u. k. frank, russia is getting closer to seas in control of the entire don bass region. can ukraine stop them? well, let's put the games that they've made into perspective. the russians. there's nothing particularly, i know it sounds callous but unexpected. here the gains have made use of been slow over the last few weeks and the casualties have been very high. and i say grind through into cynthia internet, which is now the focus of the entire russian war effort. so right now, those casualties will get higher. the gains will get slower. they will have expended their momentum after this fight and take it even more cryptic losses so can be stopped. yes, they can. but we mustn't get fixated on one battle in what's going to be a long wall along where attrition favors ukraine in the medium and longer terms. ok, so the gains might get slower, but if larger parts of his ukraine are conquered, you expect the russians to go for other parts of the country. again, like they tried it seems that they'll have enough trouble holding on to what they have rather than trying to over exten

u. k . frank, this war is now entering its 4th month. moscow has suffered multiple defeats and has had to scale back its ambitions. are you surprised by how well the ukrainians have held the russians back? terry, we were all surprised in the early days in the 1st month or so that the degree to which conventionally the ukrainians are actually magic as it were now less. so the last 2 announcements are demonstrated why that is. we just heard on that report. some of the reasons, essentially russia operating a piece time army, which is having problems with power a minute. secondly, because of more importantly, ukraine is fully mobilized. it's also backed by a very capable, the world's most capable, by far military alliance. just from the physical perspective, the material and conceptually rushes all over the place from the start, it didn't have a central approach. it didn't have a main effort. and it's hard to scale down. and furthermore, it retains old command structures and old ways of doing military

u. k. frank, the fight foresee ever the nets has been described as a race against time for the kremlin. why the rush? well, the monica hunt, russia is still believe it or not a peace time army. so the money situation is a peace time is a peace time army. so that to that the fact that that caught out by corruption casualties and a lack of morale, they cannot sustain the momentum very much longer. now to the 1st, the russian army that they've gone on so long such intensity is a real credit, but they simply cannot sustain that. are the into that the factor so much to weapons getting through. then you have, if not a time limit, then you have an operational limit on what can be achieved for what amounts to frank frank, a very limited success. and so speaking about western weapons deliveries, as we heard in that report earlier, you as president biden appears to put a damper ukrainian hopes of getting heavier weapons soon saying washing to will not to live a long range rocket systems. what do you make o

u. k. frank, going to say you want to start by asking how important a satellite images are in proving in documenting potential war crimes in your well, anthony, as far back as 1995 space asset satellites. note those military satellites gave us the confirmation that certain forces murdered 7000 people. and we'll look at the same scale today. and now it's not only military satellites, but civilian satellite, so satellites, company companies that are doing it. and the evidence that they provide, as your report indicated, is, tends to be corroborative of what other reports have information other possible brought forward. what they cost effective is an eye in the sky. they can identify units that can identify vehicles that can identify movement. and of course, they nailed down the time and space very closely for forensic purposes so they become rather of vital element. now, in war crimes investigation, so they've investigated what has already happened, but in terms of revealing positions. how useful a

u. k. frank, russia says it now controls 95 percent of lu hans province in ukraine. is that the case and if so, how significant is this development or good morning terry. i suppose it depends on what one means by control, since there is a intense battle going on. as your report said earlier around that city of serotonin and its twin city chance, which is just just along side, it control would be the wrong word. so the russians are moving to surround that city, we will see over the next weeks something like what happened in my up all the difference is that so better than that is prepared for this was my up wasn't you can, he's been fortifying it now for about 7 years they knew exactly what was going to happen. it's very reasonable to see what was going to happen in a house. this will be a very, very tough fight. however, that side they are moving to surround it, making incremental gains. russians, and this battle will go to some time. ok, so there's that battle that shaping up to be quite significant. what beyond that, do you think is the next step that the russian mi

