can he do it without winning iowa? >> i think he can. >> you do? i think if he and trump are one, two in iowa, with trump first, and then one, two in new hampshire, again, even if trump is still first, i think cruz can go second, second, first, in south carolina. i think he could do that. >> i think that's -- i think that's perfectly plausible. there really are, i think, the real action in iowa now will be for that third place slot and the question, can someone be a dominant third place if there's such a thing. but look, as long as those two guys, if they both finish in any order in any -- in any order of one and two, in iowa and new hampshire, they will come out of those two, those two races and be such the dominant story going into south carolina, that then a victory by cruz in south carolina and putting him on level footing with trump in the southern primaries, i think that's a path that you can imagine cruz traveling all the way to the nomination. >> i don't think third means anything in iowa. there's very little connection, historically, betwe

. >> love to win iowa. i could have said, no, i want to win iowa. >> dickerson: his thoughts about new terror video featuring his controversial position on muslims. >> total and complete shut down of muslims entering the united states. >> dickerson: does it concern you that you're being used in recruitment video by terrorists? >> they use other people, too. i have to say what i have to say. >> dickerson: weighs in an hillary clinton and ted chris and talks about priorities and style as president. >> i would be a much different person i think as president. >> dickerson: look ahead at what 2016 will hold for the bargains isis, u.s. foreign policy and president obama's last year in office. it's all coming up on "face the nation." captioning sponsored by cbs good morning welcome to "face the nation" i'm john dickerson. we begin the new year with campaign 2016 and one of the people who continues to shake up the political world, donald trump. we caught up with him at his home in palm beach on new year's day start

if he wins iowa, rev, it's over, he's the republican nominee. >> do you agree with that? >> you can never say it's over in politics but he'll then win new hampshire and go south with a huge head of steam and hard to stop. i don't think it's likely. probably cruz winning iowa, trump winning new hampshire and then the question becomes who does better than expected. it becomes an expectations game, so if a chris christie -- >> i want to come back to that. do you agree if trump wins iowa, it's over? >> no, i don't. >> okay, let me then ask you this -- >> because based upon just to follow this -- >> i shouldn't say it's over. i've been covering this long 234u6 to never say it's over like yogi berra. >> i don't think if he wins iowa he wins new hampshire. >> but it gives him more momentum. let me ask this. if he wins in iowa or new hampshire and heads south, it's very difficult then, but don't you start seeing a lot of the other candidates fall off and you end up with a narrower race? couldn't he get clipped if becomes a three or four-person race? >> yes, if you have a cruz/trum

however f someone like ted cruz wins iowa, or marco rubio wins iowa, then that sort of slows down donald trump's pace heading in to new hampshire. and as you mentioned, it is true, iowa voters as we saw with rick santorum tend to make up their mind at a later point. there was a fox news poll not too long ago that indicated about 33% of iowa caucus goers are still undecided. there's been recent polling showing that that has tightened and more people have made up their mind but we don't know that yet. i think iowa on monday although it's not necessarily consequential in a delegate number to reaching the number you need, what it will do is show us the strength of donald trump and i think answer some questions about his candidacy. >> lisa boothe, we shall see. good seeing you again. >> thank you, neil. >>> i had the pleasure of interviewing a lot of interesting people but the one woman i get probably the most intriguing reaction from republicans and democrats is this next woman coming up. she is the fine congresswoman from the state of hawaii. she's a democrat, but she hears criticism and pr

scala: if he wins iowa, he would be the favorite. janet: what if ted cruz wins in iowa? does it give him any lift in new hampshire, and is there any scenario where he wins the granite state? mr. scala: i do not think he can win the granite state. there are moderates, there are enough very conservative voters in new hampshire where a cruz win could bump him into the top three, and perhaps an iowa loss for donald trump might scramble things because for the first something. all year it has been "i am a winner, i' m a winner" but if he loses, that could take some steam out of the train. ed: let' s talk about marco rubio and jeb bush -- how long can they stay in. they have the financial resources versus chris christie and john kasich, who have less financial resources. how can survive if they don' t win either iowa or new hampshire? mr. scala: the nightmare for the republican elites is jeb bush will lose, and when he loses, he will take marco rubio down with him. you see ads going after marco rubio. rather than fire directed at trump, the establishment candidates are firing at

