the united states is accusing iran of many things including destabilizing the broader region that's one of the things they felt that the. did not address so it appears that the united states is not only escalating the this but continues to do so given the fact that one of the staff changes they've made in recent months is the adding of the national security advisor john bolton and john bolton is very very clear about his views of iraq he believes that it's destabilizing the region he believes that it is anti israel and this is a very israel friendly administration and he even called for the overthrowing of the iran government so it does not appear at this point although they have said in the past they're willing to negotiate with iran's leaders the united states does not appear to be trying to deescalate the tensions kimberly how kit with the latest from washington kimberly thank you kurdish security forces have killed three suspected i still find who's who attacked the governor's building in. the gunmen fired at guards before entering the building and taking hostages later s

attempts by the americans to convince them to him oppose new iran for them a decision there is a no brainer they would always choose the united states over iran and then the whole agreement might unravel if there is no benefit for iran it karsten how much support does the us president have for this tough stance on iran well that depends when donald trump left the iran the green ones polled said that's two thirds of the american population were against that decision at the same time of course nobody hears things that the iranian regime is a very good one and most people don't mind probably to put some pressure on that regime and hope that it might somehow go away certainly a majority is not in favor of war but the iranian regime is not very popular but the bottom line is that many people have criticized the discrepancy between donald trump's behavior towards russia which a tech to as through cyber warfare and his approach towards iran which hasn't done anything yet cost and phenomena in washington thank you. and with that you're up to date now on. i'm sara kelly. thanks for watching claims. climate change so. waist length. isn

>>> some tough talk from iran met with a blunt warning from the united states. president trump says further threats from tehran will bring severe consequences and the secretary of state compares iran's leadership to the mafia. >> i don't think they did anything wrong. they went to the court. they got the judge's to approve it. >> republicans refuting the claim that newly released documents prove his campaign was spied on. the president taking to twitter undoing a week of support for the intel community. >>> and a driver for uber and lyft is off the road after live streaming passengers. he was not breaking the law. good morning. welcome to "early start." i'm dave briggs. >> is there privacy anywhere? i'm christine romans. it is monday, july 23rd. it is 4:00 a.m. in the east. tensions between the united states and iran escalating overnight. it started early sunday when iranian president hassan rouhani cautioned president trump about pursuing hostile policies. rouhani said america should know peace with iran is the mother of all peace. and war with iran is the mothe

why the iranians can not negotiate with the united states what is there to negotiate the united states wants iran to give up its missile defense capability well if the iranians know the only one of the reasons why the united states doesn't attack iran what is your current have a very powerful who put their opinion professor i suppose what the u.s. and what we've heard mark pompei o said what there is to negotiate is iran's regional behavior how it treats its people and so on and so forth. well i think we should then how the united states treats its own people and how trump has divided his own country the united states is in no position to talk about how you run treats its own people the united states has its own problems and the united states allies in the region are dictatorships which intimidate. they intimidate they intimidate they they are creating starvation in yemen the united states has korea had a they had a dirty war in syria which they haven't ended they've occupied huge parts of the country in violation of international law the united states is in no position sorry to say that the iran

united states. emily: you moved here when you were 11? adi: yes, leaving a country like iranor starters, it is not that easy. especially during the war. it took a lot of time to get the paperwork done and so on, to get it out. so first of all we moved to europe, then we were traveling around for a whole number, trying to find a u.s. amber's the that would grant us visas to get -- to be able to enter the united states. we had reached the point where, one more rejection, it would be like, you can never come to the u.s.. i remember that we rented an apartment in italy, we were there, and the phone rang. my mom picked it up, thank god was her mom, and not our dad. she picked it up, and it was a woman on the other end of the line informing her that we have been rejected. so my mom, who is -- like many other iranian women, fiery and fearless, she started sobbing, saying that this is not fair, that if we had to go back to him probably die in the war. she asked the woman, can you please tell the head of the consulates to give us another chance? and the woman on the other side said, a

