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May 4, 2024
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sirjohn curtice, professor. _ months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank _ months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank you - months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank you so - months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank you so much. months away. sirjohn curtice, - professor, thank you so much. we will be back withjohn and our guests in a few minutes. don�*t go away. back for more soon. weather forecast now. hello again. it�*s the bank holiday weekend, of course, and i think mixed is probably the right word to describe the weather over the course of the weekend, because, while there�*ll be some warm, sunny spells for many of us, there�*ll also be some sunshine and showers as well. and this morning, certainly, it�*s been quite wet across parts of northern england, into northern ireland. we�*ll continue with that rain, i think, in northern ireland into this afternoon. the risk of some showers, though, in the far north—west of scotland with some sunny spells, and with the sunshine in the south, you mayjust see some showers popping off across the far
sirjohn curtice, professor. _ months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank _ months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank you - months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank you so - months away. sirjohn curtice, professor, thank you so much. months away. sirjohn curtice, - professor, thank you so much. we will be back withjohn and our guests in a few minutes. don�*t go away. back for more soon. weather forecast now. hello again. it�*s the bank holiday weekend, of course, and i think...
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May 4, 2024
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thank you so much, sirjohn curtice. we will be back - sirjohn curtice. we will be back with you through the course of this afternoon. for now, i will leave you with the weather with chris fawkes. but we will be back in birmingham life shortly. hello, there's been a big reversal of weather fortunes. yesterday, scotland and northern ireland had lots of sunshine and warm weather, with temperatures peaking at 23 degrees celsius. not so much today, though. it's a lot cloudier, a lot cooler. and for some, that means a drop of about nine degrees celsius between yesterday's warm sun and today's rather grey and cloudy skies. the clouds extensive then for scotland and northern ireland and is also still affecting parts of northern england and north wales. best of the sunshine further southwards today where yesterday it was cloudy and wet, feels a lot warmer in today's sunshine across these more southern regions. an odd shower for south east england, some wet weather continuing to affect northern ireland. with outbreaks of rain on and off. there will be a bit of war
thank you so much, sirjohn curtice. we will be back - sirjohn curtice. we will be back with you through the course of this afternoon. for now, i will leave you with the weather with chris fawkes. but we will be back in birmingham life shortly. hello, there's been a big reversal of weather fortunes. yesterday, scotland and northern ireland had lots of sunshine and warm weather, with temperatures peaking at 23 degrees celsius. not so much today, though. it's a lot cloudier, a lot cooler. and for...
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May 3, 2024
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sirjohn curtice, thank ou for of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank you for the _ of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank you for the moment. _ of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank you for the moment. let's get i of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank i you for the moment. let's get brief reaction. we are saying that ben houchen has won in the tees valley, he has held onto it for his third term. ., ., , . , he has held onto it for his third term. . ., . , , ., term. fantastic news, brilliant. this is the _ term. fantastic news, brilliant. this is the bright _ term. fantastic news, brilliant. this is the bright spot - term. fantastic news, brilliant. this is the bright spot for i term. fantastic news, brilliant. this is the bright spot for you. | term. fantastic news, brilliant. i this is the bright spot for you. at this point, i should probably introduce our new guest, the political editor of the sun newspaper. asjohn said, they are not easily interpretable as how a party will perform in a general election. what is the mood in the party? it election. what is the mood in the .a ? , ., ele
sirjohn curtice, thank ou for of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank you for the _ of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank you for the moment. _ of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank you for the moment. let's get i of contest. sirjohn curtice, thank i you for the moment. let's get brief reaction. we are saying that ben houchen has won in the tees valley, he has held onto it for his third term. ., ., , . , he has held onto it for his third term. . ., . , , ., term. fantastic news, brilliant. this is the _...
