1 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,000 >> WELCOME BACK TO OUR SPECIAL 2 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,000 COVERAGE OF THE IOWA CAUCUSES, 3 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:47,000 I'M JEELGT JOHN SIEGENTHALER IN NEW 4 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,000 YORK ALONG WITH ALI VELSHI IN 5 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:52,000 IOWA. 6 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,000 TED CRUZ SEEMS TO BE ON TOP BY A 7 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:55,000 VERY SLIM MARGIN. 8 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,000 NOW LOOK AT THE DEMOCRATS. 9 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,000 AND HILLARY CLINTON AHEAD 53% 10 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:03,000 TO 47%, THIS IS WITH 23% OF THE 11 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,000 PRECINCTS REPORTING. 12 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,000 ALI, SO THIS HAS BEEN AT LEAST 13 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,000 FOR THE LAST 20 MINUTES THIS IS 14 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:12,000 WHAT WE'VE SEEN. 15 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,000 >> THAT'S RIGHT. WHAT YOU HAVEN'T SEEN YET IS 16 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:19,000 PALL COUNTY, DES MOINES, WHERE 17 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,000 THAT DEMOGRAPHIC WILL CHANGE A 18 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,000 LITTLE BIT PERHAPS TO BERNIE 19 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:24,000 SANDERS. 20 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:25,000 WE KNOW IT'S EARLY. 21 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:26,000 WHAT'S MORE INTERESTING IS LOOK 22 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,000 DOWN THE TICKET ON BOTH SIDES 23 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:31,000 ON BOTH SIDES THE DEMOCRATIC 24 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:36,000 TICKET MARTIN O'MALLEY NOT 25 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:41,000 REGISTERING A PERCENT YET. 26 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,000 WHAT DONALD TRUMP AND TED CRUZ 27 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:46,000 ARE DOING AFTER THAT RAND PAUL. 28 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,000 THE MORE ESTABLISHMENT 29 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:50,000 CANDIDATES NOT REGISTERING 30 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,000 VIRTUALLY NOT REGISTERING AT 31 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,000 ALL. IN FACT YOU DON'T SEE MIKE 32 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,000 HUCKABEE ON THAT LIST, JOHN 33 00:01:55,000 --> 00:02:00,000 KASICH YOU SEE CARLY FIORINA 34 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:02,000 JUST STRETCHING UP. 35 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:03,000 SOME OF THOSE CANDIDATES AREN'T 36 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,000 EVEN HERE TODAY JOHN. 37 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,000 JOHN KASICH, JEB BUSH, CHRIS 38 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:09,000 CHRISTIE THEY DIDN'T EVEN COME 39 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:10,000 HERE. THEY ARE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE RIGHT 40 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,000 NOW TODAY GETTING READY FOR THE 41 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:14,000 NEXT CONTEST ON FEBRUARY 9th. 42 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:17,000 THE BATTLE FOR TOP OF SPOT STILL 43 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,000 PLAYING OUT STILL TOO EARLY TO 44 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,000 TELL. WE MO WHO THE LIKELY WINNERS ARE 45 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:24,000 ON BOTH OF THESE CONTESTS. 46 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:27,000 ON THE DEMOCRATIC SITE IT'S ONE 47 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:32,000 OFSIDES IT'S ONEOF TWO PEOPLE. 48 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,000 AND REPUBLICAN STILL YET TO BE 49 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,000 SEEN JOHN. >> THERE WERE PROBLEMS FROM THE 50 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:39,000 RESULTS WITH THE VOTE TOTALS 51 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,000 FROM THE CAUCUSES. 52 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:45,000 HAVE YOU HEARD OF ANY PROBLEMS 53 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:46,000 YET? 54 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:47,000 >> NO, NO BALLOTS SHOULD BE 55 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,000 LEAVING THE BALLOTING PLACES, SO 56 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,000 ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE THERE 57 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:56,000 AREN'T BALLOTS, IT IS A HAND 58 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,000 VOTE. SENDS IN THE DATA, WHAT THEY'LL 59 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,000 DO ASK THE MICROSOFT CAN CAPTURE 60 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:03,000 WHETHER OR NOT THERE WERE 250 61 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,000 PEOPLE IN THE CAUCUS, THEY CAN'T 62 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,000 REGISTER 275 VOTES BUT THERE 63 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:09,000 ARE -- IT'S STILL SUBJECT TO 64 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,000 ROUNDING ERRORS AND COUNTING 65 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:13,000 ERRORS AND THINGS LIKE THAT. 66 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:14,000 WHAT WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO DO IS 67 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:17,000 GET RESULTS IN IN A MORE SPEEDY 68 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:19,000 FASHION. WHAT ARE YOUR NUMBERS SHOWING? 69 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:20,000 ABOUT 25% OF THE DEMOCRATS IN 70 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:23,000 RIGHT NOW AND ABOUT 17% ROUGHLY 71 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,000 YOUR NUMBERS ARE A LITTLE BIT 72 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:27,000 DIFFERENT THAN MINE BECAUSE WE 73 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,000 ARE USING DIFFERENT SOURCES. 74 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,000 IT'S MOVING FAIRLY QUICKLY JOHN. 75 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:34,000 >> DAVID WHAT MAKES THIS 76 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,000 CONTEST IN IOWA SO IMPORTANT 77 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:37,000 GOING FORWARD? 78 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:38,000 >> LET'S START WITH THE 79 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:39,000 DEMOCRATS BECAUSE AGAIN THESE 80 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,000 ARE THE NUMBERS THESE ARE 81 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,000 REPRESENTING THE DELEGATES 82 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,000 HILLARY CLINTON WITH 140, BERNIE 83 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:46,000 SANDERS 125. 84 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,000 KEEP IN MIND THAT THE BIGGEST 85 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,000 COUNTIES WHERE BNDERS EXPECTING 86 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:53,000 TO DO WELL, IOWA CITY FOR 87 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:58,000 UNIVERSITY OF IOWA, WHY STATE IS 88 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,000 LOCATED, THESE NUMBERS HAVEN'T 89 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:03,000 COME IN SO THESE NUMBERS ARE 90 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:04,000 GOING TO BE MISLEADING. 91 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:07,000 ON THE REPUBLICAN SIDE, A 92 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:11,000 KNOWLEDGE SHIPUP BETWEEN TWO 93 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:12,000 REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES, DONALD 94 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:16,000 TRUMP AND TED CRUZ, HOPING THAT 95 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,000 A GUY LIKE MARCO RUBIO OR JEB 96 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,000 BUSH OR CHRIS CHRISTIE CAN 97 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:24,000 SOMEHOW BREAK IN TO THE TOP 98 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,000 TIER. THESE RESULTS AFTER A YEAR, THE 99 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:28,000 CANDIDATES ARE MEETING THE 100 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,000 PEOPLE LOOKING THEM IN THE EYE. 101 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,000 AND THAT'S WHY TONIGHT'S 102 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,000 JUDGMENT IS SO IMPORTANT FOR THE 103 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:38,000 REST OF THE WORLD. 104 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:40,000 ♪ THIS LAND IS YOUR LAND ♪ 105 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,000 ♪ THIS LAND IS MY LAND. 106 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:44,000 >> IT HAS ALREADY BEEN ONE OF 107 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:47,000 THE QUIRKIEST AND UNPREDICTABLE 108 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:49,000 PRESIDENTIAL RACES IN DECADES. 109 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:52,000 >> WHAT THE HELL DO WE HAVE TO 110 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,000 TALK SO MUCH, JUST DO IT RIGHT? 111 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,000 >> THE RESULTS WILL BEGIN TO 112 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,000 ANSWER SOME KEY QUESTIONS. 113 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,000 HOW VULNERABLE IS THE POLITICAL 114 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:03,000 ESTABLISHMENT? >> YOU KNOW BEFORE IT WAS CALLED 115 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,000 OBAMACARE IT WAS CALLED HILLARY 116 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,000 CARE. >> AND WHAT'S THE DEPTH AND 117 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,000 DURATION OF VOTER ANGER? 118 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,000 FOR THE CANDIDATES A WIN OR 119 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,000 SURPRISINGLY STRONG FINISH 120 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:18,000 TONIGHT WILL MEAN A BONANZA OF 121 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,000 MEDIA ATTENTION. 122 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,000 AND VOTERS WHO ARE BEGINNING TO 123 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:23,000 PAY ATTENTION, IN THE REPUBLICAN 124 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,000 RACE THE FOCUS IS ON DONALD 125 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:26,000 TRUMP. 126 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:27,000 >> UNLESS I WIN I WOULD CONSIDER 127 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:29,000 IT A BIG FAT BEAUTIFUL AND BY 128 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:34,000 THE WAY VERY EXPENSIVE WASTE OF 129 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:39,000 TIME. >> THE CELEBRITY AND BILLIONAIRE 130 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,000 LEADING EVERY GOP NATIONAL AND 131 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:44,000 STATEWIDE POLE. 132 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:45,000 >> BY THE WAY WE HAVE THE 133 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,000 BIGGEST CROWDS BY FAR. 134 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:50,000 >> IF HE WINS THE CAUCUSES, 135 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,000 TRUMP, ACCORDING TO TED CRUZ, 136 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:53,000 COULD WIN THE TABLE. 137 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:56,000 >> IF HE WENT ON TO WIN NEW 138 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:57,000 HAMPSHIRE NEW HAMPSHIRE L AH AS 139 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,000 WELL, THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE HE 140 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,000 COULD BE UNSTOPPABLE AND BE OUR 141 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:05,000 NOMINEE. >> CRUZ WHO SHUT DOWN TWO YEARS 142 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,000 AGO ANTIESTABLISHMENT 143 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,000 ALTERNATIVE TO TRUMP. 144 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:13,000 JUDGE IF TED CRUZ WINS THEN HE'S 145 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:16,000 GONE AFTER THE EMPEROR AND WON. 146 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:20,000 >> AMONG THE INSIDER CANDIDATES, 147 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,000 FLORIDA SENATOR MARCO RUBIO HIS 148 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,000 TOP ESTABLISHMENT RIVALS 149 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,000 INCLUDING JEB BUSH, CHRIS 150 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:33,000 CHRISTIE AND HAVE CERTAINLY FORMER 151 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:47,000 IOWA E-IOWA CAUCUSES WINNERS 152 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:51,000 MIKE HUCKABEE AND RICK SANTORUM, 153 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:52,000 A POOR FINISH WOULD LIKELY MEAN 154 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:53,000 THE END OF THE ROAD. 155 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,000 IN A DEMOCRATIC RACE HILLARY 156 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:58,000 CLINTON IS TRYING TO AVOID A 157 00:06:58,000 --> 00:06:59,000 SURPRISING SET BACK. 158 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:00,000 HER CAMPAIGN IS BETTER ORGANIZED 159 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,000 AND FUNDED THAN EIGHT YEARS AGO. 160 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:04,000 THIS NOMINATION RACE WAS 161 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,000 SUPPOSED TO BE A CAROLINA CAKE 162 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:07,000 WALK. >> STICK WITH THE EXPERIENCE. 163 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,000 STICK WITH THE IDEAS THAT WILL 164 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:13,000 ACTUALLY WORK FOR OUR COUNTRY. 165 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:14,000 >> CLINTON'S PRAGMATISM THOUGH 166 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,000 HAS FACED A STRONG CHALLENGE 167 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,000 FROM THE PROGRESSIVE PASSION HE 168 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:21,000 EMBODIED BY DEMOCRATIC SOCIALIST 169 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:22,000 BERNIE SANDERS. 170 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:24,000 >> THE STATUS QUO IS SIMPLY NOT 171 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:26,000 ACCEPTABLE. WE ARE GOING TO MAKE FUNDAMENTAL 172 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,000 CHANGES IN OUR ECONOMY AND OUR 173 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:30,000 POLITICAL LIFE. 174 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:32,000 >> IF SANDERS WINS TONIGHT HE 175 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:35,000 WILL LIKELY BUILD ON HIS LEAD IN 176 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:36,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE SURGE IN OTHER 177 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,000 STATES AND ALL BUT GUARANTEE 178 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,000 THAT CLINTON FACES A LONG AND 179 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:42,000 DANGEROUS NOMINATION FIGHT. 180 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,000 >> JOY IN THE POLITICAL 181 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:48,000 REVOLUTION, THANK YOU ALL VERY MUCH. 182 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:49,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 183 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,000 >> AND THOSE REVOLUTIONARIES IN 184 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:53,000 THE SANDERS CAMPAIGN ARE ALREADY 185 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:54,000 TRYING TO SPIN SOME OF THE 186 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,000 RESULTS. POINTING OUT THE FACT THAT THE 187 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,000 RACE IS AS CLOSE AS IT IS WITH 188 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:02,000 THE NUMBERS 53-47 WITH A LOT OF 189 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:03,000 PRECINCTS STILL TO GO THAT IS 190 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,000 SOMETHING OF A MORAL VICTORY TO 191 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:06,000 BERNIE SANDERS GIVEN THAT 192 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:09,000 HILLARY CLINTON IS THE 193 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:12,000 DEMOCRATIC ESTABLISHMENT CANDIDATE YET SHE'S ON THE 194 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:14,000 DEFENSE AGAINST A SOCIALIST WHO 195 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:15,000 TALKS LIKE HE WANTS TO BURN DOWN 196 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:16,000 WALL STREET. 197 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,000 THERE ARE THE NUMBERS ON THE 198 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:19,000 REPUBLICAN SIDE. 199 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,000 TED CRUZ AND DONALD TRUMP. 200 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:24,000 TED CRUZ IS PERHAPS THE MOST 201 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:25,000 HATED REPUBLICAN IN WASHINGTON 202 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,000 BY HIS OWN PARTY AND DONALD 203 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:30,000 TRUMP THE ULTIMATE OUTSIDER. 204 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,000 BAD NEWS THAT YOU HAVE TWO 205 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,000 PEOPLE AT THE TOP AND A FOURTH 206 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:35,000 BEN CARSON COMING IN THERE AS 207 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,000 WELL WHO HAS NO POLITICAL 208 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,000 EXPERIENCE AGAIN THE REPUBLICAN 209 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:43,000 PARTY'S LOOKING FOR THEIR 210 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,000 ANTEDOTE THEIR CLOSING BEHIND, 211 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:52,000 NOW IT LOOKS LIKE TRUMP CRUZ 212 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:55,000 AND RUBIO. 213 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,000 JOHN. >> IF YOU PUT CRUZ AND DRURCHL 214 00:08:57,000 --> 00:09:00,000 AND BEN CARSON TOGETHER, 215 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:02,000 SO-CALLED OUTERS, YOU'VE GOT 216 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:07,000 ABIG PORTION OF THE POLLING IN 217 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,000 IOWA. >> 65% WANTED SOABL WHO WAS 218 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:13,000 EITHER HATED BY THE 219 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:14,000 ESTABLISHMENT AND HATED IN THE 220 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,000 SENATE OR TWO POLITICAL 221 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:17,000 CANDIDATES NO POLITICAL 222 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:18,000 EXPERIENCE. 223 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:19,000 THAT'S WHY THE REPUBLICAN 224 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:21,000 LEADERS AND THE PARTY APPARATUS 225 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:23,000 ARE SO NERVOUS ABOUT THE 226 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:25,000 DIRECTION AND ANGER THAT THE 227 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:27,000 REPUBLICAN PARTY HAS. 228 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:28,000 >> BY THE WAY BEN CARSON IS 229 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,000 GOING TO FLORIDA GETTING READY 230 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,000 TO LEAVE IOWA I GUESS AFTER HE 231 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:33,000 SAW THE RESULTS. 232 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:35,000 OR MAYBE HE PLANNED IT ALREADY. 233 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:37,000 >> WHERE A LOT OF PEOPLE GO TO 234 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,000 DIE, JOHN. 235 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,000 >> OR HAVE FUN. 236 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,000 >> OR FROM CAMPAIGNS TOO. 237 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:44,000 >> YOU HAD TO SAY THAT. 238 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:45,000 ONE OF THE BIGGEST QUESTIONS 239 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:47,000 ABOUT THE IOWA CAUCUSES IS WHY 240 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:48,000 IOWA? 241 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:49,000 THE STATE'S POPULATION IS 242 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,000 OBVIOUSLY SMALLER THAN THE CITY 243 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:52,000 OF LOS ANGELES BUT BEING FIRST 244 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:55,000 IT CARRIES AN OUTSIZED INFLUENCE 245 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:56,000 IN PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS. 246 00:09:56,000 --> 00:10:00,000 MARY SNOW IS HERE WITH A LOOK AT 247 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:01,000 THE IOWA CAUCUSES AND HOW THEY 248 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,000 WORK. 249 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:04,000 MARY. 250 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:05,000 >> QUIRKY IS A WORD YOU'VE USED 251 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:07,000 TO DESCRIBE THE IOWA CAUCUSES. 252 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:08,000 DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS HAVE 253 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:10,000 THEIR OWN SYSTEMS. 254 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,000 REPUBLICANS HAVE A SECRET BALLOT 255 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:15,000 AND THE PROCESS FOR DEMOCRATS IS 256 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:19,000 MORE PHYSICAL, WHY IOWA HAS A 257 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:20,000 PROMINENT ROLE? 258 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:23,000 YOU HAVE TO GO BACK MORE THAN 259 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,000 FOUR DECADES. YES, IT'S KNOWN THAT IOWA IS THE 260 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,000 FIRST IN THE NATION TO WEIGH IN 261 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:28,000 ON THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE BUT 262 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,000 LESS WELL-KNOWN ARE THE QUIRKS 263 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,000 BEHIND ITS CAUCUS SYSTEM. 264 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,000 STARTING WHY IT BECAME SUCH A 265 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,000 DRAW FOR PRESIDENTIAL HOPEFULS. 266 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,000 IN 1972 IT WAS ONLY BY CHANCE 267 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:40,000 THAT DEMOCRATS IN IOWA SCHEDULED 268 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:42,000 THEIR CAUCUS EARLIER THAN 269 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:43,000 EVERYONE ELSE. 270 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:46,000 >> GOOD MORNING HOW ARE YOU? 271 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:47,000 >> 1976, REPUBLICANS IN THE 272 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,000 STATE JOINED THEM. 273 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:51,000 >> I'M RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT. 274 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,000 >> JIMMY CARTER DID WELL THAT 275 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:56,000 YEAR IN IOWA AND WENT ON TO WIN 276 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:58,000 THE WHITE HOUSE IOWA CEMENTED 277 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:00,000 ITS FIRST IN THE NATION STATUS. 278 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:04,000 AND DRAKE UNIVERSITY'S DENNIS 279 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,000 GOLDFORD SAYS WITH IT COMES A 280 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:12,000 PROCESS UNLIKE OTHER PRIMARIES 281 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:15,000 WHERE CAUCUS GOERS CAST THEIR 282 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:16,000 VOTE OVER A DAY. 283 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,000 >> YOU'VE GOT TO BE PREPARED TO 284 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:22,000 SPEND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF HOURS 285 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:23,000 THERE, YOU'VE GOT TO HOPE 286 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:25,000 THERE'S NO BLIZZARD, THE CAR 287 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:26,000 STARTS AND THERE'S NOBODY SICK 288 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:27,000 IN THE FAMILY. 289 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,000 >> PUBLIC PLACES LIKE CHURCHES 290 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:31,000 SCHOOLS AND LIBRARIES ARE THE 291 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,000 PLACE USED IN CAUCUS SITES IN 292 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,000 THE 1681 PRECINCTS. 293 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:38,000 IN REMOTE RURAL AREAS A CAUCUS 294 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,000 MIGHT BE HELD IN A PRIVATE HOME. 295 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:42,000 ONCE NIGHT RULES ARE DIFFERENT 296 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:43,000 DEPENDING ON THE PARTY. 297 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:44,000 REPUBLICANS HAVE THE MORE 298 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:45,000 STRAIGHTFORWARD PROCESS. 299 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,000 AFTER HEARING FROM SURROGATES 300 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:49,000 FOR CANDIDATES THEY WRITE THEIR 301 00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:51,000 CHOICE ON A PIECE OF PAPER. 302 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:52,000 VOTERS ARE COUNTED AND REPORTED 303 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:54,000 TO PRECINCT OFFICIALS. 304 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,000 FOR DEMOCRATS IT'S MORE 305 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:57,000 COMPLICATED. 306 00:11:57,000 --> 00:11:58,000 >> PEOPLE PHYSICALLY HAVE TO 307 00:11:58,000 --> 00:11:59,000 STAND UP FOR THEIR PREFERRED 308 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:00,000 CANDIDATE. 309 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,000 SO IN THIS YEAR'S THREE-PERSON 310 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,000 RACE THEY WILL SAY EVERYBODY IN 311 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:06,000 FAVOR EVER HILLARY CLINTON GO TO 312 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:07,000 THAT CORNER. 313 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:08,000 EVERYBODY IN FAVOR OF BERNIE 314 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:11,000 SANDERS, GO TO THIS CORNER. 315 00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,000 EVERYBODY IN FAVOR MARTIN 316 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:16,000 O'MALLEY GO TO THAT CORNER AND 317 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:17,000 EVERYBODY WHO IS STILL UNDECIDED 318 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:19,000 UNDECLARED GO TO ANOTHER CORNER. 319 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:21,000 THEN THESE ARE CALLED PREFERENCE 320 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:22,000 GROUPS. 321 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:23,000 >> IN ORDER TO BE VIABLE, A 322 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:25,000 PREFERENCE GROUP HAS TO HAVE A 323 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,000 CERTAIN PERCENTAGE OF SUPPORT OF 324 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:28,000 THOSE PRESENT AT THE CAUCUS. 