: the vote is likely to be a contest between the ruling union solidarity and development party, or usdpand the opposition national league for democracy, or nld, led by aung san suu kyi. the nld needs to win nearly 70% of the remaining seats to secure a majority. this is because a quarter of the seats in myanmar's parliament go to the military. do you think aung san suu kyi and her party winning a landslide victory is a likelihood? >> judging from the crowds who receive her in different towns she's visited, even just over the last week or two, i think her popularity is still very great. i think it would be a big surprise to everyone if the nld didn't emerge as the biggest party after the elections. they have to win much more of the seats contested because the army has 25%. so it's very possible no single party will win so between the nld, the usdp, the ethnic minority parties and the army, they will have to find some coalition, so to speak, to be able to not just nominate but appoint the new president. >> some say as a result ethnic minority parties will have casting votes. do you agree?