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May 3, 2024
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sirjohn curtice is professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. there are two principal messages that are coming out of these local election results together with the parliamentary by—election in blackpool. the first is that so far as the gap between conservative and labour is concerned, nothing very much seems to have changed. in one sense the as it a surprising statement because the swing from conservative to labour in blackpool south at 26% is the third biggest swing in post—war electoral history. the trouble is swings of the kind of size have now become more commonplace in the last year or so and we have had five by—elections in which the swing from the conservatives to labour has been over 20% so in that sense it's more of the same, it is at of parliamentary by—elections of the kind that we have really not seen since the 92—97 parliament which endedin since the 92—97 parliament which ended in defeat for the conservatives. equally, if we look at the detailed voting figures that the bbc has been collecting overnight, many have more
sirjohn curtice is professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. there are two principal messages that are coming out of these local election results together with the parliamentary by—election in blackpool. the first is that so far as the gap between conservative and labour is concerned, nothing very much seems to have changed. in one sense the as it a surprising statement because the swing from conservative to labour in blackpool south at 26% is the third biggest swing in...
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May 4, 2024
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let me go to professor sirjohn curtice. your view of what's happening in london now?— your view of what's happening in london now? . , ., , london now? that enfield result was crucial. london now? that enfield result was crucial- the — london now? that enfield result was crucial. the swing _ london now? that enfield result was crucial. the swing slightly _ london now? that enfield result was crucial. the swing slightly below- crucial. the swing slightly below the other london constituencies but not by much. in the wake of that, the bbc is also willing to call this election and to say that sadiq khan will indeed be elected as the next mayor of london. our best estimate of the moment, and of course there is a bit of uncertainty about this but we think that esther khan is going to end up with about 45% of the vote and susan hall with around 32%. -- mr the vote and susan hall with around 32%. —— mr khan. i think labour would regard that as roughly correct, are pretty comfortable victory and something that as it were were added to the joy they will have had with th
let me go to professor sirjohn curtice. your view of what's happening in london now?— your view of what's happening in london now? . , ., , london now? that enfield result was crucial. london now? that enfield result was crucial- the — london now? that enfield result was crucial. the swing _ london now? that enfield result was crucial. the swing slightly _ london now? that enfield result was crucial. the swing slightly below- crucial. the swing slightly below the other london constituencies...
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May 23, 2024
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let's go live now to the bbc�*s resident polling expert, sirjohn curtice — professor of politics at strathclyde university. sirjohn, you were talking about the ratings for the parties. a quick question, on the personal ratings for rishi sunak and sir keir starmer, given the prime minister is clearly making this an election, or trying to, about that straight choice. , , �* trying to, about that straight choice. , , ~ �* , choice. yes he is. and it's interesting _ choice. yes he is. and it's interesting he's _ choice. yes he is. and it's interesting he's trying - choice. yes he is. and it's interesting he's trying to l choice. yes he is. and it's i interesting he's trying to do choice. yes he is. and it's - interesting he's trying to do so, because at the moment at least, for many voters, it's not a particularly attractive choice that's put before them. as far as mr sunak is concerned, if we take for example data from you god of —— yougov. he has fallen in popularity during his premiership, typical measures around -40 premiership, typical measures around —40 or so, labour of course get
let's go live now to the bbc�*s resident polling expert, sirjohn curtice — professor of politics at strathclyde university. sirjohn, you were talking about the ratings for the parties. a quick question, on the personal ratings for rishi sunak and sir keir starmer, given the prime minister is clearly making this an election, or trying to, about that straight choice. , , �* trying to, about that straight choice. , , ~ �* , choice. yes he is. and it's interesting _ choice. yes he is. and...
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May 4, 2024
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let's get some analysis with professor sirjohn curtice, political analyst and professor of politics at strathclyde university. he has been there all night, and all day. professor, thank you. how does that work? how is it that labour have claimed victory already? could you walk us through that? we have claimed victory already? could you walk us through that?— you walk us through that? we have had the results _ you walk us through that? we have had the results for _ you walk us through that? we have had the results for all _ you walk us through that? we have had the results for all but - you walk us through that? we have had the results for all but one - you walk us through that? we have had the results for all but one of. had the results for all but one of the district already published, and we know from that that in order to win this contest, that in sandwell, which is the one that hasn't been declared, labour basically need to defeat the conservatives byjust over 11,000 votes. in sandwell three years ago when this was last fought over, labourwere years ago when this was last fought
let's get some analysis with professor sirjohn curtice, political analyst and professor of politics at strathclyde university. he has been there all night, and all day. professor, thank you. how does that work? how is it that labour have claimed victory already? could you walk us through that? we have claimed victory already? could you walk us through that?— you walk us through that? we have had the results _ you walk us through that? we have had the results for _ you walk us through that? we...
