this is bbc news. the headlines... the prime minister has announced a month—long lockdown in england from thursday, as the uk records its one millionth case of covid since the outbreak took hold. christmas is going to be different this year, perhaps very different, but it's my sincere hope and belief that, by taking tough action now, we can allow families across the country to be together. non—essential shops, bars and restaurants will close, but schools and universities will stay open. the prime minister will take the changes to parliament on monday. england's chief medical officer says there's been a "significant rate of increase" in covid cases across the entire country. the prevalence of this disease has been going up extremely rapidly over the last few weeks.

scotland's first minister, nicola sturgeon, has issued new advice that people should not travel to or from england, except for essential purposes. the government is extending the furlough scheme until the start of december — following concern on what a second lockdown would mean forjobs. and we'll be taking an in—depth look at the papers with our reviewers, rosamund urwin and yasmin alibhai—brown. stay with us for that — the first one is at the later time of a quarter to 10pm.

a very good evening to you and welcome to bbc news. the prime minister has announced a month—long national lockdown in england, starting on thursday. borisjohnson said that nobody wanted to introduce tough measures, but a responsible government could not ignore the rising numbers of infections. so let's take a closer look at what this will mean. non—essential retail and hospitality will be forced to close. schools and universities will be allowed to stay open. it comes as the uk records a further 326 deaths from coronavirus within 28 days of a positive test and another 21,915 people have tested positive. that takes the total number of uk cases to over1 million since the outbreak began. mps will debate and vote on the measures this coming wednesday, with the rules set

to take effect the next day. let's hear a bit of what the prime minister had to say. we will continue to take a pragmatic approach in the months ahead. we also see we have to be... in this country, alas, is much as in other countries, the virus is spread even faster than the reasonable worst—case scenario faster than the reasonable worst—case scenario of our scientific advisers, whose models as you have just seen scientific advisers, whose models as you havejust seen now scientific advisers, whose models as you have just seen now suggest that u nless we you have just seen now suggest that unless we act, we could see deaths in this country running at several thousand a day, a peak of mortality, alas, bigger than the one we saw in april, and as you've just seen, even in the southwest, where incidences

we re in the southwest, where incidences were so in the southwest, where incidences were so low and it still is so low, it is now clear that the current projections mean that hospitals in the south west will run out of capacity in just a matter of weeks. u nless we capacity in just a matter of weeks. unless we ask. let me explain why the overrunning of the nhs would be a medical and amoral disaster, beyond the raw loss of life —— a moral disaster. the huge exponential growth in the number of patients, by no means all of them elderly, by the way, would mean that doctors and nurses will be forced to choose which patients to treat, who would get oxygen and who would not, who would live and who would die, and doctors and nurses would be forced to choose between saving covid patients and non—coven patients, and the sheer weight of covid demand

would mean depriving tens of thousandsif would mean depriving tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of non—covid patients of the care they need. and it is crucial to grasp this, but the general 30 public health comes not from focusing too much on covid but from not focusing enough, from failing to get it under control, and if we let the lines on those graphs grow in the way that they could, and a way that they are projected to grow, then the risk is that, for the first time in our lives, the nhs will not be there for us lives, the nhs will not be there for us and for our families. and even lives, the nhs will not be there for us and for ourfamilies. and even if i could now tell capacity overnight, and obviously i am proud that we have massively increased capacity, we do have the nightingales, we have 13,000 more nurses than we had last year, many more doctors, but it is

still not enough, because the virus is doubling faster than we could conceivably add capacity, and so now is the time to take action, because there is no alternative. from thursday until the start of december, you must stay at home. you may only leave home for specific reasons, including for education, for work, if you cannot work at home, for exercise and recreation outdoors with your household or on your own, with one person from another household, for medical reasons, appointments and to escape injury or harm. to shop for food and essentials and to provide care for vulnerable people or as a volunteer. i'm afraid nonessential shops, leisure and entertainment venues will all be closed, though click and collect services can continue and essential shops will remain open, so there's no need to stock up.