325 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,000 IF IT DOESN'T MEET THE 326 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:32,000 THRESHOLD, THE GROUP IS 327 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:34,000 DISSOLVED AND OTHERS TRY WIN 328 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:35,000 OVER ITS MEMBERS. 329 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:37,000 >> PEOPLE ARE ENTICED TO GO 330 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:40,000 OVER EVEN IF SOMEBODY IS IN A 331 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:42,000 PREFERENCE GROUP FOR SAY HILLARY 332 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:44,000 CLINTON, SANDERS GROUP MAY SAY 333 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,000 COME ON YOU DON'T REALLY SUPPORT 334 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,000 HER YOU WANT TO SUPPORT BERNIE. 335 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:50,000 THERE IS A LOT OF HORSE TRADING 336 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:52,000 AND CAJOLING LIKE THAT. 337 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,000 IT'S INTERESTING TO WATCH. 338 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,000 >> BUT IOWA HAS ITS PIT FALLS 339 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,000 AND IOWA HAD EGG ON ITS FACE IN 340 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:03,000 2012 WHEN PARTY RULERS DECLARED 341 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:06,000 MITT ROMNEY THE WINNER. 342 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:09,000 >> MITT ROMNEY WITH 274 VOTES. 343 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:10,000 >> ONLY TO ANNOUNCE TWO WEEKS 344 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:13,000 LATER THERE HAD BEEN A MISCOUNT. 345 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,000 RICK SANTORUM WAS THE ACTUAL 346 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:19,000 WINNER AND MANY ARGUE THAT 347 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,000 MISTAKE COST SANTORUM ALL 348 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:22,000 IMPORTANT MOMENTUM. 349 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:25,000 THEY'RE MAKING SURE THAT HISTORY 350 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,000 DOESN'T REPEAT ITSELF. 351 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:30,000 AND THE REPUBLICAN CAUCUS IN 352 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:35,000 2012 SHOWED HOW RAZOR THIN IT 353 00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:38,000 WAS. 354 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,000 SANTORUM HAD WON BY 34 VOTES 355 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,000 TWO WEEKS LATER. 356 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,000 >> IT TOOK TWO BEEKS. 357 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:48,000 ALL RIGHTWEEKS.WE'RE ONLY TALKING 358 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:49,000 ABOUT A 359 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:50,000 RELATIVELY SMALL NUMBER OF 360 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:51,000 VOTERS RIGHT? 361 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,000 >> RIGHT. WHEN YOU LOOK AT BOTH PARTIES 362 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:54,000 IT'S A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN 363 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,000 100,000 EACH IN EACH PARTY. 364 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:57,000 THE EXCEPTION WAS 2008, BARACK 365 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,000 OBAMA WON ON THE DEMOCRATIC 366 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,000 SIDE, THERE WAS RECORD TURNOUT 367 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:02,000 AMONG DEMOCRATS AND EVENING THEN 368 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:03,000 WHEN YOU COUNTED ALL OF THE 369 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,000 PEOPLE WHO TURNED OUT BOTH 370 00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:06,000 REPUBLICAN AND DEMOCRAT IT ONLY 371 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:09,000 ADDED UP TO ABOUT 350,000. 372 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:10,000 >> IT WAS CLOSE FOUR YEARS AGO 373 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:14,000 IT COULD BE CLOSE AGAIN TONIGHT. 374 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:17,000 DUARTE GERALDINO IS AT DRAKE 375 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:19,000 UNIVERSITY IN DES MOINES WHERE 376 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,000 THE CAUCUS IS ABOUT TO BREAK UP 377 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:26,000 RIGHT QATAR? 378 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:31,000 QATAR? 379 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,000 DUARTE? >> I DON'T WANT TO MAKE TOO MUCH 380 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:35,000 NOISE BUT BEHIND ME YOU CAN SEE 381 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,000 HOW PACKED WE ARE. 382 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:39,000 THE SUITS ARE STANDING UP AND 383 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,000 THEY ARE GOING TO LITERAL MOVE 384 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:42,000 IN THE DIRECTION OF THE 385 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,000 CANDIDATE THEY REPRESENT. TO GIVE YOU AN UNDERSTANDING YOU 386 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,000 HOW CROWDED THIS REAM IS THERE 387 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,000 ARE ABOUT 252 SEATS IN THIS ROOM 388 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:52,000 AND IT WAS BOOKED ON THE BASIS 389 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:53,000 OF TURNOUT DURING THE LAST 390 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:54,000 CAUCUS. 391 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:55,000 RIGHT NOW THEY HAD A COUNT IN 392 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,000 THIS ROOM. 393 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:57,000 485 PEOPLE IN THIS ROOM. 394 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,000 THAT'S ALMOST TWICE THE ORIGINAL 395 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:00,000 NUMBER IT GIVES YOU AGAIN AN 396 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,000 INDICATION OF HOW MANY PEOPLE 397 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,000 ARE INTERESTED IN THIS 398 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:05,000 PARTICULAR RACE. NOW THIS PARTICULAR PRECINCT HAD 399 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,000 SOME ADDED BENEFITS. 400 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,000 MARTIN O'MALLEY DID COME 401 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:11,000 PERSONALLY HERE TO SPEAK WITH 402 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:14,000 HIS SUPPORTERS, TO HAVE A HIGHER 403 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:15,000 REPRESENTATION. 404 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:16,000 BASED ON THAT NUMBER THEY HAVE 405 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,000 THAT 15% BREAKING POINT. 406 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:19,000 IN ORDER FOR A CANDIDATE TO BE 407 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,000 VIABLE THEY NEED TO HAVE 73 408 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:22,000 VOTES, SO RIGHT NOW THERE'S A 409 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:27,000 LOT OF TALKING RIGHT NOW 410 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:29,000 PERSUADING PEOPLE TO JOIN ONE 411 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:30,000 SIDE OR THE OTHER. 412 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:31,000 THIS SHOULD GO ON FOR ABOUT A 413 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,000 HALF AN HOUR BEFORE THEY DECIDE 414 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:36,000 WHAT'S THE NEXT STEP. 415 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:37,000 >> CLEARLY, THEY'RE NOT BREAK 416 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:38,000 PICKUP. 417 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,000 BUT THEY HAVEN'T EVEN DECIDED ON 418 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,000 THE FINAL NUMBERS AT DRAKE 419 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:43,000 UNIVERSITY AND LOOKS LIKE 420 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,000 THEY'RE GOING TO BE THERE FOR A 421 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,000 WHILE. WE'LL GET BACK TO YOU DUARTE, 422 00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:49,000 THANK YOU VERY MUCH. 423 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:54,000 THE NEWS AGENCIES ARE GETTING 424 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:59,000 A LITTLE DIFFERENT READ OF THE 425 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,000 RESULTS. ALI VELSHI. 426 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:04,000 >> I CERTAINLY RECALL LAST TIME 427 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:08,000 THE IOWA CAUCUSES I WAS ON TV 428 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:13,000 UNTIL 3 4 5:00 IN THE MORNING. 429 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:15,000 THE OLD SYSTEM WAS THAT THEY 430 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,000 WOULD PHONE IN THE RESULTS AND 431 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,000 THAT'S HOW IT WOULD ALL GET 432 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:23,000 TABULATED. IT'S HARD TO BELIEVE IN 2000 AND 433 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,000 ANYTHING THAT THAT'S HOW WE DO 434 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,000 ANYTHING. MICROSOFT HAS PARTNERED WITH 435 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:31,000 BOTH PARTIES THERE'S A DONKEY 436 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,000 HERE AND AN ELEPHANT HAD. 437 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:37,000 MICROSOFT IS GIVING ALL OF THE 438 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:38,000 CAPTAINS IN THE PRECINCTS THE 439 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,000 PEOPLE WHO ARE SUPPOSED TO 440 00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:42,000 REPORT THE RESULT AN APP ON 441 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:45,000 THEIR PHONE. IT'S GOT A TWO-STEP 442 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:47,000 IDENTIFICATION, THEY DETERMINE THAT THEY'RE THERE THEY PUT IN 443 00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,000 THE RESULTS PER PRECINCT. 444 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,000 THE APP DOES A LITTLE BIT OF 445 00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:52,000 MATH SO IT WILL TELL THEM 446 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,000 WHETHER OR NOT THEY HAVE PUT IN 447 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:55,000 MORE VOTES THAN THE PEOPLE WHO 448 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:56,000 ARE ACTUALLY IN THE ROOM AND 449 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:59,000 THAT THEN WILL BE TRANSMITTED 450 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:00,000 EFFICIENTLY TO THE RIGHT 451 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:01,000 PARTIES. 452 00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:02,000 MICROSOFT IS NOT AT ALL INVOLVED 453 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,000 IN THE COUNTING OR TABULATING OF 454 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,000 THE RESULTS BUT THEY ARE 455 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,000 INVOLVED IN EFFICIENTLY 456 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:09,000 TRANSMITTING THAT INFORMATION IN 457 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,000 A WAY YOU WOULD EXPECT IT TO BE 458 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:12,000 DONE IN 2016. 459 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:17,000 I HAD A QUESTION WITH DANEL 460 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,000 LEWEN TO EXPLAIN HOW THIS 461 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:20,000 WORKED. 462 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:21,000 >> FOR INSTANCE, IF THERE WERE 463 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:23,000 100 IN THE ROOM AND SOMEONE 464 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,000 TRIED OINPUT A NUMBER GREATER 465 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:28,000 THAN 100 THE MOBILE DEVICE SAID 466 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:31,000 THAT WOULDN'T SEEM RIGHT THAT 467 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,000 WOULDN'T ALLOW FOR THOSE KIND OF 468 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:34,000 ANOMALIES. 469 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,000 ON THE OTHER SIDE, IF THERE IS A 470 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,000 PROBLEM IDENTIFIED AT THE PARTY 471 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:39,000 HEADQUARTERS BEFORE THEY RELEASE 472 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:40,000 THE RESULTS THEY CAN PHONE BACK 473 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,000 TO THE PRECINCT AND ASK AND 474 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,000 VERIFY ANY KIND OF QUESTION THAT 475 00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:45,000 MIGHT LOOK ODD. 476 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,000 >> SO JOHN ONCE THE STUFF IS 477 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,000 TRANSLATED OR TRANSMITTED USING 478 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,000 THE APP, TO THE CENTRAL PARTY 479 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,000 THE PARTY THE STATE PARTY BOTH 480 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:55,000 THE REPUBLICANS AND THE 481 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:56,000 DEMOCRATS, REMEMBER MICROSOFT IS 482 00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:57,000 WORKING WITH BOTH OF THEM, WILL 483 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,000 HAVE TO TABULATE AND CERTIFY THE 484 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:01,000 RESULTS SEND THEM BACK 485 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:02,000 ELECTRONICALLY TO MICROSOFT AND 486 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,000 THEY WILL BE DISPLAYED HERE ON 487 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:05,000 THIS SCREEN BEHIND ME. 488 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,000 THIS IS HOW WE'RE GOING TO GET 489 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,000 THE INFORMATION. IT'S NOT GOING TO BE HAPHAZARD 490 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,000 WE'RE NOT GOING TO BE WAITING 491 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:12,000 FOR PHONING PEOPLE AND FINDING 492 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,000 OUT WHAT'S GOING ON AND FRANKLY 493 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:16,000 IF THIS ALL COMES TOGETHER AND 494 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,000 WORKS PROPERLY JOHN, I AM GOING 495 00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:20,000 TO BE IN BED MUCH EARLIER THAN I 496 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:23,000 WAS THE LAST TIME THERE WAS AN 497 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,000 IOWA CAUCUS. 498 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:28,000 JOHN. >> ALL RIGHT ALI, THANK YOU 499 00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:30,000 JEANNIE JOE AND DAVID ARE BACK. 500 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,000 JEANNIE I WANT TO START WITH 501 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:35,000 YOU. IF THE NUMBERS ARE CORRECT AND 502 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:37,000 TED CRUZ WINS WITH DONALD TRUMP 503 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:38,000 SECOND THE POLLS WOULD BE 504 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,000 TOTALLY WRONG RIGHT? 505 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,000 >> THE POLLS WOULD BE WRONG. 506 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,000 THE DES MOINES REGISTER POLL IS 507 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:45,000 THE GOLD STANDARD. 508 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,000 CLEARLY TRUMP WAS IN THE LEAD. 509 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:49,000 BUT THERE ARE SOME TROUBLING 510 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:53,000 SIGNS FOR TED CRUZ. 511 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:56,000 TURNOUT FOR FIRST TIME CAUCUS 512 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:58,000 GOERS IS VERY MANY HIGHER AND 513 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,000 EVENLY FOR TRUMP AND CRUZ, THIS 514 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,000 MAY BE A BAD SIGN FOR CRUZ AS 515 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,000 MORE NUMBERS COME IN. 516 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,000 WE'LL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE. 517 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,000 >> JUST 22% OF THE PRECINCTS 518 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:10,000 REPORTING. 519 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:13,000 IT'S A VERY EARLY NIGHT. 520 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:14,000 >> AGAIN IT'S VERY EARLY STILL 521 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,000 AND PLENTY OF TIME FOR 522 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:17,000 CANDIDATES TO SPIN IT THE WAY 523 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:19,000 THEY NEED TO SPIN TO IT THEIR 524 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:22,000 SUPPORTERS. IF YOU ARE DONALD TRUMP 525 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,000 SUPPORTERS WE'LL SAY WAIT AND 526 00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,000 SEE, THERE ARE LOTS OF NEW 527 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,000 VOTERS. >> LOTS OF THINGS WE DO WHEN 528 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:29,000 WE'RE OFF CAMERA TRYING TO 529 00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:31,000 FIGURE OUT WHY IT IS THE 530 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:33,000 DEMOCRATS HAVE SOFUL MORE 531 00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:38,000 PRECINCTS REPORTING DAVID THAN 532 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:39,000 THE REPUBLICANS. 533 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,000 CAN YOU EXPLAIN WHY DAVID? 534 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:42,000 >> YOU LEAN ON ME. 535 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:43,000 >> WE DO ALL THE TIME. 536 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,000 >> A REPRESENTATIVE FROM EACH 537 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:46,000 CAMPAIGN GETS TO SPEAK AT THE 538 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,000 CAUCUS. 539 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:48,000 SO IN SOME OF THE PLACES LIKE 540 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,000 DES MOINES AND THE LARGER CITIES 541 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:52,000 YOU WILL HAVE 11 SPEECHES, A 542 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:53,000 REPRESENTATIVE FROM EVERY 543 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,000 CAMPAIGN WHO WILL SPEAK SAYING 544 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:56,000 HERE IS WHY YOU SHOULD VOTE FOR 545 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,000 MY CANDIDATE SOMETIMES IN THESE 546 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,000 REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES IT TAKES A 547 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,000 WHILE WHEN YOU HAVE A FIELD THAT 548 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:05,000 LARGE. LIKEWISE WITH THE DEMOCRATS THE 549 00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:07,000 REASON SOME ARE FASTER IT'S A 550 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:08,000 VERY SIMPLE THREE CANDIDATES AND 551 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,000 THEN THEY GO TO THE SIDE OF THE 552 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,000 ROOM. >> I THOUGHT WE WERE TOLD THE 553 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:13,000 DEMOCRATS WOULD HAVE A MORE 554 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:14,000 COMPLICATED PROCESS BECAUSE THEY 555 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,000 ARGUED ABOUT WHO THEY ARE GOING 556 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:18,000 TO VOTE FOR BUT APPARENTLY NOT. 557 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:19,000 >> APPARENTLY IT IS GOING TO BE 558 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,000 COMPLICATED IN LARGER PRECINCTS 559 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:25,000 DES MOINES, IOWA CITY, CEDAR 560 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:29,000 RAPIDS. WHEN YOU HAVE 500 PEOPLE SHOW UP 561 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,000 THOSE ARE THE PRECINCTS TO 562 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,000 REPORT. 563 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,000 REPORT LAST. 564 00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:38,000 >> WE'LL COME BACK. 565 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,000 HOW SOME CANDIDATES ARE HOARDING 566 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:41,000 THE EVANGELICAL VOTE, DON'T GO 567 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:46,000 AWAY. 568 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:02,000 >> ALL RIGHT, WE'RE BACK HERE IN 569 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,000 THE MEDIA CENTER IN DES MOINES, 570 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,000 IOWA. YOU CAN SEE ALMOST AIL THE 571 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:07,000 COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED NOW. 572 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:08,000 ON THE RIGHT THE REPUBLICAN, WE 573 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,000 GOT ABOUT 25% ABOUT HALF AS 574 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,000 MANY OF THE COUNTIES. 575 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:13,000 TED CRUZ STILL LEADING, DONALD 576 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,000 TRUMP NUMBER 2. 577 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:16,000 MARCO RUBIO IN THE THIRD 578 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:17,000 POSITION BY LESS THAN TEN 579 00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,000 POINTS. 580 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,000 LET'S GO TO MICHAEL SHURE HE IS 581 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:23,000 AT ONE OF THE CAUCUSES RIGHT 582 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:24,000 NOW. MICHAEL WHAT ARE YOU LEARNING 583 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:27,000 ABOUT THE RUBIO CAMP? 584 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,000 >> WELL, YOU KNOW I'VE SPOKEN TO 585 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:30,000 THE RUBIO CAMP. 586 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,000 I SPOKE TO SOMEBODY A DEPUTY IN 587 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,000 THEIR COMMUNICATIONS DEPARTMENT 588 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,000 ALI SAY THEY ARE VERY PLEASED 589 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,000 HOW IT'S GOING TONIGHT THE 590 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:39,000 RESPONSE THEY'RE GETTING. 591 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,000 THEY'RE DOING ENTRY POLLS ALSO 592 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,000 SPOKE TO A PRECINCT CAPTAIN ONE 593 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,000 OF THE BIGGER REPUBLICAN 594 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,000 CAUCUSES IN WATERLOO, THEY SAY 595 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,000 THEY ARE VERY IMPRESSED WITH HOW 596 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:51,000 RUBIO IS GOING. 597 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,000 VERY POSSIBLY ONE OF THE STORIES 598 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:56,000 WE COME OUT TOMORROW WITH IS NOT 599 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:57,000 JUST MARCO RUBIO FINISHED THIRD 600 00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:01,000 BUT A STRONG THIRD WHICH BODES 601 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:02,000 INTERESTINGLY. 602 00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:06,000 BEN CARSON AS JOHN SIEGENTHALER 603 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,000 SAID A WHILE AGO HAS GONE HOME. 604 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:10,000 LOT TO READ INTO THAT. 605 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,000 HE WAS ONCE LEADING IN THE POMS, 606 00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:17,000 HISPOLLS, HE IS ONLY GOING HOME 607 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,000 BECAUSE THERE IS A STORM COMING 608 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,000 IN AND HE WOULDN'T BE ABLE TO 609 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,000 FLY AND HE NEEDS TO CHANGE. 610 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,000 HEADING TO A CAMPAIGN, THIS 611 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:31,000 WOULD BE THE END OF RICK 612 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:34,000 SANTORUM PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN, 613 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,000 RICK SANTORUM NEVER REALLY 614 00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:37,000 RESONATED WITH THE SAME 615 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,000 EVANGELICALS THAT GAVE HIM A WIN 616 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:43,000 FOUR YEARS AGO. 617 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:44,000 THE EVANGELICAL VOTE IS SO 618 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,000 IMPORTANT HERE, I GOT A CHANCE 619 00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,000 TO SPEND SOME TIME WITH THAT 620 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:54,000 VOTING SEGMENT A FEW WEEKS AGO. 621 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:58,000 >> ONLY TWO WEEKS AGO TED CRUZ 622 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,000 SURGED IN IOWA, JUMPED 21 POINTS 623 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,000 TO THE FRONT OF THE GOP PAC. 624 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,000 BUT IN AN APPARENT TURN AROUND 625 00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,000 SINCE THEN BEGINNING WITH HIS 626 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,000 CONVOCATION AT JERRY FALLWELL'S 627 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,000 LIBERTY UNIVERSITY, DONALD TRUMP 628 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,000 SEEMS TO HAVE CLOSED THE 629 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:16,000 EVANGELICAL GAP. 630 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,000 >> WE'RE GOING TO PROTECT 631 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,000 CHRISTIANITY, I DON'T HAVE TO BE 632 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:22,000 POLITICALLY CORRECT. 633 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,000 >> YOU SAY FATHER GOD PLEASE 634 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:25,000 CONTINUE. 635 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:26,000 >> AS FOR CRUZ HE'S DOUBLING 636 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,000 DOWN ON THE FAITHFUL. 637 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:30,000 >> AWAKEN THE BODY OF CHRIST 638 00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,000 THAT WE MIGHT PULL BACK FROM 639 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,000 THIS ABYSS. 640 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:35,000 >> ABORTION ALONG WITH MARRIAGE 641 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:37,000 EQUALITY AND WHAT THEY CALL 642 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:40,000 RELIGIOUS LIBERTY ARE OF UTMOST 643 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,000 IMPORTANCE TO IOWA'S STRONG 644 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:44,000 EVANGELICAL CHRISTIAN VOTING 645 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:45,000 BLOCK. 