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May 23, 2024
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curtice. our other main headline — another key day of evidence at the post office inquiry, as the former boss paula vennells denies trying to close down a review of the faulty horizon it system. this was important, but i was reassured _ this was important, but i was reassured of— this was important, but i was reassured of the _ this was important, but i was reassured of the same - this was important, but i was reassured of the same time l this was important, but i was. reassured of the same time that these _ reassured of the same time that these bugs _ reassured of the same time that these bugs have _ reassured of the same time that these bugs have been— reassured of the same time that these bugs have been dealt- reassured of the same time thatl these bugs have been dealt with. welcome to downing street where 24 hours ago, rishi sunak called a general election to take place on 4july.
curtice. our other main headline — another key day of evidence at the post office inquiry, as the former boss paula vennells denies trying to close down a review of the faulty horizon it system. this was important, but i was reassured _ this was important, but i was reassured of— this was important, but i was reassured of the _ this was important, but i was reassured of the same - this was important, but i was reassured of the same time l this was important, but i was. reassured of the same...
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May 22, 2024
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we'll talk tonight to professor sirjohn curtice — elections guru, to kelly beaver — the head of ipsos. we'll hear from conservative, labour, snp and lib dem politicians, as well as former director of communications to david cameron sir craig oliver, and sir keir starmer�*s biographer, tom baldwin. but first, nick was first to pick up on rumours swirling last night. nick, why now? you were right. at this very table last night as you say, i reported on what i described as massive rumours that rishi sunak would make that election announcement today and the election could be onjuly 4th. then we had complete silence from number 10. in a way, that is understandable because when you announce an election, there are protocols you have to follow, you have to seek permission for a dissolution of parliament from the manic and you have to proceed with some care. and you want to have an element of surprise. —— from the monarch. then we had a lengthy speech by the prime minister completely soaked in the rain, reminiscent of the former french president francois holland of the day he was inaugur
we'll talk tonight to professor sirjohn curtice — elections guru, to kelly beaver — the head of ipsos. we'll hear from conservative, labour, snp and lib dem politicians, as well as former director of communications to david cameron sir craig oliver, and sir keir starmer�*s biographer, tom baldwin. but first, nick was first to pick up on rumours swirling last night. nick, why now? you were right. at this very table last night as you say, i reported on what i described as massive rumours...
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May 3, 2024
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sirjohn curtice, thank you very much _ truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for— truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for all— truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for all of— truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for all of that - very much for all of that important analysis, particularly in terms of the rise of anti tory tactical voting. that is very difficult, you have a pincer movement, but in the places where the liberal democrats are second to you, where labour is second to come in places across the country. we have to make a strong case and the point i want to come back to is what i said earlier about this point about swing. the question is is a conservative voter is coming out in voting by deciding to vote for somebody else or conservative voters not clear about what they're going to do and staying home? i would argue if you look at the results, i'm not trying to pretend, it's a disappointing thing, but i'm trying to say there are conservatives who come at the moment, and elections taking place in many part of the country at the moment we
sirjohn curtice, thank you very much _ truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for— truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for all— truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for all of— truth. sirjohn curtice, thank you very much for all of that - very much for all of that important analysis, particularly in terms of the rise of anti tory tactical voting. that is very difficult, you have a pincer movement, but in the places where the liberal democrats are second to you, where...
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May 4, 2024
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curtice show a significant gap between labour and the conservatives. so i think there is not much choice really for the conservatives from here on. they are not going to move it would appear against rishi sunak, and that means theyjust have to hope that time will either bring better economic news that will change the public mood, orsomething news that will change the public mood, or something will turn up. there is always a chance something will happen none of us can think of. and at what point do you think that mps have to make a decision like andy street did, and think about whether wearing their party affiliation front and centre is a good idea. it affiliation front and centre is a good idea-— affiliation front and centre is a rood idea. , ., , ., ~ good idea. it is a good question. a number of — good idea. it is a good question. a number of conservatives _ good idea. it is a good question. a number of conservatives now - good idea. it is a good question. a number of conservatives now have either dropped or are lessening their connection to the
curtice show a significant gap between labour and the conservatives. so i think there is not much choice really for the conservatives from here on. they are not going to move it would appear against rishi sunak, and that means theyjust have to hope that time will either bring better economic news that will change the public mood, orsomething news that will change the public mood, or something will turn up. there is always a chance something will happen none of us can think of. and at what point...
