in that, that, republican primary. trump does pull republicans out and has a clear base. some of the races took place around the country. good point about kansas. just, when we look at, the bigger issue here. when it comes to donald trump and republicans and motivating the base, is it a big issue in the sense that the disapproval of the president, his policies, behavior. is that one of the reasons to blame for, this actually, the nail biter when it should have been in any other normal time, an overwhelming win for the republican. >> yeah, this district should not have been close. we should not have had a panel to talk about who is going to win. should not be talking what the mandatory recount rules are for ohio. and the fact that -- that a democrat got this close in a district that as you said this has been a 30 year republican stronghold. this is a district that was won by mitt romney. a district won big by donald trump. district if you look at registration numbers. yes, democrats in the district. this should have been a much safer republican district. so i think the fact

trump won this in 2016, but that's worse than republicans normally do. so between these two counties, parts of the counties in this district, it's a story of the suburban backlash against trump. is there going to be turnout for the democrats and is balderson going struggle? that's a little less than half of the district. the rest of the district, the opposite story. blue collar white voters. look at these margins. zanesville, obama carried. swung to trump. the focus on this half swung to trump. the other half swung away. very interesting story about which group is more excited. >> you're allowed to go home for a change of clothe bus we have to have you back here tomorrow night. >> you got it. >>> coming up as we continue, president trump told ohio supporters there could be a red wave come november and he could destroy any gop politicians who refuse to support him. we'll talk about all of it when we come back. >>> i said troy, did you invite trump in here, the president? he said, no, i didn't. so i think donald trump decides >>> i said troy, did you invite

trump. right now republican troy balderson has a very narrow lead over democrat danny o'connor. d, but o'connor is not conceding just yet. more than 8,000 absentee and provisional ballots still have to be counted. >>> california is struggling to contain some of the worst wildfires it has ever seen. president donald trump has not acknowledged a growing scientific consensus that climate change is contributing to the ferocity of the fires. instead he cites other reasons, but it seems the white house is not quite sure what he's talk about. cnn's stephanie elam has more. >> reporter: tonight the mendocino fire churning lmalmos 300,000 acres. so far it's scorched more than -- the holy fire has already burned over 4,000 acres. across the golden state 17 large fires are raging as more than 14,000 firefighters battle the fast moving flames. spurred on by dry and windy conditions. president trump monday blamed the state, inaccurately linking california's long running water shortage to the intensity and spread of fires in the state. tweeting, california wildfires are being magnified and mad

trump. they have a shot at replacing both their senators, mccain and jeff flake. both republicans, both thorns in the side of president trump. both likely to replace come january by candidates less likely to speak out against president trump. let's start with nbc's kacie hunt. she's in scottsdale, arizona. we have nbc's steve kornacki here at the big board and ashley parker with us from "the washington post" in washington, d.c. kacie, let me begin with you because this is a very interesting day, primary day i should say. because it seems to be fairly representative and reflective of what's happening inside the party at large on a national scale, no? >> that's right. it's impossible to overstate how deep this changing of the guard goes. senator mccain of course stepping off of the public stage. senator jeff flake deciding he couldn't win a primary here in arizona. and so decided to retire. they were both very critical of the president. but, frankly, the three candidates that are racing here today to try and fill flake's shoes, they really demonstrate this is a party being molded in

hugging president trump has become the republican go-to strategy. >> then mr. trump said you're -- i love that part. >> it works great in the primaries, but will candidates pay a price in november? i'll ask long time republican adman mike murphy. joining me for insight and analysis are robert costa, moderator of washington week on pbs. helenen cooper. and al cars that and elia ya johnson. welcome to sunday, it's "meet the press." >> from nbc news in washington, the longest running show in television history. this is "meet the press" with chuck todd. >> good sunday morning. one of the questions that emerged during the campaign was this. should we take donald trump seriously or literally? well, now he's president of the united states. so are we supposed to take him seriously or literally when he says that the mueller investigation that his attorney general should stop what he calls this rigged witch-hunt right now. are we supposed to take him seriously or literally when hours after his intelligence and security chiefs say that the u.s. election integrity for 2018