about the boss of the german football federation also on the program tensions between the united states and iran increases and president rouhani warns the west don't play the line style president trump tweets back don't threaten us or you'll suffer historic consequences. thousands are hospitalized. wreck or temperatures just weeks after the devastating floods. landfill gail welcome to the program german football star mesut ozil has quit the national team of what is called discrimination following germany's exit from the world cup the midfielder who has turkish roots said he faced racism and disrespect from the german media after he was pictured with president vege of type two one back in may that he faced criticism from the german football association after the team's disappointing world cup before. after a long silence mesut ozil has finally made his feelings known in an epic three part statement on twitter. it was ill said that not meeting with president the one would have been disrespecting his family's roots. in his third post heavily criticized german football association president for nega

it supports his vision to help hold iran accountable to the united states and our allies. what would this agreement entail? why would this agreement a new agreement, be better than the current jrks cpoa? it would remove all the flawed sunset provisions. it would require iran to suspend any support of terrorist proxies. it would require iran to ferm permanently and irreversibly end the ballistic missile program and would include much better verification that would allow international inspectors access to all sites including sites that are most likely to contain ill list nuclear activity. mr. speaker, once again, i am proud to stand with the ally of the united states, israel, and stand against our enemy, the mullahs in tehran. we thank you, mr. speaker, and i thank the gentleman from new york again for his outstanding leadership and his passionate voice in defense of american national security, in defense of israel and our other allies and i yield back the remaining balance of my time to the congressman and my friend from new york, mr. zeldin. mr. zeldin: i thank the gentlema

as far as iran goes, russia has carrots, arm sales, support with result to the jcpoa and united nations, its ability to talk to the saudis and modify prices is important for iran. they stuck it to iran because they worked with the saudis. were put on production and the russians and saudis said no. iran had to accept it. thatussian calculation is iran may be a difficult partner, but it is difficult. where we can support them we will. we helped them get number ship in the shanghai corporation. they have thriving train -- trade. their arms used to be made. we can act by virtue of our ability to make deals with others, we can restrain them from attacking iran. what russia is trying to do is from striking israel and israel from striking back. it is trying to be the referee in a boxing match. ever but he go to a neutral order and cool off and -- everybody go to a neutral corner and cool off. , what canond question we do to prevent that? the russians see their ability to control and escalate conflicts, not just in the middle east or the ones we know about in europe and so on. that is essential

there even more coming and that's why we see this rhetoric going back and forth between both iran and the united states the sanctions in three weeks will hit the banking sector but it's the ones targeting the oil markets that are of the most concern to iran that's what we see in iran trying to coordinate with europe for example looking for other avenues for the markets but at the same time the problem for iran is that the united states does carry some heavy weight when it comes to the reserve currency and so as a result there are many nations that the united states knows don't want to be isolated from the global financial system and as a result well iran can certainly talk talk tough the u.s. holds that card so there's that as well if you know that we have not only heard donald trump talking about this in the campaign trail dating back to twenty sixteen but he's made very clear we haven't heard from sarah sanders at the white house press briefing just in the last hour talking about the fact that the number one goal of the united states is to protect americans there is no secret that it does the

tensions between the united states and iran increase again president rouhani the u.s. don't play with the lions title president. don't threaten us or you'll suffer historic consequences. and thousands are hospitalized as japan's heat wave hits record temperatures just weeks after devastating floods. copenhagen is to celebrate their one hundred seventy fifth anniversary any day. we'll take a look at decades of fun in the. welcome to the program german football stop mr zale has quit the national team of what is called discrimination following germany's accept from the world cup the midfielder who has turkish roots said he faced racism and disrespect from the german media after he was pictured with his present time back in may he faced criticism from the german football association after the team's disappointing world cup performance. after a long silence mesut ozil has finally made his feelings known in an epic three part statement on twitter. it was ill said that not meeting with president at all one would have been disrespecting his family's roots in his third post hea

iran is the mother of all wars. so, could the escalating war of words lay the groundwork for a new diplomatic overture between the uniteds and iran or could it head to another showdown in the persian gulf area? >>> a expert at the carnegie endowment. welcome to the program. >> thank you. >> what are we to make of this? is this some dressed up attempt at bringing iran to the negotiating table or is this real? >> with president trump it's always difficult to tell, christiane because he's more impulsive than strategic. if you look at what happened with north korea, he did taunt kim jong-un a number of months before meeting him in singapore, and then he actually sang his praises. and so it's conceivable that he has a similar vision in mind with regards to iran. and, in fact, iranian officials leaked last week that president trump had actually tried to see president hassan rouhani at the u.n. last fall. he actually tried eight times to see president rouhani and the iranians rebuffed him. so it's conceivable this is a prelude to an overture. you can see him dropping bombs on iran, you can see him building hotels in iran. >> c

