0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
if these mrp predictions are i’ilht labour. if these mrp predictions are right he _ labour.ncellor at risk from _ chalk the lord chancellor at risk from the — chalk the lord chancellor at risk from the liberal— chalk the lord chancellor at risk from the liberal democrats. i chalk the lord chancellor at risk| from the liberal democrats. and jeremy— from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt— from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt the _ from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt the chancellor- from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt the chancellor has i from the liberal democrats. and i jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending _ jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending a _ jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending a lot— jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending a lot of— jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending a lot of time _ jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending a lot of time in— jeremy hunt the chancellor has been spending a lot of time in his - spending a lot of time in his constituency— spending a lot of time in his constituency in _
if these mrp predictions are i’ilht labour. if these mrp predictions are right he _ labour.ncellor at risk from _ chalk the lord chancellor at risk from the — chalk the lord chancellor at risk from the liberal— chalk the lord chancellor at risk from the liberal democrats. i chalk the lord chancellor at risk| from the liberal democrats. and jeremy— from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt— from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt the _ from the liberal democrats. and jeremy hunt...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
do you worry about this mrp polling tonight? find out now an electoral calculus 19,000 people.ts 60 mps. the labour landslide of 250 majority. the good news for you is you get your seats. but many of your colleagues don't. >> so the message that those polls are sending and the message i'm hearing on the door when i knock on doors in my constituency and elsewhere, don't match up. but look, i can't predict and i'm not going to try and predict. what i'm going to do is what the prime minister is going to do tonight is fight for every vote, try and return as many conservative mps as possible. we would want to form a government, but if that isn't possible, we need to hold labour to account because we know that their plans, their unfettered spending, their unfettered spending, their unfettered taxation, their failure to deliver on public services and we see that in wales. we see that in london, where they run things, we need to protect the british people from that. >> what's he going to do to change those numbers? you've been stuck on about 20 points behind labour for the entire campa
do you worry about this mrp polling tonight? find out now an electoral calculus 19,000 people.ts 60 mps. the labour landslide of 250 majority. the good news for you is you get your seats. but many of your colleagues don't. >> so the message that those polls are sending and the message i'm hearing on the door when i knock on doors in my constituency and elsewhere, don't match up. but look, i can't predict and i'm not going to try and predict. what i'm going to do is what the prime minister...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
the mrps. exactly, i have had to sa that that. the mrps.ps. exactly, i have had to say that many times _ that. the mrps. exactly, i have had to say that many times over - that. the mrps. exactly, i have had to say that many times over the i that. the mrps. exactly, i have had| to say that many times over the past few weeks. but what it means is that people can now look at all sorts of different models of what may happen in their particular constituency and if they turn out to be accurate, that may help them decide how to vote, especially if they want to vote, especially if they want to vote tactically. if they turn out to be wrong, there is the risk everything has been happening in a sort of weird, not quite misinformation, but a slightly strange information space and of course, one of the things we can't know is even at the general election result does turn out to be quite different to what these polls and bottles are suggesting, it doesn't mean they were wrong at the time, people may have looked at them and shaped how they decided to put
the mrps. exactly, i have had to sa that that. the mrps.ps. exactly, i have had to say that many times _ that. the mrps. exactly, i have had to say that many times over - that. the mrps. exactly, i have had to say that many times over the i that. the mrps. exactly, i have had| to say that many times over the past few weeks. but what it means is that people can now look at all sorts of different models of what may happen in their particular constituency and if they turn out to be accurate, that...
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
all of these mrp polls coming out in favour of a massive super majority for labour. then 516 seats. that's untrammelled power isn't it? on the back of actually a vote share that doesn't represent more than half of the country . you could have of the country. you could have labour on 516 seats, and yet the majority of the country would have voted for other parties . have voted for other parties. >> yeah. i don't think there's any chance that that's going to happen. any chance that that's going to happen . i mean, we've had we've happen. i mean, we've had we've had five of these mrp polls now and they all show a comfortable majority for labour. i don't think there are i don't think there are many people who don't think that labour is going to win this election, including rishi sunak and michael howard and everybody in the tory party but but there's wide variation between them in terms of how much labour will win by and this poll is a real, real outlier at the very extreme end. with with an absurdly large majority. that's not going to happen. no chance.i that's not goin
all of these mrp polls coming out in favour of a massive super majority for labour. then 516 seats. that's untrammelled power isn't it? on the back of actually a vote share that doesn't represent more than half of the country . you could have of the country. you could have labour on 516 seats, and yet the majority of the country would have voted for other parties . have voted for other parties. >> yeah. i don't think there's any chance that that's going to happen. any chance that that's...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
there are also mrp polls.nstituency. and mrp polls are generating headlines. for example, this telegraph front page about a "tory wipe—out". but mrps don't follow a standard methodology. each of the polling companies have their own modelling assumptions. they're a bit more opaque. they kind of want to keep those a bit closer to their chest. but exactly what goes into their models and the assumptions they make make these differences, as well. this means different mrp polls are using different methodology and projecting different results. they can't all be right. a well—conducted mrp is a very, very powerful way of looking at how the election is affecting different places. but what is a well—conducted mrp? we'll have a really good idea onjuly the 5th. if that's mrps, overall polling is under scrutiny. here's the bbc�*s tracker again. it shows the average support for each party. but the true position for the conservatives and labour might be within five percentage points of our average. that's 5% above or below.
there are also mrp polls.nstituency. and mrp polls are generating headlines. for example, this telegraph front page about a "tory wipe—out". but mrps don't follow a standard methodology. each of the polling companies have their own modelling assumptions. they're a bit more opaque. they kind of want to keep those a bit closer to their chest. but exactly what goes into their models and the assumptions they make make these differences, as well. this means different mrp polls are using...