"the la times" wrote this week about all republican candidates hugged on trump so much, will they be le to come out and win the vote they need to win. i think it will be tough. this is not a done deal for the republican nominee for senate. i do believe republicans should be concerned. there was a lot of money spent in this race, i think republicans are going to spend a lot more money because she's a challenger in this race. >> thank you, i appreciate your time. votes are being counted for the primaries on a night of a major offset in florida of the democratic gubernatorial primary. discover has no annual fees. really? yeah. we just don't believe in them. oh nice. you would not believe how long i've been rehearsing that. no annual fee on any card. only from discover. alright guys let's go! let's do this directions to the greek theater (beep) ♪can i get a connection? ♪can i get can i get a connection?♪ ♪can i get a connection? ron! soh really? going on at schwab. thank you clients? well jd power did just rank them highest in investor satisfaction with full service brokerage firms...agai

if trump's own aides said do not do it. if the republican governor said do not do it and kobach wins, trump is emboldened and republicans are going to be afraid. let's say as it relates to the russia situation. they're going to get more and more scared. this is a moment we're saying are republicans going to have any courage? if you think they're going to have courage and trump backs guys like kobach and they win, republicans are going to get in line right behind trump. >> trump is not loyal to the republican party. trump is loyal to people who give him loyalty. we saw that with kobach and this voter fraud panel, you can call it a voter suppression panel, is probably a better term. in florida, flipped that race probably a net 20 points for his candidate. his candidate's only commercial was about teaching his kids about donald trump. >> you mean his commercial where his son is building a wall? >> building a wall. with trump's endorsement, he jumped to a ten-point lead over a guy that's been running for 20 years. he's 11 for 11 in primaries. do

between trump backed republican candidate troy balderson and the democrat, danny o'connor. nbc decision desk will not be calling this race tonight. this is a district the president won by about 11 points during the election. president trump was flown out to ohio this week

trump weighed in. in michigan, republicans nominated another trump endorsed candidate. john james for u.s. senate. mes faces an uphill battle against democratic senator debbie stabenow, and in washington's eighth district, republican dino rossi advances in the race for an open republican-held seat clinton won as democrat kim schreyer leads another democrat who who gets to head the general election. >> steve kornacki, professor pearson who would ask us a question that would always be a setup. you knew you were about to get run over and he said, you should see the next question coming at you like a slow-motion low motive, coming out of a tunnel. right at you. well, you could, you could say the same about the republican party's fortune. in fact, we've all been talking about it for a year now. you have a donald trump endorsement that helped somebody like kris kobach, possibly win the republican nomination, but then sets him up, sets the republican party up for a, makes it more likely that they lose in the fall, because of just -- what we saw in the ohio race last night. the massive bleeding of republic

today in ohio, will president trump's weekend appearance there help or hurt the republican? >> he definitely brought major excitement. and they were excited to see him up here. he is the president of the united states. >> reporter: how much is donald trump on the ballot in this race? >> well, he's not. >>> and california burning. 14,000 firefighters struggling against the state's wildfires, including now the largest in california history, taking lives and leaving thousands homeless. >> there's a lot of fire on the landscape and not a lot of good ways to catch it. >> they say evacuate, go. take what you can grab and go. >>> good day, everyone. i'm andrea mitchell in washington. president trump's former deputy campaign manager back on the witness stand today in the paul manafort bank and tax fraud trial. rick gates revealing new details on criminal acts he says were committed at mr. manafort's direction, including falsifying loan documents and hiding millions of dollars in overseas accounts. the manafort legal team is waiting for their chance to cross-examine gates, hoping the

the governorship of the sunshine state will now pit an african american liberal against a pro trump republicanom last yea r‘s hurricane maria is revised upwards — nearly 50 times upwards. almost 3000 people are now thought to have died. also on the programme. british and french fishermen clash in the english channel in the latest stage of a long running war over scallops. in the oval office, donald trump is handed the referees cards, by the world governing body fifa — and no prizes for guessing who got the red one.