646 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:49,000 >> IS THERE ANY WIGGLE ROOM ON 647 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:51,000 THESE VOTERS? 648 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,000 >> FOR EVANGELICAL VOTERS NO, I 649 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:53,000 DON'T THINK THERE'S A LOT OF 650 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,000 WIGGLE ROOM. 651 00:25:55,000 --> 00:26:00,000 >> PASTOR WARREN HUNSBERGER 652 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:04,000 LEADS THIS GROUP WHILE SOME 653 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:05,000 OTHER EVANGELICAL MINISTER SEEM 654 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:10,000 TO LEAD THEIR CONGREGATION, HE 655 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,000 DOESN'T. >> WILL YOU TELL THEM WHO YOU'RE 656 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:18,000 VOTING FOR? 657 00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:19,000 >> NEVER, NEVER HEAR THAT FROM 658 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,000 ME ON PURPOSE. 659 00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:23,000 >> BUT HE DOES WELCOME CANDIDATES TO HIS CHURCH SHOULD 660 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:24,000 THEY CALL. 661 00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,000 SOMETHING THAT TED CRUZ AND 662 00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:32,000 CARLY FIORINA BOTH DID RECENTLY. 663 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:38,000 HUNSBREERG SAW ITSBERGER SAW IT AS 664 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:39,000 AN 665 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:42,000 OPPORTUNITY TO MAKE CONCLUSIONS 666 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,000 ON THEIR OWN. 667 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,000 >> IT SEEMS CRAZY THAT ANY OF US 668 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:47,000 CAN BE SEPARATED FROM OUR FAITH 669 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,000 OUR VALUES WHEN WE ENTER THE 670 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,000 POLITICAL PROCESS. 671 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:54,000 >> IN 2012 IT WAS RICK SANTORUM, 672 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,000 BOTH LOST THE NOMINATION AND 673 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,000 BOTH ARE NOT EVEN POLLING WELL 674 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,000 ENOUGH OMAKE IT ON TO THE MAIN 675 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,000 DEBATE STAGE. 676 00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,000 >> IOWA IS NEVER MEANT TO BE THE 677 00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:06,000 STAGE OF WE'RE GOING TO DECIDE 678 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,000 WHO IS GOING TO BE THE 679 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:10,000 EVENTUALLY NOMINEE. 680 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,000 IT'S THE WINNOWING OUT PROCESS. 681 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,000 >> A LONG TIME POLITICAL 682 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,000 OPERATIVE HERE, HE UNDERSTANDS 683 00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:19,000 EVANGELICAL VOTERS AND THEIR 684 00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:21,000 EXPECTATIONS. HE SEES A DIFFERENCE IN THE WAY 685 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,000 THEY APPROACH POLITICS NOW AS 686 00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:24,000 OPPOSED TO WHEN HE BEGAN. 687 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:29,000 HE SEES NEW EVANGELICALS AS MORE 688 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,000 DEMANDING. >> POLITICS IS NOT ABOUT 689 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,000 PERFECTION. IT DOESN'T MEAN YOU HOLD THE 690 00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:34,000 CANDIDATE'S FEET TO THE FIRE AND 691 00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,000 GET THEM TO ANSWER THE TOUGH 692 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:37,000 QUESTIONS. 693 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:40,000 YOU WON'T SEE JESUS CHRIST NAME 694 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:43,000 ON THE BALLOT ANY TIME SOON. 695 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,000 >> TRACING ITS ROOTS TO THE 696 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,000 UPSTART CANDIDACY OF PAT 697 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,000 ROBERTSON IN 1988. 698 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,000 FINISHED SECOND IN IOWA THAT 699 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,000 YEAR ALERTING THE PARTY TO AN 700 00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:56,000 UNTAPPED AND VITAL VOTING BLOCK. 701 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,000 >> THESE ARE VERY, VERY FAITHFUL 702 00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:59,000 CAUCUS GOERS. 703 00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,000 THEY REALLY SHOW UP DON'T MISS 704 00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:03,000 THE CAUCUSES. 705 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,000 >> THEY DON'T OFTEN MISS CHURCH 706 00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,000 ON SUNDAY. 707 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,000 REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES KNOW THAT 708 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,000 VERY WELL. 709 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:13,000 AND YOU KNOW ALI AS I STAND IN 710 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,000 THIS ROOM AS ROOSEVELT HIGH 711 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,000 SCHOOL A DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS NOT A 712 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:19,000 LOT OF EVANGELICAL VOTERS IN 713 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,000 HERE. BEHIND ME THEY ARE STILL TRYING 714 00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,000 TO TAKE THE O'MALLEY VOTERS AND 715 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:27,000 THE UNCOMMITTED TO THE OTHER 716 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:31,000 SIDE. ITIT WILL BE PART OF THE 717 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,000 POSTSCRIPT WHEN WE HEAR THAT 718 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:34,000 TOMORROW. 719 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:35,000 ALI. >> MICHAEL SHURE IN DES MOINES. 720 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,000 LET'S GO BACK TO THE STUDIO, 721 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:39,000 JOHN. 722 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:40,000 >> TRYING TO FIGURE OUT THE 723 00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:41,000 DIFFERENCE BETWEEN NUMBER OF 724 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:42,000 PRECINCTS REPORTING FOR 725 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:43,000 REPUBLICANS WHICH IS SMALLER 726 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,000 THAN THE NUMBER REPORTING FOR 727 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:46,000 DEMOCRATS. 728 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:47,000 DAVID MIGHT HAVE AN ANSWER. 729 00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,000 >> THE STATE REPUBLICAN PARTY 730 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,000 REPORTING ITS WEBSITE BOTH TO 731 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,000 COLLECT THE INFORMATION FROM THE 732 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,000 VARIOUS PRECINCTS AND TO PASS 733 00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,000 THEM ALONG PUBLICLY, THAT 734 00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,000 WEBSITE CRASHED A HALF HOUR AGO. 735 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,000 AN HOUR INTO THE CAUCUS, THE 736 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:04,000 WEBSITE WENT DOWN. 737 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,000 IT IS STILL NOT CLEAR IF IT'S 738 00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:08,000 BEEN FIXED THE NUMBERS SEEM TO 739 00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,000 BE CATCHING AGAIN BUT THE POINT 740 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,000 IS THERE WAS SUCH INTEREST 741 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,000 WITHIN IOWA AND ALSO EXTERNALLY 742 00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:15,000 THAT THE WEBSITE CAME DOWN AND 743 00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:17,000 THAT'S ONE OF THE REASONS WHY 744 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:18,000 THE NUMBERS ON THE REPUBLICAN 745 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,000 SIDE ARE SO SMALL. 746 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,000 >> FORMER REPUBLICAN JACK CASON 747 00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:24,000 JOINS US FROM WASHINGTON D.C. 748 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,000 JUST GIVE ME YOUR REACTION TO 749 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:27,000 THE NUMBERS AGAIN JACK. 750 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,000 >> YOU KNOW I.T. LOOKS LIKE CRUZ 751 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,000 IS HOLDING THE WAY THE POLLS 752 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,000 SHOW THAT HE'S ON TOP IT'S TIGHT 753 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,000 WITH TRUMP RUBIO IS IN THIRD 754 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,000 AND THAT'S WHAT THE POLLS HAVE 755 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:40,000 BEEN TELLING US. I THINK THE STORY RIGHT NOW IS 756 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,000 THAT CARSON IN A SOLID FOURTH 757 00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:43,000 PLACE. 758 00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,000 HE'S NOT DOWN IN THE LOW SINGLE 759 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,000 DIGITS THE WAY SO MANY OF THE 760 00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,000 OTHER FAMILIAR NAMES ARE 761 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:52,000 HUCKABEE BUSH, KASICH, SO 762 00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,000 FORTH.THINK RIGHT NOW MAYBE THE 763 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,000 STORY IS THAT THIS BREATHES SOME 764 00:29:57,000 --> 00:30:00,000 LIFE INTO THE BEN CARSON 765 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,000 CANDIDACY. IF THESE NUMBERS HOLD WE'VE GOT 766 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:03,000 ABOUT 25% IN. 767 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,000 IT'S NOT ENOUGH TO DRAW ANY 768 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,000 CONCLUSIONS AND GEOGRAPHICALLY, 769 00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,000 I'M NOT CERTAIN WHICH PRECINCTS 770 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:09,000 HAVE REPORTED OR WHICH CAUCUSES 771 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:13,000 HAVE REPORTED AND THERE ARE 772 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,000 CERTAINLY SOME TRUMP STRONGHOLDS 773 00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,000 SOME CRUZ STRONGHOLDS SOME 774 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,000 KASICH STRONG HOLDS AND SO 775 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,000 FORTH, THAT'S GOING TO HAVE A 776 00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,000 BIG DETERMINATION ON THE NUMBERS 777 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,000 BUT THE REALITY IS SO FAR EVEN 778 00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:27,000 THOUGH NIGHT IS YOUNG CRUZ 779 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:28,000 NUMBERS HAVE BEEN HOLDING 780 00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,000 CONSISTENT WITH ALL THE NATIONAL 781 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:31,000 POLLING FIRMS. 782 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,000 >> I JUST WANT TO GET YOUR 783 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:34,000 REACTION TO THE DEMOCRATIC RACE 784 00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,000 RIGHT NOW. THERE WAS A LOT OF TALK ABOUT 785 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:37,000 HILLARY CLINTON. 786 00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:40,000 SHE WAS LOSING GROUND IN IOWA, 787 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:41,000 BERNIE SANDERS ON THE RISE. 788 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:43,000 TAKE A LOOK AT THE NUMBERS NOW. 789 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,000 SHE'S BEEN SOLID THROUGHOUT 790 00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:47,000 EVENING. WE'VE GOT 53% OF THE PRECINCTS 791 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:48,000 REPORTING. 792 00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,000 SHE'S AHEAD 51 TO 48. 793 00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:52,000 WHAT HAPPENED? >> YOU KNOW, I DON'T KNOW. 794 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,000 I WOULD SUSPECT THAT HILLARY 795 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,000 CLINTON PROBABLY HAS A BETTER 796 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:57,000 GROUND GAME THAN BERNIE SANDERS. 797 00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:59,000 I THINK BERNIE SANDERS AND 798 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,000 DONALD TRUMP HAD THAT EXCITEMENT 799 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:02,000 FACTOR A GREAT ENERGY BUT I 800 00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,000 THINK WHEN IT COMES DOWN TO IOWA 801 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,000 POLITICS, HOW MANY PEOPLE DO YOU HAVE ON THE GROUND IN THE 99 802 00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,000 COUNTIES REALLY MAKES A 803 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:11,000 DIFFERENCE. AND THIS IS HILLARY CLINTON -- 804 00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,000 IT IS NOT HER FIRST TIME IN 805 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,000 TOWN YOU KNOW? 806 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,000 SHE KNOWS IT, SHE KNOWS IT FROM 807 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:23,000 WHEN SHER SHE RAN IN '08 AND WHEN 808 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:26,000 HER HUSBAND RAN. 809 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,000 MORE THAN 55% HAVE REPORTED IN 810 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:30,000 NOW. 811 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:31,000 >> MORE THAN 55% FOR THE 812 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:32,000 DEMOCRATS. 813 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:33,000 IF YOU ARE IN THE RNC TONIGHT 814 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,000 AND LOOKING AT THOSE NUMBERS AND 815 00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:36,000 THE REPUBLICAN NATIONAL 816 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,000 COMMITTEE HAD HOPED THAT THEY 817 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:38,000 WOULD HAVE A NOMINEE IN THE NEXT 818 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:42,000 MONTH OR SO, THAT WAS A YEAR 819 00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:47,000 BACK. WHAT ARE THEY THINKING TONIGHT? 820 00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:49,000 >> WELL, I THINK IF YOU THINK 821 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:51,000 ABOUT WHAT HAPPENED IN '08 IN 822 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:52,000 THE REPUBLICAN CAUCUSES IN IOWA 823 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:55,000 THERE WERE ABOUT 120,000 VOTES. 824 00:31:55,000 --> 00:32:00,000 SOMETHING LIKE SIX OR 700,000 825 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:03,000 VOLTED IN THE DEMOCRAT CAUCUS. 826 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:05,000 YOU HAD A NONTRADITIONAL 827 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,000 EXCITING FRESH-FACED CANDIDATE 828 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:08,000 IN BARACK OBAMA. 829 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,000 NOW IT APPEARS THAT'S WHAT TRUMP 830 00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,000 IS DOING AND CRUZ AND CARSON. 831 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:18,000 YOU HAVE THESE NONWASHINGTONIAN 832 00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:22,000 CANDIDATES. 833 00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:26,000 YOU GO INTO SOUTH CAROLINA, NEW 834 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,000 HAMPSHIRE, NEVADA, THE SEC 835 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,000 SUPER-TUESDAY, IF THESE NEW 836 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:31,000 VOTERS FLOCK TO THE PARTY I 837 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,000 THINK IT'S GOING TO BE A GREAT 838 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:35,000 THING. I THINK THE RACE WILL BE SETTLED 839 00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:38,000 WHICH MAY OR JUNE BUT IT CAN GO 840 00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:40,000 ON THE WAY THE DEMOCRAT PRIMARY 841 00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:42,000 WENT ON AND ON IN '08 BETWEEN 842 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:43,000 HILLARY CLINTON AND BARACK OBAMA 843 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,000 AND IT DID NOT HURT THE PARTY. 844 00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:48,000 I THINK YOU KNOW THIS KIND OF 845 00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:49,000 THING IN WASHINGTON, SO MANY 846 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,000 PEOPLE WANT TO SET THE RULES. 847 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,000 THEY'RE UNCOMFORTABLE WITH THE 848 00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:55,000 EXCITING DYNAMIC OF THE 849 00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:56,000 CONSTITUTION IN ACTION BUT I 850 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:57,000 THINK IT'S A GOOD THING FOR 851 00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,000 PARTY AND THE COUNTRY. 852 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:00,000 >> ALL RIGHT JACK WE'LL GET BACK 853 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:01,000 TO YOU. 854 00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,000 I JUST WANT TO ASK YOU JEANNIE 855 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,000 BASED ON WHAT YOU'VE SEEN 856 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,000 TONIGHT WHAT ARE YOU SURPRISED 857 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:07,000 THE MOST TONIGHT? 858 00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,000 >> I'D HAVE TO SAY ON THE 859 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:10,000 REPUBLICAN SIDE I'M SURPRISED 860 00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:15,000 THAT REUK RUBIO GRANTED WE ARE ONLY 861 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,000 AT 25% REPORTING THAT RUBIO IS 862 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:21,000 IN THIRD. 863 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:22,000 TED CRUZ HITTING RUBIO HARD 864 00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:25,000 MAKING SURE HE DIDN'T COME IN A 865 00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,000 CLOSE THIRD TO DONALD TRUMP I 866 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:28,000 THINK CRUZ IS HOPING. 867 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,000 BUT THAT'S ONE OF THE BIG 868 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,000 STORIES TONIGHT. ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE, LOOKS 869 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,000 LIKE WE DON'T KNOW YET TURNOUT 870 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,000 HAS BEEN STRONG YET HILLARY 871 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:37,000 CLINTON HAS HELD HER OWN. 872 00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,000 THAT MAY REFLECT A LOT OF THINGS 873 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,000 BUT CERTAINLY I THINK JACK IS 874 00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,000 RIGHT. IT REFLECTS THAT SHE HAD THE 875 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,000 GROUND GAME AND THE ORGANIZATION 876 00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:50,000 IN IOWA, TO PULL THIS OFF IF IT 877 00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:53,000 HOLDS, WE ARE ONLY AT 55%. 878 00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:54,000 >> TIER CANDIDATES IN NEW 879 00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:56,000 HAMPSHIRE NOW I BELIEVE WE HAVE 880 00:33:56,000 --> 00:34:00,000 A PICTURE OF JEB BUSH WHO SAID 881 00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:01,000 GOOD-BYE TO IOWA, LIKE SOME OF 882 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,000 THE OTHER CANDIDATES DID AS 883 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,000 WELL. BUT IF THIS HOLDS WHERE DOES THE 884 00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:08,000 FIGHT END UP IN NEW HAMPSHIRE? 885 00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:09,000 >> DEPENDS ON HOW MUCH MONEY YOU 886 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:10,000 HAVE OF COURSE. 887 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:15,000 JEB BUSH HAS RAVED A LOT OF RAISED 888 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,000 A LOT OF 889 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:19,000 MONEY. 890 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,000 FOR JOHN KASICH, CHRIS CHRISTIE, 891 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,000 THEY DON'T HAVE A STRONG SHOWING 892 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,000 IN NEW HAMPSHIRE IT'S GOING TO 893 00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:28,000 BE HARD TO PULL IT OOFF. 894 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:29,000 >> TO PUT HIS MONEY IN NEW 895 00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,000 HAMPSHIRE, YOU HAVE GOT THE SAME 896 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:37,000 THING WITH JOHN KASICH AND CHRIS 897 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,000 CHRISTIE. IF MARCO RUBIO IS THE 898 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,000 ESTABLISHMENT CANDIDATE WHO HAS 899 00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:46,000 DONE THE BEST, BUSH, KASICH NOT 900 00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,000 GOING TO GET ANY EASIER FOR 901 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:50,000 MARCO RUBIO BECAUSE HE MAY GET 902 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:51,000 RID OF SOME OF THE CANDIDATES IN 903 00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:54,000 IOWA BUT HE'S WALK INTO A 904 00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:57,000 HORNET'S NEST COME NEW 905 00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:00,000 HAMPSHIRE. >> LET'S GET BACK TOLL ACTION 906 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,000 AND ALI. 907 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:03,000 >> A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE TALKING 908 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,000 ABOUT THE INFLUENCE OF 909 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,000 MILLENNIALS, AND WHY THEY LIKE 910 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:11,000 THESE CANDIDATES, THE INFLUENCE 911 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:14,000 ON BERNIE SANDERS CAMPAIGN. 912 00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:17,000 WE SENT DUARTE GERALDINO TO LOOK 913 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,000 AT THIS PHENOMENON AND HERE'S 914 00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:21,000 WHAT HE FOUND. 915 00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,000 >> JUST DAYS BEFORE THE CAUCUS, 916 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:27,000 TRAINING FOR THE CAUCUS THOSE 917 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:31,000 WHO HAVE NOT BEEN TO ONE A 918 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,000 HANDS-ON LESSON, WHAT HAPPENS IN 919 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:34,000 A CAUCUS. 920 00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,000 IOWA IS A FARMING STATE. 921 00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:40,000 MANY HOLD BROADLY DIVERSE VIEWS. 922 00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:43,000 >> THERE'S A HUGELY 923 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,000 DISPROPORTIONATE AMOUNT OF 924 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:46,000 PEOPLE OF COLOR LOCKED UP. 925 00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:49,000 WE CONSIDER THIS ONE OF THE 926 00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,000 BIGGEST INJUSTICES OF OUR 927 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:53,000 GENERATION. THE SUFFERING THAT MY BLACK 928 00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:56,000 BROTHERS AND SISTERS ARE 929 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:57,000 ENDURING, IT IS HEARTBREAKING. 930 00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,000 >> WE WENT THROUGH SEPTEMBER 931 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:00,000 11th AND WE WENT THROUGH 932 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:01,000 BARACK OBAMA BEING ELECTED AND 933 00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,000 THE INVASION OF IRAQ AND THE 934 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,000 FINANCIAL CRISIS. 935 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:06,000 I THINK THOSE THINGS SHAPE HOW 936 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:11,000 WE LOOK AT THE WORLD. 937 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,000 >> I THINK BIGGEST ISSUE WOULD 938 00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:16,000 BE A FREE MARKET OBVIOUSLY. 939 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:18,000 >> RICHARD LOGAN AND REESE 940 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:21,000 FACES OF YOUNG IOWANS. 941 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,000 HE SAYS THE SUPREME COURT'S 942 00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:25,000 HISTORIC RULING ALLOWING GAY 943 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,000 MARRIAGE MAKES IT EASIER FOR HIM 944 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,000 TO RECRUIT SUPPORTERS WHO ARE 945 00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:32,000 FISCALLY CONSERVATIVE BUT 946 00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:33,000 SOCIALLY LIBERAL. 947 00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:35,000 >> I THINK MORE MILLENNIALS IN 948 00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:37,000 THE MIDDLE WILL BE ABLE TO 949 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:38,000 SWITCH. 950 00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,000 YOU FEEL THIS IS NOT AS MUCH OF 951 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,000 AN ISSUE AND THEREFORE THE 952 00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:43,000 PARTY'S MORE WELCOMING? 953 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:44,000 >> YES ABSOLUTELY. 954 00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:47,000 I FEEL LIKE GAY MARRIAGE IS A 955 00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,000 BIG DIVIDING ISSUE BIG WEDGE 956 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:53,000 ISSUE ESPECIALLY FOR 957 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:54,000 MILLENNIALS. 958 00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:56,000 >> MORE WELCOMING LIKE STEVE AND 959 00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,000 RICHARD. >> GOT MARRIED FOUR, FIVE MONTHS 960 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,000 AGO, FIVE MONTHS AGO ALMOST, HAD 961 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,000 THE HONEYMOON BOUGHT THE HOUSE 962 00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:04,000 NOW IT'S THE CAUCUS. 963 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,000 WE'VE BEEN GO GO GO GO GO. 964 00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,000 WE'RE READY TO KIND OF SIT AND 965 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:11,000 PUT OUR FEET UP AND WOW WE'RE 966 00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,000 MARRIED. 