way that the trumpet ministration has approached dealing with iran has effectively created a stalemate because of the pullout by the united states from the deal and because of the harsh rhetoric because of these sort of psychological economic warfare that has resulted in the value of iran's currency the real the dropping by more than half in less than a year that's all created a kind of stalemate so neither party can move forward in terms of creating more conflict or actual war he said and neither party can really see how to move forward in terms of talks because the environment is so poisoned by the rhetoric that's been coming out of the trumpet ministration he also said the united states and iran are two big countries. there should be red lines when it comes to rhetoric like this so that tensions don't escalate now moving forward there is a clock on this august sixth as when american sanctions go into effect again and the iranians from the iranian perspective if they are considering that unconditional talks might actually turn into something there's definitely a clock on this in august sixth is that date. now that the u

government came under a lot of criticism domestically within iran because prior to trump leaving the deal rowhani had actually threatened that if the united states withdraws than an iran would also withdraw and that's not something iran has done of course so so iran is really waiting to see what the europeans will do whether they will be able to keep at least hope for the a major part of the deal the problem here is that donald trump does not only did not only decide that he wants to withdraw from the deal but essentially that he wants to kill the deal so he's implementing all these sanctions . maybe from his part to hope that iran would withdraw regardless of the europeans and i think this package will really much depend on what iran's reaction will very much depend on what the europeans will do on friday. from the. president has been treating criticism of opec members say that they must reduce prices and that the u.s. defends them for very little dollars what do you make of that does the president misunderstand how the oil market works. absolutely spot on he doesn't add that to stand the mesh initiations of the global oil market a case

iran does not have to respond by launching a war with the united states. iran can act through hezbollah, through any numbers of militias, through hamas. look, if this is only a twitter war, then we can all rest assured. but the truth is, there are too many, for want of a better word, crazies at play in the region for us just to take it -- to be that sanguin that this is only going to be a twitter war, that's the real fear. >> can iran fight back in a real way? >> yes, absolutely. they're conducting cyber operations, proxy operations. the challenge is i think it's very difficult for any american, and particularly this american president, to become sort of acquainted with the new reality that there is a lip tation to what we can do alone in the world. and so we should not lose sight of the fact that iran is a bad actor here, right. the question is, how do you respond to a bad actor. things like the tweet, they make it increasingly difficult to bring together other countries that might help us. so -- >> as does his terrible treatment of nato. i mean, just terr

and so i mean -- >> most iranians in the united states would like something to change in iran. they would actually like regime change. >> indeed. now, the question of whether the united states would bring about regime change is open. you also have do empower hard-liners because the people that are most undermined right now is the iranian middle. folks that wanted the deal in the engagement with the americans and now that has proven to be -- >> a lot of hard liners and we don't always calculate regime change all that well. it's always good to wanting somebody different but we don't have a good plan for what we do after that. >> the day after is not what the americans are great at. our staying power and sustainability is low. even if trump were to win a second term, post regime change in iran would go a lot further than that. who knows what happens after a trump administration. it's a bit of a challenge. >> it's not a piece of history, we were talking about this during commercial, it's not a piece of history most americans remember but we were responsible for regime change in the

states has pursued sanctions against iran in the past, it has been very heavy on the penalization phase. the united states has had very high construction costs for sanctions on iran, and that has cultivated a fear and threat that when companies are weighing kind of their cost benefit analysis of doing business with iran, even if they can competitively do so, companies may steer away from those business opportunities because they're concerned about the emphasis that the u.s. has put on compliance and those questions of reputational concern. so even though the europeans are taking these steps, i don't think it's sufficient at this time to actually provide iran with access to some of the relief envisioned under the deal in order to kind of sustain the agreement in the long term. so i think the europeans are going to need to be more creative as well as the russians and the chinese to find similar secure banking channels so that transactions can be facilitated in a way that does not touch the u.s. financial system because that's a real target for u.s. sanctions. so the businesses that are willing to go

