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Jan 8, 2024
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there were other weaknesses, as we talked about with mark cranfield.gest drop in household employment since april 2020. a spike in the duration of unemployment spells a drop in labor participation. more temp workers unable to find jobs. more people taking part-time work for economic reasons and a decline in working hours. it's not all strength under the bonnet. thus, while the initial market reaction was too cool wages on deeper fast cuts, swap traders reformed those fats so that now they see 140 basis points of cuts this year starting with a two thirds chance of a march cut. i also want to take you to oil prices. despite the geopolitical tensions, the weakness in crude persists. yes, you have read see turmoil and protests in libya shutting down oil fields, but the market is shrugging that off. you have also seen saudi arabia cutting official selling prices for all regions, including its asia markets. underscoring the worsening outlook. before i go, i thought we would show you the map of the day at bloomberg. as you can see, 2024 will be the year of th
there were other weaknesses, as we talked about with mark cranfield.gest drop in household employment since april 2020. a spike in the duration of unemployment spells a drop in labor participation. more temp workers unable to find jobs. more people taking part-time work for economic reasons and a decline in working hours. it's not all strength under the bonnet. thus, while the initial market reaction was too cool wages on deeper fast cuts, swap traders reformed those fats so that now they see...
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Jan 31, 2024
01/24
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mark cranfield with the details.bout what we've been hearing and how close this takes us to a scrapping of loose monetary policy in japan? mark: quite a surprise. it sounds as though the boj is forming a consensus that the time is right to move away from negative rates. they do not give a timetable but considering they have been defensive, this was a hawkish opinion. it looked as though the governor was leading the way, but he has friends in japan. it's too early for them to move in the short term, but they will have enough data. they are looking for wages to go up. the spring round is about to start and they think by april they will have sufficient information. you can expect the market betting heavily on bank of japan doing something in april. some think july but the market move today in the direction where they think interest rates are going up we heard from hedge fund saying 2% yields is coming. that would be dramatic and interesting because it's the only part of the bond market that seems to look for higher yiel
mark cranfield with the details.bout what we've been hearing and how close this takes us to a scrapping of loose monetary policy in japan? mark: quite a surprise. it sounds as though the boj is forming a consensus that the time is right to move away from negative rates. they do not give a timetable but considering they have been defensive, this was a hawkish opinion. it looked as though the governor was leading the way, but he has friends in japan. it's too early for them to move in the short...
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Jan 30, 2024
01/24
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joining for the context with mliv strategist mark cranfield. why did treasuries rally on the back of this refunding announcement? >> as you correctly say, it was a slightly smaller amount than the market was expecting. that was already a boost. people got scared going into this quarterly funding just how big wasn't it going to be? you had a series of times where the number was getting bigger and bigger over the past few months. it also takes away pressure off the ratings agencies. if you think back to august last year, when fitch downgraded the u.s. offer in, one of the things they highlighted was the u.s. fiscal deficit was on an uncontrollable path. there didn't seem to be any sign of stopping, and that was negative for the sovereign rating of the united states. this indicates maybe it is not as bad as we originally thought. there is a sign of hope. but yellen and the treasury are getting things more under control. that may give comfort to the rating agencies. and investors can now look forward to the fact they might not have to suffer the su
joining for the context with mliv strategist mark cranfield. why did treasuries rally on the back of this refunding announcement? >> as you correctly say, it was a slightly smaller amount than the market was expecting. that was already a boost. people got scared going into this quarterly funding just how big wasn't it going to be? you had a series of times where the number was getting bigger and bigger over the past few months. it also takes away pressure off the ratings agencies. if you...
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Jan 10, 2024
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earlier i spoke to professor graham braithwaite, director of transport systems at cranfield universitysked him what he thought his demonstration would do to reassure customers and investors. i think we've seen a big difference in the way that boeing has reacted to this event and how it reacted when we had the first two max accidents. there's clearly an acknowledgement that there's a problem to be solved. there's also some humility, and you saw that in dave calhoun�*s reaction. i think that's incredibly important here. that openness is what gets aviation safety to the very high levels we usually achieve. so in this case, recognising that there may be a problem, working with that national transportation safety board investigation, which is focused on the safety lessons, i think is the best way to recover this situation. so i feel heartened by that. yeah, i mean, there was, as you mentioned there, an awful lot of introspection after those first 737 max incidents, those two fatal crashes. the planes were grounded for a prolonged period. and you would wonder, with all that deep examination
earlier i spoke to professor graham braithwaite, director of transport systems at cranfield universitysked him what he thought his demonstration would do to reassure customers and investors. i think we've seen a big difference in the way that boeing has reacted to this event and how it reacted when we had the first two max accidents. there's clearly an acknowledgement that there's a problem to be solved. there's also some humility, and you saw that in dave calhoun�*s reaction. i think that's...