between trump backed republican candidate troy balderson and the democrat, danny o'connor. tonight. this is a district the president won by about 11 points during the election. president trump was flown out to ohio this weekend. not long ago, the president weighed in on tonight's special election saying, when i decided to go to ohio for troy balderson, he was down in early voting. 64-36. that was not good. after my speech s

if you are a republican don't be critical of president trump. democrats? l, voters are looking for diversities. four states held primaries yesterday. in a stunning upset. republican governor lost his bid to get his old job back. didn't keep it close against jeff johnson. let's bring in our former republican congressman from florida and our senior fellow of governance and our msnbc contributor. the trump effect. the president posted not one but not two but nine tweets congratulating republicans, including this one of johnson calling it a big night. johnson beat tim pawlenty. does this leave any doubt in your mind that the republican party is the party of trump's. >> absolutely not. primaries season is donald trump's touch. he has the mightiest touch across the country. chris, we have to look at the special election that we had for congressional since trump got elected where they had more of a general election flare. that's where we are seeing democratic voters turn out up and under performance by republicans and none of those races occurred in truly competit

"the la times" wrote this week about all republican candidates hugged on trump so much, will they be e out and win the vote they need to win. i think it will be tough. this is not a done deal for the republican nominee for senate. i do believe republicans should be concerned. there was a lot of money spent in this race, i think republicans are going to spend a lot more money because she's a challenger in this race. >> thank you, i appreciate your time. votes are being counted for the primaries on a night of a major offset in florida of the democratic gubernatorial primary. oh! oh! ♪ ozempic®! ♪ (vo) people with type 2 diabetes are excited about the potential of once-weekly ozempic®. in a study with ozempic®, a majority of adults lowered their blood sugar and reached an a1c of less than seven and maintained it. oh! under seven? (vo) and you may lose weight. in the same one-year study, adults lost on average up to 12 pounds. oh! up to 12 pounds? (vo) a two-year study showed that ozempic® does not increase the risk of major cardiovascular events like heart attack, stroke, or death. oh! n

nominee when donald trump ca ptu red republican nominee drew that when there was that so—called access hollywood tape, which came out. and after trump was inaugurated and the various things that the president had said, that's mccain strongly disagreed with, he would never hesitate to criticise the president. of course, the president, clearly, was irked by that. he repeatedly criticised mccain. just as a very few days ago he was still talking aboutjohn mccain's thumbs down vote for repealing and replacing 0bamacare which prevented the republican party from getting that passed in the senate is. we have had nothing else from the white house so far apart from the white house so far apart from that tweet the president put out. many people here, including some in the white house, felt that after we got word yesterday that the senator had stopped his cancer treatment, that that would have been the appropriate time before he died to have issued something positive aboutjohn mccain's legacy from the white house. just briefly, steve, would it be fair

trump republicans need to come out and vote and they need to vote republican. the next test, as we start moving closer to columbus, not all the way there but delaware county. yes, you have? rural areas out here but this is a more affluent exurban area. trump sometimes turns off those kind of republican voters. does troy balderson run strong, you see how well tiberri ran here with 72:00 almost 73% of the vote. and notice there are more voters here. as you start to get closer to columbus you're in suburban and exurban areas that are more populated. the president has had a problem with these voters at times. this is a key county to watch if this area is close. and then the key is down here. about a third of the district is in the franklin county part -- the part of frank lipp county that is in this congressional district. this is where trump has been toxic if you look at the alabama senate race, the virginia results last year, pennsylvania '18. the closer you get to the city, those close in suburbs, that's where you have your millennial voters, college educated sub

trump or non trump republicans which is sort of.

you can't run against trump and expect to win a republican primary. andled it right, which is true. she is the only one of the three candidates that has a demonstrable voting record of support for donald trump, and that was wise to do that. she also felt the momentum of the race late and she started running ads against kyrsten sinema because she could feel the momentum moving her way and she wanted to show republican voters she has what it takes to win a battleground state. >> maria, kyrsten sinema, the democratic nominee there, what are the chances for your party come november? >> look, i think if mcsally wins, and everybody seems to think she will though it is not a done deal. i think kelly ward is a possibility. i hope joe arpaio wins because it would be a shoo-in for the democrat. herein lies the conundrum for republicans. you heard mcsally say she has a 97% voting for president trump. that could be an ad in the general election in a state where trump won barely by three points, in a state where the demographics are changing, the voting electorate

