this is bbc news. i'm lukwesa burak. the headlines at 8. the government says that england's a—week lockdown could be extended for longer if coronavirus infection rates don't come down enough. we need to recognise that we do need to get the infection rate, the r—rate, below one. we believe, on the basis of the evidence that we have, that we will be able to do so. the labour leader welcomes the new measures, but calls on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace. the government has to keep its side of the bargain here. because if they don't use this time to fix test, trace and isolate then i think 2nd december will be a review date, not an end date. with the furlough scheme also extended for lockdown, we hear from businesses — and what

it might mean for the economy. and donald trump and joe biden each make a last bid for votes in swing states that could be key to winning the white house. the search for survivors continues in the turkish city worst—hit by the earthquake which killed more than 60 people. the england world cup winner and manchester united legend, sir bobby charlton, has been diagnosed with dementia. good evening. the a—week lockdown in england, which will start on thursday — and is scheduled to end on december the 2nd — could last longer. the cabinet minister, michael gove, said ministers will be "guided by the facts".

he said the government wanted to get the coronavirus reproduction rate, below the critical level of 1. the strict measures are set to come into effect on thursday. they'll see pubs, restaurants, gyms, nonessential shops and places of worship, close. however, schools, colleges and universities can stay open. travel and overnight stays in the uk and abroad will be restricted, and meeting others indoors or in private gardens is banned. today, labour criticised the government for rejecting its call — last month — for a so—called "circuit—brea ker" — where a tight set of restrictions would have been implemented for a fixed period of time. this report from our political correspondent, jonathan blake, contains flash photography. a round of golf while it's still allowed. here in hertfordshire, only the minimum restrictions are currently in place, but like the rest of england, people are now preparing

for a new national lockdown. i think it's frustrating here, because the cases aren't that bad, and we've all been, you know, following the rules that we were given. golf's just been so fantastic for so many people. while people may not agree with it, we've got to stake with it. so it's a bit frustrating, yes, but rules are rules. well, i wasn't surprised. i think it was inevitable. i'm glad that they're keeping the schools open. but i think it was needed, really. the lockdown is due to last until the 2nd of december, but a senior government minister said that was a hope, not a guarantee, and left open the option of restrictions staying in place for longer. if we ensure that all the steps that we're taking now are taken appropriately, we'll have an opportunity — in advance of december 2nd — to review the progress that we're making, and in advance of december 2nd, we can then communicate to those areas where some restrictions may be required what they will be and also other areas where we've managed to beat back the virus,

we can explain where liberties can be restored. labour say they'll support the plan, but their leader is adamant it should have happened sooner. if what they announced yesterday had been announced when i said it should have been, two or three weeks ago, we could've had the lockdown and schools shut because of the natural break of half term. and, you know, people will be waking up this morning and thinking, how on earth did it get to this? the government has to keep its side of the bargain here, because if they don't use this time to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think the 2nd of december will be a review date, not an end date. some conservative mps remain unconvinced that a lockdown is needed now and may yet vote against it in the house of commons this week. with labour's backing, the plan is likely to pass, but that won't end the debate about whether this month—long lockdown is the right thing to do and where england will be at the end of it. one scientist advising

the government said a return to regional restrictions may be unrealistic. what must happen is, whenever that data comes, the 2nd of december or a little bit later, that suddenly the world goes back to normal. it's not going to go back to normal immediately. i think it will be at least what is currently called tier 3, or tier 3 plus, across the country. i don't think it makes sense to go back into regional variation in the restrictions that are in place immediately after this set of more draconian measures are lifted. schools are staying open, unlike during the national lockdown early in the year. some argue that means it may take longer to bring the virus back under control. although some areas have been living under tighter restrictions for some time, this week will bring new limitations for everyone in england. what was the government's last resort has become a reality. jonathan blake, bbc news. this latest lockdown has been prompted by the recent rise in infection rates, but what are the other key

indicators which would allow restrictions to be eased? here's our health correspondent, lauren moss. from thursday, the message in england will once again be stay home to save lives. nonessential shops and hospitality will close, schools and universities will stay open. the prime minister has said the measures are to prevent a medical disaster with the nhs being overwhelmed. well, i think the prime minister had no choice but to act on very clear evidence that the trajectory of hospital admissions demand on the health service was such that we would have just been overwhelmed in the coming weeks, to the point that it wouldn'tjust be a case of not managing the surge in patients with covid, but actually the nhs would not have been able to provide services to large numbers of non—covid patients. there are more than 9000 people with covid in english hospitals. some, including those in liverpool, lancashire, and nottinghamshire, are treating more coronavirus patients now than during the peak in the first wave.

