or cpap.ev thee was manufactured by the mercedes formu 1 team ander engi at university college londonials suggest it may prevent patients from needing ventilators. fergus wal much reports. -- walsh reports. repoer: this is the stark reality of intensive care in this time of coronavirus. royal suri county hospital in gilford has many critically ill patients on ventilators. >> i just remember it being really, really difficult t breathe. and it would hurt to breathe. it was horrible. it literally scared me. i thought that was it. and they were taking me away. reporter: tim hall is over the worst. the 37-year-oldou spent days on an alternati breathing device known as cpap, which pushes oxygeder pressure into the lungs. on a ventilator, which requires sedation.e >> tak a nice deep breath for me. >> just being ableo know what's going on and who is around you and that, again,k i th makes a big difference. being awake was a massive thing. reporter: the cpap devices have beeny manufactured b mercedes formula 1 inth nmptonshire. quite a contrast to their usual job of designingor engins f motor

it was done in partnership with engineers at university college london, who modified and improved ans been made freely available. as a consortium, we're really dedicated to supporting the global efforts around covid, and in response to that we released all the designs and manufacturing processes for the device at zero cost. since then, we've approved over 1300 downloads of these designs, and that's across 25 countries. the more of these devices that are made available, the less pressure there'll be on ventilators — a limited resource which are needed for the most severely ill patients. all the medical staff on intensive care at royal surrey must wear full protective clothing because of the danger of infection. they know all too well the threat posed by coronavirus. so you can see clearly the difference between the normal ct scan here and this ct scan with common pneumonia. in the sickest patients, coronavirus causes severe pneumonia. what it tells us is that the lung tissue is damaged, and the damage is associated with leakage of fluid and the cells into the lung, so it stops the lit

it was done in partnership with engineers at university college london, who modified and improved any available. as a consortium, we're really dedicated to supporting the global efforts around covid, and in response to that, we released all the designs and manufacturing processes for the device at zero cost. since then, we've approved over 1300 downloads of these designs, and that's across 25 countries. the more of these devices that are made available, the less pressure there'll be on ventilators — a limited resource, which are needed for the most severely ill patients. all the medical staff on intensive care at royal surrey must wear full protective clothing because of the danger of infection. they know all too well the threat posed by coronavirus. so, you can see clearly the difference between the normal ct scan here and this ct scan with covid pneumonia. in the sickest patients, coronavirus causes severe pneumonia. what it tells us is that the lung tissue is damaged, and the damage is associated with leakage of fluid and the cells into the lung, so it stops the little blooms of t

the team from university college london said that keeping pupils at home had little impact, even withhere. tell us more about this research. why are they saying this? j looked at 16 studies in total and they vary time whether they covered they vary time whether they covered the spread of coronavirus, the spread of influenza or indeed the sars outbreak in 2003. —— they looked at. they found that whilst school closures helped during an outbreak of seasonal flu, the same as much of coronavirus. during the sars epidemic, school closures did not have control that. researchers admit there was not a lot of data on the benefits of school closures but it shows that the impact of opposing them alone only leads to a small prevention in the number of deaths, 296 prevention in the number of deaths, 2% to 4%. that might surprise people, because parents in particular know that children are super spreaders for certain diseases. a child goes to school, comes back with a bug. but the report authors are saying that rather than disrupting education and the knock—on effects for households, we should close

i have got a colleague at university college london who is using the biggest supercomputer in europeibraries of drugs which have already been tried and tested for other viruses and other infections, just to see if one of them has got the ability to interfere with the spikes on the coronavirus. in the longer term, there is the promise of a vaccine, which should be able to stop us getting the disease in the first place. but testing and manufacturing takes time. even if scientists are successful, it's unlikely to be rolled out widely until sometime next year. in china, where the virus originated, authorities there say they have now have got a grip on the outbreak. it's widely believed beijing is harnessing the power of its sophisticated surveillance state to track, monitor and control people to stop the spread of the disease. the use of mobile phone data has proven particularly effective and now, some of the techniques are being copied by a growing number of countries around the world, including singapore, south korea and iran. so how can surveillance state tools help in a pandemic and