pubs, bars and restaurants must close except for takeaway and delivery services, workplaces should should stay open where people can't work from home — for example, in the construction and manufacturing sectors — single—adult households can still form exclusive support bubbles with one other household and children will still be able to move between homes if their parents are separated. if you are clinically vulnerable or over the age of 60, you should be especially careful to follow the rules and minimise your contacts with others. i know how tough shielding was, and we will not ask people to shield again in the same way, but we are asking those who are clinically extremely vulnerable to minimise their contact with others and not to go to work if they are unable to work from home. i am under no illusions about how difficult this will be for businesses which have

already had to endure such hardship this year, and i am truly, truly sorry for that. that is why we are going to extend the furlough system through november. the furlough scheme was a success in the spring, it supported people and businesses at a critical time. we will not end it, we will extend furlough until december. that was the prime minister speaking earlier this evening. the chief medical officer for england, professor chris whitty, had a stark warning about the prevelance of the virus. data from the office for national statistics, which is the official data which is done as a survey across the country, shows that the prevalence of this disease has been going up extremely rapidly over the last few weeks, having been very flat due to the work of everybody in the country over

spring and summer. and we now have around 50,000 new cases a day and that is rising. that was professor chris whitty speaking. the government chief scientific adviser, sir patrick vallance, said the next six weeks currently look grim, with hospital daily admissions expected to surpass the peak reached in the first wave. inevitably, hospitalisations lead unfortunately to deaths in some people. again, you can see the first wave on the left—hand side, and the dotted line indicates the top of the first wave, and on the right hand side, you can see the projection from today going forward in the blue and again, the light blue indicates the uncertainty range. but what you can see is the models suggest increasing deaths over the next six weeks so that

by the beginning of december, the 8th of december, this is very close to the first wave peak if nothing is done. clearly, if you stop the r from increasing, if you allow it to come down, then you would flatten this off and potentially reverse it, but on the current trajectory, that is what is thought to be the prediction for deaths over the next six weeks. and of course, that would continue to go up because the hospitalisations already exceeded the first wave peak by this time. deaths would follow, so unfortunately it is a very grim picture intense of what this looks like in the absence of action and continued growth. sir patrick vallance there. the labour leader, sir keir starmer, has been giving his reaction to today's announcement. i think everybody is concerned about the rise in infections, the hospital admissions and, tragically, the number of deaths. that's why, three weeks ago, i called for a circuit break.

the government completely rejected that, only now to announce the selfsame thing. and that delay now will cost. the lockdown will be longer, it will be harder, and there is a human cost which will be very, very real. now, there's no denying these measures are necessary, and i'm glad that the government has finally taken the decision that it should have taken weeks ago. it sounds like you will... this will go to parliament, will you back the government? will labour vote with the government? well, these measures are necessary and we've been calling for them. we'll listen carefully to what the prime minister has to say, but these are the measures we called for three weeks ago. the scientific advisers said these were necessary back in september, so the government has delayed and dithered, just as in the first phase, where they were too slow. they've repeated the same mistake. that was labour's sir keir starmer. let's have a reminder of what restrictions are in place around the uk. in wales, the 17—day

"firebrea k" lockdown — with people only able to leave their homes for limited reasons — continues. it is currently set to finish on november 9th. northern ireland's first minister arlene foster has said that the current tightened restrictions there will end, as planned, on the 13th of novermber. pubs and restaurants have been closed, and schools, which will re—open on monday, were closed for two weeks. scotland's first minister, nicola sturgeon, has urged against non—essential travel across the border with england. a new five—level system of restrictions for tackling coronavirus will come into force in scotland on monday, which will see travel restrictions imposed on many scots. the prime minister has announced that new four—week lockdown across england, and it starts from thursday. let's take a look at some of the new restrictions. bars and restaurants will close, but takeaways can continue

to operate — as in the spring lockdown. non—essential retail and hospitality will be forced to close — supermarkets will stay open. households will not be allowed to mix inside, unless for child care reasons. schools and universities will be allowed to stay open. ahead of the news, experts had warned that the nhs could be overwhelmed without drastic action to tackle the spread of the virus. earlier, i spoke to chris hopson — head of nhs providers — about the current pressures on the health service. what we know talking to hospital chief executives is that the number of admissions is rising pretty rapidly. what those chief executives are really worried about is if they continue to rise and then that rise coincides with winter, when the nhs is at its most busy, also at a point when we are trying

to recover the care backlogs from the first phase, and we know that most hospitals have lost somewhere between 10—30% of their capacity because of the need to separate covid and non—covid patients, that feels to them to be a perfect storm. they have been arguing, as we have been arguing for the last few weeks, the government needs to take quick, decisive and clear action to ensure that the nhs has got the capacity it needs to do all of those different jobs. look after people from a covid second surge, make sure we can treat people overwinter, when we know the nhs gets most stretched, and then also, at the same time, make sure we catch up with those care backlogs. first point, you brought up the backlog — how bad is it? we know that in the first phase, because we simply did not know what was happening, the nhs did need to concentrate on ensuring we had sufficient capacity. as you know, the nhs did an amazing job.