iran was attacked it would have like very fierce consequences for the u.s. allies in the region and i don't think anybody could want that meanwhile ever since the united states pulled out of the iran nuclear deal they'd be doing what they can to try to drum up international support for reintroducing sanctions to secure state might pump has been trying to do that is he having much success well clearly not as much as he would probably want to because china and russia are not likely to go along and the europeans also don't really have an interest in escalating the conflict even further first because they want to do business with iran but also because they know that fresh sanctions wouldn't hit the country's hard line as the drug in the country because they're rich and they've become rich during the last time there was sanctions in place because they earn money by avoiding the sanctions europeans know that the ones most hit by those sanctions would be ordinary iranians workers owners of small businesses the middle class so basically the ones who elected president rouhani who campaigned and said he wants to cooperate with the international communities so if that

america's allies in the middle iran andy do not favor they oppose any dialogue. pushed the united states to go to war with iran. fightudi's want to iranians for the last americans. and in my mind, the susceptibility of the trump administration to pressure from these governments, it simply isn't likely that the endgame that trump has with these tweets is to drive things towards negotiatation. -explain who they are and whether pompeo is threatening regime change here? is the iranian opposition group founded in the 1960's and the first that started to use violence against the regime. they did use terrorism back then. primarily assassinating members of the government and americans. later on, they were part of the iranian revolution. they wanted to execute the american hostages that were eventually released by the government. they ended up siding with iran hussein,-- with saddam which caused them to be seen as traders. and then they ended up becoming part of the private militia used for cleansing in the north of iran. a well-fundedve machine in washington. list,hen they were on the the

tensions between the united states and iran are rising again with u.s.p tweeting to iranian president hassan rouhani that he will face dire consequences for threatening america. iran's state-owned news agency has dismissed the tree, describing it as a pasassive reactionon to remarkss president rouhani made. reporter: iran has a history of usining heated rhehetoric againt the united statess. but t recent commements by prest rouhani appeared to have crossed a line for donald trump. >> don't play with a lion's tail. that will only lead to regret. you will forever regret it. reporter: u.s. president took to twitter to send a warning to tehran to using capital letters for emphasis. "never ever threaten the united states again, or you will suffer consequences the likes of which few throughout history haveve ever suffered before." on sunday, u.s. secretary of state mike pompeo also had harsh words for tehran. sec. pompeo: these so-called moderatetes within the regime ae still a violenent islamicic rerevoluononaries with ann anti- america, anti-west agenda. you

i don't think we have seen any negotiations between the united states and iran to address the other issues that were not covered by the iranian nuclear deal. we have the iranian leadership saying they will not come back to the negotiating table with the united states because we're so unreliable. i think we're seeing a backtracking from addressing these other security issues. when sanctions come back into affect in august, i think we can expect more escalating rhetoric from the iranian regime. the question is how president trump responds. are we going to get into a tit for tat verbal war of words with the iranians like we did with north korea? or is the president going to consult with his intelligence community? >> the administration may say, this worked for north korea, it got them to the table and we believe we have made advanced on that front. that's what they would say. >> they're the only ones who would say we made advances with the north koreans since we were in singapore. >> thank you. good to have you, sam. appreciate it. >>> president trump is making clear exactly how he does feel

now compare also said that the united states was not afraid to challenge iran with sanctions at the highest level and he called on other countries to also jointly combine in these economic sanctions he also went on to say that the united states was undertaking a diplomatic and financial pressure campaign against iran that they were planning on cutting off funds to so that quote the regime would no longer be able to involve itself in death and destruction he also said that they were putting maximum pressure on the regime's ability to regenerate and move money now of course we're waiting to hear what other measures the united states is planning on putting in place we know for example that the next round of sanctions goes into effect on the fourth of august so certainly relations between the two countries increasingly tense. one hundred one nuclear deal was struck between global powers under iran back in two thousand and fifty and it's iran agreed to some limitations to its nuclear program in exchange for sanctions being lifted but the us you know last really withdrew from the agreement in may