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
works. >> so we know that mrp in principle works.it sort of slightly depends on the mrp on the data that's going into it. and then the different versions of that model that someone might build. so it has been proved successful in the 2019 campaign here, for example, and in campaigns in europe , although campaigns in europe, although you only have to look at the different mlps, we've got out at the moment without wanting to sort of to make any speculations . if you look at the seat projections that have come out even since the beginning of june, all using these mrp methods that you say they can range from as low as 66 to as high as 180. so someone must be wrong. it's you know, and that's for the conservative seat. total so they are only as good as i say as the data going in. and then some of those assumptions and those sort of very educated guesses that you're making about voters and constituencies going out of them talking about being wrong. >> i have a feeling my memory tells me that in 1992, when on the whole, the polls were wrong,
works. >> so we know that mrp in principle works.it sort of slightly depends on the mrp on the data that's going into it. and then the different versions of that model that someone might build. so it has been proved successful in the 2019 campaign here, for example, and in campaigns in europe , although campaigns in europe, although you only have to look at the different mlps, we've got out at the moment without wanting to sort of to make any speculations . if you look at the seat...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
but in and of themselves, tojust true for mrp surveys.ad ones. just because it uses these techniques, it is not necessarily mean it is any better, it means it is approaching it in a different way.— it in a different way. different --eole it in a different way. different people are — it in a different way. different people are using _ it in a different way. different people are using different - people are using different methodology for their mrp polls. someone is going to get to chilly the fifth and think may be ousted not work as well.— not work as well. they are all makin: not work as well. they are all making specific _ not work as well. they are all making specific decisions - not work as well. they are all l making specific decisions about not work as well. they are all - making specific decisions about what they think will be important in individual constituencies, picking data that they think will be useful and making assumptions about the way they think the election will go and that could have an impact on the overall outcome.— t
but in and of themselves, tojust true for mrp surveys.ad ones. just because it uses these techniques, it is not necessarily mean it is any better, it means it is approaching it in a different way.— it in a different way. different --eole it in a different way. different people are — it in a different way. different people are using _ it in a different way. different people are using different - people are using different methodology for their mrp polls. someone is going to get to chilly the...
0
0.0
Jun 20, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
, the first mrp poll, back in poll we had on gb news, the first mrp poll , back in the day, first mrpazing outlier. but look at the numbers yesterday . i mean, the numbers yesterday. i mean, this may well not happen. it's a long way to go. 14 days a lot can change because they don't knows. but this is a really, really uphill struggle. now for the prime minister. >> i'll tell you what i think he's quite interesting, christopher, because there is a lot of talk and understandably about the undecideds, because they say it's often the undecideds who say, i'm not, i'm just going to stick with the with the conservatives in this case, which would boost those numbers a little bit. the problem is there seems to be a lot of people. now, if you anecdotally at least, who say, well, i'm undecided. and do you know what? i'm just not going to bother . bother. >> yeah. and that's a problem . >> yeah. and that's a problem. and that's where maybe these polls might help because , people polls might help because, people say that a supermajority is a elective dictatorship, to use that quote from lord hails
, the first mrp poll, back in poll we had on gb news, the first mrp poll , back in the day, first mrpazing outlier. but look at the numbers yesterday . i mean, the numbers yesterday. i mean, this may well not happen. it's a long way to go. 14 days a lot can change because they don't knows. but this is a really, really uphill struggle. now for the prime minister. >> i'll tell you what i think he's quite interesting, christopher, because there is a lot of talk and understandably about the...
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
let's take a look at the big mrp poll that was done by savanta for the telegraph.vatives on a meagre 53 seats. as i just said, prime minister rishi sunak will be turfed out. he will lose his seat. now. the poll predicts a major comeback for the liberal democrats, who it says will pick up 50 seats. and by contrast, the scottish national party is forecast to have a very , very forecast to have a very, very bad night indeed. winning just eight seats, just eight seats for the snp north of the border. let's get some instant reaction now with our political editor, chris hope. chris, this is armageddon for conservatives. we've seen three polls out today. this is the second of them. it's an absolutely astonishing set of results. >> yeah , you've got to it's >> yeah, you've got to it's worth just repeating these numbers again because the viewers are hearing them for the first time, and they are just extraordinary . in 2019, labour extraordinary. in 2019, labour won 202 seats then. now they're up to 516. in 2019, the tories won 365 seats. they're down to 53 d, lib dems“, up
let's take a look at the big mrp poll that was done by savanta for the telegraph.vatives on a meagre 53 seats. as i just said, prime minister rishi sunak will be turfed out. he will lose his seat. now. the poll predicts a major comeback for the liberal democrats, who it says will pick up 50 seats. and by contrast, the scottish national party is forecast to have a very , very forecast to have a very, very bad night indeed. winning just eight seats, just eight seats for the snp north of the...
0
0.0
Jun 16, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
as for the survation mrp today , it is extraordinary. mrp today, it is extraordinary.ry of their party since the party was founded in 1832. they haven't had that few seats. it would be a really rather extraordinary situation , which is perhaps why situation, which is perhaps why robert jenrick has taken today to the daily telegraph, to the sunday telegraph to say that this split in the right wing vote between the conservatives and reform could leave what he termed as a sort of dictatorship or a labour dictatorship for the next five years. and his plea to readers of the sunday telegraph was to come to the conservatives because even on these polls, where the tories and reformer are almost level pegging, are in the same sort of ballpark, the tories still win many, many more seats about ten times the seats than reform is expected to pick up because of some incumbency effects, because of the efficiency of the vote, where it's spread out around the country as well . but it's pretty country as well. but it's pretty extraordinary to see a former government minister, just warni
as for the survation mrp today , it is extraordinary. mrp today, it is extraordinary.ry of their party since the party was founded in 1832. they haven't had that few seats. it would be a really rather extraordinary situation , which is perhaps why situation, which is perhaps why robert jenrick has taken today to the daily telegraph, to the sunday telegraph to say that this split in the right wing vote between the conservatives and reform could leave what he termed as a sort of dictatorship or a...
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
he's talking there about the sky news mrp poll.is a poll of 60,000 people between, the end of may and early june. they are finding that labour have 422 mps after the election against the tories, 140, lib dems 48 and reform a big fat zero. that's a majority of 194. that's more than the blair majority that we saw back in 1997. so clearly. and that supports an mrp poll that gb news, was able to talk report on and announced on friday night, that that gave the labour party a much bigger majority . but even a much bigger majority. but even so we are looking at a triple digit majority for labour. according to two big mrp polls taking place in the past, two about five days have been announced elsewhere . earlier we announced elsewhere. earlier we heard from rishi sunak, the prime minister. he's been up in henley, campaigning on the issue of a culture wars issue of what is a woman? he she's making very clear that he believes his party and his government will try and change the equality act to ensure that a woman is someone who is who is fem
he's talking there about the sky news mrp poll.is a poll of 60,000 people between, the end of may and early june. they are finding that labour have 422 mps after the election against the tories, 140, lib dems 48 and reform a big fat zero. that's a majority of 194. that's more than the blair majority that we saw back in 1997. so clearly. and that supports an mrp poll that gb news, was able to talk report on and announced on friday night, that that gave the labour party a much bigger majority ....
