i am vladimir antokhin, yakaterina shugaeva. in 10 years, science will defeat the earthquake.his, so i invited optimists who believe that in 10 years science will really learn how to prevent it. earthquake, this is alexey ostopchuk, geophysicist, good evening, and yuriy balega, astrophysicist, hello, good evening , well, traditionally my guests are skeptics, you know, i certainly believe in science, but there is a share of skepticism, and i have guests andrey bredikhin, geographer, geomorphologist, kind good evening, and alexey gvishianni, geophysicist, mathematician, good evening, good evening, good evening, at the end of the program our guests are optimists and skeptics. they will make a forecast about the probability with which science will defeat an earthquake in 10 years; our expert, professor kapustin, will tell you about the history of the earthquake. the chinese can boast of the most ancient information about earthquakes; they described them more than 3,000 years ago. in ancient manuscripts there is a mention of the destruction of palaces due to earth shaking. first bi