this would be a fundamental, perhaps historic breach in u.s./u.k. relations. asked that question as a set up to this one. if that were to be the case, the u.k. would have no option but to stick with the eu, wanted? be -- i think that would if you were to think about this in rational geostrategic terms, that would be the case. if you talk to pre-much everybody in washington except the trump administration, whether it is the entire democratic party or the traditional no trump foreign policy establishment in the republican party, they have been saying all along that the best option in the eyes of the united states would be for the u.k. to stay in the eu and this would quite clearly come to the forefront again if there was a change in the u.s. administration next year. and all of this scenario, what is your base case now? what do you think will happen? what is your read of the british tea leaves. jacob: my read is we are heading for early elections. i think these elections will be before october 31. i think you're going to have an extension of article 50. then we

welcome back today's 46 years since the u.s. u.k. backed coup that killed salvador allende of chile a coup supported by just 5 u.s. official john bolton well here is the arguable favorite to be britain's next prime minister paying tribute to id and where. most people's are. pretty. close to. it was a. whole generation that leader unlike u.k. prime minister boris johnson oppose u.s. u.k. policy that arguably led to another anniversary today the 911 attacks on washington and new york were carried out by supporters of anglo american backing for the heading in afghanistan let alone islam ists in yugoslavia today britain has a prime minister who attacks opponents of al-qaeda across the middle east johnson and al-qaeda let alone new labor blairites were even warned about it by the leader who defeated them in syria but a call for awfully good to talk about on the hot. welcome to how people come in my reply to feel for understand how different from those ideas. i want to. go with him i can with a following of from him boris johnson supported

welcome back today's 46 years since the u.s. u.k. backed coup that killed salvador allende of chile a coup supported by just 5 u.s. official john bolton well here is the arguable favorite to be britain's next prime minister paying tribute to i went to. the most people's. british. coffee and. it wasn't just her. it was a chance you could kill a whole generation that leader unlike u.k. prime minister boris johnson oppose u.s. u.k. policy that arguably led to another anniversary today the 911 attacks on washington and new york were carried out by some. porters of anglo-american backing for the budget had been in afghanistan let alone islam ists in yugoslavia today britain has a prime minister who attacks opponents of al-qaeda across the middle east johnson and al-qaeda let alone new labor blairites were even warned about it by the leader who defeated them in syria but a call for half of the year to have been on the top of the total well i can know how people come out of pride of fear for understand the i would have felt from his idea and

u.k. government and u.s. government. we have had the vice president coming into town this week. meetings here from steven mnuchin, john bolton was here. we have had our own cabinet ministers from the u.k. in washington as well. so there is a real increase in activity at the most senior whichof both cabinets, has to be good news for the u.s.-u.k. trade and investment, business community. it is a hugely important , arguably thedor most valuable between two countries in the world. having real time spent on this matters. mrs.s not working between may and the president. the reset we have seen over the past few weeks has been welcomed. shery: duncan edwards, thank you for the latest on brexit, joining us from london. here in the u.s., it a divided fed. eric rosengren sees no need to cut while dallas fed president robert kaplan says waiting for consumer weakness may be too late. to decode what that means ahead of jay powell's remarks tomorrow, let's bring in michael mckee. we continue to see this divergence in fed speak. how should investors take all of this? mike: probably just take a

it would appear that he's repeating that theme by saying that he would be willing to contribute u.s. u.k. military personnel and sources which some say are already overstretched to any u.s. led military action in the region. the u.k. is attributing responsibility with a very high degree of probability to iran for the aramco attacks we think it's very likely indeed that iran was indeed responsible we will be working with our american friends and our european friends to construct a response that tries to deescalate tensions in the gulf region clearly if we are asked either by the saudis all by the americans to have a role then we will consider in what way we could be useful. now of course the iranians again have rejected and denied all allegations that they were the ones responsible saying that it's the who sees who have been fighting the saudis all this time really and really resisting them in the attack on yemen and the iranian president hassan rouhani has also been making his own comments us to the best ways to achieve peace in the region. if foreign powers are sincere in seeking peace