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
yes. >> this is this is this mrp method. and so i mean, we've been showing maps here.ut you know, if you see them online you can go on to them interactively. you can click on every constituency. you can see what the result is predicted to be. however let's remember that that is a prediction for the whole country and for every seat based on 20,000 people, 20,000 is indeed ten times as many as 2000, but it's still a tiny proportion of the electorate. >> true, but statistical analysis and there are margins of error and so forth. but you can analyse the electorate and see what type of voter , from see what type of voter, from what type of background, what what type of background, what what circumstances is likely to support, the parties and that will vary across the country and it will vary through the election. so your point about timing and momentum is important i >> -- >> the proof will be in the pudding, that is to say, on election day, we'll see which of these polls was right. i have to announce , because we've been announce, because we've been talking about rishi sun
yes. >> this is this is this mrp method. and so i mean, we've been showing maps here.ut you know, if you see them online you can go on to them interactively. you can click on every constituency. you can see what the result is predicted to be. however let's remember that that is a prediction for the whole country and for every seat based on 20,000 people, 20,000 is indeed ten times as many as 2000, but it's still a tiny proportion of the electorate. >> true, but statistical analysis...
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
there was a big mrp poll on sky news out at 5:00. put him the tories.h way down so everyone knows. >> can you beat the tories and everyone . and when will you do that. >> by so everyone knows that the election is over in terms of who wins. but i think what will happen this is my guess, is that from here we will take equally from here we will take equally from the conservatives, from labour and also from voters. >> and when will he beat them by? >> well, i have no idea. >> well, i have no idea. >> have you well, have you got an ambition to beat them? that's different. do i have an ambition? so how would when would you hope to have. i would hope on reforms, polling so that you overtake the. >> i would hope within a week we're going to be equal with the conservatives and maybe a hat. >> okay. >> okay. >> all right. and i think that's possible. okay and it's possible because. and it won't just be tories switching. it will be labour too. all right. >> we need to move on. but thank you very much, nigel farage, for joining me this evening on vote 2024, obvious
there was a big mrp poll on sky news out at 5:00. put him the tories.h way down so everyone knows. >> can you beat the tories and everyone . and when will you do that. >> by so everyone knows that the election is over in terms of who wins. but i think what will happen this is my guess, is that from here we will take equally from here we will take equally from the conservatives, from labour and also from voters. >> and when will he beat them by? >> well, i have no idea....
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
there was a big mrp poll on sky news out at 5:00. put him the tories.h way down so everyone knows. >> can you beat the tories and everyone . and when will you do that. >> by so everyone knows that the election is over in terms of who wins. but i think what will happen this is my guess, is that from here we will take equally from here we will take equally from the conservatives, from labour and also from voters. >> and when will he beat them by? >> well, i have no idea. >> well, i have no idea. >> have you well, have you got an ambition to beat them? that's different. do i have an ambition? so how would when would you hope to have. i would hope on reforms, polling so that you overtake the. >> i would hope within a week we're going to be equal with the conservatives and maybe a hat. >> okay. >> okay. >> all right. and i think that's possible. okay and it's possible because. and it won't just be tories switching. it will be labour too. all right. >> we need to move on. but thank you very much, nigel farage, for joining me this evening on vote 2024, obvious
there was a big mrp poll on sky news out at 5:00. put him the tories.h way down so everyone knows. >> can you beat the tories and everyone . and when will you do that. >> by so everyone knows that the election is over in terms of who wins. but i think what will happen this is my guess, is that from here we will take equally from here we will take equally from the conservatives, from labour and also from voters. >> and when will he beat them by? >> well, i have no idea....
0
0.0
Jun 27, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
>> no, of course i'm i'm fighting very hard everywhere. >> mrp say again. >> mrp say again. >> look,a great privilege to be a member of parliament or have been the member of parliament for richmond. and now richmond and northallerton is the seat is called in north yorkshire. i very much hope i have the opportunity to continue doing that right. and as i was out campaigning just the other day and i'll be back there as well, and i'll be back there as well, and my family are all out there campaigning out there, they are as they always are. my parents are there as they are there every election. so they're all they're all at it . they're all at it. >> chris hope, thoroughly enjoying himself there, interviewing the prime minister interviewing the prime minister in a pub, it seems. well, let's get into the detail of all that with my superstar cross—party panel with my superstar cross—party panel. i've got former liberal democrat mark oaten, i've got the labour peer morris glassman, and i've got the conservative peer and journalist paul goodman. lovely to see you. this evening, gents. let's s
>> no, of course i'm i'm fighting very hard everywhere. >> mrp say again. >> mrp say again. >> look,a great privilege to be a member of parliament or have been the member of parliament for richmond. and now richmond and northallerton is the seat is called in north yorkshire. i very much hope i have the opportunity to continue doing that right. and as i was out campaigning just the other day and i'll be back there as well, and i'll be back there as well, and my family are...
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
and it was this huge mrp poll.ves they're potentially left with only 70 seats. now, the prime minister, of course, and his team focused on the general election, the only vote that ultimate matters and i think worth talking a bit about reform, hearing about nigel farage talking there , nigel farage talking there, because of course the conservatives argument is that a vote for reform is effectively a vote for reform is effectively a vote for reform is effectively a vote for labour, because all it's going to do is increase the labour majority. and looking at this mrp poll, although the reform party, it says going to get about 12% of the vote, it's for casting currently that they will not get a single seat in the house of commons. now of course, with the first past the post system that we have, it favours the big parties. labour and conservatives. that's where they want to stick with it. this is something that the lib dems have been campaigning about for a very, very long time . you're a very, very long time. you're go
and it was this huge mrp poll.ves they're potentially left with only 70 seats. now, the prime minister, of course, and his team focused on the general election, the only vote that ultimate matters and i think worth talking a bit about reform, hearing about nigel farage talking there , nigel farage talking there, because of course the conservatives argument is that a vote for reform is effectively a vote for reform is effectively a vote for reform is effectively a vote for labour, because all...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
there are also mrp polls.follow a standard methodology. each of the polling companies have their own modelling assumptions. they're a bit more opaque. they kind of want to keep those a bit closer to their chest. but exactly what goes into their models and the assumptions they make make these differences, as well. this means different mrp polls are using different methodology and projecting different results. they can't all be right. a well—conducted mrp is a very, very powerful way of looking at how the election is affecting different places. but what is a well—conducted mrp? we'll have a really good idea onjuly the 5th. if that's mrps, overall polling is under scrutiny. here's the bbc�*s tracker again. it shows the average support for each party. but the true position for the conservatives and labour might be within five percentage points of our average. that's 5% above or below. and given the prominence of the polls, there are questions about their influence. labour's campaign chief is pat mcfadden. in a pri
there are also mrp polls.follow a standard methodology. each of the polling companies have their own modelling assumptions. they're a bit more opaque. they kind of want to keep those a bit closer to their chest. but exactly what goes into their models and the assumptions they make make these differences, as well. this means different mrp polls are using different methodology and projecting different results. they can't all be right. a well—conducted mrp is a very, very powerful way of looking...