we can speak now to david alexander, who's director of risk and disaster reduction at university college london where he's had to undergo two weeks of self—isolation at his family home there. david, i hope that's been going well, and it's good to see you have survived it unharmed. good to see you, thanks for talking to us. survived it unharmed. good to see you, thanks for talking to usm was rather boring, but it worked, and it was successful. so it wasn't particularly onerous. my wife gave me my bowl of grewal three times a day at the bottom of the stairs. i nearly survived those two weeks. she obviously produces very good girl, because we are looking hearty. david, let me ask you about this question of quarantine, in terms of risk management. questionable how much risk reduction would be involved, but in risk management, is there any advantage to it?|j involved, but in risk management, is there any advantage to it? i think there any advantage to it? i think there is because the ink you incubation time of the covert virus is really between 5—7 days, exceptionally could be ten days with another

the importance of continuing cancer ca re‘s been highlighted in a study by the university college londonggests delays could contribute to 18,000 additional deaths. cancer patients aren't being treated in their favour because of the lack of capacity within the nhs. if there's a delay, there will be a significant downward effect on those patients‘ outcomes. diagnosis is also key. fewer people are visiting doctors, but certain tests also aren't being done. many diagnostic pathways are not open at the minute. some investigations are not available because they're unsafe to do. so, gps can't get our patients to have those procedures done at the minute, for good reasons. there's been a 70% reduction in cancer referrals since the start of the outbreak, and there's real concern that people aren't seeking help. covid—free surgical hubs like this could be used as a model for other procedures, as the nhs reminds the public it's very much open for business. how are you feeling now? similar covid—free systems are up and running elsewhere in the uk, and there are plans to reopen other parts of the nhs

. >>> and last hour, i spoke to anthony costello, professor of global health at university college londonand we discussed how mass testing can be done more efficiently. what we're seeing in the united states, the largest number of cases of any country across the globe -- and it's having problems getting tests done, isn't it? we heard tuesday that there's some confusion with which labs to be used. apparently, the federal government has sent out these tests, but they're not going any further. so, clearly, if the united states can't get organized on any level of testing here, never mind mass testing, how would any other nation get this organized? >> well, yeah. i mean, the problem that the united states faced was a bit like britain, they've overcentralized the testing process initially. and in addition, you had a faulty test, where they couldn't roll it out in any way quick enough and the infection spread to many states in the country without people knowing about it. so, like italy, spain, and elsewhere, u.s. is specifically trying to catch up. you've hugely wrapped up testing in the last we

it was done in partnership with engineers at university college london who modified and improved an existingal efforts around covid and in response to that we release the designs and manufacturing processes for their design at zero cost and we have approved of 1300 downloads of the designs and that's across 25 countries. the more of the device is made available the less pressure they will be on ventilators, a limited resource which are needed for the most severely ill patients. all the medical staff on intensive care at royal surrey must wear protective clothing because of the danger of infection. they know all too well the threat posed by coronavirus. so you can see clearly the difference between the normal ct scan and the ct scan with pneumonia. in the sickest patients coronavirus causes severe pneumonia. all it tells us is the lung tissue is damaged. and the damage is associated with the leakage of fluid into the lung so it stops it working properly and you can see this is really quite significant all this is abnormal tissue here. national data shows that of more than 1600 coronavirus pat

we have a colleague at university couege we have a colleague at university college london who is usingrope to search through old libraries of drugs which have already been tried and tested for other viruses and other infections, just to see if none of them has the ability to ——if one of them has the ability to interview a coronavirus. should be a vaccine that stops us from getting disease in the first place but testing and factoring takes time. evenif testing and factoring takes time. even if sciences are successful, it is unlikely to be rolled out widely until sometime next year. spain continues to be one of the country's worst affected by the virus. more than 10,000 people there have already died and the country has beenin already died and the country has been in lockdown since the middle of march. speaking from their apartment in barcelona, paul and his wife angela reflect on the daily challenges of being stuck inside with a four—year—old for more than three weeks. that's the outlook from spain but in neighbouring italy, across europe and around the world, governments have imposed s