u.s. see that as a violation of the good friday agreement? you agree with speaker pelosi and others who say that under those circumstances,a u.k.-u.s. free-trade deal would not be possible? vice pres. pence: the president made clear last week with prime minister johnson that the moment brexit is completed we will begin immediate negotiations for a tre free-trade agreement with the united kingdom. encouraged tom learn that all parties have made a commitment to honor the good friday agreement. when we think of those decades of violence between the republic of ireland and northern ireland, much of the violence took place along the border. and the good friday agreement worked an arrangement that brought an end to the violence and brought peace to this island ourwe'll continue to affirm belief the good friday agreement needs to be intact. and we remain confident -- if the european union will come to the table and negotiate in good faith with prime minister johnson, we're confident that some of these more complex issues can be addressed. but it's important to understand was the deal that negotiated by pro-minister -- by prime minister may

we do have the moral support often to initiate community we can deliver but because the formally u.s.-u.k. backed al-qaeda protected by the taliban and killed your brother how frightened do you know that even running for the presidency that wasn't being president of the taliban a resurgent taliban who are new fans of your presidency i assume will try to try to kill you this afghanistan of course not only in my brother you have lost toxins 100 soft targets and millions of people decide our country we at the end off today we really have to stand for our country i one of these millions of people here so therefore that is our responsibility it was time for our country i know that's dangerous i know a stretch i think i know that this very volatile country but it to same time we do have a responsibility i very historical responsibility to deliver for this country so therefore today we stand tomorrow if we are not here our new generation williston dishonest son who is a defendant well defending your country supposed to be helped by british soldiers as well as obviously the american soldiers woul

this country is receiving usistance in search and recovery from the u.s., u.k., jamaica, and trinidad and tobago, but the harsh reality is human remains decompose quickly at sea, so many may remain missing, norah, forever. >> o'donnell: that is so sartbreaking. errol, thank you. erck here at home, new accusations tonight that the administration may have tried to pressure the national weather service to change a hurricane dorian advisory to cover up a mistake by the president. weijia jiang is traveling with the president in north carolina. weijia, what have you learned? >> reporter: well, norah, in an e-mail to staff members, noaa's top scientist said that he was investigating potential violations that may have compromised the agency's policy of scientific integrity. craig mclean was reacting to a press release on friday that backed the claim by president trump that hurricane dorian siuld hit alabama hard. after the president made those comments, the national weather service in birmingham contradicted them in a tweet saying, "alabama will not see any impacts from dorian." e unsigned no

u.s. the u.k. navies to have an influence because it is extremely difficult to be able to police closely all the vessels that are passing through that area and we have to remember it is a vast piece of water and the vessels are continuing through there 24 hours a day trying to keep a close monitor on them is really difficult also then if something does happen what do you do without causing an escalation in the conflict between all the tensions between nations one of the reasons that the op sentinel which was the u.s. led naval convoy system has been slow to be adopted by the nations is because it is such a tricky thing to do and very quickly you can drag yourself into agendas of other nations rules of engagement become an issue every nation has its own it is really hard to enforce and they'll we are sigh of relief amongst many that there is a step towards deescalation specifically with shipping because in effect what we're seeing is that focus coming off the shipping lanes and potentially moving in

possible to do this but i am certainly saudi authorities to be working with the colleagues in the u.s., u.k. and others in terms of bringing defenses in place. it is easier to defend against cruise missiles than drones and easier to defend against that range then attacks in close proximity. the new facility was 500 miles from iran. the character of the sorts of things are a little easier to defend against but we can see in the irani and in the strait of hormuz and this week's attacks is a clear understanding of how these attacks can occur -- incur huge expense on countries and companies with potential market occasions. they know after this weekend to go back into the u.s. in particular and given administrators and the new administration and with whoever john boltoncedes has to think about it. brown, joining us and also the global head of excess -- fx strategies will both be staying with us. vonnie: let's get a check on global markets. abigail: modest declines for the major averages. this is the energy sector etf's, big gains on today's big story oil attack on the saudi facility and energy e