0
0.0
Jun 27, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
so they are the second party according to this, this mrp poll, however , it this, this mrp poll, howeverbecause of the way that ofcom, makes it go . ofcom, makes it go. >> so and finally, just one more from andy gallagher who says, i'm a farage supporter, but i actually felt proud of rishi last night. i couldn't help but cheer him on. unfortunately, he has nailed himself to the rwanda plan, which has been his major mistake. we'll do keep those views coming in gbnews.com/yoursay let's get the views of the shadow secretary of state for education, bridget phillipson, who joins us now. >> very good to see you this morning, look, the polls seem to say 5050 when it comes to how the two gentlemen perform last night. but one one consistent complaint about sir keir's performance is he didn't really answer any questions. that's in terms of appealing to the to the british public. it's not good enoughisit british public. it's not good enough is it ? enough is it? >> no, i wouldn't agree with that. i think what we saw last night from keir was a clear sense about the change that can come if people vot
so they are the second party according to this, this mrp poll, however , it this, this mrp poll, howeverbecause of the way that ofcom, makes it go . ofcom, makes it go. >> so and finally, just one more from andy gallagher who says, i'm a farage supporter, but i actually felt proud of rishi last night. i couldn't help but cheer him on. unfortunately, he has nailed himself to the rwanda plan, which has been his major mistake. we'll do keep those views coming in gbnews.com/yoursay let's get...
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
with the ms3 mrp polls dropping in the past five days, giving labour a three figure majority on julyh away from today at the general election . so a lot to play for. election. so a lot to play for. i think the risk is really it's really on all on rishi sunak. how can he how can he show that he's he he can he can command. how can he be the head master, not the head boy. how can he show that he's the person with the authority to be given another chance at prime minister after this general election, he'll try and paint sir keir starmer as a risk. this country can't afford to take. sir keir starmer will be saying back well, listen, you've messed up for 14 years. we need change and change is stability. of course, rishi sunak will say, well , you rishi sunak will say, well, you back jeremy corbyn, that leftwing revolutionary back in 2017, 2019. so a bit of ding dong and we'll see who, who, who, who wins that with the spin room. and we're expecting wes streeting, the shadow health minister, to come and talk to us shortly, and we'll bring him over as soon as we get him and other tory cabinet
with the ms3 mrp polls dropping in the past five days, giving labour a three figure majority on julyh away from today at the general election . so a lot to play for. election. so a lot to play for. i think the risk is really it's really on all on rishi sunak. how can he how can he show that he's he he can he can command. how can he be the head master, not the head boy. how can he show that he's the person with the authority to be given another chance at prime minister after this general...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
the big news at 5:00 today has been an mrp poll by electoral calculus.find out now that means that they've gone. they've polled a lot of more people than the usual 1500 or 2000 or so. they've polled 19,000 people between june the 14th and june the 24th. it's given the labour party a forecast majority of 250. next friday morning, 450 mps, the tories to down 60. and they're in third place behind they're in third place behind the liberal democrats on 71 mps. so according to this forecast from electoral calculus, find out now. the lib dems , yes, the out now. the lib dems, yes, the lib dems become the official opposition, which is extraordinary in itself. also big news in this poll is the reform uk party led by richard tice and nigel farage. they get 18 mp5 tice and nigel farage. they get 18 mps from zero, of course, to 18 mps from zero, of course, to 18 mp5. that'll 18 mps from zero, of course, to 18 mps. that'll be historic for a challenger party to get that many. quite surprising, the snp , many. quite surprising, the snp, 24 greens and plied four and one
the big news at 5:00 today has been an mrp poll by electoral calculus.find out now that means that they've gone. they've polled a lot of more people than the usual 1500 or 2000 or so. they've polled 19,000 people between june the 14th and june the 24th. it's given the labour party a forecast majority of 250. next friday morning, 450 mps, the tories to down 60. and they're in third place behind they're in third place behind the liberal democrats on 71 mps. so according to this forecast from...
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
KQED
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
christian: just looking at this iipsos mrp model, it suggests labor would win 400 33, conservatives 11556. do you get the sense, martin, given that you just told us that rishi sunak has been another twice in short order, that the campaign is shifting for the conservatives and that they are now in a defensive crouch? >> i think that's right, undoubdly. there's a sense even in the months leading up to the election that they might need to be worried about these seats. it had looked as if this was existential for the liberal democrats and since then, they have appealed to the free bag. on the other hand in the last two years to three years they have made consistent gains in local elections in the region. in the district councils across devon, dorset, where they took for the first time ever this year -- i mean, dorset was always on their wish list, but they never managed to crack it and now they have the authority in somerset. you know, always difficult to extrapolate from local elections what will happen, but having said that historically, their pattern of success is building up strength in
christian: just looking at this iipsos mrp model, it suggests labor would win 400 33, conservatives 11556. do you get the sense, martin, given that you just told us that rishi sunak has been another twice in short order, that the campaign is shifting for the conservatives and that they are now in a defensive crouch? >> i think that's right, undoubdly. there's a sense even in the months leading up to the election that they might need to be worried about these seats. it had looked as if...
