there's always a risk, i'm thinking of trotsky's comment about you may not be interest in war, but war is interested in you. in particular, the risk is that for the iranians or the syrians, by that i mean the regimes, not the people's, a serious military conflict with a means of changing the subject. the same thing could be true if the situation in egypt deteriorates very badly, as is possible. but beyond that it's difficult to speculate. >> it's actually difficult, but i think that for at least for the foreseeable future, israel has sort of established a military superiority that wouldn't allow that. i think the way war could come is essentially what bob said, that some router or parties is having some difficulties at home besides that going to the brink of war is a good way to distract the population, and then discovers, you know, unintentionally that it has created a real war, sort of like 1967. so you could easily get, you can imagine that sort of thing, but i suspect it's much more likely that you're going to see, you know, the types of rocket attacks, other sorts of things of tha