getting the reproduction number of the virus below one is crucial. anything above that means it spreading. in september, scientists looked at the effect different interventions could have on the r—number, which is thought to be around 1.2 at the minute. a full lockdown, like we had in march, that included schools closing, would have the biggest impact. it's thought the measures introduced in the spring reduced the r by around 75%. the estimated closing pubs, restaurants, bars, and cafe would have a moderate impact on transmission, bringing r down by around 0.i—0.2. they also considered the closure of nonessential retail and found that on its own this would have a minimal impact. it is a level of uncertainty around these figures,

and they're based on data before cases reached the severity they're at now, but it is hoped the measures being introduced will bring that r number down. lockdown isn't a long—term solution, though. we have to use it as an opportunity to improve the test, trace and isolate system, and that is an exit strategy, and until we get mass testing up and running with fast turnaround is, and it's the fast turnaround, there is no use having a system that wastes five days waiting for your test result to come because you can't get ahead of the virus. the prime minister has formed promised that a roll—out of rapid testing that will give results within 15 minutes is imminent. care has also advanced since march. the sickest patients can now be treated with the steroid dexamethasone and some nightingale hospitals are on standby. many hopes are pinned on a vaccine, with scientists predicting positive results by the end of the year. until then, reducing the spread of the virus and limiting its effect are the only ways of indicating how long this latest lockdown will last. lauren moss, bbc news. the latest government figures show

there were 23,254 new coronavirus new coronavirus infections recorded in the latest 24—hour period. that means that the average number of new cases reported per day, in the last week is now 23,016. 162 deaths were reported — that's people who died within 28 days of a positive covid—19 test. it means, on average in the past week, 260 deaths were announced every day. it takes the total number of deaths so far across the uk to 46,717. and tomorrow morning on the bbc news channel we'll be answering your questions on the national lockdown in england, and also restrictions in other parts of the uk. that's at 9:30 tomorrow morning. so send your questions to, hashtag,

bbc your questions, or email them. even a one—month lockdown will cost the government billions of pounds in extra support for businesses and employees. our business correspondent katy austin has been analysing where the money will be spent and what impact it will have. when pubs and restaurants have to shut, by's and impact the diners don't see four firms in the supply chain, like this lancashire food wholesaler. we depend on hospitality for about 80% of our trade and the other 20% as care homes, hospitals, schools, so this is a big body blow. take a ways will still be available at allowed, to the relief of this owner in essex. we will simply revert our business back to take wing delivery. hopefully we will be

doing a lot better than we did in the early part of the year. and what aboutjobs? the early part of the year. and what about jobs? fellow continuing the early part of the year. and what aboutjobs? fellow continuing will undoubtedly save many of them but it comes too late for others. airport workerjake got his redundancy notice this week. it was gut wrenching when i got it because obviously the moment with the fact that we are entering a second lockdown finding anotherjob is ultimately going to be quite difficult. people being told not to travel abroad is another blow to aviation, while the shutdown comes just when retailers hoped to benefit from pre—christmas shopping. the originalfurlough from pre—christmas shopping. the original furlough scheme cost at least £40 billion in the extended version looks set to add further billions to that price tag. there will also be grants available to businesses in england which are false to close, up to £3000 per month. and there's an extension to mortgage holidays for struggling homeowners. again, the government is spending to try and minimise the damage of its restrictions. even before yesterday's announcement the government had committed something

