forth. to what extent do you agree with hese analyses? maybe also the question as to what extent these elections play a role to other factors in the transition. because they are not isolated. i want to make sure we think of the broad ore context here. let's start with summer. >> sure. i need to command jeff and his co-author for their report. it is a very interesting report. it is a very good report. what we should immediately take away is the fact that now, when elections actually have integrity, and the voting pattern mean something, we can empirically study outcomes. we could not do this before, because the primary deterrent in -- determina