but here's the problem for donald trump and the republican party. r run against hillary clinton again. so, you can see very early on in marco's results in the suburbs that that was going to be a blind spot for donald trump. right now there's not enough suburban voters in the republican primary to make the difference for candidates like marco rubio. >> i think that's exactly right, joe. that's where the hemorrhaging has begun for quite some time now, as a matter of fact. you've seen this slow ebb away from the republican party in those suburban areas. the concentration of voters now in the cities that were once considered small cities are now growing into medium size cities is another problem. then went you project this forward given everything else that we know, i think the corner stone of the vote going into any election cycle will be the white female vote. so without a hillary clinton to beat up and to push around and to remind voters you don't like her, it now becomes more about the president. the guy who wants everything to be about him. guess wh

learn more at theexplorercard.com >>> today, a trump enthusiast republican congressman from buffalo, ame very nationally famous when that sitting congressman and early donald trump dev devo chris collins became indicted. our next guest is actually mentioned in the indictment unsealed as chris collins was taken into custody today. he's mentioned and not as one of the many unnamed co-conspirators in the indictment. -k eegoing. st. a little bit down. stop. back up again. is this adequate sunlight for a komodo dragon? -yeah. -sure, i want that discount on car insurance just for owning a home, but i'm not compromising. -you're taking a shower? -water pressure's crucial, scott! it's like they say -- location, location, koi pond. -they don't say that. it's like they say -- location, location, koi pond. whoooo. tripadvisor makes finding your perfect hotel... relaxing. just enter your destination and dates. tripadvisor searches over 200 booking sites to find the hotel you want for the lowest price. dates. deals. done! tripadvisor. can start in the colon constipation and diarrhea and may be sig

is the republican party now firmly the party of donald trump?” the party of donald trump? i think the party of donald trump? i think the party of donald trump? i think the party is mirrored by the president and so what we had in arizona and florida and other places is that those going around with that message of lowered taxes and less regulation, it is a winning message. so the single biggest issue is donald trump himself in these midterms? generally the national parties like to do that especially the one on the outside looking in but most of the time these are won and lost by local issues. and so the president regardless of party or president, will always bigger dominantly ina president, will always bigger dominantly in a midterm election but i think although having said that it will come down to local issues. when you look at ron desantis versus adam putnam, very much the establishment candidate, there is a 20 points difference which tells you what sort of effect donald trump has been having and if he is going to complain anyway you would think

i think the donald trump republican party is the republican party moved on from senator mccain. >> ik that is right. look at immigration alone. i remember mccain having to run for reelection, i think it was in 12 where he had to project strong image against immigration. and yet, as much as he would vote with his heart, on an issue like that he could also lead consensus to push for pardon me reform. so he had the ability to go big. even in the middle of the difficult fights, but you're right. how about in 2008, the standard bearer, a supporter, he was tough on the administration about what was going on in the world, but he wanted the surnl. it was in a difficult position be in, when there was such a deep desire for change in the country by 2008. so i think that he was kind of out of step with the politics at the time, but true to his principals. now you have to wonder, the defender of the liberal order in foreign policy, weather that part of the republican party has moved away from him and moved toward donald trump. i don't know that we know that answer for sure. whether or not trump

the margin for republicans and trump's party sits at 51-49. he were to move on sessions, among it other things he would need a new attorney general. even two republicans say we're not going along with this, you don't get a new attorney general confirmed. will republicans keep this from happening or would trump ignore this anyway? >> base ed on the reporting we' seeing, they are the only ones that are keeping trump from firing mueller -- excuse me, firing sessions. they say rur nyou're not going t a second person. rosenstein will be there and that will be that. you can try to fire him but remember there's no number three because no one wants the job. that would be problematic. politically before the midterms it would be a disaster for this president. i think that's probably the argument that his lawyers and some other advisers are making, is that you cannot -- we talk about keeping the house republican. if you do this, it all but signs, seals and delivers a democratic house. >> robert costa, is there any sense -- does the president have a name