in the order of £200 billion for the economy over this year. now, that is a staggering phenomenon. in the additional amount over the next month will be a relatively small fraction of that, but, again, it is the two or three or four months that is going to push back numbers from 200 billion upped into the 210,220, to 30 billion. in april, underthe first lockdown, the uk economy shrank by a fifth. that figure is expected again this time but some authorities fear a big winter. katie austen, bbc news. with the us election just two days away, president trump is campaigning in five states that he needs if he's to stay in the white house. he's trailing the democrat candidate joe biden in opinion polls, but hopes promises of massive tax cuts will sway undecided voters. let's just take a quick look at how

the polls are shaping up. mr trump has yet to narrow the gap on his democratic challenger — who holds holds a 9—point lead nationwide. but as ever, it should be remembered winning the popular vote does not win you the presidency. well donald trump has been speaking at a rally earlier — let's get a flavour of what he's been saying. we have the number one economy in the world right now by far, and we're not losing it on my watch, i can tell you that. joe biden, sleepy jo, can tell you that. joe biden, sleepy jo, spent 47 years outsourcing your jobs, opening your borders and sacrificing american blood and treasure in endless foreign wars. michigan lost half of it also jobs thanks to biden's nafta and china disasters. our correspondent gary 0'donoghue has been at donald trump's

rally in michigan. he said it was part of a busy day on the campaign trailfor the president. so michigan is donald trump's first stop of the day on this whirlwind tour over the next few hours. these are the key states he has to win if he wants to retain his place in the white house. his message today has been one of economic nationalism. that message that took him to the white house in the first place in 2016. warning people here in michigan that they will lose their jobs, lose their industries, ifjoe biden is elected. he even claimed that there were no auto plants here in michigan, really the home of the us car industry. no plants here he said, four years ago. that is not true. now, also donald trump has been talking about his opponentjoe biden, criticising him for his supposedly gaps in lapses of memory, they've been playing videos of that,

in donald trump spin complaining about the weather in michigan as well. it is cold and he was clearly suffering from that during the speech. he even chose to make a joke about refugees from syria, saying they wouldn't want to come to michigan, they'd rather go back to syria because it's too cold. so this is the beginning of a multistate post in the last couple of days for donald trump. possibly a dozen all 13 states in these last couple of days as he battles to overcome his liking in the opinion polls. —— lagging in the opinion pounds. so, that was gary 0'donoghue in michigan. donald trump's last rally of the day is in florida, where it is also the last day of pre—election voting in the state. 0ur correspondent nomia iqbal is in miami... this is the last day of in—person voting in florida is one of those really key swing states, donald trump really needs florida and he needs people to vote for him. one

person's vote he definitely doesn't haveis person's vote he definitely doesn't have is las. ellie lives here in miami. ellie, tell me why you want joe biden to be president. one of the reasons that i wantjoe biden to be president is my brother patrick died in march, maj second, very suddenly and unexpectedly at 41 and it wasn't until much later that we find out that he died of an acute lung injury likely caused by covid and so for me and my family, we've been suffering so much and we realised, oh my goodness, we need a president and an administration that will take this disease very seriously, that will better unite the country to fight this disease and get the economy back into hack and get the economy back into hack and protect lives, protect lives like my brother's. and we are both him and my emma, we know miami is such a christian county and has that a large cuban—american population, you are cuban—american and one of the messages that don't will be trying to get out there is that he

claimsjoe biden trying to get out there is that he claims joe biden is trying to get out there is that he claimsjoe biden is a socialist, a communist. that message does work with some cuban—americans but it doesn't work with you, right? know, in fact doesn't work with you, right? know, infact i'm doesn't work with you, right? know, in fact i'm very scared of his authoritarianism and my mother, she passed away two years ago but she got to see donald trump for two yea rs, got to see donald trump for two years, my mother fled got to see donald trump for two years, my motherfled cuba, and when he saw house he started attacking the media relentlessly it really triggered her. she said oh my god, this reminds me of fidel castro. that's what he did when he first came into power, he attacked the media relentlessly and so for me, his message, you know, i'm scared of him. i'm scared of his authoritarianism. and just quickly, ellie, what is it like to live in a state where everybody wants your vote 7 state where everybody wants your vote? light, politicians come down here wanting you to vent for them. what is it like? you know, you realise that every vote matters, every vote counts, and that this is a state where we are really battling