0
0.0
Jun 26, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
. >> well, i'd say if you look at the other mrp polls by people who've conducted mrp polls before, there'sbout 420 to 450. so that that you know and remember labour needs 326 for a majority. so anything over 400 is very large indeed. so there's on the whole consensus amongst the experienced mrp pollsters that labour are set to win, where again, i'll make the point that the conservative seat total is more uncertain. there's more uncertainty in that. it could be lower than we say it could be higher than we say, and that will obviously make a lot of difference to some cabinet ministers personally. but the general impression from the polling is that labour are going to win. now, of course , the to win. now, of course, the polls have been wrong before. in 1992, the polls predicted that neil kinnock would win with the labour party, and that did not happen. so you never know. and as chris hope said earlier, the only thing, the only votes that really count are the actual votes in the ballot box next thursday. >> yeah , a fascinating set of >> yeah, a fascinating set of results, and thank you for s
. >> well, i'd say if you look at the other mrp polls by people who've conducted mrp polls before, there'sbout 420 to 450. so that that you know and remember labour needs 326 for a majority. so anything over 400 is very large indeed. so there's on the whole consensus amongst the experienced mrp pollsters that labour are set to win, where again, i'll make the point that the conservative seat total is more uncertain. there's more uncertainty in that. it could be lower than we say it could...
0
0.0
Jun 18, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
and i think looking at the polls tonight, there's an mrp poll tonight, there's an mrp poll tonight out ipsos mori that said that 117 seats are now too close to call, 56 marginally held by the tories, 48 marginal by labour. so there's as many as more than 1 in 6 seats in the election are too close to call. those could be seats which boris johnson could win. many people, as we know, voted tory for the first time back in 2019 because they were excited by boris johnson's , manner. the way he johnson's, manner. the way he spoke, they made him they cheered him up, spoke, they made him they cheered him up , frankly, and cheered him up, frankly, and that kind of energy could make the difference for 20 or 30 seats, maybe for the tory party if the former prime minister bofis if the former prime minister boris johnson, chooses to get back involved, to be involved again. so far we're not seeing any indication he is. but clearly rishi sunak is keen to own some of that messaging coming out from boris johnson . coming out from boris johnson. >> yeah, it's interesting. i mean, boris johnson needs to co
and i think looking at the polls tonight, there's an mrp poll tonight, there's an mrp poll tonight out ipsos mori that said that 117 seats are now too close to call, 56 marginally held by the tories, 48 marginal by labour. so there's as many as more than 1 in 6 seats in the election are too close to call. those could be seats which boris johnson could win. many people, as we know, voted tory for the first time back in 2019 because they were excited by boris johnson's , manner. the way he...
0
0.0
Jun 15, 2024
06/24
by
KQED
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
some bigger polls called mrp polls projectile each constituency will vote.nes give labour a majority over 100 and some higher still. although with all polls, these projections should be treated ben: treated with caution indeed. jane, i am interested. nigel faraj calling himself the real leader of the opposition but that is just one poll. he thinks the party will gain more than 6 million votes. is this just a bit of theater or does he have a point? jane: a bit of both. he has very good at political theater. nevertheless, i think when he reentered frontline politics, a week last monday he said that there was something out there. and actually i think he is right. i am going to swindon more -- swindon north, a very marginal seat that labour has to win. you would think that if the polls are right so far that labour is on closed -- course for a huge landslide and that lots of voters wl be going for keir starmer. it is the classic journalist fox pot. i spent four or five hours pete talking to people going about their daily business and lots of people were undecided
some bigger polls called mrp polls projectile each constituency will vote.nes give labour a majority over 100 and some higher still. although with all polls, these projections should be treated ben: treated with caution indeed. jane, i am interested. nigel faraj calling himself the real leader of the opposition but that is just one poll. he thinks the party will gain more than 6 million votes. is this just a bit of theater or does he have a point? jane: a bit of both. he has very good at...
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
that's the savanta poll and the mrp. yougov poll.w, both of them suggest that the tories will be almost wiped out. the savanta poll, which is the splash on the daily telegraph, suggests that the tories could could go down to just 56 seats, with keir starmers labour party on a 382 seat majority . it could, in seat majority. it could, in fact, mean that the lib dems become the official opposition. the lib dems on that poll are on 50 seats, with the conservatives on just 56. so just a handful of seats would need to change hands sort of margin of error territory for the conservatives to be to go down into third place and the lib dems to leapfrog them. the other huge poll that's come out today is that mrp poll for yougov that puts labour on a 202 seat majority with over 400 seats, 425 seats. that's more than labour won under tony blair in 1997 and would in fact be the second biggest majority in a general election since the second world war. so this is really, really devastating stuff for the conservatives this evening. they were smiling a
that's the savanta poll and the mrp. yougov poll.w, both of them suggest that the tories will be almost wiped out. the savanta poll, which is the splash on the daily telegraph, suggests that the tories could could go down to just 56 seats, with keir starmers labour party on a 382 seat majority . it could, in seat majority. it could, in fact, mean that the lib dems become the official opposition. the lib dems on that poll are on 50 seats, with the conservatives on just 56. so just a handful of...
0
0.0
Jun 5, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
the bbc does not make these calculations, but some bigger polls called mrp, polls do.though as my peter barnes advises us that mac and here is a final question from aura in beckenham. some put it much higher, though as my peter barnes advises us... here is a final question from aura in beckenham. why don't you show the don't know percentage? surely this figure could be significant. well, laura, you are right. the bbc does not show don't know is on our tracker. that is because each polling company measures don't know and won't vote in different ways. these differences in methodology make it difficult to show don't know in trackers like ours. however, if you look into the detail of individual polls, it is often possible to find that information. thank you very much indeed to all of you who have sent in questions. do keep them coming. find your poll tracker on the bbc news app. wales's first minister vaughan gething has lost a confidence vote in the welsh parliament, the senedd — barely two months after he took office. the motion was brought by the conservatives after he'
the bbc does not make these calculations, but some bigger polls called mrp, polls do.though as my peter barnes advises us that mac and here is a final question from aura in beckenham. some put it much higher, though as my peter barnes advises us... here is a final question from aura in beckenham. why don't you show the don't know percentage? surely this figure could be significant. well, laura, you are right. the bbc does not show don't know is on our tracker. that is because each polling...