tripadvisor. >>> today, a trump enthusiast republican congressman from buffalo, new york, suddenly becamewhen that sitting congressman and early donald trump devotee chris collins was arrested, indicted and arraigned for insider trading and lying to federal agents. our next guest is so close to this remarkable story today that our next guest is actually mentioned in the indictment that was unsealed as chris collins was taken into custody today. he's mentioned and not as one of the many unnamed co-conspirators in the indictment. that guest joins us next. stay with us. -morning. -morning. -what do we got? -keep an eye on that branch. might get windy. have a good shift. fire pit. last use -- 0600. i'd stay close. morning. ♪ get ready to switch. protected by flo. should say, "protected by alan and jamie." -right? -should it? when you bundle home and auto... run, alan! ...you get more than just savings. you get 'round-the-clock protection. ...you get more than just savings. booking a flight doesn't have to be expensive. just go to priceline. it's the best place to book a flight a few days befo

special election in ohio, if it was president marco rubio, this republican would have won by 15 points. but because it's president trump, the republican barely beat a democratic candidate. and so all of the signs point to a blue tsunami coming, but in a fight. there are only two ways to win. you can bring your opponent to submission. think germany and japan after world war ii. or you can break their will to fight. think of the united states in the vietnam war. the strategy is fundamentally one about exhausting and wearing out the will to fight and resist of democratic voters by inciting the base. trump needs that basin cited. he needs it to turn out to hold back as best as possible this blue wave is coming, and the degree to which they constantly lie, it's disorienting. people can't get their heads around the facts because people aren't used to responsible political leaders constantly lying to them. so when you talk to democratic voters, you talk to democrats, you talk to people who oppose trump, one of the main features that they will tell you is how they are exhausted by all of it. and so exhaustion of your opponent

just scientists has the blessing of the donald he's rising in the polls trump has actually managed to resurrect a number of republican primary campaigns and for the democrats trump is an easy punching bag and the bogeyman check out how this candidate is marketing his anti trump message i'm rich metal you know i'm running for governor to deliver progressive results and to stand up to donald trump here a few of the things i've done that already in january i protected planned parenthood from the republicans in congress. and what's to never a one way. for the republicans. take that trump now the ad never really makes clear how offending the president is going to help the people in maryland but that doesn't seem to matter the anti trump message is loud and clear and that's the name of the game in u.s. politics are you for trump or against him no other information is required that's not surprising when it comes to voters as they're divided along party lines like never before this is actually spook ing members of congress you cannot just run against donald trump. and it is the job of we democrats to put together a strong co

he is running against the trump endorsed republican and trump sounding ron desantis.re was little surprise that the donald trump endorsed republican won in the state where donald trump won. but president barack obama also w won the state of florida twice. here is why some florida voters turned out for andrew gillum yesterday. >> he seems to be caring about the people, instead of himself and the money they're putting in their pockets. >> he was backed by bernie sanders and i'm a really big bernie sanders voter. >> i vote everything against what trump is doing with the immigrants and with the poor people that got separated from their families. >> i voted for a people a little more moderate in the past. but now i think we need to go progressive and get rid of some of these old ideas. >> opinion writer for the washington post and msnbc contributor and reason on is bah us. it looks like andrew gillum might be able to mobilize a your honor out that others have not been able to do. >> yeah. andrew gillum did a few things those candidates didn't do before. one, he got out the

so she said republicans -- trump supporters don't care. nal establishment republicans do care, maybe, maybe not. what happened? this doesn't matter? >> clearly based on the approval numbers amongst his base it doesn't matter. >> are you surprised by the world that we're in -- i just want you to imagine, but can you imagine if this were the clinton administration and all of this was happening? what do you think you'd be sitting here saying as a republican? >> i don't think we'd be talking about this if this was happening under the obama administration -- >> under clinton, if all these people were charged and pleaded guilty? >> but we would be bringing it up, republicans we would never let this stand if this was going on. there's another channel that dedicates like hours of their prime time programming still relitigating hillary clinton who lost and what the clintons have done since 25 freaking years ago, so there's no way republicans would ever allow this if a fraction of what trump's people have done. >> we knew about his past with women, a

