it's the forecast of what's called the troyca, omb, council of economic advisers, and the treasury. that forecast was made by an incoming administration that was just forming in the fourth quarter of 2008. at that time, unbeknownst to us, the economy was cratering, gdq was falling at a rate of 9%. if you look at the statistics from that time, as we did, it looked like the economy -- that the recession was far, far more mild than that. and that's why the forecast for unemployment that you saw was actually -- the median forecast of all the professional forecasters at the time. you're absolutely right in that we missed the depth and severity. so did almost everyone else. >> okay. >> i will say that once the recovery act was implemented, it was a matter of two quarters later -- by the third quarter of 2009, gdp was rising again. i think that's a real mark of how successful it was in breaking the back of the great recession. all be it the unemployment rate continues to rise. >> thank you. dr. graham, you testified on the additional work penalty and exchange subsidies. work penalty provid