i have got a colleague at university college london who is using the biggest supercomputer in europeries of drugs which have already been tried and tested for other viruses and other infections, just to see if one of them has got the ability to interfere with the spikes on the coronavirus. in the longer term, there is the promise of a vaccine, which should be able to stop us getting the disease in the first place. but testing and manufacturing takes time. even if scientists are successful, it's unlikely to be rolled out widely until sometime next year. spain continues to be one of the countries worst affected by the buyer is, more than 10,000 people have died. speaking from barcelona, paul and his wife, angela, a i on the daily challenges of being stuck inside with a four—year—old for more than three weeks. that is the outlook from spain. but in neighbouring italy, across europe and around the world, governments have imposed strict rules to ensure that people stay at home. but multiple domestic abuse agencies are warning of a bleak picture for those stuck in a violent household with

the company joined up with researer university college london to design a machine that delivers oxygen to a patient's lungs to help them breathe without the need for a ventilator. >> with this the patient can be spontaneously breathing, communicating, and hopefully better oxygenating. >> it took fewer than 100 hours to produce a continuous positive airway pressure machine known as cpap. a device already used in hospitals but in short supply. >> we cleverly thought about how we can go back to existing devices and reverse engineer them and engage those partners to manufacture them. >> reporter: china and italy used cpap equipment to help covid-19 patients. reports from italy show about 50 % ti ven cpap d ventilat. eping the devices free for those who desperately need them. >> i sincerely think it may actually save many lives by preventing patients from needing to go onto a ventilator. >> the breathing aids are being tried at si college london hospital. they can scale up production quickly, delivering 1000 a day if needed. helping healthcare workers keep their foot on the gas so more pati

potentially also very dangerous michael vale the electron digital rights and regulation at university college london thank you so much for your insights on al-jazeera now china's government is warning that the city of will have to stay indoors amid concerns over a resurgence of infections there and follows the imposition of a lockdown on 600000 residents in neighboring province it's unclear just how many people in the isolated jihad country are infected but the health commission has confirmed 31 new cases in the past 24 hours well shame is in will hand and she says there are growing concerns over so-called silent carriers of the virus. he didn't there's really no you know my. i have been moving here and there today and yesterday and i can say that the precautionary measures are very strict and we can see sanitizes are being used everywhere on the streets of the city even in some open areas there are people who are taken body temperatures and no one is allowed to come into this area without a certain symbol used by the locals here in this area and others as well every area has its own symbol to allow

i have got a colleague at university college london who is using the biggest supercomputer in europeve already been tried and tested for other viruses and other infections, just to see if one of them has got the ability to interfere with the spikes on the coronavirus. in the longer term, there is the promise of a vaccine, which should be able to stop us getting the disease in the first place. but testing and manufacturing takes time. even if scientists are successful, it's unlikely to be rolled out widely until sometime next year. in china, where the virus originated, authorities there say they have now have got a grip on the outbreak. it's widely believed beijing is harnessing the power of its sophisticated surveillance state to track, monitor and control people to stop the spread of the disease. the use of mobile phone data has proven particularly effective, and now some of the techniques are being copied by a growing number of countries around the world, including singapore, south korea and iran. so how can surveillance—state tools help in a pandemic, and what are the potential pi

additional lives due to a lack of diagnostics and treatment that's according to new research by university college london health data research starting from tuesday works and so the restore vital services including cancer care which has mostly been put on hold during the pandemic. partridge this report. britain could soon face another health care crisis not corona virus but a consequence of it scientists predict 18000 more people in the u.k. could die of cancer in the next year deaths from new cases in england could rise by a 5th of one expert has a grim prognosis about the overall number of deaths caused by the disruption of cancer services during the pandemic this is likely to outweigh the number of deaths from the coronaviruses self over the next 5 years cancer treatment in hospitals has been put on hold to make room for covert 19 patients last month attendance for chemotherapy dropped by as much as 60 percent and cancer referrals by doctors are 76 percent lower but it's not just treatments that have been affected an n.h.s. england survey found 10 percent of the public wouldn't seek help at all during