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Jan 10, 2024
01/24
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for more i'm joined by mark cranfield walking us through the story.it as simple as lower interest rates incentivizes issuance? mark: not as simple as that. certainly the people who are making the issuance will be very encouraged by the big appetite for bonds at the end of last year especially. amazing rally that we saw in november and december. certainly corporate send governments will feel a lot easier about the number of issuers they need to do. the numbers are pretty big. a lot of frontloading going on here. a lot of people want to take advantage of the very good mood in the bond market. in case there is any risk of it changing. yes on the face of it the numbers look very large. but when people in the bond market are expecting yields to fall, expecting the federal reserve to cut rates later this year, maybe other central banks around the world, you have a big tailwind here. that's the ideal situation to do a lot of bond issuance. even though some people might say that on the headline numbers for sales -- the headline numbers themselves are staggeri
for more i'm joined by mark cranfield walking us through the story.it as simple as lower interest rates incentivizes issuance? mark: not as simple as that. certainly the people who are making the issuance will be very encouraged by the big appetite for bonds at the end of last year especially. amazing rally that we saw in november and december. certainly corporate send governments will feel a lot easier about the number of issuers they need to do. the numbers are pretty big. a lot of...
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Jan 26, 2024
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haslinda: let's bring in mark cranfield. conviction, we're seeing losses today. they are waiting for that bazooka. i'm not sure it's coming. >> that's part of the problem we have seen for several months in china. you hear positive soundbites whether it is from authorities or regulators. and yet the delivery is very slow. they need to get on with it. this rescue package that has been hinted at earlier this week. if they don't come up with it quickly, investors will lose faith and think there is no meat to this and will go back to looking back at the big picture fundamentals. the fundamentals of the chinese economy are not that great. when you see better opportunities elsewhere, the money will stay away. they have to follow through. even the reserve ratio cut is not seen as sufficient. what traders want to see is the minimum lending facility reduced. that's a much more powerful tool. it is still three weeks until they do the next setting of that. if anything, they should bring that forward and cut the rate straight away. that
haslinda: let's bring in mark cranfield. conviction, we're seeing losses today. they are waiting for that bazooka. i'm not sure it's coming. >> that's part of the problem we have seen for several months in china. you hear positive soundbites whether it is from authorities or regulators. and yet the delivery is very slow. they need to get on with it. this rescue package that has been hinted at earlier this week. if they don't come up with it quickly, investors will lose faith and think...
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Jan 3, 2024
01/24
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shery: bloomberg's mliv energy east mark cranfield. -- bloomberg's mliv strategist, mark cranfield. 10 away from the open of the japanese markets, first trading day of 2024. we just heard from the japanese exchange group ceo. this is bloomberg. ♪ high taxes can erode returns quickly, so you need a tax-optimized portfolio. at creative planning, our money managers and specialists work together to make sure your portfolio and wealth are managed in a tax-efficient manner. it's what you keep that really matters. why not give your wealth a second look? book your free meeting today at creativeplanning.com. creative planning -- a richer way to wealth. ♪ (upbeat music) ♪ ( ♪♪ ) ( ♪♪ ) ( ♪♪ ) -awww. -awww. -awww. -nope. ( ♪♪ ) constant contact delivers the marketing tools your small business needs to keep up, excel, and grow. constant contact. helping the small stand tall. haidi: we are seeing the reopening of japanese market regarding the freight in this new year. -- returning the fray in this new year. the japan exchange group ceo's address, and we have seen the cancellation of the gong ceremo
shery: bloomberg's mliv energy east mark cranfield. -- bloomberg's mliv strategist, mark cranfield. 10 away from the open of the japanese markets, first trading day of 2024. we just heard from the japanese exchange group ceo. this is bloomberg. ♪ high taxes can erode returns quickly, so you need a tax-optimized portfolio. at creative planning, our money managers and specialists work together to make sure your portfolio and wealth are managed in a tax-efficient manner. it's what you keep that...