the u.s.,resting that france, germany and u.k. are kind of back on the same side. teresting clinical development. having said that, i think that is pretty clear u.s.-iran tensions will remain high, which means oil prices will be supported for some time as well. for thes that mean world economy, very briefly? at the moment i think the 20-odd oil, theice rise in direct impact of that shouldn't be massive. the longer oil prices remain elevated, the longer geopolitical tensions remain unresolved, the impact on certainty and investment possibly accumulates, so something to keep a very close eye on. matt: is this price of oil fine for global growth, shamik? is $65 for brent ok? shamik: in one sense, we are still below the levels it reached 18 months ago, whatever. but any kind of increase or shock at a time when the global economy is pretty vulnerable, when we've already seen a big manufacturing slowdown, any kind of shock puts the world economy on guard, if you like. and if i can make one more point -- matt: sorry, we have to go to break. i look forward to talking to you

u.s. and u.k.xit is great news for american workers and manufacturers, it's also great news for britain and for the principles of self-determination, economic freedom, the right of the british people to decide their own future. and without a doubt britain is going to be freed from the shackles of the e.u. on october 31st. boris johnson's showing tremendous leadership in the u.k., leading britain in the brexit era. and also it has to be said, i think the united states has offered tremendous support and backing for brexit. president trump has offered tremendous support, that is the right approach for america to take. laura: all right, nile, always great to have you perspective. >> my pleasure. laura: thank you so much. >> thank you very much. laura: all right. mike? mike: laura, texas reeling again after the state's second mass shooting in less than a month. 22 killed in el paso august 3rd, 8 people including the suspect in the midland/odessa rampage. police trying to figure out what prompted it. we

u.s. and u.k. weapons and intelligence some u.s. lawmakers like senator bernie sanders of tried to block u.s. weapons sales to the saudis is this likely to become an election issue in the u.s. they want to the elections do you think. it absolutely should be an election issue senator bernie sanders has led the fight to war and ending the u.s. involvement in the war by passing the war powers resolution we've seen a bipartisan support in the house and the senate for this act unfortunately was vetoed by president trump who continues to violate the constitution this war it goes against the constitution he is not allowed to continue waging this war without congressional support yet he still manages to do that both he and the child and the obama administration have been violating the constitution in this war so i think it absolutely should be in a campaign issue and every candidate running for president should outline very clearly their plan for ending the war in yemen and they should be held responsible toward ending the war in yemen righ

the other important but in this japan,is the u.s., u.k., they are to -- they are still the top centers. the united states is using this whereas thereity, are quite a few political issues. they continue to grow at a faster pace. >> let's bring in david welch on detroit. you have an old-fashioned labor strike here at general motors. >> workers want job security. they want investment plans. that's part of the reason they are angry. in midnight last night. key -- generalrs motors came out in gave us a statement. that's not typical. it looks pretty generous. what is it they are not getting that they really want? worker.were $8,000 per of those would be new hires. were lump-sum payments to workers and raises throughout. the health care plan was not going to be touched. the economics all looked good. sticking points and things that weren't mentioned was what was going to happen with temporary workers. gm wants of the other way around. they have these entry-level wages for workers. the top workers make $30 per hour. the union wants a much shorter path. that also didn't appear to be addressed.

u.s. and u.k.and european military convoys also being attacked although so far no one has claimed responsibility for that somalia has been wracked by civil war for decades now with 2 significant parts of the country who are claiming self or ptolemy the u.s. armed forces have been fighting al shabaab since 2007. i johnson is a journalist an african affairs specialist joins me now very good evening that these 2 attacks how significant would you say they are as part of the bigger picture of this you know many years long crisis when i think that the us above are showing that they're clearly there for still to be reckoned with maybe you have thought that they were demise many of them that they were finished or that they were moved and could never be a force to be reckoned with were clearly to have dawn this daring attack in the heart of where the u.s. army is with almost that with that of local somali forces is very very very ambitious extent duke with some degree of success as well so truly troubling a

u.s. and u.k. and european military convoys also been attacks so far no one's claimed responsibility somalia wracked by civil war for decades now with 2 significant parts of the country proclaiming self autonomy the u.s. armed forces have been fighting al shabaab since 2007. africa meanwhile says it killed 10 militants following the recent attack on the u.s. base journalist an african 1st specialist johnson believes their strikes will only make the crisis worse one thing is clear is that it's clearly not a force 'd that's going the way they are. jihadists the.