u . k. frank, how important are these satellite images for investigative teams that are looking into potential war crimes in ukraine? well, very good morning. the recent history is so list to be absolutely crucial, even going back into the ninety's with strep, and it so whether serves were claiming that nothing had happened. satellite image is quite primitive by today's standards, demonstrated that the mass graves have been dug and the preparations have been made for advance. these instruments are now absolutely central in war crimes investigations, especially for corroboration. so there you have a lot of evidence in your report from human witnesses. people go missing another other evidence. so what satellites can do is corroborate that. they can tell you from looking at the military vehicles, what units, whether they can tell you the date and time of the images to a really close degree of precision. and as we see the butcher, that's been really, really important. how detailed or are these images

as sold. russia is not achieving if strategic objective frank language is our regular military analyst, and he joins me now from oxford in the u. k. welcome, frank. we just heard the nato secretary general saying, russia's war is not going to plan and the ukraine could win this conflict. would you agree with him? and you to put it mildly, the war isn't going to plan as to whether ukraine can win. that is contingent on whether the west continues to supply your credit at the same or an increased rate. the americans are right in, but so the british that they're not necessarily inconsistent. what's developing in the south east now around the town of samaritan ask unless chance is a, a butler of a bottle of attrition. and that's not going to be easy at all. it's going to take several months. and unless ukraine continues to receive the munitions they need, such as those artillery pieces use on the piece, then they will that they, they, they don't face to feet, but they won't be able to when one can't emphasize enough, they need those weapons to continue coming in greater and greater quantities, can we talk about the reports aware heari

u. k. hi frank, it's good to see you at mario pull has now effectively fall into the russians. but let's talk about the contribution of those ukranian soldiers or in the as a style steel plant to the ukranian war asset. what influence did they have on it? good morning on this so called russian victor some of the of a pyrrhic victory demonstrates ukrainian strengths, ironically, and russian weaknesses. and let's let the lens sort of sweep more widely. these defenders have created something of a national myth around that last stand, which is what it effectively was. and what they've done is they focused international attention far wide in the military aspect. i mean, let's look, for example, the rather curious incident but very telling is going to your vision this weekend where a vicious and savage siege in a steel plant in southern ukraine became internationally shared at the eurovision song contest. that's the information war in action. and that's why the ukrainians have succeeded. this is a tactical defeat for them, but very much a strategic success in the broader in the broad

u. k. is frank lead wedge is a former british military intelligence officer and an expert on military strategy. frank, where do you think russia stands militarily 2 and a half months into the wall? it stands rebecca somewhere between status, which is to say stalemate and an attempt to break through their campaign in the south is making very slow progress that they are losing ground around. hark, if there is another theater of operations broadcasts on towards the west and much the same situation there. so, so they're pretty much, both down. i would suggest from, from an operational perspective. no, russian russians are facing huge losses that the russian people haven't really heard that much about it. there was a hint of it in the speech today and even today it's really about boosting the public morale for the war. yes, there was some talk of course of causes of war that here was an obvious threat that nato was taking an aggressive approach. even some action, i think, of nuclear weapons just to remind people of the threat. the key are not so much. ukraine hardly got to mention posed, but what t

it military analyst frank lead, which they're talking to us from oxford in the u. k. thank you, frank. european leaders are meeting in brussels today to try to agree on russian all sanctions following moscow's invasion of your crime. but the to the european council meeting is being complicated by opposition from hungary, which is heavily dependent on oil and objects to a full band. you leaders are expected to consider a compromise which would allow hungry to continue receiving all via a pipeline with fractions only stopping shipments via the c. b meeting will also discuss more funds to help you crane rebuild by confiscating russian assets. that's bring in 2 of you and becker is the director of the stock on institute of transition economics and has been focusing on ukraine's economy and to how to rebuild these past month. october russian assets could be seen to finance the reconstruction of ukraine, but would actually work well, i think it will work, but it will probably take quite some time. i mean, we already have the frozen asset sees, but it's, it's a matter of how