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Jan 9, 2024
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haslinda: mark cranfield, our mliv strategist.etary authorities have indicated another reserve cut may be on the way to boost a feeble recovery. let's go to our china editor, james. will it even make a difference? >> i think what mark was saying is right. there is sort of the expectation from government policy now, the central bank seems to be doing the same thing again and again. it's not really getting at the fundamental promise in the economy, a concern about not just wealth management companies but property companies going bankrupt. the second concern is there is just no loan demand. you can cut interest rates all you want, but if you have borrowing, you end up in a situation like japan where rates are very low. so you can get at the promise with confidence, it's very limited. but i do think we are seeing some of that here. doesn't matter what the pboc does in a certain sense. until that confidence turns around and people think the economy is picking up and have that confidence that they can invest and make money by investing,
haslinda: mark cranfield, our mliv strategist.etary authorities have indicated another reserve cut may be on the way to boost a feeble recovery. let's go to our china editor, james. will it even make a difference? >> i think what mark was saying is right. there is sort of the expectation from government policy now, the central bank seems to be doing the same thing again and again. it's not really getting at the fundamental promise in the economy, a concern about not just wealth management...
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Jan 8, 2024
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yvonne: thank you, mark cranfield out of singapore. where looking at key data as markets foreshadow the inflation picture across the world that will dominate headlines in terms of data. tokyo cpi tomorrow, u.s. cpi thursday, that will be big. china and india cpi happening this week as well. we might be in the window for china credit data and we have a rate decision out of korea. rishaad: bloomberg markets is speaking to philippines financial secretary discussing financial prospects and whether they will be clouded by geopolitical tensions. david: we will get you an update on these markets. weaker footing as we get out of bed on this monday. this is bloomberg. ♪ yvonne: as we just saw there will be discussions about the dovish pivot for the boj assessing results of wage negotiations. san tori ceo said it could help boost innovation in japan and he thinks changes in the japanese economy are pushing corporate leaders to be more open for m&a. >> there are so many reasons for us to believe industry will be more active to use cash. one, we k
yvonne: thank you, mark cranfield out of singapore. where looking at key data as markets foreshadow the inflation picture across the world that will dominate headlines in terms of data. tokyo cpi tomorrow, u.s. cpi thursday, that will be big. china and india cpi happening this week as well. we might be in the window for china credit data and we have a rate decision out of korea. rishaad: bloomberg markets is speaking to philippines financial secretary discussing financial prospects and whether...
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Jan 13, 2024
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and it's a part of the world i know quite well from my work at cranfield university, but you know, ities, from the conservatives. i think in wellingborough the conservatives have made a terrible error choosing peter bone's partner to be their candidate. the labour candidate, genevieve kitchen. why is that a terrible error? well, ijust think it'sjust... you know, you've got somebody who had to stand down, who forced a recount petition... we're not defined by our partners, though, are we? well, i think the man that was thrown out of parliament for allegedly, you know... i think you've painted yourself into a corner there. _ let's just quickly clear up what we're talking about. there's a sexual misconduct scandal involving peter bone, which he continues to deny, and his partner is subsequently selected as the candidate. so what i think is problematic is that, i mean, it's a bit like the charlie elphicke... except natalie elphicke then won the seat and has proved to be . a very effective mp. so i don't think it is a problem. 0ne assumes that the tories will lose these by—elections, govern
and it's a part of the world i know quite well from my work at cranfield university, but you know, ities, from the conservatives. i think in wellingborough the conservatives have made a terrible error choosing peter bone's partner to be their candidate. the labour candidate, genevieve kitchen. why is that a terrible error? well, ijust think it'sjust... you know, you've got somebody who had to stand down, who forced a recount petition... we're not defined by our partners, though, are we? well, i...
