on ukraine, one comment. i think ukraine is one particular area where moscow is not happy. not happy where they currently stand in terms of policies. long to medium term they think they have good cards and decent hand. but suspect after this month we'll see movements on ukraine again. i don't know if new political gambit to engage the europeans like the peacekeeping proposal is. because europeans love process. give them process they'll work on it, doesn't matter if it leads to nowhere. i don't know if new campaign of unconventional warfare and state-sponsored terrorism. there's a tool kit left to do to ukraine, low cost, fairly low risk and could be consequential. i don't think they're happy and i suspect will be changes in coming here. >> briefly. >> i wouldn't be optimistic it's putin's last term. i have book from late 2000s saying there will be no third term, question mark. with benefit of hindsight, redundant. entering fifth term if you factor in de facto ruler for med ved yef. there's none. discredited. but successor, lot of people would miss the days of putin if he we

for ukraine the prospect of not street to his cause for a long. nearly half of all russian natural gas destined for western europe passes through the country. whose whole lot in western ukraine lies at the border to slovakia and therefore to be. the former soviet republic ukraine has in recent years felt the brunt of russian ambitions following the gas dispute with moscow ukraine began purchasing gas from slovakia an e.u. member state a compressor station it was hot out was retrofitted to label what's called reverse flow gas that flows from ukraine into slovakia is then sent back through the pipeline in the opposite direction with this reimport procedure ukraine can avoid purchasing gas from its adversary chair. a lot of their wires reverse flow good for ukraine mainly because it serves the goal of energy independence on russian gas arrives in slovakia it's not russian anymore it's european. a lot of it's also has financial benefits ukraine can purchase reimported gas from the e.u. more cheaply than from russia if the engineers at the control stat

russia disguise various forms of other forces in ukraine. ukraine is a pluralistic society. there are a lot of forces there. they will fund backing from russia. us softer approach. a campaign of subversion. taking advantage of endemic ukraine weaknesses. creating cynicism. in the ukraine we see that even today nonstate actors have a lot of power. is grossly model insufficient. maybe the best level is one of the worst level of the mountains ukraine. the goal is to discourage ukrainian transformation and europeans convince that ukraine has no way forward on a democratic or european path. the last one is a low probability of them forcing a military attack. exclude,ee that if you to greatly increase your chance of becoming familiar. a second russia ukrainian war. i agree this is a low likelihood scenario. i always urge caution. i suspect that that includes most of us. most of russian operational planning and change in military force posture for the last two years is focused around a real high-end contingency with ukraine. they have to create a lot of new divisions. there is a co

ukraine is a pluralistic society. next is provocation or -- it's a campaign of sub version, taking advantage of the weaknesses of the ukraine as a state. the ukraine was consistently seeing that today, nonstate actors have a lot of power. right. the state actor model has a level, that is grossly insufficient. maybe the best analysis of russia and worst level of analysis for ukraine. and still discourage political transformation and convince, besides encouraging forces friendly to russia, and encourage ukraine that they have no way forward on a democratic or european path. and the last i will cover briefly. the last one is a low probability event. as a military annialyst this is what interests me the most. if you exclude these, you greatly increase your chance of -- we spoke earlier. a second ukrainian war. it's a low likelihood scenario. i urge caution. in this regard and i will cover briefly before i get the evil eye. >> okay. >> i need more time. in this regard, so, most of russian operational planning and change of

because ukraine is could be very much in the spotlight this year we have. tank missiles being sold to the ukrainians by the americans obviously this is sending a message a number of messages u.s. support of the regime in kiev we can go is in shaky ground right now the issues in the dom obviously have not been resolved we know that legislation has been passed by the ukrainian parliament that is essentially made no envoy the entire middle minsk process which is not mentioned at all and that's just on the russian language in ukraine that west protest i think. we also see the rush is going to be steadfast in its position will not allow the people of the donbass to be overrun by military forces ukrainian military is gearing up number of several outrages events that happened this week around ukraine you're right there american javelin yourselves have been supplied to your green when when police race to the ground their protest came being near the ukrainian parliament one hundred people were arrested more than in november two thousand and thirteen when you just ba