u.s. and u.k. militaries seem determined to put the eco into warrior and recruit some of them at the same time that's great brilliant good for them i don't know if that's necessarily a thing that's going to attract young people necessarily think hey i did i maybe we were some people. i wouldn't be trying to train the army but i'm sure it would be better for some people like green eggs. i've never thought about. but i don't consider that likely but i think right to be on it seems to be dog but. not doing very. well going green is a good idea entirely sure how it's going to attract young people at the end of it do you want to be put in a foreign mine and get killed you know does it matter what you drink you coffee or over what you got this money out of. for an eco friendly ending for the scene of an out of that but personally the fact that during an army doesn't kind of speak to me in theory it sounds like a good idea but whether it would actually work you know really manning who's going to go and fi

u.s. and u.k. militaries seem determined to put the eco into warrior and recruit some of them at the same time that's great brilliant good for them i don't know if that's necessarily a thing that's going to attract young people necessarily i think. i did i maybe we were some people but aren't. sure it would be better for some people. i've never thought about. but i don't consider that likely but i think to be a need for seems to be door but. what do. well there were no well going greens to go to. school you know trot young people at the end of it i use do you want to be put in a foreign mine and get killed you know as it must what you drink. out of i can wearing eco friendly and being 15 of them out of that period community the bathtub drain i mean doesn't kind of speak to me in period sounds like a good idea about whether it would be silly we're going to need money in the who's going to go. and that's what we need is. not where you have a. child participation has now steve a pail of the clean wate

u.s. the u.k. and relief old denies asians like the red cross. bringing food and medicine to people that need it there are also. people who need to be taken to safety via helicopter. the bahamas there right in the middle the atlantic ocean there are no stranger to hurricanes and other powerful storms so how well prepared does the country seem bahamas is pretty used to major storms i read somewhere that between 2015 and 27 tane in those years consecutively there were 3 category 4 storms on. is. a used to it the national emergency service this year told people to get prepared for. because they are becoming more frequent and more intense you have to really ask how much could they have done because the storm really destroyed houses that even had been built to the latest requirements building requirements in the bahamas you get the feeling from listening to the authorities that. they're used to storms bosh they were not expecting a storm as as big as this one because it swept through it was very intense and moved very very slowly like 2 kilometers an

u.s. the u.k. and relief ole denies ations like the red cross odds they're bringing food and medicine to people that need at they're also you airlifting people if you need to be taken just safety via helicopter on now the the bahamas they're right in the middle the atlantic ocean there are no stranger to hurricanes and other powerful storms so how well prepared does the country seem will bahamas ease pretty used to major storms i read somewhere that between 2015 and 27 tain in there is years consecutively they were 3 category 4 storms on the on the bahama is so you their day used to is on the national emergency service this yeah told people to get prepared for because they becoming more frequent and more intense bought you have to really ask how much could they have done because these storm really destroyed how's is that even had been built to the latest our requirements building requirements in the bahamas you get the feeling from listening to the authorities that us there they used to storms boch

u.s. and u.k. government surveillance but that's material for suporn and medica both refugees from. their families asylum applications in hong kong have been rejected they are now faced with deportation and an uncertain future. it's just a game for 3 year old enough but for his family hiding has become a way of life one that desperate to leave behind a 7 year old said to me he was just a baby. and tina was not even born when their parents asylum seekers from sri lanka found themselves sheltering us intelligence contractor tunde whistleblower edward snowden since their role in his story came to light they haven't felt safe for the supposed received threatening phone calls some quarters. that are in real way door to study for their trade rescaling so we brought it home and we did from my home depot importers mislabeling. one really that hard and one we really have to be always be appropriate we have to be always with safety a well said well it's very difficult the family's lawyer says they've been followed and questioned by hong kong authorities due to their association with snowden b