i'd love to win iowa. i should say to you that, well, if i do well there, i'm very happy. but i'd really like to win it, to be honest with you. >> let me ask about some reports. i have comments by jeb bush, mike huckabee, chris christie, carly fiorina, marco rubio, john kasich all attacking you. pretty predictable, considering you're in the lead. on top of that you have a politico report saying top establishment players you may inflict lasting damage to the republican brand and they're planning to launch an anti-trump vehicle to pummel you. so in the closing days of this campaign leading into the iowa caucuses, obviously rhetoric is getting ratcheted up, a lot of money is being spent. tell us your strategy to combat that. >> well, look, there's a lot of people that this has never happened before. i don't want any money. i'm self-funding my own campaign. i'm putting up my own money. we're taking ads and putting a lot of money into them. i don't need people's money. the lobbyists don't want me because they want to give a lot of money so they can control the candidate. the spe

now downplaying expectations and warned iowa pastors trump could win it all. >> if donald wins iowa, he has a substantial lead in new hampshire, if he went onto win new hampshire as well, there's a very good chance he could be unstoppable and be our nominee. >> reporter: cruz is openly trying to downplay expectations of winning any of the first four states to vote. >> we are running a national campaign. from the beginning we've said no state is a must-win for us. >> reporter: george pataki who dropped out endorsed rubio who is selling himself as the candidate who reunite the right. >> i will win the election, unite the republican party. >> reporter: donald trump drew a big crowd and took a shot from several women's pro-life groups. concerned women of america, right to life find trump unacceptable because of his past pro-choice positions and his treatment of women. in marshalltown, carl cameron, fox news. lou: the race heating up, turning now to the democrats where there is plenty of heat as well. hillary clinton is struggling to defend her use of her private e-mail server for official

donald trump may still want to win iowa and may be trying to win iowa. he is trying to lay the ground work for a potential loss saying the media is hyping it up too much. if he does lose by a couple of points, he'll take it in stride and move on to the next state. whether that will work for him remains to be seen. he has been campaigning on being a winner. if he loses iowa, he is in iowa a loser out there. how that will change his position in the mind of his supporters, we'll have to find out. i don't think it will be that big of a deal if he loses iowa. i think if he loses a couple of points, he will be fine. he does know it will be a hard state to take away from ted cruz. >> thank you so much, katy tur. hillary clinton was heckled during a rally in new hampshire this weekend by a republican state representative who told reporters she wanted to ask hillary about allegations against her husband. it was quite a scene. let's watch it. >> i'm not going to take your question because other people have been -- yes. right there we'll bring you a microphone. her

when you talk to the sanders people they don't say when we win iowa but they say when we do well here and then we do really well and win new hampshire, they think that will completely change the dynamic of the race. >> we were talking before and john roberts were explaining how microsoft is going to attempt to tally this or at least bring this into the modern digital age which could have drawbacks, in that event and polls are so -- >> what? >> polls are inexpeact here, wh do you envision happening? how is this counting going to go? what do you forecast? >> reporter: you know, the iowa caucuses i've been to, you sit around, a few people speaking on behalf of this or that candidate get up and then in a lot of these caucuses they've taken sheets of paper and torn them into little squares and pass them around and you write who you vote for and then they pass a basket like in church and you put it in. then they count it up and they phone it in to the central headquarters. we're talking really low tech with the exception of the telephone. obviously they had a huge problem on the republican

and i really want to win iowa. u know, people say, oh, well, just say you want to do well in iowa. just say you want to do well. that way in the end if you come in second or third or fourth, you can say -- i say, i want to win iowa. we have a great relationship with the evangelicals, like fantastic. and with the tea party. with everybody in iowa. and i really want to win it. i mean, to me, this is going to be fun. i'm going to be here a lot. i'm going to be here so much in the next two weeks, you're going to be sick of me. you're going to say, oh, i can't stand him! i don't want to see him anymore. look at those beautiful hats. "make america great again." they're "make america great again" hats. that's a real one. that's one made in the usa. i know the difference. those aren't made in the usa. they're not mine. they have the right slogan. you know the problem? these hats have become so hot -- that's why i immediately love this guy. the hats have become so hot that "the new york times" did a story -- it's one of the

