sirjohn curtis for— conservative recovery. sirjohn curtis for the _ conservative recovery.ank l curtis for the moment, thank you very much, and our election hub. alsojohn will be back with us later as we keep you updated with the two by—elections that are being counted, we will of course expect those by—elections results to make headlines in the morning. and the economy features heavily on the majority of the front pages. �*uk slips into recession' reads the eye. the latest figures estimate that gross domestic product — that's a key measure of economic activity — fell twice in a row between july and december. it's the third time that the uk has fallen into recession in the past 25 years. the financial times headline reads "britain's slide into recession creates another big election hurdle for the prime minister" as we await those results in kingswood and wellingborough. the guardian warns rishi sunak against tax cuts , claiming the country has endured the longest sustained fall in living standards in 70 years. the daily telegraph speculcates the chancellor will shelve plans

let's bring in our polling guru, sirjohn curtis.newsroom — it seems that labour or confident at least on they are in the south gloucestershire? i they are in the south gloucestershire? ~ u, gloucestershire? i think we can be re gloucestershire? i think we can be pretty clear _ gloucestershire? i think we can be pretty clear that _ gloucestershire? i think we can be pretty clear that the - gloucestershire? i think we can be pretty clear that the labourl be pretty clear that the labour party have managed to win this seat. what will be interesting to see is how well they won. but just to underline to see is how well they won. butjust to underline the significance of this — if the next general election were to be fought on the current boundaries and kingswood won't exist without a general election is actually fought — if that were the case, then kingswood is one of those seats where the swing required 11% is only a little less from the swing it labour would require to get an overall majority at a general election under the old boundarie