it created 33,000 extra beds. one of the issues that we did have to delay some nonessential, in other words, not absolute emergency care. and that has obviously had an impact on a number of patients. and what we are very keen to do is make sure that we treat those patients as quickly as possible. that is what we are doing absolutely full pelt at the minute. we want to carry on doing that, but clearly if you get large numbers of covid patients, that prevents you from doing it. classic example — i was talking to a hospital chief executive last week, who said they had to convert three of their wards in the space of two days that would normally be wards where you would have recovering elective surgery patients. they had to turn them into covid wards. that is why it is so important for the nhs to control the numbers of covid patients we have got. is this four—week. . . 7 if it's approved on wednesday by parliament, is this four—week circuit break going to help? as far as the nhs sees it?

because there is a time lag of normally two weeks before we start seeing the impact? one of the obvious questions is, has this been clear enough, quick enough and decisive enough? i think the obvious answer to the question is it is actually in all our hands, which effectively is that this will only work if people comply with the rules. i think what we are nervous about is, as you can see from some of the local lockdowns, for example, we are beginning to see compliance with lockdown rules fraying at the edges. if we want to ensure that the nhs absolutely can treat every single patient that we would like to, both covid and non—covid, it's in our hands. we have to follow the rules. hopefully it will work, but obviously that remains to be seen. that was chris hopson there. this evening, local leaders in west yorkshire say plans to move to tier 3 tomorrow

have been shelved. they say, following the prime minister's statement, the region will follow the national restrictions on thursday. it's yet more change for an area that's been dealing with varying levels of lockdown since july. luxmy gopal sent this report from bradford. three months since they entered local lockdown, two days since they were told they'll move to tier3, now, businesses in bradford must get their heads around yet another change. the more that i think about it, it's like writing a novel without having any ending to it. you try your best to survive in what we have to do, what you're going to have to do. unfortunately, we have some very mixed guidelines, and this is where the confusion is, because i don't think businesses know really what they have to do. bradford's infection rate is among the highest in england and still rising. it's hoped the full lockdown will work where more moderate measures have failed. we need to get a grip of this, so if that's what needs to happen,

i'm all for it. ijust think that lots of people are going to struggle with it — mental health and financially. is it really necessary? do we really need to go into another national lockdown? is it good for the economy? do we really need to put everything on hold all over again? ishfaq's six restaurants have already lost 30% of business under tier 2, which banned households from mixing indoors. we've lost a lot of business. now if we go for another lockdown, it's going to really cripple the business and everyone. businesses have had to adapt and adjust. they've spent the past few days preparing for tier 3, and now the goalposts are moving yet again. and many in west yorkshire whose livelihoods are already on the brink fear that having to close this thursday could mean shutting for good. luxmy gopal, bbc news, bradford. from thursday, the hospitality sector in england drastically affected by the lockdown. earlier, i spoke to

the chief executive of uk hospitality, kate nicholls, who gave her reaction. it is a devastating blow for many of those businesses in the hospitality sector who worked so hard and making sure they invested in covid secure protocols to keep guests and customers safe, and to be put back into a full lockdown is very damaging for them. many of them may not recover from that second closure and will be very worried about their businesses and their people going forward today. you are referring to this is a full fat furlough. is it going to be enough? it is going to be enough, and it is very welcome that the chancellor has reverted back to the full furlough at 80% of staff wages rather than the 67% being offered to closed businesses under tier 3. that will be enough to support our teams, their cash reserves but critically, with

the businesses, their resilience, their cash reserves are at very low levels, and we are extremely concerned that what we are looking at here is a potential business failure and potential closures, so we are urging a full fat grant to go alongside the full fat furlough to make sure that businesses have a viable future, that they can survive and therefore we can provide long—term job security. 3.2 million in hospitality and another million in our supply chain who are facing an uncertain future at the present point in time unless we can get the support to go through to the other side of this, as restrictions for these businesses will not end on 2 september. the prime minister is clear we will go back into a tier system and have restrictions for many months to come. it is vital we have that support now. would that grant support go towards your question or concern that the 20% for many is not affordable even with the furlough scheme? we have just heard in the last few minutes, the treasury has

released the proposals now, that we aren't going to have to pay the 20% employer contribution, just the nics and auto enrolment. that is still a significant chunk for businesses to pull out at this point in time, and they are going to have to pay in advance to their teams before claiming back from the treasury, so the small grants made available will cover those costs, but crucially they won't cover high fixed costs these businesses face, in particular rent, and it is important we have a solution that solves the accrued liabilities built up in terms of rent, and it won't help to meet the other fixed costs of running those businesses. it costs a lot to keep businesses running while they are closed. you are also looking for clarity when it comes to eligibility for furlough. so where is the grey area for you? the grey area now is around where we come out of these lockdown restrictions. we don't have an exit strategy

that is clear for hospitality to come out on 2 december, and we need to make sure that when we do come out, we have clarity about whatjob support will be available for workers longer—term. today, when we thought the job support scheme was coming through, many workers in hospitality would be excluded because they had to be on the payroll by 23 september, and also there was an eligibility criteria for companies with more than 250 members of staff related to vat return and business profitability. we need to make sure those are looked at to make sure they continue to be fit for purpose as we come out on 3 december, and then crucially we need an exit strategy to get down those restrictions. we can't have hospitality coming back out to a full set of restrictions for many months to come. very quickly, how are you going to get all those questions answered? are you in contact with the treasury at all, or any of the advisers? because you have a lot of questions there, so how will you get those answers? there are a huge amount of questions that go unanswered.