the importance of continuing cancer care has been highlighted in a study by the university college londons. cancer patients aren't being treated in their favour because of the lack of capacity within the nhs. if there a delay, there will be a significant downward effect on those patients' outcomes. diagnosis is also key. fewer people are visiting doctors but certain tests also aren't being done. many diagnostic pathways aren't open at the moment, some investigations are not available because they aren't safe to do, so gps can't get our patients to have those procedures done, and for good reasons. there's been a 70% reduction in cancer referrals since the start of the outbreak, and there's real concern that people seeking help. —— real concern that people are not seeking help. covid—free surgical hubs like this could be used as a model for other procedures, as the nhs reminds the public it's very much open for business. how are you feeling now? similar covid—free systems are up and running elsewhere in the uk, and there are plans to reopen other parts of the nhs over the next six weeks. se

discussion nobody is talking about the possible exit and the economy 1st human governor of university college london was one of the 1st taxpayers to explain clearly the dramatic difference in infectivity between corona virus and normal seasonal flu seasonal flu if you allowed the infection interrupted 5 of 10 times a move to the 1st perhaps 14 people were in cans in one case the figure of the relevant figure the comparable figure for corona virus is 57000 that is how infectious this new diseases i spoke to human gov from the front line of fighting the disease in west london. 1st you're one of the people of my state explain the difference between. their fate to meet the fact of 1.3 of infectivity fact of perhaps 3 as of the case of corona virus could yes that is way above what difference that makes the number of people who can be infected by a single case yes indeed and of course this is the biggest year it's not the fact that everyone who gets this disease becomes critically unwell and dies far from it so i mean it's probably between 50 and 80 percent of people who get this disease probably don't ev

the importance of continuing cancer care's been highlighted in a study by the university college londonreated in their favour because of the lack of capacity within the nhs. if there's a delay, there will be a significant downward effect on those patients' outcomes. diagnosis is also key. fewer people are visiting doctors, but certain tests also aren't being done. many diagnostic pathways are not open at the minute. some investigations are not available because they're unsafe to do. so, gps can't get our patients to have those procedures done at the minute, for good reasons. there's been a 70% reduction in cancer referrals since the start of the outbreak, and there's real concern that people aren't seeking help. covid—free surgical hubs like this could be used as a model for other procedures, as the nhs reminds the public it's very much open for business. how are you feeling now? similar covid—free systems are up and running elsewhere in the uk, and there are plans to reopen other parts of the nhs over the next six weeks. separating patients and treatment in this way may become the blue

well michael vale is a lecturer in digital rights and regulation that the faculty of law at university college london and he says the data collected doesn't necessarily paint an accurate picture and has some shortcomings and it can also be used to perhaps raise and lower lock downs in particular regions and that's what a lot of firms and governments are also looking to do with telecoms data but we have to be careful as well because not everyone has smart phones many people don't turn location services on and those who do maybe of a different demographic to those who don't and so this data is not necessarily a a great picture of the truth in all parts of the world or all parts of the country is the same with contact tracing apps if you design them incorrectly you can penalize individuals and even stigmatize individuals. and as i said it's able to be used by surveillance by law enforcement and for things that are completely not covert related like finding whistleblowers or own or rebel groups or people who threaten different government regimes in ways that we might not want to see them persecuted and w

further we can speak to david alexander who's professor of a risk in disaster reduction at university college london david those numbers as a say for a country of 274000000 seem extraordinarily small what's your view. well it rather depends where it is here is in the cycle of the disease it may be simply at the start of it these things don't happen instantaneously and in fact indonesia may be tracing a case where there is proliferation of the disease and that really is a challenge some years ago and into the reason cabinet minister said to me there disasters where their top priority in government let's say that's still true but this is a very different design after that to the kind that they normally deal with which are somewhat regional areas within the country this is potentially something that the entire country will have to deal with right and that is a problem is that in the sense that they could be cases all over the country but knowing about them is the issue. well i think that's true not merely for a disease or prefer any country but it is particularly children particularly worrisome for cou

also heard from professor anthony costello, director of the institute for global health at university college londond be ready for further waves of covid—19. look, if we're going to suppress the chain of transmission of this virus at the next stage, we all hope that the national lockdown and social distancing will bring about a large suppression of the epidemic so far, but we are going to face further waves and so we need to make sure that we have a system in place that can notjust do a certain number of tests in a laboratory, but has a system at district and community level and, listen, i pay huge tribute to the people in the front line, intensive care nurses, doctors and the like, but there's also a massive transformation going on right now with general practices, with the public health local authority management teams and it will fall on them to put in place a system that enables you to test people rapidly in the community, in care homes and make sure that the results have got back to them very quickly and that we also maintain social distancing of a kind, after we left the national lockdown, and

