before the event, the fbi says the gunman conducted online searches of campaign events for both trump and biden and the republican and democratic conventions. >> when this event was announced, the trump rally was announced early in july, he became hyper focused on that specific event and looked at it as a target of opportunity. >> it seems this attack wasn't very sophisticated. does that surprise you? >> it does not surprise me. throughout the history of the secret service and assassinations and assassination attempts, they're all relative unsophisticated activities, though they have deadly consequences. >> reporter: the shooter researched kennedy's assassination searching how far was oswald from kennedy, the fbi said. while the investigation continues, the fbi said crooks had no definitive ideology, but they are determining if he wrote anti-semitic posts on social media. >> all right. julia ainsley joins us live. julia, did the fbi reveal anything else about the gunman's activity online? >> reporter: tom, the fbi says they analyzed his activity back to 2019 when he was researching how to make

when this race was biden versus trump i think kennedyl biden versus trump i think kennedy was pullingkennedy was draining trump. it will help if kennedy drops out but it helps trump with a few voters out there, small help because kennedy has been polling around 5% butjust a small number of voters can make a huge impact on the race. in arizona, say mr kennedy has 10,000 supporters that go to former president trump, given the margins in these states, this swing states, they are razor—thin margin so a handful of voters move from kennedy to trump, thatis voters move from kennedy to trump, that is a big deal and will have big impact on the race. small amount of voters will decide the election. we'll see what mr kennedy decides to do in this upcoming speech, if he endorses former president i think it hurts president trump.— hurts president trump. thank you very much- _ hurts president trump. thank you very much. well, _ hurts president trump. thank you very much. well, that _ hurts president trump. thank you very much. well, that is - hurts president trump. thank you very much. well, that i

compare that to early july when trump led biden by a point. a spike in voter enthusiasm is helping to drive harris' momentum, but trump does lead on several major issues like the economy and immigration. our political director and washington bureau chief, rick klein, is here with the breakdown of what this race looks like on the eve of the democratic national convention. good to see you this morning, rick. what a change. >> yeah, martha. as you mentioned, that lead that donald trump had has been entirely erased and even turned around in kamala harris' direction in the last couple of weeks. harris now leading trump by five points among all adults in our polling and four points among registered voters. that's critical when you think about the battleground where this race remains in the mid-single digits. you see an even more dramatic change of what happened over the last month or so. joe biden was leading younger adults by two points. it's now harris plus 20. among black voters, biden was lead big a healthy 60. well, harris is up 72 among black v

joe biden: the question is-- donald trump: just as radical left. joe biden: will you shut up, man. donald trump: listen, who is on your list, joe.? who is on your list? jake tapper: gentlemen, i think we have ended up-- donald trump: to pack the court. pamela brown (voiceover): and then on election day 2020 at the ballot box. anderson cooper: biden is leading in nevada. but the math right now has biden leading in arizona. cnn projects joseph r. biden jr. is elected. pamela brown (voiceover): he wins the presidency-- a longtime dream fulfilled. but the opponent he defeated in this election refuses to go away. donald trump: this was a massive fraud. this should never take place in this country. [music playing] do solemnly swear. joe biden: i, joseph robinette biden jr., do solemnly swear. john roberts: that i will faithfully execute. joe biden: that i will faithfully execute john roberts: the office of president of the united states. joe biden: office of president of the united states. david chalian: president biden obviously inherited the presidency at a very trying time. most americ

is wrapping her first cross country campaign tour and trading jabs with former president trump, and president biden in his own words about why he ultimately decided to step down from the top of the ticket. maryalice parks is at the white house. >> reporter: tonight, kamala harris back home in san francisco closing out a cross country tour with her new running mate, minnesota governor tim walz, and getting a fund-raising boost from former house speaker nancy pelosi, who was central to democrats pushing president biden out of the race. biden today revealing new details about his historic decision. >> although it's a great honor being president, i think i have an obligation to the country to do the most important thing you can do, that is we must, we must, we must defeat trump. >> reporter: biden saying he did not want to be a distraction, and that a number of his colleagues worried he could be a drag on their races. ♪ freedom ♪ >> reporter: tonight, harris starting to lay out her agenda, echoing trump's calls to make tips tax-free at a rally in las vegas. but also saying she would push to raise the m