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May 4, 2024
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professor sirjohn curtice, confirmation that sadiq khan has achieved a third term as mayor of london. it achieved a third term as mayor of london. . , , ., ., , london. it has been a relatively comfortable _ london. it has been a relatively comfortable victory _ london. it has been a relatively comfortable victory with - london. it has been a relatively comfortable victory with a - london. it has been a relatively i comfortable victory with a majority of around ten percentage points. as nick eardley has pointed out, it seems as though in the capital at least the muslim community seems not to have reacted, at least as far as we can tell, does not seem to have reacted against the labour party as they appear to have done in other parts of england. so maybe sadiq khan is a fellow member of the community was perhaps more insulated than some of the other labour candidates elsewhere. the second thing, the dog didn't willy bach, the ulez from a little bit of evidence that may be the conservative vote didn't go down quite so much in those places. —— make the dog that didn't really bark. bu
professor sirjohn curtice, confirmation that sadiq khan has achieved a third term as mayor of london. it achieved a third term as mayor of london. . , , ., ., , london. it has been a relatively comfortable _ london. it has been a relatively comfortable victory _ london. it has been a relatively comfortable victory with - london. it has been a relatively comfortable victory with a - london. it has been a relatively i comfortable victory with a majority of around ten percentage points. as nick...
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May 3, 2024
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polling guru professor sirjohn curtice. our own political editor nick watt. emma barr, former conservative special advisor. and stephen bush from the financial times, who is an expert on labour. now four of the five biggest vote swings in by—elections from conservatives to labour have happened in the last year under sir keir starmer — including blackpool south yesterday. however not one further conservative mp has publicly called for rishi sunak to go, despite his party being, according to the experts, in deep electoral trouble. it was a very good night for labour, but there's an acknowledgement that some voters have deserted the party over its stance on gaza. all that and more to come. first, nick, pollsters say these results are bad for the conservatives. where does it leave rishi sunak? figs conservatives. where does it leave rishi sunak?— rishi sunak? as john said, it is a difficult night _ rishi sunak? as john said, it is a difficult night for _ rishi sunak? as john said, it is a difficult night for the _ rishi sunak? as john said, it is al diffic
polling guru professor sirjohn curtice. our own political editor nick watt. emma barr, former conservative special advisor. and stephen bush from the financial times, who is an expert on labour. now four of the five biggest vote swings in by—elections from conservatives to labour have happened in the last year under sir keir starmer — including blackpool south yesterday. however not one further conservative mp has publicly called for rishi sunak to go, despite his party being, according to...
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May 25, 2024
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sirjohn curtice is polling. he's a polling expert and professor of politics at the university of strathclyde, and he'll be in the political hot seat to shine a good afternoon. welcome. if you've just tuned in, this is gb news on tv, online and on digital radio. i'm nana akua, andifs digital radio. i'm nana akua, and it's now time for this week's political spotlight. and joining me to shine a light is sir john curtice. he's a polling sirjohn curtice. he's a polling expert and professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. so thank you very much, professor. thank you very much, professor. thank you very much , john, for joining much, professor. thank you very much , john, forjoining us. so much, john, forjoining us. so this is a very exciting moment actually in polling . sorry. my actually in polling. sorry. my computer's full. crikey. what's happened here? sorry my computer started but this is very exciting moment in politics. now you famously said 99% chance labour of winning. is that still i >> -- >> o
sirjohn curtice is polling. he's a polling expert and professor of politics at the university of strathclyde, and he'll be in the political hot seat to shine a good afternoon. welcome. if you've just tuned in, this is gb news on tv, online and on digital radio. i'm nana akua, andifs digital radio. i'm nana akua, and it's now time for this week's political spotlight. and joining me to shine a light is sir john curtice. he's a polling sirjohn curtice. he's a polling expert and professor of...
