some concerns for ubs.keep an eye on some good news for you because we have home retail group home retail group likely to see a bounce. beculation that they could eyed up by sainsbury. 152.90. the offer finally comes in. 161.3 p for home retail group hurt 1.3 billion pounds. premium before the speculation came out about the offer. is still with us from j.p. morgan asset management. that story sounds incredibly negative to me. sainsbury is struggling to figure out what is coming in. the credit story in the retail space is quite negative. if you look at what is going on in the retail space is there anything good? >> across europe, consolidation. there is a sense and which people are having to adapt their businesses to the threat coming in from the discounters. discounters have been around for a long time and they are starting to make their presence felt in the u.k. there has to be emphasis on cost. at the same time, what we should see over the next year is improved consumer confidence. depending on which mark

ubs was not the only banks up to report.ank, one that we don't normally talk about but there are some banks that are actually gaining. the bank in denmark, the biggest lender is going to back back -- by back another nine point billion, nearly double its -- previous program after it exceeded capital targets. a bank in europe has exceeded its capital target, it has more capital than it needs to the film regular targets so it is buying back stock. this is a company we rarely talk about. pfizer up by 4.2%. onreported for your profits declining bad load -- bad loan -- it is trying to improve its capital ratio. not all banks are declining and caucuses, we are trying to figure out why u.s. stocks are in decline and one reason could be that the u.s. election cycle -- is that right? betty: maybe you are a lame-duck resident, you are not that great in terms of helping the stock markets. let's bring up this chart. s&p returns during the last year , it two-term president usually results in a decline in the s&p according to net davis res

barclays, credit suisse, ubs.is sort of the beginning of a play which is going to see the european banks having to sort of cut to the chase and become more disciplined. been impressive in his early days saying barclays has to be more focused. and stuart gulliver has been very clear about which 0-- goinggeographies they are to concentrate on. wissnot surprised the two si banks have not become more aggressive about rationalizing their two pronged strategies. francine: how do you explain this underlying volatilities? liquidity or china concerns or elections? john: lack of liquidity is not new. my chairman has written about it in "the wall street journal." ,t is a convergence of oil, concern about china but also, r emember, last week we heard about the united states and .7% growth in the gdp. what is that? that is a very small number. francine: and then we have stanley fischer saying, we do not know what the next move is. we have plenty to discuss. stay with us. we will have more on bp next. ♪ francine: welcome to "th

ubs says the net income rose. wealth management and in banking and ubs ceo says woes up 25%. fell 49% due to a decline in commissions on investment and fees. million, that was the lowest. capital hired a former banker that was convicted in the u.s. for investment deals was based in moscow. eight yearsnced to in prison in july 2013. and that was your birds appeared >> the central bank extended its interest rate to nine months. held keeping the benchmark rate unchanged at 29%. was threat and there is also a slowdown. >> it has appeared in and we will see what develops. we were in the process -- the american economy is in the long process of manufacturing, declining g d and services continued to increase the share there is a tendency for manufacturing growth much rapidly than gdp. the fed will not decide how many times it will raise rates but will base its moves on economic innovators. they also said the efficacy is aced on it. -- we continued views even had the undertaking of i policy that is not right. thereby, race and the interest rates. it is working more than i can in 2012

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how much do they want to be like ubs? francine: they want to be like ubs, that is very clear. the wealthy of asia's money. it is very difficult how you structure the investment bank. main concern. mentioned the rumor yesterday with wells fargo and the investment bank, and actually on the back of that, the share price of credit suisse was up 5%, and then it fell a little bit overnight. investors were already looking for something a little bit more drastic. continues.llet francine lacqua in zÜrich, caroline hyde in london. this is an interesting interview appeared i had to look at the textbook on quantitative finance to speak with jerome schneider, head of short-term portfolio management at pimco. forget about it. he is the repo guy at pimco. that is all you need to know. from new york, from london, from zÜrich this morning, stay with us with futures up 6 cured we have david rosenberg. it is "bloomberg surveillance." ♪ caroline: welcome back to "bloomberg surveillance." stocks are up .2%, coming off of a high in oil and gas companies, leading the charge. up .3%.ns, more of a rol

i think we put the credit suisse numbers together with that ubs numbers ubs net outflows, .ifficultyrkets their limited with challenging market conditions. do.wonder what they can this is what he had to say about the market moves over the last couple of months. disconnect. have a prices with the consumer most of the gdp is consumption. because itmore money feels good. it's worth much more money from the lower oil price and you're people at spending so need to get a bit of confidence. that's for the markets come into play. >> should not expect the same outflows and international wealth management is here. here's a question, i keep hearing ceos talk about how the economics in the market are completely detached. so kerry goldman did the same thing. exactly the same thing at credit suisse, they bring up the issue to cruise and say the market is misinterpreting what is happening with crude. it's not demand issue. i have not met a single person that thinks it is a demand issue. we all know it is a supply shock. that's what the route is all about. guy: they need to look at their books. woul