what color trump biden's new revelations after the withdrawal of one and the insistence of another on the presidential candidacy, trump called biden a poor president and called america a failed nation . in the house of representatives and the senate, they thought that i competitions hurt them. of course, i also thought that the distraction was serious. i even saw that sometimes i can't tell how old i am. in this interview, biden considered trump a serious threat to national security and democracy in america. if trump loses, there is no guarantee that a definitive transfer of power will take place. we do not take him seriously. but when he says that if he loses the bloodbath , we are a failed nation, although i hate to say this fact, we really are a failed nation. they beat and blame everything on someone else thank you for your vision. have a nice day , god bless you. if there is no electricity, we cannot live in hormuz. in general, everything should be connected to electricity . if there is no electricity, everything here is ruined because we work with the refrigerator. our scales ar

crooks conducted more than 60 searches related to former president trump and president biden. even looking up, quote, when is the dnc convention, and when is the rnc in 2024? this summer, after receiving word that trump would be holding a rally near his home, crooks game, quote, hyper focused on the july pennsylvania rally. even searching online, quote, where will trump speak from at the butler farm show? the fbi also releasing this image of crooks' gun broken down into parts, and the backpack authorities suspect he used to carry it. and these images of the explosive devices found inside crooks' car. and the air conditioning unit they say he used to climb onto a roof. >> look, there he is. >> reporter: and the fbi today definitive about exactly how long crooks was on that roof. a total of six minutes. first spotted about 6:05 p.m. roughly the same time trump takes the stage. the fbi has done nearly 1,000 interviews, but after all this time, has yet to determine the shooter's motive. david, this appears to be truly a loner.

carried women by double digits over donald trump. biden'sg women dropped to just 5 points in the polling before he dropped out of the race and now with harris replacing biden you can see harris improving that number for democrats up to nine, and still not quite at the biden level. and overall the gender gap has been a feature of the american elections back to 1980. the gender gap you are seeing in the polling right now is consistent with what we saw in 2020 and consistent with what we saw in 2016. it's big but in the national polling it's not new. the cautionary note is there's state polling that is finding much bigger gender gaps is some of the states, so at least in that poll and some of the battleground states, michigan in particular, they are finding a bigger gender gap. so a split between what the national poll something saying and what the state polling -- at least the "new york times" is saying, and you are not seeing a big difference historically in the gender gap. and then education, and we are talking about white voters are 70% of

that is, he said he will not participate in such debates, and the debates that were held between trump and bidenh have also been proposed by ... the abc channel for september 10, now it will be a debate between trump and karis, and this is a debate in a different format, that is, this is a debate without an audience in the hall, only with moderators, hosts and debaters, and whether they will be, i'm not sure, by the way, that they will be, because trump said just a week ago that he will not participate in any debate with harris, except for the one possible on fox channel at participating in... mon, on thursday he said something diametrically opposite, that he will participate in the debate on 10 september, which is organized by the abc channel, frankly, i do not expect anything that special, because the debate itself, well, it is such a television product , which is well understood by television journalists, why such a television product exists popular among viewers, but for voters, well , voters already know... their candidates, and it is unlikely that a large number of voters, thanks to the de

biden. so or behind trump. so biden wasn't faring well in this poll. so not only now do we see that harris is ahead by four points, but that's almost a 12 point switch from where biden was in this same poll, in these critical states, the these are the states that are really going to decide the election michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin. and then on top of that, states like arizona, nevada, maybe georgia and north carolina. and it looks as though the harris campaign has made improvements over biden's numbers in all of those states. >> so does that mean some of those states maybe weren't previously even swing states? but are now in play? >> yeah. so there were a couple states like georgia and north carolina that the biden campaign had staff in, had campaign offices, but most people expected them not to spend money on tv, not to really consider those to be winnable for the biden campaign. now, with harris as the nominee, a newfound enthusiasm for the campaign, a better performance among younger voters and minority voters. it's possible that georgia and no