0
0.0
Jun 14, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
some bigger polls called mrp polls do project how the house of commons could look.onstituency will go and all of those recent polls give labour a majority of well over 100, some higher still, though, as with all polls, these projections should be treated with caution. clive. thank you, ros atkins, our analysis editor. sir keir starmer says he's prepared to make enemies over issues such as planning, in order to pursue economic growth. in an interview with the bbc�*s nick robinson, the labour leader also said he would look again at britain's relationship with the european union, to boost trade, although he ruled out rejoining the eu. here's leila nathoo. if you would like to take a chair overthere. - his poll lead intact, his manifesto launched, but still questions for sir keir starmer about difficult decisions on tax and spending that he could face within weeks. his answer, to go after the prize of economic growth. this, his case for reform of the planning system. are you prepared to make enemies to make the economy grow? - yes. we are going to have to be tough. we a
some bigger polls called mrp polls do project how the house of commons could look.onstituency will go and all of those recent polls give labour a majority of well over 100, some higher still, though, as with all polls, these projections should be treated with caution. clive. thank you, ros atkins, our analysis editor. sir keir starmer says he's prepared to make enemies over issues such as planning, in order to pursue economic growth. in an interview with the bbc�*s nick robinson, the labour...
0
0.0
Jun 16, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
this is the survation mrp poll. and this isn't just a poll. it's a seat projection.wn as multi—level post—stratification multi —level post—stratification and regression multi—level post—stratification and regression analysis, which is a very complicated way of saying this is sort of a seat by seat, complicated way of conducting a projection. and that way we can learn the variances in the regions and evenin variances in the regions and even in the localities of how different places will vote in different places will vote in different ways. and that's how we get this extraordinary number of just 72 seats for the conservatives. remember in 2019, the conservatives won 365 seats. it would be the most astonishing drop in seat, total drop in share of the vote. it would be the lowest ever seat total for the lowest ever seat total for the conservatives since the party was founded in 1832. it's the oldest political party in the oldest political party in the world that has been going continuously, and it would be an almighty drop and one of the main reasons why that's happening
this is the survation mrp poll. and this isn't just a poll. it's a seat projection.wn as multi—level post—stratification multi —level post—stratification and regression multi—level post—stratification and regression analysis, which is a very complicated way of saying this is sort of a seat by seat, complicated way of conducting a projection. and that way we can learn the variances in the regions and evenin variances in the regions and even in the localities of how different places...
0
0.0
Jun 30, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
but of course, now through mrp, that sort of information is available in every constituency.e ambitious tactical voter has the data at his or her fingertips. >> absolutely. and i think you see a lot more of that kind of campaigning. you see a lot more sort of leaflets going out and social media saying they can't win here. and also there's almost a kind of unspoken pact between the liberals and the laboun between the liberals and the labour, i think, which is that they often direct resources where they need to go. and you've seen it very effectively in by elections over the last four years or so. and i think that, you know, having it as a sort of online election really makes a massive difference. and we've seen a lot of that kind of stuff in the days leading up saying, don't vote for this candidate here, vote for this one here, stella and james, i'm going to ask you to ruin your sundays even more by staying on in the studio and joining me again afternoon, where we might be discussing whether the british election is very different from the french or whether we're seeing symptom
but of course, now through mrp, that sort of information is available in every constituency.e ambitious tactical voter has the data at his or her fingertips. >> absolutely. and i think you see a lot more of that kind of campaigning. you see a lot more sort of leaflets going out and social media saying they can't win here. and also there's almost a kind of unspoken pact between the liberals and the laboun between the liberals and the labour, i think, which is that they often direct...
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
and that's what our mrp poll is showing.anslating the votes nationally and locally into actual seat predictions , we see that the predictions, we see that the conservatives could well win fewer than 100 seats, which would be, almost unprecedented , would be, almost unprecedented, i think, in modern times. >> no, indeed, the liberal democrats could do quite well. and also the results that i read out there did not factor in tactical voting. could you just expand on that a little bit for us as well, please? >> that's right. yes. our poll, which i should say was also conducted jointly with find out now, another pollster , we asked now, another pollster, we asked a lot of questions of our big 10,000 sample about tactical voting and that , that makes voting and that, that makes a difference, though it's maybe not as big as people think, partly because some people have already decided to vote tactically , and also because tactically, and also because there's a lot of confusion between voters. we've had the, change to the seat bound
and that's what our mrp poll is showing.anslating the votes nationally and locally into actual seat predictions , we see that the predictions, we see that the conservatives could well win fewer than 100 seats, which would be, almost unprecedented , would be, almost unprecedented, i think, in modern times. >> no, indeed, the liberal democrats could do quite well. and also the results that i read out there did not factor in tactical voting. could you just expand on that a little bit for us...
0
0.0
Jun 16, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
but even in that survation mrp poll that shows 73 seats, just 73 seats from the for the tories, downm 365in 2019. crazy. even in that rishi sunak does keep his seat, but penny mordaunt doesn't and james cleverly doesn't know. >> so it's just what's your theory on why the polls haven't moved at all? because i know there are undecideds and there are certainly very disgruntled , are certainly very disgruntled, but at the same time, labour's vote share is also going down as people splinter off towards reform and the lib dems. right. so we've got the prospect now of labour sort of walking into this supermajority on the basis of a lower vote share than tony blair ever won in 1997 with his landslide. >> it's remarkable, isn't it? but if we look to the prime minister in a general election who won the highest number of votes in british history, no one surpassed him in this. do you know who it was? john major, john major in 1992, which is crazy. >> which is which is crazy to think about it, but it's because the turnout was high. >> and of course, the gap between labour and the conservatives wa
but even in that survation mrp poll that shows 73 seats, just 73 seats from the for the tories, downm 365in 2019. crazy. even in that rishi sunak does keep his seat, but penny mordaunt doesn't and james cleverly doesn't know. >> so it's just what's your theory on why the polls haven't moved at all? because i know there are undecideds and there are certainly very disgruntled , are certainly very disgruntled, but at the same time, labour's vote share is also going down as people splinter...
0
0.0
Jun 18, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
and by the way, as we're recording this, there's been another so called mrp poll from ipsos. that don't just do the kind of percentage support for the various parties, but translate it into seats. multi linear regression and post stratification, something or other. yes. and this latest one suggests an absolutely colossal labour majority. and so i think what we're seeing now subtly, some more subtle than others and some a lot less subtle than others. and grant shapps was very unsubtle when he did his take on it last week — is the conservatives tilting towards talking about what they see as the danger of a labour win, and as they would see it, the really big danger of a really big labour win while still saying that they're fighting for every vote and they'd really like to win. and, of course if you want to, as a conservative, reduce a labour majority, prevent a labour majority or whatever, then you need as many votes in as many places as you can get them. so the two things aren't entirely inconsistent, but there's been a shift, i think, in the tone of their messaging, which i g
and by the way, as we're recording this, there's been another so called mrp poll from ipsos. that don't just do the kind of percentage support for the various parties, but translate it into seats. multi linear regression and post stratification, something or other. yes. and this latest one suggests an absolutely colossal labour majority. and so i think what we're seeing now subtly, some more subtle than others and some a lot less subtle than others. and grant shapps was very unsubtle when he...