967 00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,000 >> RICHARD IS A MILLENNIAL 968 00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:17,000 BUILDING A LIFE WITH HIS NEW 969 00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:18,000 HUSBAND STEVE. 970 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:22,000 HE'S WORRIED THAT THE ISSUE 971 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:23,000 COULD BE A RISK TO HIS FUTURE. 972 00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:25,000 >> WE HAVE TO MAKE THAT WORK BUT 973 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:28,000 FOR SOME REASON OUR FEDERAL 974 00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:29,000 GOVERNMENT DOESN'T DO THAT. 975 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:30,000 I BELIEVE IF WE DON'T GET THE 976 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,000 NUMBERS RIGHT IN THE NEXT DECADE 977 00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:34,000 MY KIDS ARE NOT GOING TO HAVE 978 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:37,000 THE LIFE THAT I WANT THEM TO 979 00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,000 HAVE THAT THE AMERICAN DREAM 980 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:41,000 SAYS THEY SHOULD HAVE. 981 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:46,000 >> REESE IS PRESIDENT OF DRAI DRAKE 982 00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:50,000 UNIVERSITY YOUNG DEMOCRATS. 983 00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:54,000 >> I GO TO SCHOOL FULL TIME AND 984 00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,000 WORK I STILL CAN'T MAKE IT. 985 00:37:56,000 --> 00:38:00,000 I WAS BORN WHITE MIDDLE CLASS 986 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,000 PRIVATE SCHOOLED ALL MY LIFE AND 987 00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:04,000 EVEN I FEEL EFFECTS OF THIS, LET 988 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,000 ALONE THE MINORITY POPULATION 989 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,000 AND BORN INTO POVERTY WHO FEEL 990 00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:09,000 IT WORSE. 991 00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:10,000 >> AS A GENERATION THEY'RE 992 00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:13,000 CONSIDERED UNRELIABLE VOTERS. 993 00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,000 IN THE PAST THEY JUST HAVEN'T 994 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,000 TURNED OUT BIG NUMBERS. 995 00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:18,000 THE CAUCUS PROCESS IS NOT JUST A 996 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:21,000 GAME OF NUMBERS GEOGRAPHY AND 997 00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:26,000 TIMING PLAY OBIG ROLL HELD IN 998 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,000 JANUARY, COLLEGE STUDENTS ARE ON 999 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:30,000 BREAK NOT ON CAMPUS. 1000 00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:33,000 THIS YEAR IT WILL BE DIFFERENT 1001 00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:38,000 THE IMPACT WILL BE LICTED TO LIMITED 1002 00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:39,000 TO 1003 00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:41,000 SEVERAL POCKETS AROUND THE 1004 00:38:41,000 --> 00:38:42,000 STATE. 1005 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:43,000 >> DIRECTOR OF THE IOWA CAUCUSES 1006 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:44,000 PROJECT AT DRAKE. 1007 00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:46,000 >> WHEN YOU HAVE A FEW PRECINCTS 1008 00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,000 THAT ARE HEAVILY HEAVILY 1009 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:49,000 POPULATED BY COLLEGE STUDENTS 1010 00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,000 THEIR VOTES WILL MATTER A GREAT 1011 00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,000 DEAL IN THOSE PRECINCTS BUT 1012 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:55,000 STATEWIDE THAT'S UNLIKELY TO 1013 00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:59,000 HAVE A MAJOR OUTCOME ON THE VOTE 1014 00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,000 OVERALL. >> BUT SHE ALSO SEEMS TO LEAVE 1015 00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:02,000 THE DOOR OPEN. 1016 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,000 IT COULD BE DIFFERENT THIS TIME. 1017 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:08,000 BECAUSE OF MILLENNIALS ABILITY 1018 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,000 TO INFLUENCE AND ORGANIZATION 1019 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,000 ONLINE. >> IF YOU COULD PUT POLITICAL 1020 00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:16,000 MOTIVATION UNDER THE BUTTS OF 1021 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,000 YOUNG PEOPLE IT BRINGS A LOT OF 1022 00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:23,000 MAGIC. 1023 00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,000 >> AND THAT WAS DUARTE 1024 00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:29,000 GERALDINO. I WANT TO TALK TO JENNIFER 1025 00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:32,000 LAWLESS NOW PROFESSOR AUTHOR 1026 00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:35,000 OF SEVERAL BOOKS INCLUDING 1027 00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:37,000 "RUNNING FROM OFFICE, WHY YOUNG 1028 00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:41,000 AMERICANS ARE TURNED OFF TO 1029 00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:42,000 POLITICS." JENNIFER LONDON GOOD TO SEE YOU 1030 00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,000 THANK YOU FOR BEING WITH US. 1031 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:45,000 IN EVERY ONE OF THESE CAMPAIGNS 1032 00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,000 THERE SEEMS TO BE A HOME FOR 1033 00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:48,000 YOUNG PEOPLE A PLACE TO WHICH 1034 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:49,000 THEY GRAVITATE. 1035 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:52,000 IT WAS BARACK OBAMA IT WAS RON 1036 00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:53,000 PAUL ONE TIME, IT'S NOT 1037 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:56,000 HAPPENING FOR RAND PAUL BUT IT'S 1038 00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:57,000 BERNIE SANDERS IN THIS CAMPAIGN 1039 00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,000 AND TO SOME DEGREE DONALD TRUMP. 1040 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,000 TELL ME IS THAT A PHENOMENON OR 1041 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,000 ARE THESE UNRELATED THINGS THAT 1042 00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,000 YOUNG PEOPLE TEND OFIND THESE 1043 00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:06,000 INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES WHO THEY 1044 00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:07,000 LIKE? 1045 00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,000 >> YOUNG PEOPLE DEFINITELY 1046 00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,000 MIGRATE TOWARDS CANDIDATES THAT 1047 00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:12,000 DON'T REPRESENT THE 1048 00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:13,000 ESTABLISHMENT AND THIS 1049 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:14,000 GENERATION IN PARTICULAR, WE'RE 1050 00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:17,000 SEEING THAT WITH TRUMP AND 1051 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:20,000 SANDERS. BECAUSE TODAY'S YOUNG PEOPLE 1052 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:21,000 LOOK AROUND AND ALL THEY'VE EVER 1053 00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:24,000 KNOWN IS A DYSFUNCTIONAL 1054 00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:27,000 WASHINGTON GRIDLOCK, STALEMATE 1055 00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:28,000 THE INABILITY TO GET THINGS 1056 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:29,000 DONE. 1057 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:32,000 SO THEY'RE PARTICULARLY DRAWN TO 1058 00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,000 CANDIDATES WHO WANT TO DO 1059 00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:35,000 SOMETHING IN A COMPLETELY 1060 00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:36,000 DIFFERENT WAY THEY WANT TO 1061 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,000 CHANGE THE RULES OF THE GAME. 1062 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:40,000 >> DO THEY GET DISORIENTED 1063 00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:43,000 THOSE WHO VOTED FOR BARACK 1064 00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,000 OBAMA, AND DIDN'T GET CHANGE 1065 00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,000 THEY WANTED OR, THIS PERSON 1066 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:50,000 SPEAKS IN PLAIN LANGUAGE, THEY 1067 00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:51,000 SEEM TO WANT TO GET THINGS DONE 1068 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,000 AND THEY'RE NOT PART OF THE 1069 00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:54,000 ESTABLISHMENT WHAT MOWS 1070 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,000 RESONATES WITH THEM? 1071 00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:57,000 >> IT'S A LITTLE BIT OF BOTH. 1072 00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,000 IN PART THE PEOPLE THAT THOUGHT 1073 00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:00,000 THAT BARACK OBAMA WAS GOING TO 1074 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,000 DELIVER CRAZY CHANGE OVER THE 1075 00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:04,000 COURSE OF THE LAST EIGHT YEARS 1076 00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:06,000 AND FILED TO DO SO MIGHT BE 1077 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:08,000 TURNED OFF. AND WHAT WE FOUND IN OUR 1078 00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:09,000 RESEARCH IS THOSE PEOPLE NOW 1079 00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,000 THINK THAT ELECTORAL POLITICS IS 1080 00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:13,000 NOT THE MOST EFFECTIVE WAY TO 1081 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,000 SOLVE PROBLEMS. BUT FOR A NEW CROP OF YOUNG 1082 00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:17,000 PEOPLE THE MESSAGES OF 1083 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:20,000 CANDIDATES LIKE TRUMP OR CRUZ OR 1084 00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:21,000 SANDERS OR EVEN RUBIO 1085 00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,000 CANDIDATES THAT DON'T LOOK LIKE 1086 00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:24,000 THE TRADITIONAL ESTABLISHMENT 1087 00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:26,000 THAT DON'T LOOK LIKE POLITICS AS 1088 00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:27,000 USUAL SEEM TO GENERATE A SENSE 1089 00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:31,000 OF HOPE AND OPTIMISM AMONG YOUNG 1090 00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:32,000 AMERICANS. 1091 00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:33,000 >> YOU'VE ALSO WRITTEN BOOKS 1092 00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:35,000 ABOUT WOMEN AND THE ROLE WOMEN 1093 00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:36,000 PLAY IN POLITICS. 1094 00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,000 ONE OF THE THINGS YOU'VE NOTED 1095 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:41,000 IS WOMEN WERE NOT MONOLITHIC IN 1096 00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:46,000 THE SAME WAY WHY ARE WOMEN NOT 1097 00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:48,000 SUPPORTING HILLARY CLINTON EN 1098 00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:51,000 MASSE, THEY ARE VOTING FOR THE 1099 00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:52,000 SAME ISSUES THAT MEN ARE. 1100 00:41:52,000 --> 00:41:54,000 >> THAT'S EXACTLY RIGHT. 1101 00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:56,000 WOMEN ARE MORE LIKELY THAN MEN 1102 00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:57,000 TO SUPPORT DEMOCRATIC 1103 00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,000 CANDIDATES, THERE'S BEEN A 1104 00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,000 SUBSTANTIAL GENDER GAP SINCE 1105 00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:03,000 1980 WITH WOMEN MORE LIKELY THAN 1106 00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:05,000 MEN TO SUPPORT THE DEMOCRATS. 1107 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:06,000 BUT AMONG THE WOMEN THERE IS A 1108 00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:08,000 LOT OF VARIATION AND IN A 1109 00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:09,000 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY NOT ALL WOMEN 1110 00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:13,000 ARE THE SAME AND ONE WOMEN IN 1111 00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:14,000 PARTICULAR LIKE MILLENNIALS IN 1112 00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:17,000 GENERAL SUPPORTING BERNIE 1113 00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:18,000 SANDERS. >> PROFESSOR JENNIFER LAWLESS 1114 00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,000 GOOD TO SEE YOU, THANK YOU FOR 1115 00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:23,000 BEING WITH US. 1116 00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:24,000 JOHN. >> THANK YOU ALI. 1117 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:27,000 WE WANT TO GO TO MICHAEL SHURE 1118 00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,000 AT ROOSEVELT HIGH SCHOOL WHERE 1119 00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,000 THE DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS CONTINUES. 1120 00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:33,000 WE'RE ABOUT AN HOUR AND 45 1121 00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:34,000 MINUTES IN, MICHAEL. 1122 00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,000 >> IT IS CONTINUING AND JUST TO 1123 00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,000 PAINT A PICTURE FOR YOU JOHN, 1124 00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:42,000 YOU HAVE THE HILLARY CLINTON 1125 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,000 PEOPLE OVER ON ONE SIDE, BEHIND 1126 00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:46,000 ME ARE WHAT'S LEFT OF THE MARTIN 1127 00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:47,000 O'MALLEY PEOPLE. 1128 00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:49,000 THEY ARE NOT VIABLE, THEY ARE 1129 00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:51,000 STAYING TOGETHER, INCLUDING ONE 1130 00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:52,000 GIRL WHO HAS GIVEN UP AN ENTIRE 1131 00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:54,000 YEAR TO WORK FOR MARTIN 1132 00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:57,000 O'MALLEY. BUT JUST NOW SOME OF THEM WENT 1133 00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:58,000 OVER TO THE BERNIE SANDERS SIDE, 1134 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,000 THIS IS JUST ILLUSTRATIVE OF 1135 00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:03,000 WHAT THE CAUCUS IS LIKE AND HOW 1136 00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:06,000 IT MOVES VERY SLOWLY WHEN THERE 1137 00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:09,000 IS THIS MANY PEOPLE, 272 PEOPLE 1138 00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:10,000 THEY'RE COUNTERING. 1139 00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:11,000 EVEN THOUGH THEY ARE NOT VIABLE 1140 00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,000 SOME OF THESE PEOPLE ARE STILL 1141 00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:15,000 STICKING WITH MARTIN O'MALLEY IN 1142 00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:18,000 THE MIDDLE. 1143 00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:19,000 JOHN. 1144 00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:22,000 >> THANK YOU IT'S VERY CLOSE 1145 00:43:22,000 --> 00:43:23,000 BETWEEN HILLARY CLINTON AND 1146 00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:26,000 BERNIE SANDERS 51% 49% 65% OF 1147 00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,000 THE PRECINCTS REPORTING BUT AS 1148 00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:29,000 DAVID SCHUSTER POINTS OUT THERE 1149 00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:33,000 ARE A LOT OF COLLEGES, PRECINCTS 1150 00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:35,000 IN COLLEGE TOWNS WHERE THEY 1151 00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,000 DON'T HAVE A REPORT YET FROM 1152 00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:38,000 THOSE PRECINCTS. 1153 00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:39,000 AND THOSE MIGHT GO FOR BERNIE 1154 00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:40,000 SANDERS. 1155 00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:42,000 THE OTHER THING ABOUT THE 1156 00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:45,000 REPUBLICAN CAUCUSES IS THAT 49% 1157 00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:48,000 NOW, IT'S 29% FOR CRUZ, 25% FOR 1158 00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:51,000 TRUMP AND 21% FOR RUBIO. 1159 00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:53,000 VERY MUCH A THREE MAN RACE AND 1160 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,000 STILL HALF THE VOTE TO BE 1161 00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:57,000 COUNTED OR THE CAUCUSES TO BE 1162 00:43:57,000 --> 00:43:59,000 COUNTED. WE'LL TAKE A QUICK BREAK AND 1163 00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:01,000 WE'LL GET BACK TO THE COVERAGE, 1164 00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:02,000 OUR COVERAGE OF THE IOWA 1165 00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:03,000 CAUCUSES, RIGHT AFTER THIS, 1166 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:06,000 DON'T GO AWAY. 1167 00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:11,000 AWAY. 1168 00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,000 >> WELCOME BACK EVERYONE TO OUR 1169 00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:04,000 CONK OF THE IOWA CAUCUSES. 1170 00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:06,000 LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE 1171 00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:08,000 NUMBERS, REPUBLICAN CONTEST WE 1172 00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:10,000 HAVE 56, 55% OF THE VOLT IN AND 1173 00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:13,000 IT REALLY IS A THREE MAN RACE. 1174 00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:15,000 WITH TED CRUZ HE'S BEEN LEADING 1175 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:17,000 MOST OF THE EVENING WITH 29% 1176 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,000 DONALD TRUMP 25% AND MARCO RUBIO 1177 00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:20,000 AT 21%. 1178 00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:22,000 LET'S LOOK AT THE DEMOCRATIC 1179 00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:23,000 SIDE. THERE WE HAVE HILLARY CLINTON 1180 00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:26,000 WHO IS 51% TO BERNIE SANDERS 1181 00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:28,000 49%. IT'S A TIGHT RACE, AND A TOUGH 1182 00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:29,000 RACE TONIGHT. 1183 00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,000 THERE HAVE BEEN A LOT OF 1184 00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:32,000 REPUBLICANS WHO WERE SPECULATING 1185 00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:34,000 ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY ANYWAY OF 1186 00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:37,000 A BROKERED CONVENTION THIS 1187 00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,000 SUMMER. IT'S SOMETHING THAT HASN'T 1188 00:47:39,000 --> 00:47:41,000 HAPPENED IN DECADES. 1189 00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:46,000 ELIZABETHLIBBY CASEY IS IN WASHINGTON 1190 00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,000 WITH THAT STORY. 1191 00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:52,000 LIBBY. >> IT'S A LONG TIME BETWEEN NOW 1192 00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:55,000 AND THEN BUT ESTABLISHMENT 1193 00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,000 REPUBLICANS ARE TALKING ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A BROKERED 1194 00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:01,000 CONVENTION AND THAT TALK IS 1195 00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:02,000 ITSELF SIGNIFICANT. 1196 00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:04,000 IT SHOWS DISCOMFORT IN THE PARTY 1197 00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:09,000 BETWEEN THE TWO MEN LIEDING THE 1198 00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:12,000 RACE TED CRUZ AND DONALD TRUMP 1199 00:48:12,000 --> 00:48:15,000 AND CONCERNS ABOUT PART UNITY. 1200 00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,000 >> MR. CHAIRMAN AND DELEGATES I 1201 00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:18,000 ACCEPT YOUR NOMINATION FOR 1202 00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:22,000 PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES. 1203 00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:26,000 >> CONVENTIONS THE SPLASHY 1204 00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:31,000 STAGE OF THE PARTY NOMINEES BUT 1205 00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:35,000 WHAT IF IT'S NOT THIS 1206 00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:37,000 PREDICTABLE? >> THIS IS NOT A UNIFIED 1207 00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:38,000 REPUBLICAN PARTY. 1208 00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,000 >> A SPLIT BETWEEN ESTABLISHMENT 1209 00:48:40,000 --> 00:48:43,000 REPUBLICANS AND SO-CALLED 1210 00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:45,000 OUTSIDERS, LIKE DONALD TRUMP HE 1211 00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:47,000 MEANS THE NOMINATION WILL STILL 1212 00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:52,000 BE IN FLUX COME THE REPUBLICAN 1213 00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:54,000 CONVENTION. 1214 00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:56,000 >> I'M CONSIDERING THAT WE'RE 1215 00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:57,000 ALREADY SEEING THE POSSIBILITY 1216 00:48:57,000 --> 00:49:00,000 OF A BROKERED CONVENTION. 1217 00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,000 >> THAT'S WHEN THE LEADER 1218 00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:04,000 DOESN'T HAVE THE BACKING OF THE 1219 00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:08,000 MAJORITY OF THE DELEGATES. 1220 00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:13,000 IT WAS PRESIDENT JERALD FORD. 1221 00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:18,000 WEPT ON TOWENT ON TO LOSE THE ELECTION. 1222 00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:23,000 MICHELLE BERNARD. 1223 00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:24,000 >> IF THE PARTY LOOKS BAD TO THE 1224 00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:27,000 GOVERNMENT IT RAISES YOUR 1225 00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:30,000 CHANCES OF LOSING. 1226 00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:31,000 >> EARLY PRIMARY STATES LIKE 1227 00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:32,000 DONALD TRUMP. 1228 00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:34,000 >> IN THE EVENT THAT DONALD 1229 00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:37,000 TRUMP HAPPENS TO WIN THE IOWA 1230 00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,000 CAUCUSES, IT IS VERY CERTAIN HE 1231 00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:40,000 COULD RUN THE TABLE IN THE FIRST 1232 00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:44,000 TWO OR THREE PRIMARY CONTESTS. 1233 00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:48,000 >> THAT'S NOT COMFORTABLE TO 1234 00:49:48,000 --> 00:49:49,000 ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS THE 1235 00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:51,000 NATIONAL REVIEW HAS COME OUT 1236 00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:54,000 AGAINST TRUMP AND GOP LEADERS 1237 00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:57,000 MET PRIVATELY TO TALK ABOUT THE 1238 00:49:57,000 --> 00:50:01,000 POSSIBILITY OF A BROKERED 1239 00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:02,000 CONVENTION. >> THEY WOULDN'T WANT TO SHOW 1240 00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:05,000 BIAS TO ONE CANDIDATE OR DEFENSE 1241 00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:06,000 ANY ONE CANDIDATE AND THEY'VE 1242 00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:08,000 GOT TO SHOW OPENNESS TO THE 1243 00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:10,000 CHOICE OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. 1244 00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:13,000 >> Reporter: EVEN IF AN 1245 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,000 OUTSIDER CANDIDATE LIKE DONALD 1246 00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:18,000 TRUMP OR TED CRUZ WINS AN EARLY 1247 00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,000 LEAD THERE COULD BE A WITH ITER 1248 00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:25,000 CONVENTION FIGHT WILD CARD, 1249 00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:27,000 SUPERDELEGATES AT THE CONVENTION 1250 00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:30,000 WHO CAN VOTE HOWEVER THEY WANT. 1251 00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:32,000 >> THERE'S A CHANCE THEY WON'T 1252 00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:34,000 PLEDGE THEIR SUPPORT FOR DONALD 1253 00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:39,000 TRUMP AND MIGHT PLEDGE TO TED 1254 00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:43,000 CRUZ OR MARCO RUBIO OR CHRIS 1255 00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:44,000 CHRISTIE. >> WHETHER GOP LEADERSHIP WILL 1256 00:50:44,000 --> 00:50:48,000 AGREE OR NOT. 1257 00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:50,000 A NAME THAT COULD BE FLOATED AT 1258 00:50:50,000 --> 00:50:52,000 THE CONVENTION THAT SOMEONE IS 1259 00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:54,000 NOT EVEN RUNNING FOR THE 1260 00:50:54,000 --> 00:50:56,000 REPUBLICAN NOMINATION YET. 1261 00:50:56,000 --> 00:51:00,000 PICTURE A MICHAEL BLOOMBERG THE 1262 00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:01,000 FORM HE NEW YORK CITY MAYOR WHO 1263 00:51:01,000 --> 00:51:06,000 IS PONDERING ANOTHER RUN. 1264 00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:12,000 IT MAY COME DOWN TO WHETHER 1265 00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:14,000 THESE SUPERDELEGATES FIND THESE 1266 00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:16,000 CANDIDATES MORE APPEALING THAN 1267 00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:20,000 DONALD TRUMP OR TED CRUZ, UNEASE 1268 00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:21,000 AMONG ESTABLISHMENT RANKS OVER 1269 00:51:21,000 --> 00:51:24,000 WHAT THE NEXT FEW MONTHS COULD 1270 00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:25,000 BRING. 1271 00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:26,000 JOHN. >> THANK YOU LIBBY. 1272 00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,000 I WANT TO TALK ABOUT MARCO RUBIO 1273 00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:32,000 TONIGHT, BETTER THAN EXPECTED 1274 00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:34,000 RIGHT? >> BETTER, HE GOT THAT BIG 1275 00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:38,000 IMORMT A COUPLEENDORSEMENT A COUPLE 1276 00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:42,000 OF WEEKS AGO BUT TO BE SO CLOSE TO DONALD 1277 00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:44,000 TRUMP AND TED CRUZ, IS HUGE FOR 1278 00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:45,000 HIM. 1279 00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:49,000 IF HE MAINTAINS A 20 PLUS% MARK 1280 00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:50,000 TONIGHT HE'S IN GREAT SHAPE FOR 1281 00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:52,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTH 1282 00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:53,000 CAROLINA. 