said that he will not ... participate in such debates, and the debates, which were held between trump and biden, and which are also proposed to abc channels for september 10, now it will be a debate between trump and caris, and this is a debate in a different format, that is, this is a debate without an audience in the hall, only with moderators, hosts and debaters, and whether they will be, i'm not sure, by the way, that they will be, because trump just said a week ago. that he will not participate in any debate with harris other than the only debate possible on the fox channel with the participation of the audience, on thursday he said the diametrical opposite of something that he will participate in the debate on september 10, which is hosted by the channel abc. frankly speaking, i don't expect anything so special, because the debate is actually, well, it's such a television product that tv journalists are good at of course. why such a television product is popular among viewers, and for voters, well , voters already know their candidates, and it is unlikely that a large number of voters, th

biden. our recent polling showed the widest gap, 6 points for former president trump over president biden.ut now that has closed. harris has a 2-point lead in our latest poll. expects expected to be a close race. that's obviously within the margin of error. both candidates are spending a lot of time in georgia and if that lead holds, she wins georgia. she wins the presidency of the united states. [cheers] >> donald trump had a lot of great successes in the oval office and we know kamala harris has not had a whole lot of successes. >> excitement has been incredible. every day that kamala harris has been the candidate, we have won the election every day. >> we saw she governed and i think that is why this is a neck and neck race. and people want a change. who is leading the country. >> bret: start off with our panel in the a block. fox news senior political analyst juan williams. matthew continetti fellow at the american enterprise institute and katie pavlich. bottom line, katy at this, this tracks other polls who has this ties. depends on the day who is up one or two. all of those been the

in that month after the debate when tiffs still trump versus biden, trump on average was leading bidenong white voters. they're basically 70% of the electorate in november, obviously a huge group. in the month since biden got on you, that number is down a tick, down to 11 points for trump, but, again, with a group that large, 70%, that could be a pretty meaningful shift if that were to endue. black voters, a lot of talk before joe biden got out, he was struggling at unusually low levels for democrat. 71/19 over trump. historically this is closer to what the black vote typically looks like. since harris got in, there's improvement for harris, as she's running 61 points ahead, but that trump number, evening the polling, that is unusually high for a candidate to be polls that high. the picture is less unfavorable than when was -- his spanish voters, this is where you see a major shift performing very with hispanic voters with joe biden as the candidate. look at this. in the month before biden got out, this is what it looked like on average. again, 40% for trump right now historically spea

that was the mood after the biden trump debate. well, biden's gone. harris is the candidate now. so at a minimum, we have reset the map to a traditional battleground state. but remember after those last debates, it because trump could win here trump could win here, and trump could win here. not only did the polls show that now bring them up to understand what we talked about that after all, my travels into those states. so let's just look a little. may and now trump ahead and pennsylvania, you're exactly right. this is no clear leader statistically within the margin of error, but trump had momentum this michigan polled new york times, he sienna had biden ahead slightly. i can tell you from my travels, trump had momentum there as well, and wisconsin tighter, but trump with momentum. the question is, don't believe any one poll which weighs the arrow pointing, who has the momentum? well look at this in august now, harris up a little bit within the margin of error. but in pennsylvania, up a little bit more in michigan, up a little bit more in wisconsin. so what does that mean? that me

which was below where both trump and biden were. and it was a year ago that we were fielding questions from folks about whether joe biden should ditch kamala harris from the ticket. and it's not as if he got -- it's not as if she got dramatically more popular by the time he dropped out of the race. it was that he had fallen below where she was. and yet in the time since he dropped out, we have witnessed her get to 43%, 49%, which by today's standards seem absolutely smashing. camille: that is popular. david: that's right. as our friend, nate cohen, wrote a couple days ago, it basically qualifies her as a generic democrat. and the euphoria you're seeing among democrats is really relief. but among independent voters, there is also some relief that it's no -- we're no longer trapped in this geriatric showdown, right? there has been something to shake up this dynamic that we've been living with for the first half of the year. and so this honeymoon period where she has taken a narrow lead in our polling average and basically every pollin