0
0.0
Jun 14, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
some bigger polls — called mrp polls — do project how each constituency will vote.higher still. though, as with all polls, these projections should be treated with caution. first mike, thank you very much. meanwhile, sir keir starmer has a half hour interview on bbc one at 7:30 tonight, part of the bbc�*s series of seven leader interviews by nick robinson. our political correspondent leila nathoo has been listening to what the labour leader said. leila, what stood out to you? we are halfway through _ leila, what stood out to you? we are halfway through this _ leila, what stood out to you? we are halfway through this election - halfway through this election campaign. labour's poll lead is intact, keir starmer got through his manifesto launch yesterday, hasn't yet unravelled but that doesn't mean there aren't still questions about what wasn't in it and what labour might actually have to do should it find itself in government. the tories claim labour have secret plans to put up further taxes if they get into power beyond the targeted tax rises they have already announc
some bigger polls — called mrp polls — do project how each constituency will vote.higher still. though, as with all polls, these projections should be treated with caution. first mike, thank you very much. meanwhile, sir keir starmer has a half hour interview on bbc one at 7:30 tonight, part of the bbc�*s series of seven leader interviews by nick robinson. our political correspondent leila nathoo has been listening to what the labour leader said. leila, what stood out to you? we are...
0
0.0
Jun 20, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
but three big mrp polls, mass polls yesterday, 10 to 1000 people surveyed.labour landslide. what are they going to do? they're trying to do now the tory party is stop a landslide developing into a complete wipe—out of the entire existence of this party. >> and christopher, i understand you asked michael gove about this landmark ruling from the supreme court relating to oil and gas extraction . can you tell and gas extraction. can you tell us more ? us more? >> that's right. the issue of oil and gas licences is a political issue . the tory party political issue. the tory party says it will keep giving out licences for oil and gas drilling in the north sea. labour says no more as they seek to go towards this goal would be decarbonising the economy by 2030. i asked mr gove, michael gove, the housing secretary, about this ruling in the in the courts today and here's what we had to say. >> i think we need to look at the judgement specifically, but there is a clear dividing line between the conservatives and labour here. we believe that we do need north sea oil an
but three big mrp polls, mass polls yesterday, 10 to 1000 people surveyed.labour landslide. what are they going to do? they're trying to do now the tory party is stop a landslide developing into a complete wipe—out of the entire existence of this party. >> and christopher, i understand you asked michael gove about this landmark ruling from the supreme court relating to oil and gas extraction . can you tell and gas extraction. can you tell us more ? us more? >> that's right. the...
0
0.0
Jun 18, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
the guardian newspaper is leading their coverage tonight with a new ipsos mrp projection that suggestsn 100 conservative—held seats appear to be on a knife—edge, with the result in the hands of millions of undecided swing voters. that poll gives scottish labour real cause for optimism. after a pitiful showing in 2019, the party is now expanding its target to 36 seats north of the border, where today they were unveiling their scottish manifesto. in london, keir starmer was talking to voters on lbc radio. ahead of that appearance, the conservatives attacked him again for some mixed messaging on whether he would reopen the council tax bands. the labour leader told callers that none of his plans require a tax rise, beyond those already set out in the manifesto. 0ur political correspondent damian grammaticas reports. today is the very last day you can register to vote. these may not be the voters of today, but rishi sunak has been taking his campaign far and wide. this was lincolnshire yesterday. mr sunak, in his search for voters, is sticking to his strategy to subject labour to scrutiny.
the guardian newspaper is leading their coverage tonight with a new ipsos mrp projection that suggestsn 100 conservative—held seats appear to be on a knife—edge, with the result in the hands of millions of undecided swing voters. that poll gives scottish labour real cause for optimism. after a pitiful showing in 2019, the party is now expanding its target to 36 seats north of the border, where today they were unveiling their scottish manifesto. in london, keir starmer was talking to voters...
0
0.0
Jun 19, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
gap in the polls, and the obvious other thing to say, we had another of those big what they called mrpy to pick —— predict what will happen in each constituency. we have to be careful, it is one pole, and there are lots of caveats that apply to it, mainly because a lot of these polls disagree with each other, but the pattern across those poles confer and repeated in the version we had today is that the conservatives are heading for, appears to be having for a significant defeat, so that positive economic news, i suppose, they were trying to talk about today dampened slightly by that are there pole this afternoon. ., ~ slightly by that are there pole this afternoon. ., ,, , ., slightly by that are there pole this afternoon. ., ~' , ., ., slightly by that are there pole this afternoon. ., ,, , ., ., ., elsewhere today, the snp launched their general election manifesto. party leader — scotland's first minister, john swinney — promised "a betterfuture for scotland" — based on delivering independence, rejoining the eu, and major new investment in scotland's nhs and other public services. mr
gap in the polls, and the obvious other thing to say, we had another of those big what they called mrpy to pick —— predict what will happen in each constituency. we have to be careful, it is one pole, and there are lots of caveats that apply to it, mainly because a lot of these polls disagree with each other, but the pattern across those poles confer and repeated in the version we had today is that the conservatives are heading for, appears to be having for a significant defeat, so that...
0
0.0
Jun 5, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
the bbc does not make these calculations, but some bigger polls called mrp, polls do.rity of well over 100 seats, some put it much higher, though as my peter barnes advises us that mac and here is a final question from aura in beckenham. why don't you show the don't know percentage? surely this figure could be significant. well, laura, you are right. the bbc does not show don't know is on our tracker. that is because each polling company measures don't know and won't vote in different ways. these differences in methodology make it difficult to show don't know is in trackers like ours. however, if you look into the detail of individual polls, it is often possible to find that information. thank you very much indeed to all of you who have sent in questions. to keep them coming. i reminded to contact us at bbc your voice at you can find your poll tracker on the bbc news app. we will have more on that tomorrow night. two of the main battleground areas in this election will be the midlands and northern england. known as the "red wall" — the bedrock of the labour party's sup
the bbc does not make these calculations, but some bigger polls called mrp, polls do.rity of well over 100 seats, some put it much higher, though as my peter barnes advises us that mac and here is a final question from aura in beckenham. why don't you show the don't know percentage? surely this figure could be significant. well, laura, you are right. the bbc does not show don't know is on our tracker. that is because each polling company measures don't know and won't vote in different ways....