that's always the challenge when we have these announcements made. the devil is always on the detail, there are many more to come, particularly if hotels are staying open, what do they do with guests resident when this kicks in on wednesday? all these kinds of details, we need to go through the fine tuning. yes, we have meetings that are scheduled that are regular with the business department, with treasury, with department for culture, media and sport, which looks after tourism businesses, and we will be speaking urgent clarifications over the course of the weekend to make sure we can advise our businesses. and this is the real challenge, 80% of businesses and hospitality are smes. they are struggling to cope with the detail from government, struggling to make sense of it and needing to have that reassuring is to be able to plan for their future and to be able to reassure their employees, so highly anxious times. we need to make sure the government provides comprehensive details of what is expected of them and how they can get the support they

need to remain viable. hello. storm aiden has been bringing jails. we have a number of yellow warnings from the met office, all the details are on the website. at first this evening, many will be dry as the rain eases from western scotland, but then more rain starts to parlin, then into western scotland, wales, the western side of england. some blustery winds, not a cold night. temperatures not much lower than 7—10 c. that randall slowly clears what you swords more morning. some sunshine behind, but also some heavy showers. more persistent rain moves and as the afternoon wares on across the western side of scotland, particularly across northern england, wales and the midlands, where we could see some localised flooding. strong winds again, particular across the western side of scotland. but it is not a cold

day, ten pitchers between ten to 17 celsius. bye—bye. —— temperatures between.

the prime minister announces a second national lockdown for england from thursday — to last for a month. no more tiered restrictions. fears that the rise in covid—19 cases could overwhelm nhs capacity has forced boris johnson to completely change tack. the virus is doubling faster than we can conceivably add capacity, and so now is the time to take action because

there is no alternative. it comes as the total number of uk cases since the pandemic began passes one million. also tonight... the furlough scheme to support employees who are locked down has been extended across the uk until december. bond. james bond. and sir sean connery — the very first screen james bond — has died at the age of 90. good evening. england is to face a new month—long lockdown across the nation,

starting on thursday and lasting until the 2nd december. despite having repeatedly rejected calls for a nationwide lockdown in favour of localised, tiered measures, borisjohnson today declared at a downing street news conference that a responsible prime minister could not ignore the rising numbers of coronavirus infections. under the lockdown, restaurants and pubs will close, but takeaways and deliveries will be allowed. all non—essential retail will also close, but supermarkets are to stay open. mixing with other households inside homes or in private gardens will be banned — except for childcare and other forms of support. unlike the first lockdown — schools, colleges and universities will stay open, while travel will be discouraged — except for work. here's our political editor, laura kuenssberg. misery, the prime minister's own prediction of what a return to lockdown would feel like. the step he never wanted to take, the instruction again for england to close its doors. reality kicking in.

we have to be humble in the face of nature and in this country, alas, as across much of europe, the virus is spreading even faster than the reasonable worst case scenario and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative. the plan, perhaps the hope, is a month will be enough in england and even then, the country's time of celebration won't be the same. christmas is going to be different this year, perhaps very different but it's my sincere hope and believe that by taking tough action now, we can that by taking tough action now, we ca n allow that by taking tough action now, we can allow families across the country to be together. there is about turn from the prime minister, this familiar phrase. we will get through this but we must act now to contain this autumn's search. we are not going back to the full scale lockdown of march and april but i'm afraid from thursday, the basic

message is the same. stay at home, protect the nhs and save lives. the prime minister didn't want to be back at the lectin that this is some of what confronted him in recent days. a range of projections from several groups of scientists made public tonight of the number of people who could die each day of nothing changed. 0ne suggested more than 4000 people. all of the projection is more serious than what had been the current worst case scenario shown in black, dwarfing what happened first time round, shown here in blue. the fear shown in this separate document leaked to the bbc which suggests that the nhs in some parts of england could be full within a fortnight and if things continue unchecked, the nhs will not be able to accept any more patient by christmas week. you were told by your own scientists many weeks ago that you would have to ta ke weeks ago that you would have to take national action in order to save lives. prime minister, what took you so long? this is a