, only polls showed vice president harris was closing the gap between then president biden and former president trumpthen-president biden and former president trump. so where are we now and how confident can we be that we are seeing a trend? david: first of all, thank you, camille. and what a great crowd. if we were to put the 2024 election in netflix terminology, a month ago republican consultants were boasting to us that democrats were running a weekend at bernie's campaign where they are having the candidate and we got on to "silence of the lambs" and i don't want to say we're quite at miss congeniality but we're seeing a remarkable turn-around in a candidate's image that we've seen in some time. it was just several weeks ago that kamala harris was in the 538 average at 36% favorable to 54% unfavorable. which was below where both trump and biden were. and it was a year ago that we were fielding questions from folks about whether joe biden should ditch kamala harris from the ticket. and it's not as if he got -- it's not as if she got dramatically more popular by the time he dropped out of the race.

. >> reporter: blaming the vice president and the biden administration for inflation, trump supporters conceding vice president kamala harris brings a new dynamic to the race. >> she has youth and vitality on her side verses biden. >> reporter: but saying trump should focus less on personal attacks. >> i would like him to be more focused on all the issues. >> reporter: democratic vice presidential candidate tim walz in nebraska today. >> feels pretty good to be back home. >> reporter: the state where he grew up, went to college and met his wife before becoming the governor of minnesota. >> if you are an old school libertarian republican nebraskan, this is the ticket for you. this is the ticket for you. >> he understands the fight of the middle class and he's going to do a lot for us. >> reporter: harris and walz headed into their convention next week with strong momentum in crucial swing states. in arizona, harris leading former president trump among likely voters 50-45, a stunning 15-point rise from when biden topped the ticket. in nevada, harris one point behind trump, compared to

is not a trump-biden rematch. this is new actually her ability to distance herself from biden right now is giving her that advantage as she defined herself. right now, there is the opportunity to either lock in these voters who have at least in the short run said, oh thank goodness, i have somebody different. i can vote for. sure but the trump campaign has to be more disciplined about trying to define her in what they believe is the negative light tying her to biden's policies, saying she'll be worse than biden. that message has got to stick in stick soon because the election is very close. >> i find this fascinating. i mean, the idea that i think you don't have influence as a good thing. and yet these problems aren't really going away. the perception that some voters have. but i'm not knowing what the party might think about jugular issue. >> how do you see it? >> yeah. it's this dance that she's going to have to do. it's complicated. she is going to come onto this stage. it's only been a month. she's going to ha

black voters between 25-34 gave nearly quality support to widen and trump -- biden and trump. ning, will young, black voters swing back to her in. >> see that's the thing, stuart, i'm not sure that that is going to be the case. kamala harris has an atrocious record. she has locked up a lot of black women who didn't send -- whose kids skipped school. it was a truancy issue in the state of california. she's kept black folks in prison longer than their actual term, and that's an issue we saw tulsi gabbard mention that in the democratic debate in 2020 the which was what really took her out of the democratic presidential race at that a particular point, that particular debate. so there's a lot of issues to expose. i think many americans don't really know her or record, they've not seen her do much as vice president. ribbon-cutting ceremonies and, you know, light talks and and that kind of thing, they didn't see her take on serious issues like the border which we know before the media tried to lie about it and can and say she wasn't the border czar. she was, she was responsible for t

, he said that he will not participate in such a debate, and the debate that was held between trump and biden, which is also proposed by the abc channel for september 10, now it will be, it may be a debate between trump and karis , and this is a debate in a different format, that is, this is a debate without an audience in the room, with only moderators, hosts and debaters, and whether they will be, i'm not sure until ... that they will be, because trump just a week ago said, that he would not participate in any debate with harris, except for the debates possible on the channel fox with audience participation, on thursday he said the diametric opposite of something he will participate in the sept. 10 debate hosted by abc. to be honest, i don't expect anything special, because the debate itself, well, it's such a television product. which tv journalists understand well why such a television product is popular among viewers, but for voters, well , voters already know their candidates, and it is unlikely that a large number of voters, thanks to the debates, can change their point of view about t