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you've been talking to the ceo of ubs. give us the feeling on the ground from headquarters. >> morning, nancy. i think you quite rightly point out the outflows from the wealth management business certainly not expected particularly when you compare what we heard yesterday, they they've seen net new money added to the tune of 3.4 billion swiss. we're talking emerging market, even european clients. despite the fact they saw inflows from the asia pacific, which was the kicker in the third quarter. but overall, adjusted pretax profits a touch shy expected, and then we got that 715 million swiss net deferred tax benefit. so they guided around 500 million swiss. even that a little bit more than expected. also, the investment banking sector coming in slightly weaker than expected as well. a real challenge even for their revenues from the equity business, which is one of the key drivers. a bright spot obviously the dividend which overall beat expectations, even if 25 cents of that was a special dividend. i asked the ceo what's the

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i know you were just at ubs headquarters yesterday. whenever the discussion right now comes down to why the banks are most hated, and we're getting a lot of answers on our twitter questions that they are right now, it comes back to europe and worries about the european banks. what is going on? what's at the heart of those concerns? >> reporter: we've had a number of issues as regards the european banks. just a couple weeks ago, concerns about the italian banking sector and the nonperforming loans there. we're a couple of years behind the u.s. banks in terms of raising capital. so there's still issues in terms of regulation, capital raising for these banks. and of course what we've heard from the likes of ubs is a paralysis of client activity, which is what the ubs ceo told me yesterday, and they're being hit on all sides. the trading conditions are hitting the european banks hard. we're going to continue to see that. a number of elements i think playing in here, sara. ye >> yeah, a lot of people watching that. julia, thank you. >> all

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. >> traveling in a high-speed t ube. a local student is behind it. heather: a facebook post has a local firefighter under investigation. reid: the post says a life-saving drug is a waste on addicts. a lot of people are upset. nicole: several people reached out about the facebook posts. the mayor and fire chief have launched an investigation. the posts in question were firefighter' personal facebook account. it called narcan "the worst drug ever created." the post suggests letting overdose victims die. some called the comments disgraceful and say the firefighter income -- in question should lose his job. we talked to one man who drove straight to the fire department after seeing the post. he lost his son to an overdose in may. >> i was not going there to start a fight or anything. i know most firemen are great people. that guy, i wanted to bring a picture of my son when he was in his uniform not that long ago. nicole: the firefighter in question was not there. he said, "our first responders take our jobs very seriously. we have a mission to protect an

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in the last five days, a lot of them would probably go with ubs. thiem is a new ceo. until seveng ceo months ago. certain investors may decide that because of these figures and because of what they say is lack of detail in his strategy, they may decide to switch them to another bank. guy: that is what appears to be happening. people are making that trade clearly. do you get the impression -- and you have known this guy for a the time -- do you get impression he has a grip on this? i looked at john cryan last week dour aboutded quite what goes forth from here. the difficult environment in which we are going to be operating in bank. and i compare that to tidjane, i'm not getting the same feeling i got with cryan that i'm getting with him. francine: i think you're right. there is also a personality, thiem has stayed quite cool under pressure. when you look at the main issues -- there was a huge loss in capital markets. this is what they seem to be wanted to hang onto. his reasoning when you look at the investment bank's that will give him a platform t