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Jan 10, 2024
01/24
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earlier i spoke to professor graham braithwaite, director of transport systems at cranfield university customers and investors were reassured by the boeing boss's words. i think we've seen a big difference in the way that boeing has reacted to this event and how it reacted when we had the first two max accidents. there's clearly an acknowledgement that there's a problem to be solved. there's also some humility, and you saw that in dave calhoun�*s reaction. i think that's incredibly important here. that openness is what gets aviation safety to the very high levels we usually achieve. so in this case, recognising that there may be a problem, working with that national transportation safety board investigation, which is focused on the safety lessons, i think is the best way to recover this situation. so i feel heartened by that. yeah, i mean, there was, as you mentioned there, an awful lot of introspection after those first 737 max incidents, those two fatal crashes. the planes were grounded for a prolonged period. and you would wonder, with all that deep examination of these planes, how
earlier i spoke to professor graham braithwaite, director of transport systems at cranfield university customers and investors were reassured by the boeing boss's words. i think we've seen a big difference in the way that boeing has reacted to this event and how it reacted when we had the first two max accidents. there's clearly an acknowledgement that there's a problem to be solved. there's also some humility, and you saw that in dave calhoun�*s reaction. i think that's incredibly important...
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Jan 11, 2024
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haidi: mark cranfield there.etting this year's tech outlook with nasdaq ceo adena friedman from the sidelines of ces in las vegas. that is next. this is bloomberg. ♪ thanks to avalara, we can calculate sales tax automatically. avalarahhhhhh what if tax rates change? ahhhhhh filing sales tax returns? ahhhhhh business license guidance? ahhhhhh -cross-border sales? -ahhhhhh -item classification? -ahhhhhh does it connect with acc...? ahhhhhh ahhhhhh ahhhhhh >> i am ed ludlow live in las vegas at ces. i just stepped off stage at a keynote with the nasdaq ceo and president adena friedman and i am delighted to say she has followed me to the studio to keep the conversation going. what a ces it has been. let's start with the news. the s.e.c. approving bitcoin spot etf. the nasdaq will be one of several exchanges that lists these products. your reaction to the news, but what it means for your business as well? adena: we are proud to partner with blackrock and have their etf's listed on nasdaq. what really tells you is that
haidi: mark cranfield there.etting this year's tech outlook with nasdaq ceo adena friedman from the sidelines of ces in las vegas. that is next. this is bloomberg. ♪ thanks to avalara, we can calculate sales tax automatically. avalarahhhhhh what if tax rates change? ahhhhhh filing sales tax returns? ahhhhhh business license guidance? ahhhhhh -cross-border sales? -ahhhhhh -item classification? -ahhhhhh does it connect with acc...? ahhhhhh ahhhhhh ahhhhhh >> i am ed ludlow live in las...
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Jan 23, 2024
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mark cranfield with his initial take. china is mulling a stock market rescue package in the order of $218 billion u.s.. offshore accounts, state owned, used across the stocks connected by one share funds. yvonne: we are going to ask about this because china and the markets are certainly going to be a key focus of the goldman sachs global macro conference in asia-pacific. the 15th here they have done so. i am pleased to bring in the bank's asia pacific x japan presidents. -- japan president. i have to talk about china considering some sort of rescue package to rescue the stock market. the exodus of foreign capital has been relentless. is this going to help? >> the challenge china faces comes down to three parts. one part confidence, one part consistency, one part sentiment. the question when you look at this package or any other set of actions, is how does it address that? does it change the sentiment? does it give people reasons to believe in the future of the economy in a positive way? does it give confidence as an entre
mark cranfield with his initial take. china is mulling a stock market rescue package in the order of $218 billion u.s.. offshore accounts, state owned, used across the stocks connected by one share funds. yvonne: we are going to ask about this because china and the markets are certainly going to be a key focus of the goldman sachs global macro conference in asia-pacific. the 15th here they have done so. i am pleased to bring in the bank's asia pacific x japan presidents. -- japan president. i...