an economy where categorically against ukraine is economic problems been solved. or those really cold across europe is compiled from britain this really chilly that the big question is going to be among a lot of skeptical europeans are we going to have some problems with gas is the going to be regarded as ruptured to europe what's the answer exactly well this temptation will affect to contracts the shipment of natural gas to ukraine snuff gas also the transfer of gas to european territory via ukraine now we know like you said europe is experiencing the beast from east this cold wave across the continent and russia's gas supplies account for over thirty percent of the european market but you know there's no immediate worry present russia's energy minister has told the european commission that the gas transit from russia to europe is a any immediate threat these contracts take time to process it could be between one to three years before we see any effect this but experts say countries that would be at greatest risk would be the balkan countries bulgaria and hungry

connections with people in ukraine. these weren't just random ukranians. this was a ukraine jan leader who was basically a pro putin head of state. and his -- manafort's other connections in ukraine were with pro putin oligarchs and others from russia and russian interests. so all of these arise from the mandate that mueller was initially appointed, which are sort of illicit connections between the trump campaign and the russian government. >> so kaitlan, how do you see this? how concerned is the trump legal team that manafort could suddenly decide if he doesn't win this, if matt miller is right, this is an ultimate hail mary, it's silly, that he could end up cooperating with robert mueller? >> right. that's always been the concern here. and especially since the mueller probe is so broad, it seems like every couple of weeks there is something that comes out of it,

ukraine to a western back porch and there is still a war that's still being fought in the east of ukraine i think that is what might have the time to think about legacy at this moment because the next few years are going to be spent weathering and surviving crises in ukraine the syrian and he just may be his legacy is the struggle for him but i think with crean it was not just who lost it the process was very long it started back in one thousand nine hundred one russia continues li didn't go in the ukrainian affairs the liberal about it was only business not and personal not in fraternal just gas get payment for the gas that's why chernomyrdin or the former prime minister you know the gas person of russia was appointed there was the exercise of russia not often exercise or russian soft power the results are dredging but let's put it like that but i think what we're talking about putin's legacy a lot will depend on the developments in ukraine ukraine is entering its own election cycle and the problem is that poroshenko is getting huge power thanks to the new war national security he will b

is in a pre-collapse a situation or crisis we have to help ukraine but if we don't. provide them enough bonnie like we did promise we did not keep our problem is always possible they are in the electoral time and the same applies to door door for example the slightly different situation organiser by john because president aliyev refuse to accept the biggest mistake made by ear oh the alternatives are do you stay with us or you are against in my view is not incompatible to be friend or russia and to cooperate you i think many in russia believe that that arrangement was a little bit exploitive because those countries for encouraged to develop political affiliation if europe while also getting a lot of economic support from russia by any form of subsidies well they did the ukraine was enjoying subsidized gas for quite some time i think most of us also during certain an offense from russia do you think it was. said obvious way intentionally or this is just anonymous. arrangement on the part of the e.u. because you said that in the ears not going to give ukraine money pol

ukraine agreement was the all region. is coalitional decries exactly because some countries for historical reasons some european countries are obsessed about the role of russian federation i can understand why you cannot agree frankly speaking but i can give you the example of a country that i know very well i'm a personal friend the president of serbia mr bush he was in some cases pushed to accept exactly the same turkey are you candidate for european accession end as a consequence you cools and you stop your historical friendship rightly and wisely president said no and in that all the european union stopped its pressure over president bush well unfortunately the same didn't happen in ukraine and as we all remember during the my down rallies main slogan was ukraine is europe each man that russia is not europe antenatal creation unprecedentedly you saw one of the highest american state department officially rushing to the square and distributing rimini here and peanut interest there to many european and they did not happ