1283 00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:55,000 >> WHAT ELSE SURPRISED YOU ABOUT 1284 00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:56,000 THE NUMBERS JEANNIE? 1285 00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:57,000 >> I WAS GOING TO HAVE TO SAY 1286 00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,000 BEN CARSON IS A BIT OF A 1287 00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:00,000 SURPRISE TONIGHT IF THIS HOLDS 1288 00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:01,000 AT 10%. 1289 00:52:01,000 --> 00:52:03,000 I MEAN I AGREE WITH JOE I THINK 1290 00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:05,000 RUBIO IS THE STORY OF THE NIGHT 1291 00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:07,000 HE'S BEATING EXPECTATIONS SO 1292 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,000 FAR, HE'S GOT CLAIM VICTORY ON 1293 00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:10,000 THAT POINT. 1294 00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:12,000 BUT YOU KNOW BEN CARSON 1295 00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,000 EVERYBODY SAID HE WAS BASICALLY 1296 00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:15,000 DONE AND LOOK AT HIM DPLOMG 1297 00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:20,000 FOURTHHIM COMING INFOURTH HERE. 1298 00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:23,000 HE'S NOT GOING TO WIN BY ANY 1299 00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:24,000 STRETCH OF THE IMAGINATION BUT 1300 00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:27,000 LOOK AT HIM. 1301 00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:28,000 >> HOW WINNING THE RATINGS AND 1302 00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:30,000 THE POLLS THAT DID NOT SO FAR 1303 00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:33,000 WITH ALMOST 60% OF THE PRECINCTS 1304 00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:35,000 REPORTING HASN'T GOTTEN HIM A 1305 00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:36,000 WIN IN IOWA SO FAR. 1306 00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:39,000 >> WE KNOW THE PEOPLE OUTSIDE OF 1307 00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:42,000 THE POLITICAL ESTABLISHMENT THEY HAVE A WIN REGARDLESS WHETHER 1308 00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,000 IT'S DONALD TRUMP OR TED CRUZ OR 1309 00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,000 BEN CARSON, I DON'T THINK BEN 1310 00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:47,000 CARSON'S DAYS ARE GOING TO 1311 00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:49,000 CONTINUE. YOU CAN'T COME IN FOURTH PLACE 1312 00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,000 AND BE A THIRD OF THE 1313 00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:53,000 ANTIESTABLISHMENT CANDIDATES AND 1314 00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:55,000 STILL -- BUT IF YOU ADD UP THE 1315 00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:57,000 PERCENTAGES OF DONALD TRUMP AND 1316 00:52:57,000 --> 00:52:59,000 TED CRUZ AND BEN CARSON THE 1317 00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:00,000 THREE PEOPLE THAT THE 1318 00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:01,000 ESTABLISHMENT HATES YOU'RE 1319 00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:03,000 LOOKING AT 65% OF THE REPUBLICAN 1320 00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:04,000 VOTERS IN IOWA THAT ARE GOING 1321 00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:05,000 THAT DIRECTION. 1322 00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:07,000 THAT IS WHY THERE'S SUCH A 1323 00:53:07,000 --> 00:53:09,000 DESIRE AMONG ESTABLISHMENT THE 1324 00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:11,000 POLITICAL INSIDERS PERHAPS AFTER 1325 00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:14,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE TO RALLY AROUND 1326 00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,000 ONE OF THEIR OWN WHETHER IT'S 1327 00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:21,000 MARCO RUBIO JOHN KASICH, RIGHT 1328 00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:25,000 NOW IT'S A GREAT NIGHT FOR MARCO 1329 00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:27,000 RUBIO. 1330 00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:29,000 >> LET'S LET ALI VELSHI SPEAK 1331 00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:33,000 THE A REPUBLICAN INSIDER IN 1332 00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:34,000 IOWA ALI. 1333 00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:35,000 >> FORMER AID TO HILLARY 1334 00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:40,000 CLINTON, NOW AT GEORGETOWN A'S'S 1335 00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:48,000 SUIT, I ASKED HIM IS THIS AN 1336 00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:50,000 ANTIESTABLISHMENT THING AND HE 1337 00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:51,000 SAID NOT AS MUCH AS ON THE 1338 00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:52,000 REPUBLICAN SIDE. 1339 00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:55,000 WHEN DAVID SCHUSTER SAID, THERE 1340 00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:57,000 IS A LOT OF VOTES THAT ARE NOT 1341 00:53:57,000 --> 00:53:58,000 THE WAY THE ESTABLISHMENT WANT 1342 00:53:58,000 --> 00:53:59,000 THEM TO GO. 1343 00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:03,000 >> I KIND OF BRISTLE -- 1344 00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:05,000 >> I YOU EVERY TIME AND YOU SAY 1345 00:54:05,000 --> 00:54:06,000 I'M WRONG. 1346 00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:08,000 >> THERE ISN'T A ESTABLISHMENT 1347 00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:10,000 PICK. I DON'T KNOW IF I AGREE THAT. 1348 00:54:10,000 --> 00:54:11,000 FRANKLY IT DOESN'T MATTER. 1349 00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,000 THE PEOPLE OF IOWA GET THE FIRST 1350 00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:15,000 CRACK AT THIS. 1351 00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:16,000 THEY'RE ABLE TO TOUCH PROD AND 1352 00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:19,000 TALK TO THESE PEOPLE 1353 00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:20,000 INDIVIDUALLY. 1354 00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:23,000 PART OF THE REASONS THESE 1355 00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,000 CARVE-OUTS EXIST IS TO TALK TO 1356 00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:27,000 THE CANDIDATES UP CLOSE AND 1357 00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:30,000 PERSONAL. I WOULD AGREE THE PARTY'S JOB 1358 00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,000 IS TO BE THERE WHEN THE PEOPLE 1359 00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,000 CHOOSE TO NOMINATE, AND A BUNCH 1360 00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:35,000 OF PEOPLE IN WASHINGTON MATTER, 1361 00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:39,000 IS SORT OF LIKE A MYTHOLOGY. 1362 00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:41,000 >> MO WHAT DO YOU THINK? 1363 00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:43,000 I MEAN SEAN AND I HAVE THIS 1364 00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:45,000 CONVERSATION AT EVERY DEBATE AND 1365 00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:48,000 SEAN TELLS ME AT EVERY DEBATE 1366 00:54:48,000 --> 00:54:50,000 THAT HE'S IN THE BUSINESS OF THE 1367 00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:51,000 REPUBLICAN PARTY THAT THE PEOPLE 1368 00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:52,000 CHOOSE. 1369 00:54:52,000 --> 00:54:54,000 DO WE MAKE TOO MUCH OF THIS 1370 00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:56,000 ANTIESTABLISHMENT THING? 1371 00:54:56,000 --> 00:54:58,000 >> LOOK, I THINK SEAN IS 1372 00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:00,000 ABSOLUTELY RIGHT THAT'S THE JOB 1373 00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:04,000 OF THE PARTY AND SEAN IS A 1374 00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:05,000 GOOD GOOD FRIEND AND I'M GOING 1375 00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:08,000 TO FEEL FOR HIM IF DONALD TRUMP 1376 00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:09,000 IS THE NOMINEE AND THAT'S WHO 1377 00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:11,000 HE'S GOT TO SUPPORT. 1378 00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:13,000 BUT IT'S HARD TO SAY THAT THE 1379 00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:15,000 REPUBLICAN CAUCUS GOERS IN IOWA 1380 00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:17,000 AREN'T SENDING A CLEAR MESSAGE 1381 00:55:17,000 --> 00:55:18,000 THAT THEY JUST HAVEN'T BEEN 1382 00:55:18,000 --> 00:55:20,000 THRILLED WITH THE DIRECTION THAT 1383 00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:21,000 WASHINGTON REPUBLICANS HAVE 1384 00:55:21,000 --> 00:55:24,000 TAKEN THEMODAY. NOT SEAN, NOT THE P 1385 00:55:24,000 --> 00:55:27,000 INFRASTRUCTURE NOT RINES 1386 00:55:27,000 --> 00:55:29,000 PREBIS WHO HAS DONE A HECK OF A 1387 00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:34,000 JOB AS THE PARTY CHAIR BUT THE 1388 00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:37,000 ONE BREAKING THROUGH TO THE TOP 1389 00:55:37,000 --> 00:55:39,000 TIER IS THE GUY RAILING DEFENSE 1390 00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:40,000 IT. 1391 00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:41,000 PEOPLE IN THE DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS 1392 00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,000 ACTUALLY WANT TO CONTINUE LOOK 1393 00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,000 THE SAME TRAJECTORY THAT BARACK 1394 00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:48,000 OBAMA HAS TAKEN. 1395 00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:49,000 SO YOU'RE NOT SEEING THE SAME 1396 00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:51,000 KIND OF REPUDIATION AGAINST 1397 00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:54,000 WHERE THE -- WHERE SORT OF THE 1398 00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:55,000 WASHINGTON CENTRIC FOCUS OF THE 1399 00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:57,000 PARTY HAS BEEN ON THE DEMOCRATIC 1400 00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:58,000 SIDE AS YOU ARE ON THE 1401 00:55:58,000 --> 00:55:59,000 REPUBLICAN SIDE. 1402 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:01,000 I THINK THAT'S JUST CLEAR -- NOT 1403 00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:03,000 PASSING VALUE JUDGMENT ON THAT, 1404 00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:06,000 THAT'S CLEAR BASED OFTEN HOW THE 1405 00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:08,000 RESULTS ARE COMING IN. 1406 00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:09,000 >> SEAN HAS SOMETHING TO SAY ON 1407 00:56:09,000 --> 00:56:10,000 THIS. 1408 00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:12,000 >> THE IDEA THAT WITH EIGHT 1409 00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:14,000 YEARS OF PREPARATION I SAY THIS 1410 00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:16,000 RESPECTFULLY, YOU HAVE A 1411 00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:18,000 74-YEAR-OLD SOCIALIST GADFLY 1412 00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:19,000 FROM VERMONT RUNNING AGAINST HER 1413 00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:21,000 AND IT'S NECK AND NECK HERE 1414 00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:23,000 HEADING INTO THE FINAL HOUR OR 1415 00:56:23,000 --> 00:56:25,000 SO OF TABULATING THE VOTES. 1416 00:56:25,000 --> 00:56:26,000 I THINK IF YOU ARE HILLARY 1417 00:56:26,000 --> 00:56:27,000 CLINTON YOU LOOK AT THIS AND 1418 00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:29,000 IT'S A BIG SIGN OF PROBLEMS IN 1419 00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:30,000 TERMS OF WHERE THE DEMOCRATIC 1420 00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:32,000 PARTY IS AND WHERE YOU ARE. 1421 00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:34,000 AND AS YOU GO INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE 1422 00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:36,000 WHERE YOU'RE DOWN DOUBLE DIGITS 1423 00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:38,000 THAT'S OPROBLEM. 1424 00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:40,000 >> MO? >> YES, NO I THINK TONIGHT IS A 1425 00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:42,000 HUGE WAKEUP CALL IF YOU ARE 1426 00:56:42,000 --> 00:56:44,000 HILLARY CLINTON. THERE'S NO QUESTION ABOUT IT. 1427 00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:46,000 I THINK THEY'VE COME ON STRONG 1428 00:56:46,000 --> 00:56:48,000 AT THE END WE'LL SEE IF IT'S 1429 00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:49,000 STRONG ENOUGH, THEY'VE PUT A LOT 1430 00:56:49,000 --> 00:56:51,000 OF TIME AND ENERGY INTO THE 1431 00:56:51,000 --> 00:56:52,000 ORGANIZATION ON THE GROUND AND 1432 00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:53,000 THAT ORGANIZATION MAY BE WHAT 1433 00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:55,000 SAVES HER IN IOWA TONIGHT. 1434 00:56:55,000 --> 00:56:56,000 AND THEY BETTER HOPE THAT 1435 00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:57,000 THEY'VE DONE THAT. 1436 00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:58,000 BUT YOU KNOW LOOK I THINK 1437 00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:00,000 THERE'S A LOT OF PEOPLE IN THE 1438 00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:01,000 DEMOCRATIC PARTY WHO WORRY THAT 1439 00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:03,000 THE CAMPAIGN WAS SORT OF TAKEN 1440 00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:04,000 FOR GRANTED FOR ALONG PERIOD OF 1441 00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:05,000 TIME. 1442 00:57:05,000 --> 00:57:07,000 YOU SAW A LOT OF SIGNS OF LIFE 1443 00:57:07,000 --> 00:57:08,000 HERE AT THE END AND THAT MAY 1444 00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:11,000 HAVE STUNTED SOME OF SANDERS 1445 00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:12,000 MOMENTUM IF IT PLAYS OUT THE WAY 1446 00:57:12,000 --> 00:57:14,000 IT LOOKS LIKE IT'S PLAYING OUT 1447 00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:15,000 RIGHT NOW. 1448 00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:16,000 BUT I DON'T THINK THERE'S ANY 1449 00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:17,000 QUESTION THAT THIS IS A LITTLE 1450 00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:19,000 TOO CLOSE FOR COMFORT FOR THE 1451 00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,000 HILLARY PEOPLE AND NOW THEY'VE 1452 00:57:21,000 --> 00:57:23,000 GOT TO GO OUT THERE AND FIGHT 1453 00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:24,000 FOR EVERY SINGLE VOTE IN THE 1454 00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,000 NEXT ROUND OF PRIMARIES. 1455 00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:28,000 >> NO KIDDING ALL RIGHT. 1456 00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:30,000 LET ME ASK YOU THIS, WHEN YOU 1457 00:57:30,000 --> 00:57:32,000 LOOK AT THE NUMBER 3 CANDIDATE 1458 00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:33,000 MARCO RUBIO COMING IN A LOT 1459 00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:35,000 CLOSER AS NUMBER 3 THANK A LOT 1460 00:57:35,000 --> 00:57:37,000 OF PEOPLE EXPECTED. 1461 00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:38,000 HIS CAMPAIGN REALLY WENT OUT OF 1462 00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:41,000 THE WAY TO MATCH PEOPLE'S 1463 00:57:41,000 --> 00:57:42,000 EXPECTATIONS. 1464 00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:43,000 WE THOUGHT THIS WAS A TWO MAN 1465 00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:45,000 RACE WITH ANOTHER TIER, NOW THIS 1466 00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:48,000 IS A THREE MAN RACE. 1467 00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:50,000 >> NO QUESTION IT'S A GOOD NIGHT 1468 00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:52,000 FOR SENATOR RUBIO. 1469 00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:53,000 THE BIG THING ABOUT IOWA IS THAT 1470 00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:55,000 IT'S ALL ABOUT PERCEPTION, AND I 1471 00:57:55,000 --> 00:57:57,000 THINK DEFEATING THOSE 1472 00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:59,000 PROJECTIONS YOU CAN WIN AND NOT 1473 00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,000 DO AS WELL OR YOU CAN LOSE BUT 1474 00:58:01,000 --> 00:58:02,000 DO BETTER THAN -- I THINK AS FAR 1475 00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:04,000 AS EXPECTATIONS GO THERE'S NO 1476 00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:05,000 QUESTION THAT HE'S DONE WELL AND 1477 00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:08,000 BEAT I THINK WHAT A LOT OF FOLKS 1478 00:58:08,000 --> 00:58:11,000 HAD WHAT HE NEEDED TO DO 1479 00:58:11,000 --> 00:58:14,000 TONIGHT. >> SEAN ALWAYS GOOD TO TALK TO 1480 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:16,000 US THANKS FOR MAKING TIME, MO, 1481 00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:21,000 GOOD FOR TALKING TO US. 1482 00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:27,000 FURTHER ON THE IOWA PRIMARY -- 1483 00:58:27,000 --> 00:58:28,000 IOWA CAUCUSES, THEY'RE GOING TO 1484 00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:33,000 THROW ME OUT FOR SAYING THAT! 1485 01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:49,000 >> WELCOME BACK EVERYONE WE HAVE 1486 01:00:49,000 --> 01:00:52,000 BREAKING NEWS, MARTIN O'MALLEY, 1487 01:00:52,000 --> 01:00:54,000 ACCORDING TO MANY SOURCES 1488 01:00:54,000 --> 01:00:57,000 INCLUDING THE WASHINGTON POST, 1489 01:00:57,000 --> 01:00:59,000 SUSPENDING HIS CAMPAIGN TONIGHT. 1490 01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:01,000 IOWA CAUCUSES, 69% OF THE VOTE 1491 01:01:01,000 --> 01:01:05,000 IN THE DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSES IN, 1492 01:01:05,000 --> 01:01:06,000 1% OF THE VOTE. 1493 01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:08,000 IT'S STILL VERY TIGHT BETWEEN 1494 01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:09,000 HILLARY CLINTON AND BERNIE SANDERS. 1495 01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:10,000 ON THE REPUBLICAN SIDE IT 1496 01:01:10,000 --> 01:01:12,000 APPEARS TO BE A THREE MAN RACE 1497 01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:14,000 BUT TED CRUZ IS OUT FRONT AS HE 1498 01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:16,000 HAS BEEN THROUGHOUT THE EVENING 1499 01:01:16,000 --> 01:01:19,000 62% OF THE VOTE IN, DONALD TRUMP 1500 01:01:19,000 --> 01:01:20,000 SECOND AND MARCO RUBIO IN THIRD 1501 01:01:20,000 --> 01:01:21,000 AT 22%. 1502 01:01:21,000 --> 01:01:24,000 MICHAEL SHURE IS AT ROOSEVELT 1503 01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:25,000 HIGH SCHOOL IN DES MOINES WITH 1504 01:01:25,000 --> 01:01:29,000 MORE ON HIS CAUCUSES. 1505 01:01:29,000 --> 01:01:33,000 MICHAEL. 1506 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:35,000 >> YES JOHN, THE CAUCUS JUST 1507 01:01:35,000 --> 01:01:37,000 BROKE UP. 1508 01:01:37,000 --> 01:01:40,000 IT WAS BERNIE SANDERS WIN TREAN 1509 01:01:40,000 --> 01:01:42,000 TO TEN. 1510 01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:43,000 AND MARTIN O'MALLEY DIDN'T GET 1511 01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:46,000 ANY. 1512 01:01:46,000 --> 01:01:51,000 AND, THAT IS WHAT MAKES THE IOWA 1513 01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:56,000 CAUCUSES KELLEN ZIMMER, YOU 1514 01:01:56,000 --> 01:01:58,000 WERE AN OEM MALLEY SUPPORTER 1515 01:01:58,000 --> 01:02:00,000 YOU HAVE HEARD HE IS DROPPING 1516 01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:02,000 OUT. >> YES I HEARD THAT. 1517 01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:05,000 WE GOT SOME PEOPLE TO SUPPORT 1518 01:02:05,000 --> 01:02:07,000 THE GOVERNOR, POLITICAL 1519 01:02:07,000 --> 01:02:09,000 DISCOURSE, BE THAT WITH THE 1520 01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:12,000 HILLARY CAMPAIGN OR THE SANDERS 1521 01:02:12,000 --> 01:02:14,000 CAMPAIGN, IT WAS GOOD TO EXPLAIN 1522 01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:19,000 WHY I APPRECIATED GOVERNOR 1523 01:02:19,000 --> 01:02:21,000 O'MALLEY. 1524 01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:22,000 >> KELLEN, TELL ME YOU WERE ONE 1525 01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:24,000 OF THE LAST PEOPLE TO GO OVER TO 1526 01:02:24,000 --> 01:02:25,000 THE OTHER SIDE. 1527 01:02:25,000 --> 01:02:30,000 YOU WENT TO O'MAPMALLEY TO SANDERS. 1528 01:02:32,000 --> 01:02:35,000 TELL ME WHAT YOU FELT QUICKLY. 1529 01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:36,000 >> OBVIOUSLY I WAS TORN. 1530 01:02:36,000 --> 01:02:38,000 THEY ARE ALL THREE GREAT 1531 01:02:38,000 --> 01:02:40,000 CANDIDATES. I DO REALIZE HILLARY'S 1532 01:02:40,000 --> 01:02:42,000 EXPERIENCE BUT I DO RECOGNIZE 1533 01:02:42,000 --> 01:02:44,000 THAT SENATOR SANDERS HAS REALLY 1534 01:02:44,000 --> 01:02:46,000 GOT A POLITICAL REVOLUTION 1535 01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:47,000 STARTED REALLY GOTTEN PEOPLE 1536 01:02:47,000 --> 01:02:49,000 ENGAGED AND I THINK THAT'S GOING 1537 01:02:49,000 --> 01:02:51,000 TO BE IMPORTANT ESPECIALLY IN 1538 01:02:51,000 --> 01:02:52,000 THE COMING YEARS TO SEE PEOPLE 1539 01:02:52,000 --> 01:02:54,000 IN MY GENERATION ACTIVELY 1540 01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:55,000 ENGAGED IN POLITICS. 1541 01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:57,000 IF THIS IS A START I WANT TO BE 1542 01:02:57,000 --> 01:02:59,000 PART OF THAT START TO WHERE WE 1543 01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:00,000 CAN CONTINUE THAT IN THE FUTURE 1544 01:03:00,000 --> 01:03:05,000 FOR ENGAGEMENT IN MY GENERATION. 1545 01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:08,000 >> KELLEN THANK YOU SO MUCH. 1546 01:03:08,000 --> 01:03:10,000 MARTIN O'MALLEY IS HAVING A 1547 01:03:10,000 --> 01:03:11,000 PARTY, GOING TO GO TO THAT PARTY 1548 01:03:11,000 --> 01:03:13,000 AND ANNOUNCING HE'S SUSPENDING 1549 01:03:13,000 --> 01:03:14,000 THAT CAMPAIGN. 1550 01:03:14,000 --> 01:03:16,000 THE DEMOCRATS TWO-PERSON DEBATE, 1551 01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:18,000 ANOTHER INTERESTING THING 1552 01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:20,000 TWO-PERSON DEBATE BETWEEN 1553 01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:21,000 HILLARY CLINTON AND BERNIE SANDERS THIS THURSDAY NIGHT. 1554 01:03:21,000 --> 01:03:23,000 A LITTLE MORE DRAMA ON THE 1555 01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:24,000 DEMOCRATIC SIDE. 1556 01:03:24,000 --> 01:03:26,000 JOHN SIEGENTHALER TO YOU. 1557 01:03:26,000 --> 01:03:27,000 >> MARTIN O'MALLEY GETTING 1% OF 1558 01:03:27,000 --> 01:03:30,000 THE VOTE IN IOWA AND IT'S A 1% 1559 01:03:30,000 --> 01:03:32,000 RACE BETWEEN HILLARY CLINTON AND 1560 01:03:32,000 --> 01:03:33,000 BERNIE SANDERS AND THE VOTERS 1561 01:03:33,000 --> 01:03:36,000 HAVEN'T BEEN COUNTED YET RIGHT 1562 01:03:36,000 --> 01:03:38,000 DAVID? >> RIGHT, IF YOU LOOK OVERALL 1563 01:03:38,000 --> 01:03:40,000 JOHN THERE'S SOMETHING LIKE 69% 1564 01:03:40,000 --> 01:03:41,000 REPORTING STATEWIDE. 1565 01:03:41,000 --> 01:03:45,000 IN THE CITIES OF IOWA CITY THE 1566 01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:46,000 HOME OF THE UNIVERSITY OF IOWA 1567 01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:51,000 AND ALSO AIMES IOWA, THE HOME OF 1568 01:03:52,000 --> 01:03:55,000 IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY, ROOSEVELT 1569 01:03:55,000 --> 01:03:57,000 HIGH WITH MICHAEL SHURE THEY'RE 1570 01:03:57,000 --> 01:03:59,000 MOSTLY YOUNGER VOTERS, HE IS 1571 01:03:59,000 --> 01:04:02,000 GOING TO PICK UP DELEGATES 1572 01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:04,000 THERE. THIS NUMBER TO BERNIE SANDERS IS 1573 01:04:04,000 --> 01:04:07,000 GOING TO TIGHTEN. 1574 01:04:07,000 --> 01:04:11,000 JOHNSON CITY, THE HOME OF STORY 1575 01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:14,000 COUNTY, AND AIMES THEY ARE 1576 01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:15,000 LAGGING BEHIND, BERNIE SANDERS 1577 01:04:15,000 --> 01:04:17,000 IS GOING TO PICK UP SOME MORE 1578 01:04:17,000 --> 01:04:18,000 DELEGATES. 1579 01:04:18,000 --> 01:04:22,000 WILL IT BE ENOUGH TO CLOSE THE 1580 01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:23,000 19 DELEGATE GAP? 1581 01:04:23,000 --> 01:04:24,000 I'M NOT SURE. 1582 01:04:24,000 --> 01:04:26,000 THIS RACE IS GOING TO TIGHTEN 1583 01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:27,000 AND NOT THE KIND OF SCENARIO 1584 01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:30,000 THAT HILLARY CLINTON HAVE EVER 1585 01:04:30,000 --> 01:04:32,000 WANTED. 1586 01:04:32,000 --> 01:04:34,000 >> I DON'T KNOW WE MAY STILL 1587 01:04:34,000 --> 01:04:35,000 HAVE THOSE PICTURES OF DRAKE 1588 01:04:35,000 --> 01:04:37,000 UNIVERSITY BUT THEY STILL WERE 1589 01:04:37,000 --> 01:04:39,000 HAVING TROUBLE DIVIDING AND 1590 01:04:39,000 --> 01:04:40,000 COUNTING THE VOTES BECAUSE THEY 1591 01:04:40,000 --> 01:04:42,000 HAD SO MANY STUDENTS IN THAT 1592 01:04:42,000 --> 01:04:44,000 CROWD. BERNIE SANDERS COULD STILL WIN 1593 01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:46,000 IT TONIGHT RIGHT JEANNIE? 1594 01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:47,000 >> I ABSOLUTELY COULD. 1595 01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:50,000 I'M JUST THINKING AS DAVID WAS 1596 01:04:50,000 --> 01:04:51,000 TALK, IF YOU GO BACK SIX MONTHS 1597 01:04:51,000 --> 01:04:53,000 EIGHT MOCKS A YEAR WHO WOULD 1598 01:04:53,000 --> 01:04:54,000 EVER HAVE THOUGHT HILLARY 1599 01:04:54,000 --> 01:04:56,000 CLINTON WOULD BE THIS CLOSE WITH 1600 01:04:56,000 --> 01:04:58,000 SOMEONE LIKE BERNIE SANDERS IN 1601 01:04:58,000 --> 01:04:59,000 IOWA. ABSOLUTELY SHOCKING. 1602 01:04:59,000 --> 01:05:00,000 HE HAS WON A TREMENDOUS CAMPAIGN 1603 01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:02,000 AND HE HAS TWO TO ONE SUPPORT 1604 01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:03,000 AMONG YOUNG PEOPLE. 1605 01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:05,000 YOU GO TO THESE COLLEGE 1606 01:05:05,000 --> 01:05:06,000 OPPORTUNITIES TO AND BERNIE 1607 01:05:06,000 --> 01:05:08,000 SANDERS COULD LIKELY TAKE, THAT 1608 01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:10,000 COULD VERY WELL TAKE IT. 1609 01:05:10,000 --> 01:05:11,000 >> WHAT ARE REPUBLICANS SAYING 1610 01:05:11,000 --> 01:05:12,000 ABOUT THIS RACE JOE? 1611 01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:14,000 >> WHAT THEY ARE SAYING THIS MAY 1612 01:05:14,000 --> 01:05:18,000 NOT BE A BELLWETHER, BUT YOU 1613 01:05:18,000 --> 01:05:19,000 NEVER KNOW. 1614 01:05:19,000 --> 01:05:20,000 STILL TOO EARLY TO SAY. 1615 01:05:20,000 --> 01:05:21,000 >> ABOUT THE DEMOCRATS THE FACT 1616 01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:23,000 THAT HILLARY CLINTON IS NECK IN 1617 01:05:23,000 --> 01:05:24,000 NECK WITH BERNIE SANDERS IN 1618 01:05:24,000 --> 01:05:26,000 IOWA THEY GOT TO BE CHEERING 1619 01:05:26,000 --> 01:05:27,000 RIGHT? 1620 01:05:27,000 --> 01:05:32,000 >> I THINK EVERYONE WOULD EXPECT 1621 01:05:34,000 --> 01:05:37,000 IT TO BE A TIGHT RACE. 1622 01:05:37,000 --> 01:05:38,000 BERNIE SANDERS IS DOING AS WELL 1623 01:05:38,000 --> 01:05:39,000 IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. 1624 01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:40,000 THE QUESTION IS DOES HE HAVE 1625 01:05:40,000 --> 01:05:42,000 WHAT IT TAKES FOR THE LONG HAUL? 1626 01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:45,000 >> THERE IS A SIMILARITY BETWEEN 1627 01:05:45,000 --> 01:05:46,000 REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS. 1628 01:05:46,000 --> 01:05:48,000 YOU HAVE SOME FOLKS WHO WANT TO 1629 01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:50,000 BURN THE ESTABLISHMENT DOWN, 1630 01:05:50,000 --> 01:05:54,000 DONALD TRUMP, TED CRUZ AND TO 1631 01:05:54,000 --> 01:05:56,000 EXTENT BEN CARSON. 1632 01:05:56,000 --> 01:05:57,000 BIT BERNIE SANDERS IS THE 1633 01:05:57,000 --> 01:06:01,000 OUTSIDE CANDIDATE THAT THE 1634 01:06:01,000 --> 01:06:02,000 OUTSIDE IS WORRIED ABOUT. 