0
0.0
Jun 17, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
the project is supposedly based on mrp polling, and for each constituency there is a recommendation oflly. does tactical voting work? {lit tactically. does tactical voting work? , ., . . work? of course it works and we have seen it at previous _ work? of course it works and we have seen it at previous general _ seen it at previous general elections. i wonder if people will vote tactically less time. we all unite _ vote tactically less time. we all unite we — vote tactically less time. we all unite we have 40—45% of voters still undecided _ unite we have 40—45% of voters still undecided i— unite we have 40—45% of voters still undecided. i think many people simply— undecided. i think many people simply will not bother to show up. that is— simply will not bother to show up. that is an — simply will not bother to show up. that is an expectation of relatively low voter— that is an expectation of relatively low voter turnout. those that do show _ low voter turnout. those that do show up. — low voter turnout. those that do show up. i — low voter turnout. those that do show up, i think it has
the project is supposedly based on mrp polling, and for each constituency there is a recommendation oflly. does tactical voting work? {lit tactically. does tactical voting work? , ., . . work? of course it works and we have seen it at previous _ work? of course it works and we have seen it at previous general _ seen it at previous general elections. i wonder if people will vote tactically less time. we all unite _ vote tactically less time. we all unite we — vote tactically less time. we all...
0
0.0
Jun 28, 2024
06/24
by
GBN
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
but when you look at the national poll, i mean, we had a one of the mrp polls yesterday . i mean, it had, six point your six points down on reform. i mean, i know a national a national opinion poll doesn't translate to seats, but you're still trailing. >> well, these polls i mean, what's happening is there's all sorts of different ways of trying to use algorithms to allocate what undecided people will decide to do a week from today. i mean, you may as well do it on shoe size. honestly, literally, they're trying to put all kinds of different, you know what you voted before or how they voted leave. there's loads of different things that go into these algorithms. obviously, what we're doing is another survey, which is the one every day knocking on doors, seeing what people will see. and we'll say, and there is there's something that's very unusual in this election. it's not, like any other election that i've had. this is my third one, is that it had. this is my third one, is thatitis had. this is my third one, is that it is there are a lot of undecided voters. there are a lot
but when you look at the national poll, i mean, we had a one of the mrp polls yesterday . i mean, it had, six point your six points down on reform. i mean, i know a national a national opinion poll doesn't translate to seats, but you're still trailing. >> well, these polls i mean, what's happening is there's all sorts of different ways of trying to use algorithms to allocate what undecided people will decide to do a week from today. i mean, you may as well do it on shoe size. honestly,...
0
0.0
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
but they're saying on on the mrp poll that she also could lose it.appened to theresa may. she thought she was going to get a big majority. but things can change. but i mean, yeah, yeah, okay. >> it could very much indeed i know, which is why i think it's an interesting election. i think it's quite an interesting election this year. but anyway, we shall see. thank you. see you later. get some sleep. >> yeah. anything could happen now. it's officially summer, two days in. have you felt it, we've got a brand new summer giveaway for you. it's £15,000 in cash, and that should really help you . and that should really help you. have a nice summer, there's going to be some, an iphone , going to be some, an iphone, some airpods and £500 as well, to spend, apparently, at the uk attraction of your choice, you can't win it if you're not in it. so here's what you need to know. >> it's the great british summer giveaway and have we got a prize for you ? there's a totally tax for you? there's a totally tax free £15,000 in cash to make your summer spectacular. spend
but they're saying on on the mrp poll that she also could lose it.appened to theresa may. she thought she was going to get a big majority. but things can change. but i mean, yeah, yeah, okay. >> it could very much indeed i know, which is why i think it's an interesting election. i think it's quite an interesting election this year. but anyway, we shall see. thank you. see you later. get some sleep. >> yeah. anything could happen now. it's officially summer, two days in. have you...
0
0.0
Jun 4, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
we don't tend to focus on single polls — not usually — but the yougov mrp poll predicts a 194—seat laboured with the farage onslaught that the conservatives were out today with a new pledge — a cap on the number of visas that will be issued each year to migrant workers. what we've seen with labour, who have voted 139 times against any and every border control measure we put forward, a complete open—door policy does not work. it does not work for local communities, it doesn't work for local authorities when they are trying to plan for public services. we are the only party with a credible plan to professionally manage migration so that it supports the british economy without putting undue pressure on local communities stop. net migration, the difference in the number of people immigrating to the uk and emigrating, decreased last year, but remains higher than at the start of this parliament. the figure to december to 2023 was 685,000 - that is a fall of approximately 10% from the ons�*s updated estimate of 764,000, for the year to december 2022. you'll probably hear rishi sunak refer to tha
we don't tend to focus on single polls — not usually — but the yougov mrp poll predicts a 194—seat laboured with the farage onslaught that the conservatives were out today with a new pledge — a cap on the number of visas that will be issued each year to migrant workers. what we've seen with labour, who have voted 139 times against any and every border control measure we put forward, a complete open—door policy does not work. it does not work for local communities, it doesn't work for...
0
0.0
Jun 20, 2024
06/24
by
BBCNEWS
tv
eye 0
favorite 0
quote 0
as we saw yesterday mrp polls, are simply another form of pole that involves a series of assumptionse, and those decisions might be the right one or the wrong one but it certainly counts to some degree why there's much variation, but even when you take those into account and the wider conventional porting, the overall picture is one of relative stability and a maintained strong need for labour and the question with two weeks ago is can anything happen tonight or in subsequent days to close that gap by any degree. finally, joe, you would be aware there's been some interest in of the potential impact that polling has on this campaign is being framed, is that something you as a poster will be concerned about or do you think thatis be concerned about or do you think that is something for politicians and the media and those who may find pulling? and the media and those who may find ttullin ? ~ ., .. and the media and those who may find ttullin? . ., , pulling? what i would say, there is a reason that _ pulling? what i would say, there is a reason that polls _ pulling? what i would say, th
as we saw yesterday mrp polls, are simply another form of pole that involves a series of assumptionse, and those decisions might be the right one or the wrong one but it certainly counts to some degree why there's much variation, but even when you take those into account and the wider conventional porting, the overall picture is one of relative stability and a maintained strong need for labour and the question with two weeks ago is can anything happen tonight or in subsequent days to close that...