u. k. where frank led, which is standing by the former british military intelligence officer, and an expert on military strategy. thank. thanks for joining us. what you'll reflections on put in speech or 1st of all, as our and hinted, there was a, straight out there was an attempt to de, legitimize ukraine. i think the country was mentioned once at the start, i'm not even sure of that certainly wasn't, didn't figure the name of the country wasn't mentioned. don boss, however, figured 5 or 6 times, which indicates the course the focus there for now. russian strategy was quite surprising to me that that was that, that was foreground, it's so much. so that's my initial reflection. and then of course is that sort of read back into the 2nd world war. and the length of the conflict already talked about that this is going to be a long struggle preparing people for kind of casual heavy casualties. that in fact, we're already that we're knowledge. i'm quite interesting to mention of course of, of mobilization yet. no, well, there was a lot of speculation there on where the president would efficientl

u. k. thank you, frank. fears of russian aggression are spreading beyond ukraine to the united states, where there is a boom and demand for private bunkers, who w's in. this port has visited one of the largest bunk of factories in the us, which is shining out luxury shelters to those who can afford them. he turned on the news, he say, north korea, talking about nukes, you say russia talking about nukes, you see china talking about news. i've never seen so many people talking about nuclear weapons in my lifetime. and it's scary. and that drives people to buy bunkers. ron hubbard owns one of the biggest spunk of building companies in the u. s. he founded atlas so vital shelter. 11 years ago. the factories based just one hour drive out of dallas, texas. these bunkers are not cheap. they average anywhere from $40000.00 to a $1000000.00. everybody's on board. no one thinks anybody's crazy for buying. i'm shelters now. we have a good business right now in ukraine and poland because war is going on there. i have several ukrainian customer, southern wealthy people in ukraine. they want to get a bunk

that was military analyst, frank language joining us from oxford in the u. k. ok, let's take a look now. some of the other stories making headlines around the world, finland and sweden have formerly submitted membership to join the native military alliance. ambassadors to the 2 nordic nations handed in their applications and $83.00 generally installed in brussels. they will need an unanimous approval by nato members to join the turkey has already signals of position north korean leader kim jong, and has blasted officials a suspected cases of coven 19 continue to serge. more than 1700000 people have displayed symptoms of what young young is calling fever. since april countries, antivirus authority says most patients have recovered, but global experts remain deeply concerned. around $100.00 firefighters have contained a fire in los angeles, close to the iconic griffith observatory. the blaze spread to cover an area of 6 acres before being brought under control. authority said that a suspected office has been detained, that not arrested. the area was evacuated and

u. k. parliament today, i'm about this and stay with me about. ah frank assessments. what are the political risks of panic? russian oil, a gas for western leaders, pull sanctions on russian energy exports, monstrosity for such informed opinions. france is not abandoning to fight against jedi still resumed the area. they're going to be acting from michelle and from chad . critical debate. could china actually help in russia's invasion of ukraine in depth analysis of the days global headlines inside story on al jazeera. in just under a year's time catalyst al bait stadium will house the opening match of the 2022 world cup. the official opening of the stadium came on day one of the arab cup, but many fans were already counting down to the big kickoff. next, november c, u r. o, a 1022 as this tournament unfolds over the coming days, it will play a key role. but organize is getting ready to host the middle east's. biggest ever school thing. event next year and for the castle national. same as they get used to playing in front of expected home crowds. maybe hoping to convin

u. k. court. the victory should go some ways lifting him from 376. mm. well, frank, mexico's multiple wait world champion, books or canal alvarez has been beaten for only the 2nd time in his career. 31 year old who stepped up to light heavyweight to take on rushes, w b a champion dimitry vol, but he was well beaten on points in 3 judges scoring it to be vote in his decision . you had a re match was do you want to do this with says he was, are we match? you feel about that for him? i no problem. you know, if you don't believe in your, what you do, you know, you got i, well, we spoke to books in journalists, garrath a davies who was not surprised to see can elo defeated. this saw you some white divisions for a reason. and what we saw in this fight was dmitri bento, the russian resident, i had size, superiority strength, stamina, and in a brilliant defensive performance, early on. i'm with an amazing job and a hi, george. completely post the fight. devil is a tremendous champion. his 20 undefeated fights as a professional, nearly 300, i'm at what's coming into this and