it's also a response to a speech by president rouhani of iran which warned the united states in very fluorid language which is kind of typical of the entire region that a war with iran would be the mother of all wars. now, if you remember, saddam hussein used the same words about iraq, it would be the mother of all battles. everything's the mother of something. so i i think trump has used that heightened rhetoric because rouhani's in some difficulty with these economic sanctions. he's trying to find leverage to get them lifted. the europeans who continue to support the iran nuclear deal with trying to help iran with business deals to keep up the treaty, which after all means that iran stops nuclear enrichment. now, iran is wondering whether it's worth, it whether it can keep going. my sense talking to people is iran would like to stay in the deal because it has enough on its plate with syria, with hezbollah, with everything else going on, but it wants the europeans to come up with some kind of financial help to make up for the american sanctions in order to stay inside. so it is a ver

subject themselves to fake news but tried to saying this also said that the united states was undertaking tough measures against iran of course these comments has prompted an immediate angry reaction from tehran. do not blame you would be lying or else you will regret it. now compare also said that the united states was not afraid to challenge you ran with sanctions at the highest level and he called on other countries to also jointly combine in these economic sanctions you also went on to say that the united states was undertaking a diplomatic and financial pressure campaign against iran that they were planning on cutting off funds to so that to quote the regime would no longer be able to involve itself in death and destruction you also said that they will put in maximum pressure on the regime's ability to regenerate and move money now of course we're waiting to hear what other measures the united states is planning on putting in place we know for example that the next round of sanctions goes into effect on the fourth of august so certainly relations between the two countries increasingly tense. into this the nucle

also coming up tensions between the united states and iran on the rise again president rouhani warns the us don't play with the lion's tail.

may not have been doing but if you like a lot of things from the travel ban focused on iran and syria, to the united states having deviously harsher approach towards iran but not saudi arabia who had violated a lot of human rights abuses, i just want to hear that you think that the united states, the current administration puts pressure on it ran but turns the other eye to saudi arabia and is currently making all these moves simply to do a better relationship with saudi arabia? or. [inaudible] >> thank you. >> it's a good question. let me be clear. it's actually in america's interest to have a functional working relationship with saudi arabia but what the trump administration is doing goes far beyond that. frankly, what all the predecessors to the trump administration have done has gone far beyond a functional working relationship with saudi arabia. saudi arabia is one of us powerful countries in the middle east thus it makes sense for the united states have a working relationship. the other regional power is iran. this is why every other global power whether it's the russians, chinese, europeans tr

as national intelligence manager for iran in the office of the director of national intelligence and is a senior adviser to the counter extremism project and united against nuclear iran. each panelist will deliver a brief opening remarks and there will then be a discussion session following the presentation by the panelist. the discussion will be motivated by my colleague doctor tom executive director of the middle east policy council. note that we have placed index cards on all the seats. please, use these to write down any questions you have as the speakers are speaking and then hold up the cards. our staff will collect these during the presentation and give them to him to consolidate the question for the discussion session. thank you for helping us with that. but he turned the panel over, turn the podium over to david. >> than >> thank you very much, richard, very happy to be here. i must confess the last three weeks i've been crashing to finish a book on the taiwan former nuclear weapons program and i can't help but contrast that with iran. this incredibly difficult intensive struggle the united states waged quietly behind the scenes to make

the united states that pulled out of the iran nuclear deal. e united states put forward or proposed several economic sanctions, this is hurting the iranian economy. and then so you have iran that is retaliating saying that we will close off the strait of hormuz if you decide to play war with us. why that certain area? a lot of oil passes through that canal. if they cut it off, that could deplete a lot of the supply of oil around the globe. just because of these talks, you've seen the price of oil climb very high over the little while. so it's had a ripple effect across the globe when it comes to the price of oil. when enthe price of oil is higher, it's more expensive for companies, a lot of back and forth between both countries and still no conclusion as to whether they talk about the deal, talk about improving the economic situation. tweets for the moment. >> kristina partsinevelos. thanks, kristina. thank you. >> jon: so coming up, we'll examine what appears to be threats from the white house to revoke the security clearances of former offici

in walking out of the iran nuclear deal, the united states is alone on this. iran was complying..s. allies are very angry and upset about this, but there isn't much there companies can do. if you are a giant, multinational company and you have to weigh your business in the u.s. versus your business in iran, you will choose the united states. you won't threaten your trade with the world. this is the power trump is using. many other issues, the trump administration is using a policy of bullying towards the rest of the world, which i think will ultimately backfire. host: ramin mostaghim, what iran -- play in iranian foreign policy? guest: i think a lot. this is a safe haven for iranian economics, pulling out from the nuclear deal. a sort of to have rapport with china and russia at to same time, trying establish some bank that can do business and transfer money from beijingo tehran, from to tehran, from shanghai to tehran. they wanted to have their own business, independent of the international community, because iran has no place to go. -- at theaking the bottom of the -- mr. putin