and i really want to win iowa." tim: trump is renting out an iowa movie theater and offering tickets to a screening of "13 hours." the movie.... released nationwide today... depicts benghazi that ambassador chris stevens and three other americans. co-chair says the movie is playing at theater in des those involved have said the movie steers clear of any partisan politics. jenna: race... but senator lindsey graham is ready to throw his support behind a candidate. graham endorsed jeb bush for president today. the south carolina senator dropped out of the presidential race last month. according to a source-- national security has always been the most important issue for graham... and he thinks the former florida governor should be the next republican nominee. jenna: ted cruz may be facing a lawsuit which aims to derail his campaign a texas attorney has formally filed a lawsuit against cruz, saying he should be disqualified from the presidential race because he isn't a natural born citizen. cruz was born in canada to an

and if we win iowa and new hampshire, we've got a real path towards victory. >> sanders says winning both could give him momentum to winniwin ing super tuesday. clinton camp believe it is has a firewall with african-american voters. clinton clinton's, sanders leads in the granite state. >> he went to new hampshire to campaign for me. he's going to be in iowa on thursday. >> beyond the polls show that many voters do not trust or like clinton. >> i'm leaning towards voting for bernie sanders at this point. mostly because of this issue. i believe that the large banks need to be broken up. >> i have just as much passion and just as much frustration. >> sanders has gotten over two million individual campaign contributions, more than then senator barack obama in his historic 2008 campaign. >> i never would have believed when we began this campaign we would end up receiving more individual contributions than any candidate in the history of the united states. >> clinton still outraised sanders, raking in $112 million. but he has more donors giving smaller chunks. a sign of more enthusiasm. p

party wins out of iowa -- if a tea party candidate wins out of iowa? eric: whether it is an the caucus is a tremendous ways for people to meet candidates face to face and iowans take that response ability seriously. and i think that national folks appreciate that it is not our job necessarily to select the candidate, it is our job to stacey: we will stacey: welcome back to kcci 8 news "close up." joining me tom henderson and eric woolson. donald trump is a top pick for any republicans. -- many republicans. but a lot of political analysts thought that his campaign would have gone away by now. should the campaign be worried that he has grown in popularity? i do not know if they should be worried or not. hillary claim, maybe i am worried if i am other political candidates, but maybe we misread his campaign from the start. how long he was going to stay in , what was going to finish him off. and so, i have had the most difficult time in making predictions with donald trump over the past five months and i am not sure where we go. stacey: tom, as a democrat,

a win in iowa depends on making sure young voters come out. there's a sense of urgency in the clinton camp. >> go out and stand up for me on monday night. >> reporter: it may all come down to swaying those still undecided. what will help you make your decision by monday? >> i just want to get a sense for the things clinton and sanders -- just a gut feeling in terms of who will be the best -- who will forward. >> reporter: tomorrow both candidates will crisscross the state. they have seven events between the two of them. >> makes for a busy sunday. stay with us. >>> the republican race in iowa is also tight. the real battle may be for second place. that match playing out between ted cruz and marco rubio. hallie jackson has more tonight. >> reporter: from the air and on the ground, the war to win iowa with more than 40 stops as republicans battle it out for the support of people like neil gross. >> it goes with the feeling of who i think is going to be the right guy. >> reporter: he is on the front lines, sampling speeches. >> i hate to say this

what is ted cruz doing to win iowa? >> well, i tell you, we got about 12,000 volunteers out knocking on doors, making phone calls. over 700 people came to a place called camp cruz. that's a place where people from out of state can stay in a dormitory. they get up every morning at 7:00, fan out all day, then come back and get some rest and they're back at it the next day. ted cruz is right now 22-county tour which will finish up our 99 counties in iowa. because we think it is important to meet as many voters face to face as possible that you really can't win an iowa caucus but just appearing on television interviews. you have to be really interviewed by the people of iowa. >> what's interesting though is the fact that ted cruz has dropped in the last few weeks from 27% according to a fox news poll to 23%. and donald is only going up. to what do you attribute that, rick? >> well, couple of things. polls -- it is fox news poll so i won't disregard your poll here but it does project a rather large turnout as was said by car