ideas and really trying to have conversations, trying to have honest conversations. it was difficult when people start telling us things that aren't true so for me it's like sifting through the entry to really get at what's true, what's going on and forming my conscience, for me my faith is very important to me so forming my conscience as a voter in deciding to vote especially to protect lives around this pandemic, the affordable care act so that people are not losing their health insurance during this pandemic and also climate change. i care very much about god's creation and protecting all of god's creation. much about god's creation and protecting all of god's creationm is really great to talk to you. thank you so much ellie. as you heard that an early every vote matters and it definitely matters here in florida. back to you. that was nominated bell speaking to us earlierfrom miami. the headlines on bbc news... a senior government minister warns the second national lockdown in england could last more

than a month, amid fears that the rise in coronavirus cases could overwhelm hospitals. with the furlough scheme also extended for lockdown, we hear from businesses — and what it might mean for the economy. a major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal town of izmir following a major earthquake that hit the agean on friday, killing more than 60 people. transport for london has secured a bailout from the government worth around 1.7 billion pounds. tfl says the agreement will enable it to continue operating services in the capital until april next year. the exact amount of money involved is subject to passenger revenue. talks on longer—term funding continue. religious groups in england have strongly criticised the new lockdown rule which bans communal worship. leaders of the catholic church

issued a statement saying communal acts of worship were a "common good" for all, and the muslim council of britain called for an urgent review of the restrictions. places of worship also closed during the first lockdown and they are currently closed in wales during the nation's so—called firebreak. police officers were attacked as they tried to break up an illegal rave near bristol — it's thought there were up to 700 people there. the site was eventually cleared around 3 o'clock this afternoon — 17 hours after it began. lee maddun reports. police had to call for back—up quickly is this illegal halloween rave turned hostile. officers reported ignited ever being sprayed towards offices so really significant violence, officers at significant violence, officers at significant risk, necessitating them being fully kitted in protective equipment with shields. so we walked up equipment with shields. so we walked up to the police because we wanted to get out and we asked what was going on and he shoved his shield to

my face. literally! and he fell backwards. we are surprised that he took that course of action? no! police say they stand by their actions and say that the bait was illegal and put everyone at risk. they stand by the use of tactics including the shield and the dogs because. what was the reason you decided to take part in the brave knowing it was against the law. to have a good time. because it is halloween and we wanted to have a party, to have ourfun. halloween and we wanted to have a party, to have our fun. police say this road has been blocked all day by taxis taking leave a look from the event. at one point, the police got western power to switch the electricity supply after the building but it is a tactic that didn't work because those inside had their own power generators in the music continued. several arrests have now been made. meanwhile, in bristol city centre, a firework is thrown. 0fficers ducked for cover.

0ne appears to have been hit in what was a night of violence. lee martin, bbc news. elsewhere, greater manchester police say they broke up an illegal music event on a farm near wigan last night. around 300 people were there, and officers say they turned away dozens more. a machete was recovered from the scene, and the tyres of police vehicles were slashed. rescue teams are continuing to search for around a hundred people — missing since friday's earthquake which struck turkey's aegean coast and several greek islands. at least 62 people were killed — and thousands have been made homeless. in the turkish city of izmir, survivors have been pulled out of the rubble of collapsed buildings — including a 70—year—old. 0ur international correspondent 0rla guerin reports from the scene. they have been praying here for miracle rescues. 0vernight, they got one — a 70—year—old man called ahmet citim who had been buried for 33 hours,

carried out alive. he was reclaimed from this — the wreckage of an eight—storey apartment block, now all but erased from the landscape. a local official told us residents were worried and asked for an inspection over a year ago. it concluded the building wouldn't survive an earthquake. well, the search is continuing here, hour after hour. the rubble is several storeys high, and standing here, seeing all of these crushed concrete, it's hard to imagine that anyone else could be brought out alive. but the teams are still searching by hand, with heavy equipment, and with dogs. nearby, relatives are keeping an anguished vigil. many haven't left the site since the moment of the earthquake