1635 01:06:02,000 --> 01:06:05,000 HE WAS A SOCIALIST AND WASN'T 1636 01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:08,000 EVEN A DEMOCRAT NOW HE'S 14 1637 01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:09,000 POINTS BEHIND HILLARY CLINTON 1638 01:06:09,000 --> 01:06:11,000 AND BIG PRECINCTS TO GO. 1639 01:06:11,000 --> 01:06:13,000 THIS IS A SIGN THAT AGAIN THE 1640 01:06:13,000 --> 01:06:15,000 REJECTION ELECTION, A NUMBER OF 1641 01:06:15,000 --> 01:06:17,000 PUNDITS HAVE DESCRIBED THIS, 1642 01:06:17,000 --> 01:06:19,000 PEOPLE OUTSIDE THE SYSTEM WANT 1643 01:06:19,000 --> 01:06:21,000 TO SHAKE IT UP THEY ARE 1644 01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:23,000 RESONATING WITH BOTH THE 1645 01:06:23,000 --> 01:06:25,000 DEMOCRATIC AND REPUBLICAN PARTY. 1646 01:06:25,000 --> 01:06:28,000 >> LET'S NOT FORGET, HE IS 1647 01:06:28,000 --> 01:06:30,000 DEFINITELY GOING TO WIN NEW 1648 01:06:30,000 --> 01:06:32,000 HAMPSHIRE. 1649 01:06:32,000 --> 01:06:37,000 IF SHE LOSES IOWA SHE'S GOING TO 1650 01:06:38,000 --> 01:06:40,000 HAVE LOST THE FIRST TWO. 1651 01:06:40,000 --> 01:06:45,000 >> I'M JUG JUST LOOKING AT JUST LOOKING 1652 01:06:45,000 --> 01:06:46,000 AT THE 1653 01:06:46,000 --> 01:06:48,000 BOARD, THE NARROWING GAP BETWEEN 1654 01:06:48,000 --> 01:06:49,000 HILLARY CLINTON AND BERNIE 1655 01:06:49,000 --> 01:06:50,000 SANDERS AND THE ANNOUNCEMENT 1656 01:06:50,000 --> 01:06:52,000 THAT MARTIN O'MALLEY IS 1657 01:06:52,000 --> 01:06:53,000 SUSPENDING HIS CAMPAIGN. 1658 01:06:53,000 --> 01:06:56,000 I'M MORE INTERESTED ON THE RIGHT 1659 01:06:56,000 --> 01:06:57,000 SIDE OF THAT BOARD THE 1660 01:06:57,000 --> 01:07:00,000 REPUBLICAN CAUCUS, HOW CLOSE THE 1661 01:07:00,000 --> 01:07:03,000 RACE IS BETWEEN DONALD TRUMP AND 1662 01:07:03,000 --> 01:07:08,000 TED CRUZ AND PLIEB MARCO MARCO RUBIO. 1663 01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:13,000 THIS IS BECOMING A THREE-PERSON 1664 01:07:13,000 --> 01:07:14,000 RACE. 1665 01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:19,000 KASICH AND BUSH, LUK HUCKABEE, CARLY 1666 01:07:22,000 --> 01:07:25,000 FIORINA NOT REGISTERING 1667 01:07:25,000 --> 01:07:28,000 REMEMBER THERE WAS A LOT OF THAT 1668 01:07:28,000 --> 01:07:29,000 MAINSTREAM REPUBLICAN 1669 01:07:29,000 --> 01:07:30,000 ESTABLISHMENT MONEY THAT WASN'T 1670 01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:31,000 BEING COMMITTED JUST YET. 1671 01:07:31,000 --> 01:07:33,000 I THINK A LOT OF THAT IS GOING 1672 01:07:33,000 --> 01:07:34,000 TO START OVER TO MARCO RUBIO. 1673 01:07:34,000 --> 01:07:36,000 I THINK WE'RE LOOKING TO GO TO 1674 01:07:36,000 --> 01:07:38,000 MICHAEL SHURE I'M NOT 100% 1675 01:07:38,000 --> 01:07:41,000 CORRECT ON THAT? 1676 01:07:41,000 --> 01:07:44,000 SORRY, DAVE LEVENTHAL IS JOINING 1677 01:07:44,000 --> 01:07:45,000 US AGAIN FROM THE CENTER FOR 1678 01:07:45,000 --> 01:07:46,000 PUBLIC INTEGRITY. 1679 01:07:46,000 --> 01:07:48,000 DAVE YOU AND I TALKED EARLIER 1680 01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:49,000 ABOUT MONEY MIGHT BE SITTING ON 1681 01:07:49,000 --> 01:07:51,000 THE SIDELINES TO SEE WHAT 1682 01:07:51,000 --> 01:07:53,000 HAPPENS AFTER KNIT AFTER NEW 1683 01:07:53,000 --> 01:07:55,000 HAMPSHIRE AFTER SOUTH CAROLINA, 1684 01:07:55,000 --> 01:07:56,000 NEVADA AFTER WE START GOING BUT 1685 01:07:56,000 --> 01:07:58,000 TONIGHT FROM A REPUBLICAN SIDE 1686 01:07:58,000 --> 01:08:01,000 IS A LITTLE BIT MORE DECISIVE, 1687 01:08:01,000 --> 01:08:03,000 TO SEE THE STRENGTH OF 1688 01:08:03,000 --> 01:08:04,000 PERFORMANCE BY MARCO RUBIO AND 1689 01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:06,000 THE ABSENCE OF STRENGTH BY ANY 1690 01:08:06,000 --> 01:08:08,000 OF THE OTHER MORE MAINSTREAM 1691 01:08:08,000 --> 01:08:10,000 REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES. 1692 01:08:10,000 --> 01:08:12,000 >> ALI THERE IS STILL SOME MONEY 1693 01:08:12,000 --> 01:08:14,000 SITTING ON THE SIDE, SOME REALLY 1694 01:08:14,000 --> 01:08:18,000 BIG NAMES IN THE KOCH BROTHERS 1695 01:08:18,000 --> 01:08:20,000 NETWORKS, WHO HAVE NOT MADE A 1696 01:08:20,000 --> 01:08:22,000 FIRM COMMITMENT TO A SINGLE 1697 01:08:22,000 --> 01:08:23,000 CANDIDATE. IF YOU ARE MARCO RUBIO YOU'RE 1698 01:08:23,000 --> 01:08:26,000 SITTING HERE NOT EVEN VERY 1699 01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:28,000 EXCITED EVEN ECSTATIC ABOUT THE 1700 01:08:28,000 --> 01:08:30,000 POTENTIAL IN IOWA BUT YOU'RE 1701 01:08:30,000 --> 01:08:32,000 ALSO COUNTING DOLLARS YOU DON'T 1702 01:08:32,000 --> 01:08:34,000 HAVE RIGHT NOW BUT YOU MAY HAVE 1703 01:08:34,000 --> 01:08:36,000 NEXT WEEK OR NEXT MONTH BECAUSE 1704 01:08:36,000 --> 01:08:37,000 PEOPLE ARE GOING TO GET ON BOARD 1705 01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:39,000 WITH YOU NOW THAT YOU'VE HAD 1706 01:08:39,000 --> 01:08:40,000 SUCCESS AND THE POLLS HAVE BEEN 1707 01:08:40,000 --> 01:08:42,000 TAKEN FOR THE FIRST TIME. 1708 01:08:42,000 --> 01:08:43,000 >> AND WE'VE ACTUALLY SEEN THAT 1709 01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:44,000 HAPPEN PARTICULARLY AFTER 1710 01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:45,000 DEBATES RIGHT? 1711 01:08:45,000 --> 01:08:48,000 A LOT OF THE SUPERPAC MONEY WAS 1712 01:08:48,000 --> 01:08:50,000 SITTING TON SIDELINES BETWEEN 1713 01:08:50,000 --> 01:08:53,000 JEB BUSH AND MARCO RUBIO AND 1714 01:08:53,000 --> 01:08:55,000 EVERY TIME JEB BUSH SEEMED TO 1715 01:08:55,000 --> 01:08:57,000 UNDERPERFORM IN A DEBATE 1716 01:08:57,000 --> 01:08:58,000 COURTESY OF DONALD TRUMP THEN 1717 01:08:58,000 --> 01:09:01,000 MORE WOULD GO TO MARCO RUBIO 1718 01:09:01,000 --> 01:09:02,000 BUT JEB BUSH STILL LEADS THAT 1719 01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:06,000 PAC IN TERMS OF FUNDRAISING. 1720 01:09:06,000 --> 01:09:09,000 >> HE DOES ALI AND THAT 58 1721 01:09:09,000 --> 01:09:11,000 MILLION RIGHT TO RISE, 1722 01:09:11,000 --> 01:09:12,000 SUPPORTING JEB BUSH THAT WAS 1723 01:09:12,000 --> 01:09:14,000 SITTING IN AT THE END OF 2015, 1724 01:09:14,000 --> 01:09:16,000 THAT MAY HAVE DWINDLED A LITTLE 1725 01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:18,000 BIT PUT THEY STILL HAVE TENS OF 1726 01:09:18,000 --> 01:09:19,000 MILLIONS TO BRING TO BEAR. 1727 01:09:19,000 --> 01:09:21,000 THE QUESTION IS WHERE ARE THEY 1728 01:09:21,000 --> 01:09:24,000 GOING TO USE THAT FOR? 1729 01:09:24,000 --> 01:09:25,000 WHERE IS JEB BUSH EVEN GOING TO 1730 01:09:25,000 --> 01:09:26,000 BE IN A WEEK? 1731 01:09:26,000 --> 01:09:29,000 EVEN IN THE AGE OF BIG MONEY AN 1732 01:09:29,000 --> 01:09:33,000 POLITICS AND SUPERPACS AND 1733 01:09:33,000 --> 01:09:37,000 ORGANIZATIONS, THAT CAN SPEND 1734 01:09:37,000 --> 01:09:38,000 UNLIMITED AMOUNTS OF MONEY ON A 1735 01:09:38,000 --> 01:09:40,000 CANDIDATE, YOU STILL HAVE A 1736 01:09:40,000 --> 01:09:43,000 CANDIDATE THAT NEEDS TO RESONATE 1737 01:09:43,000 --> 01:09:45,000 WITH PEOPLE AND JEB BUSH DOESN'T 1738 01:09:45,000 --> 01:09:48,000 SEEM TO BE THAT CANDIDATE. 1739 01:09:48,000 --> 01:09:49,000 ABSENT SOMETHING TOTALLY 1740 01:09:49,000 --> 01:09:51,000 UNEXPECTED HAPPENING IN THE NEXT 1741 01:09:51,000 --> 01:09:53,000 FEW WEEKS. 1742 01:09:53,000 --> 01:09:54,000 >> WHY ARE THESE CANDIDATES THAT 1743 01:09:54,000 --> 01:09:55,000 AREN'T RESONATING WHY DO THEY 1744 01:09:55,000 --> 01:09:57,000 STAY IN THE RACE, RICK SANTORUM 1745 01:09:57,000 --> 01:10:01,000 IS A GOOD EXAMPLE HE HAS 1746 01:10:01,000 --> 01:10:03,000 BACKERS, FINANCIAL BACKERS HIS 1747 01:10:03,000 --> 01:10:05,000 FORTUNES HAVE NOT HAD A DIRECT 1748 01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:06,000 RELATIONSHIP TO THE ABILITY TO 1749 01:10:06,000 --> 01:10:09,000 FINANCE HIS CAMPAIGN. 1750 01:10:09,000 --> 01:10:12,000 >> SUPERPACS HAVE LOUD MORE 1751 01:10:12,000 --> 01:10:17,000 CANDIDATES TO GET INTO A RACE, 1752 01:10:17,000 --> 01:10:19,000 EVEN FOUR YEARS AGO TO SOME 1753 01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:21,000 EXTENT, DUETS THEM IN THE RACE 1754 01:10:21,000 --> 01:10:23,000 EARLIER AND ALSO KEEPS THEM IN 1755 01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:24,000 THE RACE LONGER. 1756 01:10:24,000 --> 01:10:25,000 YOU MAY SEE THAT WITH SOME OF 1757 01:10:25,000 --> 01:10:27,000 THE CANDIDATES SURE, ONE TWO 1758 01:10:27,000 --> 01:10:29,000 MAY DROP OUT TONIGHT, OF COURSE 1759 01:10:29,000 --> 01:10:31,000 MARTIN O'MALLEY IT APPEARS IS 1760 01:10:31,000 --> 01:10:32,000 GOING TO BE DROPPING OUT AS 1761 01:10:32,000 --> 01:10:34,000 WELL. BUT YOU MAY HAVE HAD IS THE 1762 01:10:34,000 --> 01:10:35,000 CANDIDATES WHO WOULD ABSOLUTELY 1763 01:10:35,000 --> 01:10:38,000 HAVE DROPPED OUT AFTER IOWA 1764 01:10:38,000 --> 01:10:40,000 AFTER UNDERPERFORMING AND THAT 1765 01:10:40,000 --> 01:10:42,000 MAY BE IT, THEY ARE GOING TO 1766 01:10:42,000 --> 01:10:44,000 STICK AROUND INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE 1767 01:10:44,000 --> 01:10:47,000 ACKNOWLEDGE SOUTH CAROLINA, EVEN 1768 01:10:47,000 --> 01:10:49,000 IF THEIR POLL NUMBERS ARE A 1769 01:10:49,000 --> 01:10:52,000 WHOLE LOT OF NOWHERE. 1770 01:10:52,000 --> 01:10:53,000 >> SUPERTUESDAY ABOUT THE MIDDLE 1771 01:10:53,000 --> 01:10:55,000 OF MARCH IT MAY BE THAT LONG 1772 01:10:55,000 --> 01:10:57,000 BEFORE WE HAVE GOT SOME FINALITY 1773 01:10:57,000 --> 01:11:01,000 OF THE IT, DAVE LEVENTHAL, THANK 1774 01:11:01,000 --> 01:11:02,000 YOU FOR JOINING US. 1775 01:11:02,000 --> 01:11:04,000 BACK TO YOU. 1776 01:11:04,000 --> 01:11:07,000 >> JACK KINGSMAN, SERVED 22 1777 01:11:07,000 --> 01:11:10,000 YEARS IN THE HOUSE IN 1778 01:11:10,000 --> 01:11:12,000 WASHINGTON NOW YOU WERE ON THE 1779 01:11:12,000 --> 01:11:14,000 TELEPHONE WITH THE CRUZ 1780 01:11:14,000 --> 01:11:16,000 CAMPAIGN WHAT CAN YOU TELL US? 1781 01:11:16,000 --> 01:11:17,000 >> THEY'RE FEELING REALLY GOOD. 1782 01:11:17,000 --> 01:11:18,000 THEIR NUMBERS HAVE BEEN SOLID 1783 01:11:18,000 --> 01:11:20,000 ALL NIGHT LONG. 1784 01:11:20,000 --> 01:11:22,000 THEY HAVE COME OUT EARLY 1785 01:11:22,000 --> 01:11:25,000 MAINTAINED THE FIRST PLACE SLOT, 1786 01:11:25,000 --> 01:11:27,000 THEIR NUMBERS HAVE FLUCTUATED 1787 01:11:27,000 --> 01:11:32,000 TWO TO THREE TO 4% AHEAD OF 1788 01:11:35,000 --> 01:11:36,000 TRUMP'S BUT MARCO RUBIO IS DOING 1789 01:11:36,000 --> 01:11:37,000 WELL TOO. 1790 01:11:37,000 --> 01:11:39,000 THE 99 COUNTIES, THE 20,000 1791 01:11:39,000 --> 01:11:41,000 VOLUNTEERS HAVE REALLY PAID OFF 1792 01:11:41,000 --> 01:11:42,000 FOR TED CRUZ. 1793 01:11:42,000 --> 01:11:43,000 AND YOU KNOW ON THE SUBJECT OF 1794 01:11:43,000 --> 01:11:46,000 MONEY THE INTERESTING THING IS, 1795 01:11:46,000 --> 01:11:48,000 HE'S LEAVING IOWA WITH SOMETHING 1796 01:11:48,000 --> 01:11:50,000 LIKE $19 MILLION. 1797 01:11:50,000 --> 01:11:53,000 HE HAS AN ENORMOUS GRASS ROOTS 1798 01:11:53,000 --> 01:11:55,000 FUNDRAISING MACHINE ALL OVER 1799 01:11:55,000 --> 01:11:57,000 THE COUNTRY AND HIS NUMBERS ARE 1800 01:11:57,000 --> 01:11:59,000 GOING TO -- HIS FINANCIAL 1801 01:11:59,000 --> 01:12:00,000 NUMBERS OF NUMBERS ARE GOING TO 1802 01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:04,000 GO UP AS WELL, CERTAINLY AS WILL 1803 01:12:04,000 --> 01:12:07,000 RUBIO'S AND CRUZ -- I MEAN 1804 01:12:07,000 --> 01:12:09,000 CONSUME, CARSON'S AND YOU KNOW 1805 01:12:09,000 --> 01:12:12,000 ANYBODY IN THE TOP TIER IS GOING 1806 01:12:12,000 --> 01:12:13,000 TO DO WELL FINANCIALLY TONIGHT. 1807 01:12:13,000 --> 01:12:16,000 THE REALITY IS, I THINK THIS IS 1808 01:12:16,000 --> 01:12:18,000 TED CRUZ'S NIGHT THEY'RE 1809 01:12:18,000 --> 01:12:21,000 FEELING VERY, VERY GOOD. 1810 01:12:21,000 --> 01:12:23,000 I UNDERSTOOD FROM THEM THERE ARE 1811 01:12:23,000 --> 01:12:25,000 BEEN A NUMBER OF PEOPLE TO CALL 1812 01:12:25,000 --> 01:12:27,000 IT FOR HIM BUT NOTHING 1813 01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:29,000 OFFICIAL, THEY'RE BEING 1814 01:12:29,000 --> 01:12:31,000 CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC. 1815 01:12:31,000 --> 01:12:32,000 >> 66% OF THE PRECINCTS IN. 1816 01:12:32,000 --> 01:12:36,000 I WANTED TO TALK, DO YOU THINK 1817 01:12:36,000 --> 01:12:37,000 IT'S BECAUSE TED CRUZ HAD A 1818 01:12:37,000 --> 01:12:39,000 BETTER ORGANIZATION THAN DONALD 1819 01:12:39,000 --> 01:12:41,000 TRUMP? >> I THINK IT IS. I THINK THAT ON THE GROUND IN 1820 01:12:41,000 --> 01:12:43,000 IOWA THESE ARE PEOPLE THAT ARE 1821 01:12:43,000 --> 01:12:45,000 USED TO MEETING PRESIDENTIAL 1822 01:12:45,000 --> 01:12:46,000 CANDIDATES AND PRESIDENTS 1823 01:12:46,000 --> 01:12:47,000 RUNNING FOR REELECTION AND SO 1824 01:12:47,000 --> 01:12:49,000 THEY'RE NOT ORDINARY PEOPLE THEY 1825 01:12:49,000 --> 01:12:50,000 ARE VERY ACTIVIST. 1826 01:12:50,000 --> 01:12:53,000 I TALKED ALSO TO CONGRESSMAN 1827 01:12:53,000 --> 01:12:55,000 AUSTIN SCOTT WHO IS IN THE RUBIO 1828 01:12:55,000 --> 01:12:58,000 CAMP AND HE SENT ME A VIDEO OF 1829 01:12:58,000 --> 01:13:01,000 ONE OF THE CAUCUSES IN A SCHOOL 1830 01:13:01,000 --> 01:13:02,000 GYMNASIUM. 1831 01:13:02,000 --> 01:13:04,000 A CROWDED, WOULD YOU HAVE 1832 01:13:04,000 --> 01:13:08,000 THOUGHT IT WAS A STATE PLAYOFF 1833 01:13:08,000 --> 01:13:11,000 GAME. THE CROWD THE TOWN POPULATION 1834 01:13:11,000 --> 01:13:13,000 WAS 10,000 PEOPLE. 1835 01:13:13,000 --> 01:13:15,000 THE CROWD WAS STANDING ROOM 1836 01:13:15,000 --> 01:13:17,000 ONLY NEVER SAW ANYTHING LIKE 1837 01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:19,000 IT NOT A POLITICAL AFFAIR YET 1838 01:13:19,000 --> 01:13:22,000 THAT'S THE WAY IOWANS ARE. 1839 01:13:22,000 --> 01:13:25,000 AS THIS GETS SETTLED VERY, VERY 1840 01:13:25,000 --> 01:13:27,000 VIGOROUS NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS 1841 01:13:27,000 --> 01:13:29,000 SHORT WEEK COMING UP FAWN FOR 1842 01:13:29,000 --> 01:13:30,000 THE TOP FIVE CANDIDATES IN NEW 1843 01:13:30,000 --> 01:13:31,000 HAMPSHIRE AND THEN THEY'RE ALL 1844 01:13:31,000 --> 01:13:34,000 GOING TO ROLL ON TO SOUTH 1845 01:13:34,000 --> 01:13:35,000 CAROLINA AND NEVADA AND 1846 01:13:35,000 --> 01:13:36,000 SUPERTUESDAY. 1847 01:13:36,000 --> 01:13:38,000 SO THIS IS GOING TO BE AN AFFAIR 1848 01:13:38,000 --> 01:13:40,000 I THINK THAT'S GOING TO GO ON 1849 01:13:40,000 --> 01:13:41,000 EASILY NO. APRIL. 1850 01:13:41,000 --> 01:13:44,000 >> LET'S JUST TALK ABOUT THE 1851 01:13:44,000 --> 01:13:47,000 ISSUE -- EASILY UNTIL APRIL. 1852 01:13:47,000 --> 01:13:48,000 >> THE ISSUE ALI BROUGHT UP 1853 01:13:48,000 --> 01:13:50,000 EARLIER, SECOND THIRD AND FOURTH 1854 01:13:50,000 --> 01:13:51,000 TIER OF CANDIDATES WHO REALLY 1855 01:13:51,000 --> 01:13:53,000 DIDN'T EVEN REGISTER TONIGHT 1856 01:13:53,000 --> 01:13:54,000 YOU KNOW, HOW LONG CAN YOU STAY 1857 01:13:54,000 --> 01:13:57,000 IN A RACE WHEN YOU GET 1% OF 2% 1858 01:13:57,000 --> 01:14:00,000 OF THE VOTE? 1859 01:14:00,000 --> 01:14:01,000 >> WELL, AS LONG AS THEY PAY 1860 01:14:01,000 --> 01:14:02,000 THEIR QUALIFYING FEE IN NEW 1861 01:14:02,000 --> 01:14:03,000 HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTH CAROLINA, 1862 01:14:03,000 --> 01:14:05,000 THEIR NAME'S GOING TO BE ON THE 1863 01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:07,000 BALLOT SO THEY MIGHT AS WELL 1864 01:14:07,000 --> 01:14:09,000 MAKE A FEW MODEST VISITS. 1865 01:14:09,000 --> 01:14:12,000 AND I THINK THE WAY CAUCUS 1866 01:14:12,000 --> 01:14:13,000 VOTERS TEND TO BE, YOU CAN 1867 01:14:13,000 --> 01:14:15,000 ALWAYS FIND A CROWD THAT WILL 1868 01:14:15,000 --> 01:14:17,000 LISTEN TO YOU. YOU CAN ALWAYS I THINK IN THIS 1869 01:14:17,000 --> 01:14:20,000 DAY OF SOCIAL MEDIA RUN A 1870 01:14:20,000 --> 01:14:21,000 CAMPAIGN SOMEWHAT EFFECTIVELY 1871 01:14:21,000 --> 01:14:22,000 BUT CERTAINLY CHEAPLY. 1872 01:14:22,000 --> 01:14:23,000 AND HANG IN THERE. 1873 01:14:23,000 --> 01:14:25,000 AND I HATE TO SAY IT BUT I THINK 1874 01:14:25,000 --> 01:14:27,000 SOME OF THIS IS ABOUT BOOK DEALS 1875 01:14:27,000 --> 01:14:29,000 AND SOME OF THIS IS ABOUT 1876 01:14:29,000 --> 01:14:30,000 GETTING YOUR NAME OUT THERE. 1877 01:14:30,000 --> 01:14:32,000 I THINK THAT IF YOU LOOK AT 1878 01:14:32,000 --> 01:14:36,000 SOMEBODY LIKE SCOTT WALKER OR 1879 01:14:36,000 --> 01:14:38,000 BOBBY JINDAL OR LINDSAY GRAHAM 1880 01:14:38,000 --> 01:14:39,000 THEY FIGURED THEY HAD BETTER 1881 01:14:39,000 --> 01:14:41,000 THINGS TO DO WITH THEIR TIME 1882 01:14:41,000 --> 01:14:43,000 THAN CONTINUE ON THIS MARATHON. 1883 01:14:43,000 --> 01:14:45,000 SO SOME OF THIS APPARENTLY SOME 1884 01:14:45,000 --> 01:14:47,000 PEOPLE LIKE IT AND SOME PEOPLE 1885 01:14:47,000 --> 01:14:49,000 CAN SEE THAT IT'S FUTILE AND 1886 01:14:49,000 --> 01:14:50,000 THEN THEY GO BACK TO OTHER 1887 01:14:50,000 --> 01:14:51,000 THINGS IN THEIR LIVES. 1888 01:14:51,000 --> 01:14:53,000 >> ALL RIGHT JACK THANK YOU VERY 1889 01:14:53,000 --> 01:14:55,000 MUCH, YOU'VE GONE ON TO OTHER 1890 01:14:55,000 --> 01:14:56,000 THINGS. 1891 01:14:56,000 --> 01:14:58,000 >> YES. >> LET ME JUST MENTION THAT 1892 01:14:58,000 --> 01:15:00,000 DONALD TRUMP IS GETTING READY TO 1893 01:15:00,000 --> 01:15:02,000 SPEAK AT LEAST THERE ARE 1894 01:15:02,000 --> 01:15:03,000 SUPPORTERS THERE WE'RE 1895 01:15:03,000 --> 01:15:04,000 EXPECTING HIM TO SPEAK IN A 1896 01:15:04,000 --> 01:15:06,000 LITTLE WHILE AND HILLARY CLINTON 1897 01:15:06,000 --> 01:15:08,000 HAS GATHERED A GROUP OF 1898 01:15:08,000 --> 01:15:09,000 SUPPORTERS AS WELL. 1899 01:15:09,000 --> 01:15:11,000 SHE'S EXPECTED TO SPEAK AS IS 1900 01:15:11,000 --> 01:15:15,000 TED CRUZ. 1901 01:15:15,000 --> 01:15:17,000 AND WE WILL HEAR EVENTUALLY 1902 01:15:17,000 --> 01:15:19,000 TONIGHT FROM ALL THREE OF THEM. 1903 01:15:19,000 --> 01:15:21,000 NOW ONCE THE DUST IS SETTLED 1904 01:15:21,000 --> 01:15:24,000 FROM TONIGHT'S IOWA CAUCUSES THE 1905 01:15:24,000 --> 01:15:27,000 FOCUS OF THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL 1906 01:15:27,000 --> 01:15:28,000 CAMPAIGN SHIFTS TO NEW 1907 01:15:28,000 --> 01:15:30,000 HAMPSHIRE. WE'VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT IT. 1908 01:15:30,000 --> 01:15:32,000 IT'S THE FIRST PRIMARY VOTE OF 1909 01:15:32,000 --> 01:15:34,000 THE SEASON JUST OVER A WEEK 1910 01:15:34,000 --> 01:15:35,000 AWAY. 1911 01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:36,000 TUESDAY FEBRUARY 9th. 1912 01:15:36,000 --> 01:15:40,000 LISA STARK IS IN MANCHESTER NEW 1913 01:15:40,000 --> 01:15:42,000 HAMPSHIRE NEW HAMPSHIRE WITH 1914 01:15:42,000 --> 01:15:43,000 THAT. 1915 01:15:43,000 --> 01:15:44,000 LISA. >> THE CANDIDATES WILL BE 1916 01:15:44,000 --> 01:15:46,000 RUSHING OVER AFTER THE IOWA 1917 01:15:46,000 --> 01:15:48,000 CAUCUSES IS DONE. 1918 01:15:48,000 --> 01:15:52,000 BUT YOU AND I ARE TALK ABOUT THE 1919 01:15:52,000 --> 01:15:54,000 CANDIDATES WHO HARDLY 1920 01:15:54,000 --> 01:15:56,000 REGISTERED KASICH, CHRISTIE, 1921 01:15:56,000 --> 01:15:57,000 BUSH ALREADY HERE IN NEW 1922 01:15:57,000 --> 01:15:58,000 HAMPSHIRE CAMPAIGNING. 1923 01:15:58,000 --> 01:16:00,000 THEY ARE HOPING NEW HAMPSHIRE 1924 01:16:00,000 --> 01:16:02,000 WILL RAISE THEM OUT OF THAT 1925 01:16:02,000 --> 01:16:03,000 SECOND AND THIRD TIER. 1926 01:16:03,000 --> 01:16:05,000 THEY ARE GAMBLING ON THE VOTERS 1927 01:16:05,000 --> 01:16:08,000 HERE IN THE GRANITE STATE. 1928 01:16:08,000 --> 01:16:13,000 OHIO GOVERNOR JOHN KASICH IS THE 1929 01:16:13,000 --> 01:16:15,000 NUMBER ONE CANDIDATE WHO OPTED 1930 01:16:15,000 --> 01:16:20,000 OUT OF IOWA ON CAUCUS DAY. 1931 01:16:20,000 --> 01:16:22,000 HOPING TO SOLIDIFY HIS POLITICAL 1932 01:16:22,000 --> 01:16:24,000 FUTURE BY WINNING OVER VOTERS 1933 01:16:24,000 --> 01:16:27,000 HERE. >> HOW IMPORTANT IS YOUR 1934 01:16:27,000 --> 01:16:29,000 CAMPAIGN HERE? 1935 01:16:29,000 --> 01:16:31,000 >> VERY, VERY IMPORTANT IF I 1936 01:16:31,000 --> 01:16:33,000 DON'T DO WELL I'LL CRY BUT I'LL 1937 01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:35,000 GET OVER IT. 1938 01:16:35,000 --> 01:16:37,000 >> HE HAS A POSITIVE VISION FOR 1939 01:16:37,000 --> 01:16:39,000 AMERICA HE SAYS AND HE URGED 1940 01:16:39,000 --> 01:16:44,000 OTHERS TO STOP THE NEGATIVE ADS. 1941 01:16:44,000 --> 01:16:47,000 >> PUT YOUR BEST ON THE AIR SO 1942 01:16:47,000 --> 01:16:48,000 THAT'S WHAT I THINK WE OUGHT TO 1943 01:16:48,000 --> 01:16:49,000 DO. 1944 01:16:49,000 --> 01:16:50,000 >> TWO OF HIS REPUBLICAN 1945 01:16:50,000 --> 01:16:52,000 OPPONENTS CHRIS CHRISTIE AND JEB 1946 01:16:52,000 --> 01:16:54,000 BUSH BEGAN THEIR DAY IN IOWA BUT 1947 01:16:54,000 --> 01:16:56,000 THEN HEADED STREET TO NEW 1948 01:16:56,000 --> 01:16:59,000 HAMPSHIRE. ALL THREE AS WELL AS SENATOR 1949 01:16:59,000 --> 01:17:00,000 MARCO RUBIO ARE TRYING TO BEAT 1950 01:17:00,000 --> 01:17:02,000 EXPECTATIONS TO PROPEL THEM 1951 01:17:02,000 --> 01:17:03,000 ONWARD. 1952 01:17:03,000 --> 01:17:04,000 THE FOUR ARE LOCKED IN A RACE TO 1953 01:17:04,000 --> 01:17:07,000 BECOME THE TOP CHOICE OF THE GOP 1954 01:17:07,000 --> 01:17:08,000 ESTABLISHMENT. 1955 01:17:08,000 --> 01:17:10,000 SOMEONE TO COUNTER CONSERVATIVE 1956 01:17:10,000 --> 01:17:12,000 TED CRUZ AND FRONT RUNNER DONALD 1957 01:17:12,000 --> 01:17:13,000 TRUMP. 1958 01:17:13,000 --> 01:17:17,000 >> I MEAN FOR JOHN KASICH, FOR 1959 01:17:17,000 --> 01:17:19,000 CHRIS CHRISTIE, FOR JEB BUSH, 1960 01:17:19,000 --> 01:17:20,000 SECOND PLACE IS VERY IMPORTANT 1961 01:17:20,000 --> 01:17:21,000 IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. 1962 01:17:21,000 --> 01:17:23,000 FOR ANY OF THEM TO SPEND ALL 1963 01:17:23,000 --> 01:17:25,000 THAT TIME AND NOT GET AT LEAST A 1964 01:17:25,000 --> 01:17:26,000 SECOND PLACE WOULD BE 1965 01:17:26,000 --> 01:17:28,000 DEVASTATING FOR THEIR CAMPAIGNS. 1966 01:17:28,000 --> 01:17:31,000 >> THIS TIME AROUND KASICH AND 1967 01:17:31,000 --> 01:17:32,000 CHRISTIE HAVE LOGGED MORE MILES 1968 01:17:32,000 --> 01:17:34,000 HERE THAN ANY OF THE OTHER 1969 01:17:34,000 --> 01:17:35,000 CANDIDATES. 1970 01:17:35,000 --> 01:17:37,000 EACH GLAD-HANDING AT MORE THAN 1971 01:17:37,000 --> 01:17:40,000 150 STOPS WELL SURPASSING THE 1972 01:17:40,000 --> 01:17:43,000 ROUGHLY 35 TREKS TRUMP HAS MADE 1973 01:17:43,000 --> 01:17:44,000 TO WOO VOTERS. 1974 01:17:44,000 --> 01:17:45,000 THE NEW YORK BILLIONAIRE HAS 1975 01:17:45,000 --> 01:17:48,000 DONE SO WITH SUPER-SIZED 1976 01:17:48,000 --> 01:17:50,000 RALLIES. 1977 01:17:50,000 --> 01:17:52,000 UP-ENDING THE TRADITION NEW 1978 01:17:52,000 --> 01:17:54,000 HAMPSHIRE STYLE OF SMALL 1979 01:17:54,000 --> 01:17:56,000 GATHERINGS. 1980 01:17:56,000 --> 01:17:59,000 TRUMP HAS EXCEPT FOR ONE TIME 1981 01:17:59,000 --> 01:18:04,000 SKIPPED THE USUAL DINERS DINERS 1982 01:18:04,000 --> 01:18:09,000 CIRCUIT. THESE FEISTY FIVE HAD TRUMP ON 1983 01:18:10,000 --> 01:18:11,000 THEIR MINDS. 1984 01:18:11,000 --> 01:18:13,000 >> HONEST TO GOD I REALLY 1985 01:18:13,000 --> 01:18:15,000 BELIEVE THAT TRUMP -- 1986 01:18:15,000 --> 01:18:17,000 >> PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES TO SAY SOMETHING LIKE 1987 01:18:17,000 --> 01:18:19,000 BOMB THE HELL OUT OF 'EM. 1988 01:18:19,000 --> 01:18:21,000 GO FOR IT! 1989 01:18:21,000 --> 01:18:24,000 >> OR HE'LL PICK UP HIS MARBLES 1990 01:18:24,000 --> 01:18:26,000 AND GO HOME. 1991 01:18:26,000 --> 01:18:27,000 >> IT'S MY BALL, I'M GOING HOME. 1992 01:18:27,000 --> 01:18:29,000 >> HE PROBABLY HAS WHAT IT TAKES 1993 01:18:29,000 --> 01:18:32,000 TO CHANGE THINGS. 1994 01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:34,000 >> ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE, 1995 01:18:34,000 --> 01:18:36,000 SENATOR BERNIE SANDERS FROM 1996 01:18:36,000 --> 01:18:37,000 NEIGHBORING VERMONT IS EXPECTED 1997 01:18:37,000 --> 01:18:41,000 TO TAKE THE STATE THAT HILLARY 1998 01:18:41,000 --> 01:18:43,000 CLINTON CAPTURED EIGHT YEARS AGO 1999 01:18:43,000 --> 01:18:47,000 DURING HER FIRST PRESIDENTIAL 2000 01:18:47,000 --> 01:18:49,000 BID. 2001 01:18:49,000 --> 01:18:52,000 >> MORE INDEPENDENT VOTERS, SOME 2002 01:18:52,000 --> 01:18:54,000 380,000 VOTERS CONSIDER 2003 01:18:54,000 --> 01:18:55,000 THEMSELVES INDEPENDENTS. 2004 01:18:55,000 --> 01:18:57,000 AND IN THIS OPEN PRIMARY THEY 2005 01:18:57,000 --> 01:18:58,000 ARE ALLOWED TO VOTE FOR ANY 2006 01:18:58,000 --> 01:19:00,000 CANDIDATE IN ANY PARTY. 2007 01:19:00,000 --> 01:19:03,000 >> ARE THE UNDECLARED VOTERS A 2008 01:19:03,000 --> 01:19:04,000 WILD CARD OAR NOT? 2009 01:19:04,000 --> 01:19:06,000 >> THEY ARE A WILD CARD BUT NOT 2010 01:19:06,000 --> 01:19:07,000 AN ACE. 2011 01:19:07,000 --> 01:19:09,000 A LOT OF TIMES YOU READ WELL, 2012 01:19:09,000 --> 01:19:12,000 THIS CANDIDATE IS GOING TO RIDE 2013 01:19:12,000 --> 01:19:14,000 UNDECLARED VOTERS TO VICTORY. 2014 01:19:14,000 --> 01:19:15,000 IN PRACTICE IT'S TOUGH TO DO 2015 01:19:15,000 --> 01:19:17,000 THAT BECAUSE THERE AREN'T THAT 2016 01:19:17,000 --> 01:19:20,000 MANY WHO ARE THESE CROSSOVER 2017 01:19:20,000 --> 01:19:22,000 VOTERS EVERYONE THINKS THEY ARE. 2018 01:19:22,000 --> 01:19:23,000 >> MANY INDEPENDENTS INCLUDING 2019 01:19:23,000 --> 01:19:26,000 MOST OF THESE WOMEN ARE STILL 2020 01:19:26,000 --> 01:19:28,000 PERUSING THE POLITICAL MENU. 2021 01:19:28,000 --> 01:19:30,000 >> I KIND OF WAIT UNTIL ALMOST 2022 01:19:30,000 --> 01:19:33,000 THE DAY OF THE PRIMARY AS MOST 2023 01:19:33,000 --> 01:19:34,000 OF THE PEOPLE DO IN THIS STATE 2024 01:19:34,000 --> 01:19:37,000 THEY WAIT AND WAIT AND DO IT AT 2025 01:19:37,000 --> 01:19:38,000 THE LAST MINUTE. 2026 01:19:38,000 --> 01:19:41,000 >> IT'S INTERESTING WE WERE AT A 2027 01:19:41,000 --> 01:19:43,000 JEB BUSH EVENT TONIGHT QUITE A 2028 01:19:43,000 --> 01:19:44,000 ROUSING CROWD ACTUALLY. 2029 01:19:44,000 --> 01:19:46,000 A LOT OF PEOPLE THERE SAID THEY 2030 01:19:46,000 --> 01:19:48,000 STILL HADN'T MADE UP THEIR MIND. 2031 01:19:48,000 --> 01:19:50,000 SO THE VOTERS SAY THEY TAKE 2032 01:19:50,000 --> 01:19:52,000 THEIR RESPONSIBILITY, THEIR 2033 01:19:52,000 --> 01:19:53,000 VOTING RESPONSIBILITY VERY 2034 01:19:53,000 --> 01:19:55,000 SERIOUSLY. THIS IS THE FIRST PRIMARY. 2035 01:19:55,000 --> 01:19:57,000 IT IS DIFFERENT THAN A CAUCUS, 2036 01:19:57,000 --> 01:19:59,000 JOHN SO ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY IOWA 2037 01:19:59,000 --> 01:20:00,000 WILL HAVE AN IMPACT THE VOTERS 2038 01:20:00,000 --> 01:20:02,000 HERE WILL HAVE THEIR SAY TOO. 2039 01:20:02,000 --> 01:20:04,000 AND AS YOU KNOW NEW HAMPSHIRE 2040 01:20:04,000 --> 01:20:06,000 HAS A WAY OF WINNOWING DOWN THE 2041 01:20:06,000 --> 01:20:08,000 FIELD AND ALSO PROPELLING OTHER 2042 01:20:08,000 --> 01:20:10,000 CANDIDATES ONWARD. 2043 01:20:10,000 --> 01:20:11,000 THAT'S WHAT THESE CANDIDATES ARE 2044 01:20:11,000 --> 01:20:13,000 HOPING FOR THAT THEY'LL GET THAT 2045 01:20:13,000 --> 01:20:14,000 BOOST THAT THEY OBVIOUSLY NEED 2046 01:20:14,000 --> 01:20:17,000 AFTER THE RESULTS IN IOWA. 2047 01:20:17,000 --> 01:20:18,000 >> LISA THANK YOU VERY MUCH. HOLD THE THOUGHT ABOUT NEW 2048 01:20:18,000 --> 01:20:20,000 HAMPSHIRE FOR A SECOND WHILE WE 2049 01:20:20,000 --> 01:20:21,000 LOOK AT THE VOTE TOTALS. 2050 01:20:21,000 --> 01:20:23,000 AND HERE WE HAVE THE 2051 01:20:23,000 --> 01:20:26,000 REPUBLICANS. WE NOW HAVE 83% OF THE PRECINCTS 2052 01:20:26,000 --> 01:20:28,000 REPORTING AND TED CRUZ CONTINUES 2053 01:20:28,000 --> 01:20:30,000 HIS LEAD OVER DONALD TRUMP AND 2054 01:20:30,000 --> 01:20:31,000 MARCO RUBIO. 2055 01:20:31,000 --> 01:20:33,000 AND YOU SAY DAVID, THIS IS A 2056 01:20:33,000 --> 01:20:36,000 RECORD? >> YEAH, SO THE PREVIOUS RECORD 2057 01:20:36,000 --> 01:20:39,000 FOR REPUBLICANS WAS 2012, 2058 01:20:39,000 --> 01:20:41,000 121,000. IF YOU LOOK AT ALL OF THE VOTE 2059 01:20:41,000 --> 01:20:43,000 TOTALS FOR THE REPUBLICANS YOU 2060 01:20:43,000 --> 01:20:47,000 ARE ALREADY AT 145,000 WITH THE 2061 01:20:47,000 --> 01:20:48,000 PROJECTION BEING IT IS GOING TO 2062 01:20:48,000 --> 01:20:51,000 END UP SOMEWHERE 150,000 TO 2063 01:20:51,000 --> 01:20:53,000 160,000 PARTICIPATING IN THE 2064 01:20:53,000 --> 01:20:54,000 REPUBLICAN CAUCUS. THE REASON THIS IS SO 2065 01:20:54,000 --> 01:20:56,000 SIGNIFICANT IS BECAUSE THE TED 2066 01:20:56,000 --> 01:20:57,000 CRUZ CAMPAIGN HAD SUGGESTED THAT 2067 01:20:57,000 --> 01:21:00,000 IF THE NUMBER WAS AROUND 150,000 2068 01:21:00,000 --> 01:21:04,000 THEY ARE IN TROUBLE, DONALD 2069 01:21:04,000 --> 01:21:06,000 TRUMP WOULD WIN. 2070 01:21:06,000 --> 01:21:08,000 TED CRUZ HAS PROVED THAT HIS 2071 01:21:08,000 --> 01:21:10,000 ORGANIZATION CAN HANDLE A HIGH 2072 01:21:10,000 --> 01:21:12,000 TURNOUT AND TURN THEM INTO VOTE. 2073 01:21:12,000 --> 01:21:15,000 THAT IS A BIG SURPRISE. 2074 01:21:15,000 --> 01:21:18,000 >> AND 10% FOR BEN CARSON AS 2075 01:21:18,000 --> 01:21:19,000 WELL. NEW HAMPSHIRE WHERE A LOT OF 2076 01:21:19,000 --> 01:21:23,000 PEOPLE ARE HEADING AS WE SPEAK 2077 01:21:23,000 --> 01:21:26,000 ALI VELSHI IS OUT IN IOWA FOR 2078 01:21:26,000 --> 01:21:29,000 THAT. 2079 01:21:29,000 --> 01:21:30,000 ALI. 2080 01:21:30,000 --> 01:21:34,000 >> PAUL, AN OLD FRIEND OF MINE, 2081 01:21:34,000 --> 01:21:36,000 FOR YEARS I'VE RELIED ON FOR 2082 01:21:36,000 --> 01:21:37,000 POLITICAL ANALYSIS PAUL GOOD TO 2083 01:21:37,000 --> 01:21:41,000 SEE YOU. THE MODERATE GOVERNORS KASICH, 2084 01:21:41,000 --> 01:21:44,000 BUSH CHRISTIE, NOT EVEN HERE IN 2085 01:21:44,000 --> 01:21:45,000 IOWA ON CAUCUS DAY. 2086 01:21:45,000 --> 01:21:48,000 THEY'RE ALL IN NEW HAMPSHIRE 2087 01:21:48,000 --> 01:21:49,000 WHY? >> PRETTY TELLING ISN'T IT ALI 2088 01:21:49,000 --> 01:21:52,000 WHAT IS THE TOP PRIORITY FOR 2089 01:21:52,000 --> 01:21:53,000 THOSE THREE GOVERNORS YEAH IT'S 2090 01:21:53,000 --> 01:21:56,000 ALL ABOUT RIGHT HERE IN NEW 2091 01:21:56,000 --> 01:21:57,000 HAMPSHIRE. 