well , let's talk about what will happen in russia next , political scientist volodymyr stetsenko.u. we should not expect changes in russia, do you agree, do you agree with such an opinion, well, excuse me, this is a banality, there is a theory of revolution, then even lenin from that time, er, said, well, people of my generation studied it, we memorized it all our lives definition revolutionary situation when the top cannot rule as before and the bottom does not want to live as before and the theory of revolution, the modern theory of revolution also confirms this. well, i will give a simple example, one of the reasons for the defeat of the protests that took place in belarus is that there was no split there a year ago the split summer is definitely necessary and the weakening of the government is necessary and i will tell you we can influence this process not directly mediated by historical experience in particular enlighten russia itself and russia itself testifies to the fact that one of the reasons for the weakening and ice in particular, the weakening of the repressive appara