doesn't like to be threatened, and he felt threatened by rouhani who said any conflict between iran and the united states would be the mother of all wars. so the president sprung into action. but, you know, he's springing into action everywhere against mueller, against iran. but not against russia, except when his back is to the wall, and he had to read that hostage video. appeared in the hostage video last week when he had to read that statement about the difference between would and wouldn't. and so i think what you're seeing here is kind of unvarnished stream of consciousness going back to the mueller witch hunt. he's upset clearly about michael cohen. she's upset. the manafort trial is probably going to -- starting today, he's got iran. he's got north korea he's frustrated by. i think it just all comes out. >> jeffrey, we wanted to talk to you. you wrote either this book of fiction about one of trump's tweets starting with a war with north korea. and you say trump's iran tweet is worse. >> yeah. absolutely. i mean, you know, look. on a day today basis this is probably just a distraction. it's

social media format so that ordinary iranians inside of iran and around the globe can know that america stands with them. the situation between the united states and iran remains extremely tense and as we see now happening the u.s. has set its sights on the us media in terms of how to deal with this we've heard the announcement from the u.s. secretary of state that they launching a twenty four seventh's saucy channel it would be under the banner of the b.b.c. which stands for the broadcast in a lot of governors this comprises different radio and t.v. outlets and back in two thousand and sixteen at received a budget of some seven hundred and fifty million dollars now what we're hearing is that this new fasi channel will also be available on digital and on social media and we hope the u.s. secretary of state say the full forty years the iranian people had been subjected to hearing from their leaders about what a great satan the united states was and that now finally they wouldn't have to subject themselves to fake news but tried to saying this also say that you know states was undertaking tough measures against iran of course these commen

iran nuclear deal. broader dissent within the iranian people. if you're the united states of america, you want to tell those people you're watching and you're here to help. >> this is the non-tweeting way of having a response to iran. this is the policy answer to why they did not like what they saw from president obama and the iranian deal there. the message from the obama administration was we get the sanctions back, the iranian people get money, the economy does well. it's win/win. they're able to rise up with a better economic situation. that obviously has not happened because you can't trust the iranian leadership. they're going to take it. they're going to line their own pockets. so that's a very sort of traditional way to make policy. just to say, this administration made policy this way, saying x would happen. x has not happened. we need to take a new tact. that's very different than tweeting in all caps about how we're going to do whatever the most horrible, terrible thing we could ever do with you. but i agree with almost everyone around the table that this

tensions between the united states and iran are rising again with u.s. president donald trump tweeting iranian president hassan rouhani that he will face dire consequences for threatening america iran state owned news agency has dismissed the u.s. president's tweet describing it as a passive reaction to remarks president rouhani made. everyone has a history of using heated rhetoric against the united states but recent comments by president rouhani appear to have crossed a line for donald trump to michoud was you know. don't play with the lion's tail that would only lead to regret you will forever regret it. the u.s. president took to twitter to send a warning to tehran using capital letters for emphasis never ever threaten the united states again or you will suffer consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever suffered before. on sunday u.s. secretary of state mike pump a.o. also had harsh words for tehran. these so-called moderates within the regime are still violent islamic revolutionary with an anti america and the west agenda you o

a war of words between the leaders of iran and the united states. i'm george howell. >> and i'm natalie allen. welcome to our viewers in the u.s. and around the world. this is our top story. the rhetoric escalating just hours ago on twitter. >> late sunday the u.s. president donald trump tweeted this. you'll see it's in all caps there. it says, "to iranian president rouhani. never, ever threaten the united states again or you will suffer consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever suffered before. we are no longer a country that will stand for your demented words of violence and death. be cautious," said the u.s. president. >> president trump appears to have been responding to these comments from president rouhani. take a listen. >> translator: mr. trump, don't play with the lion's tail. this would only lead to regret. you will forever regret it. you are not in a position to incite the iranian nation against iran's security and interests. the iranian nation knows its interests and sacrifices to protect them. you are mistaken. >>