2092 01:21:57,000 --> 01:21:59,000 JOHN KASICH CAME BACK TO NEW 2093 01:21:59,000 --> 01:22:00,000 HAMPSHIRE ON SATURDAY, WAS THERE 2094 01:22:00,000 --> 01:22:02,000 FOR THE DEBATE ON THURSDAY, CAME 2095 01:22:02,000 --> 01:22:03,000 RIGHT BACK. 2096 01:22:03,000 --> 01:22:06,000 PRETTY MUCH THE SAME DEGREE FOR 2097 01:22:06,000 --> 01:22:09,000 CHRIS CHRISTIE AND JEB BUSH. 2098 01:22:09,000 --> 01:22:12,000 THE REPUBLICAN ARE GROUP IN 2099 01:22:12,000 --> 01:22:15,000 IOWA PRETTY CONSERVATIVE, AND 2100 01:22:15,000 --> 01:22:17,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE MORE THEIR CUP OF 2101 01:22:17,000 --> 01:22:18,000 TEA. 2102 01:22:18,000 --> 01:22:19,000 ALL THREE OF THEM SPENDING A LOT 2103 01:22:19,000 --> 01:22:22,000 OF TIME THERE BUT IOWA DOESN'T 2104 01:22:22,000 --> 01:22:24,000 MATTER MUCH FOR THEM, HERE IT'S 2105 01:22:24,000 --> 01:22:26,000 DO OR DIE IN THE GRANITE STATE 2106 01:22:26,000 --> 01:22:29,000 FOR THOSE THREE GUYS. 2107 01:22:29,000 --> 01:22:31,000 >> BUSH AND KASICH ACTUALLY PUT 2108 01:22:31,000 --> 01:22:33,000 A LOT OF TIME INTO NEW 2109 01:22:33,000 --> 01:22:36,000 HAMPSHIRE, I'M SORRY KASICH AND 2110 01:22:36,000 --> 01:22:40,000 CHRISTIE HAVE. WHAT DOES IT LOOK BETWEEN BUSH 2111 01:22:40,000 --> 01:22:42,000 KASICH AND CHRISTIE IN NEW 2112 01:22:42,000 --> 01:22:43,000 HAMPSHIRE? 2113 01:22:43,000 --> 01:22:45,000 >> YOU SEE DONALD TRUMP THE 2114 01:22:45,000 --> 01:22:49,000 CLEAR FRONT RUNNER LEAPS AND 2115 01:22:49,000 --> 01:22:50,000 BOUNDS AHEAD. 2116 01:22:50,000 --> 01:22:52,000 I GUESS THE BATTLE IS FOR 2117 01:22:52,000 --> 01:22:55,000 SECOND THIRD AND FOURTH PLACE. 2118 01:22:55,000 --> 01:22:56,000 SENATOR MARCO RUBIO PLUS THE 2119 01:22:56,000 --> 01:22:59,000 THREE GOVERNORS ALL BATTLING, 2120 01:22:59,000 --> 01:23:03,000 FIVE TO SIX PERCENTAGE POINTS, A 2121 01:23:03,000 --> 01:23:04,000 FEARS BATTLE NOW FOR SECOND 2122 01:23:04,000 --> 01:23:06,000 THIRD AND EVEN FOURTH PLACE. 2123 01:23:06,000 --> 01:23:07,000 WE'LL SEE HOW MANY TICKETS THERE 2124 01:23:07,000 --> 01:23:09,000 ARE OUT OF NEW HAMPSHIRE TO 2125 01:23:09,000 --> 01:23:11,000 CONTINUE TO SOUTH CAROLINA, ALI. 2126 01:23:11,000 --> 01:23:13,000 >> PAUL HERE IN IOWA THE 2127 01:23:13,000 --> 01:23:16,000 REPUBLICANS GO AND CAUCUS WITH 2128 01:23:16,000 --> 01:23:17,000 REPUBLICANS, DEMOCRATS CAUCUS 2129 01:23:17,000 --> 01:23:18,000 WITH DEMOCRATS. 2130 01:23:18,000 --> 01:23:21,000 IN NEW HAMPSHIRE INDEPENDENTS 2131 01:23:21,000 --> 01:23:23,000 CAN GO AND VOTE IN WHICH EVER 2132 01:23:23,000 --> 01:23:26,000 PRIMARY THEY WANT TO VOTE FOR. 2133 01:23:26,000 --> 01:23:28,000 AND OFTEN INDEPENDENTS ARE GOING 2134 01:23:28,000 --> 01:23:30,000 TO GO WHERE THEY HAVE THE MOST 2135 01:23:30,000 --> 01:23:32,000 IMPACT. WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR HOW THE 2136 01:23:32,000 --> 01:23:35,000 INDEPENDENTS ARE GOING TO BEHAVE 2137 01:23:35,000 --> 01:23:36,000 IN NEW HAMPSHIRE? 2138 01:23:36,000 --> 01:23:38,000 >> INDEPENDENTS RULE THE ROOST 2139 01:23:38,000 --> 01:23:40,000 HERE. THEY ARE FREE GO EITHER WAY. 2140 01:23:40,000 --> 01:23:43,000 THEY MAKE UP ABOUT 40% OF THE 2141 01:23:43,000 --> 01:23:44,000 ELECTORATE HERE IN NEW 2142 01:23:44,000 --> 01:23:46,000 HAMPSHIRE. THAT'S A PRETTY SIZABLE AMOUNT. 2143 01:23:46,000 --> 01:23:47,000 THEY LIKE TO GO WHERE THE ACTION 2144 01:23:47,000 --> 01:23:48,000 IS ALI. 2145 01:23:48,000 --> 01:23:50,000 THEY WANT THEIR VOTE TO MATTER. 2146 01:23:50,000 --> 01:23:52,000 IF YOU LOOK AT THE LATEST POLLS 2147 01:23:52,000 --> 01:23:55,000 ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE THAT HAS 2148 01:23:55,000 --> 01:23:57,000 GONE UP IN THE LAST 24 HOURS 2149 01:23:57,000 --> 01:23:58,000 BERNIE SANDERS, IF YOU AVERAGE 2150 01:23:58,000 --> 01:24:00,000 ALL THESE POLLS TOGETHER, IF THE 2151 01:24:00,000 --> 01:24:04,000 ACTION IS ON THE REPUBLICAN 2152 01:24:04,000 --> 01:24:08,000 SIDE THE INDIES COULD GO THAT 2153 01:24:08,000 --> 01:24:10,000 WAY. 2154 01:24:10,000 --> 01:24:13,000 I SPOKE AN INTERVIEW WITH JONG 2155 01:24:13,000 --> 01:24:16,000 KASICH DAY TODAY TOP ADVISORS, 2156 01:24:16,000 --> 01:24:20,000 THINK THAT IF THEY COME OUT FOR 2157 01:24:20,000 --> 01:24:22,000 KASICH IT WILL HELP THEIR 2158 01:24:22,000 --> 01:24:23,000 CAMPAIGN. 2159 01:24:23,000 --> 01:24:25,000 ALI. >> THANKS FOR BEING WITH US. 2160 01:24:25,000 --> 01:24:27,000 >> ALI THANK YOU. >> BACK IN NEW YORK I'M JOINED 2161 01:24:27,000 --> 01:24:29,000 BY JEANNIE AND JOE AND DAVID. 2162 01:24:29,000 --> 01:24:31,000 IS THIS A BIGGER WIN FOR TED 2163 01:24:31,000 --> 01:24:34,000 CRUZ THAN IT IS A BIG LOSS FOR 2164 01:24:34,000 --> 01:24:36,000 DONALD TRUMP JEANNIE? 2165 01:24:36,000 --> 01:24:38,000 >> I THINK IT IS A BIG WIN FOR 2166 01:24:38,000 --> 01:24:40,000 TED CRUZ, IT WAS A MUST WIN FOR 2167 01:24:40,000 --> 01:24:43,000 TED CRUZ, IOWA HE VISITED EVERY 2168 01:24:43,000 --> 01:24:45,000 COUNTY, IT WAS A MUST WIN AND IT 2169 01:24:45,000 --> 01:24:47,000 LOOKS LIKE AT LEAST AT THIS 2170 01:24:47,000 --> 01:24:48,000 POINT HE IS GOING TO WIN OUT. 2171 01:24:48,000 --> 01:24:51,000 BUT I THINK REAL STORY IS MARCO 2172 01:24:51,000 --> 01:24:53,000 RUBIO NECK AND NECK NOW WITH 2173 01:24:53,000 --> 01:24:55,000 DONALD TRUMP AND WITHIN A 2174 01:24:55,000 --> 01:24:56,000 PERCENTAGE POINT. 2175 01:24:56,000 --> 01:25:00,000 IF HE COULD EVEN HIM OR BEAT 2176 01:25:00,000 --> 01:25:01,000 HIM, DONALD TRUMP ENDED UP A 2177 01:25:01,000 --> 01:25:03,000 CLOSE SECOND OR THIRD NO ONE 2178 01:25:03,000 --> 01:25:06,000 EXPECTED THAT, THE DES MOINES 2179 01:25:06,000 --> 01:25:09,000 REGISTER HAD HIM WINNING. 2180 01:25:09,000 --> 01:25:11,000 >> WHAT HAPPENS TO DONALD TRUMP 2181 01:25:11,000 --> 01:25:14,000 JOE? >> YOU CANNOT DISCOUNT THE 2182 01:25:14,000 --> 01:25:15,000 IMPORTANCE OF GROUND GAME, 2183 01:25:15,000 --> 01:25:17,000 HAVING PEOPLE ON THE GROUND TO 2184 01:25:17,000 --> 01:25:20,000 MAKE SURE YOUR FOLKS COME OUT TO 2185 01:25:20,000 --> 01:25:22,000 CAUCUS ON CAUCUS NIGHT. 2186 01:25:22,000 --> 01:25:24,000 TED CRUZ DID THAT IN A HUGE WAY. 2187 01:25:24,000 --> 01:25:25,000 HE HAD A NUMBER OF VOLUNTEERS 2188 01:25:25,000 --> 01:25:28,000 AND THE PHONE BANK THAT WAS JUST 2189 01:25:28,000 --> 01:25:29,000 UNSTOPPABLE AND THAT'S REALLY 2190 01:25:29,000 --> 01:25:31,000 HELPED HIM A GREAT DEAL TONIGHT. 2191 01:25:31,000 --> 01:25:33,000 >> DAVID WE JUST SAW SOME OF THE 2192 01:25:33,000 --> 01:25:34,000 POLL NUMBERS FROM NEW HAMPSHIRE 2193 01:25:34,000 --> 01:25:36,000 AWITH REGARD TO REPUBLICANS. 2194 01:25:36,000 --> 01:25:38,000 DONALD TRUMP IS WAY OUT IN FRONT 2195 01:25:38,000 --> 01:25:39,000 IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2196 01:25:39,000 --> 01:25:41,000 SO DOES THIS KNOCK HIM DOWN, A 2197 01:25:41,000 --> 01:25:43,000 BIT, MOVING INTO THAT RACE OR 2198 01:25:43,000 --> 01:25:45,000 NOT? >> WELL IT MIGHT. 2199 01:25:45,000 --> 01:25:46,000 BECAUSE THERE'S NOW SOME 2200 01:25:46,000 --> 01:25:48,000 MOMENTUM FOR TED CRUZ, THERE ARE 2201 01:25:48,000 --> 01:25:50,000 A LOT OF PEOPLE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE 2202 01:25:50,000 --> 01:25:51,000 WHO ARE NOW GOING TO TAKE A 2203 01:25:51,000 --> 01:25:53,000 CLOSER LOOK AT TED CRUZ WHO 2204 01:25:53,000 --> 01:25:56,000 HAVEN'T HEARD SO MUCH ABOUT IT. 2205 01:25:56,000 --> 01:26:00,000 NOW THOSE IN IOWA, THERE ARE A 2206 01:26:00,000 --> 01:26:01,000 LOT OF REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS 2207 01:26:01,000 --> 01:26:03,000 WHO WANT TO GO WITH THE WINNER. 2208 01:26:03,000 --> 01:26:06,000 IF SOMEBODY IS JUST WON THE IOWA 2209 01:26:06,000 --> 01:26:08,000 CAUCUSES THEY'RE GOING TO GET A 2210 01:26:08,000 --> 01:26:09,000 HEARING IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2211 01:26:09,000 --> 01:26:12,000 THE CHALLENGER, MARCO RUBIO, JEB 2212 01:26:12,000 --> 01:26:14,000 BUSH OR CHRIS CHRISTIE OR JOHN 2213 01:26:14,000 --> 01:26:16,000 KASICH AGAIN THE VOTERS ARE 2214 01:26:16,000 --> 01:26:19,000 SPLITTING ABOUT 65-35 2215 01:26:19,000 --> 01:26:20,000 ANTIESTABLISHMENT TO 2216 01:26:20,000 --> 01:26:22,000 ESTABLISHMENT. THERE'S GOING TO BE A BATTLE 2217 01:26:22,000 --> 01:26:24,000 BETWEEN MARCO RUBIO AND KASICH 2218 01:26:24,000 --> 01:26:26,000 AND CHRISTIE AND BUSH AS TO WHO 2219 01:26:26,000 --> 01:26:29,000 IS GOING TO BE THE ALTERNATIVE 2220 01:26:29,000 --> 01:26:31,000 TO DONALD TRUMP AND TED CRUZ, 2221 01:26:31,000 --> 01:26:32,000 UNTIL THAT BATTLE IS SORTED OUT 2222 01:26:32,000 --> 01:26:34,000 I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO SEE 2223 01:26:34,000 --> 01:26:36,000 DONALD TRUMP AND TED CRUZ 2224 01:26:36,000 --> 01:26:38,000 ROLLING UP THE KIND OF NUMBERS 2225 01:26:38,000 --> 01:26:39,000 THEY HAVE TODAY IN IOWA. 2226 01:26:39,000 --> 01:26:41,000 >> WE HAVE 84% OF THE VOTE IN 2227 01:26:41,000 --> 01:26:43,000 FOR THE REPUBLICAN CAUCUS GOERS. 2228 01:26:43,000 --> 01:26:45,000 STILL SOME TIME HERE BUT CLEARLY 2229 01:26:45,000 --> 01:26:47,000 TED CRUZ HAS LED THROUGHOUT THE 2230 01:26:47,000 --> 01:26:48,000 NIGHT. 2231 01:26:48,000 --> 01:26:49,000 >> HE HAS LED THROUGHOUT THE 2232 01:26:49,000 --> 01:26:50,000 NIGHT AND I THINK WHAT'S GOING 2233 01:26:50,000 --> 01:26:52,000 TO BE FASCINATING IS HOW DONALD 2234 01:26:52,000 --> 01:26:56,000 TRUMP SPECIFIC SPINS THIS. 2235 01:26:56,000 --> 01:26:58,000 AS YOU SAID HE IS GOING TO COME 2236 01:26:58,000 --> 01:27:00,000 OUT AND SPEAK. 2237 01:27:00,000 --> 01:27:03,000 HOW SOMEONE'S CAMPAIGN HAS BEEN 2238 01:27:03,000 --> 01:27:08,000 PREF ASSEDPREFACED WITH THE FACT THAT 2239 01:27:08,000 --> 01:27:09,000 HE 2240 01:27:09,000 --> 01:27:12,000 WILL BE THE WINNER, TONIGHT HE 2241 01:27:12,000 --> 01:27:16,000 HAS TURNED OUT THE OPPOSITE. 2242 01:27:16,000 --> 01:27:19,000 >> EVERY TIME I SEE I'M AHEAD 2243 01:27:19,000 --> 01:27:22,000 OF THE POLLS I'M AHEAD OF THE 2244 01:27:22,000 --> 01:27:25,000 POLLS, EVERY TIME I COME ON TV 2245 01:27:25,000 --> 01:27:27,000 IT TRANSLATES. 2246 01:27:27,000 --> 01:27:32,000 >> HE'S THE MASTER SPIN-MAN, HE 2247 01:27:32,000 --> 01:27:34,000 WITH WILL SAY NEW HAMPSHIRE IS 2248 01:27:34,000 --> 01:27:36,000 OUR REAL TEST AND WE'LL WIN BY A 2249 01:27:36,000 --> 01:27:39,000 BIG MARGIN IN NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2250 01:27:39,000 --> 01:27:42,000 >> WE'RE WAITING FOR TED CRUZ TO 2251 01:27:42,000 --> 01:27:43,000 SEEK, HILLARY CLINTON TO SPEAK. 2252 01:27:43,000 --> 01:27:46,000 WE'LL HAVE MUCH MORE FROM OUR 2253 01:27:46,000 --> 01:27:48,000 IOWA CAUCUSES RIGHT AFTER THIS, 2254 01:27:48,000 --> 01:27:53,000 DON'T GO AWAY. 2255 01:27:59,000 --> 01:28:00,000 that's going on, not just in this country 2256 01:28:00,000 --> 01:28:01,000 but around the world. 2257 01:28:01,000 --> 01:28:02,000 >> What, as if there were 2258 01:28:02,000 --> 01:28:03,000 no cameras here, 2259 01:28:03,000 --> 01:28:04,000 would be the best solution? 2260 01:28:04,000 --> 01:28:05,000 >> This goes to the heart of 2261 01:28:05,000 --> 01:28:06,000 the argument. >> To tell you the stories 2262 01:28:06,000 --> 01:28:07,000 that others won't cover. 2263 01:28:07,000 --> 01:28:09,000 How big do you see 2264 01:28:09,000 --> 01:28:10,000 this getting? 2265 01:28:10,000 --> 01:28:11,000 Getting the news from 2266 01:28:11,000 --> 01:28:12,000 the people who are 2267 01:28:12,000 --> 01:28:13,000 affected. >> People need to demand 2268 01:28:13,000 --> 01:28:14,000 reform... 2269 01:28:14,000 --> 01:28:15,000 >> We're here to provide 2270 01:28:15,000 --> 01:28:16,000 the analysis... 2271 01:28:16,000 --> 01:28:17,000 the context... and the reporting that allows 2272 01:28:17,000 --> 01:28:18,000 you to make sense 2273 01:28:18,000 --> 01:28:20,000 of your world. 2274 01:28:20,000 --> 01:28:25,000 >> ALI VELSHI ON TARGET. 2275 01:30:34,000 --> 01:30:36,000 >> AND WELCOME BACK EVERYONE. WE THOUSAND HAVE ASSOCIATE ED 2276 01:30:36,000 --> 01:30:37,000 PRESS CALLING THE RACE FOR TED 2277 01:30:37,000 --> 01:30:40,000 CRUZ TONIGHT A BIG WIN IN IOWA, 2278 01:30:40,000 --> 01:30:42,000 IN THE IOWA CAUCUSES FOR SENATOR 2279 01:30:42,000 --> 01:30:45,000 TED CRUZ, OVER DONALD TRUMP. 2280 01:30:45,000 --> 01:30:48,000 AND MARCO RUBIO TRUMP AND RUBIO 2281 01:30:48,000 --> 01:30:50,000 NECK AND NECK FOR SECOND PLACE. 2282 01:30:50,000 --> 01:30:51,000 ALI VELSHI IS IN DES MOINES. 2283 01:30:51,000 --> 01:30:53,000 I MIGHT MENTION ALI THAT WE'VE 2284 01:30:53,000 --> 01:30:56,000 JUST GOTTEN WORD THAT GOVERNOR 2285 01:30:56,000 --> 01:30:57,000 HUCKABEE HAS SUSPENDED HIS 2286 01:30:57,000 --> 01:30:59,000 CAMPAIGN FOR PRESIDENT AS WELL. 2287 01:30:59,000 --> 01:31:00,000 >> GENTLEMEN JUST SAW THAT TWEET 2288 01:31:00,000 --> 01:31:01,000 FROM HIM. 2289 01:31:01,000 --> 01:31:03,000 YOU KNOW I TALKED TO HIM ABOUT A 2290 01:31:03,000 --> 01:31:04,000 WEEK AND A HALF AGO OR TWO WEEKS 2291 01:31:04,000 --> 01:31:06,000 AGO AND HE SAID HE THOUGHT THERE 2292 01:31:06,000 --> 01:31:08,000 WOULD BE MORE SUPPORT FOR HIM 2293 01:31:08,000 --> 01:31:11,000 HERE, HE WON THE IOWA CAUCUSES 2294 01:31:11,000 --> 01:31:13,000 IN 2008, HE SAID IF IT DIDN'T 2295 01:31:13,000 --> 01:31:16,000 WORK HE WOULD HAVE TO THINK 2296 01:31:16,000 --> 01:31:18,000 ABOUT IT. 2297 01:31:18,000 --> 01:31:23,000 WE HAVE BEN CARSON RETHINKING 2298 01:31:23,000 --> 01:31:27,000 AND I KEEP LOOKING AT HOW CLOSE 2299 01:31:27,000 --> 01:31:29,000 MARCO RUBIO IS TO DONALD TRUMP 2300 01:31:29,000 --> 01:31:31,000 RIGHT NOW THE NUMBERS I'VE GOT 2301 01:31:31,000 --> 01:31:33,000 SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT FROM THE ONES 2302 01:31:33,000 --> 01:31:38,000 YOU'VE GOT RUBIO AT 22.9% AND 2303 01:31:38,000 --> 01:31:40,000 TRUMP 24.5%. 2304 01:31:40,000 --> 01:31:43,000 THAT WAS A BIT OF A TAKE AWAY, 2305 01:31:43,000 --> 01:31:44,000 THAT MARCO RUBIO HAD BEEN 2306 01:31:44,000 --> 01:31:46,000 MANAGING EXPECTATIONS ABOUT 2307 01:31:46,000 --> 01:31:47,000 DOING WELCOMING IN THIRD BUT HE 2308 01:31:47,000 --> 01:31:48,000 DIDN'T WANT TO TALK ABOUT HOW 2309 01:31:48,000 --> 01:31:50,000 WELL HE WAS DOING. 2310 01:31:50,000 --> 01:31:52,000 AS SEAN SPICER SAID A LITTLE 2311 01:31:52,000 --> 01:31:54,000 EARLIER YOU CAN LOSE AND DO 2312 01:31:54,000 --> 01:31:55,000 WELL, IF YOU DO BETTER THAN 2313 01:31:55,000 --> 01:31:57,000 PEOPLE THOUGHT OR YOU CAN LOSE 2314 01:31:57,000 --> 01:32:01,000 AND DO PEERL IF YOU DO DIFFERENT 2315 01:32:01,000 --> 01:32:03,000 THAN SOME PEOPLE THOUGHT. 2316 01:32:03,000 --> 01:32:05,000 ALL YOU HEAR FROM DONALD TRUMP 2317 01:32:05,000 --> 01:32:08,000 IS HE IS WINNING AND ON TOP AND 2318 01:32:08,000 --> 01:32:10,000 TERRIFIC RATINGS. 2319 01:32:10,000 --> 01:32:12,000 DONALD TRUMP BROKE OUT OF THAT 2320 01:32:12,000 --> 01:32:14,000 SECOND PLACE SPOT, ON THE 2321 01:32:14,000 --> 01:32:17,000 DEMOCRATIC SIDE, SAME STORY 2322 01:32:17,000 --> 01:32:18,000 BERNIE SANDERS HASN'T BEEN ABLE 2323 01:32:18,000 --> 01:32:21,000 TO BREAK INTO THE NUMBER ONE 2324 01:32:21,000 --> 01:32:23,000 SPOT BUT BOY HE LAST KEPT THAT 2325 01:32:23,000 --> 01:32:25,000 GAP NARROW SOMETIMES WITHIN 1 2326 01:32:25,000 --> 01:32:26,000 PERCENTAGE OPPONENT. 2327 01:32:26,000 --> 01:32:28,000 WE KNOW HE IS GOING TO INTO NEW 2328 01:32:28,000 --> 01:32:31,000 HAMPSHIRE VERY VERY STRONG, THE 2329 01:32:31,000 --> 01:32:34,000 LATEST POLLS SAYING 18% AHEAD OF 2330 01:32:34,000 --> 01:32:36,000 HILLARY CLINTON AND NO MARTIN 2331 01:32:36,000 --> 01:32:37,000 O'MALLEY ANYMORE. 2332 01:32:37,000 --> 01:32:39,000 VERY INTERESTING NIGHT MORE 2333 01:32:39,000 --> 01:32:40,000 INTERESTING THAN PEOPLE THOUGHT 2334 01:32:40,000 --> 01:32:42,000 IT WOULD BE. 2335 01:32:42,000 --> 01:32:43,000 THE FINAL TAKE AWAY JOHN IS 2336 01:32:43,000 --> 01:32:46,000 THOSE MAINSTREAM ESTABLISHMENT 2337 01:32:46,000 --> 01:32:48,000 GOVERNORS WHO HAVEN'T BEEN ABLE 2338 01:32:48,000 --> 01:32:53,000 TO PENETRATE ANYTHING, CHRIS 2339 01:32:53,000 --> 01:32:58,000 CHRISTIE JOHN KASICH AND JEB 2340 01:32:59,000 --> 01:33:01,000 BUSH NOT DOING WELL. 2341 01:33:01,000 --> 01:33:06,000 >> I WANT TO GO BACK TO JOHN 2342 01:33:08,000 --> 01:33:09,000 KINGSTON IN WASHINGTON. 2343 01:33:09,000 --> 01:33:11,000 WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR TED 2344 01:33:11,000 --> 01:33:13,000 CRUZ? >> JOHN WHAT IT MEANS IS HE'S 2345 01:33:13,000 --> 01:33:15,000 GOING TO HAVE A LOT OF MOMENTUM 2346 01:33:15,000 --> 01:33:16,000 GOING INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2347 01:33:16,000 --> 01:33:19,000 EVEN IF HE'S NOT IN THE TOP SLOT 2348 01:33:19,000 --> 01:33:21,000 THERE, HE'S GOT THE MONEY TO 2349 01:33:21,000 --> 01:33:24,000 SURVIVE AND LIVE ANOTHER DAY. 2350 01:33:24,000 --> 01:33:25,000 THEY ALREADY PLANNED $19 MILLION 2351 01:33:25,000 --> 01:33:27,000 IN THE BANK WHICH IS MORE THAN 2352 01:33:27,000 --> 01:33:29,000 ANY OTHER CANDIDATE SO HE'S 2353 01:33:29,000 --> 01:33:31,000 GOING TO BE IN GREAT SHAPE 2354 01:33:31,000 --> 01:33:32,000 FINANCIALLY. 2355 01:33:32,000 --> 01:33:35,000 HOW DO YOU RUN A CAMPAIGN FOR 2356 01:33:35,000 --> 01:33:38,000 SUPER-TUESDAY IN THE SOUTH IN 2357 01:33:38,000 --> 01:33:40,000 MENZIES AND IN MASSACHUSETTS I 2358 01:33:40,000 --> 01:33:45,000 THINK HE'SMINNESOTA AND IN MASSACHUSETTS. 2359 01:33:48,000 --> 01:33:50,000 A DOESN'T NIGHT FOR CARSON. 2360 01:33:50,000 --> 01:33:52,000 A HORRIBLE NIGHT AS YOU POINTED 2361 01:33:52,000 --> 01:33:53,000 OUT TO THE GOVERNORS, NEW 2362 01:33:53,000 --> 01:33:54,000 HAMPSHIRE IS GOING TO BE 2363 01:33:54,000 --> 01:33:55,000 IMPORTANT, BUT I REALLY THINK 2364 01:33:55,000 --> 01:33:58,000 IT'S GOING TO BE OVERSHADOWED BY 2365 01:33:58,000 --> 01:34:02,000 SOUTH CAROLINA, NEVADA AND 2366 01:34:02,000 --> 01:34:03,000 SUPERTUESDAY. 2367 01:34:03,000 --> 01:34:05,000 >> ALL RIGHT DAVID AS WE AWAIT 2368 01:34:05,000 --> 01:34:06,000 BOTH HILLARY CLINTON AND DONALD 2369 01:34:06,000 --> 01:34:08,000 TRUMP AND IT SHOULD BE TED CRUZ 2370 01:34:08,000 --> 01:34:10,000 IN JUST A LITTLE WHILE MAYBE WE 2371 01:34:10,000 --> 01:34:12,000 CAN JUST GIVE US YOUR SENSE OF 2372 01:34:12,000 --> 01:34:15,000 WHAT UNFOLDED TONIGHT IN IOWA. 2373 01:34:15,000 --> 01:34:18,000 >> WELL, AND AS JOE POINTED OUT 2374 01:34:18,000 --> 01:34:19,000 ORGANIZATION IS CRUCIAL. 2375 01:34:19,000 --> 01:34:23,000 IT'S GOING TO BE CRUCIAL IF 2376 01:34:23,000 --> 01:34:28,000 HILLARY CLINTON EKES OUT A WIN 2377 01:34:28,000 --> 01:34:30,000 OVER BERNIE SANDERS. 2378 01:34:30,000 --> 01:34:31,000 VISITED 99 COUNTIES, HAD A 2379 01:34:31,000 --> 01:34:32,000 SUPERIOR ORGANIZATION ON THE 2380 01:34:32,000 --> 01:34:34,000 REPUBLICAN SIDE, THAT MAKES A 2381 01:34:34,000 --> 01:34:35,000 BIG DIFFERENCE. 2382 01:34:35,000 --> 01:34:40,000 BUT IT'S INTERESTING TO HEAR 2383 01:34:40,000 --> 01:34:42,000 CONGRESSMAN KINGSTON TALK ABOUT 2384 01:34:42,000 --> 01:34:43,000 ORGANIZATION, THERE ARE OTHER 2385 01:34:43,000 --> 01:34:47,000 CANDIDATES WHO IGNORED IOWA, 2386 01:34:47,000 --> 01:34:52,000 EXPHAIB HE SETS UPJOHN McCAIN, SETTING 2387 01:34:53,000 --> 01:34:54,000 UP A BIG 2388 01:34:54,000 --> 01:34:55,000 BATTLE IN SOUTH CAROLINA. 2389 01:34:55,000 --> 01:34:57,000 YOU WIN IOWA MAYBE YOU'RE NOT 2390 01:34:57,000 --> 01:34:59,000 COMPETITIVE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE OR 2391 01:34:59,000 --> 01:35:01,000 GET BEATEN BY DOUBLE DIGITS BUT 2392 01:35:01,000 --> 01:35:04,000 YOU SET UP YOUR FIRE WALL IN THE 2393 01:35:04,000 --> 01:35:06,000 SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTH 2394 01:35:06,000 --> 01:35:11,000 TED CRUZ IS SENDING A SIGNAL TO 2395 01:35:14,000 --> 01:35:17,000 THE SOUTHERN STATES. 2396 01:35:17,000 --> 01:35:18,000 THE EVANGELICAL VOTE IS NOT AS 2397 01:35:18,000 --> 01:35:20,000 IMPORTANT THERE AS IT IS IN THE 2398 01:35:20,000 --> 01:35:21,000 SOUTH IN SOUTH CAROLINA AND IN 2399 01:35:21,000 --> 01:35:24,000 IOWA. AND SO THAT'S WHY SOME OF THE 2400 01:35:24,000 --> 01:35:25,000 MODERATE GOVERNORS FEEL THEY MAY 2401 01:35:25,000 --> 01:35:27,000 HAVE A CHANCE TO COME IN IN THAT 2402 01:35:27,000 --> 01:35:28,000 SECOND TIER. 2403 01:35:28,000 --> 01:35:29,000 IT'S GOING TO BE HARD BECAUSE 2404 01:35:29,000 --> 01:35:31,000 THE MOMENTUM COMING OUT OF IOWA 2405 01:35:31,000 --> 01:35:32,000 IS REALLY GOING TO BE THERE FOR 2406 01:35:32,000 --> 01:35:34,000 DONALD TRUMP AND TED CRUZ AND 2407 01:35:34,000 --> 01:35:35,000 NOW FOR MARCO RUBIO. 2408 01:35:35,000 --> 01:35:38,000 MARCO RUBIO GOT THAT BIG 2409 01:35:38,000 --> 01:35:40,000 ENDORSEMENT IN IOWA. 2410 01:35:40,000 --> 01:35:43,000 CHRISTIE GOT THE ENDORSEMENT IN 2411 01:35:43,000 --> 01:35:45,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE BUT MARCO RUBIO IS 2412 01:35:45,000 --> 01:35:47,000 GOING TO BE VERY VERY STRONG 2413 01:35:47,000 --> 01:35:50,000 HEADING INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2414 01:35:50,000 --> 01:35:55,000 >> JEANNIE, HILLARY CLINTON LED 2415 01:35:56,000 --> 01:35:58,000 AND LED BUT IT COULD GO EITHER 2416 01:35:58,000 --> 01:36:00,000 WAY. HOW DOES SHE COME OUT OF THIS 2417 01:36:00,000 --> 01:36:02,000 WITH THIS CLOSE? 2418 01:36:02,000 --> 01:36:04,000 >> WITHIN SEVEN DELEGATES 2419 01:36:04,000 --> 01:36:06,000 THAT'S INCREDIBLY CLOSE. 2420 01:36:06,000 --> 01:36:08,000 WHAT SHE'S GOT TO DO IS HOPE 2421 01:36:08,000 --> 01:36:10,000 THAT SHE HANGS ONTO THAT LEAD, 2422 01:36:10,000 --> 01:36:12,000 SHE'S GOT TO DECLARE A BIG 2423 01:36:12,000 --> 01:36:15,000 VICTORY OUT OF TONIGHT TRY MOVE 2424 01:36:15,000 --> 01:36:19,000 TO FLF NEW HAMPSHIRE WHERE SHE'S 2425 01:36:19,000 --> 01:36:22,000 LIKELY TO LOSE. 2426 01:36:22,000 --> 01:36:23,000 >> WE'RE ABOUT TO HEAR FROM 2427 01:36:23,000 --> 01:36:24,000 MARCO RUBIO. 2428 01:36:24,000 --> 01:36:29,000 >> THANK YOU, THANK YOU. 2429 01:36:29,000 --> 01:36:32,000 [♪ SINGING ♪ ] >> THANK YOU, THANK YOU. 2430 01:36:32,000 --> 01:36:33,000 SO -- SO THIS IS THE MOMENT THEY 2431 01:36:33,000 --> 01:36:38,000 SAID WOULD NEVER LAP! 2432 01:36:39,000 --> 01:36:40,000 HAPPEN. 2433 01:36:40,000 --> 01:36:42,000 FOR MONTHS THEY TOLD US WE HAD 2434 01:36:42,000 --> 01:36:43,000 NO CHANCE. 2435 01:36:43,000 --> 01:36:44,000 FOR MONTHS THEY TOLD US BECAUSE 2436 01:36:44,000 --> 01:36:47,000 WE OFFERED TOO MUCH OPTIMISM IN 2437 01:36:47,000 --> 01:36:50,000 A TIME OF ANGER WE HAD NO 2438 01:36:50,000 --> 01:36:51,000 CHANCE. FOR MONTHS THEY TOLD US BECAUSE 2439 01:36:51,000 --> 01:36:53,000 WE DIDN'T HAVE THE RIGHT 2440 01:36:53,000 --> 01:36:54,000 ENDORSEMENTS OR THE RIGHT 2441 01:36:54,000 --> 01:36:56,000 POLITICAL CONNECTIONS WE HAD NO 2442 01:36:56,000 --> 01:36:58,000 CHANCE. THEY TOLD ME WE HAVE NO CHANCE 2443 01:36:58,000 --> 01:37:00,000 BECAUSE MY HAIR WAS NOT GRAY 2444 01:37:00,000 --> 01:37:02,000 ENOUGH AND MY BOOTS WERE TOO 2445 01:37:02,000 --> 01:37:05,000 HIGH. 2446 01:37:05,000 --> 01:37:07,000 THEY TOLD ME I NEEDED TO WAIT MY 2447 01:37:07,000 --> 01:37:11,000 TURN THAT I NEEDED TO WAIT IN 2448 01:37:11,000 --> 01:37:16,000 LINE. [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2449 01:37:17,000 --> 01:37:19,000 >> BUT TONIGHT TONIGHT, HERE IN 2450 01:37:19,000 --> 01:37:21,000 IOWA THE PEOPLE OF THIS GREAT 2451 01:37:21,000 --> 01:37:24,000 STATE HAVE SENT A VERY CLEAR 2452 01:37:24,000 --> 01:37:25,000 MESSAGE: AFTER SEVEN YEARS OF 2453 01:37:25,000 --> 01:37:27,000 BARACK OBAMA WE ARE NOT WAITING 2454 01:37:27,000 --> 01:37:28,000 ANY LONGER TO TAKE OUR COUNTRY 2455 01:37:28,000 --> 01:37:33,000 BACK! 2456 01:37:33,000 --> 01:37:36,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2457 01:37:36,000 --> 01:37:38,000 >> THIS IS NOT A TIME FOR 2458 01:37:38,000 --> 01:37:40,000 WAITING. FOR EVERYTHING THAT MAKES THIS 2459 01:37:40,000 --> 01:37:41,000 NATION GREAT NOW HANGS IN THE 2460 01:37:41,000 --> 01:37:43,000 BALANCE. 2461 01:37:43,000 --> 01:37:45,000 THIS IS A TIME WHEN WE NEED A 2462 01:37:45,000 --> 01:37:47,000 PRESIDENT THAT WILL TRULY 2463 01:37:47,000 --> 01:37:48,000 PRESERVE AND PROTECT AND DEFEND 2464 01:37:48,000 --> 01:37:49,000 THE CONSTITUTION OF THE UNITED 2465 01:37:49,000 --> 01:37:52,000 STATES. NOT ONE THAT UNDERMINES, ATTACKS 2466 01:37:52,000 --> 01:37:54,000 AND IGNORES THE CONSTITUTION OF 2467 01:37:54,000 --> 01:37:58,000 THE UNITED STATES. 2468 01:37:58,000 --> 01:38:00,000 THIS IS THE TIME FOR A PRESIDENT 2469 01:38:00,000 --> 01:38:02,000 WHO WILL DEFEND OUR SECOND 2470 01:38:02,000 --> 01:38:04,000 AMENDMENT RIGHTS. 2471 01:38:04,000 --> 01:38:06,000 NOT A PRESIDENT WHO UNDERMINES 2472 01:38:06,000 --> 01:38:07,000 THEM. 2473 01:38:07,000 --> 01:38:09,000 THIS IS THE TIME FOR A PRESIDENT 2474 01:38:09,000 --> 01:38:11,000 THAT WILL REBUILD THE U.S. 2475 01:38:11,000 --> 01:38:12,000 MILITARY BECAUSE THE WORLD IS A 2476 01:38:12,000 --> 01:38:14,000 SAFER AND A BETTER PLACE, WHEN 2477 01:38:14,000 --> 01:38:16,000 THE UNITED STATES HAS THE MOST 2478 01:38:16,000 --> 01:38:21,000 POWERFUL MILITARY IN THE WORLD. 2479 01:38:22,000 --> 01:38:25,000 THIS IS NOT ORDINARY ELECTION. 2480 01:38:25,000 --> 01:38:27,000 2016 IS NOT JUST A CHOICE 2481 01:38:27,000 --> 01:38:29,000 BETWEEN TWO POLITICAL PARTIES. 2482 01:38:29,000 --> 01:38:31,000 2016 IS A REFERENDUM. 2483 01:38:31,000 --> 01:38:32,000 IT IS A REFERENDUM ON OUR 2484 01:38:32,000 --> 01:38:34,000 IDENTITY AS A NATION, AND AS A 2485 01:38:34,000 --> 01:38:36,000 PEOPLE. 2486 01:38:36,000 --> 01:38:38,000 IN AMERICA THERE ARE ONLY TWO 2487 01:38:38,000 --> 01:38:40,000 WAYS FORWARD FOR US NOW: WE CAN 2488 01:38:40,000 --> 01:38:41,000 EITHER BE GREATER THAN WE HAVE 2489 01:38:41,000 --> 01:38:44,000 EVER BEEN, OR WE CAN BE A GREAT 2490 01:38:44,000 --> 01:38:46,000 NATION IN DECLINE. 2491 01:38:46,000 --> 01:38:48,000 IF BERNIE SANDERS OR HILLARY 2492 01:38:48,000 --> 01:38:53,000 CLINTON GET ELECTED -- IF THEY 2493 01:38:53,000 --> 01:38:55,000 WERE TO WIN -- WE WILL BE A 2494 01:38:55,000 --> 01:38:56,000 GREAT NATION IN DECLINE. 2495 01:38:56,000 --> 01:39:01,000 IF THEY WIN OBAMACARE BECOMES 2496 01:39:01,000 --> 01:39:04,000 PERMANENT. IF THEY WIN THESE 2497 01:39:04,000 --> 01:39:06,000 UNCONSTITUTIONAL EXECUTIVE ORDERS FROM THIS PRESIDENT 2498 01:39:06,000 --> 01:39:07,000 BECOME PERMANENT. 2499 01:39:07,000 --> 01:39:09,000 IF THEY WIN OUR MILITARY 2500 01:39:09,000 --> 01:39:12,000 CONTINUES TO DECLINE. 2501 01:39:12,000 --> 01:39:14,000 AND IF THEY WIN THE BALANCE OF 2502 01:39:14,000 --> 01:39:15,000 OUR SUPREME COURT WILL BE 2503 01:39:15,000 --> 01:39:17,000 CONTROLLED BY LIBERAL JUSTICES 2504 01:39:17,000 --> 01:39:20,000 FOR OVER A DECADE OR LONGER. 2505 01:39:20,000 --> 01:39:23,000 THEY CANNOT WIN. 2506 01:39:23,000 --> 01:39:25,000 HILLARY CLINTON IS DISQUALIFIED 2507 01:39:25,000 --> 01:39:26,000 FROM BEING THE PRESIDENT OF THE 2508 01:39:26,000 --> 01:39:31,000 UNITED STATES. 2509 01:39:31,000 --> 01:39:32,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2510 01:39:32,000 --> 01:39:35,000 >> BECAUSE SHE STORED CLASSIFIED 2511 01:39:35,000 --> 01:39:37,000 AND SENSITIVE INFORMATION ON HER 2512 01:39:37,000 --> 01:39:38,000 E-MAIL SERVER BECAUSE SHE THINKS 2513 01:39:38,000 --> 01:39:40,000 SHE'S ABOVE THE LAW. 2514 01:39:40,000 --> 01:39:42,000 AND HILLARY CLINTON CAN NEVER BE 2515 01:39:42,000 --> 01:39:43,000 COMMANDER IN CHIEF. 2516 01:39:43,000 --> 01:39:45,000 BECAUSE ANYONE WHO LIES TO THE 2517 01:39:45,000 --> 01:39:47,000 FAMILIES OF PEOPLE WHO HAVE LOST 2518 01:39:47,000 --> 01:39:48,000 THEIR LIVES IN THE SERVICE OF 2519 01:39:48,000 --> 01:39:50,000 THIS COUNTRY CAN NEVER BE 2520 01:39:50,000 --> 01:39:51,000 COMMANDER IN CHIEF OF THE UNITED 2521 01:39:51,000 --> 01:39:56,000 STATES. 2522 01:40:01,000 --> 01:40:02,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2523 01:40:02,000 --> 01:40:04,000 >> AND SO TONIGHT I THANK YOU 2524 01:40:04,000 --> 01:40:06,000 HERE IN IOWA. I THANK YOU BECAUSE TONIGHT WE 2525 01:40:06,000 --> 01:40:08,000 HAVE TAKEN THE FIRST STEP, BUT 2526 01:40:08,000 --> 01:40:11,000 AN IMPORTANT STEP, TOWARDS 2527 01:40:11,000 --> 01:40:12,000 WINNING THIS ELECTION. 2528 01:40:12,000 --> 01:40:14,000 IF I AM OUR NOMINEE AND I WILL 2529 01:40:14,000 --> 01:40:17,000 BE OUR NOMINEE THANKS TO WHAT 2530 01:40:17,000 --> 01:40:21,000 YOU HAVE DONE HERE IN THIS GREAT 2531 01:40:21,000 --> 01:40:23,000 STATE -- [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2532 01:40:23,000 --> 01:40:25,000 >> -- WHEN I AM OUR NOMINEE WE 2533 01:40:25,000 --> 01:40:27,000 ARE GOING TO UNIFY THIS PARTY 2534 01:40:27,000 --> 01:40:30,000 AND WE ARE GOING TO UNIFY THE 2535 01:40:30,000 --> 01:40:32,000 CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT. 2536 01:40:32,000 --> 01:40:34,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2537 01:40:34,000 --> 01:40:35,000 >> WHEN I'M OUR NOMINEE WE ARE 2538 01:40:35,000 --> 01:40:37,000 GOING TO GROW CONSERVATIVE 2539 01:40:37,000 --> 01:40:39,000 MOVEMENT. WE ARE GOING TO TAKE OUR MESSAGE 2540 01:40:39,000 --> 01:40:42,000 TO THE PEOPLE WHO ARE STRUGGLING 2541 01:40:42,000 --> 01:40:43,000 PAYCHECK TO PAYCHECK. 2542 01:40:43,000 --> 01:40:45,000 TO THE STUDENTS LIVING UNDER THE 2543 01:40:45,000 --> 01:40:46,000 BURDEN OF STUDENT LOANS. 2544 01:40:46,000 --> 01:40:48,000 TO THE FAMILIES STRUGGLING TO 2545 01:40:48,000 --> 01:40:49,000 RAISE THEIR CHILDREN WITH THE 2546 01:40:49,000 --> 01:40:50,000 RIGHT VALUES, WE WILL TAKE OUR 2547 01:40:50,000 --> 01:40:52,000 MESSAGE TO THEM AND WE WILL 2548 01:40:52,000 --> 01:40:53,000 BRING THEM TO OUR SIDE. 2549 01:40:53,000 --> 01:40:57,000 WHEN I AM YOUR NOMINEE WE WILL 2550 01:40:57,000 --> 01:40:58,000 UNITE OUR PARTY WE WILL GROW OUR 2551 01:40:58,000 --> 01:41:01,000 PARTY AND WE WILL DEFEAT HILLARY 2552 01:41:01,000 --> 01:41:03,000 CLINTON OR BERNIE SANDERS OR 2553 01:41:03,000 --> 01:41:06,000 WHOEVER THEY NOMINATE. 