u.s. and u.k.and european military convoys also been attacked although so far no one has claimed responsibility for that somalia has been wracked by civil war for decades into significant parts of the country for claiming self autonomy u.s. armed forces have been fighting al shabaab since 2007. africa meanwhile says it killed 10 al shabaab militants following the recent attack on the u.s. space journalist and african affairs specialist johnson believes that airstrikes will only make things worse one thing is clear is that our ship out is clearly not a force that's going away they are all jihadists the belong to somalia itself it shows that we would have to start looking beyond bombs beyond guns beyond bullets and something and how if at all there is an opportunity for negotiating with this group because we've shown over time that the military capabilities that they have the ability to go on the ground. it's going to continue. the united states and the african union on likely to be able to dislodge

u.s. and u.k. militaries seem determined to put the eco into warrior and recruit some of them at the same time that's great brilliant good for them i don't know if that's necessarily a thing that's going to attract young people necessarily i think they i don't know maybe we were some people. i was. sure would be better for some people. i've never thought about. but i don't consider the right thing but i think to be a need for seems to be door but. what do. very. well going green should go to charlie sure young people at the end of it you want to be put in a foreign war and get killed you know it doesn't matter what you drink. you get out of. it all eco friendly emptying 15 of them out of that but personally the fact of drain army doesn't kind of speak to me in theory it sounds like a good idea but whether it would actually work or not really manage who's going to go far. enough when really you know. not where you have a. south korea has filed a complaint with the international olympic committee you

u.s. and u.k. militaries seem determined to put the eco into warrior and recruit some of them at the same time that's great brilliant good for them i don't know if that's necessarily a thing that's going to attract young people necessarily i think they i don't i maybe we will for some people but aren't. sure it would be better for some people. i've never thought about. but i don't consider that right but i think right to be a need for seems to be door but. what do. very covert we don't know where no well going to go to. young people at the end of the years do you want to be put in a foreign mine and get killed you know it doesn't matter what you drink your coffee out of what you got this money out of i always wear it eco friendly i'm being so seen a lot of that but prince knew the the fact of drain army doesn't kind of speak to me in theory it sounds like a good idea about whether it would actually work or not renewed man in the who's going to go inside. and that's what we need to do you know. not

this country is receiving assistance in search and recovery from the u.s., u.k., jamaica, and trinidad and tobago, but the harsh reality is human remains decompose quickly at sea, so many may remain missing, norah, forever. >> oh, that is so heart breaking. errol, thank you. >>> back here at home, new accusations tonight the administration may have tried to pressure the national weather service to change a hurricane dorian advisory to cover up a mistake by the president. weijia jiang is traveling with the president in north carolina, and, ouija, what have you learned? >> reporter: norah, a top scientist said he was investigating the policies of scientific rer integrity. he was reacting to a press release that backed the claim president trump said hurricane dorian could hit alabama hard. after the comments the national weather service in birmingham contradicted them in a tweet saying, alabama will not see any impacts from dorian. the unsigned noaa release said that was wrong. this afternoon they said it was not wrong because secretary wilbur ross threatened to have people fired, somethi

some analysts are seeing the selloff in yields from germany to the u.s., u.k.n around the world got some momentum from that stock raleigh -- stockmarket rally. the 10 year note yield. go to the very far right. backup to 1.64. that was quite a move. more recently down around 1.5, 1.55. you see that. on themiddle, the yield far right-hand side. you can see a bounce up to .592 around .49. down and nownd was -.58. and that ittrade may not be as aggressive for easing. what does this mean for asian markets? sophie: we are taking a look at futures in chicago for the nikkei. we could be looking at a muted start broadly for asian stocks. bonds will be in focus. qe tracking that drop. checking in on cable, holding onto a july high as we have more headlines and focused while the bloomberg dollar index has slipped to a two-week low. when it comes to themes i am watching today. asian autos will be in focus after the dismal sales numbers we got from china as well as from india. nissan in the spotlight as the ceo is to step down next monday given the scandal facing the execut

u.s. or the u.k. examples in the past were earlier in the process, people were able to come together and find some sort of solution. analysis from folks in washington is that that polarization is getting worse. as you say, you have to push situations to the brink before it appears you can get any form of settlement. so what is worse? it appears to be it has to be a threat of potential military .ction to get people involved it has to be a threat of disastrous economic consequences. it can't be that we end is baited and moved ahead of time, and i am quite worried about that. alix: does it have to come externally, like a shock? can it come from monetary and fiscal not doing anything? or does it have to be something so extreme? extreme? colin: i still think it has to be a shock. i agree with what you said earlier. i still think monetary policy boosting the economy has become ineffective. i really do think it needs other actions that at least require makeical will to exceptions, and i think it has to come