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May 2, 2024
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curtice. we'll also talk to the person most likely to be the new first minister of scotland, john swinney, now that kate forbes has thrown her weight behind him. and with the looming prospect of deportation flights to rwanda, a warning you will hear strong and discriminatory language as a protestor is racially abused attempting to stop asylum seekers being moved out of hotels by government contactors. shouting. good evening. it's a bonanza! almost 2,600 council seats in england, 37 police and crime commissioners in england and wales, one london mayor and assembly members, ten other mayors and metro mayors — and one byelection in blackpool south. so when voters are exercised by local issues which don't always translate into a general election vote, when some contests are about personalities not politics, how much can this clutch — which misses out scotland, northern ireland and is very patchy in wales — be a bellweather for the general election? what should we looking for and what should
curtice. we'll also talk to the person most likely to be the new first minister of scotland, john swinney, now that kate forbes has thrown her weight behind him. and with the looming prospect of deportation flights to rwanda, a warning you will hear strong and discriminatory language as a protestor is racially abused attempting to stop asylum seekers being moved out of hotels by government contactors. shouting. good evening. it's a bonanza! almost 2,600 council seats in england, 37 police and...
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May 3, 2024
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. _ let's speak to sirjohn curtice, professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. great to talk to you again. this is an estimate _ great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of— great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of what _ great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of what would i great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of what would have i an estimate of what would have happened — an estimate of what would have happened if— an estimate of what would have happened if the _ an estimate of what would have happened if the whole - an estimate of what would have happened if the whole of- an estimate of what would have happened if the whole of the i an estimate of what would have i happened if the whole of the country had had _ happened if the whole of the country had had iocai— happened if the whole of the country had had local council— happened if the whole of the country had had local council elections- had had local council elections yesterday _ had had local council elections yesterday rather _ had had local council election
. _ let's speak to sirjohn curtice, professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. great to talk to you again. this is an estimate _ great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of— great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of what _ great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of what would i great to talk to you again. this is an estimate of what would have i an estimate of what would have happened — an estimate of what would have happened if— an estimate of what...
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May 26, 2024
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every week, the nation's favourite pollster and professor sirjohn curtice is going to keep us right on where the numbers are moving. we've challenged him to tell us what you need to know, in 60 seconds, every sunday. the polls were not propitious. when rain—soaked rishi sunak announced a 4th ofjuly election, on average they put his party 21 points behind. conservatives were averaging just 23%, while labour were on 44%. in scotland, labour are ahead of the snp by six points and could gain 30 seats. to retain the keys to downing street, mr sunak needs either a record campaign swing, or for the polls to be wrong and have their worst election ever. he will try first to squeeze reform, who, with 11% support, have won over one in five 2019 tory voters. however, the first polls of the campaign suggest that support for reform and labour's lead are unchanged, and mr sunak simply cannot afford to be stuck in neutral. so the big question — can labour keep that lead? and whether it is real when it gets to the ballot box. their number—one task has always been to persuade you they can be trust
every week, the nation's favourite pollster and professor sirjohn curtice is going to keep us right on where the numbers are moving. we've challenged him to tell us what you need to know, in 60 seconds, every sunday. the polls were not propitious. when rain—soaked rishi sunak announced a 4th ofjuly election, on average they put his party 21 points behind. conservatives were averaging just 23%, while labour were on 44%. in scotland, labour are ahead of the snp by six points and could gain 30...
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May 23, 2024
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sirjohn for joining us. sir john curtice, forjoining us. sirjohn curtice, polling expert and professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. always a delight now let's go to stormont now. speak to gb news. northern ireland reporter dougie beattie dougie, always a delight to have you on the show. we were just talking there about that snap election in 2017 and of course the dup became absolutely pivotal. that confidence and supply to the conservative party cost them £1 billion, but it kept them in power. dougie what's the political landscape now? on, on on your side of the sea there in northern ireland? >> well, it's totally fascinating , >> well, it's totally fascinating, martin. i mean, we have 18 seats in northern ireland. eight of those are held by the dup, seven by sinn fein, but they are an abstentionist party. they don't take those seats, then we have two by the sdlp and one by the alliance party. but out of those 18 seats, six of them are very, very slim majorities, including, gavin robinson, the now leader of the dup seat in
sirjohn for joining us. sir john curtice, forjoining us. sirjohn curtice, polling expert and professor of politics at the university of strathclyde. always a delight now let's go to stormont now. speak to gb news. northern ireland reporter dougie beattie dougie, always a delight to have you on the show. we were just talking there about that snap election in 2017 and of course the dup became absolutely pivotal. that confidence and supply to the conservative party cost them £1 billion, but it...
