and they wen biden. so weirdly, the 2020 election sees a slight slide, but nevertheless meaningful drop in racial polarization. what changes is educational? and i don't i think educational polarization is tricky because it's not just education. it's tracking some referent of what we would call, in my opinion class, some referent of what means to be on the inside of american life and not life, some referent of what it means to bethf america and momentum on the inside of prbut trump begins winning. the republican party begins winning. larger numbers, non-college white people. that's been h driven by race or was for quite some time, but alsoans, also hispanic americans and the democratic party is winning college educated americans in numbers it has never seen before. the reason holds on the way it does in 2022 is it wins college ated americans. and so i do think one of the pieces of polarization that often gets missed is thi kind of class polarization, not si polarization, not material. democrats win, voter

wens for governor, raphael warnock wins for senate. those are haley voters and those are important swing voters in this election that biden needs to speaklet me take you back to may of 2016 if i can. you were working for jeb bush, i was covering the bush campaign. he posted on social media he would not endorse donald trump. he said he had, quote, not demonstrated temperament or strength of character. what are the conversations like, do you imagine behind the scenes whether it's nikki haley or other people of influence. obviously mitch mcconnell has put aside the attacks that trump made on him and his wife and decided that he was going to endorse -- >> the quintessential team player. >> i don't think it's the team player to endorse the person that does racist attacks on your life. i wouldn't endorse them. doesn't matter what team i'm on. that's one man's opinion. jeb bush is a man of integrity but he also wasn't trying to run for office again. let's just be honest, that is the calculation a lot of people are making. i think that jeb's happy to move back to miami, he's got a great wife, has a great family, and he had a good life, and he m

biden's age is a factor? i don't need to hear this every two or three days on television. wennd are asking -- win you poll people and asked this question about do you think you're better off now, do you then follow up with, you realize nobody was going anywhere, right? the reason gas prices were low is because nobody was moving. my first question is how often do you poll? why do you keep asking the same questions over and over again every couple months? guest: ok. i guess there's a lot there to unpack. we are in the field all the time and obviously, when there's news happening, we will poll on the news. for a time, age was an issue. it will be an issue for the campaign but there was a news cycle when age was the point of focus for the news media and all of us pollsters, including ipsos, polled on that. but we will probably not poll on that continually. for the most part, we follow the news cycle on specific questions. we have other questions, like approval ratings, that we track all the time and watch, because approval ratings are important for predicting elections. they are v

biden's age is a factor? i don't need to hear this every two or three days on television. wennd are asking -- win you poll people and asked this question about do you think you're better off now, do you then follow up with, you realize nobody was going anywhere, right? the reason gas prices were low is because nobody was moving. my first question is how often do you poll? why do you keep asking the same questions over and over again every couple months? guest: ok. i guess there's a lot there to unpack. we are in the field all the time and obviously, when there's news happening, we will poll on the news. for a time, age was an issue. it will be an issue for the campaign but there was a news cycle when age was the point of focus for the news media and all of us pollsters, including ipsos, polled on that. but we will probably not poll on that continually. for the most part, we follow the news cycle on specific questions. we have other questions, like approval ratings, that we track all the time and watch, because approval ratings are important for predicting elections. they are v