u.s. and the u.k. in particular they've been vent benefiting financially in a very significant way over the past 4 and a half or so years of this war and so without any major sort of or strong statements or or withdrawal of this supports and an end to these arms sales from the u.s. and the u.k. in particular we won't see much movement unfortunately good speakers you know thanks very much thank you. now the u.k.'s brags that battle is coming to a head with a showdown in parliament the could seriously undermine prime minister boris johnson's authority opposition parties want an emergency debate to take place to try and stop or no deal exit from the european union some conservative m.p.'s say they will support this but they face threats from their own party if they cross the line if the legislation passes the prime minister has said he may seek parliament approval for a snap election on october the 14th boris johnson says the united states will that the united kingdom rather will leave the e.u. with or wi

economy but right now of course the biggest challenge facing the u.s. u.k. economy is braggs it and what form of briggs's that will take johnson is planning to meet with the e.u. leaders on monday in his attempts to try and forge a renegotiated deal before britain leaves the european union or set to leave the european union on october 31st there he talked there about. the need to take back control that was of course the big slogan. of those who wanted to leave the european union jonah how is life for us in london has been listening to this so johnson very much pushing the same line that we've come to expect from the british prime minister on this. well yes broadly speaking of this is boris johnson johnson once more on his sort of unofficial election campaign trail we know an election is coming we just don't know when he's tried to get a date fix twice been rebuffed twice by parliament and now of course suspended he's up in the north of england in a big labor. constituency voted very strongly to leave the european union 68 percent in the 2016 referendum and t

reporter: i might be taking a risk in asking the question again, but in declining to condition that the u.k.-u.s. agreement on no hard border in ireland, you seem to be endorsing prime minister johnson's approach to this, and the idea that the u.s. would you willing to go forward even if it did disrupt the good friday agreement because you think the brexit referendum is more important. is that a misreading of the situation, and is there a risk in endorsing prime minister johnson, who just now lost his conservative majority a few minutes ago in the u.k. -- i am curious of your reaction to that as well -- if it gives you any pause in terms of how you are approaching these negotiations in your meeting next week? v.p pence: the united states of america respects the sovereignty andhe united kingdom decision to withdraw from the european union. at the same time, we are going to continue to affirm the central importance of the good friday agreement. it was a historic agreement that brght an end to violence in the republic of ireland and northern ireland, it was decades of violence. we all grew up watch

u.s. and u.k. bosal inside saudi arabia helping them the main issue there is one country was saudi arabia a night out of any of those will launch to a war against yemen or against the host either i agree with them or not. you should expect that this group they will attack back they will retaliate they will try to defend themselves but now we see saudi is crying out loud in every corner of of the war if the word about those attacks and i just want to add one more important thing about deuces statement from a u.s. official about that iran is to blame all these drones came from iraq we should actually listen to united states where remember before the invasion of iraq colin powell and they were in security council with a small pipe have said that this pipe cannot kill everyone in the room and they have launched a war against iraq to find weapons of mass destruction they haven't found anything they destroy the entire country the same thing they want to do to yemen but i believe there are more of that co

u.s. and u.k. militaries seem determined to put the eco into warrior and recruit some of them at the same time that's great brilliant good for them i don't know if that's necessarily a thing that's going to attract young people necessarily i think they i don't know maybe where we were some people. sure would be better for some people. i've never thought about. but i did say that i like that i think to be a need for seems to be door but. what do. i know well going green is a good idea. young people at the end of it do you want to be put in a foreign mine and get killed you know it doesn't matter what you drink. where eco friendly. that but neither. kind of speak to me and period sounds like a good idea about whether it would be really. really. who's going to go. and that's what we need is. not very difficult. korea has filed a complaint with the international olympic committee over japan's plug to use a military flowing during next year's games in tokyo so. the rising sun emblem is no better than th