and 100 meaning ultraphysical. that is ultraphysical. you got that? now, how likely is it that there will be a repeat of the government shutdown in january? 0 to 100? >> 22. >> 22? >> 22. >> okay, i'll go half of that, 11%. republicans would have to be truly suicidal. charlie cook has already switched 14 seats from republican landing to democratic leaning. and the republicans, they are going nowhere with their bids for the senate that they have cornered themselves here. so far to the right with this destructive way that they have vanished the last couple of weeks. >> okay, david? >> 30. >> 30? >> yeah, because of the debt ceiling. that they may have another point of leverage. it is very hard to, you know, they see this election as an advantage for them. and god knows why they think that. >> with 73% of the americans in the poll wanting to throw out everybody in the congress, i think it is under 10% that they won't have a deal. they don't want to risk the wrath on both sides of the aisle of the american public and they are just at that point. >> i agre