2554 01:41:06,000 --> 01:41:11,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2555 01:41:13,000 --> 01:41:16,000 >> I WANT TO THANK AND ALL 2556 01:41:16,000 --> 01:41:19,000 POWERFUL AND MIGHTY GOD. 2557 01:41:19,000 --> 01:41:21,000 FOR THE CHANCE THAT HE HAS GIVEN 2558 01:41:21,000 --> 01:41:23,000 US TO BE A PART OF THIS ENDEAVOR 2559 01:41:23,000 --> 01:41:24,000 HERE IN IOWA. 2560 01:41:24,000 --> 01:41:25,000 IT'S BEEN A PHENOMENAL 2561 01:41:25,000 --> 01:41:29,000 EXPERIENCE. I WANT TO THANK MY WIFE AND MY 2562 01:41:29,000 --> 01:41:30,000 FAMILY. 2563 01:41:30,000 --> 01:41:35,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2564 01:41:38,000 --> 01:41:40,000 >> I WANT TO CONGRATULATE MY 2565 01:41:40,000 --> 01:41:41,000 FRIEND SENATOR TED CRUZ, HE 2566 01:41:41,000 --> 01:41:43,000 WORKED REALLY HARD HERE IN IOWA 2567 01:41:43,000 --> 01:41:45,000 AND I EARNED HIS VICTORY 2568 01:41:45,000 --> 01:41:48,000 TONIGHT. 2569 01:41:48,000 --> 01:41:50,000 >> I WANT TO THANK ANOTHER GOOD 2570 01:41:50,000 --> 01:41:52,000 FRIEND OF MINE GOVERNOR MIKE 2571 01:41:52,000 --> 01:41:54,000 HUCKABEE FOR HIS SERVICE TO OUR 2572 01:41:54,000 --> 01:41:55,000 COUNTRY TO THE STATE OF 2573 01:41:55,000 --> 01:41:58,000 ARKANSAS. HE IS ANNOUNCING TONIGHT HE IS 2574 01:41:58,000 --> 01:41:59,000 SUSPENDING HIS CAMPAIGN. 2575 01:41:59,000 --> 01:42:02,000 WE HAVE TREMENDOUS ADMIRATION 2576 01:42:02,000 --> 01:42:04,000 FOR GOVERNOR HUCKABEE AND WE 2577 01:42:04,000 --> 01:42:06,000 THANK HIM FOR ALL HE'S DONE. 2578 01:42:06,000 --> 01:42:08,000 [APPLAUSE] 2579 01:42:08,000 --> 01:42:10,000 >> TWO CENTURIES AGO AN 2580 01:42:10,000 --> 01:42:11,000 EXTRAORDINARY GENERATION LIVING 2581 01:42:11,000 --> 01:42:14,000 IN ONE PLACE AT ONE TIME HERE IN 2582 01:42:14,000 --> 01:42:18,000 AMERICA, COLONISTS OF AN ENGLISH 2583 01:42:18,000 --> 01:42:19,000 COLONY THRAIRD THEIR 2584 01:42:19,000 --> 01:42:22,000 INDEPENDENCE FROM THE MOST 2585 01:42:22,000 --> 01:42:24,000 POWERFUL EMPIRE IN THE WORLD. 2586 01:42:24,000 --> 01:42:27,000 THAT OUR RIGHTS COME FROM OUR 2587 01:42:27,000 --> 01:42:28,000 CREATOR, THEY DO NOT COME FROM 2588 01:42:28,000 --> 01:42:31,000 OUR GOVERNMENT. 2589 01:42:31,000 --> 01:42:34,000 AND OVER THE REST, TWO CENTURY 2590 01:42:34,000 --> 01:42:37,000 HISTORY OF THE MOST 2591 01:42:37,000 --> 01:42:41,000 EXTRAORDINARY COUNTRY IN THE 2592 01:42:41,000 --> 01:42:43,000 MANKIND. I WAS RAISED BY PEOPLE WHO CAME 2593 01:42:43,000 --> 01:42:47,000 TO THIS COUNTRY WITH NOTHING. 2594 01:42:47,000 --> 01:42:50,000 THEY BARELY SPOKE ENGLISH AT THE 2595 01:42:50,000 --> 01:42:52,000 TIME. THEY HAD NO MONEY. 2596 01:42:52,000 --> 01:42:53,000 MY FATHER STOPPED GOING TO 2597 01:42:53,000 --> 01:42:54,000 SCHOOL WHEN HE WAS NINE YEARS 2598 01:42:54,000 --> 01:42:56,000 OLD. HE HAD TO GO WORK. 2599 01:42:56,000 --> 01:42:58,000 HE WOULD NEVER GO TO SCHOOL, HE 2600 01:42:58,000 --> 01:42:59,000 WOULD WORK FOR THE NEXT 70 YEARS 2601 01:42:59,000 --> 01:43:01,000 OF HIS LIFE. 2602 01:43:01,000 --> 01:43:02,000 WHEN MY PARENTS ARRIVED HERE IN 2603 01:43:02,000 --> 01:43:04,000 THIS COUNTRY THEY STRUGGLED. 2604 01:43:04,000 --> 01:43:07,000 THEY WERE DISCOURAGED BUT THEY 2605 01:43:07,000 --> 01:43:08,000 PERSEVERED, LESS THAN A DECADE 2606 01:43:08,000 --> 01:43:11,000 AFTER THEY RIEFD HERE WITH 2607 01:43:11,000 --> 01:43:12,000 NOTHING -- ARRIVED HERE WITH 2608 01:43:12,000 --> 01:43:15,000 NOTHING, MY FATHER A BARTENDER 2609 01:43:15,000 --> 01:43:17,000 ON MIAMI BEACH THEY OWNED A 2610 01:43:17,000 --> 01:43:19,000 HOME NOT A MANSION BUT A SAFE 2611 01:43:19,000 --> 01:43:22,000 AND STABLE HOME IN A SAFE AND 2612 01:43:22,000 --> 01:43:23,000 STABLE NEIGHBORHOOD. 2613 01:43:23,000 --> 01:43:24,000 DECADES LATER THEY WOULD RETIRE 2614 01:43:24,000 --> 01:43:26,000 WITH DIGNITY AND SECURITY. 2615 01:43:26,000 --> 01:43:28,000 AND MOST IMPORTANT THING OF ALL 2616 01:43:28,000 --> 01:43:30,000 FOR THEM, THEY LEFT ALL FOUR OF 2617 01:43:30,000 --> 01:43:31,000 MAYOR CHILDREN WITH A LIFE 2618 01:43:31,000 --> 01:43:32,000 BETTER THAN THEIR OWN. 2619 01:43:32,000 --> 01:43:34,000 THIS IS THE PURPOSE OF MY 2620 01:43:34,000 --> 01:43:36,000 PARENTS' LIFE TO GIVE THEIR KIDS 2621 01:43:36,000 --> 01:43:38,000 US THE CHANCE ALL THE THINGS 2622 01:43:38,000 --> 01:43:39,000 THEY NEVER COULD. 2623 01:43:39,000 --> 01:43:41,000 THAT'S NOT JUST MY STORY. 2624 01:43:41,000 --> 01:43:43,000 THAT'S OUR STORY. 2625 01:43:43,000 --> 01:43:45,000 THAT'S AMERICA'S STORY. 2626 01:43:45,000 --> 01:43:46,000 THAT'S THE STORY OF YOUR 2627 01:43:46,000 --> 01:43:49,000 PARENTS, YOU KNOW THE STORIES. 2628 01:43:49,000 --> 01:43:51,000 OF YOUR PAIRNS WHO SACRIFICED 2629 01:43:51,000 --> 01:43:52,000 AND -- OF YOUR PARENTS WHO 2630 01:43:52,000 --> 01:43:54,000 SACRIFICED AND GAVE UP SO MUCH 2631 01:43:54,000 --> 01:43:56,000 SO YOU COULD BE WHAT THEY COULD 2632 01:43:56,000 --> 01:43:58,000 NOT. IT'S THE STORIES OF THOSE 2633 01:43:58,000 --> 01:44:00,000 PARENTS TODAY WHO ARE DOING THE 2634 01:44:00,000 --> 01:44:01,000 SAME FOR THEIR CHILDREN. 2635 01:44:01,000 --> 01:44:05,000 ITIT IS THIS AMERICA THAT IS 2636 01:44:05,000 --> 01:44:07,000 SPECIAL AND IT IS THIS THAT WE 2637 01:44:07,000 --> 01:44:09,000 FIGHT PRESERVE. THIS IS THE KIND OF COUNTRY THAT 2638 01:44:09,000 --> 01:44:10,000 I WANT TO LEAVE FOR MY CHILDREN. 2639 01:44:10,000 --> 01:44:12,000 THIS IS THE KIND OF COUNTRY YOUR 2640 01:44:12,000 --> 01:44:14,000 CHILDREN DESERVE TO INHERIT AS 2641 01:44:14,000 --> 01:44:16,000 WELL AND THIS IS WHAT WE MUST 2642 01:44:16,000 --> 01:44:18,000 NOW DECIDE WHETHER WE WILL 2643 01:44:18,000 --> 01:44:19,000 REMAIN THAT KIND OF COUNTRY OR 2644 01:44:19,000 --> 01:44:21,000 WHETHER WE WILL BE THE FIRST 2645 01:44:21,000 --> 01:44:23,000 GENERATION TO LOSE IT. 2646 01:44:23,000 --> 01:44:25,000 IT'S AN IMPORTANT CHOICE. 2647 01:44:25,000 --> 01:44:27,000 AND ONE THAT EACH GENERATION 2648 01:44:27,000 --> 01:44:29,000 BEFORE US HAS HAD TO MAKE. 2649 01:44:29,000 --> 01:44:31,000 FOR AMERICA IS NOT A SPECIAL 2650 01:44:31,000 --> 01:44:33,000 COUNTRY BY ACCIDENT. 2651 01:44:33,000 --> 01:44:35,000 AMERICA IS A GREAT NATION, 2652 01:44:35,000 --> 01:44:36,000 BECAUSE EACH GENERATION BEFORE 2653 01:44:36,000 --> 01:44:38,000 US DID THEIR PART. 2654 01:44:38,000 --> 01:44:40,000 EACH GENERATION BEFORE US 2655 01:44:40,000 --> 01:44:42,000 SACRIFICED THEY CONFRONTED 2656 01:44:42,000 --> 01:44:44,000 THEIR CHALLENGES THEY EMBRACED 2657 01:44:44,000 --> 01:44:46,000 THEIR OPPORTUNITIES AND FOR OVER 2658 01:44:46,000 --> 01:44:47,000 TWO CENTURIES EACH GENERATION 2659 01:44:47,000 --> 01:44:49,000 HAS LEFT THE NEXT BETTER OFF 2660 01:44:49,000 --> 01:44:50,000 THAN THEMSELVES. 2661 01:44:50,000 --> 01:44:52,000 NOW THE TIME HAS COME FOR US TO 2662 01:44:52,000 --> 01:44:53,000 DO THE SAME. 2663 01:44:53,000 --> 01:44:55,000 NOW THE MOMENT HAS ARRIVED FOR 2664 01:44:55,000 --> 01:44:56,000 THIS GENERATION OF AMERICANS TO 2665 01:44:56,000 --> 01:44:58,000 RISE UP TO THE CALLING OF OUR 2666 01:44:58,000 --> 01:45:00,000 HERITAGE. NOW THE TIME HAS COME FOR US TO 2667 01:45:00,000 --> 01:45:03,000 TAKE OUR PLACE AND DO WHAT WE 2668 01:45:03,000 --> 01:45:05,000 MUST. AND WHEN I'M ELECTED PRESIDENT 2669 01:45:05,000 --> 01:45:06,000 OF THESE GREAT UNITED STATES WE 2670 01:45:06,000 --> 01:45:09,000 WILL DO OUR PART. 2671 01:45:09,000 --> 01:45:14,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2672 01:45:23,000 --> 01:45:24,000 >> WHEN I -- 2673 01:45:24,000 --> 01:45:29,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2674 01:45:33,000 --> 01:45:36,000 >> WHEN I AM ELECTED PRESIDENT 2675 01:45:36,000 --> 01:45:39,000 WHEN WE TOGETHER ACHIEVE THIS 2676 01:45:39,000 --> 01:45:40,000 VICTORY, WE WILL EMBRACE ALL OF 2677 01:45:40,000 --> 01:45:42,000 THE PRINCIPLES THAT MADE AMERICA 2678 01:45:42,000 --> 01:45:44,000 GREAT AND WE WILL APPLY THEM TO 2679 01:45:44,000 --> 01:45:46,000 THE UNIQUE CHALLENGES OF THIS 2680 01:45:46,000 --> 01:45:49,000 NEW CENTURY. AND WHEN OUR WORK IS DONE, HERE 2681 01:45:49,000 --> 01:45:51,000 IS WHAT HISTORY WILL SAY OF THIS 2682 01:45:51,000 --> 01:45:53,000 GENERATION. IT WILL SAY THAT WE LIVED IN THE 2683 01:45:53,000 --> 01:45:55,000 EARLY YEARS OF THIS NEW CENTURY 2684 01:45:55,000 --> 01:45:58,000 IN AN UNCERTAIN AND DIFFICULT 2685 01:45:58,000 --> 01:46:01,000 TIME. BUT WE REMEMBERED WHO WE WE'RE. 2686 01:46:01,000 --> 01:46:02,000 WE ROSE UP TO THE CHALLENGE OF 2687 01:46:02,000 --> 01:46:03,000 OUR TIME. 2688 01:46:03,000 --> 01:46:05,000 WE CONFRONTED OUR PROBLEMS AND 2689 01:46:05,000 --> 01:46:07,000 WE SOLVED THEM. 2690 01:46:07,000 --> 01:46:09,000 AND BECAUSE WE DID THE AMERICAN 2691 01:46:09,000 --> 01:46:10,000 DREAM DIDN'T JUST SURVIVE. 2692 01:46:10,000 --> 01:46:12,000 IT REACHED MORE PEOPLE AND 2693 01:46:12,000 --> 01:46:15,000 CHANGED MORE LIVES THAN EVER 2694 01:46:15,000 --> 01:46:17,000 BEFORE. BECAUSE WE DID OUR CHILDREN AND 2695 01:46:17,000 --> 01:46:19,000 OUR GRANDCHILDREN GREW UP TO BE 2696 01:46:19,000 --> 01:46:21,000 THE FREEST AND THE MOST 2697 01:46:21,000 --> 01:46:22,000 PROSPEROUS AMERICANS THAT EVER 2698 01:46:22,000 --> 01:46:24,000 LIVED BECAUSE WE DID WHAT NEEDED 2699 01:46:24,000 --> 01:46:27,000 TO BE DONE. 2700 01:46:27,000 --> 01:46:28,000 THE 21st CENTURY WASN'T JUST 2701 01:46:28,000 --> 01:46:30,000 AS GOOD AS THE 20th CENTURY. 2702 01:46:30,000 --> 01:46:34,000 IT WAS BETTER. IT WAS A NEW AMERICAN CENTURY. 2703 01:46:34,000 --> 01:46:39,000 [CHEERING AND APPLAUSE] 2704 01:46:43,000 --> 01:46:47,000 >> THIS IS THE TASK BEFORE US. 2705 01:46:47,000 --> 01:46:49,000 AND I THANK MY LORD AND SAVIOR 2706 01:46:49,000 --> 01:46:51,000 JESUS CHRIST, I THANK GOD FOR 2707 01:46:51,000 --> 01:46:53,000 ALLOWING ME THE OPPORTUNITY TO 2708 01:46:53,000 --> 01:46:56,000 COME THIS FAR WITH EACH OF YOU. 2709 01:46:56,000 --> 01:46:58,000 I AM GRATEFUL TO YOU IOWA. 2710 01:46:58,000 --> 01:47:01,000 YOU BELIEVED IN ME, WHEN OTHERS 2711 01:47:01,000 --> 01:47:03,000 DIDN'T THINK THIS NIGHT WOULD BE 2712 01:47:03,000 --> 01:47:05,000 POSSIBLE. WHEN PERHAPS YOU WERE LOST IN 2713 01:47:05,000 --> 01:47:07,000 THE DAILY NARRATIVE. 2714 01:47:07,000 --> 01:47:09,000 WHEN SOME SUGGESTED THAT PERHAPS 2715 01:47:09,000 --> 01:47:11,000 IT WAS TIME TO STEP ASIDE YOU 2716 01:47:11,000 --> 01:47:12,000 BELIEVED IN ME. 2717 01:47:12,000 --> 01:47:13,000 YOU WALKED WITH US. 2718 01:47:13,000 --> 01:47:15,000 YOU MADE THE CALLS AND KNOCKED 2719 01:47:15,000 --> 01:47:16,000 ON DOORS. 2720 01:47:16,000 --> 01:47:18,000 YOU MADE A HUGE DIFFERENCE 2721 01:47:18,000 --> 01:47:19,000 TONIGHT. 2722 01:47:19,000 --> 01:47:21,000 WE ARE GOING TO BE BACK. 2723 01:47:21,000 --> 01:47:23,000 I WILL BE BACK HERE, IN OCTOBER 2724 01:47:23,000 --> 01:47:25,000 NEXT YEAR -- 2725 01:47:25,000 --> 01:47:27,000 >> MARCO RUBIO SPEAKING TO HIS 2726 01:47:27,000 --> 01:47:30,000 SUPPORTERS TONIGHT. HE COMES IN NUMBER 3 BUT 2727 01:47:30,000 --> 01:47:32,000 CLEARLY, FEELING GOOD ABOUT HIS 2728 01:47:32,000 --> 01:47:33,000 PERFORMANCE. 2729 01:47:33,000 --> 01:47:35,000 AS YOU CAN SEE TED CRUZ DECLARED 2730 01:47:35,000 --> 01:47:38,000 THE WINNER IN THE IOWA CAUCUSES. 2731 01:47:38,000 --> 01:47:39,000 DONALD TRUMP SECOND. 2732 01:47:39,000 --> 01:47:41,000 BUT IT'S VERY CLOSE BETWEEN HE 2733 01:47:41,000 --> 01:47:43,000 AND MARCO RUBIO. I JUST WANT TO POINT OUT THAT 2734 01:47:43,000 --> 01:47:46,000 IF YOU LOOK AT THE DEMOCRATIC 2735 01:47:46,000 --> 01:47:48,000 NUMBERS, HILLARY CLINTON AND 2736 01:47:48,000 --> 01:47:51,000 BERNIE SANDERS ARE VERY, VERY 2737 01:47:51,000 --> 01:47:52,000 CLOSE. 2738 01:47:52,000 --> 01:47:54,000 THEY'RE ONLY SIX DELEGATE 2739 01:47:54,000 --> 01:47:55,000 DIFFERENCE BETWEEN HILLARY 2740 01:47:55,000 --> 01:47:57,000 CLINTON AND BERNIE SANDERS AND 2741 01:47:57,000 --> 01:48:00,000 IT'S 88% OF THE VOTE REPORTING. 2742 01:48:00,000 --> 01:48:02,000 MICHAEL SHURE IS LIVE AT TED 2743 01:48:02,000 --> 01:48:04,000 CRUZ'S PARTY HEADQUARTERS IN DES 2744 01:48:04,000 --> 01:48:05,000 MOINES. 2745 01:48:05,000 --> 01:48:06,000 AND MIKE, TELL US WHAT THEY'RE 2746 01:48:06,000 --> 01:48:11,000 SAYING THERE. 2747 01:48:11,000 --> 01:48:14,000 >> YEAH, WELL YOU KNOW JOHN 2748 01:48:14,000 --> 01:48:15,000 THERE'S OBVIOUSLY JUBILATION 2749 01:48:15,000 --> 01:48:18,000 HERE. THEY HAVE RUN AN EXCELLENT 2750 01:48:18,000 --> 01:48:20,000 CAMPAIGN HERE IN IOWA, WE HAVE 2751 01:48:20,000 --> 01:48:22,000 WITNESSED IT AND BEEN ON THE BUS 2752 01:48:22,000 --> 01:48:24,000 WITH THEM. TED CRUZ IS THE FIRST CANDIDATE 2753 01:48:24,000 --> 01:48:26,000 JOHN TO ANNOUNCE HIS CANDIDACY 2754 01:48:26,000 --> 01:48:29,000 FOR PRESIDENT. HE DID SO IN MARCH AND SINCE 2755 01:48:29,000 --> 01:48:31,000 MARCH, WHAT HE HAS DONE IS 2756 01:48:31,000 --> 01:48:32,000 ASSURED PEOPLE IN IOWA THAT HE 2757 01:48:32,000 --> 01:48:34,000 COULD LEAVE IOWA AS A 2758 01:48:34,000 --> 01:48:36,000 CONSERVATIVE CHRISTIAN WITH AN 2759 01:48:36,000 --> 01:48:37,000 ORGANIZED MOVEMENT IN THE SOUTH. 2760 01:48:37,000 --> 01:48:40,000 THAT WAS VERY IMPORTANT. 2761 01:48:40,000 --> 01:48:44,000 HE HAD PASTORS ORGANIZED IN 99 2762 01:48:44,000 --> 01:48:47,000 COUNTY, CRUZ VISITED ALL THAT 99 2763 01:48:47,000 --> 01:48:51,000 COUNTY WHAT THEY CALL THE FULL 2764 01:48:51,000 --> 01:48:53,000 GRASSLEY. NOBODY HAD ANTICIPATED DONALD 2765 01:48:53,000 --> 01:48:55,000 TRUMP, THEY ALSO SANTA TIME 2766 01:48:55,000 --> 01:48:57,000 GOVERNOR SCOTT WALKER OF 2767 01:48:57,000 --> 01:49:00,000 WISCONSIN WAS THOUGHT TO BE ABLE 2768 01:49:00,000 --> 01:49:01,000 TO COALESCE, TO JOIN THE 2769 01:49:01,000 --> 01:49:03,000 EVANGELICAL VOTE THE BUSINESS 2770 01:49:03,000 --> 01:49:04,000 THE CONSERVATIVE THE 2771 01:49:04,000 --> 01:49:05,000 ESTABLISHMENT VOTE WITH THE 2772 01:49:05,000 --> 01:49:07,000 REPUBLICANS. CRUZ SAID NO, THAT CONSERVATIVE 2773 01:49:07,000 --> 01:49:09,000 CHRISTIAN VOTE IS GOING TO ME, 2774 01:49:09,000 --> 01:49:11,000 HE ORGANIZED AND HE REALLY BEAT 2775 01:49:11,000 --> 01:49:14,000 ODDS HERE AND THERE'S REAL 2776 01:49:14,000 --> 01:49:17,000 JUBILATION HERE. BECAUSE THEY FEEL IS HE A 2777 01:49:17,000 --> 01:49:18,000 CANDIDATE, A REPUBLICAN 2778 01:49:18,000 --> 01:49:20,000 CANDIDATE THAT CAN WIN AS A 2779 01:49:20,000 --> 01:49:21,000 CONSERVATIVE HERE IN IOWA AND 2780 01:49:21,000 --> 01:49:23,000 THEN GO ON TO THE SOUTH AND NOT 2781 01:49:23,000 --> 01:49:24,000 FADE AS OTHER HAVE. 2782 01:49:24,000 --> 01:49:27,000 RICK SANTORUM AND MIKE HUCKABEE 2783 01:49:27,000 --> 01:49:29,000 AS WE HAVE MENTIONED SO OFTEN 2784 01:49:29,000 --> 01:49:30,000 JOHN. 2785 01:49:30,000 --> 01:49:32,000 >> DID YOU GET A SENSE THAT CRUZ 2786 01:49:32,000 --> 01:49:33,000 SUPPORTERS EXPECTED THIS? 2787 01:49:33,000 --> 01:49:34,000 OBVIOUSLY THEY WANT THEIR 2788 01:49:34,000 --> 01:49:36,000 CANDIDATE TO WIN BUT DID THEY 2789 01:49:36,000 --> 01:49:40,000 REALLY EXPECT TO WIN TONIGHT? 2790 01:49:40,000 --> 01:49:42,000 >> YOU KNOW, JOHN THAT'S A TOUGH 2791 01:49:42,000 --> 01:49:43,000 QUESTION TO ANSWER. 2792 01:49:43,000 --> 01:49:46,000 WHEN I WAS HERE THREE WEEKS AGO 2793 01:49:46,000 --> 01:49:47,000 YES, THEY WERE VERY VERY 2794 01:49:47,000 --> 01:49:48,000 CONFIDENT. 2795 01:49:48,000 --> 01:49:50,000 THE FEELING I'VE HAD SINCE 2796 01:49:50,000 --> 01:49:51,000 WEDNESDAY -- >> I'M GOING TO INTERRUPT YOU 2797 01:49:51,000 --> 01:49:52,000 FOR A SECOND BECAUSE DONALD 2798 01:49:52,000 --> 01:49:55,000 TRUMP IS TAKING THE STAGE LET'S 2799 01:49:55,000 --> 01:50:00,000 LISTEN IN TO THE CROWD. 2800 01:50:03,000 --> 01:50:04,000 >> THANK YOU VERY MUCH. 2801 01:50:04,000 --> 01:50:05,000 I LOVE YOU PEOPLE. 2802 01:50:05,000 --> 01:50:07,000 I LOVE YOU PEOPLE. 2803 01:50:07,000 --> 01:50:12,000 THANK YOU. 2804 01:50:16,000 --> 01:50:18,000 >> UNBELIEVABLE. I HAVE TO START BY SAYING I 2805 01:50:18,000 --> 01:50:20,000 ABSOLUTELY LOVE THE PEOPLE OF 2806 01:50:20,000 --> 01:50:22,000 IOWA. 2807 01:50:22,000 --> 01:50:23,000 UNBELIEVABLE! 2808 01:50:23,000 --> 01:50:25,000 UNBELIEVABLE! 2809 01:50:25,000 --> 01:50:26,000 [APPLAUSE] 2810 01:50:26,000 --> 01:50:28,000 >> SO ON JUNE 16th, WHEN WE 2811 01:50:28,000 --> 01:50:30,000 STARTED THIS JOURNEY THERE WERE 2812 01:50:30,000 --> 01:50:31,000 17 CANDIDATES. 2813 01:50:31,000 --> 01:50:34,000 I WAS TOLD BY EVERYBODY DO NOT 2814 01:50:34,000 --> 01:50:36,000 GO TO IOWA. 2815 01:50:36,000 --> 01:50:37,000 YOU COULD NEVER FINISH EVEN IN 2816 01:50:37,000 --> 01:50:39,000 THE TOP 10. 2817 01:50:39,000 --> 01:50:41,000 AND I SAID BUT I HAVE FRIENDS IN 2818 01:50:41,000 --> 01:50:44,000 IOWA. I KNOW A LOT OF PEOPLE IN IOWA. 2819 01:50:44,000 --> 01:50:45,000 I THINK THEY'LL REALLY LIKE ME. 2820 01:50:45,000 --> 01:50:47,000 LET'S GIVE IT A SHOT. 2821 01:50:47,000 --> 01:50:48,000 THEY SAID DON'T DO IT. 2822 01:50:48,000 --> 01:50:51,000 I SAID I HAVE TO DO IT. 2823 01:50:51,000 --> 01:50:52,000 AND WE FINISHED SECOND. 2824 01:50:52,000 --> 01:50:54,000 AND I WANT TO TELL YOU 2825 01:50:54,000 --> 01:50:56,000 SOMETHING: I'M JUST HONORED. 2826 01:50:56,000 --> 01:50:57,000 I'M REALLY HONORED. 2827 01:50:57,000 --> 01:50:59,000 AND I WANT TO CONGRATULATE TED 2828 01:50:59,000 --> 01:51:01,000 AND I WANT TO CONGRATULATE ALL 2829 01:51:01,000 --> 01:51:03,000 OF THE INCREDIBLE CANDIDATES 2830 01:51:03,000 --> 01:51:05,000 INCLUDING MIKE HUCKABEE OWHO'S 2831 01:51:05,000 --> 01:51:07,000 BECOME A REALLY GOOD FRIEND OF 2832 01:51:07,000 --> 01:51:11,000 MINE. SO CONGRATULATIONS TO EVERYBODY. 2833 01:51:11,000 --> 01:51:12,000 CONGRATULATIONS. 2834 01:51:12,000 --> 01:51:15,000 [APPLAUSE] 2835 01:51:15,000 --> 01:51:17,000 >> I WANT TO THANK ALL OF THE 2836 01:51:17,000 --> 01:51:18,000 FOLKS THAT WORKED WITH US. 2837 01:51:18,000 --> 01:51:20,000 WE HAD A GREAT TEAM AND WE WILL 2838 01:51:20,000 --> 01:51:21,000 CONTINUE TO HAVE A GREAT TEAM 2839 01:51:21,000 --> 01:51:23,000 AND WE'RE JUST SO HAPPY WITH THE 2840 01:51:23,000 --> 01:51:25,000 WAY EVERYTHING WORKED OUT. 2841 01:51:25,000 --> 01:51:26,000 AND MOST IMPORTANTLY I HAVE TO 2842 01:51:26,000 --> 01:51:31,000 THANK MY WIFE, AND LARA AND ERIC 2843 01:51:33,000 --> 01:51:37,000 AND VANESSA AND DON I THINK DON 2844 01:51:37,000 --> 01:51:39,000 AND ERIC I THINK YOU DID ABOUT 2845 01:51:39,000 --> 01:51:40,000 SIX SPEECHES TODAY. 2846 01:51:40,000 --> 01:51:42,000 SO I JUST WANT TO THANK MY 2847 01:51:42,000 --> 01:51:45,000 FAMILY. THEY HAVE BEEN SO AMAZING AND SO 2848 01:51:45,000 --> 01:51:48,000 SUPPORTIVE. 2849 01:51:48,000 --> 01:51:50,000 AND WE'VE HAD EVERY INDICATION. 2850 01:51:50,000 --> 01:51:54,000 WE HAVE A POLL, WE'RE 28 POINTS 2851 01:51:54,000 --> 01:51:55,000 AHEAD, NEW HAMPSHIRE WE LOVE 2852 01:51:55,000 --> 01:51:57,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE WE LOVE SOUTH 2853 01:51:57,000 --> 01:51:59,000 CAROLINA. 2854 01:51:59,000 --> 01:52:01,000 AND WE'RE LEAVING TONIGHT AND 2855 01:52:01,000 --> 01:52:03,000 TOMORROW AFTERNOON WE'LL BE IN 2856 01:52:03,000 --> 01:52:04,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2857 01:52:04,000 --> 01:52:05,000 AND THAT WILL BE SOMETHING 2858 01:52:05,000 --> 01:52:06,000 SPECIAL. 2859 01:52:06,000 --> 01:52:07,000 IT'S GOING TO BE AGREAT WEEK AND 2860 01:52:07,000 --> 01:52:09,000 WE'RE GOING TO BE UP HERE NEXT 2861 01:52:09,000 --> 01:52:11,000 WEEK AND I THINK WE'RE GOING TO 2862 01:52:11,000 --> 01:52:13,000 BE PROCLAIMING VICTORY I HOPE. 2863 01:52:13,000 --> 01:52:15,000 I WILL SAY THIS: I DON'T KNOW 2864 01:52:15,000 --> 01:52:18,000 WHO'S GOING TO WIN BETWEEN 2865 01:52:18,000 --> 01:52:20,000 BERNIE AND HILLARY, I DON'T KNOW 2866 01:52:20,000 --> 01:52:22,000 WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN WITH 2867 01:52:22,000 --> 01:52:25,000 HILLARY, BIGGER PROBLEMS THAN 2868 01:52:25,000 --> 01:52:26,000 THE ONES SHE'S GOT IN TERMS OF 2869 01:52:26,000 --> 01:52:27,000 NOMINATION HE. 2870 01:52:27,000 --> 01:52:32,000 BUTHE -- NOMINATIONS 2871 01:52:32,000 --> 01:52:33,000 BUT WE HAVE GOT SO MANY 2872 01:52:33,000 --> 01:52:35,000 INDICATIONS IN POLLS THAT WE 2873 01:52:35,000 --> 01:52:37,000 BEAT HER AND BEAT HER EASILY. 2874 01:52:37,000 --> 01:52:39,000 WE WILL GO ON TO GET THE 2875 01:52:39,000 --> 01:52:42,000 REPUBLICAN NOMINATION AND EASILY 2876 01:52:42,000 --> 01:52:44,000 BEAT HILLARY OR BERNIE OR 2877 01:52:44,000 --> 01:52:46,000 WHOEVER THE HELL THEY THROW UP 2878 01:52:46,000 --> 01:52:48,000 THERE. IOWA WE LOVE YOU WE THANK YOU 2879 01:52:48,000 --> 01:52:50,000 YOU'RE SPECIAL WE WILL BE BACK 2880 01:52:50,000 --> 01:52:51,000 MANY, MANY TIMES. 2881 01:52:51,000 --> 01:52:53,000 IN FACT I THINK I MIGHT COME 2882 01:52:53,000 --> 01:52:54,000 HERE AND BUY A FARM. 2883 01:52:54,000 --> 01:52:55,000 I LOVE IT, OKAY? 2884 01:52:55,000 --> 01:52:57,000 THANK YOU. 2885 01:52:57,000 --> 01:53:01,000 THANK YOU EVERYBODY. 2886 01:53:01,000 --> 01:53:03,000 THANK YOU VERY MUCH. 2887 01:53:03,000 --> 01:53:04,000 >> QUICK SPEECH FROM DONALD 2888 01:53:04,000 --> 01:53:06,000 TRUMP, ONE OF THE SHORTEST OF 2889 01:53:06,000 --> 01:53:07,000 THE SEASON RIGHT? 2890 01:53:07,000 --> 01:53:09,000 >> YOU KNOW THAT LAND PRICES IN 2891 01:53:09,000 --> 01:53:11,000 IOWA ARE NOW GOING UP BECAUSE 2892 01:53:11,000 --> 01:53:13,000 DONALD TRUMP IS GOING TO BE A 2893 01:53:13,000 --> 01:53:16,000 BUYER. VERY UNCONVENTIONAL POLITICAL 2894 01:53:16,000 --> 01:53:21,000 SPEECH AN EYE ON YOUR NEXT 2895 01:53:21,000 --> 01:53:22,000 CONTEST. EYE ON NEW HAMPSHIRE. 2896 01:53:22,000 --> 01:53:24,000 HE HAS THROWN OUT ALL THE 2897 01:53:24,000 --> 01:53:26,000 CONVENTIONAL WISDOM OF POLITICS. 2898 01:53:26,000 --> 01:53:28,000 EVEN THOUGH HE RUINED HIMSELF 2899 01:53:28,000 --> 01:53:29,000 WITH THE EXPECTATIONS BY 2900 01:53:29,000 --> 01:53:32,000 CLAIMING THAT HE IS GOING TO 2901 01:53:32,000 --> 01:53:37,000 WIN. >> I WILL MENTION THAT JEANNIE 2902 01:53:37,000 --> 01:53:40,000 HAS SAID ALL ALONG SHE DIDN'T 2903 01:53:40,000 --> 01:53:45,000 THINK HE WAS GOING TO BE THE 2904 01:53:45,000 --> 01:53:48,000 NOMINEE. >> AND WHAT WE HAVE MENTIONED IS 2905 01:53:48,000 --> 01:53:49,000 THAT DAVID SCHUSTER HAS TO SING 2906 01:53:49,000 --> 01:53:51,000 TO ME. 2907 01:53:51,000 --> 01:53:53,000 >> WE'RE GOING TO SETTLE ON IT 2908 01:53:53,000 --> 01:53:58,000 ON THE 11:00 HOUR ABOUT MICHAEL 2909 01:53:58,000 --> 01:54:00,000 SHURE AND WARPING UP HIS VOICE. 2910 01:54:00,000 --> 01:54:01,000 >> NO, NO. 2911 01:54:01,000 --> 01:54:03,000 LET'S GO TO THE DEMOCRATIC 2912 01:54:03,000 --> 01:54:05,000 NUMBERS, THIS IS THE MOST 2913 01:54:05,000 --> 01:54:06,000 INTERESTING RACE OF THE FLIGHT 2914 01:54:06,000 --> 01:54:11,000 IT IS THE CLOSEST NUMBER, 628 2915 01:54:13,000 --> 01:54:15,000 DELEGATES TO 625 DELEGATES. 2916 01:54:15,000 --> 01:54:17,000 IT IS VERY POSSIBLE THAT HILLARY 2917 01:54:17,000 --> 01:54:19,000 CLINTON WILL LOSE IOWA TONIGHT. 2918 01:54:19,000 --> 01:54:20,000 WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR HER 2919 01:54:20,000 --> 01:54:23,000 CAMPAIGN IF SHE LOSES DOES IT 2920 01:54:23,000 --> 01:54:25,000 MATTER EITHER WAY IF SHE'S SO 2921 01:54:25,000 --> 01:54:26,000 CLOSE? 2922 01:54:26,000 --> 01:54:29,000 >> IT MATTERS SO MUCH, EVEN 2923 01:54:29,000 --> 01:54:34,000 THOSE THOUGH SHE EKES IT OUT. 2924 01:54:39,000 --> 01:54:41,000 NEW HAMPSHIRE HAS ALWAYS BEEN 2925 01:54:41,000 --> 01:54:42,000 HER FIRE WALL. 2926 01:54:42,000 --> 01:54:44,000 WE'VE SEEN BERNIE SANDERS 2927 01:54:44,000 --> 01:54:48,000 GETTING AN INCREASING NUMBER OF 2928 01:54:48,000 --> 01:54:53,000 FLORMTSENDORSEMENTS IN SOUTH CAROLINA. 2929 01:54:57,000 --> 01:54:58,000 >> AFTER NEW HAMPSHIRE EURL SEE 2930 01:54:58,000 --> 01:55:03,000 AYOU'LLSEE A BUNCH OF REPUBLICANS 2931 01:55:04,000 --> 01:55:06,000 DROP 2932 01:55:06,000 --> 01:55:10,000 OUT. >> ALL RIGHT, ALI VELSHI IN DES 2933 01:55:10,000 --> 01:55:14,000 MOINES. >> THIS EVENT IN DES MOINES IS 2934 01:55:14,000 --> 01:55:16,000 NOT FINISHED YET WITHIN HALF A 2935 01:55:16,000 --> 01:55:18,000 PERCENTAGE POINT. 2936 01:55:18,000 --> 01:55:20,000 >> SO INCREDIBLY CLOSE A LOT OF 2937 01:55:20,000 --> 01:55:23,000 SUPPORTERS AT HIS HEADQUARTERS 2938 01:55:23,000 --> 01:55:24,000 ARE REALLY ENERGIZED. 2939 01:55:24,000 --> 01:55:26,000 ALTHOUGH THEY WERE VERY PROUD OF 2940 01:55:26,000 --> 01:55:28,000 HIM NEVER THOUGHT HE WOULD MAKE 2941 01:55:28,000 --> 01:55:29,000 IT THIS FAR. 2942 01:55:29,000 --> 01:55:30,000 THEY'RE HOPING HE COMES HERE AND 2943 01:55:30,000 --> 01:55:31,000 SPEAKS FLIT. 2944 01:55:31,000 --> 01:55:33,000 NOW ONE OF THE THINGS THAT WAS 2945 01:55:33,000 --> 01:55:34,000 REALLY CRITICAL WAS THAT YOUTH 2946 01:55:34,000 --> 01:55:35,000 VOTE. 2947 01:55:35,000 --> 01:55:36,000 WE SAW THAT AT DRAKE UNIVERSITY, 2948 01:55:36,000 --> 01:55:39,000 A LOT OF FOLKS CAME OUT. 2949 01:55:39,000 --> 01:55:41,000 ALMOST 100% MORE AT THAT 2950 01:55:41,000 --> 01:55:42,000 PARTICULAR PRECINCT THAN THE 2951 01:55:42,000 --> 01:55:43,000 LAST TIME AROUND. 2952 01:55:43,000 --> 01:55:45,000 AND BEHIND YOU CAN SEE THAT 2953 01:55:45,000 --> 01:55:47,000 CROWD, IT LOOKS LIKE HE MAY BE 2954 01:55:47,000 --> 01:55:48,000 COMING UP TO SPEAK. 2955 01:55:48,000 --> 01:55:50,000 AGAIN, IT'S A LOT OF EXCITEMENT 2956 01:55:50,000 --> 01:55:52,000 RIGHT NOW. 2957 01:55:52,000 --> 01:55:54,000 AGAIN, NO ONE THOUGHT HE'D MAKE 2958 01:55:54,000 --> 01:55:56,000 IT THIS FAR AND IT BODES WELL 2959 01:55:56,000 --> 01:55:57,000 FOR THE CAMPAIGN THEY BELIEVE 2960 01:55:57,000 --> 01:55:59,000 EVEN THOUGH HE'S NOT NUMBER 1. 2961 01:55:59,000 --> 01:56:01,000 BUT WE SHOULD TURN TO HIM TO 2962 01:56:01,000 --> 01:56:05,000 HEAR WHAT HE'S ABOUT TO SAY. 2963 01:56:05,000 --> 01:56:08,000 ALI. 2964 01:56:08,000 --> 01:56:10,000 >> SORRY IT'S ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE 2965 01:56:10,000 --> 01:56:12,000 TO HEAR YOU IT'S SO LOUD OUT 2966 01:56:12,000 --> 01:56:14,000 THERE. WE'RE GOING TO CHECK BACK WITH 2967 01:56:14,000 --> 01:56:16,000 YOU AND WHEN BERNIE SANDERS 2968 01:56:16,000 --> 01:56:18,000 COMES BACK TO SPEAK. 2969 01:56:18,000 --> 01:56:20,000 JOHN BACK TO YOU. 2970 01:56:20,000 --> 01:56:23,000 >> SO FAR, TED CRUZ A BIG 2971 01:56:23,000 --> 01:56:25,000 WINNER, DONALD TRUMP AND MARCO 2972 01:56:25,000 --> 01:56:26,000 RUBIO SECOND AND THIRD. 2973 01:56:26,000 --> 01:56:29,000 THE BIG RACE IS BETWEEN HILLARY 2974 01:56:29,000 --> 01:56:30,000 CLINTON AND BERNIE SANDERS AND 2975 01:56:30,000 --> 01:56:33,000 IT'S NOT OVER YET DAVID. 2976 01:56:33,000 --> 01:56:36,000 >> IT IS NOT OVER, SHE HAS LOST 2977 01:56:36,000 --> 01:56:40,000 VOTERS ON THE DEMOCRATIC SIDE 2978 01:56:40,000 --> 01:56:42,000 UNDER 302 TO 1. 2979 01:56:42,000 --> 01:56:46,000 THESE WERE CRUCIAL FOR BARACK 2980 01:56:46,000 --> 01:56:48,000 OBAMA'S SUCCESS AND A LOT OF 2981 01:56:48,000 --> 01:56:53,000 THE ESTABLISHMENT WILL SAY WAIT 2982 01:56:54,000 --> 01:56:57,000 A MINUTE, SHE IS ABOUT TO LOSE 2983 01:56:57,000 --> 01:56:59,000 THE IOWA CAUCUSES BASED ON THE 2984 01:56:59,000 --> 01:57:00,000 PRECINCTS THAT ARE STILL OUT. 2985 01:57:00,000 --> 01:57:02,000 SHE MAY LOSE TO A GUY WHO'S FIVE 2986 01:57:02,000 --> 01:57:05,000 YEARS OLDER THAN HER WHO WANTS 2987 01:57:05,000 --> 01:57:07,000 TO BURN DOWN WALL STREET, 2988 01:57:07,000 --> 01:57:11,000 PROVIDE SING PAYOR HEALTH CARE 2989 01:57:11,000 --> 01:57:12,000 AND PROVIDE FREE EDUCATION. 2990 01:57:12,000 --> 01:57:15,000 THINGS THAT ARE NOT PRAGMATIC 2991 01:57:15,000 --> 01:57:17,000 CANNOT BE DONE. 2992 01:57:17,000 --> 01:57:19,000 >> YOU BOTH THINK IT'S A HUGE 2993 01:57:19,000 --> 01:57:21,000 LOSS FOR HILLARY CLINTON? 2994 01:57:21,000 --> 01:57:23,000 >> I THINK IT IS FOR HER. 2995 01:57:23,000 --> 01:57:25,000 >> IT'S MEASURED SHE KNOWS SHE'S 2996 01:57:25,000 --> 01:57:26,000 A VERY SMART CANDIDATE. 2997 01:57:26,000 --> 01:57:28,000 HER PEOPLE KNOW THERE WAS GOING 2998 01:57:28,000 --> 01:57:32,000 TO BE A TOUGH RACE, IF SHE LOSES 2999 01:57:32,000 --> 01:57:33,000 TO BERNIE SANDERS IT'S NOT GOING 3000 01:57:33,000 --> 01:57:37,000 TO BE THE END OF THE WORLD. 3001 01:57:37,000 --> 01:57:39,000 >> MARTIN O'MALLEY SAYING THANKS 3002 01:57:39,000 --> 01:57:42,000 TO EVERYBODY. WHO'S GETTING OUT OF THE RACE. 3003 01:57:42,000 --> 01:57:43,000 >> IF HILLARY CLINTON WANTED TO 3004 01:57:43,000 --> 01:57:45,000 WRAP UP THIS NOMINATION EARLY 3005 01:57:45,000 --> 01:57:47,000 SHE IS NOW FACING THE PROSPECT 3006 01:57:47,000 --> 01:57:49,000 OF A LONG DRAWN OUT FIGHT 3007 01:57:49,000 --> 01:57:54,000 FLOIMTION WHERE SHENAWMTION WHERENOMINATION 3008 01:57:57,000 --> 01:57:58,000 WHERE SHE HAS TO HAVE 3009 01:57:58,000 --> 01:58:03,000 A LOTSPEND A LOT OF MONEY. 3010 01:58:06,000 --> 01:58:11,000 >> ANTONIO MORA COMING UP NEXT. 3011 02:00:35,000 --> 02:00:40,000 >>> THIS SHOW IS CAPTIONED LIVE. 3012 02:00:40,000 --> 02:00:41,000 >>> GOOD EVENING, I'M ANTONIO 3013 02:00:41,000 --> 02:00:44,000 MORA. 3014 02:00:44,000 --> 02:00:45,000 THIS IS AL JAZEERA AMERICA. 3015 02:00:45,000 --> 02:00:47,000 IOWANS CAST THE FIRST BALLOTS OF 3016 02:00:47,000 --> 02:00:48,000 THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. 3017 02:00:48,000 --> 02:00:51,000 LET'S LOOK AT THE LATEST RESULTS 3018 02:00:51,000 --> 02:00:53,000 ON TWO VERY TIGHT RACES. 3019 02:00:53,000 --> 02:00:55,000 TEXAS SENATOR TED CRUZ IS THE 3020 02:00:55,000 --> 02:00:57,000 PROTECTED WINNER OF THE REPUBLIC 3021 02:00:57,000 --> 02:01:00,000 CAUCUSES IN WHAT TUR