to answer some specifically on the use of masks, i'm joined by professor robert west from university college london taking some of these questions. carole lewis — if face masks were to be washed and worn again? they are not designed to be washed and one again. they are designed to be disposable. in the manufacturers are quite clear on that. to be honest, i am afraid i would say not. suggestions that other ppe gallons and so on can be used twice. bashing downs. if they are clean. is that the case? depends on the type of down. if it is a clock down, there may be circumstances. —— a class a gallon. maybe there is a way you could clean it in maybe there is a way you could clean itina maybe there is a way you could clean it in a safe way and reusable but really with these that are intended to be disposable, that is really an extremist. —— gown. to be disposable, that is really an extremist. -- gown. let's go on to david's question. he says if baysse we re david's question. he says if baysse were to be made compulsory how would the government supplied the general population when they cannot provide for t

dr riyaz patel is a consultant cardiologist and associate professor at university college london.with coronavirus. dr patel, why might minority patients be more at risk? there are potentially several reasons that this could be the case, and various hypotheses have been put forward. i would break these down into two main categories, and the first is a socio— economic factor. we know that many black and minority patients come from areas that are very deprived, there is overcrowding in homes, intergenerationalfamilies. there are also people having jobs which operates public facing and at the lower end of the pay scale. all of these factors combined increase the exposure for bame patients for the exposure for bame patients for the virus and potentially they might mean more severe illness. underneath all of that is the question of health and social inequality, and we know before covid—19 that these inequalities and health disparities lead to worse outcomes. with cardiovascular disease and heart disease, we know that the most deprived parts of the populous and suffer the most. potential

politics he's a lecturer at university college london he believes this is simply a political move by donald trump. i think this is more about optics than it is about economics there's certainly a conceptual difference here between shutting down workers from extreme i'll travel to many countries of course i'm done to isolate contain the spread of 19 actually newton substantive reforms to immigration policy trump does insist that suspending immigration is meant to protect jobs in the u.s. it's unemployment has escalated economists can debate that but i think largely what trump is trying to do is explode a political opportunity here of course and structure immigration policy has been one of the president's marquee issues since he entered the white house as reflected by well his national emergency that he declared the us mexico border wall that were to temporarily ban immigration from muslim majority countries and so on and so i think that this effort very much placed into that narrative and he thinks that it's a political winner among his conservative base there is a lot of uncertainty

intensive and critical care actually means, we can speak now to doctor and consultant and at university college londondoctor, thank you so much forjoining us. when a covid—10 patient comes into intensive care, talk us through what you would do as an anaesthetist? so, different patients come in with different patients come in with different symptoms, what people know about mainly is whether they need a ventilator, and their lungs need support with their breathing, so they are induced into a coma, but many people come into intensive care with coalbed, who need support with their breathing, but they are conscious, so it's a special mask thatis conscious, so it's a special mask that is put on their face —— covid—10. that helps them with the work of breathing, when they are especially tiring, because covid—10 causes such as especially tiring, because covid—10 causes such as severe especially tiring, because covid—10 causes such as severe viral pneumonia, as you know. you may not wish to talk about the prime minister's case, given that you are not his physician, but from what you have seen, the reports that

anthony costello is with the university college london institute for health. you've raised some pretty crucial questions, among them, whether covid-19 reinfects people whose appointi-body resp is weak or not there. how important is it to know the answers to those? >> oh, it's very important. i think all countries are struggling with how to suppress this virus. how to save lives of those infected, and also how to get your economy going again. my country, the uk, the netherlands and sweden have initially started with this herd immunity idea, that you could build up immunity across the population and that would gradually solve your problem, but because of the rising death rates and the threat of overwhelming our health services, they've moved into a national lockdown, like most other countries. >> hmm. >> the challenge is how to lift those lockdowns, and how to build some kind of community protective shield that enables you to lockdown the people you really want to lockdown, which are the cases of contact, also getting the rest of us back to work in some way. >>