i think it's been trump and biden for so many years. from what i hear, people just want a new face up there. >> harris: how do you stand on what's going on with donald trump versus kamala harris right now? >> i'm a left wing liberal. does that answer your question? >> harris: doesn't tell me anything about her. do you know much about her policies? >> yes. i think in large measure, there would be overlap with president biden's policies. >> harris: so it's donald trump versus kamala harris. call it. >> it's a great question. i have no idea. i think kamala has a good chance of winning. i think she has a base of people who are working on her behalf. so does the trump campaign. i don't know. i'm not an expert in it. i fear that trump being a divisive character could push away many of the mainstream republicans who are scared because they don't know if what he says is really what he's going to do. >> harris: i just want to know what you think. >> i think that kamala harris cannot ultimately escape weakness and wokeness, which are really the tw

trump does. and of course that's vastly different from what we saw when joe biden was in the race, when trump wase majority of pulse and was only increasing as we got correct to when biden actually got out of the race. but we talk about the blue wall. this important area, these several states that any candidate who wants to win the white house needs to win. specifically, we talked about pennsylvania a lot. we did when she was picking her vp. what does it look like in that state for her right now, how she fairing boy, what a 1e80 from where we were when joe biden was going to be the democratic nominee. we look, there have been two polls published this month that meet cnn standards for publication in both of those polls, including a quinnipiac university poll that was out earlier today kamala harris had a higher vote share than donald trump did you have to go all the way back to march to find a single poll that would have had joe biden leading donald trump in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. he led in 00 polls from april until they got out of the race, zero on texts and the bottom line is pennsylv

and it is true that trump's campaign made an agreement to debate biden, not harris. g binding about these agreements when they make them. last minute they could go awol, it's custom. trump has ditched debates across several cycles, we should know. he may think harris is a tougher, more novel foe than biden, who he already debated last cycle. and trump may worry he risks losing a harris debate, so why not just skip the whole thing? he surely watched harris debate his running mate last time when the trump/pence ticket lost a few months later to the biden/harris ticket. >> mr. vice president, i'm speaking. i'm speaking. >> is he only going to repeal part of the trump tax cuts? . >> if you don't mind letting me finish we can then have a conversation. okay? >> please, please. >>ly not sit here and be lectured by the vice president on what it means to enforce the laws of our country. i an am the only one on this stage who has personally prosecuted everything from child sexual assault to homicide. >> she held her own against the sitting vice president of the u.s. now, her pr

biden speaking about mr. trump. us wanted a more cheery speech, but this is what these guys have done over the last six, seven, five or six years against one another. i think the larger issue here for the campaign is -- and president trump realizes this and i think vice president harris is going to have to come to this with some more substance and specificity -- is who can address their concerns and aspirations and meet voters where they are in a country in the middle class? it's clear that senator vance understands that. his speech in milwaukee talked a lot about mainstream versus wall street. i'm going to be curious as i listen to president obama tonight, i know we are going to talk about that but i will be curious to hear governor walz and even vice president harris, how she talks about making housing and health care affordable and a concrete and specific way to reduce prices. i think the judges onto something. i don't agree with you there was a terrible speech, but i do agree that there are a lot of democrats wh

trump was there to support gold star families. where was kamala harris?" pointing out this 2020 campaign video that features a 2010 photo of then vice president biden at section 60. trump's running mate, j.d. vance, defending the former president, given gold star families invited trump. >> were they happy to have the president of the united states there? and they would say, absolutely, thank god somebody showed up. they wish kamala harris would have showed up, and she didn't. >> reporter: but others were unaware of the visit until the photos emerged, like the sister of master sergeant andrew marckesano, whose gravesite is shown in this trump campaign photo. marckesano died by suicide in 2020 after serving in afghanistan and colombia. his sister telling abc news, "we hope that those visiting this sacred site understand that these were real people who sacrificed for our freedom and that they are honored and respected accordingly." the cemetery employee decided not to press charges, so, the army says it considers this matter closed. the harris campaign says this is typical behavior for donald trump.