citizens and they need to be granted certain rights do you think both moldova and to some extent ukraine have arrived there that they actually claim those citizens of those breakaway regions as their own is too early to say. i prefer to move the bottom up or commit to we have to create proper conditions to make it possible that ukrainians for example. this kind of people living. but of course the result of the state to squeeze will come later after some i would see trust building measures been implement this is my working now all the way itself is facing a constitutional crisis for the president and the parliament being in active confrontation partially because of the different views on how to develop relationship with russia suresh it is again a major factor here. do you thing and moldovan consensus an internal moldovan consensus is possible on the issue of transistor when there is so divided and everything else well. we have a president go which is agreement we have a prime minister and the government and the coalition. which is going through electoral campaign time as i said many time

there's a gas you know ukraine has been using it so. says that if he doesn't get the money he's going to arrest north stream and stop all supplies or you know i certainly going to make the germans happy ok i mean if the law of unintended consequences and they always have a rule then rule being germans have no one but themselves to blame for that because germany and france whatever their leaders say they have been supporting this regime all along they've helped why don't regime to be installed more than doing as you see all of this talk of my down regime and there's fascists in ukraine it's just russian propaganda except that you might notice that the guardian finally notice this week that the ukrainian members of the of the bad fascist ase off. but talian now officiated with with the police as an alternate law enforcement body in the streets of kiev they are now in london white house what are they doing in london well they're recruiting neo nazis on the streets of the u.k. he's we're going to we're saying where is the antidote when you

approaching even worse the ukraine the way the relationship between russia and ukraine is extremely dynamic. basically even today it has yet to find a definitive form though. you first of course she's going to add a point in time in the past crimea was handed over to ukraine in the past from the russian to the ukrainian soviet republic within the framework of the soviet union. it's difficult to see that as a justifiable act it was a step within the framework of a single state and when one state is suddenly replaced by two independent states it's logical that both will stake a claim. time will pass and the relationship between the two countries will find reform and bounds. but the most important thing is that the voices of the people who live here are heard just to get. in the eyes of most of its inhabitants much has changed for the good since russia annexed crimea for them a look back evokes little nostalgic. skulk and that in time and again throughout the history of crimea there have been efforts to establish an independent state and in that respect we can say that if crimea belongs to any

ukraine to a western back porch and there is still a war that's still being fought in the east of ukraine i think that is well might have the time to think about legacy at this moment because the next few years are going to be spent weathering and surviving crises in ukraine that syria and it just may be his legacy it is the struggle for him but i think with creating it was not just who lost it the process was very long it started back in one thousand nine hundred one russia continues li didn't mandell in the ukrainian affairs the liberal dogma about it was only business not and personal not in for a turn not just gas get payment for the gas that's why chernomyrdin or the former prime minister you know the guest person of russia was appointed there was the exercise of russia not often exercise or russian soft power the results are dredging but let's put it like that but i think a lot about putin's legacy a lot will depend on the developments in ukraine ukraine is entering its own election cycle and the problem is that poroshenko is getting huge power thanks to the new war national securit

clean the hero by ukraine has legal rights is. that she was a nationalist here and he wanted her back in ukraine she was exchanged by russia and then she became a deputy should we keep him members of the ukraine and now she's moving to the west know she's going there very of appealing to russia there wrote her because she's come out and publicly said that she saw snipers enter with the speaker of the parliament and that fire marshal to give the ok button to go to the circus man if you gentlemen we are talking about it because it's important people are talking about it in ukraine because it's important is anybody needs to any of us and i don't know if i want to be one talking about is i know is that ukraine's feet depends on what the west decides to do with it and what the west is going to look like in the next six years was going to change there it's obvious by the west has been talking a lot that bob's option when she was in the russian jail we present. the you with the ukrainian parliament every day. is fasting. to be ok you kno

you take syria and you take ukraine the last thing the west it's all. want is peace go ahead well the problem is that the west has been involved in poroshenko and now he's getting dangerous for them he has a bad gas with russia the so-called stockholm court ruling which force us to pay two point five to six billion dollars to ukraine. and absolutely outrageous you know ruling because russia has been supplying these gas you know ukraine has been using it so. says that if he doesn't get the money he's going to arrest north stream and stop all supplies or you know i certainly going to make the germans happy ok i mean if the law of unintended consequences and they always have rules then rule dang germans have no one but themselves to blame for that because germany and france whatever their leaders say they have been supporting this regime all along they help them i don't regime to be installed more than doing that you see over the top of my down regime and there's fascists in ukraine it's just russian propaganda except that you might notice that the guardia