>> i do think cruz is going to give him a run for his money in iowa, cruz may not win iowa but iowa is all about getting people out to the caucuses and i still see no evidence that his supporters are going to be out there. because historical they have not. so he could lose numbers there. i think he is going to do much better in new hampshire. but you have people living up in new hampshire as you mentioned chris christie or john kasich, you add some of their numbers together and they do give trump a run for his money. i do think he is going to find as the race winnows down that he doesn't have the support he needs. i'm sticking with it, i'm the only one left. >> the cnn numbers suggest trump was down 10 in the beginning of january now up 10. what can we point to as far as pushing the numbers, is it the question of cruz's eligibility, that cruz's temperament that he doesn't get along with anybody? are the negative ads having an impact? >> i think all of the above. and that he took money from wall street, it wasn't just trump jumping on the band wagon, it was also the new york times and p

cruz wins one with iowa. trump wins one with new hampshire. that sets up south carolina. e's a chance there to undo cruz's victory in iowa by winning south carolina. very similar heavy with evangelical voters. if cruz can't take the iowa win d parlay it to a win in south carolina, if he could win new hampshire and stop them in south carolina, that would derail cruz. >> the cruz does get that win in iowa, that get give him so momentum. >> that also brings us to the third step here, which is basically look, if the establishment, the so-called republican party accomplishment, this is something we have started to see in the last few days. if they are forced into situation where they have to choose, it's trump or cruz. it's no one else. forget bush, christie. does trump have an opportunity if he lost iowa, south carolina to cruz. do the party elites say we got to go with trump? they all flock to him. >> the key thing to remember is even if he comes out of those contests, iowa, new hampshire and south carolina with one win. he then goes to the primary, the south, where he is pol

nominee, wins iowa, iowa remains relevant. >> thank you so much, all of you.nt obama's push to close the wage gap between men and women, holding companies accountable making sure employees get equal pay for equal work. be right back. ...reinvented. sophistication... ...redefined. introducing the all-new lexus rx and rx hybrid. agile handling. available 12.3-inch navigation screen and panorama glass roof. never has luxury been this expressive. this is the pursuit of perfection. ♪ lost shipments, international regulations, security breaches, lost revenue lost respect. well crafted solutions for today's problems in commerce. pitney bowes, the craftsmen of commerce. how do robots work? ♪ you need a team... ...working together... ♪ ...doing all kinds of jobs. and the best place to find the job that's right for you is on the world's number-one job site. indeed. how the world works. every insurance policy has a number. but not every insurance company understands the life behind it. for those who've served and the families who've supported them, we offer our best serv

i think we have a good chance of winning iowa, i would like to. tight never iowa and now you are ahead by a little more, why do you think that? >> well, i think that ted cruz has been severely affected by the goldman sachs loans, which he didn't disclose, and it was on his personal financial form and the citibank loans he didn't been a mistake? >> it could have been but it is two loans, give me a break, okay an he is supposed to be robin hood for everybody, he didn't disclose it because he didn't want with to say he is dealing with the bankers, remember he says he sold his assets much more important is the whole fact he was born in canada. and he was a citizen of canada until a -- a certain time ago and there are constitutional lawyers coming out, lawrence tribe is sort of a middle ground, numbers he says it is untested but many lawyers coming, top constitutional lawyers that ted cruz can't run for president and be president because of the fact he was born in canada. >> dickerson: in your rallies you talk to people and if talk to people that talk to, go to your rallies and they like yo

if donald trump wins iowa and wins new hampshire, this theory that has been dominating the party that he's simply going to melt away somehow, that becomes hard to sustain. the great question mark has been, maybe he won't win iowa. maybe someone who appeals to the more religiously traditional portion of iowa could win. all he has to do is shave off 2%, 4%. it depends on which poll you look at the. but he doesn't have to crush him. he doesn't have to damage him. he just has to shave him. if trump wins iowa and then -- i think it's pretty generally expected that he will go on and win new hampshire. how does this race recover from that from the point of view of any of the other republican candidates. and although i think cruz was dominant and correct and witty, trump continued to sew the seeds of doubt while denying he was doing it. >> and casey, does the cruz campaign point to -- if they can pull out a win in iowa, where do they point on the electoral map to their next win? >> south carolina, lawrence. right where we're standing tonight. i mean, the question, i think, that overrides a lo

in iowa and a win in new hampshire. f donald trump can pull this off, hold on in iowa with that lead he has off now in new hampshire that's what he has been poised to do. no one has ever done that before. >> steve kornacki, we will see, it's coming up shortly. thanks so much. >>> much more ahead this hour on msnbc. today the children of flint michigan will be able to get free lead testing and a local school's fallout from the water contamination crisis continues there. >>> plus day three of the snow cleanup from new york to washington, d.c. some streets are still impassable. we have the story covered from the airports to the shuttered nations capital. next. hey pal? you ready? can you pick me up at 6:30? ah... (boy) i'm here! i'm here! (cop) too late. i was gone for five minutes! ugh! move it. you're killing me. you know what, dad? i'm good. (dad) it may be quite a while before he's ready, but our subaru legacy will be waiting for him. (vo) the longest-lasting midsize sedan in its class. the twenty-sixteen subaru legacy.