acknowledged yesterday that in the republican primary, nobody wants his endorsement because he is not a trump republican. and you've got two very, very conservative republicans running in that primary, plus the congresswoman who, if she was named to the mccain seat for the next two years, until the special election, then that would leave two very strong trump republican contenders for the -- you know, to run for the seat and it would change the dynamic of arizona's representation for sure. >> absolutely. and governor ducey was very, very clear he did not want to talk about any of that until john mccain's burial. but that doesn't mean others haven't been talking about it. and he told me he considers this a solemn responsibility that he'll take seriously. as you point out, john mccain in a six-year term that would have ended in 2022. the law here says the next jenc general election, so 2022 when president trump would stand for re-election, that seat would be filled until then. because jeff flake is leaving office, the governor will appoint the new senior senator for arizona. a very different political dyn

the president trump is going to be in ohio holding a rally trying to get the republican base excited.ut turning out your base, who do you think president trump will be the difference maker here? >> trish: he could be. as we were just talking about, things are kind of good right now. the economy is doing well, so let them people may sit back and say okay, everything is under control. i don't need to go to the polls and i think he's going to help motivate that base in ohio and i think there are issues that are relevant right now to everyday americans. this idea of we need borders, we can't get rid of grace, we can't be unrealistic and say were going to open up to everybody in mexico and canada, come this way. and i think if he appealed to that sort of common core interest that so many americans have right now and protecting ourselves and our security, it'll help. >> harris: i think is going to have to drill down more on other areas of policy. he's really got to come in hard on the economy. watching the rally last night in pennsylvania, there was one sure thing, he spent a lot of time ta

trump. you showed the president's tweet earlier, brian. i think you would be hard pressed to find a republican in ohio who disagrees with the central premise, namely that it was donald trump who was able to carry troy balderson across the finish line here. he did not have a great last couple of days campaigning. but he did get a big boost from the president who in some part had to essentially remind republican voters that there was a special election happening this week and his agenda was on the line. every republican strategist i talked to this week said that balderson needed that boost to juice his numbers in the more reliably republican voters who just weren't huge troy balderson fans coming into this weekend. >> how about a word about this district? our viewers along with us kind of fly into these districts where on nights like tonight there's no more important stretch of real estate in this whole country politically. but what an interesting part of the country it is. you've got the terrific city of columbus, ohio, its northern reaches, then stretches the countryside that look just like th

points towards a november election in which the democrats are in a strong position against republicans where donald trump is much less popular than a republican president usually is. and democrats facing a tougher climb in rural areas. and the challenge is to find common ground between these two pieces of the country. and points to a 2020 battle of the bulge election. >> a battle of the bulge election in 2020. okay. but a win is a win, donald trump likes a win. he tweeted a short time ago. when i decided to go to ohio, he was down in early voting, 64 to 46. that was not good. after my speech, there was a big turnout for the better. troy will win big in november. so, how much is this a win for donald trump, keeping in mind he was up one point before the election, and looks like he will win by one point. >> he held steady against an opponent who was rising. how much of this is a win for donald trump? only in the sense that he did no harm. i do not think the president can point to this and say, look at this victory. this is a district won by mitt romney, by donald trump, should be a solidly republican distr

republicans, though, are worried. this is a district president trump won by 11 points in 2016. now traditional republican, really just squeaking by and president trump saying to republicans it could be worse if i'm not on the ground for you. >> and how do you expect this to affect -- look, the president has already been very vocal about how much he plans to be out in the 60-day push, but how does this affect that? >> this is going to be a balancing act for republicans. there are going to be some places president trump is needed and places like ohio 12 where president trump's presence is a little bit of a gamble. president trump said recently he wants to be out five or six times a week on the campaign trail everyday. he thinks his presence is going to make the difference but i think this race is a clear indication that it can be very tricky for republicans, these suburban districts are potentially problematic for him and he's not making up a huge difference here. if there are other races that he -- other districts that he won by fewer than 11 points, a lot of republicans are pret