at 2:51pm on friday afternoon. erdil is one of them — waiting for news of his beloved sister. she worked in a dental office on the ground floor of the building. my sister's university and other friend, every time call me, every time calling me, writing, on instagram, on the phone, every time, writing, calling, every people call me. we arejust waiting. some here are still clinging to hope, but the death toll is rising, and across this ea rthquake—prone country, many are now asking, could we be next? 0rla guerin, bbc news, izmir. at least 4 people are reported to have died, as the strongest typhoon so far this year, hammers the philippines. typhoon goni made landfall before dawn, with what the authorities

called "catastrophic" winds of more than 140 miles an hour, and intense rain. 0ur correspondent in manila, howard johnson, sent this report. the most powerful storm on earth this year. it hit the small island of catanduanes just before 5am this morning. hours later, it made its second landfall, tearing through the popular tourist province of albay. famous for its picturesque mayon volcano, today goni turned the region into a watery mess. strong winds whipped and lashed trees and electricity lines. flash floods inundated rivers and roads. people clambered onto roofs of their homes to stay above the water line. the united nations fear that more than 20 million people are in the path of the typhoon. the philippine authorities have

urged them to take refuge. translation: i evacuated because it's better to be safe. since i can't walk, i would have to crawl to get out when the winds get stronger. but if i can walk, i would prefer to stay in our place. translation: i'm afraid, because my mother's house is already weak and about to get crushed. goni is now heading to the philippine capital, metro manila. you can see the bands of thick clouds over here on the outer reaches of the weather system. 13 million people live in the city, but it's unusually quiet today as people begin hunkering down for the night. but the biggest concern remains for the town of virac on catanduanes. it was the first urban area to be hit by the storm, and communications remain down. the municipality is believed to be home to more than 70,000 people. howard johnson, bbc news, manila. england world cup winner, and manchester united legend sir bobby charlton —

has been diagnosed with dementia. sir bobby spent 17 years at old trafford, winning three league titles. his wife norma said she hopes the diagnosis could help others. the news follows the deaths with dementia of his older brother jack in july and fellow world cup—winner nobby stiles on friday. now it's time for a look at the weather with stav danaos. hello. there's some drier and colder weather on the horizon. notjust yet, more rain in the forecast through this evening and overnight, courtesy of this frontal zone draped across parts of southern scotland into wales, north and west england, shows that the north will continue to fade, a lot of clouds and patchy fight or light rain at times. very mild here, 1415 celsius that will feel cooler further north. rain to fizzle out but mo shows piling in from the west which like to merge to give longer spells of rain, particularly through parts of england again into wales, northern

ireland, southern scotland. elsewhere, bits of sunshine and showers another windy day with gusts reaching a longer coast, starting to feel a bit cooler tomorrow as well, eight to 14 celsius. still that rain piling in the night. the tuesday mixture of sunshine and showers, some persistent rain across southern england for a time but after that turning dry and colder. the by. hello, this is bbc news with lu kwesa burak. the headlines: a senior government minister warns the second national lockdown in england could last more than a month amid fears that the rise in coronavirus cases could overwhelm hospitals. from thursday non—essential shops, restaurants, pubs, gyms and hair and beauty salons will be forced to close. the uk opposition leader has welcomed the new measures, but is calling on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace.

with just two days to go until election day, the us presidential candidates are making a "final weekend" dash around key swing states. a major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal town of izmir following a major earthquake that hit the agean on friday, killing at least 50 people. now on bbc news, with brexit looming, john campbell investigates how northern ireland's position could affect supermarket prices and online shopping. the irish sea border is coming. we'll soon see its practical impacts. i'm john campbell, bbc northern ireland's economics and business editor. i've spent the last four years reporting on brexit. tonight on spotlight, i examine how the uk's decision to leave the eu could mean higher

food prices for northern ireland. we are talking tens of thousands of pounds per load in the worst—case scenario. northern ireland consumers can't afford it. we can't afford it as an industry there will be new barriers to trade. many british manufacturers and providers, producers, they won't be aware that northern ireland is now a different system. and the first time they'll become aware of it, is when their lorry or their van is turned round at stranraer. does it alljust mean more red tape? the uk government will have to make a trade—off.