jennifer rohn who is a cell biologist at university college london and i'm alsojoined by dr chris smithf cambridge. i want to start this part of the discussion are talking about a vaccine because it is being held up, chris, as a kind of, the magic solution, the silver bullet, that will solve all our problems. what are our chances of actually being able to find a vaccine, given our experience with other coronaviruses and things like sars?” experience with other coronaviruses and things like sars? i would take a sort of optimistic view which is that we have some very bright scientists in this country and other countries. there are lots of irons in the fire because lots of people and lots of countries who are good at this kind of thing are all working on it and they are taking slightly different approach has put up slightly different approach has put up so it gives us lots of roles on the dice in this game. in this country, one professor at the university of oxford has taken a construct, which has already been proven to work for other viruses and other infectious threats, and that was a bo

research conducted by the university college london suggest that shutting primary and secondary schools prevented just 2 to 4 percent of deaths related to the virus is far less effective than other social distancing interventions it also highlighted that keeping schools closed did not help control outbreaks of other coronaviruses in mainland china hong kong and singapore back in 2003 we know from previous studies that school closures are likely to have the greatest effects if the virus has low transmissibility and attack rates are higher in children this is the opposite of covert 19 data on the benefits of school closures in the covert 19 outbreak is limited but what we know shows that their impact is likely to be only small compared to other if action control measures such as case isolation and is only effective when other social isolates the measures are already here 2 schools have remained closed since march with the exception for children of critical workers and vulnerable peoples the paper also highlighted economic costs and potential harm to children's learning but the epidemiolog

deaths from cancer as patients avoid tests and hospitals delayed treatments research by university college london earned the health data research up for cancer so that almost 18000 extra deaths from cancer could occur in england within a year due to the pandemic could also lead to at least 20 percent more deaths in nearly dark those patients over the next 12 months and also 5 to 76 percent fall in urgent cancer referrals from g.p.'s and a 60 percent decrease in chemotherapy attendances compared to preach virus levels on that's as cancer expert and former doubly h.-o. advisor professor carol sykora says that britain should start lifting the lockdown from this coming monday he says schools pubs and bars should be opened by the end of may if there is no spike in the number of cases the government has not yet published an exit plan despite demands from the opposition but that was joined by the man himself former director of the w.h.o. cancer program and professor of medicine at the university buckingham carol sykora and he told me that we do need to lift the lockdown to concentrate on other diseases.

testing could provide a better understanding of the virus it comes as i could i mix from university college london claimed that the lockdown could be eased as early as next month well they say the economy can gradually be reopened using a traffic light system the red phase would run from may the 4th until may the 25th small shops and local businesses could reopen the end of phase would last until june the 15th and here families will be allowed to visit each other's homes although laws gatherings would still be banned and schools could reopen for exams and protective mosques would become compulsory on public transport. the green phase from june the 15th would then see kolb's restaurants gyms and clubs reopen sporting events could be given the go ahead you see all have submitted their proposals to the government. minister said just last sunday that this approach is not being considered when it comes after the u.k.'s chief scientific advisor says the data used to determine policy won't be revealed just yet violence claims the minutes of key meetings as well as scientific findings will be made public

to have only had a very small impact on the spread of the virus research conducted by the university college london suggest that shutting primary and secondary schools prevented just 2 to 4 percent of deaths related to the virus as far less effective than others social distancing interventions it also highlighted that keeping schools closed did not help control help rates of other coronaviruses in mainland china hong kong and singapore back in 2003. we know from previous studies that school closures are likely to have the greatest effects if the virus has low transmissibility and attack rates are higher in children this is the opposite of covert 19 data on the benefits of school closures in the covert 19 outbreak is limited but what we know shows that their impact is likely to be only small compared to other if action control measures such as case isolation and is only effective when other social isolates in measures are here to schools remain closed since march with the exception for children of critical workers and vulnerable pupils the paper also highlighted economic costs and potential harm to