he says it will be the same rules as the previous trump-biden debate. the harris campaign wanted to change the rules so that the candidates mics are left open. the entire time, as opposed to the biden trump debate, when they were only on when it was the candidate's turn to speak. sky >liz>cam and former president trump also says the harris campaign has not agreed to a proposed debate on fox news. on september fourth. both sides say they may be open to a second debate in october a federal judge in texas temporarily blocked a landmark immigration bill after 16 states filed a lawsuit with republican attorneys general. president biden announced the executive action in june. it would allow unauthorized immigrants to apply for a temporary work permits and have deportation protections if they married a u.s. citizen. >>>>they are members of the community, contributing both economically and in the job market. so it's an unfortunate setback for them and for the administration. >liz>the judge made his order valid for two weeks, but suggested he could extend it. bo

he said that he would not participate in such a debate, and the debate that was held between trump and bidenwas also offered by the abc channel on september 10, now it will be a debate between trump and caris, and this is a debate in a different format, that is, it is a debate without an audience in the hall with only moderators, presenters and debaters. will they be? i'm not sure, by the way, that they will, because trump said just a week ago that he wouldn't won't engage in any debate with harris, other than an audience-only debate possible on fox, on thursday he said something diametrically opposed that he will engage in the sept. 10 debate hosted by abc, which i frankly don't expect nothing so special, because the debate... actually, well, it is such a television product, which is well understood by television journalists, why such a television product is popular among viewers, and for voters, well, voters already know their candidates, and hardly a large number voters, thanks to debaters can change their views on the candidates, decide to vote for the wrong candidate they were planning

trump in a tizzy. he's really had it his way so much with biden. and suddenly the roles are reversed and he just doesn't know how to handle it. listen, this would befuddle anybody, even trump. september 10th. thank you larry. appreciate it. let's move on. up next, an uptick of whales. a lot of them spotted along our coastline. so what's driving these whales closer to our shore? we're going to be joined by a researcher who's tracking them. also homeowners blurring their properties on google maps to deter would be burglars or just looky loos. we'll show you is it possible to count on my internet like my customers count on me? it is with comcast business. keeping you up and running with our 99.9% network reliability. and security that helps outsmart threats to your data. moaire dida twoo? -your data, too. there's even round-the- clock customer support. so you can be there for your customers. with comcast business, reliability isn't just possible. it's happening. switch to reliable comcast business internet with security and get started for $49.99 a mon

is there any chance in the world joe biden is going to crash the convention in a week? >> no, that is totally donald trump'sful thinking because he's so angry it's not joe biden his running against anymore that he's just wishing. the vice president and governor walz are running. they are the people on the ticket. >> making the fetch happen. it's been less than a week since minnesota governor tim walz joined them it democratic ticket and the campaign seems to be seeking to bring a more joyful message to the campaign trail, countering trump starker things and softening on biden's stark warnings about the state of democracy. here is tim walz last night. listen. >> this incredible leader, this incredible woman has brought to this fight -- she has brought back compassion and decency and humor and joy to our politics. >> we both know the grind of a campaign. can joy last? >> i'm hopeful that at last. they have a lot of momentum going that will last a couple weeks but once we hit labor day, we know it's going to get extremely challenging. people start to early vote. there is the debate. there is a lot of room here

said that he will not participate in such debates, and the debates that were held between. with trump and biden, which are also proposed by abc channels for september 10, now it will be a debate between trump and caris, and this is a debate in a different format, that is, this is a debate without an audience in the hall, only with moderators, presenters and debaters , and will they, i'm not sure, by the way, that they will, because trump said just a week ago that he would not participate in any debate with harris, other than the only... debate possible on fox with audience participation, on thursday he said something diametrically opposed that he will participate in the sept. 10 debate hosted by abc. i honestly don't expect anything like that, because the debate, actually, well, it's the kind of television product that, for the tv journalists , it's very clear why that kind of television product is popular with the viewers, and ... for the voters, well, the voters and this is how they know their candidates, and it is unlikely that a large number of voters can change theirs thanks to the debate