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the ub in oo spree higan now ge wiount mur igatorn't t ofbut re heangfromheengers p beeehi. c'elethue te. ead io co w charged thers.otdg "e turned ller pear bere dge via nats ytng y wish to tell thecourat this time..." dulpreferust remnt." mao ecutor""there wars us- th s dial evid corethfoth liolce om est a so w aat coed set f.police radio: d. we havene confctim right " in all..lton standcused of tingle at 3 ffent tiinzochay..lling inju. da poly.. cking up ssengersn n e shot - matt m driving roh medians, driugth speedingng and whenme to a stedhe away ttelysheal91 r ighting wi daln.. thatasutanoubere e rs oo a m..d at idfyim yse waone al st. the mpage. - anymou passenr "ialf tedlked im saidyootthe ooteare yo" anhe sd "n" eletr onclily releas atemeyihearep soy a prinerneafct. lt'sex urt da isefo mah d.h,bc wsny he vict gliuspectioter endaltce lp. lawyfor mp made t astf at hookarkinge dis wst.lies s fitht.edgr s otd 05 lmacter fr mt wsts ve e visa e ngouto llo bl. a w shmiio drs fel heg acss e ste... inineblo e deer rep schoostill stng with only a impr scs inpulo erd tport60ece

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-(clk)cor buo tsd drea-ike sinlengf ub ls u man. i now .9 (clis) 3 hots omaown leha f e l he.seto bsmge dit msipi as a maevthat edo ay byrs.. antiootr beil er3 yld e y afs th ea iex to ovethxt wake blzardhat the ar two weekd esidents are thankful its worse le tph...sghhw s ar arlo 2weny wi 6.or w mnistarghs t 4859ws 27 lear .tuesdos54o 59 ga titolike roanreve gh3prbarama signg eod ireg riompu en e juve cyrt n ly , th3 areeptiulle flanlor tiet c. united y e eny ptseon eibuhe aves cofa. it-intarirn du s c evueery o resnsiblydi t a has me. cawondfu invi you'veier ngscovjarealong wiryert-expe nker .cahun t plet pcawhtoppr ngys thsh ki sreu ve- a acsaacedt mpwh exuspeop their bi o tt wh ofrsor srere n th y rkyse on hd o , shk.": "dn y ym some trav points." th sponsi roll eyesse the isemen.. the ofride we'reot onee s ol min o w works.blanys "tre ws e o th 1 1520a td re es tns. mi fiin . sres a e for a carer an sunteabo e arc dit. leo tha eshaith afr cessiothe avbityf cr de fro- li - all-. in eweaed say eds adardrdmoella k yso opg ns o anh

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>en tce g le fm we hcluse inteie epe co in nbury ishaencallede try ub opriss. >> wououescryo rcation?eaere'mo rothwas rug ter ta. erwas is much dust,if y iat how woulyo the btlof thegers made a "ion deli... k. sortharmeth somhayoouldstmang. anera itp. trto. 'rmaki ege tterewbl oredprio on he baclor"... him ia. e s an ible first si. ll you accept th rose? yes! ol: all eyes are o amandawas tryi our hes.dy!iv. ody hashdowantjenniferikolivagainst the the house. i don're about anyse's lationship wbebut ne n: it emke oli feke sheled.oli'rub it you, bu itllre, re fslly h. jenn: i doknow whe d't st we s i ike an ode en mwhat washat?ink think seis ice br ] dlk thibut t been espectfu ankn i'mthonlyeeling i take it rysonally fell for dy at, like,sn't the perpected. i kiike s eted by hethe whole piurof i have to figure out what's going on. t. emily: ld take heway.think e's going home

defe eys cl andeg elf, aer ing atcked a pant leki lane plead no gu tsix nyountin the atck onof bir ubs invoedn la mos oo ouaten torcle ll.. h bn unit t fureve thouin tis th irrd, a cl made largelof policecoecs ofcerswea hern radove om, e safe. the irrderhas story of ith bikat events athuntr they a with the ban. a safer lood seasoncrews are arnsas ri e p feet wa impr wi ispart eengmads vee.. ple don't o y oo insunce. thwo l. s say n't gh m to saveryce. we i . we som in w n'kemoreurha to ng are st't veonceo tou el there e ofhat shousave yome th ervact mee.. l be-30 wedny rning.hetage .. acr tonde antheyightenal foight ra brel bat ra local wadicts wit cos to icn ere'roomor imen ta ritynd wided war risay pres of te and scuan newsch ily len isdiing deeper.. fiy s we uned. 's a u'llsee on 1 s an her a lat all d ed ihere artrieshg hi vef scgu ten lo ri thter dictlls thi rmat y come the's part puiclth and enviro the m is, no of t ri until news me beosit buund , ook mediaca anto apprriat ac s t midd oy ngp .. ats neo ke ts est ha a tu i0. coralaaks kinoer st at peg stats ra lora is one ofhe l i