i don't think trump's a republican. i think you can make a whole party based on what trump believes. he's conservative in some areas but he's also not conservative in some areas. you see yourself as a trump party rather than the republican party? yes, 100%. oh, that never gets old. little seems to shake the belief of the president's most devoted supporters, but donald trump junior knows his father is a divisive figure, and recent days have only widened the gap between those who love him and those who loathe him. hate and bs is not a political platform. that is all the other side has these days. but between the booing and jeering for political opponents... and the many chants against the so—called fake news media, president trump seems to have encouraged some hate himself. i think he'sjust changing everything up. hate has always been there and he's just stirring up all of politics and people don't like that he's changing things. but that means stirring up hate? he's being 100% honest, which isn't always what we get from o

trump. ou think about kansas, in that rails, the republican primary forovnor. crisco advantage running against the incumbent,eff collier. they're still counting the vote. in kan the white house has to be wondering is the political capital there fsident trump with the endorsement even with republican voters? >> it may prove to be barelyn enough i ohio and kansas and in kansas it may prove to have been t quite enough. off president who's galvanizede' by results seen in some places. florida, for example, he endorsed dos systems santos, a loyal alley of the president and he shot up in the polls quickly. and the president took from that that he can wait until these primaries andolster the numbers. in the case of advisors, heent against them to endorse him. it may not work in the end and are the danger for republicans in the districts you guys were at is trumps trying to make these mid terms all about him. he wants to be the majorn per in the detective. and that's a risk for the republican party. robert: immigration is part of this broader, political, cultural war tha

in congress take and what's the number one way and i will trump the republicans. take that trump now the ad never really makes clear how offending the president is going to help the people in maryland but that doesn't seem to matter the anti trump message is loud and clear and that's the name of the game in u.s. politics are you for trump or against him no other information is required that's not surprising when it comes to voters as they're divided along party lines like never before this is actually spruiking members of congress you cannot just run against donald trump and it is the job we democrats to put together a strong cohesive economic. group of proposals aimed at the middle class and those struggling to get better we're in a strange place it's almost it's becoming a cultish thing isn't it it's not a good place for any party to end up with a cult like situation as it relates to a president that happens to be purportedly of the same party the democrats are now taking the cult thing to a whole new level they're even invoking old uncle joe he has very delibe

republicans. half this district seemed to love donald trump in 2016. nd the other half seemed to run away from him. from the republican candidate's standpoint, was it good or bad to have trump come in there at the wire of a close race? >> very bad, horrible. it's as bad as it gets in a swing district to have donald trump show up the day before. the only thing or two days before an election. maybe if it was a weekend, it could have been potentially worse for him. because it takes a while to kind of reach out and get voters on either side, but this is a swing district right now, well, it wasn't, but it's in play now. it's tied. it's 43-44 depending on the polls you look at. turnout is essential. we know that donald trump is extremely unpopular with suburban women. and that's the area that you showed on your map. we know they're going to turn out in droves against donald trump. the other thing that you have in that district, like a lot of places, are what we call trump triers. that in 2016, they weren't happy necessarily with hillary clinton. they said let

between trump backed republican candidate troy balderson and the democrat, danny o'connor. nbc decision desk will not be calling this race tonight. this is a district the president won by about 11 points during the election. president trump was flown out to ohio this weekend. not long ago, the president weighed in on tonight's special election saying, when i decided to go to ohio for troy balderson, he was down in early voting. 64-36. that was not good. after my speech saturday night, there was a big turn for the better. now troy wins and again, we're not declaring that, a great victory during a very tough time of the year for voting. he will win big in november. we go back to steve kornacki. the math gets more and more interesting. >> yes. we have a new and clarifying piece of information. let me take you through what we know. 17-54. that's the margin. that translates into a leafed 0.9%. there are 3445 provisions that are yet to be counted and it won't be counted for 11 days. we expect to it skew to the democrats to cut in it half which would bring that margin inside 0.5 an

who is trump's pick on the republican pack. that battle now is one of the marquis races in the country. and it says a lot about the party of trump and the democratic party in the age of trump, next. >> i have been unapologetic in my beliefs. i have gone out, whether i'm in red areas, blue areas, purpose areas of this state, i said the same thing. my mother used to put it this time, when you tell the truth, you don't have to cover up your lies. i believe that honesty in places where people don't agree with you 100% will allow us to win in november. >> the party of trump has become the party of white racial anger and grievance. it's much more fully embracing its role as the multi-racial politics. its manifesting itself in the diversity and the experience of its candidates. let's bring if jason johnson and andrea christina mercato the executive director doing a lot of work in that race. first, sort of big pick. there is this question trump win, as trump makes the republican party of racial grievance, what do you see the party formi