iran. foreign policy. american foreign policy magazine. piece few weeks ago trying to answer this question that the united states takes many military action against iran and as that that i don't know and i think it's a collective notices is that u.s. military is going to have serious difficulties if they engage iran militarily iran's. reach and military ability is at a level that the cost of attacking iran is going to be very very big so we need on at least for the short media and. we don't have this out of us as the u.s. is going to attack iran militarily bigart to having a regional security outage and actually iran has been asking for that for a long time iran has argued that the countries of this region should be able to. provide for their own security does not think the united states or other countries from outside this region should be here providing security for countries that can do their own so this is an argument that. the problem we have with this issue of what they call them out of nato is that they actually countries like saudi arabia want to create this and get help from israelis to fight iran which is going to be a disaster w

also coming up tensions between the united states and iran are on the rise again president rouhani warns the us don't play with the lion's tail president try.

united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria. changing the subject. trump attacks iran. is trump ready to wage war on the islamic republic, as one of his tweets suggested? is there a new strategy to topple tehran? i'll talk to the experts. >>> and a new leader elected by the world's sixth largest nuclear power. the former playboy cricketer will now run the islamic republic of pakistan. what does it mean for that nation, for india, for the world? >>> then is the world stressing you out and bringing you down? it is for college students who are seeking more counseling than ever before. lori sanders is here to help, teaching yale's most popular course on the science of happiness. but first, here is my take. listen closely. >> this is why we agreed today, first of all, to work together toward zero tariffs, zero nontariff barriers and zero subsidies on nonauto industrial goods. thank you. >> what you just heard from wednesday's joint press conference between the presidents of the european commission and the united states was the sound of donald trump backtracking once again. t

intelligence manager for a ron in the -- iran in the office of the director of national intelligence and is a senior advisor to the counter extremism project and united against nuclear iran. each panelist will deliver brief opening remarks. there will be a discussion session following the presentation by our panelists. the discussion will be moderated by my colleague, the executive director of the middle east policy council. we have placed index cards on all of the seats. please use these to write down any questions you have as these speakers are speaking. hold up the card. our staff will collect these during the presentations and give them to him so he can consolidate questions for the discussion section. thank you for helping. with that, let me turn the panel over to david. david: thank you. thank you for the imitation. i am happy to be here. i must confess, for the last three weeks, i've been crashing to finish a book on taiwan's former nuclear weapons program. i cannot help but contrast that with iran, it was an incredibly difficult twenty-year intensive struggle the united states waged quietly behind the scenes to make sure that taiwan did not b

they have to make a choice, iran or united states. but pressure on iran economically is really going to mount. today before, these increased sanctions, they are struggling economically, the currenciy is in the tank. they overstretched themselves with military activities rockets and missiles in lebanon, and civil war in yemen. that is what is frustrating their population so much, they are not reaping benefits of nuclear deal that obama made and return of sanction money, as secretary pompeo just identified in his speech, there is 95 billion in a slush fund, that supreme leader is executing ui am assuming that money came from united states, removal of sanctions. liz: you know, sir, let me back up. if iran tries to blockade strait of hormuz, we have pipelines in saudi arabia and uae that could handle that supply. your reaction final question, to the idea that conservatives are saying, who -- you knows president trump has been called treasonnist. then the conservatives say, wait, president obama, that white house gaves there ar $56 n who is

advisor john bolton are known as hawks on the iran i was on the phenomena i saw the white house in washington thank you. rising tensions between the united states i'm to iran have course process oil to rise to the humphrey kind of smoke thank you very much yes indeed one area in the middle east which could find itself in the midst of those tensions between the u.s. and iran if donald trump made good on his threats to sanction countries that import a radiant oil is the strait of hormuz now twenty percent of the world's oil supplies paulson make a tank goes through that channel of water the strait is the only sea passage linking the gulf of oman with the persian gulf so it's a bottleneck which is currently patrolled by the iranian navy now the link would actually be easy to locate and although the u.s. has threatened massive retaliation should that happen a blockade would also hurt all the opec countries including saudi arabia and the united arab emirates at a time when techron is attempting to improve relations with its neighbors and we could expect even more severe spike in global oil prices if there was a serious prospect of that kind o