that is, he said he will not participate in such debates, and the debates that were held between trump and biden, which are also offered to abc channels on september 10. now it will be a debate between trump and karis, and this is a debate in a different format, that is, it is a debate without an audience in the hall, only with moderators, hosts and debaters, and uh, will they be, i'm not sure, by the way, that they will be, because trump said just a week ago that he will not participate in any debate with harris, except for a possible channel debate fox with audience participation, and ... on thursday, he said the exact opposite of what he will be doing in the sept. 10 debate hosted by abc. frankly speaking, i don't expect anything so special, because the debate actually, well, it's such a television product that tv journalists understand well why it is the television product is popular among viewers, but for voters, well, voters already know their candidates, and it is unlikely ... a large number of voters, thanks to the debate , can change their point of view about the candidates, decide to v

trump. what do we see? alright, bidenamong women voters, you see joe biden has a clear advantage here by ten points. but again, that is significantly smaller than the advantage that donald trump had among men voters, 17 points. now let's jump back over to this side of the screen. what do we see? we see kamala harris expanding that advantage that joe biden had among female, women voters, look at that 17 point lead compared to the ten point advantage that joe biden had men voters really haven't shifted very much at all. very similar to what we see nationally. they're basically holding in donald trump's corner, donald trump powell, that 17 point advantage which back when it was joe biden being the democratic nominee. now you see a 15 point advantage for donald trump when harris is the democratic nominee. again, not much movement among men. it is a women voters, again, in these key great lake battleground states who are energized, moving towards the democratic column. now i am a student of history fred, i love to look at hist

trump. harris has been able to do in 10 days what biden had trouble doing in a year and a half. camille: so it sounds like kamala harris has benefited from a number of messaging difficulties on the republican side, an opportunity to redefine herself, obviously the enthusiasm for her candidacy has translated into more likeability, etc. and so obviously she's closing the gap between herself and former president trump in the national polls. how is that translating in the swing states? or david? amy: why don't you start and i'll -- david: it's a great question. this has become -- this has gone from being a very static year to a very volatile period and i don't think we're out of it yet. we're going to see a lot of gyrations in the polls in the weeks to come. but based on what we know about the demographic structure of this race, kamala harris has recovered ground that joe biden had seen eroding among three key groups. black voters, latino voters and 18 to 29-year-old voters. all of which we'd seen huge drop-off in support between the share that joe biden and kamala harris got in 202

but trump just can't let go of joe biden. >> joe biden is a very angry man. you know that right? >> they put it a candidate and we beat him badly at rallies in news conferences and in his long interview with elon musk, trump has repeatedly brought biden up double forget, i beat. >> i beat biden. he failed in the debate miserably trump gloats over biden's exit incessantly ridicules the president. >> he even did an impression of biden-era sort of like a question like what did you have for dinner tonight? >> remember joe, what kind of ice cream is your favorite vanilla? >> liked it trump's barbs over the debate, analysts say, give a clue to his fixation. if we didn't have a debate, he's still be there. can you imagine if we didn't have a debate why the hell did i debate? >> donald trump is obsessed with it because he wants the race that he had a month ago. it seemed like he was on a glide path to victory. he knew how to the run against joe biden or trump biographer says, what also could be at play here is what he believes is trump's preoccupation with people who have opposed him in a

but trump just can't let go of joe biden. >> joe biden is a very angry man. you know that right they put it a candidate and we be yeah badly at rallies in news conferences and in his long interview with elon musk, trump has repeatedly brought biden up. don't forget, i beat i beat biden he failed in the debate miserably. >> trump gloats over biden's exit incessantly ridicules the president. he even did an impression biden, sort of like a question like what did you have for dinner tonight remember joe, what kind of ice cream is your favorite vanilla? liked it trump's barbs over the debate. analysts say, give a clue to his fixation. >> if we didn't have a debate, he's still be there. can you imagine if we didn't have a debate, why the hell did i do? hey, them, donald trump is obsessed with it because he wants the race that he had a month ago. >> it seemed like he was on a glide path to victory. he needed to how to run against joe biden, a trump biographer says, what also could be at play here is what he believes is trump's preoccupation with people who have oppos