if you're a democrat or independent, you don't trust republicans or donald trump. ooking at a very difficult time in november. this could be the worst midterm election in nearly 40 years for republicans. the fact that these are competitive, and democrats have overperformed, republicans have underperformed in every single special election since donald trump got elected. going into november where you have 23 to 24 seats, where hillary clinton actually won those congressional districts, but they're representatived by a republican in congress, you're looking at a wipeout year, because those seats are gone in november. >> why can't democrats lose the defensiveness? why not say, if it comes to -- impeachment, it comes to that, but why not run with this head wind? >> democrats should do their job if they're running for congress. it's right there in the constitution, your job is to be a check on the president of the united states. >> it's the republican's job, too. to be fair. >> why are you saying why are democrats defensive? that is in their dna. matt and i shared this cr

trump is paying close to both of them. minutes away from that ohio election. republicans fearing an embarrassing loss in a district that trump won by 11 points. polls showing it in a dead heat. we will begin with also a dramatic day at the trial of paul manafort. long time business part rick gates was back on the stand and didn't hold anything back. turning what had been a dry case about tax and bank records into a political soap opera. today even challenging gates about an affair he had in london. focusing on the financial details. describing how under manafort's direction he falsified multiple documents about manafort's income. the prosecution also presented various documents including e-mails with manafort's own words showing he had knowledge of the fraudulent activity. complaining about the taxes quote i just saw this wtf, this is a disaster. wasting no time to undercut his credibility. for the first time in the trial we heard donald trump's nation in front of the jury. when prosecutors presented evidence that manafort tried to use his leverage in the trump campaign t

and today, pro trump republican members of congress summoned bruce ohr to testify behind closed doors before two republican led committees and then they immediately went out to the cameras to talk to report betters how bruce ohr was a liar and to accuse him of being the rot at the heart of the mueller investigation and the russia scandal more broadly. the "new york times" this weekend profiled his long history in leading american law enforcement efforts against russian organized crime. there is a russian organized crime element to the trump/russia scandal. today house republicans literally came back early to spend the day try to destroy bruce ohr. from politico.com, house republicans have fixated on a handful of career and justice department officials as they sought to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the investigators who launched the russia probe. first, the spotlight was on jim comey and mccabe and now they intend to prove that political bias is behind the sprawling investigation of president trump's ties to russia. they are now elevating a new target, justice department official br

in congress take and what's the number one way and i will trump the republicans. take that trump now the ad never really makes clear how offending the president is going to help the people in maryland but that doesn't seem to matter the anti trump message is loud and clear and that's the name of the game in u.s. politics are you for trump or against him no other information is required that's not surprising when it comes to voters as they're divided along party lines like never before this is actually spook ing members of congress you cannot just run against donald trump. and it is the job of we democrats to put together a strong cohesive economic. group of proposals aimed at the middle class and those struggling to get better we're in a strange place it's almost it's becoming a cultish thing isn't it it's not a good place for any party to end up with a cult like situation as it relates to a president that happens to be purportedly of the same party democrats are now taking the cult thing to a whole new level they're even invoking old uncle joe he has very delibe

republicans. jeremy is absolutely right, though, when he says this is going to be the type of scorched earth play that donald trump is going to make to gin up and motivate republicans. he wants to run against metifa, he wants to run against ms-13, he wants to run against the killer of mollie tibbetts. he wants to frame this as, whatever problems i may have, look what a terrible threat the left poses to you. if that means raising the prospect of violence and adding that kind of divisive rhetoric to american politics, he is fully prepared to do that between now and november. i would expect that it will escalate. it will get actually worse. >> jeremy, taking a look in florida again, where do democrats push back against this, because florida is always a swing state. in this case democrats were probably a little excited that desantos gets this nomination because they can paint him as a trump acolyte. on the other side you do have a candidate on the democratic side, andrew gillum, who was not really expected to win. this is possibly the upset of the night. >> oh, yeah, absolutely. it's a major victory for the bernie san