now from michael vili's electra in digital rights and regulation at the faculty of norton university college london and he says the data collected does not necessarily paint an accurate picture and has some shortcomings. and it can also be used to perhaps raise and lower lock downs in particular regions and that's what a lot of firms and governments are also looking to do with telecoms data but we have to be careful as well because not everyone has smart phones many people don't turn location services on and those who do may be of a different demographic to those who don't so this data is not necessarily a a great picture of the truth in all parts of the world or all parts of the country is the same with contact tracing apps if you design them incorrectly you can penalize individuals and even stigmatize individuals. and as i said it's able to be used by surveillance by law enforcement and for things that are completely not covert related like finding whistleblowers or own or rebel groups or people who threaten different government regimes in ways that we might not want to see them persecuted and we

in deaths from cancer as patients avoid tests and hospitals delay treatments research by university college london and the health data research arm for cancer says that almost 18000 extra deaths from cancer could occur in england with in a year due to the pandemic it could also lead to at least 20 percent more deaths in newly diagnosed patients over the next 12 months it also found a 76 percent fall in urgent cancer referrals from g.p.'s and a 60 percent decrease in chemotherapy attendances compared to virus levels that says cancer expert and former w.h.o. advisor professor carol sykora says that britain should start lifting the lockdown from this coming monday he says schools pubs and bars should be open by the end of may if there is no spike in the number of cases the government is not yet published an exit plan despite demands from the opposition when i was joined by the man himself former director of the cancer program and professor of medicine at the university of buckingham carroll sykora and he told me that we do need to lift them up down to concentrate on other diseases. it's like a dam yo

to have only had a very small impact on the spread of the virus research conducted by the university college london suggest that shutting primary and secondary schools prevented just 2 to 4 percent of deaths related to the virus as far less effective than other social distancing interventions it also highlighted that keeping schools closed did not help control outbreaks of other coronaviruses in mainland china hong kong and singapore back in 2003 we know from previous studies the school closures are likely to have the greatest effect if the virus has low transmissibility and attack rates are higher in children this is the opposite of covert 19 data on the benefits. school closures in the covert 19 outbreak is limited but what we know shows that their impact is likely to be only small compared to other if action control measures such as case isolation and is only effective what other social isolates the measures are already here to. schools have remained close and small much with the exception for children of critical workers and vulnerable people so the paper also highlighted economic costs and pot

sample testing could provide a better understanding of the virus it comes as academics from university college london claim that the lockdown could be easy as early as next month they say the economy can gradually be reopened using a traffic light system the red phase would run from may the 4th until may the 25th small shops and local businesses could open the amber phase would last until june 15th and here families would be allowed to visit each other in their each other's homes although large gatherings would still be banned and schools could reopen for exams and protective masks would become compulsory on public transport the green phase from june the 15th was the pubs restaurants gyms and nightclubs reopen and large sporting events would be given the go ahead u.c.l. have submitted their proposals to the government but cabinet office minister michael gove's said on sunday this approach isn't being considered when it comes after the u.k.'s chief scientific adviser says the data used to determine policy won't be revealed just yet it's a pattern of violence claims at the close minutes of key meetings

a team from university college london working with mercedes—benz have produced a new device which has 1000 a day next week. we are also increasing the capacity of the nhs to deploy invasive ventilation. we have been buying invasive ventilators from partners abroad including germany and switzerland and today 300 new ventilators arrived from china. i'd like to thank the chinese government for their support in securing that capacity. we have developed new sources of supply in the uk with existing and modified models being made in greater numbers and new models designed to come on stream soon. the first models which have been scaled up as part of the ventilator challenge will be coming of production lines this weekend. more are to come into operation in the coming weeks are subject to safety a nd the coming weeks are subject to safety and regulatory approvals as pa rt safety and regulatory approvals as part of the prime minister's call to manufacturers to scale up production. increasing this production. increasing this production has involved securing supplies of critical components from

that is what the university college london and the formula 1 team has come up with. mercedes amg.ay not then have to go on to proper highly sophisticated ventilators, which frees those machines up for more critically ill, and that would make more capacity. when you talked in your original list about those four categories and you went to number two which was simpler devices, was what you just described the simpler device? exactly. but they're so how quickly are we going to get those in the uk, as in are we going to get them in time for this peak in the next two or three weeks? university couege next two or three weeks? university college london and mclaren amg are working on this, and they have about 100 units on trial in hospitals in london, and if all that goes 0k in the next couple of days, it is reckoned that they could produce 1000 of these a day, and that is an enormous number. they said it is more of the stock thing, and as to who else could set up very quickly, that might take a little more time, but for instance, now in america, they have vent tech which are teaming up wit