insane but it' s true. >> sanders has replicated part of the obama coalition that allowed obama to win iowa in 2008. he has not replicated all of it. janet: what do you think the 1, 2, 3 will be in iowa for the republicans. >> donald trump will be number one. >> you may get bernie, buddy, misery loves company. >> what you think of hillary clinton in iowa? >> i think she will close it out but i will not make that call. i still think that' s a possibility. steve wynn and they both claim victory. does this damage the relationship of boston with the wynn casino. permits and the mayor gets his money gets his legal fees paid and gets the infrastructure improvements. it matters to charlestown. they would not be happy unless it is probably the best scenario for everybody. $1.7 billion project goes green light. 25 million has been committed. i think on top of the ge deal, the mayor will win this one. it' victory. open for business. janet: latin school racial problem? this is a problem. the mayor is working with administrators at the school in terms of dealing with it. i think the social media aspect

and i hope i win iowa. if i don't win, that can also happen and i go right to new hampshire where we're doing great. i go right to south carolina where we're doing great. in nevada we're leading big and we go to the s.e.c. we're leading big. but i would love to win iowa. i've spent a lot of time here. >> your chief competitor is ted cruz. you've brought up in the canadian citizenship issue. but let me ask you your opinion. do you believe he is constitutionally eligible? >> i would say that i would nt the supreme court to rule because they haven't ruled. when you look at lawrence tribe of harvard say that it's a real question and a real problem, look, if ted wins, he's been very nice to me, i've been very nice to him. but if ted wins, becomes the nominee, day one he's going to be sued by the other party. >> do you think it's between you and him at this point? do you buy the idea? >> no. >> most every poll now it is one-two, you and him? >> no, i don't think so. i think other people could sneak up. some are do

the only way to win in iowa. is to demonstrate the how many illty and the respect to the voters, to come and ask for their support. i don't think anyone will win new hampshire or iowa from a tv studio in new york or washington. it's got to be on the ground. and it's got to be person to person. friend to friend, neighbor to neighbor. our campaign is a grassroots campaign. that's the strength of it. >> i heard you with the reporters, by the way, you're right, the questions were shorter in the cold. i heard you answer a question about governor brandstet in iowa, saying you have to be defeated. but tonight, sarah palin is endorsing donald trump. obviously you can't characterize her as establishment. what's your reaction? >> listen i love sarah palin, she's a friend of mine. i would not be in the u.s. senate if it were not for sarah's friendship and her incredible support. whatever she chooses to do in 2016, i will always be a big fan of sarah palin's. >> last thing, now you bring up donald trump on the stump. without

if he doesn't win iowa is that a fatal blow for him? where is his place in this? think the stakes for both donald trump and ted cruz are incredibly high because they have staked so much on iowa, and ted cruz, in particular, his entire message has been, geared toward saying i am the most conservative person in the race and he tailored it very specifically to that the grass roots activists there and the tea parties and the evangelicals, so if you can't win iowa where do you win? you know, and that is going to be the big blow to him, if he doesn't come out on top going into new hampshire and no one wants to go into new hampshire with a negative momentum, you know,. >> there is a point though i think it is an interesting question about trump, you are asking him a -- his entire campaign is based on this idea he is a winner, he brags about it on the stump, everything is about his high poll numbers, and something that really fascinating to watch him if he loses an early primary like iowa does it collapse on himself, the fact he is mann festing not a winner and beat by te

after iowa, a big shake-up. good to win but winning iowa is not everything. >> can't trust the other two with this next one, staying with you. >> great. >> after what we saw with trump and jeb where trump -- i know you're sick of it but saying it again, trump looks at jeb and says, who's talking, me or you, jeb, me or you? and she gives a little of that action, which is what jeb bush said, and i say this is a new jeb bush who decided to be the anti-trump, and it is going to give him a boost. yes or no, amanda? >> yeah. i mean, it's always good to see jeb assert himself on the national stage. i think a lot of people are waiting to see real personality come out and the less guarded jeb bush is the better it is for him. that said, i still think it's a bad idea for jeb bush to define his candidacy via trump. be his own man. quick looking back on his florida run, trying to run with that, and get in the middle of that. >> anna, you're close, of course, to jeb bush. was that the moment in the last cnn debate where he found his sea