economist ed yardeni also points to the recent increase in weekly jobless claims and weakness in the auto sector because of parts shortages in japan. >> the auto industry actually saw a very sharp drop in production in april and, as a result of that, they're not hiring and they're holding back 'til they can get the parts. so, i think, when you add it all up, we're probably looking at a soft patch lasting through the end of the summer. >> reporter: and, don't forget those higher prices at the pump. some say they've upset our financial state of mind. >> we all drive down the road and we see that price all the time, and so it gives an immediate sense of how things are doing and how were doing. and, at $4 a gallon, a lot of people are hurting and they cut back. >> reporter: other experts are more optimistic about the economy right now. they point to the stock market's resiliency and strong corporate profits. even with significant headwinds, expectations for second quarter profits continue to improve. at the beginning of the year, analysts predicted a 10.6% gain in s&p 500 earnings in q2,