to have only had a very small impact on the spread of the virus research conducted by the university college london suggest that shutting primary and secondary schools prevented just 2 to 4 percent of deaths related to the virus that's far less effective than other social distancing interventions and also highlighted that keeping the schools close did not help control outbreaks of other coronaviruses in mainland china hong kong and singapore back in 2003. we know from previous studies the school closures are likely to have the greatest effects if a virus has low transmissibility an attack rates are higher in children this is the opposite of covert 19 data on the benefits of school closures in the covert 19 outbreak is limited but what we know shows that their impact is likely to be only small compared to other if action control measures such as case isolation and is only effective what other social isolating measures are already here 2 schools have remained closed since march with the exception for children of critical workers in vulnerable pupils the paper also highlighted economic costs and poten

well david alexander is a professor of risk and disaster reduction at university college london he is also vice president of the institute of civil protection and emergency management he joins us on skype from florence really good to have you on the program what sort of emergency management or emergency planning will be going on in the u.k. now with parsed johnson in intensive care what kind of conversations will be being had at the upper echelons of government. well am essentially emergency planning is something that we do initially to produce a permanent emergency plan but we carry on during jury in the emergency in order to attempt the plan to circumstances and to ensure that we have plans for specific circumstances has not arrived now most of that will be done by experts in emergency planning epidemiology the diseases sanded everything else that is relevant the politicians need to take the advice and way out they were tentative send make decisions about how to deploy resources on the basis of that and that is something that they will be doing. on the places of advice there obvious

politics he's a lecturer at university college london thomas welcome back to the news here on al-jazeera so he wants to see if it's 22000000 jobs that have already disappeared what's the safeguarding. well i think this is more about optics than it is about economics there's certainly a conceptual difference here between shutting down orders from x. for all travel to many countries of course that done to ice league team the spread of 19 now actually new can substitute reforms to immigration policy trump does insist that suspending immigration is meant to protect jobs in the u.s. as unemployment has escalated economists can debate about but i think largely what trump is trying to use exploder political opportunity here of course and stricter immigration policy has been one of the president's remarks he issues since he entered the white house as reflected by well his national emergency that he knew where to go the us mexico border wall is that her to temporarily ban immigration from muslim majority countries and so on and so i think that this effort very much plays into that narrative and t

deaths from cancer patients avoid tests and hospitals delaying the treatments research by university college london and the health data research up to cancer says that almost 18000 extra deaths from cancer could occur in england with in a year due to the pandemic could also lead to at least 20 percent more deaths in newly diagnosed patients over the next 12 months it will have a 76 percent for an urgent cancer referrals from g.p.'s and a 60 percent decrease in chemotherapy attendances compared to previous levels and that's as cancer expert in the former w.h.o. advisor professor carol sykora says that britain should start lifting the lockdown from this coming monday he says schools pubs and bars should be opened by the end of may if there is no spike in the number of cases and the government has not yet published an exit plan despite demands from the opposition but none is joined by the man himself former director of the w.h.o. cancer program and professor of medicine at the university of buckingham carroll sykora and he told me that we do need to lift the lockdown to concentrate on other diseases i

professor anthony costello, from university college london, said there could be further waves of these of 8a7 since yesterday. let's speak now to sir ed davey who is the acting leader of the liberal democrats. good to have you with the programme. professor gus tell us that we shouldn't be indulging in a blame game. there were system errors which we need to get right. that's professor costello. systemic or political errors? we will need to have to look into that. whether it was the system not giving the right advice to ministers or the minister is not listening to the advice properly. we heard scientists and experts say there were warrants the government needed to act more quickly. —— there were someone. professor anthony castella seem to suggest that today. we have to look at that but he is right that at the moment we need to put together. we have a huge crisis on our hands. health crisis, economic crisis. and we have to try it to find a solution together for these problems. we have to try it to find a solution togetherfor these problems. i do think the government has got to really g