ukraine or the there's been a blip couple years by the said there was a blip in the. believe ukraine was siphoning off some of the little bit of it that i'm sitting ok because russia wants to be seen as a reliable partner doesn't it so to try and get this kind of the catalyst for where we are now was a recent call yeah well ukraine's nafta gas and russia's gas from have been settling their disputes and a stockholm arbitration court and in the last few years there have been so many issues and between these two but just a short while ago one stockholm tribunals decision forced the craney and for. to pay the russians a sum of about two billion us dollars that was basically a gas bill that they hadn't paid but then the latest decision was that russia's gas must pay ukraine's nafta gatt as more than four point six billion us dollars and that was for abusing their position as a monopoly and if you do that math then moscow and kiev more than two point five billion euros dollars and the bosses at gas more extremely unhappy they were saying that the reasoning for that was comp

then in one nine hundred fifty four the peninsula became part of ukraine. i a demonstration in the crimean capital simferopol in march twenty fourth team was an overwhelming show of support by the majority ethnic russian population of crimea in favor of leaving ukraine and joining russia. it's a very. i that sentiment was reflected in the outcome of a referendum a few days later. saying that's the multiple sclerosis by on march sixteenth the referendum was held in crimea this referendum took place in line with international legal standards and the rules of democracy. eighty two percent of the electorate voted this strategic territory must have stable leadership the fact is that only russia can provide it. authority before couple or the big story crises. understanding the present situation requires a look back at the region's complicated history. in seven hundred eighty three empress catherine an announced that crimea had been incorporated into the russian empire. two hundred thirty one years later president vladimir putin signed a treaty absorbing crimea in

if a troll spoke about america or ukraine, it had to be negative. or russia's military, it was positive. they got written instructions of what to present and the conclusion is that people should draw. ludmila thinks that very few trolls are driven by patriotism. she tells me it is about the money, and, ifa tells me it is about the money, and, if a new boss instructed them to criticise putin, they would. and it seems the trolls are still operating. we have been told that the troll factory has mooted this premises. i am coming to see if any of these people in the smoking shelter opposite work there and what they can tell me. the man tells me he has seen here and he does not like what they do. inside, i managed to speak to the director of one firm named in the us indictment, but he would not comment on camera its work. 2000 kilometres away perm as weathered all the twists and turns since the soviet union fell apart. it was the home to soviet factories for decades and closed to foreigners. then a dry day transformation. —— then i tried a was

because you said that in the ear is not going to give ukraine money i think political decision taken in two thousand and nine was at the all region and harnessed decision then there was always it will revert into political is. all russian tendencies these happen in two thousand and ten in two thousand and eleven and of course of your original decries is their moment or do you really knew all of the e.u. ukraine agreement was the all region or disprove its coalitional decries exactly because some countries for historical reasons some european countries are obsessed about the rule of russian federation i can understand why you cannot agree frankly speaking but i can give you the example of a country that i know very well i'm a personal friend the president of serbia mr bush he was in some cases pushed to accept exactly the same turkey are you candidate for european accession end as a consequence you cools and you stop your historical friendship was russia rightly and wisely president said no and in that all the european union stopped its pressure over president bush unfortunately the s

ukraine or the been there's been a blip a couple years but nasty said it was a blip in the past. believe ukraine was siphoning off some of the gas will come out of it that answer doing ok because russia wants to be seen as a reliable partner doesn't it so why where are we here at the moment what's going to happen next well speaking of the court decisions and what led to these latest steps by gas from enough to gas again ukraine's nafta gas and russia's gas problem have been settling their disputes in a stockholm arbitration court and they've been having countless issues with each other for the last few years and one stockholm tribunals ruling forced the cranium firm to give the russians a sum of about two billion euros dollars and that was basically gas bill that they hadn't paid for but then the latest decision was that russia's gas from must pay ukraine's nafta gatt is more than four point six billion u.s. dollars and that was for abusing their position as a monopoly and if you do that math then moscow ends up owing more than two point five billion euros dollars and the bosses