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Jan 23, 2024
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our mliv strategist mark cranfield has pointed out that the dollar bears are out today. that might actually be helping to cap the losses on the yen despite the dovish -- dovish message from the boj. kriti: one that has global repercussions is the boj going against the current that you are seeing in the rest of the world. avril hong in singapore, thank you. i want to go from japan to china , where bloomberg learned they are considering a rescue package of nearly 280 billion dollars to stabilize its stock market. policymakers seeking to mobilize funds from the offshore accounts of chinese state owned enterprises all to buy shares onshore through the hong kong exchange. jill disis joins me. bloomberg's china economy and government editor. a favorite of this program. let's talk a little bit about what this actually means. this is not a method of intervention. you see any other developed market or any other part of the world that is this large. explain to us how this works. jill: we are still trying to get details about what exactly this entire package would entail, but this
our mliv strategist mark cranfield has pointed out that the dollar bears are out today. that might actually be helping to cap the losses on the yen despite the dovish -- dovish message from the boj. kriti: one that has global repercussions is the boj going against the current that you are seeing in the rest of the world. avril hong in singapore, thank you. i want to go from japan to china , where bloomberg learned they are considering a rescue package of nearly 280 billion dollars to stabilize...
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Jan 2, 2024
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professor graham braithwaite from cranfield university. that moment when the plane came in and what your thoughts are, given the scale of the fire that has resulted from that collision.— that has resulted from that collision. , . ., ., collision. there is a limited amount of information _ collision. there is a limited amount of information available _ collision. there is a limited amount of information available other - collision. there is a limited amount of information available other than | of information available other than that cctv footage which seems to suggest that the aircraft has collided with that coastguard aircraft which has presumably encroached onto the runway clearance area. the a350 which has landed, quite a large aircraft, seems to have hit something. if you look at the damage on the left—hand engine it looks like it is clearly impacted something that presumably has then ruptured fuel lines. i don't know on which aircraft you can see a large fireball at that point. from that point on their —— there appears to be fuel lea
professor graham braithwaite from cranfield university. that moment when the plane came in and what your thoughts are, given the scale of the fire that has resulted from that collision.— that has resulted from that collision. , . ., ., collision. there is a limited amount of information _ collision. there is a limited amount of information available _ collision. there is a limited amount of information available other - collision. there is a limited amount of information available other than...
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Jan 2, 2024
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i would like to bring in professor graham braithwaite from cranfield university.lthoughts? clearly, a tragic accident, a very _ initialthoughts? clearly, a tragic accident, a very unusual - initialthoughts? clearly, a tragic accident, a very unusual event. | initialthoughts? clearly, a tragic| accident, a very unusual event. it looks— accident, a very unusual event. it looks on— accident, a very unusual event. it looks on face _ accident, a very unusual event. it looks on face value _ accident, a very unusual event. it looks on face value like _ accident, a very unusual event. it looks on face value like there - accident, a very unusual event. iti looks on face value like there may have _ looks on face value like there may have treen— looks on face value like there may have been a — looks on face value like there may have been a ground _ looks on face value like there may have been a ground collision. - looks on face value like there may have been a ground collision. the| have been a ground collision. the thing _ have been a ground collision. the thing to— have be
i would like to bring in professor graham braithwaite from cranfield university.lthoughts? clearly, a tragic accident, a very _ initialthoughts? clearly, a tragic accident, a very unusual - initialthoughts? clearly, a tragic accident, a very unusual event. | initialthoughts? clearly, a tragic| accident, a very unusual event. it looks— accident, a very unusual event. it looks on— accident, a very unusual event. it looks on face _ accident, a very unusual event. it looks on face value _...
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Jan 10, 2024
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i'm joined by professor graham braithwaite, director of transport systems, cranfield university.o in's addressed his employees, he became somewhat emotional, and said he has children and grandchildren and noted that the worst affected person in this flight was a child who had his shirt one. —— dave calhoun. what you think this speech will do to reassure customers and investors? i speech will do to reassure customers and investors?— and investors? i think we have seen and investors? i think we have seen a big difference _ and investors? i think we have seen a big difference in _ and investors? i think we have seen a big difference in how— and investors? i think we have seen a big difference in how boeing - a big difference in how boeing reacted to this event than it did when we have first two accidents. there is clearly acknowledgement that there is a problem to be solved, and there is also some humility, and you saw that in dave calhoun's reaction. that is incredibly important here. that openness is what gets aviation safety to the very high levels we usually achieve. in this cas
i'm joined by professor graham braithwaite, director of transport systems, cranfield university.o in's addressed his employees, he became somewhat emotional, and said he has children and grandchildren and noted that the worst affected person in this flight was a child who had his shirt one. —— dave calhoun. what you think this speech will do to reassure customers and investors? i speech will do to reassure customers and investors?— and investors? i think we have seen and investors? i...