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May 2, 2024
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to help us decode that, let's bring in professor sirjohn curtice. looking at these first straws in the political wind tonight, what does that make you think? ,, ., ., ., , think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often _ think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often early _ think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often early and - think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often early and we - think? sunderland in parliamentary| elections is often early and we have to remember that it does have its own particular catchment. this is a very eurosceptic part of the country. it is also somewhere where ukip did well in local elections in the past. we have now seen reform out to poll the conservatives in each of the wards results we have got in from sunderland so far. as you have seen in the summary the conservative vote is well down on 2021 and even down on this time last year. at least in this early result the conservatives do have reason to be concerned about what will happen in eurosceptic reports of the country where refor
to help us decode that, let's bring in professor sirjohn curtice. looking at these first straws in the political wind tonight, what does that make you think? ,, ., ., ., , think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often _ think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often early _ think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often early and - think? sunderland in parliamentary elections is often early and we - think? sunderland in parliamentary| elections is often early and we have...
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May 11, 2024
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you see, if sirjohn curtice is correct, when he pretty much pretty much always is. and keir, he said that keir is pretty much i think he's 99.9% chance of winning the next general election . and if keir does election. and if keir does become prime minister, unfortunately for him, in anticipation of this prospect before he's even in office, his projected income for this plan is unravelling before his very eyes as parents decide not to go private. in fact, it's already beginning to bite. enrolments to these schools have already fallen by 2.7% and are set to fallen by 2.7% and are set to fall further in september. the independent schools council, who have been collecting data on new starters for over a decade, reported this as the biggest annual drop since it began collecting its data in 2011. now, the body represents almost 1400 private schools, and experts say that the policy could result in as many of them closing down. julie robinson, the chief exec of the isc, said you can see the change in our census already and new parents for this year are asking about that. yo
you see, if sirjohn curtice is correct, when he pretty much pretty much always is. and keir, he said that keir is pretty much i think he's 99.9% chance of winning the next general election . and if keir does election. and if keir does become prime minister, unfortunately for him, in anticipation of this prospect before he's even in office, his projected income for this plan is unravelling before his very eyes as parents decide not to go private. in fact, it's already beginning to bite....
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May 3, 2024
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just gently remind professor sirjohn curtice, i do rememberat the remind professor sirjohn curtice, i do remember at the last election resutt— do remember at the last election result at— do remember at the last election result at this time, he was making the same — result at this time, he was making the same kind of comments about the liberal— the same kind of comments about the liberal democrats, then when we finally _ liberal democrats, then when we finally got — liberal democrats, then when we finally got to the end of the whole play in _ finally got to the end of the whole play in the weekend win over results came _ play in the weekend win over results came out, _ play in the weekend win over results came out, we had won over 400 gains more _ came out, we had won over 400 gains more than _ came out, we had won over 400 gains more than any other party. so i'm not saying — more than any other party. so i'm not saying we're going to do that same _ not saying we're going to do that same of— not saying we're going to do that same of momentum today, there are fewer— same
just gently remind professor sirjohn curtice, i do rememberat the remind professor sirjohn curtice, i do remember at the last election resutt— do remember at the last election result at— do remember at the last election result at this time, he was making the same — result at this time, he was making the same kind of comments about the liberal— the same kind of comments about the liberal democrats, then when we finally _ liberal democrats, then when we finally got — liberal democrats,...
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May 5, 2024
05/24
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i joining us now is professor sirjohn curtice, from the university of strathclyde — he's been analysing all the results as they've come in. we have spoken to you a lot over the past couple of days about council results, so let's focus on the west midlands mayoral results. what do the swings tell us about who swung where and how that can be projected nationally? where and how that can be pro'ected nationall ? . . where and how that can be pro'ected nationall ? , ., , where and how that can be pro'ected nationall ? , . , ., nationally? first warning is that the metro mayoral— nationally? first warning is that the metro mayoral contest - nationally? first warning is that the metro mayoral contest are l nationally? first warning is that i the metro mayoral contest are the least reliable indicator of where the parties at, but if you look at all of the mayoral contests, you see, as was andy street's experience, substantial declines in conservative support since 2021, and to that extent at least the results of the mayoral elections in terms of change was not that the similar to what happened
i joining us now is professor sirjohn curtice, from the university of strathclyde — he's been analysing all the results as they've come in. we have spoken to you a lot over the past couple of days about council results, so let's focus on the west midlands mayoral results. what do the swings tell us about who swung where and how that can be projected nationally? where and how that can be pro'ected nationall ? . . where and how that can be pro'ected nationall ? , ., , where and how that can be...