ukraine what you want it's russia to clash with the rest of the world. welcome back to crossfire all things considered i'm peter lavelle to remind you we're discussing anti russia hysteria. ok lee as i said in my introduction and we've been going we've been watching this thing unfold this hysteria this fictional. real conspiracy theory conjured up by the political elites in the media where does it stop because it seems like it's taken on a life of its own it has a momentum of its own because when you look to connect dots and conspiracy theory you can find a lot of dogs because you've left your senses ok you only see what you want to see and a lot of people are scoring political points on that journalist number one this is a this is a gravy train you can say what average you want and you'll never be held accountable because there's a whole conspiracy behind it you don't understand how deep it all is this is what drives people insane and we have it on a societal level right now go ahead leon washington well here's what i think is interesting about you brou

two years later ukraine twenty fourteen. in the capital city kiev the population rebelled against a corrupt and pro moscow leadership the crowds loudly called for closer ties with the european union. even worse for putin the americans were there and obama adviser personally handed out food to opposition activists on my town square. or putin believes that after the fall of the soviet union the united states should have committed itself to never integrating ukraine into the western camp. to hear the coup d'etat. estate in key if some some people would prefer to interpret it as their current over. reaction of the whole population of ukraine against corruptive authorities and this is a false description. february fifteenth everything came to a head the russian hockey team played a decisive match against the united states. in ukraine the pro western opposition was increasingly undermining the government it was a nightmare for putin who feared that the country would soon turn towards nato which would place the alliance just over f

ukraine is in a pre-collapse the situation is their moment to do renew all of the ukraine agreement was the all region all disclosure not. exactly because the some countries for the story carries are something the opium countries are obsessed with the role of russian for the rich i can understand breaking up the greek. manufacture consent to public wealth. when the ruling classes project themselves. with the famous. nor middle of the room. here with the south african parliament has voted in favor of need i just could see land seized from white farmers under the plans white farmers would be stripped of their land with no compensation however such a move currently violates the constitution it would have to be amended to allow such legislation to go through the motion came from minority force in the country's parliament but was backed by the ruling party is the man behind the initiative to say about it. the time for reconciliation is over now is the time for justice we must ensure that we restore the dignity of our people without compensating the criminals who stole our land well julius my

ukraine is entering its own election cycle and the problem is that poroshenko is getting huge power thanks to the new war national security he will be created police the army the security service on the other hand he's very unpopular so he's popular with washington yes that was a little you know he's actually he's actually giving me more problems coming up just to be aware of the almost every single day that you have to suffer is already being able to read that who wanted to blow up the ukrainian parliament kill the president in the way the government just a little way and then you know you could remind our viewers who you're talking about as an idea of the suction was the ukrainian troops. who are parading. the u.s. former pilot actually. yes who was. the target for killing russians in. the u.s. russian journalists. who are supposed to be protected to the press is not supposed to be fired but she fired on them on purpose. she was. clean that hero by ukraine has legal right to live here she was a nationalist here they wanted her back in ukraine she was exchanged by russia and she be

there is a gas war heating up between russia and ukraine the country's major energy firms are locked in a battle over the price of supplying ukraine with fuel and much should be paid for delivering russian gas into europe the dispute worsened on friday when an arbitration court in stockholm walled in favor of ukraine's gas monopoly earlier my colleague kevin owen and got the details from correspondent city. it seems this new gas war is unfolding between russia and ukraine the legal conflict now has been going on for more than three years between russia's gas giant gazprom and ukraine snuff their gas now the decision follows a verdict of the stock came up tracing of course they've ordered now fdic us to pay gazprom two billion dollars they've ordered the russian company to compensate snuff their gas with almost five billion dollars now these disputes their initially over gas problem demanding payments of debts for gas to live it in ukraine back in twenty fourteen after gas demanding it was compensation for not pumping these agreed volumes of gas now ukraine has praised the course deci