e areas not excted to y f veek e ub ivered shog e is it.d for the moti inpa thpikeak re.. wil ewadstormtck 13's trkicondit..joins us lin atr, t sn staed rly isafoo thing is sticki as you see, theroadare but th can or t f major highway 24 eithe siss e thf el pas tred up r go whenactiongio il heds. becae sny of t tck need ine.s pate oublasat s ... and the weads tu to ice. 011 "i d thg ar freezand ndio ita ey m '.''s0 ucks g ved jay lkkr ch thanks jd yo the the tworks o heon di. d onlit krdo dot m. thchmaacd of oo s wnd, arfodgr t. jadalt is crged wil kiinsix ople anring t ila po opened fire atthrecatis. inve y contued picking pass between shootis. no ser " lf hedl keatim d id "y're nothe oor are u?and sai"no"nd iid "e yo surendhe sd "no, i'just real tire" li da ran ve i myy. convied he s fe pr poial cefi isya in e pridt amand ssn pridpun sptoy t e tr n was ard opsiti rc thesyriim cetiwide. e cts t the does clude roups cuy eratg uc. in y 201vetonigh bicusing uz of ading more . for reetin en wspa at miaken rub crited bl cr how kehis spokmato , r aldladg the sty. thub acrreying

. >> ancnnouaning do enenrsemrot fm the h soutlicarona se r.nato ub>> ranio wo ts tmake th see cane in w alappere to icpublans de mo srate.tate haso ts t'how he wants to it posion mshielf as the -cantiruz. >> or rep mter:any an tsalys are st gyrate r for.ubio e if hshfinies third owin ieca, sheond re in h newhiampsre, and t firsouin sth ca naroliat, thld cou t beoshe mikt lyel tpathso hi st leer. >> be gaha, tnk u.yo thfor ede atmocrs, it wa es thse closte rac orhisty. t so,ight 'siowa de atmocraric pidty d t noardecllle hiary cl nintohe t nnwier, d anby a narrow ma , rginl untilate th is teafn.rnoo be srniersande n hasot d ruleout cstonteing th une cot. mpcas aignrecoved ar st wtingith c'nbs ep>> rr:orte in new shhampire today, ll hiclary n intowas disounring tanumpht. i >>m a so tlehrild th 'mat i cgomin toew n shhampireer aft r >>teeporutr: b the k staritreal ay isfter ar stting out 40 points wi ath razor-thin victory. >> tails. t>>lsai. >> ep rteor ir:evt en oktooi cton esss to ge ert thnde, a the le des gate bwille rt viyuallve enly li spt. in cltoton teday gllin nb mschc's ris he

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smith, usc researcher udy mas ea clea- hollywood is a raight white boys ub."ll eyes are noon ts ye's oscar host -- chris rock? who ld essee magazine in its march issue -- "bck women get paid less than erody hollywood. everybody's talking about nnifer laencetalk to gabrielle union." sot -- did blaustein, abc newsrao enrtent correspondent & movie ic toe an extremely memorable monologue simply becae of that particular topic" in fact... an cars proder says chris ro threw t his origal monologue... and has completely ritten it... to include th brandiit--bc news -- hollywd. we have coverage a day long sunday on krdo news channel 13 ....a the actu awards show starts at 6: mountaime. you can tune in right here for the biggest awarsh of e ason. it's time to s how u wake up lora... ian se us is picture of the moonng yesterday morning. anwe wt to s how you wake up colorado... up coloradat krdo com... yoalso ort them to our facebook paget kr thhatag colorado... for a licens n't fufor yone.... but some business oers in alaska are more tha excited to do so. wel tell you what

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ceo has reshipped ubs' focus, shrinking the investment bank. -- alpha is on a path to the apple. -- they reported a higher profit in sales. that is the bloomberg business flash. p." you have to eat the 's as well.a i want to bring someone in the trenches, george goncalves. viewing the world from 35,000 feet, the acclaimed book on global oversupply. flattens.curve are we anywhere near yield curves that will slow down? the fact that other central banks are diverging from what the central bank is trying -- what the fed is trying to do, is leading to the long-term rate and bond market part of the curve. at the same time, the bond market is signaling that the perhaps there is a policy error. so great about this is flows of capital, one of the great themes of your wonderful book. these are second and third order effects of obvious announcements. is the announcement of bank of japan, negative rates, nothing more than a flow of fun that pushes those bonds and yields down in george goncalves' world? dan: he is right. you have a bunch of other regions. a

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