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May 4, 2024
05/24
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let's hear from professor sirjohn curtice from the university of strathclyde. i hope you are feeling better, yesterday i think were clinging to your school because it had been a long night. i hope you had some good sleep? long night. i hope you had some good slee? , long night. i hope you had some good slee - ? , . long night. i hope you had some good slee . ? , ., ., long night. i hope you had some good slee? , ., ., , , sleep? yes, i had a good night sleep and wasn't disturbed _ sleep? yes, i had a good night sleep and wasn't disturbed to _ sleep? yes, i had a good night sleep and wasn't disturbed to early - sleep? yes, i had a good night sleep and wasn't disturbed to early this - and wasn't disturbed to early this morning — and wasn't disturbed to early this morning by yourself and your fellow programmes. morning by yourself and your fellow programmes-— morning by yourself and your fellow programmes. where we are at now, com ared programmes. where we are at now, compared to — programmes. where we are at now, compared to yesterday, _ programmes. where w
let's hear from professor sirjohn curtice from the university of strathclyde. i hope you are feeling better, yesterday i think were clinging to your school because it had been a long night. i hope you had some good sleep? long night. i hope you had some good slee? , long night. i hope you had some good slee - ? , . long night. i hope you had some good slee . ? , ., ., long night. i hope you had some good slee? , ., ., , , sleep? yes, i had a good night sleep and wasn't disturbed _ sleep? yes, i...
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May 22, 2024
05/24
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as i said, i want to go back to sirjohn curtice now... i beg your pardon... we are going to speak now to mo hussein, a former downing street adviser and a press office adviser. good to have you on the programme. hearing from rishi sunak, there, what did you think about the presentation and what he had to say? about the presentation and what he had to sa ? ~ ., , about the presentation and what he hadtosa? about the presentation and what he hadto sa ? ~ , ., had to say? well, there has been a lot of grumbling — had to say? well, there has been a lot of grumbling about _ had to say? well, there has been a lot of grumbling about this - had to say? well, there has been a lot of grumbling about this today i lot of grumbling about this today and number 10 lot of grumbling about this today and numberio were not lot of grumbling about this today and number 10 were not doing very much _ and number 10 were not doing very much on _ and number 10 were not doing very much on the communications side to try to _ much on the communications side to try to lock— much on th
as i said, i want to go back to sirjohn curtice now... i beg your pardon... we are going to speak now to mo hussein, a former downing street adviser and a press office adviser. good to have you on the programme. hearing from rishi sunak, there, what did you think about the presentation and what he had to say? about the presentation and what he had to sa ? ~ ., , about the presentation and what he hadtosa? about the presentation and what he hadto sa ? ~ , ., had to say? well, there has been a...
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i mean, do you think it's sirjohn the results? so far? i mean, do you think it's sir john curtice predicted, you know, complete annihilation potentially of the conservatives. do you think actually they've done better with results like ben houchen, dare i say in tees valley ? okay. dare i say in tees valley? okay. >> i think it's been a pretty good set of results for keir starmer and for the labour party under his leadership. >> i mean, we've seen an extraordinary result again in blackpool. that result a 20% swing to labour, we've seen that now as a pattern. it's the fifth by—election where we've seen swings of that kind. i think we've also got to remember , we've also got to remember, darren, that, you know, these are taking place not in the middle of a parliament. they're not mid—term. this is on the eve of a general election. and i think there is a pattern here. and the pattern, i think fundamentally, is that people are fed up with the government. they think the tories have failed and it's time for a change. and i think whatever way
i mean, do you think it's sirjohn the results? so far? i mean, do you think it's sir john curtice predicted, you know, complete annihilation potentially of the conservatives. do you think actually they've done better with results like ben houchen, dare i say in tees valley ? okay. dare i say in tees valley? okay. >> i think it's been a pretty good set of results for keir starmer and for the labour party under his leadership. >> i mean, we've seen an extraordinary result again in...