ukraine's nafta gatt is more than four point six billion u.s. dollars and that was for abusing their position as a monopoly and if you do the math then moscow and he have more than two point five billion us dollars and the boss is aghast extremely unhappy they were saying that the reasoning for that was completely unfair and that they're just bailing out a shattered economy which many times as we've seen just couldn't pay for the gas that they were buying now bitrate is justified the decision by the sharp deterioration in the ukrainian economy where categorically against the grain is economic problems been solved expands so russia ukraine gas wars have happened before and it has previously led to energy crises in the region those in the west as you were saying for now they don't have to worry about anything and again it's not in any of russia's interests to spoil this reputation as a reliable partner but previously kiev has been caught for illegally siphoning off russia's gas intended for europe so there have been disruptions in gas deliveries b

horrible we're talking about ukraine now the story from there at least twenty people including seven officers have been injured in clashes between anti-government protesters and police in the ukrainian capital the violence erupted during a raid on a makeshift camp near the parliament building in that camp was set up in october by activists calling for political reform the police encountered strong resistance from the protesters at the site the authorities say more than one hundred arrests were made some in connection to unrest earlier this year as well they also say ten grenades were found as well as fire and smoke ball. to hollywood next with a disgraced movie producer harvey weinstein's making an unusual reappearance street artists as a right to the golden statue of one state clutching an oscar near the theater where sunday's academy awards are set to be held and next is probably in case you missed it explains even the movie moguls name is understandably become something of a big to. in case you missed it it's also a good time and the organizers actually want to focus on the movies

ukraine's nafta gatt is more than four point six billion u.s. dollars and that was for abusing their position as a monopoly and if you do the math then moscow and he have more than two point five billion u.s. dollars and the boss is aghast more extremely unhappy they were saying that the reasoning for that was completely unfair and that they're just bailing out a shattered economy which many times as we've seen just couldn't pay for the gas that they were buying now arbitrates is just a fire the decision by the show of deterioration in the economy we're categorically against the grain is economic problems been solved expands so russia ukraine gas wars have happened before and it has previously led to energy crises in the region those in the west as you were saying for now they don't have to worry about anything and again it's not in any of russia's interest to spoil this reputation as a reliable partner but previously kiev has been caught for illegally siphoning off russia's gas intended for europe so there have been disruptions in gas deliverie

let me let me say this ukraine for instance we see that nato has already come out and said well we're expelling diplomats at the poisonings part of it but also annex in crimea etc etc right they don't want people to know that what happened in crimea came right after the us fomented it cool in ukraine which and this is the other thing it's not being reported the media but anybody can look it up it's not working out well poor shank zero who the us back in the ukraine is not very popular in fact his his. favorable rating is not only below trump's it's blow hillary clinton's he's about a six percent you to be favorable rating in syria right now we're seventy days or so into this african disaster really have one u.s. ally turkey working with another u.s. ally the free syria army to attack a different u.s. ally the kurds. it's a complete ruin and so i have been worried about this ever since well you know what i want to say i want to let on you know it's two thousand and thirteen i saw this for myself i think i think that you're on to something here but i think that it's really you know the

ukraine's nafta gatt is more than four point six billion u.s. dollars and that was for abusing their position as a monopoly and if you do the math then moscow and he have more than two point five billion u.s. dollars and the boss is aghast more extremely unhappy they were saying that the reasoning for that was completely unfair and that they're just bailing out a shattered economy which many times as we've seen just couldn't pay for the gas that they were buying now bitrate is justified the decision by the sharp deterioration in the economy we're categorically against the grain is economic problems been solved it expands so russia ukraine gas wars have happened before and it has previously led to energy crises in the region those in the west as you were saying for now they don't have to worry about anything and again it's not in any of russia's interest to spoil this reputation as a reliable partner but previously kiev has been caught for illegally siphoning off russia's gas intended for europe so there have been disruptions in gas deliveries bu